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Lyngby Boldklub v Sønderjyske Fodbold — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Lyngby Boldklub win
36.7%
model 35.8%
Draw
26.7%
model 28.0%
Sønderjyske Fodbold win
36.7%
model 36.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.4%
  2. 0-1 8.9%
  3. 1-0 8.8%
  4. 0-0 8.2%
  5. 1-2 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.548.2% Under 2.551.8%
BTTS yes53.8% BTTS no46.2%
Lyngby Boldklub 1+72.7% Lyngby Boldklub 2+37.2%
Sønderjyske Fodbold 1+72.9% Sønderjyske Fodbold 2+37.5%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.31. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
72/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
89%
★ Best pick
1-3 goals
Multi goal · usually 56%
69.1% fair odds 1.45
strong signal · 2188 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Lyngby Boldklub (2:0)
Handicap 2:0 · usually 84%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 326 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Sønderjyske Fodbold carry the stronger rating, 1447 Elo against 1376.

Risk factors

  • The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.89).
Why the model thinks this

The price

Sønderjyske Fodbold have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for Lyngby Boldklub and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Lyngby Boldklub and 1.30 for Sønderjyske Fodbold.

Why Lyngby Boldklub

Nothing in the data singles out Lyngby Boldklub.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.30 to 1.30. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sønderjyske Fodbold can win

Sønderjyske Fodbold carry the stronger rating, 1447 Elo against 1376.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Lyngby Boldklub, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sønderjyske Fodbold, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Lyngby Boldklub: 53% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 39% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 20.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lyngby Boldklub's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Sønderjyske Fodbold are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%. Confidence 72/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.30–1.31 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.99–1.45 1-1 13% 44% 49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win 46.9% 47.5% 30.0% 1.58× 2.11
Draw 28.1% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
Lyngby Boldklub to win 25.0% 27.9% 44.9% 0.62× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold & not both score 27.6% 25.2% 13.5% 1.87× 3.97
Sønderjyske Fodbold & both teams score 19.3% 17.9% 16.8% 1.07× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 18.6% 17.9% 19.6% 0.92× 5.58
Lyngby Boldklub & not both score 13.9% 13.3% 20.7% 0.64× 7.55
Lyngby Boldklub & both teams score 11.1% 13.2% 24.5% 0.54× 7.55
Draw & not both score 9.5% 8.4% 6.1% 1.38× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold & over 1.5 35.1% 34.9% 26.2% 1.33× 2.87
Sønderjyske Fodbold & under 3.5 34.5% 30.9% 18.5% 1.67× 3.24
Sønderjyske Fodbold & over 2.5 25.9% 26.0% 20.9% 1.24× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 22.8% 21.6% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 22.8% 21.6% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Sønderjyske Fodbold & under 2.5 21.0% 21.6% 9.4% 2.31× 4.62
Lyngby Boldklub & under 3.5 19.7% 18.0% 27.3% 0.66× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.6% 18.0% 19.6% 0.92× 5.56
Lyngby Boldklub & over 1.5 17.2% 18.0% 35.5% 0.51× 5.56
Lyngby Boldklub & over 2.5 12.9% 12.9% 29.5% 0.44× 7.78
Sønderjyske Fodbold & over 3.5 12.4% 12.9% 11.8% 1.09× 7.78
Lyngby Boldklub & under 2.5 12.1% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.78
Sønderjyske Fodbold & under 1.5 11.8% 12.9% 4.1% 3.11× 7.78
Draw & under 1.5 9.5% 7.9% 6.1% 1.30× 12.69
Lyngby Boldklub & under 1.5 7.8% 7.9% 9.6% 0.82× 12.69
Lyngby Boldklub & over 3.5 5.3% 7.9% 17.9% 0.44× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 5.3% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 5.3% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (1UP) 60.9% 63.0% 1.59
Lyngby Boldklub (1UP) 41.5% 38.7% 2.58
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (2UP) 46.9% 49.8% 2.01
Lyngby Boldklub (2UP) 25.0% 24.4% 4.09
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win 2nd half 40.3% 41.1% 2.43
2nd half drawn 37.6% 36.1% 2.77
Lyngby Boldklub to win 2nd half 22.2% 23.0% 4.36
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (+2.5) 97.4% 96.3% 91.7% 1.05× 1.04
Sønderjyske Fodbold (+1.5) 90.7% 92.1% 78.8% 1.17× 1.09
Sønderjyske Fodbold (+0.5) 75.0% 73.7% 55.1% 1.34× 1.36
Lyngby Boldklub (+0.5) 53.1% 52.3% 70.0% 0.75× 1.91
Sønderjyske Fodbold (-0.5) 46.9% 47.7% 30.0% 1.59× 2.10
Lyngby Boldklub (-0.5) 25.0% 26.3% 44.9% 0.59× 3.80
Lyngby Boldklub (-1.5) 9.3% 7.9% 21.2% 0.37× 12.65
Lyngby Boldklub (-2.5) 2.6% 3.7% 8.3% 0.45× 26.84
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to concede 62.9% 67.2% 80.7% 0.83× 1.49
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet 37.1% 32.8% 19.3% 1.70× 3.05
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet in 1st half 65.3% 69.9% 1.43
Sønderjyske Fodbold to concede in 1st half 34.7% 30.1% 3.32
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 6.5 corners 89.8% 84.9% 1.18
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 5.5 corners 81.2% 80.9% 1.24
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 2.5 corners 68.7% 68.2% 1.47
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 4.5 corners 68.1% 68.2% 1.47
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 3.5 corners 50.8% 52.4% 1.91
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 3.5 corners 49.2% 47.6% 2.10
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 4.5 corners 31.9% 31.8% 3.15
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 2.5 corners 31.3% 31.8% 3.15
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 5.5 corners 18.8% 19.1% 5.25
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 6.5 corners 10.2% 15.1% 6.64
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 3.5 goals 94.0% 92.4% 93.7% 0.99× 1.08
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 2.5 goals 82.1% 81.5% 84.0% 0.97× 1.23
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 0.5 goals 76.6% 76.2% 73.6% 1.04× 1.31
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 1.5 goals 57.4% 59.6% 57.9% 1.03× 1.68
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 1.5 goals 42.6% 40.4% 42.1% 0.96× 2.48
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 0.5 goals 23.4% 23.8% 26.4% 0.90× 4.20
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 2.5 goals 17.9% 18.5% 16.0% 1.16× 5.40
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 3.5 goals 6.0% 7.6% 6.3% 1.21× 13.08
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 1.5 in 1st half 88.5% 89.6% 1.12
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 0.5 in 1st half 56.0% 62.8% 1.59
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 0.5 in 1st half 44.0% 37.2% 2.69
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 1.5 in 1st half 11.5% 10.4% 9.62
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 52.9% 51.3% 36.1% 1.42× 1.95
Lyngby Boldklub (away no bet) 47.1% 48.7% 63.9% 0.76× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold even goals 52.7% 52.7% 57.6% 0.92× 1.90
Sønderjyske Fodbold odd goals 47.3% 47.3% 42.4% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 88.8% 88.0% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 11.2% 12.0% 8.34
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 57.9% 59.8% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 42.1% 40.2% 2.49
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 50.5% 51.1% 1.96
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score 2+ in a row 35.6% 36.2% 2.76
Lyngby Boldklub to score 2+ in a row 19.3% 16.5% 6.08
Either team to score 3+ in a row 16.8% 16.4% 6.10
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score 3+ in a row 12.5% 12.0% 8.34
Lyngby Boldklub to score 3+ in a row 4.5% 2.7% 37.38
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub corners (+3.5) 96.6% 94.0% 1.06
Lyngby Boldklub corners (+2.5) 93.8% 88.7% 1.13
Lyngby Boldklub corners (+1.5) 89.5% 84.2% 1.19
Lyngby Boldklub corners (-1.5) 65.2% 66.8% 1.50
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (+3.5) 56.6% 56.8% 1.76
Lyngby Boldklub corners (-2.5) 54.4% 52.3% 1.91
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (+2.5) 45.6% 47.7% 2.10
Lyngby Boldklub corners (-3.5) 43.4% 43.2% 2.31
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (+1.5) 34.8% 33.2% 3.01
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (-1.5) 10.5% 15.8% 6.32
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (-2.5) 6.2% 11.3% 8.82
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (-3.5) 3.4% 6.0% 16.60
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 36.2% 35.1% 2.85
0-8 corners 32.2% 32.0% 3.13
9-11 corners 31.6% 32.0% 3.13
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 77.7% 76.6% 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 72.7% 72.5% 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 67.8% 67.9% 1.47
Under 11.5 corners 63.8% 62.7% 1.60
Over 9.5 corners 57.1% 57.8% 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 53.7% 52.2% 1.91
Over 10.5 corners 46.3% 47.8% 2.09
Under 9.5 corners 42.9% 42.2% 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 36.2% 37.3% 2.68
Under 8.5 corners 32.2% 32.1% 3.12
Over 12.5 corners 27.3% 27.5% 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 22.3% 23.4% 4.28
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.3% 11.5% 11.0% 1.04× 8.73
0-1 11.8% 11.5% 4.1% 2.77× 8.73
0-0 9.5% 7.4% 6.1% 1.23× 13.46
0-2 9.1% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.46
1-2 9.1% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.46
1-0 7.8% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.46
2-1 6.2% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.46
0-3 4.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.57
0-4 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.58
1-3 4.4% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.57
1-4 1.6% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.58
2-0 4.3% 1.7% 6.3% 0.27× 58.57
2-2 4.5% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.57
2-3 2.2% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.58
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.59
3-0 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.58
3-1 2.1% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.58
3-2 1.5% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.58
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.59
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 6.20× 58.59
4-0 0.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.59
4-1 0.5% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.59
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 2.2% 0.77× 58.59
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.59
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.20× 58.59
Any other score 2.0% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.58
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold leading at HT (DNB) 59.6% 57.9% 1.73
Lyngby Boldklub leading at HT (DNB) 40.4% 42.1% 2.37
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold or draw (X2) 75.0% 72.1% 55.1% 1.31× 1.39
Lyngby Boldklub or Sønderjyske Fodbold (12) 71.9% 72.1% 74.7% 0.97× 1.39
Lyngby Boldklub or draw (1X) 53.1% 52.5% 70.0% 0.75× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold or draw at HT 78.4% 80.1% 1.25
Lyngby Boldklub or draw at HT 68.1% 66.1% 1.51
Lyngby Boldklub or Sønderjyske Fodbold at HT 53.6% 47.6% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold or draw (1UP) 75.0% 80.1% 1.25
Lyngby Boldklub or draw (1UP) 53.1% 58.8% 1.70
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold or draw in 2nd half 77.8% 77.0% 1.30
Lyngby Boldklub or Sønderjyske Fodbold in 2nd half 62.4% 63.9% 1.57
Lyngby Boldklub or draw in 2nd half 59.7% 58.9% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 65.7% 69.7% 1.44
Neither half drawn 34.3% 30.3% 3.30
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (DNB) 65.2% 67.1% 40.1% 1.67× 1.49
Lyngby Boldklub (DNB) 34.8% 32.9% 59.9% 0.55× 3.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score first 53.8% 54.3% 1.84
Lyngby Boldklub to score first 36.8% 32.5% 3.08
No goal scored 9.5% 7.5% 13.40
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 51.0% 51.4% 39.7% 1.30× 1.94
Both teams to score 49.0% 48.6% 60.3% 0.80× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 42.5% 41.5% 30.6% 1.36× 2.41
Both score & over 2.5 35.7% 38.5% 49.6% 0.78× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.3% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.5% 8.4% 9.4% 0.89× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 88.9% 85.7% 80.4% 1.07× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.1% 14.3% 19.6% 0.73× 6.99
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.6% 74.6% 1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half 25.4% 25.4% 3.94
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 63.0% 66.7% 1.50
Both score 2nd half only 21.5% 21.1% 4.74
Both score 1st half only 11.6% 10.5% 9.55
Both score in both halves 3.8% 5.0% 20.14
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.6% 82.9% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 15.4% 17.1% 5.86
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 51.2% 53.3% 1.88
A goal in each half 48.8% 46.7% 2.14
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.9% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
0-1 goals 29.1% 26.4% 19.3% 1.37× 3.78
4-6 goals 21.8% 22.8% 36.4% 0.63× 4.38
7+ goals 1.3% 1.8% 1.9% 0.94× 55.31
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score exactly 1 34.0% 33.9% 31.7% 1.07× 2.95
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score exactly 2 24.7% 22.4% 26.4% 0.85× 4.47
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score exactly 0 23.4% 22.4% 26.4% 0.85× 4.47
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score 3+ 17.9% 19.5% 16.0% 1.22× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub to score exactly 0 37.1% 35.6% 19.3% 1.85× 2.81
Lyngby Boldklub to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.6% 33.6% 1.06× 2.81
Lyngby Boldklub to score exactly 2 18.2% 18.9% 25.9% 0.73× 5.30
Lyngby Boldklub to score 3+ 7.9% 10.3% 21.8% 0.47× 9.70
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.4% 52.4% 1.91
Sønderjyske Fodbold leading at HT 31.9% 33.9% 2.95
Lyngby Boldklub leading at HT 21.6% 19.9% 5.02
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold -1: 1 53.1% 52.1% 1.92
Sønderjyske Fodbold -1: 2 23.6% 23.6% 4.24
Sønderjyske Fodbold -1: X 23.3% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (0:1) 75.0% 71.1% 55.1% 1.29× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 15.7% 17.8% 24.0% 0.74× 5.63
Lyngby Boldklub (0:1) 9.3% 9.3% 21.2% 0.44× 10.78
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (0:2) 90.7% 90.7% 78.8% 1.15× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 6.7% 7.7% 13.2% 0.58× 12.98
Lyngby Boldklub (0:2) 2.6% 3.8% 8.3% 0.46× 26.54
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (0:3) 97.4% 96.6% 91.7% 1.05× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.0% 2.4% 3.6% 0.66× 42.05
Lyngby Boldklub (0:3) 0.6% 2.4% 5.0% 0.48× 42.12
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (0:4) 99.4% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.42
Lyngby Boldklub (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.46
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub (1:0) 53.1% 54.1% 70.0% 0.77× 1.85
Sønderjyske Fodbold (1:0) 23.6% 21.7% 15.7% 1.38× 4.60
Draw (1:0) 23.3% 21.7% 14.6% 1.49× 4.60
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub (2:0) 76.4% 80.3% 84.3% 0.95× 1.25
Draw (2:0) 14.4% 10.4% 8.3% 1.26× 9.60
Sønderjyske Fodbold (2:0) 9.2% 6.5% 7.7% 0.84× 15.47
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.3% 48.2% 2.08
Halves equal 27.8% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 25.9% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub to concede 76.6% 75.8% 73.6% 1.03× 1.32
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet 23.4% 24.2% 26.4% 0.91× 4.14
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet in 1st half 56.0% 62.8% 1.59
Lyngby Boldklub to concede in 1st half 44.0% 37.2% 2.69
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub over 2.5 corners 93.7% 88.3% 1.13
Lyngby Boldklub over 3.5 corners 86.1% 85.2% 1.17
Lyngby Boldklub over 4.5 corners 75.3% 76.1% 1.31
Lyngby Boldklub over 5.5 corners 62.4% 62.0% 1.61
Lyngby Boldklub under 6.5 corners 50.9% 53.0% 1.89
Lyngby Boldklub over 6.5 corners 49.1% 47.0% 2.13
Lyngby Boldklub under 5.5 corners 37.6% 38.0% 2.63
Lyngby Boldklub under 4.5 corners 24.7% 23.9% 4.19
Lyngby Boldklub under 3.5 corners 13.9% 14.8% 6.75
Lyngby Boldklub under 2.5 corners 6.3% 11.7% 8.56
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub under 3.5 goals 98.2% 96.4% 91.2% 1.06× 1.04
Lyngby Boldklub under 2.5 goals 92.1% 92.2% 78.2% 1.18× 1.08
Lyngby Boldklub under 1.5 goals 73.9% 74.2% 52.6% 1.41× 1.35
Lyngby Boldklub over 0.5 goals 62.9% 63.4% 80.7% 0.79× 1.58
Lyngby Boldklub under 0.5 goals 37.1% 36.6% 19.3% 1.90× 2.73
Lyngby Boldklub over 1.5 goals 26.1% 25.8% 47.4% 0.54× 3.88
Lyngby Boldklub over 2.5 goals 7.9% 7.8% 21.8% 0.36× 12.88
Lyngby Boldklub over 3.5 goals 1.9% 3.6% 8.8% 0.41× 27.48
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub under 1.5 in 1st half 93.1% 95.6% 1.05
Lyngby Boldklub under 0.5 in 1st half 65.3% 68.5% 1.46
Lyngby Boldklub over 0.5 in 1st half 34.7% 31.5% 3.18
Lyngby Boldklub over 1.5 in 1st half 6.9% 4.4% 22.53
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (home no bet) 62.5% 60.2% 54.2% 1.11× 1.66
Draw (home no bet) 37.5% 39.8% 45.8% 0.87× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub even goals 56.9% 55.5% 50.4% 1.10× 1.80
Lyngby Boldklub odd goals 43.1% 44.5% 49.6% 0.90× 2.25
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 36.7% 38.4% 2.60
HT 0-1 21.1% 24.2% 4.13
HT 1-0 15.4% 18.8% 5.31
HT 1-1 9.2% 7.1% 14.07
HT 0-2 6.2% 7.1% 14.12
HT 2-0 3.3% 2.2% 44.68
Any other HT score 3.0% 2.2% 44.70
HT 1-2 2.6% 2.2% 44.73
HT 2-1 1.9% 2.2% 44.79
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.2% 44.90
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold at HT / Sønderjyske Fodbold at FT 26.0% 26.6% 3.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.3% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Sønderjyske Fodbold at FT 18.2% 16.8% 5.95
Lyngby Boldklub at HT / Lyngby Boldklub at FT 13.8% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Lyngby Boldklub at FT 9.9% 6.1% 16.50
Lyngby Boldklub at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% 16.64
Sønderjyske Fodbold at HT / Draw at FT 4.6% 3.4% 29.10
Lyngby Boldklub at HT / Sønderjyske Fodbold at FT 2.7% 3.4% 29.18
Sønderjyske Fodbold at HT / Lyngby Boldklub at FT 1.4% 3.4% 29.23
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score last 53.8% 52.0% 1.93
Lyngby Boldklub to score last 36.7% 38.2% 2.62
No goal scored 9.5% 7.5% 13.40
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 90.5% 92.6% 1.08
Sønderjyske Fodbold to lead by 1 at any time 60.9% 61.4% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 42.5% 39.0% 2.56
Lyngby Boldklub to lead by 1 at any time 41.5% 39.0% 2.56
Sønderjyske Fodbold to lead by 2 at any time 29.1% 25.2% 3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 14.4% 10.5% 9.52
Lyngby Boldklub to lead by 2 at any time 13.6% 10.5% 9.54
Sønderjyske Fodbold to lead by 3 at any time 10.9% 10.4% 9.59
Lyngby Boldklub to lead by 3 at any time 3.5% 1.6% 62.34
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub most corners 75.1% 73.8% 1.36
Sønderjyske Fodbold most corners 16.7% 20.6% 4.86
Corners level 8.2% 8.4% 11.90
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.7% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.4% 83.5% 73.8% 1.13× 1.20
2-6 goals 69.6% 69.0% 79.1% 0.87× 1.45
1-3 goals 67.5% 69.0% 56.2% 1.23× 1.45
2-5 goals 67.1% 69.0% 72.2% 0.96× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.8% 63.5% 60.6% 1.05× 1.58
2-3 goals 47.9% 48.7% 43.0% 1.13× 2.06
1-2 goals 46.4% 48.7% 35.5% 1.37× 2.06
3-6 goals 42.9% 43.6% 57.0% 0.76× 2.29
3-5 goals 40.3% 43.6% 50.1% 0.87× 2.29
3-4 goals 34.0% 35.4% 38.6% 0.92× 2.83
4-6 goals 21.8% 24.4% 36.4% 0.67× 4.09
4-5 goals 19.2% 18.6% 29.5% 0.63× 5.37
5-6 goals 8.9% 8.7% 18.7% 0.47× 11.43
7+ goals 1.3% 2.5% 1.9% 1.31× 39.52
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold never behind 49.0% 57.2% 1.75
Lyngby Boldklub never behind 29.6% 30.1% 3.32
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.0% 50.8% 47.1% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.0% 49.2% 52.9% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.9% 57.9% 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 43.1% 42.1% 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.4% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.6% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.2% 95.5% 91.2% 1.05× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 90.5% 92.3% 93.9% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 89.9% 87.7% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 77.0% 77.4% 62.0% 1.25× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 70.9% 72.5% 80.7% 0.90× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 55.9% 58.8% 41.3% 1.42× 1.70
Over 2.5 goals 44.1% 41.2% 58.7% 0.70× 2.43
Under 1.5 goals 29.1% 27.5% 19.3% 1.42× 3.64
Over 3.5 goals 23.0% 22.6% 38.0% 0.60× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 10.1% 12.3% 20.4% 0.60× 8.12
Under 0.5 goals 9.5% 7.7% 6.1% 1.28× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 3.8% 4.5% 8.8% 0.51× 22.19
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.7% 97.3% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.9% 97.2% 90.0% 1.08× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 88.4% 86.7% 75.3% 1.15× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 70.8% 72.6% 52.1% 1.39× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 60.3% 62.1% 75.3% 0.83× 1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 39.7% 37.9% 24.7% 1.53× 2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 29.2% 27.4% 47.9% 0.57× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 11.6% 13.3% 24.7% 0.54× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.1% 2.8% 10.0% 0.28× 36.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.3% 2.7% 2.1% 1.33× 36.41
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.8% 92.8% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 73.2% 71.1% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 63.3% 63.7% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 36.7% 36.3% 2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half 26.8% 28.9% 3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.2% 7.2% 13.90
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 82.5% 82.9% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.9% 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 57.7% 54.9% 1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 42.3% 45.1% 2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.1% 20.1% 4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 17.5% 17.1% 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub not to score in both halves 85.0% 85.7% 1.17
Sønderjyske Fodbold not to score in both halves 74.4% 74.4% 1.35
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score in both halves 25.6% 25.6% 3.90
Lyngby Boldklub to score in both halves 15.0% 14.3% 7.00
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.0% 50.4% 60.3% 0.84× 1.99
Only Sønderjyske Fodbold scores 27.6% 26.2% 13.5% 1.94× 3.82
Only Lyngby Boldklub scores 13.9% 11.0% 20.7% 0.53× 9.13
Neither team scores 9.5% 7.2% 6.1% 1.19× 13.92
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.7% 25.0% 22.3% 1.12× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 21.1% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 19.6% 17.5% 13.5% 1.29× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 12.9% 12.1% 17.9% 0.67× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 9.5% 7.6% 6.1% 1.26× 13.13
Exactly 5 goals 6.3% 7.6% 11.8% 0.64× 13.14
6 or more goals 3.8% 4.4% 8.8% 0.50× 22.61
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 42.3% 44.3% 2.26
1 goal in 2nd half 33.6% 33.9% 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 24.1% 23.5% 4.25
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub not to win both halves 95.1% 97.1% 1.03
Sønderjyske Fodbold not to win both halves 87.0% 88.0% 1.14
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win both halves 13.0% 12.0% 8.36
Lyngby Boldklub to win both halves 4.9% 2.9% 34.69
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub to win neither half 61.1% 65.3% 1.53
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win either half 59.2% 59.5% 1.68
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win neither half 40.8% 40.5% 2.47
Lyngby Boldklub to win either half 38.9% 34.7% 2.88
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub not to win to nil 86.1% 88.2% 79.3% 1.11× 1.13
Sønderjyske Fodbold not to win to nil 72.4% 75.3% 86.5% 0.87× 1.33
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win to nil 27.6% 24.7% 13.5% 1.83× 4.04
Lyngby Boldklub to win to nil 13.9% 11.8% 20.7% 0.57× 8.47
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.1% 27.8% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
Sønderjyske Fodbold by 1 23.3% 24.1% 14.6% 1.65× 4.14
Lyngby Boldklub by 1 15.7% 16.9% 24.0% 0.71× 5.90
Sønderjyske Fodbold by 2 14.4% 11.8% 8.3% 1.43× 8.46
Sønderjyske Fodbold by 3+ 9.2% 7.2% 7.7% 0.94× 13.80
Lyngby Boldklub by 2 6.7% 7.2% 13.2% 0.55× 13.81
Lyngby Boldklub by 3+ 2.6% 2.7% 8.3% 0.33× 36.99
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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