Minnesota United FC v FC Dallas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 10 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Minnesota United FC

20:30

FC Dallas

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 89h before kick-off

Minnesota United FC win

49.8%

model 47.1%

Draw

21.9%

model 23.3%

FC Dallas win

28.2%

model 29.6%

502228

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
2-1 9.2%
1-2 7.1%
2-2 6.7%
1-0 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.6%	Under 2.5	35.4%
BTTS yes	65.3%	BTTS no	34.7%
Minnesota United FC 1+	84.6%	Minnesota United FC 2+	55.9%
FC Dallas 1+	76.7%	FC Dallas 2+	42.7%

Expected goals 1.87 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 69%

73.6% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 2591 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Minnesota United FC.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Minnesota United FC have an estimated 49.8% win probability, against 28.2% for FC Dallas and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.87 for Minnesota United FC and 1.46 for FC Dallas.

Why Minnesota United FC

Nothing in the data singles out Minnesota United FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why FC Dallas can win

FC Dallas carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1513.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Minnesota United FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Dallas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Minnesota United FC: 43% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Dallas: 41% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Minnesota United FC are the model's most likely outcome at 49.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472330	1.87–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442432	1.81–1.52	1-1 10%	65%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to win	44.5%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32
FC Dallas to win	32.0%	30.4%	29.9%	1.02×	3.29
Draw	23.5%	24.4%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC & both teams score	26.5%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
FC Dallas & both teams score	19.7%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Minnesota United FC & not both score	18.0%	17.9%	21.1%	0.85×	5.58
FC Dallas & not both score	12.3%	13.2%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC & over 1.5	38.4%	34.9%	37.1%	0.94×	2.86
Minnesota United FC & over 2.5	32.5%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
FC Dallas & over 1.5	27.0%	26.0%	23.5%	1.11×	3.84
Minnesota United FC & under 3.5	24.5%	21.6%	28.3%	0.76×	4.62
FC Dallas & over 2.5	22.9%	21.6%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Minnesota United FC & over 3.5	20.0%	21.6%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
FC Dallas & under 3.5	18.7%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.3%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
FC Dallas & over 3.5	13.3%	12.9%	11.2%	1.15×	7.78
Minnesota United FC & under 2.5	12.0%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
FC Dallas & under 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.69
Minnesota United FC & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.69
FC Dallas & under 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (1UP)	62.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
FC Dallas (1UP)	52.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (2UP)	44.5%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
FC Dallas (2UP)	32.0%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to win 2nd half	37.5%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	31.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
FC Dallas to win 2nd half	30.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (+2.5)	89.2%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
FC Dallas (+1.5)	75.7%	78.5%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
Minnesota United FC (+0.5)	68.0%	68.7%	70.1%	0.98×	1.46
FC Dallas (+0.5)	55.5%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.75
Minnesota United FC (-0.5)	44.5%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
FC Dallas (-0.5)	32.0%	31.3%	29.9%	1.05×	3.20
Minnesota United FC (-1.5)	24.3%	21.5%	23.3%	0.93×	4.64
Minnesota United FC (-2.5)	10.8%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to concede	83.7%	81.3%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
FC Dallas clean sheet	16.3%	18.7%	18.0%	1.04×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas clean sheet in 1st half	45.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Dallas to concede in 1st half	54.2%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas under 6.5 corners	87.4%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
FC Dallas under 5.5 corners	78.9%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
FC Dallas over 2.5 corners	67.4%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
FC Dallas under 4.5 corners	66.6%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
FC Dallas under 3.5 corners	50.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Dallas over 3.5 corners	49.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Dallas over 4.5 corners	33.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
FC Dallas under 2.5 corners	32.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
FC Dallas over 5.5 corners	21.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
FC Dallas over 6.5 corners	12.6%	15.1%	—	—	6.63

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas under 3.5 goals	93.3%	92.4%	93.9%	0.98×	1.08
FC Dallas under 2.5 goals	80.5%	81.5%	83.3%	0.98×	1.23
FC Dallas over 0.5 goals	78.0%	76.2%	73.2%	1.04×	1.31
FC Dallas under 1.5 goals	55.3%	59.6%	61.3%	0.97×	1.68
FC Dallas over 1.5 goals	44.7%	40.4%	38.7%	1.04×	2.48
FC Dallas under 0.5 goals	22.0%	23.8%	26.8%	0.89×	4.21
FC Dallas over 2.5 goals	19.5%	18.5%	16.7%	1.11×	5.39
FC Dallas over 3.5 goals	6.7%	7.6%	6.1%	1.26×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas under 1.5 in 1st half	87.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Dallas under 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
FC Dallas over 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
FC Dallas over 1.5 in 1st half	12.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (away no bet)	65.4%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.6%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas even goals	52.4%	52.7%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
FC Dallas odd goals	47.6%	47.3%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.7%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.3%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.9%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Minnesota United FC to score 2+ in a row	43.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Dallas to score 2+ in a row	33.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Minnesota United FC to score 3+ in a row	16.8%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
FC Dallas to score 3+ in a row	10.5%	11.9%	—	—	8.38

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC corners (+3.5)	94.9%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Minnesota United FC corners (+2.5)	91.6%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Minnesota United FC corners (+1.5)	86.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Minnesota United FC corners (-1.5)	63.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Dallas corners (+3.5)	56.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Minnesota United FC corners (-2.5)	53.1%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
FC Dallas corners (+2.5)	46.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Minnesota United FC corners (-3.5)	43.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
FC Dallas corners (+1.5)	37.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Dallas corners (-1.5)	13.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
FC Dallas corners (-2.5)	8.4%	11.4%	—	—	8.81
FC Dallas corners (-3.5)	5.1%	11.3%	—	—	8.83

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.0%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
0-8 corners	33.6%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	28.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	70.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.4%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	62.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 9.5 corners	56.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.9%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 10.5 corners	47.1%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 9.5 corners	43.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	33.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	29.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.3%	11.4%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
1-2	7.5%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.46
2-2	6.8%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.46
0-1	5.0%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.46
1-0	6.1%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.46
2-0	5.9%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.46
3-1	5.4%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.46
Any other score	5.6%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.46
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.57
0-2	4.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.57
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.58
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.57
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.58
2-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.57
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.57
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.57
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.58
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.59
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.58
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.58
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC leading at HT (DNB)	58.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
FC Dallas leading at HT (DNB)	41.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC or FC Dallas (12)	76.5%	75.6%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Minnesota United FC or draw (1X)	68.0%	69.6%	70.1%	0.99×	1.44
FC Dallas or draw (X2)	55.5%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC or draw at HT	74.5%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
FC Dallas or draw at HT	64.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Minnesota United FC or FC Dallas at HT	61.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC or draw (1UP)	68.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Dallas or draw (1UP)	55.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC or draw in 2nd half	69.1%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Minnesota United FC or FC Dallas in 2nd half	68.4%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
FC Dallas or draw in 2nd half	62.5%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.4%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	42.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (DNB)	58.2%	58.2%	60.3%	0.97×	1.72
FC Dallas (DNB)	41.8%	41.8%	39.7%	1.05×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to score first	52.3%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
FC Dallas to score first	43.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.93

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.7%	58.1%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
Not both teams to score	34.3%	41.9%	38.9%	1.08×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.5%	47.2%	50.9%	0.93×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	25.1%	33.6%	29.9%	1.12×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.8%	80.0%	79.5%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	24.2%	20.0%	20.5%	0.98×	5.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.2%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	29.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score in both halves	9.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.3%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.7%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.5%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	35.5%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.3%	42.1%	42.5%	0.99×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.3%	35.0%	33.1%	1.06×	2.86
0-1 goals	15.1%	20.2%	20.5%	0.99×	4.95
7+ goals	5.3%	7.6%	4.1%	1.84×	13.20

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to score exactly 1	33.3%	33.9%	34.6%	0.98×	2.95
FC Dallas to score exactly 2	25.2%	27.4%	22.1%	1.24×	3.65
FC Dallas to score exactly 0	22.0%	22.4%	26.8%	0.84×	4.47
FC Dallas to score 3+	19.5%	19.6%	16.7%	1.17×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 1	29.6%	26.5%	31.0%	0.85×	3.77
Minnesota United FC to score 3+	27.3%	26.5%	25.2%	1.05×	3.77
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 2	26.8%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 0	16.3%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Minnesota United FC leading at HT	36.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
FC Dallas leading at HT	25.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC -1: 2	55.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Minnesota United FC -1: 1	24.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Minnesota United FC -1: X	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (0:1)	55.5%	55.8%	54.6%	1.02×	1.79
Minnesota United FC (0:1)	24.3%	24.3%	23.3%	1.05×	4.11
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (0:2)	75.7%	79.4%	76.7%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.5%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.08
Minnesota United FC (0:2)	10.8%	11.0%	10.5%	1.04×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (0:3)	89.2%	90.8%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.8%	5.8%	6.6%	0.87×	17.24
Minnesota United FC (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	41.96

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (0:4)	96.0%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.15
Minnesota United FC (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.33

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (1:0)	68.0%	69.9%	70.1%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	16.8%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
FC Dallas (1:0)	15.2%	17.0%	13.2%	1.29×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (2:0)	84.8%	84.6%	86.8%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	9.4%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.46
FC Dallas (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	4.6%	1.41×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.2%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to concede	78.0%	75.9%	73.2%	1.04×	1.32
Minnesota United FC clean sheet	22.0%	24.1%	26.8%	0.90×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC clean sheet in 1st half	54.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Minnesota United FC to concede in 1st half	45.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC over 2.5 corners	91.3%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Minnesota United FC over 3.5 corners	82.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Minnesota United FC over 4.5 corners	72.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Minnesota United FC over 5.5 corners	60.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Minnesota United FC under 6.5 corners	51.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Minnesota United FC over 6.5 corners	48.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Minnesota United FC under 5.5 corners	39.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Minnesota United FC under 4.5 corners	27.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Minnesota United FC under 3.5 corners	17.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
Minnesota United FC under 2.5 corners	8.7%	11.7%	—	—	8.52

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 3.5 goals	88.9%	87.2%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 goals	83.7%	82.2%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
Minnesota United FC under 2.5 goals	72.7%	74.2%	74.8%	0.99×	1.35
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 goals	54.1%	53.3%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 goals	45.9%	46.7%	48.9%	0.95×	2.14
Minnesota United FC over 2.5 goals	27.3%	25.8%	25.2%	1.02×	3.88
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 goals	16.3%	17.8%	18.0%	0.99×	5.60
Minnesota United FC over 3.5 goals	11.1%	12.8%	9.4%	1.36×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 in 1st half	81.6%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 in 1st half	45.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 in 1st half	54.2%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 in 1st half	18.4%	15.4%	—	—	6.49

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (home no bet)	57.6%	56.7%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	42.4%	43.3%	45.4%	0.95×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC even goals	51.3%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Minnesota United FC odd goals	48.7%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 0-1	15.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
HT 2-0	7.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Any other HT score	6.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
HT 0-2	4.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.58
HT 2-1	4.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.57
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.66
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.83

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	27.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
FC Dallas at HT / FC Dallas at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Dallas at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Minnesota United FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
FC Dallas at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Minnesota United FC at HT / FC Dallas at FT	2.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.17
FC Dallas at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	3.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.16

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to score last	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
FC Dallas to score last	43.7%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.93

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Minnesota United FC to lead by 1 at any time	62.9%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
FC Dallas to lead by 1 at any time	52.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Minnesota United FC to lead by 2 at any time	32.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
FC Dallas to lead by 2 at any time	22.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Minnesota United FC to lead by 3 at any time	13.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
FC Dallas to lead by 3 at any time	8.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.29

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC most corners	72.3%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
FC Dallas most corners	19.6%	20.7%	—	—	4.82
Corners level	8.1%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.9%	83.5%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.6%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.7%	72.4%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.7%	63.5%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.4%	59.2%	55.9%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.4%	53.1%	57.2%	0.93×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.6%	53.1%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.3%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.3%	39.2%	33.1%	1.18×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.4%	35.4%	34.4%	1.03×	2.83
4-5 goals	30.5%	35.4%	26.1%	1.35×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.0%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.37
7+ goals	5.3%	8.7%	4.1%	2.12×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC never behind	43.5%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
FC Dallas never behind	33.1%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.0%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.9%	82.4%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	75.7%	77.4%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.6%	61.8%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.4%	58.8%	62.9%	0.94×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	42.6%	41.2%	37.1%	1.11×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	35.4%	38.2%	40.1%	0.95×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	24.3%	22.6%	21.2%	1.07×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	15.1%	17.6%	20.5%	0.86×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	12.0%	12.3%	11.1%	1.11×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.3%	92.5%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.3%	86.7%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.1%	81.1%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.3%	72.6%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.6%	51.8%	48.1%	1.08×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.4%	48.2%	51.9%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.7%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.9%	18.9%	25.5%	0.74×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.7%	13.3%	12.4%	1.07×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.7%	7.5%	4.4%	1.70×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.7%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.9%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.6%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.3%	13.5%	—	—	7.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.5%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.2%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.5%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas not to score in both halves	72.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Minnesota United FC not to score in both halves	65.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Minnesota United FC to score in both halves	34.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
FC Dallas to score in both halves	27.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.7%	59.4%	61.1%	0.97×	1.68
Only Minnesota United FC scores	18.0%	16.1%	21.1%	0.76×	6.20
Only FC Dallas scores	12.3%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.14
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.71

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.3%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.5%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.2%	12.1%	10.2%	1.18×	8.29
6 or more goals	12.0%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	11.1%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.0%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	27.6%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
No goals in 2nd half	14.5%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas not to win both halves	92.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Minnesota United FC not to win both halves	86.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Minnesota United FC to win both halves	13.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
FC Dallas to win both halves	7.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.53

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to win either half	59.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
FC Dallas to win neither half	51.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
FC Dallas to win either half	48.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Minnesota United FC to win neither half	40.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas not to win to nil	87.7%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Minnesota United FC not to win to nil	82.0%	83.0%	78.9%	1.05×	1.21
Minnesota United FC to win to nil	18.0%	17.0%	21.1%	0.81×	5.87
FC Dallas to win to nil	12.3%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.5%	24.1%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Minnesota United FC by 1	20.2%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
FC Dallas by 1	16.8%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.90
Minnesota United FC by 2	13.5%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.46
Minnesota United FC by 3+	10.8%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.47
FC Dallas by 2	9.4%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.80
FC Dallas by 3+	5.8%	7.2%	4.6%	1.58×	13.81