Mjällby AIF v GAIS — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Mjällby AIF

10:30

GAIS

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 343h before kick-off

Mjällby AIF win

40.2%

model 37.5%

Draw

29.9%

model 30.5%

GAIS win

29.9%

model 32.0%

403030

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.1%
1-0 12.0%
0-0 11.7%
0-1 10.7%
2-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	38.1%	Under 2.5	61.9%
BTTS yes	45.5%	BTTS no	54.5%
Mjällby AIF 1+	68.7%	Mjällby AIF 2+	32.4%
GAIS 1+	65.1%	GAIS 2+	28.3%

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 47%

61.5% fair odds 1.63

strong signal · 956 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

GAIS (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 76%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 390 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Mjällby AIF.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Mjällby AIF have an estimated 40.2% win probability, against 29.9% for GAIS and 29.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.16 for Mjällby AIF and 1.05 for GAIS.

Why Mjällby AIF

Nothing in the data singles out Mjällby AIF.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.9%. A combined 2.21 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.16 to 1.05. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why GAIS can win

They have had 20 days' rest to Mjällby AIF's 17.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Mjällby AIF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for GAIS, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Mjällby AIF: 37% possession, 6.8 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. GAIS: 53% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Mjällby AIF are the model's most likely outcome at 40.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	383032	1.16–1.05	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	403228	1.12–0.89	1-0 14%	32%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF to win	39.9%	36.5%	40.7%	0.90×	2.74
Draw	32.0%	30.4%	22.9%	1.33×	3.29
GAIS to win	28.1%	27.9%	36.6%	0.76×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF & not both score	26.9%	25.2%	23.7%	1.06×	3.97
GAIS & not both score	18.6%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.8%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Draw & not both score	14.2%	13.3%	5.3%	2.48×	7.54
Mjällby AIF & both teams score	13.0%	13.3%	17.3%	0.77×	7.54
GAIS & both teams score	9.5%	8.4%	18.1%	0.46×	11.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF & under 3.5	33.2%	30.9%	26.2%	1.18×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	28.3%	26.0%	18.1%	1.44×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.3%	26.0%	18.1%	1.44×	3.84
Mjällby AIF & over 1.5	25.6%	26.0%	34.6%	0.75×	3.84
GAIS & under 3.5	24.1%	21.6%	25.4%	0.85×	4.62
Mjällby AIF & under 2.5	22.6%	21.6%	15.5%	1.39×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Mjällby AIF & over 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	25.4%	0.71×	5.56
GAIS & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	27.7%	0.65×	5.56
GAIS & under 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	14.0%	1.29×	5.56
Mjällby AIF & under 1.5	14.3%	12.9%	6.4%	2.02×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	14.2%	12.9%	5.3%	2.41×	7.77
GAIS & over 2.5	11.5%	12.9%	22.9%	0.56×	7.77
GAIS & under 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	9.2%	1.41×	7.77
Mjällby AIF & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.70
GAIS & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	11.5%	0.42×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	5.1%	0.94×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	5.1%	0.94×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (1UP)	52.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
GAIS (1UP)	41.9%	39.0%	—	—	2.56

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (2UP)	39.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
GAIS (2UP)	28.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	43.0%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Mjällby AIF to win 2nd half	31.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
GAIS to win 2nd half	25.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
GAIS (+1.5)	83.2%	82.4%	76.3%	1.08×	1.21
Mjällby AIF (+0.5)	71.9%	73.7%	63.4%	1.16×	1.36
GAIS (+0.5)	60.1%	62.9%	59.3%	1.06×	1.59
Mjällby AIF (-0.5)	39.9%	37.1%	40.7%	0.91×	2.69
GAIS (-0.5)	28.1%	26.3%	36.6%	0.72×	3.80
Mjällby AIF (-1.5)	16.8%	17.6%	23.7%	0.74×	5.68
Mjällby AIF (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS to concede	67.2%	72.5%	76.1%	0.95×	1.38
GAIS clean sheet	32.8%	27.5%	23.9%	1.15×	3.63

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS clean sheet in 1st half	61.9%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
GAIS to concede in 1st half	38.1%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS under 6.5 corners	81.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
GAIS over 2.5 corners	77.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
GAIS under 5.5 corners	70.5%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
GAIS over 3.5 corners	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
GAIS under 4.5 corners	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
GAIS over 4.5 corners	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
GAIS under 3.5 corners	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
GAIS over 5.5 corners	29.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
GAIS under 2.5 corners	22.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
GAIS over 6.5 corners	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.6%	95.2%	1.03×	1.03
GAIS under 2.5 goals	93.9%	92.4%	81.7%	1.13×	1.08
GAIS under 1.5 goals	77.6%	76.2%	60.8%	1.25×	1.31
GAIS over 0.5 goals	58.9%	59.6%	71.2%	0.84×	1.68
GAIS under 0.5 goals	41.1%	40.4%	28.8%	1.41×	2.47
GAIS over 1.5 goals	22.4%	23.8%	39.2%	0.61×	4.21
GAIS over 2.5 goals	6.1%	7.6%	18.3%	0.42×	13.08
GAIS over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.4%	4.8%	0.51×	40.91

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS under 1.5 in 1st half	95.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
GAIS under 0.5 in 1st half	70.0%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
GAIS over 0.5 in 1st half	30.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
GAIS over 1.5 in 1st half	5.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.31

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (away no bet)	55.4%	57.5%	64.0%	0.90×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.6%	42.5%	36.0%	1.18×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS even goals	58.4%	56.9%	53.2%	1.07×	1.76
GAIS odd goals	41.6%	43.1%	46.8%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.66

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	53.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Not both halves under 1.5	46.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	40.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Mjällby AIF to score 2+ in a row	25.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
GAIS to score 2+ in a row	17.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Mjällby AIF to score 3+ in a row	7.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.77
GAIS to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.03

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF corners (+3.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
GAIS corners (+3.5)	81.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Mjällby AIF corners (+2.5)	80.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
GAIS corners (+2.5)	72.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Mjällby AIF corners (+1.5)	71.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
GAIS corners (+1.5)	62.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Mjällby AIF corners (-1.5)	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
GAIS corners (-1.5)	28.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Mjällby AIF corners (-2.5)	27.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
GAIS corners (-2.5)	19.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Mjällby AIF corners (-3.5)	18.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
GAIS corners (-3.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	24.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.5%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	66.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	66.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.3%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	33.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	33.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Over 12.5 corners	17.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	14.2%	11.5%	5.3%	2.14×	8.73
1-0	14.3%	11.5%	6.4%	1.80×	8.73
1-1	14.1%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.73
0-1	11.2%	11.4%	9.2%	1.25×	8.74
2-0	8.4%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.47
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	5.9%	1.27×	13.47
0-2	5.3%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.47
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.47
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.51
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.51
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.50
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.52
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.51
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
3-2	1.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.52
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.52
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.52
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.52
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.52
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52
Any other score	0.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF leading at HT (DNB)	59.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
GAIS leading at HT (DNB)	41.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF or draw (1X)	71.9%	72.1%	63.4%	1.14×	1.39
Mjällby AIF or GAIS (12)	68.0%	69.6%	77.1%	0.90×	1.44
GAIS or draw (X2)	60.1%	63.5%	59.3%	1.07×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF or draw at HT	80.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
GAIS or draw at HT	71.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Mjällby AIF or GAIS at HT	48.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF or draw (1UP)	71.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
GAIS or draw (1UP)	60.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF or draw in 2nd half	74.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
GAIS or draw in 2nd half	68.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Mjällby AIF or GAIS in 2nd half	57.0%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	28.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (DNB)	58.6%	58.3%	52.6%	1.11×	1.72
GAIS (DNB)	41.4%	41.7%	47.4%	0.88×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF to score first	47.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
GAIS to score first	38.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	14.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.44

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.6%	54.9%	47.3%	1.16×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.4%	45.1%	52.7%	0.86×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	53.4%	47.1%	34.4%	1.37×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	26.2%	33.6%	39.9%	0.84×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	14.1%	12.3%	13.0%	0.95×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	6.2%	8.4%	13.2%	0.63×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.1%	89.1%	84.2%	1.06×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.9%	10.9%	15.8%	0.69×	9.19

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.3%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.58

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	71.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Both score 1st half only	9.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.68
Both score in both halves	2.2%	4.8%	—	—	20.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.5%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	11.5%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
A goal in each half	39.4%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.9%	47.4%	49.1%	0.97×	2.11
0-1 goals	39.7%	35.1%	20.4%	1.72×	2.85
4-6 goals	13.9%	17.0%	26.2%	0.65×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	4.8%	0.37×	55.21

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS to score exactly 0	41.1%	37.0%	28.8%	1.29×	2.70
GAIS to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	32.3%	1.11×	2.78
GAIS to score exactly 2	16.3%	19.5%	21.1%	0.93×	5.12
GAIS to score 3+	6.1%	8.5%	18.3%	0.46×	11.83

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.6%	32.8%	1.08×	2.81
Mjällby AIF to score exactly 0	32.8%	32.7%	23.9%	1.37×	3.06
Mjällby AIF to score exactly 2	20.4%	23.3%	22.1%	1.05×	4.30
Mjällby AIF to score 3+	10.3%	14.3%	21.6%	0.66×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	51.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Mjällby AIF leading at HT	28.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
GAIS leading at HT	19.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF -1: 2	60.1%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Mjällby AIF -1: X	23.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Mjällby AIF -1: 1	16.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS (0:1)	60.1%	61.3%	59.3%	1.03×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	23.1%	24.3%	17.3%	1.40×	4.12
Mjällby AIF (0:1)	16.8%	17.8%	23.7%	0.75×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS (0:2)	83.2%	82.8%	76.3%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.5%	11.0%	12.5%	0.88×	9.11
Mjällby AIF (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	11.5%	0.67×	12.98

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	6.9%	0.35×	42.03
Mjällby AIF (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	95.2%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	3.8%	0.31×	83.49
Mjällby AIF (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.58

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (1:0)	71.9%	72.5%	63.4%	1.14×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.3%	17.0%	20.4%	0.84×	5.87
GAIS (1:0)	9.9%	6.9%	16.5%	0.42×	14.43

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF (2:0)	90.1%	93.9%	83.5%	1.13×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	7.3%	6.4%	10.4%	0.62×	15.53
GAIS (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	6.4%	0.35×	44.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Halves equal	31.3%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF to concede	58.9%	61.0%	71.2%	0.86×	1.64
Mjällby AIF clean sheet	41.1%	39.0%	28.8%	1.36×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF clean sheet in 1st half	70.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Mjällby AIF to concede in 1st half	30.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF over 2.5 corners	81.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Mjällby AIF under 6.5 corners	76.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Mjällby AIF over 3.5 corners	66.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Mjällby AIF under 5.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Mjällby AIF over 4.5 corners	50.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Mjällby AIF under 4.5 corners	49.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Mjällby AIF over 5.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Mjällby AIF under 3.5 corners	33.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Mjällby AIF over 6.5 corners	23.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Mjällby AIF under 2.5 corners	18.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF under 3.5 goals	97.3%	96.4%	90.6%	1.06×	1.04
Mjällby AIF under 2.5 goals	89.7%	87.3%	78.4%	1.11×	1.15
Mjällby AIF under 1.5 goals	69.4%	67.9%	56.5%	1.20×	1.47
Mjällby AIF over 0.5 goals	67.2%	67.9%	76.1%	0.89×	1.47
Mjällby AIF under 0.5 goals	32.8%	32.1%	23.9%	1.34×	3.11
Mjällby AIF over 1.5 goals	30.6%	32.1%	43.5%	0.74×	3.11
Mjällby AIF over 2.5 goals	10.3%	12.7%	21.6%	0.59×	7.85
Mjällby AIF over 3.5 goals	2.7%	3.6%	9.4%	0.39×	27.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF under 1.5 in 1st half	91.6%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Mjällby AIF under 0.5 in 1st half	61.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Mjällby AIF over 0.5 in 1st half	38.1%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Mjällby AIF over 1.5 in 1st half	8.4%	4.7%	—	—	21.15

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.3%	51.6%	38.5%	1.34×	1.94
GAIS (home no bet)	46.7%	48.4%	61.5%	0.79×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF even goals	55.4%	55.4%	53.9%	1.03×	1.80
Mjällby AIF odd goals	44.6%	44.6%	46.1%	0.97×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	43.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
HT 1-0	20.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	15.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
HT 2-0	5.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.69
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.86
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.94
Any other HT score	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.93
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.97
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	44.05

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Mjällby AIF at HT / Mjällby AIF at FT	22.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Mjällby AIF at FT	15.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
GAIS at HT / GAIS at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / GAIS at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Mjällby AIF at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
GAIS at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
GAIS at HT / Mjällby AIF at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Mjällby AIF at HT / GAIS at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF to score last	47.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
GAIS to score last	38.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	14.2%	10.0%	—	—	10.01

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.8%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Mjällby AIF to lead by 1 at any time	52.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
GAIS to lead by 1 at any time	41.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	33.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Mjällby AIF to lead by 2 at any time	20.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
GAIS to lead by 2 at any time	13.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.13
Mjällby AIF to lead by 3 at any time	6.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.29
GAIS to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	63.27

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF most corners	48.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
GAIS most corners	39.5%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.1%	83.5%	86.8%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.5%	78.4%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.4%	72.4%	64.1%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	59.8%	59.2%	75.1%	0.79×	1.69
2-5 goals	58.6%	59.2%	71.8%	0.82×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.0%	53.2%	63.4%	0.84×	1.88
1-2 goals	53.3%	53.2%	42.0%	1.27×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.9%	48.7%	49.1%	0.99×	2.06
3-6 goals	32.0%	35.4%	48.3%	0.73×	2.83
3-5 goals	30.8%	35.4%	45.0%	0.79×	2.83
3-4 goals	27.2%	30.2%	36.6%	0.82×	3.31
4-6 goals	13.9%	14.9%	26.2%	0.57×	6.72
4-5 goals	12.7%	14.9%	22.9%	0.65×	6.72
5-6 goals	4.9%	2.5%	12.0%	0.21×	39.29
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	4.8%	0.52×	39.50

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mjällby AIF never behind	43.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
GAIS never behind	33.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.3%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.7%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.3%	95.5%	91.9%	1.04×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	83.5%	1.11×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	85.8%	87.6%	94.7%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	85.6%	87.6%	69.2%	1.27×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	67.5%	66.2%	47.1%	1.41×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	60.3%	61.7%	79.6%	0.77×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	39.7%	38.3%	20.4%	1.88×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	32.5%	33.8%	52.9%	0.64×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	14.4%	12.4%	30.8%	0.40×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	14.2%	12.4%	5.3%	2.31×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	16.5%	0.47×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.7%	4.5%	8.1%	0.55×	22.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.3%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.3%	97.3%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.2%	92.5%	80.7%	1.15×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	82.4%	81.1%	60.5%	1.34×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.0%	55.5%	27.8%	2.00×	1.80
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.0%	44.5%	72.2%	0.62×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	17.6%	18.9%	39.5%	0.48×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.8%	7.5%	19.3%	0.39×	13.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.7%	2.8%	8.9%	0.31×	36.37
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.7%	5.0%	0.55×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.7%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.5%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	56.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	43.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.75
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.3%	7.0%	—	—	14.20

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.1%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS not to score in both halves	87.6%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Mjällby AIF not to score in both halves	82.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Mjällby AIF to score in both halves	17.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
GAIS to score in both halves	12.4%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.4%	46.6%	52.7%	0.88×	2.15
Only Mjällby AIF scores	26.9%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.83
Only GAIS scores	18.6%	16.1%	18.8%	0.85×	6.22
Neither team scores	14.2%	11.0%	5.3%	2.05×	9.13

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.8%	25.0%	27.0%	0.93×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	25.5%	24.9%	15.3%	1.63×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	18.1%	17.4%	22.4%	0.78×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	14.2%	12.1%	5.3%	2.26×	8.28
Exactly 4 goals	9.1%	7.6%	14.5%	0.53×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	3.6%	4.4%	8.7%	0.51×	22.68
6 or more goals	1.7%	4.4%	8.1%	0.54×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.8%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	32.9%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	31.3%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS not to win both halves	94.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Mjällby AIF not to win both halves	90.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Mjällby AIF to win both halves	9.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
GAIS to win both halves	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.77

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS to win neither half	59.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Mjällby AIF to win either half	51.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Mjällby AIF to win neither half	48.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
GAIS to win either half	40.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
GAIS not to win to nil	81.4%	83.0%	81.2%	1.02×	1.21
Mjällby AIF not to win to nil	73.1%	75.3%	76.3%	0.99×	1.33
Mjällby AIF to win to nil	26.9%	24.7%	23.7%	1.04×	4.05
GAIS to win to nil	18.6%	17.0%	18.8%	0.90×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.0%	27.6%	22.9%	1.21×	3.62
Mjällby AIF by 1	23.1%	24.2%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
GAIS by 1	18.3%	17.0%	20.4%	0.83×	5.90
Mjällby AIF by 2	11.5%	11.8%	12.5%	0.95×	8.47
GAIS by 2	7.3%	7.2%	10.4%	0.69×	13.80
Mjällby AIF by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	11.5%	0.63×	13.81
GAIS by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	6.4%	0.42×	37.06