Monterrey v Cruz Azul — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · MEX-Liga MX · 2627

MEX-Liga MX results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Monterrey

21:00

Cruz Azul

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 329h before kick-off

Monterrey win

28.3%

model 32.2%

Draw

27.5%

model 25.7%

Cruz Azul win

44.1%

model 42.1%

282844

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
1-2 9.0%
2-1 7.7%
0-1 6.7%
2-2 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.4%	Under 2.5	40.6%
BTTS yes	62.4%	BTTS no	37.6%
Monterrey 1+	76.0%	Monterrey 2+	41.7%
Cruz Azul 1+	80.9%	Cruz Azul 2+	49.2%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.65. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

37/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Cruz Azul (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 38%

63.2% fair odds 1.58

strong signal · 271 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Monterrey to concede

Home clean sheet · usually 71%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 244 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Cruz Azul carry the stronger rating, 1661 Elo against 1466.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Cruz Azul have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.3% for Monterrey and 27.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Monterrey and 1.65 for Cruz Azul.

Why Monterrey

Nothing in the data singles out Monterrey.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.43 to 1.65. Draws run at 24% in this competition.

Why Cruz Azul can win

Cruz Azul carry the stronger rating, 1661 Elo against 1466.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Monterrey, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cruz Azul, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Monterrey: 57% possession, 18.6 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cruz Azul: 58% possession, 20.2 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Cruz Azul are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 37/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	322642	1.43–1.65	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322642	1.39–1.64	1-1 12%	58%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul to win	42.5%	43.0%	29.3%	1.47×	2.33
Monterrey to win	31.6%	30.4%	47.1%	0.65×	3.29
Draw	25.9%	27.9%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul & both teams score	23.4%	21.9%	17.8%	1.23×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	20.1%	21.9%	17.4%	1.26×	4.57
Cruz Azul & not both score	19.1%	17.9%	11.7%	1.53×	5.58
Monterrey & both teams score	18.0%	17.9%	24.5%	0.73×	5.58
Monterrey & not both score	13.6%	13.3%	22.7%	0.58×	7.55
Draw & not both score	5.8%	8.4%	6.6%	1.27×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul & over 1.5	35.5%	34.9%	23.4%	1.49×	2.87
Cruz Azul & over 2.5	29.0%	26.0%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Monterrey & over 1.5	25.9%	26.0%	37.3%	0.70×	3.84
Cruz Azul & under 3.5	26.0%	26.0%	19.7%	1.32×	3.84
Monterrey & over 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	30.4%	0.71×	4.62
Monterrey & under 3.5	20.3%	21.6%	30.9%	0.70×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	17.4%	1.24×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	17.9%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.8%	18.0%	17.9%	1.00×	5.56
Cruz Azul & over 3.5	16.4%	18.0%	9.8%	1.84×	5.56
Cruz Azul & under 2.5	13.5%	12.9%	9.6%	1.34×	7.77
Monterrey & over 3.5	11.4%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.78
Monterrey & under 2.5	10.4%	12.9%	16.9%	0.76×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.69
Cruz Azul & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.69
Monterrey & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	9.9%	0.79×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.6%	1.20×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul (1UP)	60.3%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Monterrey (1UP)	51.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul (2UP)	42.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Monterrey (2UP)	31.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul to win 2nd half	38.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	33.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Monterrey to win 2nd half	28.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	90.9%	1.01×	1.09
Cruz Azul (+1.5)	85.3%	88.5%	77.1%	1.15×	1.13
Cruz Azul (+0.5)	68.4%	68.7%	52.9%	1.30×	1.46
Monterrey (+0.5)	57.5%	57.0%	70.7%	0.81×	1.75
Cruz Azul (-0.5)	42.5%	43.0%	29.3%	1.47×	2.33
Monterrey (-0.5)	31.6%	31.3%	47.1%	0.66×	3.20
Monterrey (-1.5)	14.7%	11.5%	22.9%	0.50×	8.68
Monterrey (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul to concede	75.1%	79.0%	81.9%	0.96×	1.27
Cruz Azul clean sheet	24.9%	21.0%	18.1%	1.16×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul clean sheet in 1st half	55.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Cruz Azul to concede in 1st half	45.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul over 2.5 corners	80.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Cruz Azul under 6.5 corners	72.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Cruz Azul over 3.5 corners	66.5%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Cruz Azul under 5.5 corners	61.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Cruz Azul over 4.5 corners	52.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Cruz Azul under 4.5 corners	47.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Cruz Azul over 5.5 corners	38.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Cruz Azul under 3.5 corners	33.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Cruz Azul over 6.5 corners	27.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Cruz Azul under 2.5 corners	19.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul under 3.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Cruz Azul over 0.5 goals	80.6%	81.5%	70.9%	1.15×	1.23
Cruz Azul under 2.5 goals	77.3%	76.2%	86.7%	0.88×	1.31
Cruz Azul under 1.5 goals	51.2%	53.7%	64.8%	0.83×	1.86
Cruz Azul over 1.5 goals	48.8%	46.3%	35.2%	1.32×	2.16
Cruz Azul over 2.5 goals	22.7%	23.8%	13.3%	1.79×	4.21
Cruz Azul under 0.5 goals	19.4%	18.5%	29.1%	0.64×	5.39
Cruz Azul over 3.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	4.1%	1.87×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul under 1.5 in 1st half	85.9%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Cruz Azul under 0.5 in 1st half	51.9%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Cruz Azul over 0.5 in 1st half	48.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Cruz Azul over 1.5 in 1st half	14.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.50

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey (away no bet)	55.0%	51.3%	66.4%	0.77×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	45.0%	48.7%	33.6%	1.45×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul even goals	51.9%	52.7%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
Cruz Azul odd goals	48.1%	47.3%	45.6%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Cruz Azul to score 2+ in a row	39.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Monterrey to score 2+ in a row	30.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Cruz Azul to score 3+ in a row	14.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Monterrey to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.79

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul corners (+3.5)	81.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Monterrey corners (+3.5)	80.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Cruz Azul corners (+2.5)	74.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Monterrey corners (+2.5)	73.2%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Cruz Azul corners (+1.5)	65.6%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Monterrey corners (+1.5)	64.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Cruz Azul corners (-1.5)	35.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Monterrey corners (-1.5)	34.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Cruz Azul corners (-2.5)	26.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Monterrey corners (-2.5)	25.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Cruz Azul corners (-3.5)	19.4%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Monterrey corners (-3.5)	18.5%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.7%	35.2%	—	—	2.85
12+ corners	33.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	28.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	71.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.7%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	61.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	58.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.4%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	48.6%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	41.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	33.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	29.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	11.5%	0.99×	8.73
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.46
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.46
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	10.7%	0.70×	13.46
0-0	5.8%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.46
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.46
1-0	5.8%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.46
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.56
2-0	4.7%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.57
0-3	3.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.57
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.92×	58.58
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.92×	58.58
2-3	3.4%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.57
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.58
3-0	2.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.58
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.57
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.58
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.58
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.92×	58.59
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.59
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.59
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.59
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.40×	58.59
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.80×	58.59
Any other score	3.9%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul leading at HT (DNB)	53.1%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Monterrey leading at HT (DNB)	46.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey or Cruz Azul (12)	74.1%	72.1%	76.2%	0.95×	1.39
Cruz Azul or draw (X2)	68.4%	69.6%	52.9%	1.32×	1.44
Monterrey or draw (1X)	57.5%	57.0%	70.7%	0.81×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul or draw at HT	72.4%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Monterrey or draw at HT	68.8%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Monterrey or Cruz Azul at HT	58.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul or draw (1UP)	68.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Monterrey or draw (1UP)	57.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul or draw in 2nd half	72.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Monterrey or Cruz Azul in 2nd half	66.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Monterrey or draw in 2nd half	61.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.9%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul (DNB)	57.3%	58.2%	38.4%	1.52×	1.72
Monterrey (DNB)	42.7%	41.8%	61.6%	0.68×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul to score first	51.0%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
Monterrey to score first	43.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	5.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.5%	56.5%	59.3%	0.95×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.5%	43.5%	40.7%	1.07×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.5%	44.2%	48.0%	0.92×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	29.7%	33.6%	32.7%	1.03×	2.97
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.3%	11.5%	1.07×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	8.2%	1.02×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.3%	83.1%	82.6%	1.01×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	19.7%	16.9%	17.4%	0.97×	5.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.0%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Both score 2nd half only	27.2%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Both score 1st half only	14.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
Both score in both halves	7.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.92

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.2%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	21.8%	18.3%	—	—	5.47

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.4%	46.2%	1.03×	2.11
4-6 goals	32.4%	30.7%	29.1%	1.05×	3.26
0-1 goals	18.5%	20.2%	22.2%	0.91×	4.94
7+ goals	3.5%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	55.07

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul to score exactly 1	31.8%	33.9%	35.9%	0.94×	2.95
Cruz Azul to score exactly 2	26.1%	27.4%	22.0%	1.24×	3.65
Cruz Azul to score 3+	22.7%	22.4%	13.3%	1.68×	4.47
Cruz Azul to score exactly 0	19.4%	19.6%	29.1%	0.67×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey to score exactly 1	34.6%	32.7%	33.4%	0.98×	3.06
Monterrey to score exactly 0	24.9%	23.3%	18.1%	1.28×	4.30
Monterrey to score exactly 2	24.1%	23.3%	26.6%	0.87×	4.30
Monterrey to score 3+	16.4%	18.9%	22.2%	0.85×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Cruz Azul leading at HT	31.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Monterrey leading at HT	27.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul -1: 1	57.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Cruz Azul -1: 2	22.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Cruz Azul -1: X	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul (0:1)	68.4%	65.5%	52.9%	1.24×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.0%	17.8%	24.3%	0.73×	5.62
Monterrey (0:1)	14.7%	13.9%	22.9%	0.61×	7.21

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul (0:2)	85.3%	86.9%	77.1%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.4%	7.7%	14.0%	0.55×	12.96
Monterrey (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	13.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	6.0%	0.39×	41.97
Monterrey (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	3.2%	0.74×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul (0:4)	98.5%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	1.8%	0.68×	83.34
Monterrey (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	83.43

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey (1:0)	57.5%	58.1%	70.7%	0.82×	1.72
Cruz Azul (1:0)	22.3%	21.7%	10.5%	2.07×	4.60
Draw (1:0)	20.2%	21.7%	19.0%	1.14×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey (2:0)	77.7%	80.4%	89.5%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.1%	10.4%	7.3%	1.43×	9.61
Cruz Azul (2:0)	9.3%	6.5%	3.4%	1.92×	15.47

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey to concede	80.6%	80.7%	70.9%	1.14×	1.24
Monterrey clean sheet	19.4%	19.3%	29.1%	0.66×	5.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey clean sheet in 1st half	51.9%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Monterrey to concede in 1st half	48.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey over 2.5 corners	79.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Monterrey under 6.5 corners	73.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Monterrey over 3.5 corners	65.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Monterrey under 5.5 corners	62.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Monterrey over 4.5 corners	51.2%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Monterrey under 4.5 corners	48.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Monterrey over 5.5 corners	37.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Monterrey under 3.5 corners	34.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Monterrey over 6.5 corners	26.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Monterrey under 2.5 corners	20.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Monterrey under 2.5 goals	83.6%	82.2%	77.8%	1.06×	1.22
Monterrey over 0.5 goals	75.1%	77.7%	81.9%	0.95×	1.29
Monterrey under 1.5 goals	59.5%	58.8%	51.3%	1.15×	1.70
Monterrey over 1.5 goals	40.5%	41.2%	48.7%	0.85×	2.43
Monterrey under 0.5 goals	24.9%	22.3%	18.1%	1.23×	4.48
Monterrey over 2.5 goals	16.4%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.60
Monterrey over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	7.6%	1.01×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey under 1.5 in 1st half	87.9%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Monterrey under 0.5 in 1st half	55.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Monterrey over 0.5 in 1st half	45.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Monterrey over 1.5 in 1st half	12.1%	10.0%	—	—	9.97

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul (home no bet)	62.1%	60.1%	55.2%	1.09×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	37.9%	39.9%	44.8%	0.89×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey even goals	53.1%	50.6%	49.9%	1.01×	1.97
Monterrey odd goals	46.9%	49.4%	50.1%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.7%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
HT 0-1	18.6%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 1-0	16.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 0-2	6.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.12
Any other HT score	5.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-0	5.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.65
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.68
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.85

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul at HT / Cruz Azul at FT	23.9%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Monterrey at HT / Monterrey at FT	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Cruz Azul at FT	15.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Monterrey at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Monterrey at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Cruz Azul at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Monterrey at HT / Cruz Azul at FT	3.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.15
Cruz Azul at HT / Monterrey at FT	2.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.20

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul to score last	51.0%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Monterrey to score last	43.2%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.2%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Cruz Azul to lead by 1 at any time	60.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Monterrey to lead by 1 at any time	51.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.7%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Cruz Azul to lead by 2 at any time	29.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Monterrey to lead by 2 at any time	21.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.0%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Cruz Azul to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Monterrey to lead by 3 at any time	7.2%	6.5%	—	—	15.34

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul most corners	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Monterrey most corners	44.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Corners level	10.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	86.5%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.0%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.2%	78.6%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.8%	72.4%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.5%	63.5%	60.2%	1.05×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.3%	59.2%	61.8%	0.96×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.8%	53.2%	53.3%	1.00×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.6%	48.7%	49.0%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.7%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.4%	39.2%	38.4%	1.02×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.9%	39.2%	37.7%	1.04×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.4%	35.4%	29.1%	1.21×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.2%	30.2%	24.9%	1.21×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.5%	18.6%	15.1%	1.23×	5.38
7+ goals	3.5%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	39.42

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul never behind	43.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Monterrey never behind	33.9%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.0%	50.8%	52.6%	0.97×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.0%	49.2%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.5%	82.4%	77.8%	1.06×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	81.0%	82.4%	82.2%	1.00×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	64.1%	61.8%	68.2%	0.91×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.3%	58.8%	56.0%	1.05×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	41.7%	41.2%	44.1%	0.93×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	35.9%	38.2%	31.8%	1.20×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	19.0%	17.6%	17.8%	0.99×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	18.5%	17.6%	22.2%	0.79×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	6.6%	1.17×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.3%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.3%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.2%	75.9%	79.3%	0.96×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.9%	75.9%	71.6%	1.06×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.7%	51.8%	58.1%	0.89×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.3%	48.2%	41.9%	1.15×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.1%	24.1%	28.4%	0.85×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.8%	24.1%	20.7%	1.16×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.7%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.24
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.7%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	36.34

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.8%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.3%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.2%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.8%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	22.0%	—	—	4.54
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey not to score in both halves	75.4%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Cruz Azul not to score in both halves	69.9%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Cruz Azul to score in both halves	30.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Monterrey to score in both halves	24.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.5%	60.2%	59.3%	1.01×	1.66
Only Cruz Azul scores	19.1%	16.1%	11.7%	1.38×	6.20
Only Monterrey scores	13.6%	10.9%	22.7%	0.48×	9.13
Neither team scores	5.8%	7.2%	6.6%	1.09×	13.96

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.1%	22.6%	22.0%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.0%	17.5%	14.2%	1.23×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.7%	12.1%	15.8%	0.76×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	10.3%	12.1%	10.8%	1.11×	8.29
6 or more goals	8.7%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.8%	7.6%	6.6%	1.16×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.3%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	29.4%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
No goals in 2nd half	17.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey not to win both halves	92.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Cruz Azul not to win both halves	87.8%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Cruz Azul to win both halves	12.2%	11.9%	—	—	8.39
Monterrey to win both halves	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.54

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruz Azul to win either half	57.5%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Monterrey to win neither half	52.3%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Monterrey to win either half	47.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Cruz Azul to win neither half	42.5%	40.6%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monterrey not to win to nil	86.4%	88.2%	77.3%	1.14×	1.13
Cruz Azul not to win to nil	80.9%	83.0%	88.3%	0.94×	1.21
Cruz Azul to win to nil	19.1%	17.0%	11.7%	1.45×	5.87
Monterrey to win to nil	13.6%	11.8%	22.7%	0.52×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.9%	27.8%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59
Cruz Azul by 1	20.2%	24.1%	19.0%	1.27×	4.14
Monterrey by 1	17.0%	16.9%	24.3%	0.70×	5.90
Cruz Azul by 2	13.1%	11.8%	7.3%	1.62×	8.46
Monterrey by 2	9.4%	7.2%	14.0%	0.52×	13.80
Cruz Azul by 3+	9.3%	7.2%	3.4%	2.15×	13.80
Monterrey by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	9.1%	0.80×	13.81