Ñublense v Everton — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Ñublense

11:30

Everton

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 152h before kick-off

Ñublense win

36.7%

model 35.8%

Draw

20.7%

model 22.6%

Everton win

42.6%

model 41.6%

372143

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.9%
1-0 11.9%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 8.4%
2-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.6%	Under 2.5	54.4%
BTTS yes	48.6%	BTTS no	51.4%
Ñublense 1+	69.5%	Ñublense 2+	33.3%
Everton 1+	73.0%	Everton 2+	37.7%

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.31. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Ñublense under 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 53%

69.2% fair odds 1.45

moderate signal · 809 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.0% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Everton carry the stronger rating, 1591 Elo against 1512.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
They have had 14 days' rest to Ñublense's 10.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Everton have an estimated 42.6% win probability, against 36.7% for Ñublense and 20.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.19 for Ñublense and 1.31 for Everton.

Why Ñublense

Nothing in the data singles out Ñublense.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 20.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.19 to 1.31. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Everton can win

Everton carry the stronger rating, 1591 Elo against 1512. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five. They have had 14 days' rest to Ñublense's 10.

Key players

Everton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (0.32), Thierno Barry (0.31), Iliman Ndiaye (0.29).

Availability

No lineup on record for Ñublense, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Ñublense: 51% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Everton: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.34 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Everton are the model's most likely outcome at 42.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.9%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Everton are conceding fewer than expected — 2.7 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WDLLDDLLWD last 10 scored 16 from 14.1 xG conceded 16 from 18.7 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	362342	1.19–1.31	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	382438	1.18–1.18	0-1 13%	42%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to win	38.3%	36.5%	30.1%	1.21×	2.74
Ñublense to win	38.2%	36.5%	48.9%	0.75×	2.74
Draw	23.5%	24.4%	21.3%	1.15×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton & not both score	23.6%	21.9%	16.9%	1.30×	4.57
Ñublense & not both score	23.5%	21.9%	26.7%	0.82×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	16.3%	17.9%	16.6%	1.08×	5.58
Ñublense & both teams score	14.7%	13.3%	22.5%	0.59×	7.55
Everton & both teams score	14.7%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.55
Draw & not both score	7.2%	8.4%	4.9%	1.71×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense & under 3.5	30.2%	30.9%	34.0%	0.91×	3.24
Everton & under 3.5	30.3%	30.9%	23.5%	1.31×	3.24
Ñublense & over 1.5	24.8%	21.6%	35.9%	0.60×	4.62
Everton & over 1.5	24.9%	21.6%	20.0%	1.08×	4.62
Ñublense & under 2.5	19.9%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Everton & under 2.5	20.0%	18.0%	13.7%	1.31×	5.56
Ñublense & over 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	29.1%	0.62×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Everton & over 2.5	18.3%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.56
Ñublense & under 1.5	13.4%	12.9%	13.2%	0.97×	7.78
Everton & under 1.5	13.4%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.78
Ñublense & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	15.2%	0.52×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	4.9%	1.61×	12.69
Everton & over 3.5	8.0%	7.9%	6.8%	1.15×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (1UP)	52.3%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Ñublense (1UP)	52.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (2UP)	38.3%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Ñublense (2UP)	38.2%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.1%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Everton to win 2nd half	32.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Ñublense to win 2nd half	30.3%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (+2.5)	95.1%	96.3%	89.7%	1.07×	1.04
Everton (+1.5)	85.0%	82.4%	77.0%	1.07×	1.21
Everton (+0.5)	61.8%	62.9%	51.1%	1.23×	1.59
Ñublense (+0.5)	61.7%	62.9%	69.9%	0.90×	1.59
Everton (-0.5)	38.3%	37.1%	30.1%	1.23×	2.69
Ñublense (-0.5)	38.2%	37.1%	48.9%	0.76×	2.69
Ñublense (-1.5)	15.0%	17.6%	23.0%	0.77×	5.69
Ñublense (-2.5)	4.9%	3.7%	10.3%	0.36×	26.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to concede	69.2%	72.6%	78.5%	0.92×	1.38
Everton clean sheet	30.8%	27.4%	21.5%	1.28×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton clean sheet in 1st half	60.3%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Everton to concede in 1st half	39.7%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 6.5 corners	85.5%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Everton under 5.5 corners	76.3%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Everton over 2.5 corners	70.1%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Everton under 4.5 corners	63.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Everton over 3.5 corners	52.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Everton under 3.5 corners	47.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Everton over 4.5 corners	36.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Everton under 2.5 corners	29.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Everton over 5.5 corners	23.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Everton over 6.5 corners	14.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 3.5 goals	96.8%	97.6%	97.1%	1.01×	1.03
Everton under 2.5 goals	88.4%	87.9%	88.3%	1.00×	1.14
Everton over 0.5 goals	69.3%	68.0%	68.7%	0.99×	1.47
Everton under 1.5 goals	67.0%	68.0%	68.5%	0.99×	1.47
Everton over 1.5 goals	33.0%	32.0%	31.5%	1.02×	3.12
Everton under 0.5 goals	30.7%	32.0%	31.3%	1.02×	3.12
Everton over 2.5 goals	11.6%	12.1%	11.7%	1.03×	8.26
Everton over 3.5 goals	3.2%	2.4%	2.9%	0.83×	41.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 1.5 in 1st half	91.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Everton under 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Everton over 0.5 in 1st half	37.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Everton over 1.5 in 1st half	8.2%	5.9%	—	—	16.99

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (away no bet)	61.9%	62.1%	69.7%	0.89×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	38.1%	37.9%	30.3%	1.25×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton even goals	54.7%	52.8%	53.5%	0.99×	1.90
Everton odd goals	45.3%	47.2%	46.5%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.7%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.39

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.3%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.7%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Everton to score 2+ in a row	26.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Ñublense to score 2+ in a row	26.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Everton to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.93
Ñublense to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.94

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense corners (+3.5)	89.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Ñublense corners (+2.5)	83.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Everton corners (+3.5)	76.4%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Ñublense corners (+1.5)	75.8%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Everton corners (+2.5)	67.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Everton corners (+1.5)	56.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Ñublense corners (-1.5)	43.5%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Ñublense corners (-2.5)	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Everton corners (-1.5)	24.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Ñublense corners (-3.5)	23.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Everton corners (-2.5)	16.3%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Everton corners (-3.5)	10.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.8%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
9-11 corners	28.2%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	22.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.6%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 11.5 corners	77.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	62.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 9.5 corners	59.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 8.5 corners	48.8%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 9.5 corners	40.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	37.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 10.5 corners	31.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 11.5 corners	22.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 12.5 corners	16.4%	20.1%	—	—	4.96

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	13.4%	11.5%	10.3%	1.12×	8.73
1-0	13.4%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.73
1-1	10.9%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
0-0	7.2%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.46
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.46
1-2	7.8%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.46
2-0	6.6%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.46
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.46
0-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.58
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.59
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.57
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.59
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.57
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.58
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.59
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.58
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.58
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.58
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.59
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.59
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.59
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.59
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	6.98×	58.59
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense leading at HT (DNB)	52.2%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Everton leading at HT (DNB)	47.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense or Everton (12)	76.5%	75.6%	78.7%	0.96×	1.32
Everton or draw (X2)	61.8%	63.6%	51.1%	1.24×	1.57
Ñublense or draw (1X)	61.7%	63.5%	69.9%	0.91×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense or draw at HT	74.3%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Everton or draw at HT	72.0%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Ñublense or Everton at HT	53.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton or draw (1UP)	61.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Ñublense or draw (1UP)	61.7%	71.3%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton or draw in 2nd half	69.7%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Ñublense or draw in 2nd half	67.4%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Ñublense or Everton in 2nd half	62.9%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.6%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Neither half drawn	31.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (DNB)	50.1%	50.9%	38.1%	1.34×	1.97
Ñublense (DNB)	49.9%	49.1%	61.9%	0.79×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score first	46.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Ñublense to score first	46.3%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	7.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.54

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.3%	51.5%	47.9%	1.07×	1.94
Both teams to score	45.7%	48.5%	52.1%	0.93×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.2%	44.2%	38.1%	1.16×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	34.8%	34.4%	43.0%	0.80×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	10.9%	12.3%	9.3%	1.33×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.1%	8.4%	10.0%	0.83×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.1%	85.7%	84.6%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.9%	14.3%	15.4%	0.93×	6.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	20.3%	21.0%	—	—	4.75
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Both score in both halves	3.7%	5.0%	—	—	20.17

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.4%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	45.6%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.8%	42.1%	43.3%	0.97×	2.37
0-1 goals	34.0%	30.7%	27.9%	1.10×	3.26
4-6 goals	20.2%	22.8%	26.9%	0.85×	4.39
7+ goals	1.1%	1.8%	2.4%	0.74×	55.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score exactly 1	36.3%	36.0%	37.4%	0.96×	2.78
Everton to score exactly 0	30.7%	33.9%	31.3%	1.08×	2.95
Everton to score exactly 2	21.4%	22.4%	20.0%	1.12×	4.47
Everton to score 3+	11.6%	12.8%	11.7%	1.09×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.6%	31.8%	1.12×	2.81
Ñublense to score exactly 0	30.8%	32.6%	21.5%	1.52×	3.06
Ñublense to score exactly 2	21.3%	23.3%	26.4%	0.88×	4.30
Ñublense to score 3+	11.6%	14.3%	20.8%	0.69×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Ñublense leading at HT	28.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Everton leading at HT	25.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton -1: 1	61.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Everton -1: X	23.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Everton -1: 2	15.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:1)	61.8%	61.3%	51.1%	1.20×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	23.1%	24.3%	26.2%	0.93×	4.12
Ñublense (0:1)	15.0%	17.8%	23.0%	0.77×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:2)	85.0%	82.8%	77.0%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.2%	11.0%	13.0%	0.85×	9.10
Ñublense (0:2)	4.9%	3.8%	10.3%	0.37×	26.40

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:3)	95.1%	96.6%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.6%	2.4%	5.1%	0.46×	41.98
Ñublense (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	4.2%	0.29×	83.36
Ñublense (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.5%	0.82×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (1:0)	61.7%	65.1%	69.9%	0.93×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	23.2%	21.7%	20.0%	1.08×	4.60
Everton (1:0)	15.1%	17.0%	10.3%	1.66×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (2:0)	84.9%	84.6%	89.7%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.2%	10.4%	6.4%	1.63×	9.64
Everton (2:0)	4.9%	2.3%	4.2%	0.55×	44.09

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense to concede	69.3%	66.5%	68.7%	0.97×	1.50
Ñublense clean sheet	30.7%	33.5%	31.3%	1.07×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense clean sheet in 1st half	62.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Ñublense to concede in 1st half	37.6%	35.5%	—	—	2.81

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense over 2.5 corners	80.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Ñublense under 6.5 corners	73.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Ñublense over 3.5 corners	66.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Ñublense under 5.5 corners	62.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Ñublense over 4.5 corners	51.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Ñublense under 4.5 corners	48.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Ñublense over 5.5 corners	37.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Ñublense under 3.5 corners	33.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Ñublense over 6.5 corners	26.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Ñublense under 2.5 corners	19.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense under 3.5 goals	96.8%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Ñublense under 2.5 goals	88.4%	87.2%	79.2%	1.10×	1.15
Ñublense over 0.5 goals	69.2%	67.9%	78.5%	0.87×	1.47
Ñublense under 1.5 goals	67.1%	67.9%	53.1%	1.28×	1.47
Ñublense over 1.5 goals	32.9%	32.1%	46.9%	0.68×	3.12
Ñublense under 0.5 goals	30.8%	32.1%	21.5%	1.49×	3.12
Ñublense over 2.5 goals	11.6%	12.8%	20.8%	0.61×	7.84
Ñublense over 3.5 goals	3.2%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.42

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense under 1.5 in 1st half	90.8%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Ñublense under 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Ñublense over 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Ñublense over 1.5 in 1st half	9.2%	4.6%	—	—	21.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (home no bet)	62.0%	60.1%	58.6%	1.03×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	38.0%	39.9%	41.4%	0.96×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense even goals	54.8%	50.7%	54.5%	0.93×	1.97
Ñublense odd goals	45.3%	49.3%	45.5%	1.09×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 0-1	18.1%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 1-1	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.56
HT 0-2	4.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.61
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.73
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.77
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.76
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.90

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense at HT / Ñublense at FT	21.2%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Everton at HT / Everton at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Everton at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Ñublense at FT	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Ñublense at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Everton at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
Ñublense at HT / Everton at FT	2.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.20
Everton at HT / Ñublense at FT	1.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.22

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score last	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Ñublense to score last	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
No goal scored	7.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.54

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Everton to lead by 1 at any time	52.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Ñublense to lead by 1 at any time	52.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Everton to lead by 2 at any time	20.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.12
Ñublense to lead by 2 at any time	19.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Everton to lead by 3 at any time	6.2%	6.5%	—	—	15.39
Ñublense to lead by 3 at any time	6.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.39

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense most corners	54.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Everton most corners	34.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	11.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	89.4%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	83.7%	83.5%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.5%	72.4%	66.3%	1.09×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.9%	63.5%	69.9%	0.91×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.7%	63.5%	64.3%	0.99×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.9%	59.2%	58.2%	1.02×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.9%	53.1%	42.5%	1.25×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.8%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.29
3-6 goals	40.8%	43.6%	50.6%	0.86×	2.29
3-5 goals	38.6%	39.2%	45.0%	0.87×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.8%	35.4%	38.9%	0.91×	2.83
4-6 goals	20.2%	24.4%	26.9%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	17.9%	18.6%	21.3%	0.88×	5.37
5-6 goals	8.0%	8.7%	12.0%	0.73×	11.44
7+ goals	1.1%	2.5%	2.4%	1.03×	39.53

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton never behind	40.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Ñublense never behind	40.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.0%	50.8%	45.0%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	54.0%	49.2%	55.0%	0.89×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.7%	95.5%	91.9%	1.04×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	85.8%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	78.8%	77.4%	70.9%	1.09×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	66.0%	66.3%	72.1%	0.92×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.1%	58.8%	47.2%	1.25×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	41.9%	41.2%	52.8%	0.78×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	34.0%	33.7%	27.9%	1.21×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	21.2%	22.6%	29.1%	0.78×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	14.2%	0.54×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	4.9%	1.58×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	8.1%	0.56×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.3%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.5%	97.2%	91.4%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.7%	86.7%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.2%	72.6%	61.9%	1.17×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.2%	55.5%	65.5%	0.85×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.8%	44.5%	34.5%	1.29×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.8%	27.4%	38.1%	0.72×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.3%	13.3%	16.7%	0.80×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.5%	2.8%	8.6%	0.32×	36.34
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.7%	2.6%	1.06×	36.42

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.4%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.8%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.8%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.2%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.98

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.6%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.4%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton not to score in both halves	80.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Ñublense not to score in both halves	80.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Ñublense to score in both halves	19.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
Everton to score in both halves	19.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.7%	50.3%	52.1%	0.97×	1.99
Only Ñublense scores	23.5%	22.4%	26.7%	0.84×	4.47
Only Everton scores	23.6%	22.4%	16.9%	1.33×	4.47
Neither team scores	7.2%	7.2%	4.9%	1.47×	13.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	26.8%	25.0%	23.2%	1.07×	4.01
Exactly 2 goals	24.1%	22.7%	19.6%	1.16×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	20.7%	22.6%	24.0%	0.95×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.2%	12.1%	15.2%	0.80×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	7.2%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	5.7%	7.6%	6.4%	1.20×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.3%	4.4%	8.1%	0.55×	22.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.3%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	36.2%	39.8%	—	—	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	24.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton not to win both halves	92.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Ñublense not to win both halves	91.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Ñublense to win both halves	8.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Everton to win both halves	8.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.53

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to win either half	50.2%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Ñublense to win either half	50.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Ñublense to win neither half	49.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Everton to win neither half	49.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense not to win to nil	76.5%	78.0%	73.4%	1.06×	1.28
Everton not to win to nil	76.4%	78.0%	83.1%	0.94×	1.28
Everton to win to nil	23.6%	22.0%	16.9%	1.30×	4.55
Ñublense to win to nil	23.5%	22.0%	26.7%	0.83×	4.55

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense by 1	23.1%	24.1%	26.2%	0.92×	4.14
Everton by 1	23.2%	24.1%	20.0%	1.20×	4.14
Draw	23.5%	24.1%	21.3%	1.14×	4.14
Ñublense by 2	10.2%	11.8%	13.0%	0.91×	8.47
Everton by 2	10.2%	11.8%	6.4%	1.86×	8.47
Ñublense by 3+	4.9%	2.7%	10.3%	0.26×	36.91
Everton by 3+	4.9%	2.7%	4.2%	0.65×	36.91