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Once Caldas v Deportivo Cali — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Once Caldas win
51.5%
model 52.2%
Draw
27.3%
model 27.3%
Deportivo Cali win
21.2%
model 20.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.0%
  2. 1-0 11.9%
  3. 2-0 10.3%
  4. 2-1 9.5%
  5. 0-0 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.545.9% Under 2.554.1%
BTTS yes48.9% BTTS no51.1%
Once Caldas 1+79.7% Once Caldas 2+47.3%
Deportivo Cali 1+60.0% Deportivo Cali 2+23.3%

Expected goals 1.59 – 0.92. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 68%
73.5% fair odds 1.36
moderate signal · 2591 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Deportivo Cali not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.4% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1568 Elo against 1504.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Once Caldas have an estimated 51.5% win probability, against 27.3% for the draw and 21.2% for Deportivo Cali. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for Once Caldas and 0.92 for Deportivo Cali.

Why Once Caldas

Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1568 Elo against 1504.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Cali can win

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Cali.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Once Caldas, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Cali, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Once Caldas: 55% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Cali: 51% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Once Caldas are the model's most likely outcome at 51.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.59–0.92 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.39–0.85 1-1 14% 39% 44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas to win 48.6% 47.5% 45.9% 1.03× 2.11
Draw 29.8% 27.9% 29.5% 0.95× 3.59
Deportivo Cali to win 21.6% 24.4% 24.8% 0.99× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas & not both score 31.1% 29.7% 27.1% 1.10× 3.37
Draw & both teams score 17.9% 17.9% 18.8% 0.95× 5.58
Once Caldas & both teams score 17.5% 17.9% 18.9% 0.95× 5.58
Deportivo Cali & not both score 13.0% 13.2% 13.5% 0.98× 7.55
Draw & not both score 11.8% 13.2% 10.8% 1.22× 7.55
Deportivo Cali & both teams score 8.6% 8.4% 11.4% 0.73× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas & under 3.5 37.6% 34.9% 35.7% 0.98× 2.86
Once Caldas & over 1.5 34.9% 30.9% 33.9% 0.91× 3.24
Draw & under 2.5 25.6% 26.0% 23.8% 1.09× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 25.6% 26.0% 23.8% 1.09× 3.84
Once Caldas & over 2.5 24.5% 21.6% 25.6% 0.85× 4.62
Once Caldas & under 2.5 24.0% 21.6% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 17.9% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.56
Deportivo Cali & under 3.5 18.1% 18.0% 19.9% 0.90× 5.56
Once Caldas & under 1.5 13.7% 12.9% 12.1% 1.06× 7.77
Deportivo Cali & over 1.5 13.8% 12.9% 16.4% 0.78× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 11.8% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.78
Deportivo Cali & under 2.5 11.7% 12.9% 12.1% 1.06× 7.78
Once Caldas & over 3.5 11.0% 12.9% 10.3% 1.25× 7.78
Deportivo Cali & over 2.5 10.0% 7.9% 12.8% 0.62× 12.69
Deportivo Cali & under 1.5 7.9% 7.9% 8.5% 0.93× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 4.2% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.93
Draw & over 3.5 4.2% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.93
Deportivo Cali & over 3.5 3.6% 4.8% 5.0% 0.95× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas (1UP) 61.2% 63.1% 1.59
Deportivo Cali (1UP) 36.9% 33.9% 2.95
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas (2UP) 48.6% 50.0% 2.00
Deportivo Cali (2UP) 21.6% 23.5% 4.26
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 40.1% 41.1% 2.43
Once Caldas to win 2nd half 38.7% 36.1% 2.77
Deportivo Cali to win 2nd half 21.1% 22.9% 4.37
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (+2.5) 90.8% 92.1% 91.8% 1.00× 1.09
Once Caldas (+0.5) 78.4% 78.5% 75.2% 1.04× 1.27
Deportivo Cali (+1.5) 75.7% 78.5% 79.6% 0.99× 1.28
Deportivo Cali (+0.5) 51.4% 52.3% 54.1% 0.97× 1.91
Once Caldas (-0.5) 48.6% 47.7% 45.9% 1.04× 2.10
Once Caldas (-1.5) 24.3% 21.5% 20.4% 1.05× 4.64
Deportivo Cali (-0.5) 21.6% 21.5% 24.8% 0.87× 4.65
Once Caldas (-2.5) 9.2% 7.9% 8.2% 0.96× 12.65
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to concede 75.1% 79.0% 75.8% 1.04× 1.27
Deportivo Cali clean sheet 24.9% 21.0% 24.2% 0.87× 4.75
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to concede in 1st half 45.0% 50.8% 1.97
Deportivo Cali clean sheet in 1st half 55.0% 49.2% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 6.5 corners 83.0% 81.0% 1.24
Deportivo Cali under 5.5 corners 73.4% 72.3% 1.38
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 corners 71.7% 72.3% 1.38
Deportivo Cali under 4.5 corners 60.6% 61.4% 1.63
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 corners 55.0% 56.9% 1.76
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 corners 45.0% 43.1% 2.32
Deportivo Cali over 4.5 corners 39.4% 38.6% 2.59
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 corners 28.3% 27.7% 3.61
Deportivo Cali over 5.5 corners 26.6% 27.7% 3.62
Deportivo Cali over 6.5 corners 17.0% 19.1% 5.25
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 goals 98.9% 97.6% 98.1% 1.00× 1.03
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 goals 94.6% 92.4% 92.9% 0.99× 1.08
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 goals 79.3% 76.2% 74.4% 1.02× 1.31
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 goals 57.0% 59.6% 62.2% 0.96× 1.68
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 goals 43.0% 40.4% 37.8% 1.07× 2.48
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 goals 20.7% 23.8% 25.6% 0.93× 4.21
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 goals 5.4% 7.6% 7.1% 1.08× 13.09
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 goals 1.1% 2.4% 1.9% 1.25× 41.14
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 in 1st half 95.4% 95.6% 1.05
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 in 1st half 71.3% 69.2% 1.45
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 in 1st half 28.7% 30.8% 3.25
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 in 1st half 4.6% 4.4% 22.49
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas (away no bet) 62.0% 62.1% 60.9% 1.02× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 38.0% 37.9% 39.1% 0.97× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali even goals 59.2% 57.0% 57.4% 0.99× 1.76
Deportivo Cali odd goals 40.8% 43.0% 42.6% 1.01× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.0% 92.1% 1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals 9.0% 7.9% 12.65
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 53.0% 50.7% 1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals 47.0% 49.3% 2.03
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 46.6% 46.0% 2.17
Once Caldas to score 2+ in a row 34.7% 28.6% 3.50
Deportivo Cali to score 2+ in a row 15.3% 16.4% 6.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row 15.0% 16.4% 6.12
Once Caldas to score 3+ in a row 12.1% 12.0% 8.35
Deportivo Cali to score 3+ in a row 3.1% 2.6% 38.20
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas corners (+3.5) 88.7% 84.2% 1.19
Once Caldas corners (+2.5) 82.9% 80.0% 1.25
Once Caldas corners (+1.5) 75.2% 75.5% 1.33
Deportivo Cali corners (+3.5) 74.4% 69.9% 1.43
Deportivo Cali corners (+2.5) 65.5% 66.8% 1.50
Deportivo Cali corners (+1.5) 55.3% 56.8% 1.76
Once Caldas corners (-1.5) 44.7% 43.2% 2.31
Once Caldas corners (-2.5) 34.5% 33.2% 3.01
Once Caldas corners (-3.5) 25.6% 30.1% 3.32
Deportivo Cali corners (-1.5) 24.8% 24.5% 4.08
Deportivo Cali corners (-2.5) 17.1% 20.0% 5.00
Deportivo Cali corners (-3.5) 11.3% 15.8% 6.32
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 44.4% 37.1% 2.70
9-11 corners 28.1% 31.8% 3.15
12+ corners 27.5% 31.8% 3.15
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 79.4% 76.6% 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 72.5% 72.5% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 66.1% 67.9% 1.47
Under 10.5 corners 64.1% 62.7% 1.60
Over 8.5 corners 55.6% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 54.6% 52.3% 1.91
Over 9.5 corners 45.4% 47.7% 2.09
Under 8.5 corners 44.4% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 35.9% 37.3% 2.68
Under 7.5 corners 33.9% 32.1% 3.12
Over 11.5 corners 27.5% 27.5% 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 20.6% 23.4% 4.28
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 13.7% 11.5% 12.1% 0.95× 8.73
1-1 13.7% 11.5% 13.1% 0.88× 8.73
0-0 11.8% 11.5% 10.8% 1.06× 8.73
2-0 10.3% 11.4% 8.5% 1.35× 8.73
2-1 8.7% 7.4% 11.0% 0.68× 13.46
0-1 7.9% 7.4% 8.5% 0.88× 13.46
1-2 5.3% 7.4% 7.0% 1.07× 13.46
3-0 4.8% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.56
0-2 3.8% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.57
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.53× 58.59
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.59
1-3 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.23× 58.58
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.45× 58.59
2-2 3.7% 1.7% 5.1% 0.33× 58.57
2-3 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.59
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 12.27× 58.59
3-1 4.1% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.57
3-2 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.58
3-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.05× 58.59
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.14× 58.59
4-0 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.02× 58.58
4-1 1.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.45× 58.58
4-2 0.6% 1.7% 0.7% 2.45× 58.59
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.59
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 12.27× 58.59
Any other score 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.58
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas leading at HT (DNB) 67.1% 73.4% 1.36
Deportivo Cali leading at HT (DNB) 32.9% 26.6% 3.76
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas or draw (1X) 78.4% 75.6% 75.2% 1.00× 1.32
Once Caldas or Deportivo Cali (12) 70.2% 72.1% 70.5% 1.02× 1.39
Deportivo Cali or draw (X2) 51.4% 52.5% 54.1% 0.97× 1.91
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas or draw at HT 82.9% 84.2% 1.19
Deportivo Cali or draw at HT 65.1% 66.0% 1.52
Once Caldas or Deportivo Cali at HT 52.1% 47.5% 2.11
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas or draw (1UP) 78.4% 84.0% 1.19
Deportivo Cali or draw (1UP) 51.4% 58.7% 1.71
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas or draw in 2nd half 78.9% 77.1% 1.30
Deportivo Cali or draw in 2nd half 61.3% 63.9% 1.57
Once Caldas or Deportivo Cali in 2nd half 59.9% 58.9% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 67.6% 69.9% 1.43
Neither half drawn 32.4% 30.1% 3.32
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas (DNB) 69.2% 67.2% 65.0% 1.03× 1.49
Deportivo Cali (DNB) 30.8% 32.8% 35.0% 0.94× 3.05
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas to score first 54.9% 54.3% 1.84
Deportivo Cali to score first 33.3% 27.1% 3.69
No goal scored 11.8% 10.0% 9.98
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 56.0% 54.7% 51.2% 1.07× 1.83
Both teams to score 44.0% 45.3% 48.8% 0.93× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 47.6% 44.2% 43.1% 1.03× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 30.3% 34.4% 35.9% 0.96× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 13.7% 12.3% 13.1% 0.94× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.4% 8.4% 8.2% 1.02× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 91.6% 89.1% 88.7% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 8.4% 10.9% 11.3% 0.97× 9.17
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 77.8% 75.1% 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 22.2% 24.9% 4.02
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 67.5% 62.8% 1.59
Both score 2nd half only 19.4% 15.8% 6.35
Both score 1st half only 10.3% 10.4% 9.57
Both score in both halves 2.8% 4.9% 20.37
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 86.9% 85.5% 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 13.1% 14.6% 6.87
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 55.2% 57.2% 1.75
A goal in each half 44.8% 42.8% 2.33
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.8% 47.4% 48.1% 0.99× 2.11
0-1 goals 33.4% 30.7% 31.2% 0.99× 3.26
4-6 goals 18.0% 20.2% 19.5% 1.04× 4.94
7+ goals 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.18× 55.36
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 0 43.0% 37.0% 37.8% 0.98× 2.70
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 1 36.3% 36.0% 36.7% 0.98× 2.78
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 2 15.3% 19.5% 18.6% 1.05× 5.12
Deportivo Cali to score 3+ 5.4% 8.5% 7.1% 1.19× 11.82
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas to score exactly 1 34.6% 32.7% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Once Caldas to score exactly 0 24.9% 23.3% 24.2% 0.96× 4.30
Once Caldas to score exactly 2 24.1% 23.3% 26.1% 0.89× 4.30
Once Caldas to score 3+ 16.5% 18.9% 15.6% 1.21× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 47.9% 52.5% 1.90
Once Caldas leading at HT 34.9% 34.0% 2.94
Deportivo Cali leading at HT 17.1% 15.8% 6.31
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas -1: 2 51.4% 52.0% 1.92
Once Caldas -1: 1 24.3% 23.6% 4.24
Once Caldas -1: X 24.3% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (0:1) 51.4% 51.1% 54.1% 0.95× 1.96
Once Caldas (0:1) 24.3% 24.3% 20.4% 1.19× 4.11
Draw (0:1) 24.3% 24.3% 25.6% 0.95× 4.11
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (0:2) 75.7% 79.4% 79.6% 1.00× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 15.0% 15.3% 12.4% 1.24× 6.54
Once Caldas (0:2) 9.2% 7.7% 8.2% 0.94× 12.96
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (0:3) 90.8% 92.6% 91.8% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 6.4% 5.8% 5.4% 1.07× 17.25
Once Caldas (0:3) 2.8% 2.4% 2.9% 0.81× 42.01
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (0:4) 97.2% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.1% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.23
Once Caldas (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.08× 83.39
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas (1:0) 78.4% 78.5% 75.2% 1.04× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 14.3% 12.8% 17.2% 0.74× 7.80
Deportivo Cali (1:0) 7.3% 6.9% 7.7% 0.90× 14.49
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas (2:0) 92.7% 93.9% 92.4% 1.02× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.5% 6.4% 5.0% 1.29× 15.51
Deportivo Cali (2:0) 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 0.81× 44.30
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 44.0% 46.6% 2.15
Halves equal 30.0% 26.6% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.1% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas to concede 57.0% 61.0% 62.2% 0.98× 1.64
Once Caldas clean sheet 43.0% 39.0% 37.8% 1.03× 2.56
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas clean sheet in 1st half 71.3% 68.4% 1.46
Once Caldas to concede in 1st half 28.7% 31.6% 3.17
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas over 2.5 corners 82.2% 81.3% 1.23
Once Caldas under 6.5 corners 70.1% 71.5% 1.40
Once Caldas over 3.5 corners 69.1% 67.8% 1.48
Once Caldas under 5.5 corners 58.5% 57.4% 1.74
Once Caldas over 4.5 corners 54.9% 53.1% 1.89
Once Caldas under 4.5 corners 45.1% 46.9% 2.13
Once Caldas over 5.5 corners 41.5% 42.6% 2.35
Once Caldas under 3.5 corners 30.9% 32.2% 3.10
Once Caldas over 6.5 corners 29.9% 28.5% 3.51
Once Caldas under 2.5 corners 17.8% 18.7% 5.36
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas under 3.5 goals 94.7% 92.3% 95.3% 0.97× 1.08
Once Caldas under 2.5 goals 83.5% 82.2% 84.4% 0.97× 1.22
Once Caldas over 0.5 goals 75.1% 77.7% 75.8% 1.02× 1.29
Once Caldas under 1.5 goals 59.5% 58.8% 58.4% 1.01× 1.70
Once Caldas over 1.5 goals 40.5% 41.2% 41.6% 0.99× 2.43
Once Caldas under 0.5 goals 24.9% 22.3% 24.2% 0.92× 4.48
Once Caldas over 2.5 goals 16.5% 17.8% 15.6% 1.15× 5.60
Once Caldas over 3.5 goals 5.3% 7.7% 4.7% 1.64× 12.91
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas under 1.5 in 1st half 87.9% 90.0% 1.11
Once Caldas over 0.5 in 1st half 45.0% 50.9% 1.97
Once Caldas under 0.5 in 1st half 55.0% 49.1% 2.04
Once Caldas over 1.5 in 1st half 12.1% 10.0% 9.97
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 57.9% 56.7% 54.4% 1.04× 1.76
Deportivo Cali (home no bet) 42.1% 43.3% 45.6% 0.95× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas even goals 53.1% 50.6% 53.4% 0.95× 1.97
Once Caldas odd goals 46.9% 49.4% 46.6% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 39.4% 38.8% 2.58
HT 1-0 23.3% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-1 13.0% 11.1% 9.04
HT 1-1 8.1% 7.1% 14.09
HT 2-0 7.0% 7.1% 14.11
Any other HT score 2.8% 2.2% 44.72
HT 2-1 2.4% 2.2% 44.75
HT 0-2 2.2% 2.2% 44.76
HT 1-2 1.3% 2.2% 44.83
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.2% 44.91
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas at HT / Once Caldas at FT 28.7% 26.7% 3.74
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 20.5% 22.1% 4.53
Draw at HT / Once Caldas at FT 17.9% 16.8% 5.95
Deportivo Cali at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 10.8% 12.7% 7.91
Draw at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 9.5% 6.1% 16.51
Once Caldas at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.4% 29.08
Deportivo Cali at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.4% 29.11
Deportivo Cali at HT / Once Caldas at FT 2.0% 3.4% 29.21
Once Caldas at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 1.3% 3.4% 29.23
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas to score last 55.0% 52.0% 1.92
Deportivo Cali to score last 33.2% 32.9% 3.04
No goal scored 11.8% 9.4% 10.63
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 88.2% 90.6% 1.10
Once Caldas to lead by 1 at any time 61.2% 61.4% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 39.7% 34.8% 2.87
Deportivo Cali to lead by 1 at any time 36.9% 34.7% 2.88
Once Caldas to lead by 2 at any time 29.1% 25.2% 3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.1% 10.5% 9.55
Once Caldas to lead by 3 at any time 10.7% 10.4% 9.60
Deportivo Cali to lead by 2 at any time 10.7% 10.4% 9.60
Deportivo Cali to lead by 3 at any time 2.4% 1.6% 63.48
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas most corners 55.4% 55.4% 1.81
Deportivo Cali most corners 34.1% 33.8% 2.96
Corners level 10.5% 10.6% 9.40
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.5% 87.4% 85.7% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.5% 83.5% 80.0% 1.04× 1.20
1-3 goals 69.4% 69.0% 68.4% 1.01× 1.45
2-6 goals 65.8% 69.0% 67.5% 1.02× 1.45
2-5 goals 63.9% 63.5% 65.4% 0.97× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.9% 59.2% 59.7% 0.99× 1.69
1-2 goals 49.4% 48.7% 45.3% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.8% 48.7% 48.1% 1.01× 2.06
3-6 goals 37.9% 39.2% 42.6% 0.92× 2.55
3-5 goals 36.0% 39.2% 40.5% 0.97× 2.55
3-4 goals 31.1% 35.4% 34.8% 1.02× 2.83
4-6 goals 18.0% 18.6% 19.5% 0.96× 5.37
4-5 goals 16.1% 18.6% 17.4% 1.07× 5.38
5-6 goals 6.8% 8.7% 7.9% 1.10× 11.45
7+ goals 0.8% 2.5% 1.5% 1.65× 39.55
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Once Caldas never behind 51.2% 62.5% 1.60
Deportivo Cali never behind 26.9% 29.9% 3.34
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.1% 50.8% 50.3% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.9% 49.2% 49.7% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 58.1% 57.9% 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 41.9% 42.1% 2.38
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.5% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.5% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.3% 95.5% 96.4% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 92.3% 92.3% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 88.2% 87.7% 89.2% 0.98× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 81.2% 82.4% 79.1% 1.04× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 66.6% 66.3% 68.8% 0.96× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 61.3% 61.7% 56.1% 1.10× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 38.7% 38.3% 44.0% 0.87× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 33.4% 33.7% 31.2% 1.08× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 18.8% 17.6% 20.9% 0.85× 5.67
Under 0.5 goals 11.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Over 4.5 goals 7.7% 7.7% 9.3% 0.83× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 2.7% 4.5% 3.6% 1.25× 22.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.2% 97.3% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.2% 97.3% 96.2% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 91.4% 92.5% 89.5% 1.03× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 76.5% 75.9% 72.9% 1.04× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 53.7% 51.8% 58.5% 0.89× 1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 46.3% 48.2% 41.5% 1.16× 2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 23.5% 24.1% 27.1% 0.89× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 8.6% 7.5% 10.5% 0.72× 13.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.8% 2.8% 3.8% 0.72× 36.36
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.8% 2.7% 1.6% 1.76× 36.42
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.1% 92.9% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 75.7% 78.6% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 60.6% 63.6% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 39.4% 36.4% 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 24.3% 21.4% 4.67
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.9% 7.1% 14.09
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 85.7% 85.3% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 72.4% 77.9% 1.28
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 62.3% 61.8% 1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 37.7% 38.2% 2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 27.6% 22.1% 4.53
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 14.3% 14.7% 6.81
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali not to score in both halves 88.6% 86.0% 1.16
Once Caldas not to score in both halves 75.3% 78.3% 1.28
Once Caldas to score in both halves 24.7% 21.7% 4.61
Deportivo Cali to score in both halves 11.4% 14.0% 7.14
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 44.0% 46.6% 48.8% 0.96× 2.15
Only Once Caldas scores 31.1% 33.3% 27.1% 1.23× 3.00
Only Deportivo Cali scores 13.0% 10.9% 13.5% 0.81× 9.14
Neither team scores 11.8% 10.9% 10.8% 1.01× 9.14
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.9% 25.0% 25.0% 1.00× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 21.6% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 19.9% 17.5% 23.2% 0.75× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 11.8% 12.1% 10.8% 1.11× 8.29
Exactly 4 goals 11.1% 12.1% 11.7% 1.03× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 5.0% 4.4% 5.8% 0.76× 22.60
6 or more goals 2.7% 4.4% 3.6% 1.22× 22.63
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 37.7% 40.0% 2.50
1 goal in 2nd half 34.6% 33.9% 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 27.6% 29.6% 3.38
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali not to win both halves 96.3% 97.2% 1.03
Once Caldas not to win both halves 86.2% 88.0% 1.14
Once Caldas to win both halves 13.8% 12.0% 8.34
Deportivo Cali to win both halves 3.7% 2.8% 35.17
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to win neither half 65.5% 67.7% 1.48
Once Caldas to win either half 59.9% 59.5% 1.68
Once Caldas to win neither half 40.1% 40.5% 2.47
Deportivo Cali to win either half 34.5% 32.3% 3.10
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali not to win to nil 87.0% 88.2% 86.5% 1.02× 1.13
Once Caldas not to win to nil 68.9% 69.7% 72.9% 0.96× 1.44
Once Caldas to win to nil 31.1% 30.3% 27.1% 1.12× 3.30
Deportivo Cali to win to nil 13.0% 11.8% 13.5% 0.87× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 29.8% 27.8% 29.5% 0.94× 3.59
Once Caldas by 1 24.3% 24.1% 25.6% 0.94× 4.14
Once Caldas by 2 15.0% 16.9% 12.4% 1.37× 5.90
Deportivo Cali by 1 14.3% 11.8% 17.2% 0.69× 8.46
Once Caldas by 3+ 9.2% 7.2% 8.2% 0.88× 13.80
Deportivo Cali by 2 5.5% 7.2% 5.0% 1.45× 13.81
Deportivo Cali by 3+ 1.8% 2.7% 2.8% 0.97× 37.01
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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