Örgryte IS v IK Sirius — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Örgryte IS

11:30

IK Sirius

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 320h before kick-off

Örgryte IS win

10.8%

model 14.0%

Draw

20.0%

model 18.4%

IK Sirius win

69.2%

model 67.6%

112069

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.5%
0-2 9.1%
1-1 8.2%
1-3 7.8%
0-3 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.9%	Under 2.5	32.1%
BTTS yes	59.8%	BTTS no	40.2%
Örgryte IS 1+	65.0%	Örgryte IS 2+	28.2%
IK Sirius 1+	91.4%	IK Sirius 2+	70.2%

Expected goals 1.05 – 2.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

IK Sirius (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 37%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 931 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

IK Sirius carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1404.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

IK Sirius have an estimated 69.2% win probability, against 20.0% for the draw and 10.8% for Örgryte IS. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.05 for Örgryte IS and 2.45 for IK Sirius.

Why Örgryte IS

Nothing in the data singles out Örgryte IS.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 20.0%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why IK Sirius can win

IK Sirius carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1404.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Örgryte IS, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for IK Sirius, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Örgryte IS: 42% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 19.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. IK Sirius: 51% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

IK Sirius are the model's most likely outcome at 69.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.5%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	141868	1.05–2.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	151768	1.21–2.70	1-2 9%	75%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to win	68.4%	65.1%	36.6%	1.78×	1.54
Draw	17.1%	19.3%	22.9%	0.84×	5.18
Örgryte IS to win	14.5%	13.4%	40.7%	0.33×	7.48

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius & both teams score	41.0%	40.0%	18.1%	2.22×	2.50
IK Sirius & not both score	27.4%	25.2%	18.8%	1.34×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.7%	13.3%	17.8%	0.74×	7.55
Örgryte IS & both teams score	10.2%	13.2%	17.3%	0.77×	7.55
Örgryte IS & not both score	4.4%	4.9%	23.7%	0.21×	20.48
Draw & not both score	2.4%	4.9%	5.3%	0.91×	20.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius & over 2.5	56.0%	55.0%	22.9%	2.40×	1.82
IK Sirius & over 1.5	63.3%	54.8%	27.7%	1.98×	1.82
IK Sirius & over 3.5	40.6%	40.3%	11.5%	3.52×	2.48
IK Sirius & under 3.5	27.8%	26.0%	25.4%	1.02×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	14.7%	12.9%	17.8%	0.72×	7.77
Örgryte IS & over 1.5	12.5%	12.9%	34.6%	0.37×	7.78
IK Sirius & under 2.5	12.3%	12.9%	14.0%	0.92×	7.78
Örgryte IS & over 2.5	11.0%	12.9%	25.4%	0.51×	7.78
Draw & under 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	18.1%	0.44×	12.69
Draw & under 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	18.1%	0.44×	12.69
Örgryte IS & under 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	26.2%	0.30×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	7.8%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.69
Örgryte IS & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.69
IK Sirius & under 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.69
Örgryte IS & under 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	15.5%	0.31×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	2.4%	4.8%	5.3%	0.89×	20.94
Örgryte IS & under 1.5	2.1%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (1UP)	81.0%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Örgryte IS (1UP)	36.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (2UP)	68.4%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Örgryte IS (2UP)	14.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to win 2nd half	59.5%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
2nd half drawn	24.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.33
Örgryte IS to win 2nd half	15.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (+2.5)	98.3%	96.3%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
IK Sirius (+1.5)	94.4%	92.1%	76.3%	1.21×	1.09
IK Sirius (+0.5)	85.5%	88.5%	59.3%	1.49×	1.13
IK Sirius (-0.5)	68.4%	68.7%	36.6%	1.88×	1.46
Örgryte IS (+0.5)	31.6%	31.3%	63.4%	0.49×	3.20
Örgryte IS (-0.5)	14.5%	11.5%	40.7%	0.28×	8.68
Örgryte IS (-1.5)	5.6%	7.9%	23.7%	0.33×	12.69
Örgryte IS (-2.5)	1.7%	3.7%	11.5%	0.32×	26.90

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to concede	70.3%	76.5%	76.1%	1.01×	1.31
IK Sirius clean sheet	29.7%	23.5%	23.9%	0.98×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
IK Sirius to concede in 1st half	40.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius over 2.5 corners	89.4%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
IK Sirius over 3.5 corners	79.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
IK Sirius over 4.5 corners	66.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
IK Sirius under 6.5 corners	60.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
IK Sirius over 5.5 corners	52.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
IK Sirius under 5.5 corners	47.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
IK Sirius over 6.5 corners	39.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
IK Sirius under 4.5 corners	33.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
IK Sirius under 3.5 corners	20.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
IK Sirius under 2.5 corners	10.6%	15.1%	—	—	6.64

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius over 0.5 goals	93.2%	92.4%	71.2%	1.30×	1.08
IK Sirius over 1.5 goals	75.0%	76.2%	39.2%	1.94×	1.31
IK Sirius under 3.5 goals	71.6%	71.9%	95.2%	0.76×	1.39
IK Sirius over 2.5 goals	50.5%	53.7%	18.3%	2.93×	1.86
IK Sirius under 2.5 goals	49.5%	46.3%	81.7%	0.57×	2.16
IK Sirius over 3.5 goals	28.4%	28.1%	4.8%	5.81×	3.56
IK Sirius under 1.5 goals	25.0%	23.8%	60.8%	0.39×	4.20
IK Sirius under 0.5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	28.8%	0.27×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius under 1.5 in 1st half	70.7%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
IK Sirius over 0.5 in 1st half	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
IK Sirius under 0.5 in 1st half	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
IK Sirius over 1.5 in 1st half	29.3%	30.9%	—	—	3.24

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	54.0%	51.3%	36.0%	1.42×	1.95
Örgryte IS (away no bet)	46.0%	48.7%	64.0%	0.76×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius even goals	50.2%	52.7%	53.2%	0.99×	1.90
IK Sirius odd goals	49.8%	47.3%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	68.1%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Both halves over 1.5 goals	31.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	82.9%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Both halves under 1.5 goals	17.1%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	76.5%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
IK Sirius to score 2+ in a row	66.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
IK Sirius to score 3+ in a row	36.8%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Örgryte IS to score 2+ in a row	21.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Örgryte IS to score 3+ in a row	4.9%	2.7%	—	—	37.16

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius corners (+3.5)	89.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
IK Sirius corners (+2.5)	83.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
IK Sirius corners (+1.5)	76.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Örgryte IS corners (+3.5)	72.0%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Örgryte IS corners (+2.5)	62.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Örgryte IS corners (+1.5)	52.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
IK Sirius corners (-1.5)	47.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
IK Sirius corners (-2.5)	37.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
IK Sirius corners (-3.5)	28.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Örgryte IS corners (-1.5)	23.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Örgryte IS corners (-2.5)	16.1%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Örgryte IS corners (-3.5)	10.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.2%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
0-8 corners	30.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	30.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	69.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	60.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 9.5 corners	59.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 10.5 corners	49.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 9.5 corners	40.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	39.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	30.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	30.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	21.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	14.2%	11.5%	4.1%	2.81×	8.73
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.46
0-2	7.3%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.46
0-3	6.6%	7.4%	3.8%	1.95×	13.46
1-1	6.9%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.46
1-3	8.0%	7.4%	4.8%	1.54×	13.46
0-1	5.0%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.46
1-4	5.4%	7.4%	1.0%	7.30×	13.46
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.46
2-3	4.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.56
0-0	2.4%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.58
0-4	4.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.57
1-0	2.1%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.58
2-0	1.5%	1.7%	9.4%	0.18×	58.58
2-1	4.0%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.57
2-4	3.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.57
3-0	0.6%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.59
3-1	1.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.58
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.58
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.58
3-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.59
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.59
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.59
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.35×	58.59
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.59
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.35×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius leading at HT (DNB)	73.5%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Örgryte IS leading at HT (DNB)	26.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius or draw (X2)	85.5%	86.6%	59.3%	1.46×	1.15
Örgryte IS or IK Sirius (12)	82.9%	80.7%	77.1%	1.05×	1.24
Örgryte IS or draw (1X)	31.6%	34.9%	63.4%	0.55×	2.87

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius or draw at HT	82.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Örgryte IS or IK Sirius at HT	66.6%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Örgryte IS or draw at HT	51.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius or draw (1UP)	85.5%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Örgryte IS or draw (1UP)	36.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius or draw in 2nd half	84.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Örgryte IS or IK Sirius in 2nd half	75.2%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Örgryte IS or draw in 2nd half	40.5%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	49.5%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	50.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (DNB)	82.5%	80.4%	47.4%	1.70×	1.24
Örgryte IS (DNB)	17.5%	19.6%	52.6%	0.37×	5.10

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to score first	67.3%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Örgryte IS to score first	30.3%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
No goal scored	2.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.9%	58.1%	52.7%	1.10×	1.72
Not both teams to score	34.1%	41.9%	47.3%	0.88×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	59.0%	47.3%	39.9%	1.18×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	18.3%	21.8%	34.4%	0.63×	4.59
Not both score & over 2.5	15.8%	21.7%	13.2%	1.64×	4.60
Both score & under 2.5	6.9%	8.4%	13.0%	0.64×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.3%	80.7%	84.2%	0.96×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.7%	19.3%	15.8%	1.23×	5.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.9%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	29.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Both score 1st half only	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score in both halves	10.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.9%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
A half without a goal	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	44.8%	42.1%	26.2%	1.61×	2.37
2-3 goals	35.7%	35.0%	49.1%	0.71×	2.86
7+ goals	10.0%	16.9%	4.8%	3.49×	5.92
0-1 goals	9.5%	7.6%	20.4%	0.38×	13.08

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to score 3+	50.5%	47.3%	18.3%	2.58×	2.12
IK Sirius to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.4%	21.1%	1.06×	4.47
IK Sirius to score exactly 1	18.2%	19.5%	32.3%	0.60×	5.12
IK Sirius to score exactly 0	6.8%	8.5%	28.8%	0.29×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.6%	32.8%	1.08×	2.81
Örgryte IS to score exactly 0	29.7%	26.5%	23.9%	1.11×	3.77
Örgryte IS to score exactly 2	21.9%	23.3%	22.1%	1.05×	4.30
Örgryte IS to score 3+	12.3%	14.3%	21.6%	0.66×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius leading at HT	49.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Draw at HT	33.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Örgryte IS leading at HT	17.6%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius -1: 2	48.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
IK Sirius -1: 1	31.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
IK Sirius -1: X	20.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (0:1)	85.5%	88.9%	59.3%	1.50×	1.13
Draw (0:1)	8.9%	9.3%	17.3%	0.54×	10.79
Örgryte IS (0:1)	5.6%	9.2%	23.7%	0.39×	10.89

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (0:2)	94.4%	90.9%	76.3%	1.19×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	3.9%	3.8%	12.5%	0.30×	26.46
Örgryte IS (0:2)	1.7%	3.8%	11.5%	0.33×	26.59

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (0:3)	98.3%	96.6%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	6.9%	0.35×	42.08
Örgryte IS (0:3)	0.4%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (0:4)	99.6%	98.1%	95.2%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	3.8%	0.31×	83.44
Örgryte IS (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.47

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (1:0)	48.1%	49.8%	16.5%	3.01×	2.01
Örgryte IS (1:0)	31.6%	30.3%	63.4%	0.48×	3.30
Draw (1:0)	20.3%	21.7%	20.4%	1.07×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS (2:0)	51.9%	55.6%	83.5%	0.67×	1.80
IK Sirius (2:0)	28.8%	24.2%	6.4%	3.81×	4.13
Draw (2:0)	19.3%	15.7%	10.4%	1.51×	6.36

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	53.3%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	20.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS to concede	93.2%	93.3%	71.2%	1.31×	1.07
Örgryte IS clean sheet	6.8%	6.7%	28.8%	0.23×	14.84

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS to concede in 1st half	66.0%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Örgryte IS clean sheet in 1st half	34.0%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS over 2.5 corners	79.9%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Örgryte IS under 6.5 corners	77.8%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Örgryte IS under 5.5 corners	66.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Örgryte IS over 3.5 corners	64.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Örgryte IS under 4.5 corners	51.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Örgryte IS over 4.5 corners	48.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Örgryte IS under 3.5 corners	35.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Örgryte IS over 5.5 corners	33.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Örgryte IS over 6.5 corners	22.2%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Örgryte IS under 2.5 corners	20.1%	23.8%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS under 3.5 goals	96.5%	96.4%	90.6%	1.06×	1.04
Örgryte IS under 2.5 goals	87.7%	87.2%	78.4%	1.11×	1.15
Örgryte IS over 0.5 goals	70.3%	74.2%	76.1%	0.98×	1.35
Örgryte IS under 1.5 goals	65.8%	67.9%	56.5%	1.20×	1.47
Örgryte IS over 1.5 goals	34.2%	32.1%	43.5%	0.74×	3.12
Örgryte IS under 0.5 goals	29.7%	25.8%	23.9%	1.08×	3.88
Örgryte IS over 2.5 goals	12.3%	12.8%	21.6%	0.59×	7.83
Örgryte IS over 3.5 goals	3.5%	3.6%	9.4%	0.39×	27.40

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Örgryte IS under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Örgryte IS over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Örgryte IS over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	4.7%	—	—	21.42

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (home no bet)	80.0%	85.2%	61.5%	1.38×	1.17
Draw (home no bet)	20.0%	14.8%	38.5%	0.38×	6.76

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS even goals	54.4%	50.7%	53.9%	0.94×	1.97
Örgryte IS odd goals	45.6%	49.3%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	21.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-0	20.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-2	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
HT 1-1	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
Any other HT score	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 1-0	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 1-2	6.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.12
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.71
HT 2-0	2.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.72
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.81

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius at HT / IK Sirius at FT	43.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT / IK Sirius at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	8.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Örgryte IS at HT / Örgryte IS at FT	8.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Draw at HT / Örgryte IS at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Örgryte IS at HT / IK Sirius at FT	5.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.08
Örgryte IS at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
IK Sirius at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.13
IK Sirius at HT / Örgryte IS at FT	1.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.23

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to score last	67.4%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Örgryte IS to score last	30.2%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	2.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.6%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
IK Sirius to lead by 1 at any time	81.0%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	67.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
IK Sirius to lead by 2 at any time	56.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	36.5%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Örgryte IS to lead by 1 at any time	36.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
IK Sirius to lead by 3 at any time	33.5%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Örgryte IS to lead by 2 at any time	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Örgryte IS to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.79

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius most corners	57.8%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Örgryte IS most corners	32.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	10.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.5%	83.5%	75.1%	1.11×	1.20
1-5 goals	77.7%	78.6%	86.8%	0.91×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.5%	72.4%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
3-6 goals	64.8%	63.5%	48.3%	1.31×	1.58
1-4 goals	62.4%	63.5%	78.4%	0.81×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.3%	59.2%	63.4%	0.93×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	45.0%	1.18×	1.88
4-6 goals	44.8%	43.6%	26.2%	1.66×	2.29
1-3 goals	42.8%	43.6%	64.1%	0.68×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.2%	36.6%	1.07×	2.55
2-3 goals	35.7%	39.2%	49.1%	0.80×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.8%	35.4%	22.9%	1.54×	2.83
5-6 goals	25.2%	30.2%	12.0%	2.52×	3.31
1-2 goals	22.8%	24.4%	42.0%	0.58×	4.09
7+ goals	10.0%	14.8%	4.8%	3.07×	6.74

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius never behind	61.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Örgryte IS never behind	16.6%	18.4%	—	—	5.44

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.2%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.8%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.6%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	79.6%	1.16×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	80.0%	82.3%	91.9%	0.90×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	74.8%	72.6%	52.9%	1.37×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	64.7%	61.8%	83.5%	0.74×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	54.8%	52.4%	30.8%	1.70×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	45.2%	47.6%	69.2%	0.69×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	35.3%	38.2%	16.5%	2.31×	2.62
Under 2.5 goals	25.2%	27.4%	47.1%	0.58×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	20.0%	17.7%	8.1%	2.17×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	20.4%	0.38×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	2.4%	4.5%	5.3%	0.84×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	88.9%	86.7%	95.0%	0.91×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	88.7%	86.7%	72.2%	1.20×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	76.4%	75.9%	91.1%	0.83×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.5%	67.3%	39.5%	1.70×	1.49
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	56.2%	55.5%	80.7%	0.69×	1.80
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	43.8%	44.5%	19.3%	2.31×	2.25
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.5%	32.7%	60.5%	0.54×	3.06
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	23.6%	24.1%	8.9%	2.71×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	11.3%	13.3%	27.8%	0.48×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	11.1%	13.3%	5.0%	2.65×	7.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.8%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Under 2.5 in 1st half	78.3%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	52.4%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	47.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Over 2.5 in 1st half	21.7%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.9%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	67.2%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	59.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	40.6%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	32.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS not to score in both halves	79.7%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
IK Sirius to score in both halves	52.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
IK Sirius not to score in both halves	47.1%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Örgryte IS to score in both halves	20.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.9%	59.4%	52.7%	1.13×	1.68
Only IK Sirius scores	27.4%	26.2%	18.8%	1.39×	3.82
Only Örgryte IS scores	4.4%	4.6%	23.7%	0.19×	21.70
Neither team scores	2.4%	4.6%	5.3%	0.86×	21.79

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.0%	17.5%	22.4%	0.78×	5.73
6 or more goals	20.0%	17.5%	8.1%	2.14×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	15.7%	17.4%	27.0%	0.65×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.3%	17.4%	8.7%	2.02×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	7.1%	7.6%	15.3%	0.50×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	2.4%	4.4%	5.3%	0.83×	22.64

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	67.2%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
1 goal in 2nd half	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
No goals in 2nd half	10.1%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS not to win both halves	97.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
IK Sirius not to win both halves	70.7%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
IK Sirius to win both halves	29.3%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
Örgryte IS to win both halves	2.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.57

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to win either half	79.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Örgryte IS to win neither half	69.5%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Örgryte IS to win either half	30.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
IK Sirius to win neither half	20.8%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Örgryte IS not to win to nil	95.6%	96.1%	76.3%	1.26×	1.04
IK Sirius not to win to nil	72.6%	75.3%	81.2%	0.93×	1.33
IK Sirius to win to nil	27.4%	24.7%	18.8%	1.31×	4.04
Örgryte IS to win to nil	4.4%	3.9%	23.7%	0.16×	25.68

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius by 3+	28.8%	27.8%	6.4%	4.38×	3.59
IK Sirius by 1	20.3%	24.1%	20.4%	1.19×	4.14
IK Sirius by 2	19.3%	16.9%	10.4%	1.62×	5.90
Draw	17.1%	16.9%	22.9%	0.74×	5.90
Örgryte IS by 1	8.9%	7.2%	17.3%	0.42×	13.80
Örgryte IS by 2	3.9%	2.7%	12.5%	0.22×	36.94
Örgryte IS by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	11.5%	0.24×	37.02