Orlando City v Toronto — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Orlando City

19:30

Toronto

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 160h before kick-off

Orlando City win

49.9%

model 47.6%

Draw

21.9%

model 23.8%

Toronto win

28.2%

model 28.6%

502228

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.3%
1-0 7.1%
1-2 7.0%
2-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.8%	Under 2.5	38.2%
BTTS yes	62.9%	BTTS no	37.1%
Orlando City 1+	83.8%	Orlando City 2+	54.3%
Toronto 1+	74.6%	Toronto 2+	39.8%

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 69%

73.6% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 2591 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Orlando City over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 82%

82.8% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1110 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Orlando City.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Orlando City have an estimated 49.9% win probability, against 28.2% for Toronto and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.82 for Orlando City and 1.37 for Toronto.

Why Orlando City

Nothing in the data singles out Orlando City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Toronto can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Orlando City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Toronto, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Orlando City: 57% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Toronto: 41% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Orlando City are the model's most likely outcome at 49.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482429	1.82–1.37	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	452332	1.83–1.51	1-1 10%	65%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to win	45.0%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32
Toronto to win	31.6%	30.4%	29.9%	1.02×	3.29
Draw	23.4%	24.4%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City & both teams score	26.9%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Toronto & both teams score	19.5%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Orlando City & not both score	18.1%	17.9%	21.1%	0.85×	5.58
Toronto & not both score	12.1%	13.2%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City & over 1.5	38.9%	34.9%	37.1%	0.94×	2.86
Orlando City & over 2.5	33.0%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Toronto & over 1.5	26.7%	26.0%	23.5%	1.11×	3.84
Orlando City & under 3.5	24.6%	21.6%	28.3%	0.76×	4.62
Toronto & over 2.5	22.6%	21.6%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Orlando City & over 3.5	20.4%	21.6%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Toronto & under 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.2%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.2%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Toronto & over 3.5	13.2%	12.9%	11.2%	1.15×	7.78
Orlando City & under 2.5	12.0%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Toronto & under 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.69
Orlando City & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.69
Toronto & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.92
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (1UP)	63.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Toronto (1UP)	52.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (2UP)	45.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Toronto (2UP)	31.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to win 2nd half	37.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	31.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Toronto to win 2nd half	30.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (+2.5)	88.9%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
Toronto (+1.5)	75.3%	78.5%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
Orlando City (+0.5)	68.4%	68.7%	70.1%	0.98×	1.46
Toronto (+0.5)	55.0%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Orlando City (-0.5)	45.0%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
Toronto (-0.5)	31.6%	31.3%	29.9%	1.05×	3.20
Orlando City (-1.5)	24.7%	21.5%	23.3%	0.93×	4.64
Orlando City (-2.5)	11.1%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to concede	84.0%	81.3%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Toronto clean sheet	16.0%	18.7%	18.0%	1.04×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto clean sheet in 1st half	45.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Toronto to concede in 1st half	54.5%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto over 2.5 corners	82.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Toronto under 6.5 corners	70.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Toronto over 3.5 corners	69.7%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Toronto under 5.5 corners	58.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Toronto over 4.5 corners	55.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Toronto under 4.5 corners	44.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Toronto over 5.5 corners	41.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Toronto under 3.5 corners	30.3%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Toronto over 6.5 corners	29.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Toronto under 2.5 corners	17.1%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto under 3.5 goals	93.3%	92.4%	93.9%	0.98×	1.08
Toronto under 2.5 goals	80.6%	81.5%	83.3%	0.98×	1.23
Toronto over 0.5 goals	77.9%	76.2%	73.2%	1.04×	1.31
Toronto under 1.5 goals	55.4%	59.6%	61.3%	0.97×	1.68
Toronto over 1.5 goals	44.6%	40.4%	38.7%	1.04×	2.48
Toronto under 0.5 goals	22.1%	23.8%	26.8%	0.89×	4.21
Toronto over 2.5 goals	19.4%	18.5%	16.7%	1.11×	5.39
Toronto over 3.5 goals	6.7%	7.6%	6.1%	1.26×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Toronto under 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Toronto over 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Toronto over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (away no bet)	65.8%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.2%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto even goals	52.4%	52.7%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Toronto odd goals	47.6%	47.3%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.5%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.5%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.3%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.1%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Orlando City to score 2+ in a row	43.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Toronto to score 2+ in a row	33.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Orlando City to score 3+ in a row	17.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Toronto to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	11.9%	—	—	8.38

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City corners (+3.5)	81.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Toronto corners (+3.5)	79.8%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Orlando City corners (+2.5)	74.8%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Toronto corners (+2.5)	72.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Orlando City corners (+1.5)	66.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Toronto corners (+1.5)	63.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Orlando City corners (-1.5)	36.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Toronto corners (-1.5)	33.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Orlando City corners (-2.5)	27.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Toronto corners (-2.5)	25.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Orlando City corners (-3.5)	20.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Toronto corners (-3.5)	18.1%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.7%	35.2%	—	—	2.85
0-8 corners	32.6%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	28.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	67.4%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	61.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 9.5 corners	57.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 10.5 corners	47.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 9.5 corners	42.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	32.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	30.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	23.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.2%	11.4%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
1-2	7.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.46
2-2	6.8%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.46
1-0	6.1%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.46
2-0	5.9%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.46
3-1	5.5%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.46
Any other score	5.7%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.46
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.56
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.57
0-2	4.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.57
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.58
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.57
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.58
2-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.57
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.57
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.57
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.58
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.59
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.58
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.58
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City leading at HT (DNB)	58.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Toronto leading at HT (DNB)	41.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City or Toronto (12)	76.6%	75.6%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Orlando City or draw (1X)	68.4%	69.6%	70.1%	0.99×	1.44
Toronto or draw (X2)	55.0%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City or draw at HT	74.7%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Toronto or draw at HT	63.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Orlando City or Toronto at HT	61.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City or draw (1UP)	68.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Toronto or draw (1UP)	55.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City or draw in 2nd half	69.4%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Orlando City or Toronto in 2nd half	68.5%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Toronto or draw in 2nd half	62.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.3%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	42.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (DNB)	58.7%	58.2%	60.3%	0.97×	1.72
Toronto (DNB)	41.3%	41.8%	39.7%	1.05×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to score first	52.6%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Toronto to score first	43.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.94

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.9%	58.1%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
Not both teams to score	34.1%	41.9%	38.9%	1.08×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.7%	47.2%	50.9%	0.93×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	24.9%	27.8%	29.9%	0.93×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	10.2%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.6%	80.0%	79.5%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	24.4%	20.0%	20.5%	0.98×	4.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.0%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	29.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score in both halves	9.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.2%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.8%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.7%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	35.3%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.2%	42.1%	42.5%	0.99×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.5%	35.0%	33.1%	1.06×	2.86
0-1 goals	14.9%	17.0%	20.5%	0.83×	5.90
7+ goals	5.4%	7.6%	4.1%	1.84×	13.20

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to score exactly 1	33.3%	33.9%	34.6%	0.98×	2.95
Toronto to score exactly 2	25.2%	27.4%	22.1%	1.24×	3.65
Toronto to score exactly 0	22.1%	22.4%	26.8%	0.84×	4.47
Toronto to score 3+	19.4%	19.6%	16.7%	1.17×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to score exactly 1	29.3%	26.5%	31.0%	0.85×	3.77
Orlando City to score 3+	27.8%	26.5%	25.2%	1.05×	3.77
Orlando City to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Orlando City to score exactly 0	16.0%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Orlando City leading at HT	36.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Toronto leading at HT	25.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City -1: 2	55.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Orlando City -1: 1	24.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Orlando City -1: X	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (0:1)	55.0%	55.8%	54.6%	1.02×	1.79
Orlando City (0:1)	24.7%	24.3%	23.3%	1.05×	4.11
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (0:2)	75.3%	79.4%	76.7%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.7%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.08
Orlando City (0:2)	11.1%	11.0%	10.5%	1.04×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (0:3)	88.9%	90.8%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.9%	5.8%	6.6%	0.87×	17.24
Orlando City (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	41.96

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (0:4)	95.9%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.14
Orlando City (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.32

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (1:0)	68.4%	69.9%	70.1%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	16.6%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
Toronto (1:0)	15.0%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City (2:0)	85.0%	88.3%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.3%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.47
Toronto (2:0)	5.7%	6.4%	4.6%	1.41×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.2%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to concede	77.9%	75.9%	73.2%	1.04×	1.32
Orlando City clean sheet	22.1%	24.1%	26.8%	0.90×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City clean sheet in 1st half	54.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Orlando City to concede in 1st half	45.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City over 2.5 corners	84.1%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Orlando City over 3.5 corners	71.5%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Orlando City under 6.5 corners	68.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Orlando City over 4.5 corners	57.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Orlando City under 5.5 corners	56.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Orlando City over 5.5 corners	43.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Orlando City under 4.5 corners	42.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Orlando City over 6.5 corners	31.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Orlando City under 3.5 corners	28.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Orlando City under 2.5 corners	15.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City under 3.5 goals	88.6%	87.2%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Orlando City over 0.5 goals	84.0%	82.2%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
Orlando City under 2.5 goals	72.2%	74.2%	74.8%	0.99×	1.35
Orlando City over 1.5 goals	54.7%	53.3%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
Orlando City under 1.5 goals	45.3%	46.7%	48.9%	0.95×	2.14
Orlando City over 2.5 goals	27.8%	25.8%	25.2%	1.02×	3.88
Orlando City under 0.5 goals	16.0%	17.8%	18.0%	0.99×	5.60
Orlando City over 3.5 goals	11.4%	12.8%	9.4%	1.36×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City under 1.5 in 1st half	81.3%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Orlando City under 0.5 in 1st half	45.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Orlando City over 0.5 in 1st half	54.5%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Orlando City over 1.5 in 1st half	18.7%	15.4%	—	—	6.48

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (home no bet)	57.4%	56.7%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	42.6%	43.3%	45.4%	0.95×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City even goals	51.3%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Orlando City odd goals	48.7%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 1-0	19.5%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 0-1	14.9%	11.1%	—	—	9.02
HT 1-1	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
HT 2-0	7.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Any other HT score	6.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
HT 2-1	4.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.57
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.58
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.66
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.83

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City at HT / Orlando City at FT	27.6%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Toronto at HT / Toronto at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Orlando City at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Toronto at FT	11.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Orlando City at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Toronto at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Toronto at HT / Orlando City at FT	3.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.16
Orlando City at HT / Toronto at FT	2.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.17

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to score last	52.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Toronto to score last	43.4%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.94

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Orlando City to lead by 1 at any time	63.4%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Toronto to lead by 1 at any time	52.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Orlando City to lead by 2 at any time	33.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Toronto to lead by 2 at any time	22.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Orlando City to lead by 3 at any time	14.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Toronto to lead by 3 at any time	8.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.30

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City most corners	46.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Toronto most corners	43.5%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	10.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.8%	83.5%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.7%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.5%	72.4%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.5%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.5%	59.2%	55.9%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.1%	53.1%	57.2%	0.93×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.7%	53.1%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.2%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.5%	39.2%	33.1%	1.18×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.1%	35.4%	34.4%	1.03×	2.83
4-5 goals	30.7%	35.4%	26.1%	1.35×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.1%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.37
7+ goals	5.4%	8.7%	4.1%	2.12×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City never behind	43.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Toronto never behind	32.7%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.8%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.1%	87.7%	79.5%	1.10×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	75.5%	77.4%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.9%	61.8%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.1%	58.8%	62.9%	0.94×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	42.9%	41.2%	37.1%	1.11×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	35.1%	38.2%	40.1%	0.95×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	24.5%	22.6%	21.2%	1.07×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	14.9%	12.3%	20.5%	0.60×	8.11
Over 5.5 goals	12.2%	12.3%	11.1%	1.11×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.2%	92.5%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.1%	86.7%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.3%	81.1%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.0%	67.4%	74.8%	0.90×	1.49
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.0%	55.5%	48.1%	1.15×	1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.0%	44.5%	51.9%	0.86×	2.25
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.0%	32.6%	25.2%	1.30×	3.06
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.7%	18.9%	25.5%	0.74×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.9%	13.3%	12.4%	1.07×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.8%	7.5%	4.4%	1.70×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.5%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.1%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.4%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.6%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.9%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.5%	13.5%	—	—	7.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto not to score in both halves	73.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Orlando City not to score in both halves	64.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Orlando City to score in both halves	35.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Toronto to score in both halves	27.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.9%	59.4%	61.1%	0.97×	1.68
Only Orlando City scores	18.1%	16.1%	21.1%	0.76×	6.20
Only Toronto scores	12.1%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.14
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.72

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.2%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	17.5%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.3%	12.1%	10.2%	1.18×	8.29
6 or more goals	12.2%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	11.0%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	27.4%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
No goals in 2nd half	14.4%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto not to win both halves	92.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Orlando City not to win both halves	86.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Orlando City to win both halves	13.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Toronto to win both halves	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.54

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando City to win either half	60.4%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Toronto to win neither half	51.9%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Toronto to win either half	48.1%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Orlando City to win neither half	39.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto not to win to nil	87.9%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Orlando City not to win to nil	81.9%	83.0%	78.9%	1.05×	1.21
Orlando City to win to nil	18.1%	17.0%	21.1%	0.81×	5.87
Toronto to win to nil	12.1%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.4%	24.1%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Orlando City by 1	20.2%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Toronto by 1	16.6%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.90
Orlando City by 2	13.7%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.46
Orlando City by 3+	11.1%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.47
Toronto by 2	9.3%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.80
Toronto by 3+	5.7%	7.2%	4.6%	1.58×	13.81