Police v Fruta Conquerors — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · FIFA:88t6g9pn0n3z1imkd03gwz37j · 2627
FIFA:88t6g9pn0n3z1imkd03gwz37j results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.4%
- 1-0 10.6%
- 2-1 8.9%
- 0-1 8.7%
- 2-0 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | Under 2.5 | 51.7% |
| BTTS yes | 52.5% | BTTS no | 47.5% |
| Police 1+ | 76.2% | Police 2+ | 42.0% |
| Fruta Conquerors 1+ | 69.0% | Fruta Conquerors 2+ | 32.7% |
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Police have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Fruta Conquerors have allowed 1.35.
- At home Police average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Police have only 0 matches on record.
- Fruta Conquerors have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Police have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 30.8% for Fruta Conquerors and 26.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Police and 1.17 for Fruta Conquerors.
Why Police
Police have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Fruta Conquerors have allowed 1.35. At home Police average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.1%.
Why Fruta Conquerors can win
Fruta Conquerors have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Police have allowed 1.35. Away from home Fruta Conquerors average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Police, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fruta Conquerors, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Police: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fruta Conquerors: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Police are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.43–1.17 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.