Port Vale v Exeter City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City to win	40.7%	43.0%	31.3%	1.37×	2.33
Draw	39.5%	36.5%	26.2%	1.39×	2.74
Port Vale to win	19.8%	19.4%	42.6%	0.45×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City & not both score	34.8%	29.8%	17.1%	1.74×	3.36
Draw & not both score	28.1%	25.2%	6.9%	3.63×	3.97
Port Vale & not both score	16.8%	17.9%	23.4%	0.76×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	11.3%	13.2%	19.4%	0.68×	7.55
Exeter City & both teams score	5.9%	8.4%	14.4%	0.58×	11.95
Port Vale & both teams score	3.0%	4.9%	19.4%	0.25×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	38.5%	34.9%	18.9%	1.85×	2.86
Draw & under 3.5	38.5%	34.9%	18.9%	1.85×	2.86
Exeter City & under 3.5	38.4%	34.9%	23.9%	1.46×	2.86
Exeter City & under 2.5	31.8%	30.9%	14.1%	2.20×	3.24
Draw & under 1.5	28.1%	26.0%	6.9%	3.75×	3.84
Exeter City & under 1.5	22.8%	21.6%	8.4%	2.57×	4.62
Port Vale & under 3.5	19.2%	18.0%	29.9%	0.60×	5.56
Exeter City & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.56
Port Vale & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Port Vale & under 1.5	13.2%	12.9%	12.3%	1.05×	7.78
Draw & over 1.5	11.3%	12.9%	19.4%	0.66×	7.78
Exeter City & over 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	17.4%	0.45×	12.69
Port Vale & over 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	30.5%	0.26×	12.69
Port Vale & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	23.9%	0.20×	20.93
Exeter City & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	7.6%	0.63×	20.94
Draw & over 2.5	1.0%	4.8%	7.4%	0.64×	20.95
Draw & over 3.5	1.0%	4.8%	7.4%	0.64×	20.95
Port Vale & over 3.5	0.7%	4.8%	12.9%	0.37×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City (1UP)	47.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Port Vale (1UP)	27.5%	26.8%	—	—	3.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City (2UP)	40.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Port Vale (2UP)	19.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	53.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Exeter City to win 2nd half	31.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Port Vale to win 2nd half	15.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City (+2.5)	99.4%	96.3%	93.4%	1.03×	1.04
Exeter City (+1.5)	96.0%	96.3%	81.3%	1.18×	1.04
Exeter City (+0.5)	80.2%	82.4%	57.4%	1.44×	1.21
Port Vale (+0.5)	59.3%	57.0%	68.7%	0.83×	1.75
Exeter City (-0.5)	40.7%	43.0%	31.3%	1.37×	2.33
Port Vale (-0.5)	19.8%	17.6%	42.6%	0.41×	5.68
Port Vale (-1.5)	4.0%	3.7%	18.7%	0.20×	26.75
Port Vale (-2.5)	0.6%	3.7%	6.6%	0.56×	26.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City clean sheet	62.9%	67.2%	23.9%	2.81×	1.49
Exeter City to concede	37.1%	32.8%	76.1%	0.43×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City clean sheet in 1st half	81.9%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Exeter City to concede in 1st half	18.1%	17.9%	—	—	5.60

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City under 3.5 goals	99.1%	97.6%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Exeter City under 2.5 goals	95.3%	97.6%	88.5%	1.10×	1.03
Exeter City under 1.5 goals	80.9%	81.5%	65.1%	1.25×	1.23
Exeter City over 0.5 goals	55.1%	59.6%	69.8%	0.85×	1.68
Exeter City under 0.5 goals	44.9%	40.4%	30.2%	1.34×	2.48
Exeter City over 1.5 goals	19.1%	18.5%	34.9%	0.53×	5.40
Exeter City over 2.5 goals	4.7%	2.4%	11.5%	0.21×	40.94
Exeter City over 3.5 goals	0.9%	2.4%	2.7%	0.88×	41.15

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City under 1.5 in 1st half	95.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Exeter City under 0.5 in 1st half	72.6%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Exeter City over 0.5 in 1st half	27.4%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
Exeter City over 1.5 in 1st half	4.1%	4.4%	—	—	22.81

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	66.6%	66.5%	38.0%	1.75×	1.51
Port Vale (away no bet)	33.4%	33.5%	62.0%	0.54×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City even goals	60.1%	59.0%	55.9%	1.06×	1.69
Exeter City odd goals	39.9%	41.0%	44.1%	0.93×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	98.4%	98.4%	—	—	1.02
Both halves over 1.5 goals	1.6%	1.6%	—	—	62.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	75.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Not both halves under 1.5	25.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	23.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Exeter City to score 2+ in a row	17.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Port Vale to score 2+ in a row	6.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.02
Either team to score 3+ in a row	4.7%	2.7%	—	—	37.25
Exeter City to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	2.7%	—	—	37.72
Port Vale to score 3+ in a row	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.63

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	28.1%	20.5%	6.9%	2.95×	4.88
0-1	22.8%	20.2%	8.4%	2.40×	4.95
1-0	13.2%	11.5%	12.3%	0.93×	8.73
1-1	10.3%	11.4%	12.1%	0.94×	8.73
0-2	9.1%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.46
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.58
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.59
1-2	4.2%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.57
1-3	1.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.59
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.17×	58.59
2-0	3.0%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.58
2-1	2.4%	1.7%	8.6%	0.20×	58.58
2-2	1.0%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.59
2-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.59
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.28×	58.59
3-0	0.5%	1.7%	2.7%	0.62×	58.59
3-1	0.4%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.59
3-2	0.2%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.59
3-3	0.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.32×	58.59
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	10.56×	58.59
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.17×	58.59
4-1	0.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.32×	58.59
4-2	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.64×	58.59
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.52×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	10.56×	58.59
Any other score	0.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City leading at HT (DNB)	63.1%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Port Vale leading at HT (DNB)	36.9%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City or draw (X2)	80.2%	80.6%	57.4%	1.41×	1.24
Port Vale or Exeter City (12)	60.5%	63.5%	73.8%	0.86×	1.57
Port Vale or draw (1X)	59.3%	57.0%	68.7%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City or draw at HT	86.5%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Port Vale or draw at HT	76.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Port Vale or Exeter City at HT	36.7%	29.6%	—	—	3.37

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City or draw (1UP)	80.2%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Port Vale or draw (1UP)	59.3%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City or draw in 2nd half	84.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Port Vale or draw in 2nd half	68.9%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Port Vale or Exeter City in 2nd half	46.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	83.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Neither half drawn	16.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City (DNB)	67.3%	67.2%	42.4%	1.59×	1.49
Port Vale (DNB)	32.7%	32.8%	57.6%	0.57×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City to score first	45.5%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	28.1%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
Port Vale to score first	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	79.7%	62.8%	47.2%	1.33×	1.59
Both teams to score	20.3%	37.2%	52.8%	0.71×	2.69

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	76.2%	66.5%	39.6%	1.68×	1.51
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	12.3%	12.1%	1.02×	8.12
Both score & over 2.5	9.9%	8.4%	40.9%	0.20×	11.95
Not both score & over 2.5	3.5%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.69

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	98.5%	91.8%	86.3%	1.06×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	1.5%	8.2%	13.7%	0.60×	12.20

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	91.2%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score in 2nd half	8.8%	8.8%	—	—	11.37

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	86.7%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Both score 2nd half only	8.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.87
Both score 1st half only	4.5%	5.0%	—	—	20.00
Both score in both halves	0.4%	4.8%	—	—	20.92

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	95.1%	95.1%	—	—	1.05
Both teams to score by HT	4.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.33

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	78.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
A goal in each half	21.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	64.1%	56.1%	27.3%	2.06×	1.78
2-3 goals	31.9%	30.7%	45.2%	0.68×	3.26
4-6 goals	3.9%	1.8%	26.3%	0.07×	55.02
7+ goals	0.0%	1.8%	1.5%	1.24×	55.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City to score exactly 0	44.9%	37.0%	30.2%	1.23×	2.70
Exeter City to score exactly 1	35.9%	36.0%	35.1%	1.03×	2.78
Exeter City to score exactly 2	14.4%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.79
Exeter City to score 3+	4.7%	4.5%	11.5%	0.39×	22.15

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale to score exactly 0	62.9%	61.7%	23.9%	2.58×	1.62
Port Vale to score exactly 1	29.1%	26.5%	36.7%	0.72×	3.77
Port Vale to score exactly 2	6.7%	10.3%	23.1%	0.45×	9.71
Port Vale to score 3+	1.2%	6.1%	16.6%	0.36×	16.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	63.3%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Exeter City leading at HT	23.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Port Vale leading at HT	13.5%	11.9%	—	—	8.42

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City -1: 1	59.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Exeter City -1: X	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Exeter City -1: 2	13.5%	13.9%	—	—	7.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City (0:1)	80.2%	77.4%	57.4%	1.35×	1.29
Draw (0:1)	15.8%	17.8%	24.1%	0.74×	5.63
Port Vale (0:1)	4.0%	5.8%	18.7%	0.31×	17.21

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City (0:2)	96.0%	94.1%	81.3%	1.16×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	3.4%	3.8%	12.3%	0.31×	26.49
Port Vale (0:2)	0.6%	3.8%	6.6%	0.57×	26.66

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City (0:3)	99.4%	96.6%	93.4%	1.03×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.12
Port Vale (0:3)	0.1%	2.4%	2.7%	0.86×	42.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	97.3%	1.01×	1.02
Port Vale (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.24×	83.48
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.9%	0.62×	83.47

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale (1:0)	59.3%	58.2%	68.7%	0.85×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	27.2%	25.1%	17.4%	1.44×	3.98
Exeter City (1:0)	13.5%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale (2:0)	86.5%	88.3%	85.9%	1.03×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	10.2%	10.4%	9.4%	1.11×	9.64
Exeter City (2:0)	3.3%	2.3%	4.8%	0.47×	44.20

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Halves equal	40.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
2nd half highest scoring	37.0%	37.0%	—	—	2.71
1st half highest scoring	23.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale to concede	55.1%	60.9%	69.8%	0.87×	1.64
Port Vale clean sheet	44.9%	39.1%	30.2%	1.29×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale clean sheet in 1st half	72.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Port Vale to concede in 1st half	27.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale under 3.5 goals	99.9%	96.4%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Port Vale under 2.5 goals	98.8%	96.4%	83.4%	1.16×	1.04
Port Vale under 1.5 goals	92.1%	92.2%	60.4%	1.53×	1.08
Port Vale under 0.5 goals	62.9%	63.4%	23.9%	2.65×	1.58
Port Vale over 0.5 goals	37.1%	36.6%	76.1%	0.48×	2.73
Port Vale over 1.5 goals	7.9%	7.8%	39.6%	0.20×	12.88
Port Vale over 2.5 goals	1.2%	3.6%	16.6%	0.22×	27.51
Port Vale over 3.5 goals	0.1%	3.6%	5.0%	0.72×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale under 1.5 in 1st half	98.3%	98.0%	—	—	1.02
Port Vale under 0.5 in 1st half	81.9%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Port Vale over 0.5 in 1st half	18.1%	15.4%	—	—	6.50
Port Vale over 1.5 in 1st half	1.7%	2.0%	—	—	50.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City (home no bet)	50.8%	51.5%	54.5%	0.95×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.2%	48.5%	45.5%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale even goals	69.8%	66.6%	50.4%	1.32×	1.50
Port Vale odd goals	30.2%	33.4%	49.6%	0.67×	3.00

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	59.5%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
HT 0-1	19.1%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 1-0	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
HT 1-1	3.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.64
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.70
HT 2-0	1.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.85
HT 1-2	0.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.89
HT 2-1	0.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.91
Any other HT score	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.90
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.94

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	33.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Exeter City at HT / Exeter City at FT	20.1%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Draw at HT / Exeter City at FT	19.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Port Vale at FT	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Port Vale at HT / Port Vale at FT	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Port Vale at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.16
Exeter City at HT / Draw at FT	2.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.18
Port Vale at HT / Exeter City at FT	0.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.25
Exeter City at HT / Port Vale at FT	0.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.27

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City to score last	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
No goal scored	28.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Port Vale to score last	26.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	71.9%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Exeter City to lead by 1 at any time	47.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Port Vale to lead by 1 at any time	27.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	20.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Exeter City to lead by 2 at any time	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Port Vale to lead by 2 at any time	5.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.45
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.54
Exeter City to lead by 3 at any time	3.6%	1.6%	—	—	62.25
Port Vale to lead by 3 at any time	0.7%	1.5%	—	—	65.34

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	71.7%	72.4%	89.7%	0.81×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.9%	72.4%	82.1%	0.88×	1.38
1-3 goals	67.9%	69.0%	65.6%	1.05×	1.45
1-2 goals	58.4%	59.2%	44.8%	1.32×	1.69
2-5 goals	35.7%	39.2%	69.3%	0.57×	2.55
2-6 goals	35.8%	39.2%	71.4%	0.55×	2.55
2-4 goals	34.9%	35.4%	61.7%	0.57×	2.83
2-3 goals	31.9%	35.4%	45.2%	0.78×	2.83
3-6 goals	13.4%	14.9%	47.2%	0.31×	6.73
3-5 goals	13.3%	14.9%	45.1%	0.33×	6.73
3-4 goals	12.5%	14.9%	37.5%	0.40×	6.73
4-5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	24.2%	0.10×	39.41
4-6 goals	3.9%	2.5%	26.3%	0.10×	39.40
5-6 goals	0.9%	2.5%	9.9%	0.26×	39.54
7+ goals	0.0%	2.5%	1.5%	1.74×	39.58

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exeter City never behind	44.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Port Vale never behind	24.3%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.3%	50.8%	49.6%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.7%	49.2%	50.4%	0.98×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	67.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Odd goals in 1st half	32.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	61.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Odd goals in 2nd half	38.8%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.8%	95.5%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	99.0%	95.5%	88.9%	1.07×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	96.1%	95.5%	72.4%	1.32×	1.05
Under 2.5 goals	86.6%	87.7%	51.5%	1.70×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	71.9%	72.5%	93.1%	0.78×	1.38
Under 1.5 goals	64.1%	61.8%	27.3%	2.26×	1.62
Over 1.5 goals	35.9%	38.2%	72.7%	0.53×	2.62
Under 0.5 goals	28.1%	27.5%	6.9%	3.95×	3.64
Over 2.5 goals	13.4%	12.3%	48.5%	0.25×	8.11
Over 3.5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	27.6%	0.16×	22.19
Over 4.5 goals	1.0%	4.5%	11.1%	0.40×	22.24
Over 5.5 goals	0.2%	4.5%	3.6%	1.26×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.8%	97.3%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	100.0%	97.3%	98.5%	0.99×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	99.0%	97.3%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	95.6%	97.2%	65.1%	1.49×	1.03
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.7%	81.1%	36.0%	2.25×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.3%	18.9%	64.0%	0.30×	5.30
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	4.4%	2.8%	34.9%	0.08×	36.31
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	1.0%	2.7%	13.3%	0.21×	36.42
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.2%	2.7%	3.8%	0.71×	36.44
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.0%	2.7%	1.5%	1.85×	36.45

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	98.4%	98.6%	—	—	1.01
Under 1.5 in 1st half	90.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 0.5 in 1st half	59.5%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Over 0.5 in 1st half	40.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Over 1.5 in 1st half	9.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	1.6%	1.4%	—	—	74.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	96.0%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.86
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	4.0%	4.0%	—	—	25.19

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale not to score in both halves	95.8%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Exeter City not to score in both halves	89.6%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Exeter City to score in both halves	10.4%	13.9%	—	—	7.17
Port Vale to score in both halves	4.2%	4.0%	—	—	25.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Exeter City scores	34.8%	33.4%	17.1%	1.95×	2.99
Neither team scores	28.1%	26.2%	6.9%	3.77×	3.82
Both teams score	20.3%	22.3%	52.8%	0.42×	4.48
Only Port Vale scores	16.8%	16.1%	23.4%	0.69×	6.21

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	36.0%	27.1%	20.5%	1.32×	3.69
Exactly 0 goals	28.1%	25.0%	6.9%	3.59×	4.01
Exactly 2 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	9.5%	7.6%	21.0%	0.36×	13.13
Exactly 4 goals	3.0%	4.4%	16.6%	0.27×	22.63
Exactly 5 goals	0.8%	4.4%	7.8%	0.57×	22.66
6 or more goals	0.2%	4.4%	3.6%	1.24×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	47.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	35.5%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	17.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale not to win both halves	97.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Exeter City not to win both halves	92.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Exeter City to win both halves	7.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Port Vale to win both halves	2.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.89

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale to win neither half	73.2%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Exeter City to win neither half	53.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Exeter City to win either half	47.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Port Vale to win either half	26.8%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Port Vale not to win to nil	83.2%	83.0%	76.6%	1.08×	1.21
Exeter City not to win to nil	65.2%	69.6%	82.9%	0.84×	1.44
Exeter City to win to nil	34.8%	30.4%	17.1%	1.78×	3.29
Port Vale to win to nil	16.8%	17.0%	23.4%	0.73×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	39.5%	35.0%	26.2%	1.34×	2.86
Exeter City by 1	27.2%	27.8%	17.4%	1.60×	3.59
Port Vale by 1	15.8%	16.9%	24.1%	0.70×	5.90
Exeter City by 2	10.2%	11.8%	9.4%	1.26×	8.47
Port Vale by 2	3.4%	2.7%	12.3%	0.22×	36.96
Exeter City by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	4.8%	0.56×	36.96
Port Vale by 3+	0.6%	2.7%	6.6%	0.41×	37.05