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Real Valladolid v Mallorca — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 September 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–2
1.32 – 2.49 xG
Shots
13 – 17
On target
1 – 6
Shots in box
7 – 11
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.15
Set-piece xG
0.17 – 0.40
Goals − xG
-0.32 – -0.53
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.42.12.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Cyle Larin 58' — goalValery Fernández 82' — goalIván Sánchez 93' — goal
Real Valladolid 1.32 xGMallorca 2.53 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Cyle Larin 9' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Manuel Morlanes 15' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Darwin Machís 18' — Missed Shot (0.74 xG, Open Play)Juan Latasa 18' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Samú Costa 23' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Eray Cömert 27' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)Raul Moro 27' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Darwin Machís 29' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mario Martín 31' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Cyle Larin 37' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Raíllo 38' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Roberto Navarro 40' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Pablo Maffeo 41' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Darwin Machís 45' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Cyle Larin 46' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Kike Pérez 48' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kike Pérez 51' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Samú Costa 54' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Cyle Larin 58' — Goal (0.80 xG, Open Play)Samú Costa 61' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Iván Sánchez 66' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Raul Moro 71' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Copete 74' — Saved Shot (0.33 xG, From Corner)Raíllo 74' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Valery Fernández 82' — Goal (0.40 xG, Open Play)Abdón Prats 85' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Pablo Maffeo 89' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Valery Fernández 89' — Saved Shot (0.47 xG, Open Play)Juan Latasa 90' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Iván Sánchez 93' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Real Valladolid attacking right Mallorca attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
9' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Sergi Darder
15' Mallorca Manuel Morlanes 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
18' Real Valladolid Darwin Machís 0.74 Open Play Missed Shot
18' Real Valladolid Juan Latasa 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
23' Mallorca Samú Costa 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
27' Real Valladolid Eray Cömert 0.08 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Juan Latasa
27' Real Valladolid Raul Moro 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Juan Latasa
29' Real Valladolid Darwin Machís 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Raul Moro
31' Real Valladolid Mario Martín 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Lucas Rosa
37' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Johan Mojica
38' Mallorca Raíllo 0.05 From Corner Missed Shot Sergi Darder
40' Mallorca Roberto Navarro 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Sergi Darder
41' Mallorca Pablo Maffeo 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Cyle Larin
45' Real Valladolid Darwin Machís 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mario Martín
46' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pablo Maffeo
48' Real Valladolid Kike Pérez 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Raul Moro
51' Real Valladolid Kike Pérez 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
54' Mallorca Samú Costa 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
58' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.80 Open Play Right Foot Goal Dani Rodríguez
61' Mallorca Samú Costa 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Manuel Morlanes
66' Real Valladolid Iván Sánchez 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
71' Real Valladolid Raul Moro 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mamadou Sylla
74' Mallorca Copete 0.33 From Corner Saved Shot Raíllo
74' Mallorca Raíllo 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Sergi Darder
82' Mallorca Valery Fernández 0.40 Open Play Right Foot Goal
85' Mallorca Abdón Prats 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
89' Mallorca Pablo Maffeo 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Antonio Sánchez
89' Mallorca Valery Fernández 0.47 Open Play Saved Shot Pablo Maffeo
90' Real Valladolid Juan Latasa 0.07 From Corner Missed Shot Lucas Rosa
93' Real Valladolid Iván Sánchez 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal Mario Maroto

Players

Mallorca

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Copete DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.33 0.00 0.80
Pablo Maffeo DR 90 0 0 2 2 0.11 0.57 1.47
Samú Costa MC 90 0 0 3 0 0.07 0.00 1.06
Raíllo DC 90 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.33 0.80
Leo Román GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.80
Johan Mojica DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.91
Roberto Navarro MR 88 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.11
Dani Rodríguez FW 78 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.80 0.80
Sergi Darder ML 78 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.13 0.86
Cyle Larin FW 77 1 0 4 1 1.00 0.03 1.00
Manuel Morlanes MC 67 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.02 0.99
Omar Mascarell Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Abdón Prats Sub 13 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.11
Valery Fernández Sub 12 1 0 2 0 0.88 0.00 0.88
Chiquinho Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Antonio Sánchez Sub 2 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08

Real Valladolid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Juan Latasa FW 90 0 0 2 2 0.16 0.10 0.32
Eray Cömert MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.00
Raul Moro FWR 90 0 0 2 2 0.08 0.09 0.17
Karl Hein GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juma Bah DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Lucas Rosa DL 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.13 0.06
David Torres DC 74 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kike Pérez MC 67 0 0 2 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Mario Martín MC 67 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.03 0.11
Darwin Machís FWL 53 0 0 3 0 0.83 0.00 0.89
Luis Pérez DR 53 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Iván Sánchez Sub 37 1 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.03
Raúl Chasco Sub 37 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mamadou Sylla Sub 23 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06
Stanko Juric Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mario Maroto Sub 16 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.09
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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