Rosario Central v Newell's Old Boys — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Rosario Central

13:45

Newell's Old Boys

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 10h before kick-off

Rosario Central win

55.6%

model 55.9%

Draw

26.1%

model 25.7%

Newell's Old Boys win

18.3%

model 18.4%

562618

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.2%
1-1 12.0%
2-0 11.6%
0-0 9.4%
2-1 9.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.0%	Under 2.5	57.0%
BTTS yes	44.3%	BTTS no	55.7%
Rosario Central 1+	79.7%	Rosario Central 2+	47.3%
Newell's Old Boys 1+	55.2%	Newell's Old Boys 2+	19.2%

Expected goals 1.60 – 0.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Rosario Central (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 42%

56.8% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 920 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Rosario Central or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Rosario Central carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1475.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rosario Central have an estimated 55.6% win probability, against 26.1% for the draw and 18.3% for Newell's Old Boys. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for Rosario Central and 0.80 for Newell's Old Boys.

Why Rosario Central

Rosario Central carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1475.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.1%. A combined 2.40 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Newell's Old Boys can win

Nothing in the data singles out Newell's Old Boys.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Rosario Central, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Newell's Old Boys, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rosario Central: 61% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Newell's Old Boys: 47% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rosario Central's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Rosario Central are the model's most likely outcome at 55.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.2%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562618	1.60–0.80	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	552619	1.59–0.82	1-0 14%	43%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to win	55.2%	54.0%	41.7%	1.29×	1.85
Draw	25.8%	27.9%	30.6%	0.91×	3.59
Newell's Old Boys to win	19.0%	19.3%	27.8%	0.70×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central & not both score	34.7%	29.8%	27.8%	1.07×	3.36
Rosario Central & both teams score	20.5%	21.9%	14.1%	1.55×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	16.5%	17.9%	15.9%	1.12×	5.58
Newell's Old Boys & not both score	11.1%	13.2%	17.2%	0.77×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.3%	8.4%	14.8%	0.57×	11.94
Newell's Old Boys & both teams score	7.9%	8.4%	10.7%	0.79×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central & over 1.5	41.3%	40.3%	27.6%	1.46×	2.48
Rosario Central & under 3.5	40.6%	40.3%	34.9%	1.16×	2.48
Rosario Central & over 2.5	29.9%	26.0%	18.2%	1.43×	3.84
Rosario Central & under 2.5	25.3%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.4%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Newell's Old Boys & under 3.5	15.7%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Rosario Central & over 3.5	14.6%	12.9%	7.0%	1.84×	7.77
Rosario Central & under 1.5	13.9%	12.9%	14.2%	0.90×	7.77
Newell's Old Boys & over 1.5	11.9%	12.9%	17.5%	0.73×	7.78
Newell's Old Boys & under 2.5	10.1%	12.9%	14.7%	0.88×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.69
Newell's Old Boys & over 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.69
Newell's Old Boys & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.3%	0.76×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93
Newell's Old Boys & over 3.5	3.3%	4.8%	4.2%	1.13×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (1UP)	67.0%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Newell's Old Boys (1UP)	34.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (2UP)	55.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Newell's Old Boys (2UP)	19.0%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to win 2nd half	43.7%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
2nd half drawn	37.3%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Newell's Old Boys to win 2nd half	19.0%	19.4%	—	—	5.17

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (+2.5)	87.4%	88.5%	95.0%	0.93×	1.13
Rosario Central (+0.5)	81.0%	82.4%	72.2%	1.14×	1.21
Newell's Old Boys (+1.5)	70.3%	73.7%	82.5%	0.89×	1.36
Rosario Central (-0.5)	55.2%	57.0%	41.7%	1.37×	1.76
Newell's Old Boys (+0.5)	44.8%	43.0%	58.3%	0.74×	2.33
Rosario Central (-1.5)	29.7%	26.3%	17.5%	1.50×	3.80
Newell's Old Boys (-0.5)	19.0%	17.6%	27.8%	0.63×	5.68
Rosario Central (-2.5)	12.6%	11.5%	5.0%	2.28×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to concede	79.6%	79.0%	68.1%	1.16×	1.27
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet	20.4%	21.0%	31.9%	0.66×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to concede in 1st half	49.5%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet in 1st half	50.5%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 6.5 corners	93.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Newell's Old Boys under 5.5 corners	87.8%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Newell's Old Boys under 4.5 corners	77.9%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 corners	63.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 corners	56.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 corners	43.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 corners	37.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Newell's Old Boys over 4.5 corners	22.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Newell's Old Boys over 5.5 corners	12.2%	15.1%	—	—	6.63
Newell's Old Boys over 6.5 corners	6.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.6%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Newell's Old Boys under 2.5 goals	95.0%	92.4%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 goals	80.2%	81.5%	78.2%	1.04×	1.23
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 goals	56.0%	59.6%	57.6%	1.04×	1.68
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 goals	44.0%	40.4%	42.4%	0.95×	2.48
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 goals	19.8%	18.5%	21.8%	0.85×	5.39
Newell's Old Boys over 2.5 goals	5.0%	7.6%	6.7%	1.15×	13.09
Newell's Old Boys over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.4%	1.1%	2.12×	41.15

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys under 1.5 in 1st half	95.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Newell's Old Boys under 0.5 in 1st half	72.0%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Newell's Old Boys over 0.5 in 1st half	28.0%	30.7%	—	—	3.26
Newell's Old Boys over 1.5 in 1st half	4.3%	4.4%	—	—	22.67

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (away no bet)	68.2%	66.5%	57.7%	1.15×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	31.8%	33.5%	42.3%	0.79×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys even goals	59.7%	57.0%	58.4%	0.98×	1.76
Newell's Old Boys odd goals	40.3%	43.0%	41.6%	1.03×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.36

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.8%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.2%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.3%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Rosario Central to score 2+ in a row	41.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.08
Rosario Central to score 3+ in a row	16.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Newell's Old Boys to score 2+ in a row	14.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.46

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central corners (+3.5)	97.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Rosario Central corners (+2.5)	95.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Rosario Central corners (+1.5)	92.5%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Rosario Central corners (-1.5)	72.6%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Rosario Central corners (-2.5)	63.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Rosario Central corners (-3.5)	52.8%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Newell's Old Boys corners (+3.5)	47.2%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Newell's Old Boys corners (+2.5)	37.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Newell's Old Boys corners (+1.5)	27.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Newell's Old Boys corners (-1.5)	7.5%	11.3%	—	—	8.82
Newell's Old Boys corners (-2.5)	4.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Newell's Old Boys corners (-3.5)	2.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.66

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.7%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
12+ corners	34.6%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
9-11 corners	28.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	73.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.4%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	63.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	56.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	46.7%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	43.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	34.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	27.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	26.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.9%	11.5%	14.2%	0.81×	8.73
1-1	12.1%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
2-0	11.4%	11.5%	9.5%	1.20×	8.73
0-0	9.3%	7.4%	14.8%	0.50×	13.46
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.46
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.46
3-0	6.0%	7.4%	2.8%	2.70×	13.46
1-2	4.8%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.56
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.56
0-2	3.0%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.58
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.59
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.59
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.59
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	4.96×	58.59
2-2	3.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.57
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.14×	58.59
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	14.88×	58.59
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.58
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	4.96×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.88×	58.59
4-0	2.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.58
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.58
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	4.96×	58.59
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.44×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.44×	58.59
Any other score	2.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central leading at HT (DNB)	71.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT (DNB)	28.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central or draw (1X)	81.0%	80.7%	72.2%	1.12×	1.24
Rosario Central or Newell's Old Boys (12)	74.2%	72.1%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Newell's Old Boys or draw (X2)	44.8%	46.0%	58.3%	0.79×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central or draw at HT	84.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Newell's Old Boys or draw at HT	60.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Rosario Central or Newell's Old Boys at HT	54.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central or draw (1UP)	81.0%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Newell's Old Boys or draw (1UP)	44.8%	53.0%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central or draw in 2nd half	81.0%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Rosario Central or Newell's Old Boys in 2nd half	62.7%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Newell's Old Boys or draw in 2nd half	56.3%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.2%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	34.8%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (DNB)	74.4%	71.5%	60.1%	1.19×	1.40
Newell's Old Boys (DNB)	25.6%	28.5%	39.9%	0.71×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to score first	59.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Newell's Old Boys to score first	30.9%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
No goal scored	9.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.1%	54.7%	59.5%	0.92×	1.83
Both teams to score	44.9%	45.3%	40.5%	1.12×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.7%	41.6%	52.9%	0.79×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	32.8%	34.4%	27.2%	1.27×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.4%	12.3%	6.8%	1.82×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.6%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.4%	10.9%	5.8%	1.87×	9.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.7%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.3%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Both score 2nd half only	20.1%	21.0%	—	—	4.75
Both score 1st half only	10.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Both score in both halves	3.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.29

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.1%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.9%	14.7%	—	—	6.82

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	48.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.4%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	30.3%	30.7%	39.1%	0.78×	3.26
4-6 goals	21.1%	22.8%	13.3%	1.71×	4.38
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	0.5%	3.94×	55.32

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 0	44.0%	37.0%	42.4%	0.87×	2.70
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Newell's Old Boys to score exactly 2	14.8%	12.8%	15.3%	0.84×	7.79
Newell's Old Boys to score 3+	5.0%	8.5%	6.7%	1.27×	11.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to score exactly 1	32.4%	32.6%	36.6%	0.89×	3.06
Rosario Central to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.5%	21.8%	1.22×	3.77
Rosario Central to score 3+	21.4%	23.3%	10.0%	2.33×	4.30
Rosario Central to score exactly 0	20.4%	23.3%	31.9%	0.73×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.1%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Rosario Central leading at HT	39.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Newell's Old Boys leading at HT	15.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central -1: 2	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Rosario Central -1: 1	29.7%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Rosario Central -1: X	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:1)	44.8%	42.8%	58.3%	0.73×	2.34
Rosario Central (0:1)	29.7%	27.0%	17.5%	1.54×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	25.5%	27.0%	24.3%	1.11×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:2)	70.3%	75.5%	82.5%	0.92×	1.33
Draw (0:2)	17.2%	15.3%	12.6%	1.21×	6.53
Rosario Central (0:2)	12.6%	11.0%	5.0%	2.18×	9.08

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:3)	87.4%	90.8%	95.0%	0.96×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.2%	5.8%	3.4%	1.69×	17.22
Rosario Central (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	41.95

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys (0:4)	95.7%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.11
Rosario Central (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	0.6%	2.09×	83.33

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (1:0)	81.0%	81.4%	72.2%	1.13×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	13.0%	12.8%	18.7%	0.69×	7.80
Newell's Old Boys (1:0)	6.0%	6.9%	9.2%	0.75×	14.51

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central (2:0)	94.0%	94.0%	90.8%	1.03×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.6%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	44.12
Newell's Old Boys (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to concede	56.0%	60.9%	57.6%	1.06×	1.64
Rosario Central clean sheet	44.0%	39.1%	42.4%	0.92×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central clean sheet in 1st half	72.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Rosario Central to concede in 1st half	28.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central over 2.5 corners	92.8%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Rosario Central over 3.5 corners	85.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Rosario Central over 4.5 corners	75.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Rosario Central over 5.5 corners	64.0%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Rosario Central over 6.5 corners	52.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Rosario Central under 6.5 corners	47.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Rosario Central under 5.5 corners	36.0%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Rosario Central under 4.5 corners	24.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Rosario Central under 3.5 corners	14.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Rosario Central under 2.5 corners	7.2%	11.7%	—	—	8.54

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central under 3.5 goals	92.3%	92.2%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Rosario Central over 0.5 goals	79.6%	77.7%	68.1%	1.14×	1.29
Rosario Central under 2.5 goals	78.6%	77.7%	90.0%	0.86×	1.29
Rosario Central under 1.5 goals	52.9%	53.3%	68.3%	0.78×	1.88
Rosario Central over 1.5 goals	47.1%	46.7%	31.7%	1.47×	2.14
Rosario Central over 2.5 goals	21.4%	22.3%	10.0%	2.23×	4.49
Rosario Central under 0.5 goals	20.4%	22.3%	31.9%	0.70×	4.49
Rosario Central over 3.5 goals	7.7%	7.8%	2.9%	2.71×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central under 1.5 in 1st half	85.0%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Rosario Central over 0.5 in 1st half	49.5%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Rosario Central under 0.5 in 1st half	50.5%	48.9%	—	—	2.04
Rosario Central over 1.5 in 1st half	15.0%	15.2%	—	—	6.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.6%	56.7%	52.5%	1.08×	1.76
Newell's Old Boys (home no bet)	42.4%	43.3%	47.5%	0.91×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central even goals	52.1%	50.6%	55.7%	0.91×	1.98
Rosario Central odd goals	47.9%	49.4%	44.3%	1.12×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	24.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
HT 2-0	8.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
HT 1-1	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.65
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.72
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.79
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.83
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central at HT / Rosario Central at FT	33.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Draw at HT / Rosario Central at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	9.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Draw at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	8.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Rosario Central at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
Newell's Old Boys at HT / Rosario Central at FT	2.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.20
Rosario Central at HT / Newell's Old Boys at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.24

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central to score last	59.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Newell's Old Boys to score last	30.8%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	9.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Rosario Central to lead by 1 at any time	67.0%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Rosario Central to lead by 2 at any time	35.0%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 1 at any time	34.5%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Rosario Central to lead by 3 at any time	14.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 2 at any time	9.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.23
Newell's Old Boys to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central most corners	81.0%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Newell's Old Boys most corners	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.39
Corners level	6.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.92

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.4%	69.0%	71.7%	0.96×	1.45
2-6 goals	68.5%	69.0%	60.6%	1.14×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.1%	69.0%	60.0%	1.15×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.0%	59.2%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	47.4%	48.7%	51.5%	0.95×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.7%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.1%	43.6%	33.5%	1.30×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.6%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.6%	35.4%	28.7%	1.23×	2.83
4-6 goals	21.1%	24.4%	13.3%	1.84×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.7%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.37
5-6 goals	8.5%	8.7%	4.9%	1.77×	11.43
7+ goals	1.2%	2.5%	0.5%	5.52×	39.53

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rosario Central never behind	56.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Newell's Old Boys never behind	23.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.8%	49.1%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.4%	95.5%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	77.7%	77.4%	86.4%	0.90×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.7%	66.3%	60.9%	1.09×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	56.7%	58.8%	66.2%	0.89×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	43.3%	41.2%	33.8%	1.22×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	30.3%	33.7%	39.1%	0.86×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	22.3%	22.6%	13.6%	1.66×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	14.8%	0.52×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.6%	4.5%	1.0%	4.37×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.3%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.1%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.9%	86.7%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.8%	72.6%	82.9%	0.88×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.8%	55.5%	46.4%	1.20×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.2%	44.5%	53.6%	0.83×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.2%	27.4%	17.1%	1.60×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.1%	13.3%	5.8%	2.30×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.9%	2.8%	1.1%	2.55×	36.33
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.7%	0.5%	5.95×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.8%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.2%	7.2%	—	—	13.89

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.4%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.2%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.8%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.6%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to score in both halves	89.1%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Rosario Central not to score in both halves	70.5%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Rosario Central to score in both halves	29.5%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Newell's Old Boys to score in both halves	10.9%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.9%	46.6%	40.5%	1.15×	2.14
Only Rosario Central scores	34.7%	33.4%	27.8%	1.20×	2.99
Only Newell's Old Boys scores	11.1%	10.9%	17.2%	0.64×	9.14
Neither team scores	9.3%	7.2%	14.8%	0.49×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	21.0%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	20.9%	22.6%	20.3%	1.12×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.6%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	9.3%	7.6%	14.8%	0.51×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.1%	7.6%	4.4%	1.75×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.6%	4.4%	1.0%	4.28×	22.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	34.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to win both halves	97.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Rosario Central not to win both halves	82.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Rosario Central to win both halves	17.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Newell's Old Boys to win both halves	3.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.48

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys to win neither half	68.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Rosario Central to win either half	65.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Rosario Central to win neither half	34.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Newell's Old Boys to win either half	31.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newell's Old Boys not to win to nil	88.9%	88.2%	82.8%	1.07×	1.13
Rosario Central not to win to nil	65.3%	69.6%	72.2%	0.96×	1.44
Rosario Central to win to nil	34.7%	30.4%	27.8%	1.10×	3.29
Newell's Old Boys to win to nil	11.1%	11.8%	17.2%	0.68×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.8%	27.8%	30.6%	0.91×	3.59
Rosario Central by 1	25.5%	27.8%	24.3%	1.14×	3.59
Rosario Central by 2	17.2%	16.9%	12.6%	1.34×	5.90
Newell's Old Boys by 1	13.0%	11.8%	18.7%	0.63×	8.46
Rosario Central by 3+	12.6%	11.8%	5.0%	2.34×	8.46
Newell's Old Boys by 2	4.6%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.92
Newell's Old Boys by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	37.03