San Jose Earthquakes v LAFC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

San Jose Earthquakes

19:30

LAFC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 328h before kick-off

San Jose Earthquakes win

26.6%

model 29.8%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.1%

LAFC win

46.8%

model 45.1%

272747

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
1-2 9.3%
0-1 8.1%
2-1 7.3%
0-2 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.6%	Under 2.5	43.4%
BTTS yes	59.3%	BTTS no	40.7%
San Jose Earthquakes 1+	72.8%	San Jose Earthquakes 2+	37.4%
LAFC 1+	80.8%	LAFC 2+	49.1%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.65. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

LAFC or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 55%

72.2% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1552 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

San Jose Earthquakes to concede

Home clean sheet · usually 73%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 244 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1570 Elo against 1459.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

LAFC have an estimated 46.8% win probability, against 26.6% for San Jose Earthquakes and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.65 for LAFC.

Why San Jose Earthquakes

Nothing in the data singles out San Jose Earthquakes.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why LAFC can win

LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1570 Elo against 1459.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for San Jose Earthquakes, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for LAFC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

San Jose Earthquakes: 54% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. LAFC: 50% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

LAFC are the model's most likely outcome at 46.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302545	1.30–1.65	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	272647	1.19–1.62	1-1 12%	53%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win	47.0%	47.5%	29.9%	1.59×	2.11
San Jose Earthquakes to win	27.4%	27.9%	45.4%	0.61×	3.59
Draw	25.6%	27.9%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC & not both score	24.0%	21.9%	12.3%	1.79×	4.57
LAFC & both teams score	23.0%	21.9%	17.8%	1.23×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
San Jose Earthquakes & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	24.4%	0.54×	7.55
San Jose Earthquakes & not both score	13.2%	13.2%	21.1%	0.63×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.5%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC & over 1.5	37.8%	34.9%	23.5%	1.49×	2.86
LAFC & under 3.5	30.9%	30.9%	18.8%	1.64×	3.24
LAFC & over 2.5	29.8%	26.0%	20.3%	1.28×	3.84
San Jose Earthquakes & over 1.5	20.8%	21.6%	37.1%	0.58×	4.62
San Jose Earthquakes & under 3.5	19.4%	18.0%	28.3%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
San Jose Earthquakes & over 2.5	16.5%	18.0%	30.9%	0.58×	5.56
LAFC & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	9.7%	1.85×	5.56
LAFC & over 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	11.2%	1.60×	5.56
San Jose Earthquakes & under 2.5	10.9%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.78
LAFC & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.69
San Jose Earthquakes & over 3.5	8.0%	7.9%	17.2%	0.46×	12.69
San Jose Earthquakes & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (1UP)	62.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
San Jose Earthquakes (1UP)	45.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (2UP)	47.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01
San Jose Earthquakes (2UP)	27.4%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win 2nd half	41.2%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	34.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
San Jose Earthquakes to win 2nd half	24.4%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (+2.5)	96.4%	96.3%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
LAFC (+1.5)	88.7%	88.5%	76.7%	1.15×	1.13
LAFC (+0.5)	72.6%	73.7%	54.6%	1.35×	1.36
San Jose Earthquakes (+0.5)	53.0%	52.3%	70.1%	0.75×	1.91
LAFC (-0.5)	47.0%	47.7%	29.9%	1.59×	2.10
San Jose Earthquakes (-0.5)	27.4%	26.3%	45.4%	0.58×	3.80
San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)	11.3%	11.5%	23.3%	0.49×	8.70
San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)	3.6%	3.7%	10.5%	0.35×	26.78

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to concede	69.5%	72.6%	82.0%	0.88×	1.38
LAFC clean sheet	30.5%	27.4%	18.0%	1.53×	3.65

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC clean sheet in 1st half	60.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
LAFC to concede in 1st half	39.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC over 2.5 corners	81.0%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
LAFC under 6.5 corners	73.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
LAFC over 3.5 corners	67.0%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
LAFC under 5.5 corners	61.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
LAFC over 4.5 corners	52.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
LAFC under 4.5 corners	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
LAFC over 5.5 corners	38.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
LAFC under 3.5 corners	33.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
LAFC over 6.5 corners	26.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
LAFC under 2.5 corners	19.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC under 3.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	93.9%	0.98×	1.08
LAFC over 0.5 goals	80.3%	81.5%	73.2%	1.11×	1.23
LAFC under 2.5 goals	77.7%	76.2%	83.3%	0.92×	1.31
LAFC under 1.5 goals	51.8%	53.7%	61.3%	0.88×	1.86
LAFC over 1.5 goals	48.2%	46.3%	38.7%	1.20×	2.16
LAFC over 2.5 goals	22.3%	23.8%	16.7%	1.42×	4.21
LAFC under 0.5 goals	19.7%	18.5%	26.8%	0.69×	5.39
LAFC over 3.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	6.1%	1.26×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC under 1.5 in 1st half	86.2%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
LAFC under 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
LAFC over 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
LAFC over 1.5 in 1st half	13.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.51

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (away no bet)	51.7%	51.2%	64.6%	0.79×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	48.3%	48.8%	35.4%	1.38×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC even goals	51.9%	52.7%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
LAFC odd goals	48.1%	47.3%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.2%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.8%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.2%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.5%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
LAFC to score 2+ in a row	39.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
San Jose Earthquakes to score 2+ in a row	24.4%	19.4%	—	—	5.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.19
LAFC to score 3+ in a row	14.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
San Jose Earthquakes to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.6%	—	—	18.02

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes corners (+3.5)	89.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
San Jose Earthquakes corners (+2.5)	83.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
San Jose Earthquakes corners (+1.5)	77.5%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
LAFC corners (+3.5)	66.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
LAFC corners (+2.5)	57.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
San Jose Earthquakes corners (-1.5)	51.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
LAFC corners (+1.5)	48.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
San Jose Earthquakes corners (-2.5)	42.5%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
San Jose Earthquakes corners (-3.5)	33.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
LAFC corners (-1.5)	22.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
LAFC corners (-2.5)	16.1%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
LAFC corners (-3.5)	11.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	49.3%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
9-11 corners	26.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
0-8 corners	24.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	83.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 8.5 corners	75.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	67.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 12.5 corners	59.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	58.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	50.7%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 11.5 corners	49.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 10.5 corners	41.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	40.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	32.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 8.5 corners	24.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	16.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.1%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
1-2	9.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.46
0-1	9.3%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.46
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
0-0	6.5%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.46
0-2	7.9%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.46
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.46
1-3	5.1%	7.4%	3.4%	2.16×	13.46
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.46
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.58
2-0	4.2%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.57
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.58
3-1	2.7%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.58
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.58
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.59
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.59
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.59
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.59
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.59
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.72×	58.59
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.57
0-3	4.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.57
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC leading at HT (DNB)	57.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
San Jose Earthquakes leading at HT (DNB)	42.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes or LAFC (12)	74.4%	72.1%	75.1%	0.96×	1.39
LAFC or draw (X2)	72.6%	72.1%	54.6%	1.32×	1.39
San Jose Earthquakes or draw (1X)	53.0%	52.5%	70.1%	0.75×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw at HT	75.9%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
San Jose Earthquakes or draw at HT	66.9%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
San Jose Earthquakes or LAFC at HT	57.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw (1UP)	72.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
San Jose Earthquakes or draw (1UP)	53.0%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC or draw in 2nd half	75.6%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
San Jose Earthquakes or LAFC in 2nd half	65.6%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
San Jose Earthquakes or draw in 2nd half	58.8%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.0%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (DNB)	63.2%	62.9%	39.7%	1.58×	1.59
San Jose Earthquakes (DNB)	36.8%	37.1%	60.3%	0.62×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score first	54.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
San Jose Earthquakes to score first	39.5%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	6.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.59

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.3%	54.8%	61.1%	0.90×	1.83
Not both teams to score	43.7%	45.2%	38.9%	1.16×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.1%	41.6%	50.9%	0.82×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	34.6%	34.4%	29.9%	1.15×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.0%	83.2%	79.5%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.0%	16.8%	20.5%	0.82×	5.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.9%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	13.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Both score in both halves	5.8%	6.7%	—	—	15.01

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
4-6 goals	28.5%	26.4%	33.1%	0.80×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.5%	22.8%	20.5%	1.11×	4.38
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score exactly 1	32.0%	33.9%	34.6%	0.98×	2.95
LAFC to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	22.1%	1.24×	3.65
LAFC to score 3+	22.3%	22.4%	16.7%	1.34×	4.47
LAFC to score exactly 0	19.7%	19.6%	26.8%	0.73×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.6%	31.0%	1.15×	2.81
San Jose Earthquakes to score exactly 0	30.5%	32.6%	18.0%	1.81×	3.07
San Jose Earthquakes to score exactly 2	21.5%	23.3%	26.0%	0.89×	4.30
San Jose Earthquakes to score 3+	11.7%	14.3%	25.2%	0.57×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
LAFC leading at HT	33.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
San Jose Earthquakes leading at HT	24.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC -1: 1	53.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
LAFC -1: 2	24.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
LAFC -1: X	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (0:1)	72.6%	71.0%	54.6%	1.30×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	16.1%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.62
San Jose Earthquakes (0:1)	11.3%	13.8%	23.3%	0.59×	7.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (0:2)	88.7%	87.0%	76.7%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.7%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	12.97
San Jose Earthquakes (0:2)	3.6%	3.8%	10.5%	0.36×	26.48

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (0:3)	96.4%	96.6%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	42.02
San Jose Earthquakes (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.39
San Jose Earthquakes (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.45

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (1:0)	53.0%	54.1%	70.1%	0.77×	1.85
LAFC (1:0)	24.8%	21.7%	13.2%	1.65×	4.60
Draw (1:0)	22.2%	21.7%	16.8%	1.29×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (2:0)	75.2%	80.3%	86.8%	0.92×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	14.4%	10.4%	8.7%	1.20×	9.60
LAFC (2:0)	10.4%	10.4%	4.6%	2.27×	9.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes to concede	80.3%	80.7%	73.2%	1.10×	1.24
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet	19.7%	19.3%	26.8%	0.72×	5.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet in 1st half	52.2%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
San Jose Earthquakes to concede in 1st half	47.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes over 2.5 corners	91.4%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
San Jose Earthquakes over 3.5 corners	83.0%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
San Jose Earthquakes over 4.5 corners	72.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
San Jose Earthquakes over 5.5 corners	60.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
San Jose Earthquakes under 6.5 corners	51.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
San Jose Earthquakes over 6.5 corners	48.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
San Jose Earthquakes under 5.5 corners	39.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
San Jose Earthquakes under 4.5 corners	27.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
San Jose Earthquakes under 3.5 corners	17.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
San Jose Earthquakes under 2.5 corners	8.6%	11.7%	—	—	8.52

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes under 3.5 goals	96.7%	96.4%	90.6%	1.06×	1.04
San Jose Earthquakes under 2.5 goals	88.3%	87.2%	74.8%	1.17×	1.15
San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 goals	69.5%	67.9%	82.0%	0.83×	1.47
San Jose Earthquakes under 1.5 goals	66.8%	67.9%	48.9%	1.39×	1.47
San Jose Earthquakes over 1.5 goals	33.2%	32.1%	51.1%	0.63×	3.12
San Jose Earthquakes under 0.5 goals	30.5%	32.1%	18.0%	1.78×	3.12
San Jose Earthquakes over 2.5 goals	11.7%	12.8%	25.2%	0.51×	7.84
San Jose Earthquakes over 3.5 goals	3.3%	3.6%	9.4%	0.39×	27.42

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes under 1.5 in 1st half	90.7%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
San Jose Earthquakes under 0.5 in 1st half	60.1%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 in 1st half	39.9%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
San Jose Earthquakes over 1.5 in 1st half	9.3%	4.6%	—	—	21.56

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC (home no bet)	64.8%	60.2%	54.6%	1.10×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	35.2%	39.8%	45.4%	0.88×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes even goals	54.7%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
San Jose Earthquakes odd goals	45.3%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
HT 0-1	20.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	15.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 0-2	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
Any other HT score	4.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.60
HT 2-0	4.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.62
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.67
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.73
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.87

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC at HT / LAFC at FT	26.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Draw at HT / LAFC at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
San Jose Earthquakes at HT / San Jose Earthquakes at FT	15.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / San Jose Earthquakes at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
San Jose Earthquakes at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
LAFC at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
San Jose Earthquakes at HT / LAFC at FT	3.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.16
LAFC at HT / San Jose Earthquakes at FT	1.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.22

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to score last	54.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
San Jose Earthquakes to score last	39.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	6.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.59

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
LAFC to lead by 1 at any time	62.7%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
San Jose Earthquakes to lead by 1 at any time	45.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
LAFC to lead by 2 at any time	31.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
San Jose Earthquakes to lead by 2 at any time	16.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
LAFC to lead by 3 at any time	12.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
San Jose Earthquakes to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	1.6%	—	—	60.88

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes most corners	61.0%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
LAFC most corners	30.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Corners level	8.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.1%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.1%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.0%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.5%	63.5%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.2%	63.5%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.8%	53.1%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.7%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.7%	48.7%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.2%	43.6%	34.4%	1.27×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.9%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.5%	30.2%	33.1%	0.91×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.4%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.9%	14.9%	17.2%	0.86×	6.73
7+ goals	2.5%	2.5%	4.1%	0.61×	39.47

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC never behind	47.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
San Jose Earthquakes never behind	30.8%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.6%	82.4%	78.8%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	77.5%	77.4%	79.5%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.0%	66.3%	62.9%	1.05×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.3%	52.4%	59.9%	0.88×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	46.7%	47.6%	40.1%	1.19×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	31.0%	33.7%	37.1%	0.91×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.5%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	15.4%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	11.1%	0.69×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.3%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.8%	92.5%	87.6%	1.06×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.8%	81.1%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.3%	72.6%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.1%	62.1%	51.9%	1.20×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.9%	37.9%	48.1%	0.79×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.7%	27.4%	25.5%	1.08×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.2%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.2%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.37

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.5%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.0%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes not to score in both halves	80.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
LAFC not to score in both halves	70.3%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
LAFC to score in both halves	29.7%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
San Jose Earthquakes to score in both halves	19.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.3%	58.2%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
Only LAFC scores	24.0%	22.4%	12.3%	1.83×	4.47
Only San Jose Earthquakes scores	13.2%	10.9%	21.1%	0.52×	9.14
Neither team scores	6.5%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.95

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.3%	22.7%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	15.9%	17.4%	14.8%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.6%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.8%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.5%	7.6%	5.8%	1.30×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.6%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	19.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes not to win both halves	94.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
LAFC not to win both halves	86.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
LAFC to win both halves	13.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
San Jose Earthquakes to win both halves	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LAFC to win either half	60.5%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
San Jose Earthquakes to win neither half	57.4%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
San Jose Earthquakes to win either half	42.6%	40.6%	—	—	2.47
LAFC to win neither half	39.5%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes not to win to nil	86.8%	88.2%	78.9%	1.12×	1.13
LAFC not to win to nil	76.0%	78.0%	87.7%	0.89×	1.28
LAFC to win to nil	24.0%	22.0%	12.3%	1.79×	4.55
San Jose Earthquakes to win to nil	13.2%	11.8%	21.1%	0.56×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.6%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
LAFC by 1	22.2%	24.1%	16.8%	1.43×	4.14
San Jose Earthquakes by 1	16.1%	16.9%	22.2%	0.76×	5.90
LAFC by 2	14.4%	11.8%	8.7%	1.36×	8.46
LAFC by 3+	10.4%	11.8%	4.6%	2.58×	8.47
San Jose Earthquakes by 2	7.7%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.80
San Jose Earthquakes by 3+	3.6%	2.7%	10.5%	0.26×	36.95