Schalke 04 v Elversberg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Schalke 04

11:30

Elversberg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 344h before kick-off

Schalke 04 win

39.0%

model 39.1%

Draw

21.9%

model 21.5%

Elversberg win

39.1%

model 39.5%

392239

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 8.3%
1-2 7.8%
2-1 7.7%
2-2 7.3%
1-3 4.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	72.2%	Under 2.5	27.8%
BTTS yes	71.6%	BTTS no	28.4%
Schalke 04 1+	84.6%	Schalke 04 2+	55.7%
Elversberg 1+	84.7%	Elversberg 2+	56.0%

Expected goals 1.87 – 1.88. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

81/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

81%

★ Best pick

Elversberg over 0.5 in 1st half

Away goals O/U 1HT · usually 46%

67.0% fair odds 1.49

strong signal · 544 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 77%

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Elversberg carry the stronger rating, 1630 Elo against 1588.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.81).

Why the model thinks this

The price

Elversberg have an estimated 39.1% win probability, against 39.0% for Schalke 04 and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.87 for Schalke 04 and 1.88 for Elversberg.

Why Schalke 04

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. They have had 21 days' rest to Elversberg's 15.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.87 to 1.88. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Elversberg can win

Elversberg carry the stronger rating, 1630 Elo against 1588. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Schalke 04's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Moussa Sylla (0.56), Dejan Ljubicic (0.25), Adil Aouchiche (0.21). Elversberg's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: David Mokwa (0.48), Lukas Petkov (0.26), Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka (0.20).

Availability

Schalke 04 had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.13 expected goal involvements a match. Reported unavailable for Schalke 04: Ron Schallenberg (suspended).

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Schalke 04: 53% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.68 xG a match from set pieces. Elversberg: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.07 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Elversberg are the model's most likely outcome at 39.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 8.3%. Confidence 81/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	392139	1.87–1.88	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	271558	2.49–3.51	2-3 6%	94%	89%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg to win	41.1%	43.0%	33.5%	1.28×	2.33
Schalke 04 to win	39.3%	36.5%	41.7%	0.87×	2.74
Draw	19.6%	19.4%	24.9%	0.78×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg & both teams score	31.0%	29.7%	18.3%	1.63×	3.37
Schalke 04 & both teams score	29.8%	25.2%	22.2%	1.13×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	17.9%	19.2%	0.93×	5.58
Elversberg & not both score	10.1%	13.3%	15.4%	0.86×	7.55
Schalke 04 & not both score	9.5%	8.4%	19.7%	0.43×	11.92
Draw & not both score	1.2%	4.8%	5.9%	0.83×	20.63

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg & over 1.5	38.3%	34.9%	27.6%	1.26×	2.86
Schalke 04 & over 1.5	36.7%	34.9%	35.6%	0.98×	2.86
Elversberg & over 2.5	35.3%	34.9%	23.3%	1.50×	2.87
Schalke 04 & over 2.5	33.8%	30.9%	29.5%	1.05×	3.24
Elversberg & over 3.5	26.5%	26.0%	13.8%	1.89×	3.84
Schalke 04 & over 3.5	25.2%	26.0%	20.3%	1.28×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Elversberg & under 3.5	14.6%	12.9%	19.8%	0.65×	7.77
Schalke 04 & under 3.5	14.1%	12.9%	21.6%	0.60×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	12.5%	12.9%	9.5%	1.35×	7.77
Draw & over 3.5	12.5%	12.9%	9.5%	1.35×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	15.6%	0.51×	12.70
Draw & under 3.5	7.1%	7.9%	15.6%	0.51×	12.70
Schalke 04 & under 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	12.4%	0.64×	12.70
Elversberg & under 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	10.3%	0.76×	12.70
Schalke 04 & under 1.5	2.6%	4.8%	6.3%	0.75×	20.93
Elversberg & under 1.5	2.7%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	1.2%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg (1UP)	63.8%	63.2%	52.8%	1.20×	1.58
Schalke 04 (1UP)	62.5%	63.1%	59.6%	1.06×	1.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg (2UP)	41.1%	47.5%	36.4%	1.31×	2.11
Schalke 04 (2UP)	39.3%	37.3%	45.2%	0.83×	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to win 2nd half	51.1%	52.0%	37.2%	1.40×	1.92
2nd half drawn	26.8%	26.3%	33.5%	0.78×	3.80
Elversberg to win 2nd half	22.1%	23.0%	29.4%	0.78×	4.36

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg (+2.5)	89.3%	88.5%	88.3%	1.00×	1.13
Elversberg (+1.5)	77.8%	78.5%	75.2%	1.04×	1.28
Elversberg (+0.5)	60.7%	62.9%	58.3%	1.08×	1.59
Schalke 04 (+0.5)	58.9%	57.0%	66.5%	0.86×	1.75
Elversberg (-0.5)	41.1%	43.0%	33.5%	1.28×	2.33
Schalke 04 (-0.5)	39.3%	37.1%	41.7%	0.89×	2.69
Schalke 04 (-1.5)	22.2%	21.5%	24.8%	0.87×	4.64
Schalke 04 (-2.5)	10.7%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg to concede	88.7%	86.5%	78.9%	1.10×	1.16
Elversberg clean sheet	11.3%	13.5%	21.1%	0.64×	7.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg clean sheet in 1st half	47.8%	50.6%	48.2%	1.05×	1.98
Elversberg to concede in 1st half	52.2%	49.4%	51.8%	0.95×	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg under 6.5 corners	83.2%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Elversberg under 5.5 corners	73.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Elversberg over 2.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Elversberg under 4.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Elversberg over 3.5 corners	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Elversberg under 3.5 corners	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Elversberg over 4.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Elversberg under 2.5 corners	27.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Elversberg over 5.5 corners	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Elversberg over 6.5 corners	16.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg over 0.5 goals	89.2%	87.9%	74.6%	1.18×	1.14
Elversberg under 3.5 goals	81.4%	81.4%	92.9%	0.88×	1.23
Elversberg over 1.5 goals	65.3%	67.9%	42.7%	1.59×	1.47
Elversberg under 2.5 goals	61.5%	62.9%	79.2%	0.79×	1.59
Elversberg over 2.5 goals	38.5%	37.1%	20.8%	1.78×	2.70
Elversberg under 1.5 goals	34.7%	32.1%	57.3%	0.56×	3.12
Elversberg over 3.5 goals	18.6%	18.6%	7.1%	2.60×	5.38
Elversberg under 0.5 goals	10.8%	12.1%	25.4%	0.48×	8.27

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg over 0.5 in 1st half	74.9%	68.9%	45.5%	1.52×	1.45
Elversberg under 1.5 in 1st half	59.8%	62.6%	85.9%	0.73×	1.60
Elversberg over 1.5 in 1st half	40.2%	37.4%	14.1%	2.64×	2.68
Elversberg under 0.5 in 1st half	25.1%	31.1%	54.5%	0.57×	3.21

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 (away no bet)	66.7%	66.4%	62.6%	1.06×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.3%	33.6%	37.4%	0.90×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg even goals	50.6%	52.8%	53.2%	0.99×	1.90
Elversberg odd goals	49.4%	47.2%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	58.3%	54.4%	76.0%	0.72×	1.84
Both halves over 1.5 goals	41.7%	45.6%	24.0%	1.90×	2.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	87.5%	84.2%	72.2%	1.17×	1.19
Both halves under 1.5 goals	12.5%	15.8%	27.8%	0.57×	6.31

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	79.2%	76.2%	66.8%	1.14×	1.31
Elversberg to score 2+ in a row	50.3%	51.3%	34.5%	1.49×	1.95
Schalke 04 to score 2+ in a row	48.9%	46.0%	42.4%	1.08×	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	38.7%	36.6%	29.3%	1.25×	2.74
Elversberg to score 3+ in a row	20.8%	19.5%	12.6%	1.55×	5.14
Schalke 04 to score 3+ in a row	19.8%	16.5%	17.6%	0.93×	6.07

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 corners (+3.5)	86.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Elversberg corners (+3.5)	80.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Schalke 04 corners (+2.5)	79.9%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Elversberg corners (+2.5)	72.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Schalke 04 corners (+1.5)	71.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Elversberg corners (+1.5)	62.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Schalke 04 corners (-1.5)	37.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Elversberg corners (-1.5)	28.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Schalke 04 corners (-2.5)	27.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Elversberg corners (-2.5)	20.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Schalke 04 corners (-3.5)	19.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Elversberg corners (-3.5)	13.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	21.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.4%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	78.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.3%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	60.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 9.5 corners	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	29.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	15.6%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	14.0%	11.5%	5.2%	2.19×	8.73
1-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.47
2-2	7.2%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.47
1-1	5.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.47
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.47
2-3	5.3%	7.4%	2.7%	2.75×	13.47
3-2	5.2%	7.4%	3.5%	2.13×	13.47
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.50
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.50
0-0	1.2%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.52
0-1	2.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.28×	58.51
0-2	3.0%	1.7%	4.4%	0.38×	58.51
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.51
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.52
1-0	2.6%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.51
1-4	2.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.51
2-0	2.9%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.51
2-4	3.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.51
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.51
3-3	3.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.50
3-4	2.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.51
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.52
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.51
4-2	2.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.51
4-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.79×	58.51
4-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.59×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg leading at HT (DNB)	72.4%	71.6%	44.3%	1.61×	1.40
Schalke 04 leading at HT (DNB)	27.6%	28.4%	55.7%	0.51×	3.52

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 or Elversberg (12)	80.4%	80.6%	75.1%	1.07×	1.24
Elversberg or draw (X2)	60.7%	63.5%	58.3%	1.09×	1.57
Schalke 04 or draw (1X)	58.9%	57.0%	66.5%	0.86×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg or draw at HT	80.0%	84.2%	63.3%	1.33×	1.19
Schalke 04 or Elversberg at HT	72.2%	74.5%	65.8%	1.13×	1.34
Schalke 04 or draw at HT	47.7%	52.3%	70.7%	0.74×	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg or draw (1UP)	63.8%	71.7%	65.0%	1.10×	1.39
Schalke 04 or draw (1UP)	62.5%	71.6%	73.6%	0.97×	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 or draw in 2nd half	77.9%	77.0%	70.6%	1.09×	1.30
Schalke 04 or Elversberg in 2nd half	73.2%	73.7%	66.5%	1.11×	1.36
Elversberg or draw in 2nd half	48.9%	48.0%	62.8%	0.76×	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	52.9%	50.2%	46.3%	1.09×	1.99
A half drawn	47.1%	49.8%	53.7%	0.93×	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg (DNB)	51.1%	50.9%	44.5%	1.14×	1.96
Schalke 04 (DNB)	48.9%	49.1%	55.5%	0.88×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg to score first	49.9%	45.8%	43.6%	1.05×	2.19
Schalke 04 to score first	48.9%	45.7%	50.7%	0.90×	2.19
No goal scored	1.2%	4.2%	5.9%	0.72×	23.66

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	79.2%	62.6%	59.4%	1.06×	1.60
Not both teams to score	20.8%	37.4%	40.6%	0.92×	2.68

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	73.3%	60.2%	49.7%	1.21×	1.66
Not both score & under 2.5	12.5%	12.3%	28.3%	0.44×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.4%	12.5%	0.67×	11.95
Both score & under 2.5	5.9%	8.4%	9.8%	0.85×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	58.2%	61.6%	79.7%	0.77×	1.62
Both teams to score 2+	41.8%	38.4%	20.3%	1.89×	2.61

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	56.3%	66.8%	65.5%	1.02×	1.50
Both teams to score in 2nd half	43.7%	33.2%	34.5%	0.96×	3.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	34.3%	28.1%	51.7%	0.54×	3.56
Both score 2nd half only	26.6%	26.3%	27.8%	0.94×	3.81
Both score 1st half only	22.0%	20.9%	14.0%	1.49×	4.78
Both score in both halves	17.1%	15.8%	6.8%	2.31×	6.35

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	60.9%	60.4%	79.3%	0.76×	1.66
Both teams to score by HT	39.1%	39.6%	20.7%	1.92×	2.53

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	79.1%	81.1%	66.8%	1.21×	1.23
A half without a goal	20.9%	18.9%	33.2%	0.57×	5.29

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	48.6%	47.4%	39.7%	1.19×	2.11
2-3 goals	29.2%	26.5%	38.9%	0.68×	3.78
7+ goals	15.7%	20.2%	3.8%	5.30×	4.96
0-1 goals	6.6%	7.6%	17.9%	0.42×	13.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg to score 3+	38.5%	36.0%	20.8%	1.73×	2.78
Elversberg to score exactly 2	26.8%	27.4%	22.1%	1.24×	3.65
Elversberg to score exactly 1	24.0%	22.4%	32.1%	0.70×	4.46
Elversberg to score exactly 0	10.8%	12.8%	25.4%	0.50×	7.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to score 3+	37.2%	35.6%	27.5%	1.30×	2.81
Schalke 04 to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	22.7%	1.17×	3.77
Schalke 04 to score exactly 1	24.6%	23.3%	29.0%	0.80×	4.30
Schalke 04 to score exactly 0	11.3%	14.3%	21.1%	0.68×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg leading at HT	52.3%	47.7%	29.3%	1.63×	2.10
Draw at HT	27.8%	25.5%	34.2%	0.75×	3.93
Schalke 04 leading at HT	20.0%	15.8%	36.7%	0.43×	6.33

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg -1: 1	58.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Elversberg -1: 2	23.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Elversberg -1: X	17.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg (0:1)	60.7%	61.3%	58.3%	1.05×	1.63
Schalke 04 (0:1)	22.2%	24.3%	24.8%	0.98×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	17.1%	17.8%	17.1%	1.04×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg (0:2)	77.8%	79.5%	75.2%	1.06×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	11.6%	11.0%	13.2%	0.83×	9.11
Schalke 04 (0:2)	10.7%	11.0%	11.7%	0.93×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg (0:3)	89.3%	90.8%	88.3%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.3%	5.8%	5.1%	1.14×	17.20
Schalke 04 (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg (0:4)	95.7%	98.1%	93.2%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.8%	1.2%	5.2%	0.23×	83.28
Schalke 04 (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.7%	0.69×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 (1:0)	58.9%	58.1%	66.5%	0.87×	1.72
Elversberg (1:0)	23.6%	21.8%	17.1%	1.27×	4.59
Draw (1:0)	17.4%	17.0%	16.5%	1.03×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 (2:0)	76.4%	80.4%	82.9%	0.97×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	12.1%	10.4%	10.0%	1.04×	9.62
Elversberg (2:0)	11.5%	10.4%	7.3%	1.42×	9.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.4%	47.6%	46.7%	1.02×	2.10
1st half highest scoring	37.0%	37.0%	26.4%	1.40×	2.70
Halves equal	19.6%	19.1%	27.0%	0.71×	5.23

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede	89.2%	86.2%	74.6%	1.16×	1.16
Schalke 04 clean sheet	10.8%	13.8%	25.4%	0.54×	7.26

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede in 1st half	74.9%	68.6%	45.5%	1.51×	1.46
Schalke 04 clean sheet in 1st half	25.1%	31.4%	54.5%	0.58×	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 6.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Schalke 04 over 2.5 corners	77.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Schalke 04 under 5.5 corners	67.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Schalke 04 over 3.5 corners	62.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Schalke 04 under 4.5 corners	53.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Schalke 04 over 4.5 corners	46.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Schalke 04 under 3.5 corners	37.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Schalke 04 over 5.5 corners	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Schalke 04 under 2.5 corners	22.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Schalke 04 over 6.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 over 0.5 goals	88.7%	87.3%	78.9%	1.11×	1.15
Schalke 04 under 3.5 goals	82.3%	82.1%	88.6%	0.93×	1.22
Schalke 04 over 1.5 goals	64.1%	63.5%	50.0%	1.27×	1.58
Schalke 04 under 2.5 goals	62.8%	63.4%	72.5%	0.87×	1.58
Schalke 04 over 2.5 goals	37.2%	36.6%	27.5%	1.33×	2.74
Schalke 04 under 1.5 goals	35.9%	36.6%	50.0%	0.73×	2.74
Schalke 04 over 3.5 goals	17.7%	17.9%	11.4%	1.56×	5.59
Schalke 04 under 0.5 goals	11.3%	12.7%	21.1%	0.60×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 1.5 in 1st half	83.1%	84.5%	80.8%	1.05×	1.18
Schalke 04 under 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	50.7%	48.2%	1.05×	1.97
Schalke 04 over 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	49.3%	51.8%	0.95×	2.03
Schalke 04 over 1.5 in 1st half	16.9%	15.5%	19.2%	0.80×	6.46

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg (home no bet)	67.6%	64.0%	57.3%	1.12×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.4%	36.0%	42.7%	0.84×	2.78

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 even goals	50.6%	50.6%	52.5%	0.96×	1.98
Schalke 04 odd goals	49.4%	49.4%	47.5%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other HT score	19.4%	18.8%	6.7%	2.82×	5.31
HT 0-1	16.6%	18.8%	16.5%	1.14×	5.33
HT 1-1	12.2%	11.0%	9.7%	1.13×	9.11
HT 0-0	12.0%	11.0%	23.4%	0.47×	9.11
HT 0-2	11.5%	11.0%	7.0%	1.57×	9.12
HT 1-0	8.9%	7.1%	19.4%	0.36×	14.15
HT 1-2	8.5%	7.1%	3.5%	2.02×	14.15
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.3%	4.3%	0.53×	43.73
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.3%	9.5%	0.24×	43.82
HT 2-2	3.1%	2.3%	1.3%	1.79×	43.83

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg at HT / Elversberg at FT	33.8%	32.5%	20.2%	1.61×	3.08
Schalke 04 at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	16.5%	16.8%	28.1%	0.60×	5.95
Draw at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	14.2%	12.7%	10.7%	1.19×	7.89
Elversberg at HT / Draw at FT	9.8%	6.1%	6.0%	1.00×	16.51
Elversberg at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	8.6%	6.0%	3.3%	1.81×	16.55
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.4%	6.0%	14.0%	0.43×	16.58
Draw at HT / Elversberg at FT	6.1%	6.0%	9.9%	0.61×	16.62
Schalke 04 at HT / Draw at FT	2.4%	3.5%	5.1%	0.68×	28.89
Schalke 04 at HT / Elversberg at FT	1.1%	3.5%	3.8%	0.91×	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg to score last	49.9%	46.8%	44.4%	1.06×	2.14
Schalke 04 to score last	48.9%	46.8%	49.9%	0.94×	2.14
No goal scored	1.2%	4.2%	5.9%	0.72×	23.66

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.8%	95.7%	94.1%	1.02×	1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	66.8%	69.4%	55.8%	1.24×	1.44
Elversberg to lead by 1 at any time	63.8%	61.4%	52.8%	1.16×	1.63
Schalke 04 to lead by 1 at any time	62.5%	61.3%	59.6%	1.03×	1.63
Elversberg to lead by 2 at any time	34.8%	29.4%	23.4%	1.26×	3.40
Schalke 04 to lead by 2 at any time	33.3%	29.3%	33.2%	0.88×	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.4%	29.3%	25.4%	1.15×	3.42
Elversberg to lead by 3 at any time	16.2%	14.9%	10.0%	1.49×	6.69
Schalke 04 to lead by 3 at any time	15.2%	14.9%	15.6%	0.96×	6.70

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 most corners	49.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Elversberg most corners	39.5%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	77.7%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
1-5 goals	70.7%	72.4%	83.2%	0.87×	1.38
3-6 goals	65.9%	69.0%	58.4%	1.18×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.3%	69.0%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
1-4 goals	53.7%	53.2%	72.5%	0.73×	1.88
3-5 goals	53.5%	53.2%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
4-6 goals	48.6%	48.7%	39.7%	1.23×	2.06
2-4 goals	48.4%	48.7%	60.5%	0.80×	2.06
3-4 goals	36.6%	39.2%	40.5%	0.97×	2.55
4-5 goals	36.1%	39.2%	32.4%	1.21×	2.55
1-3 goals	34.5%	35.4%	51.0%	0.69×	2.83
5-6 goals	29.4%	30.2%	18.1%	1.67×	3.31
2-3 goals	29.2%	30.2%	38.9%	0.78×	3.31
1-2 goals	17.2%	18.6%	32.2%	0.58×	5.37
7+ goals	15.7%	18.6%	3.8%	4.89×	5.37

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg never behind	36.3%	44.5%	40.4%	1.10×	2.25
Schalke 04 never behind	35.0%	35.9%	47.2%	0.76×	2.78

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.8%	44.6%	1.14×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.2%	55.4%	0.89×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.7%	51.6%	52.5%	0.98×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.3%	48.5%	47.5%	1.02×	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.5%	52.1%	53.1%	0.98×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.5%	48.0%	46.9%	1.02×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.8%	95.5%	94.1%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	82.1%	1.12×	1.08
Over 2.5 goals	81.6%	82.4%	62.1%	1.33×	1.21
Under 5.5 goals	71.9%	72.5%	88.9%	0.82×	1.38
Over 3.5 goals	64.2%	61.7%	43.3%	1.42×	1.62
Under 4.5 goals	54.9%	52.5%	78.3%	0.67×	1.91
Over 4.5 goals	45.1%	47.5%	21.7%	2.19×	2.10
Under 3.5 goals	35.8%	38.3%	56.7%	0.68×	2.61
Over 5.5 goals	28.1%	27.5%	11.1%	2.47×	3.64
Under 2.5 goals	18.4%	17.6%	37.9%	0.46×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	17.9%	0.43×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	1.2%	4.5%	5.9%	0.76×	22.27

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	92.6%	92.5%	77.6%	1.19×	1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	82.1%	81.1%	95.9%	0.85×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	77.8%	75.9%	53.3%	1.42×	1.32
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	66.1%	67.4%	87.6%	0.77×	1.48
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	55.8%	55.5%	27.7%	2.00×	1.80
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	44.2%	44.5%	72.3%	0.62×	2.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	33.9%	32.6%	12.4%	2.62×	3.07
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.2%	24.1%	46.7%	0.52×	4.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	17.9%	18.9%	4.1%	4.61×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	7.4%	7.5%	22.4%	0.34×	13.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	88.0%	89.1%	76.6%	1.16×	1.12
Under 2.5 in 1st half	64.5%	63.7%	84.7%	0.75×	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	62.5%	63.6%	41.0%	1.55×	1.57
Under 1.5 in 1st half	37.5%	36.4%	59.0%	0.62×	2.75
Over 2.5 in 1st half	35.5%	36.3%	15.3%	2.38×	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	12.0%	10.9%	23.4%	0.47×	9.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.9%	85.4%	84.3%	1.01×	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	66.7%	67.0%	55.2%	1.21×	1.49
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	59.8%	54.8%	73.6%	0.74×	1.83
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	40.2%	45.2%	26.4%	1.71×	2.21
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	33.3%	33.0%	44.8%	0.74×	3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.1%	14.6%	15.7%	0.93×	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to score in both halves	60.1%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
Elversberg not to score in both halves	57.2%	57.7%	72.7%	0.79×	1.73
Elversberg to score in both halves	42.8%	42.3%	27.3%	1.55×	2.36
Schalke 04 to score in both halves	39.9%	36.7%	35.3%	1.04×	2.72

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	79.2%	68.2%	59.4%	1.15×	1.47
Only Elversberg scores	10.1%	10.9%	15.4%	0.71×	9.15
Only Schalke 04 scores	9.5%	7.2%	19.7%	0.37×	13.89
Neither team scores	1.2%	4.6%	5.9%	0.78×	21.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	28.1%	25.0%	11.1%	2.25×	4.01
Exactly 4 goals	19.2%	17.4%	21.7%	0.80×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	17.4%	17.4%	18.9%	0.92×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	16.9%	17.4%	10.8%	1.62×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	11.8%	12.1%	20.2%	0.60×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	5.4%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.10
Exactly 0 goals	1.2%	4.4%	5.9%	0.75×	22.72

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	66.7%	58.2%	55.2%	1.05×	1.72
1 goal in 2nd half	23.2%	23.1%	29.3%	0.79×	4.33
No goals in 2nd half	10.1%	14.5%	15.7%	0.92×	6.90

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to win both halves	89.8%	88.1%	84.1%	1.05×	1.14
Elversberg not to win both halves	88.5%	88.0%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Elversberg to win both halves	11.5%	12.0%	9.4%	1.27×	8.37
Schalke 04 to win both halves	10.2%	11.9%	15.9%	0.75×	8.40

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elversberg to win either half	62.8%	65.2%	49.3%	1.32×	1.53
Schalke 04 to win either half	60.9%	65.2%	58.0%	1.12×	1.54
Schalke 04 to win neither half	39.1%	34.9%	42.0%	0.83×	2.87
Elversberg to win neither half	37.2%	34.8%	50.7%	0.69×	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to win to nil	90.5%	92.0%	80.3%	1.15×	1.09
Elversberg not to win to nil	89.9%	88.2%	84.6%	1.04×	1.13
Elversberg to win to nil	10.1%	11.8%	15.4%	0.76×	8.49
Schalke 04 to win to nil	9.5%	8.0%	19.7%	0.41×	12.51

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	19.6%	17.0%	24.9%	0.68×	5.90
Elversberg by 1	17.4%	17.0%	16.5%	1.03×	5.90
Schalke 04 by 1	17.1%	16.9%	17.1%	0.99×	5.90
Elversberg by 2	12.1%	11.8%	10.0%	1.18×	8.47
Schalke 04 by 2	11.6%	11.8%	13.2%	0.90×	8.47
Elversberg by 3+	11.5%	11.8%	7.3%	1.62×	8.47
Schalke 04 by 3+	10.7%	11.8%	11.7%	1.00×	8.47