Seattle Sounders FC v Red Bull New York — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Seattle Sounders FC

20:30

Red Bull New York

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 2h before kick-off

Seattle Sounders FC win

46.5%

model 48.7%

Draw

26.8%

model 25.1%

Red Bull New York win

26.8%

model 26.1%

462727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.9%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 9.2%
2-0 8.2%
1-2 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.2%	Under 2.5	45.8%
BTTS yes	56.6%	BTTS no	43.4%
Seattle Sounders FC 1+	81.3%	Seattle Sounders FC 2+	50.0%
Red Bull New York 1+	69.0%	Red Bull New York 2+	32.7%

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 57%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Seattle Sounders FC carry the stronger rating, 1458 Elo against 1401.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Seattle Sounders FC have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for Red Bull New York and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.68 for Seattle Sounders FC and 1.17 for Red Bull New York.

Why Seattle Sounders FC

Seattle Sounders FC carry the stronger rating, 1458 Elo against 1401.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Red Bull New York can win

Nothing in the data singles out Red Bull New York.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Seattle Sounders FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Red Bull New York, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Seattle Sounders FC: 42% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Red Bull New York: 52% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Seattle Sounders FC are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	492526	1.68–1.17	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	522523	1.74–1.09	1-1 12%	54%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to win	52.1%	51.5%	45.4%	1.13×	1.94
Draw	24.6%	24.5%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09
Red Bull New York to win	23.3%	24.4%	29.9%	0.82×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC & not both score	27.2%	25.2%	21.1%	1.19×	3.97
Seattle Sounders FC & both teams score	24.9%	21.9%	24.4%	0.90×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Red Bull New York & both teams score	12.1%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
Red Bull New York & not both score	11.2%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.4%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC & over 1.5	42.3%	40.3%	37.1%	1.09×	2.48
Seattle Sounders FC & under 3.5	33.6%	30.9%	28.3%	1.09×	3.24
Seattle Sounders FC & over 2.5	33.4%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Seattle Sounders FC & under 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	14.5%	1.24×	5.56
Seattle Sounders FC & over 3.5	18.5%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.0%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Red Bull New York & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	23.5%	0.77×	5.56
Red Bull New York & under 3.5	16.8%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Red Bull New York & over 2.5	13.9%	12.9%	20.3%	0.64×	7.77
Seattle Sounders FC & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
Red Bull New York & under 2.5	9.4%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Red Bull New York & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70
Red Bull New York & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (1UP)	66.6%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Red Bull New York (1UP)	41.7%	39.0%	—	—	2.56

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (2UP)	52.1%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Red Bull New York (2UP)	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to win 2nd half	42.3%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	34.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Red Bull New York to win 2nd half	23.4%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (+2.5)	87.1%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
Seattle Sounders FC (+0.5)	76.7%	78.5%	70.1%	1.12×	1.28
Red Bull New York (+1.5)	71.0%	73.7%	76.7%	0.96×	1.36
Seattle Sounders FC (-0.5)	52.1%	52.4%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Red Bull New York (+0.5)	47.9%	47.6%	54.6%	0.87×	2.10
Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)	29.0%	26.3%	23.3%	1.13×	3.80
Red Bull New York (-0.5)	23.3%	21.6%	29.9%	0.72×	4.64
Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)	12.9%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York to concede	82.5%	81.3%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Red Bull New York clean sheet	17.5%	18.7%	18.0%	1.04×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York clean sheet in 1st half	47.3%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Red Bull New York to concede in 1st half	52.7%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York over 2.5 corners	86.5%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Red Bull New York over 3.5 corners	75.2%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Red Bull New York under 6.5 corners	63.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Red Bull New York over 4.5 corners	62.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Red Bull New York under 5.5 corners	51.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Red Bull New York over 5.5 corners	48.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Red Bull New York under 4.5 corners	38.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Red Bull New York over 6.5 corners	36.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Red Bull New York under 3.5 corners	24.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Red Bull New York under 2.5 corners	13.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York under 3.5 goals	97.5%	97.6%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Red Bull New York under 2.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Red Bull New York under 1.5 goals	70.2%	71.9%	61.3%	1.17×	1.39
Red Bull New York over 0.5 goals	66.5%	68.0%	73.2%	0.93×	1.47
Red Bull New York under 0.5 goals	33.5%	32.0%	26.8%	1.20×	3.12
Red Bull New York over 1.5 goals	29.8%	28.1%	38.7%	0.73×	3.56
Red Bull New York over 2.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	16.7%	0.46×	13.04
Red Bull New York over 3.5 goals	2.5%	2.4%	6.1%	0.40×	40.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York under 1.5 in 1st half	92.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Red Bull New York under 0.5 in 1st half	64.6%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Red Bull New York over 0.5 in 1st half	35.4%	35.3%	—	—	2.83
Red Bull New York over 1.5 in 1st half	7.2%	5.9%	—	—	17.07

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (away no bet)	67.9%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.1%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York even goals	55.6%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Red Bull New York odd goals	44.4%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.2%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.8%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Seattle Sounders FC to score 2+ in a row	43.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Red Bull New York to score 2+ in a row	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Seattle Sounders FC to score 3+ in a row	17.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Red Bull New York to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.94

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York corners (+3.5)	84.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Red Bull New York corners (+2.5)	77.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+3.5)	76.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Red Bull New York corners (+1.5)	69.6%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+2.5)	68.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+1.5)	59.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Red Bull New York corners (-1.5)	40.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Red Bull New York corners (-2.5)	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-1.5)	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Red Bull New York corners (-3.5)	23.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-2.5)	22.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-3.5)	15.9%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	41.6%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
0-8 corners	30.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	28.3%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.9%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 12.5 corners	66.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 9.5 corners	60.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 11.5 corners	58.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	50.9%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 10.5 corners	49.1%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 11.5 corners	41.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	39.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 12.5 corners	33.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 8.5 corners	30.1%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.7%	11.4%	10.3%	1.11×	8.74
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.47
2-0	8.9%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.47
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.47
0-0	6.4%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.47
0-1	5.9%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.47
1-2	6.1%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.47
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.47
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.47
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.47
0-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.50
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.52
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.52
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.51
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.52
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.51
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.52
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.51
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.52
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.52
4-0	2.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.51
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.51
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.52
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.52
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC leading at HT (DNB)	66.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Red Bull New York leading at HT (DNB)	33.1%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC or draw (1X)	76.7%	75.6%	70.1%	1.08×	1.32
Seattle Sounders FC or Red Bull New York (12)	75.4%	75.5%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Red Bull New York or draw (X2)	47.9%	48.5%	54.6%	0.89×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC or draw at HT	80.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Red Bull New York or draw at HT	60.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Seattle Sounders FC or Red Bull New York at HT	58.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC or draw (1UP)	76.7%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Red Bull New York or draw (1UP)	47.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC or draw in 2nd half	76.6%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Seattle Sounders FC or Red Bull New York in 2nd half	65.7%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Red Bull New York or draw in 2nd half	57.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.0%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	39.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (DNB)	69.1%	67.2%	60.3%	1.12×	1.49
Red Bull New York (DNB)	30.9%	32.8%	39.7%	0.82×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to score first	57.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.61
Red Bull New York to score first	36.1%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.3%	54.8%	61.1%	0.90×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.7%	45.2%	38.9%	1.16×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.7%	41.6%	50.9%	0.82×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	34.5%	34.3%	29.9%	1.15×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.3%	10.3%	1.19×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	10.2%	12.3%	9.2%	1.34×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.5%	83.1%	79.5%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.5%	16.9%	20.5%	0.82×	5.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.5%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	24.8%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.88

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.2%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.8%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	43.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.4%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.0%	26.5%	33.1%	0.80×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.0%	22.8%	20.5%	1.11×	4.38
7+ goals	2.6%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	54.98

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Red Bull New York to score exactly 0	33.5%	33.9%	26.8%	1.26×	2.95
Red Bull New York to score exactly 2	20.0%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.47
Red Bull New York to score 3+	9.8%	8.5%	16.7%	0.51×	11.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 1	30.5%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Seattle Sounders FC to score 3+	25.4%	26.5%	25.2%	1.05×	3.77
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 0	17.5%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Seattle Sounders FC leading at HT	39.1%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Red Bull New York leading at HT	19.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC -1: 2	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Seattle Sounders FC -1: 1	29.0%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Seattle Sounders FC -1: X	23.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:1)	47.9%	45.9%	54.6%	0.84×	2.18
Seattle Sounders FC (0:1)	29.0%	27.1%	23.3%	1.16×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	23.1%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:2)	71.0%	75.6%	76.7%	0.98×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.1%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.54
Seattle Sounders FC (0:2)	12.9%	11.0%	10.5%	1.04×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:3)	87.1%	90.8%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.2%	5.8%	6.6%	0.88×	17.17
Seattle Sounders FC (0:3)	4.7%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.00

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York (0:4)	95.3%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.23
Seattle Sounders FC (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (1:0)	76.7%	78.4%	70.1%	1.12×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	14.3%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.80
Red Bull New York (1:0)	9.0%	6.9%	13.2%	0.53×	14.44

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (2:0)	91.0%	93.9%	86.8%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.3%	6.4%	8.7%	0.74×	15.54
Red Bull New York (2:0)	2.6%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.34

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to concede	66.5%	66.5%	73.2%	0.91×	1.50
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet	33.5%	33.5%	26.8%	1.25×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet in 1st half	64.6%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Seattle Sounders FC to concede in 1st half	35.4%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC over 2.5 corners	82.4%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Seattle Sounders FC under 6.5 corners	71.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Seattle Sounders FC over 3.5 corners	69.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Seattle Sounders FC under 5.5 corners	59.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Seattle Sounders FC over 4.5 corners	54.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Seattle Sounders FC under 4.5 corners	45.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Seattle Sounders FC over 5.5 corners	40.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Seattle Sounders FC under 3.5 corners	31.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Seattle Sounders FC over 6.5 corners	28.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Seattle Sounders FC under 2.5 corners	17.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 3.5 goals	90.1%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Seattle Sounders FC over 0.5 goals	82.5%	82.1%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
Seattle Sounders FC under 2.5 goals	74.6%	74.2%	74.8%	0.99×	1.35
Seattle Sounders FC over 1.5 goals	52.0%	53.2%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
Seattle Sounders FC under 1.5 goals	48.0%	46.8%	48.9%	0.96×	2.14
Seattle Sounders FC over 2.5 goals	25.4%	25.8%	25.2%	1.02×	3.88
Seattle Sounders FC under 0.5 goals	17.5%	17.9%	18.0%	0.99×	5.59
Seattle Sounders FC over 3.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 1.5 in 1st half	82.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Seattle Sounders FC under 0.5 in 1st half	47.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Seattle Sounders FC over 0.5 in 1st half	52.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
Seattle Sounders FC over 1.5 in 1st half	17.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.4%	51.6%	45.4%	1.14×	1.94
Red Bull New York (home no bet)	48.6%	48.4%	54.6%	0.89×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC even goals	51.5%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Seattle Sounders FC odd goals	48.5%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.6%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
HT 1-0	22.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	13.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-0	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
Any other HT score	5.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.21
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.79
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.85
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.91
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	44.01

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT	32.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Draw at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Red Bull New York at HT / Red Bull New York at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Red Bull New York at FT	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Red Bull New York at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Red Bull New York at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Red Bull New York at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to score last	57.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Red Bull New York to score last	36.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 1 at any time	66.6%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Red Bull New York to lead by 1 at any time	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 2 at any time	35.7%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.2%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 3 at any time	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Red Bull New York to lead by 2 at any time	14.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Red Bull New York to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.6%	—	—	62.65

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York most corners	50.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Seattle Sounders FC most corners	39.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	9.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.8%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.9%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.4%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.2%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.2%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	62.1%	63.4%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.3%	53.2%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.1%	48.7%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.4%	48.7%	42.5%	1.15×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.8%	39.2%	34.4%	1.14×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.1%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.0%	30.2%	33.1%	0.91×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.8%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09
5-6 goals	13.2%	14.9%	17.2%	0.87×	6.72
7+ goals	2.6%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.40

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC never behind	51.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Red Bull New York never behind	27.0%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.2%	82.4%	78.8%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	78.0%	77.4%	79.5%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.4%	66.2%	62.9%	1.05×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.9%	52.5%	59.9%	0.88×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	46.1%	47.5%	40.1%	1.19×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	31.6%	33.8%	37.1%	0.91×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.0%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	15.8%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.3%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.5%	92.5%	87.6%	1.06×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.3%	81.1%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.0%	72.6%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.4%	55.5%	51.9%	1.07×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.6%	44.5%	48.1%	0.93×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.0%	27.4%	25.5%	1.08×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.7%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.5%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.7%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.34

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.2%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.4%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.7%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.3%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.6%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York not to score in both halves	83.0%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Seattle Sounders FC not to score in both halves	66.8%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Seattle Sounders FC to score in both halves	33.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Red Bull New York to score in both halves	17.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.3%	58.3%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
Only Seattle Sounders FC scores	27.2%	26.1%	21.1%	1.24×	3.83
Only Red Bull New York scores	11.2%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.14
Neither team scores	6.4%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.1%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	15.7%	17.4%	14.8%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.8%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.0%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.09
6 or more goals	6.8%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.10
Exactly 0 goals	6.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.4%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	19.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York not to win both halves	95.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Seattle Sounders FC not to win both halves	83.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Seattle Sounders FC to win both halves	16.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Red Bull New York to win both halves	4.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.12

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to win either half	64.8%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Red Bull New York to win neither half	61.8%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Red Bull New York to win either half	38.2%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Seattle Sounders FC to win neither half	35.2%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull New York not to win to nil	88.8%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Seattle Sounders FC not to win to nil	72.8%	75.3%	78.9%	0.95×	1.33
Seattle Sounders FC to win to nil	27.2%	24.7%	21.1%	1.17×	4.04
Red Bull New York to win to nil	11.2%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.6%	24.2%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Seattle Sounders FC by 1	23.1%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Seattle Sounders FC by 2	16.1%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.90
Red Bull New York by 1	14.3%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.47
Seattle Sounders FC by 3+	12.9%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.47
Red Bull New York by 2	6.3%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.80
Red Bull New York by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	37.05