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Sheffield United v Brighton and Hove Albion — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 February 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

Shots
7 – 24
On target
1 – 9
Shots in box
3 – 18
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.15
Set-piece xG
0.02 – 0.79
Goals − xG
-0.59 – +1.39
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.02.03.04.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Facundo Buonanotte 19' — goalDanny Welbeck 23' — goalSimon Adingra 77' — goalSimon Adingra 84' — goal
Sheffield United 0.59 xGBrighton and Hove Albion 3.61 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Jayden Bogle 1' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Pascal Groß 9' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Jan Paul van Hecke 13' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Pascal Groß 16' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Facundo Buonanotte 19' — Goal (0.57 xG, From Corner)Gustavo Hamer 21' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Danny Welbeck 23' — Goal (0.69 xG, Open Play)Kaoru Mitoma 23' — Saved Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)Simon Adingra 26' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Pascal Groß 28' — Blocked Shot (0.58 xG, Open Play)Danny Welbeck 31' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Tariq Lamptey 35' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Simon Adingra 39' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Kaoru Mitoma 49' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Lewis Dunk 49' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Lewis Dunk 50' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Simon Adingra 53' — Saved Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Ben Osborn 53' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Vinicius Souza 54' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Billy Gilmour 56' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Jakub Moder 58' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Evan Ferguson 66' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Billy Gilmour 67' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jack Robinson 74' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Simon Adingra 77' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Jakub Moder 81' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Anssumane Fati 84' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Simon Adingra 84' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Anel Ahmedhodzic 84' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)Simon Adingra 88' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Jayden Bogle 93' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)
Sheffield United attacking right Brighton and Hove Albion attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Sheffield United Jayden Bogle 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot James McAtee
9' Brighton and Hove Albion Pascal Groß 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jan Paul van Hecke
13' Brighton and Hove Albion Jan Paul van Hecke 0.01 Set Piece Blocked Shot Pascal Groß
16' Brighton and Hove Albion Pascal Groß 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
19' Brighton and Hove Albion Facundo Buonanotte 0.57 From Corner Left Foot Goal Lewis Dunk
21' Sheffield United Gustavo Hamer 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jayden Bogle
23' Brighton and Hove Albion Danny Welbeck 0.69 Open Play Left Foot Goal
23' Brighton and Hove Albion Kaoru Mitoma 0.37 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Pascal Groß
26' Brighton and Hove Albion Simon Adingra 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
28' Brighton and Hove Albion Pascal Groß 0.58 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
31' Brighton and Hove Albion Danny Welbeck 0.29 Open Play Saved Shot Pascal Groß
35' Brighton and Hove Albion Tariq Lamptey 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Adam Webster
39' Brighton and Hove Albion Simon Adingra 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Adam Webster
49' Brighton and Hove Albion Kaoru Mitoma 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Billy Gilmour
49' Brighton and Hove Albion Lewis Dunk 0.05 From Corner Saved Shot Pascal Groß
50' Brighton and Hove Albion Lewis Dunk 0.08 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Jan Paul van Hecke
53' Brighton and Hove Albion Simon Adingra 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jan Paul van Hecke
53' Sheffield United Ben Osborn 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
54' Sheffield United Vinicius Souza 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
56' Brighton and Hove Albion Billy Gilmour 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
58' Brighton and Hove Albion Jakub Moder 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kaoru Mitoma
66' Brighton and Hove Albion Evan Ferguson 0.07 From Corner Saved Shot Pascal Groß
67' Brighton and Hove Albion Billy Gilmour 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
74' Sheffield United Jack Robinson 0.00 Open Play Right Foot Own Goal
77' Brighton and Hove Albion Simon Adingra 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Goal Pascal Groß
81' Brighton and Hove Albion Jakub Moder 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Pascal Groß
84' Brighton and Hove Albion Anssumane Fati 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pascal Groß
84' Brighton and Hove Albion Simon Adingra 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Goal
84' Sheffield United Anel Ahmedhodzic 0.38 Open Play Missed Shot Jack Robinson
88' Brighton and Hove Albion Simon Adingra 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Lewis Dunk
93' Sheffield United Jayden Bogle 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot

Players

Brighton and Hove Albion

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Pascal Groß DMC 90 0 1 3 8 0.66 1.03 1.79
Simon Adingra AMR 90 2 0 6 0 0.50 0.00 1.38
Lewis Dunk DC 90 0 1 2 2 0.12 0.61 1.04
Billy Gilmour DMC 90 0 0 2 1 0.04 0.07 1.27
Jan Paul van Hecke DC 90 0 0 1 3 0.01 0.27 1.17
Bart Verbruggen GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.29
Danny Welbeck FW 89 1 0 2 0 0.98 0.00 1.35
Kaoru Mitoma AML 84 0 0 2 1 0.44 0.06 0.70
Facundo Buonanotte AMC 74 1 0 1 0 0.57 0.00 0.27
Tariq Lamptey DL 54 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.47
Adam Webster DR 54 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.12 0.84
Jakub Moder Sub 36 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Igor Julio Sub 36 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.29
Evan Ferguson Sub 16 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.00
Anssumane Fati Sub 6 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.26
Estupiñán Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16

Sheffield United

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Anel Ahmedhodzic DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.38 0.00 0.49
Jayden Bogle DMR 90 0 0 2 1 0.06 0.10 0.15
Vinicius Souza MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.12
Wes Foderingham GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Jack Robinson DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.38 0.49
Gustavo Hamer MC 87 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Ben Osborn MC 87 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.07
James McAtee AMC 87 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.15
Yasser Larouci DML 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Auston Trusty Sub 60 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
William Osula FW 30 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Andre Brooks Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mason Holgate DC 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oliver Norwood Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rhian Brewster Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tom Davies Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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