Spartak Moscow v Rostov — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Spartak Moscow

10:00

Rostov

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 174h before kick-off

Spartak Moscow win

67.0%

model 64.9%

Draw

22.4%

model 23.3%

Rostov win

10.6%

model 11.8%

672211

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 13.7%
1-0 13.7%
1-1 10.9%
2-1 9.3%
0-0 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.7%	Under 2.5	53.3%
BTTS yes	42.5%	BTTS no	57.5%
Spartak Moscow 1+	84.6%	Spartak Moscow 2+	55.7%
Rostov 1+	49.1%	Rostov 2+	14.7%

Expected goals 1.87 – 0.68. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Rostov under 0.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 33%

51.9% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 498 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4269 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Spartak Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1658 Elo against 1436.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Spartak Moscow have an estimated 67.0% win probability, against 22.4% for the draw and 10.6% for Rostov. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.87 for Spartak Moscow and 0.68 for Rostov.

Why Spartak Moscow

Spartak Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1658 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Rostov can win

Nothing in the data singles out Rostov.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Spartak Moscow, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rostov, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Spartak Moscow: 63% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rostov: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Spartak Moscow are the model's most likely outcome at 67.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 13.7%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	652312	1.87–0.68	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	632412	1.80–0.67	1-0 14%	45%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to win	63.3%	58.2%	44.2%	1.32×	1.72
Draw	24.3%	24.4%	27.8%	0.88×	4.09
Rostov to win	12.4%	13.3%	28.2%	0.47×	7.51

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow & not both score	41.6%	40.1%	25.6%	1.57×	2.50
Spartak Moscow & both teams score	21.8%	21.9%	18.8%	1.16×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	14.8%	13.3%	20.7%	0.64×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.5%	8.4%	7.4%	1.14×	11.94
Rostov & not both score	7.1%	8.4%	14.9%	0.56×	11.95
Rostov & both teams score	5.3%	8.4%	13.5%	0.62×	11.96

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow & over 1.5	49.1%	45.3%	33.5%	1.35×	2.21
Spartak Moscow & under 3.5	45.2%	45.2%	30.9%	1.46×	2.21
Spartak Moscow & over 2.5	35.5%	34.9%	26.0%	1.34×	2.87
Spartak Moscow & under 2.5	27.9%	26.0%	18.4%	1.41×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	20.8%	21.6%	22.1%	0.98×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	20.8%	21.6%	22.1%	0.98×	4.62
Spartak Moscow & over 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	13.5%	1.33×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.8%	12.9%	20.7%	0.62×	7.77
Spartak Moscow & under 1.5	14.2%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.77
Rostov & under 3.5	10.5%	12.9%	20.7%	0.62×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	7.4%	1.07×	12.69
Rostov & over 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	20.7%	0.38×	12.69
Rostov & under 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.69
Rostov & over 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	16.6%	0.48×	12.69
Rostov & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.93
Rostov & over 3.5	1.9%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (1UP)	73.2%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Rostov (1UP)	27.1%	26.7%	—	—	3.74

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (2UP)	63.3%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Rostov (2UP)	12.4%	13.4%	—	—	7.45

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to win 2nd half	50.3%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
2nd half drawn	35.7%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Rostov to win 2nd half	14.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.19

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (+0.5)	87.6%	88.5%	71.8%	1.23×	1.13
Rostov (+2.5)	82.2%	82.4%	89.6%	0.92×	1.21
Spartak Moscow (-0.5)	63.3%	62.9%	44.2%	1.42×	1.59
Rostov (+1.5)	62.1%	62.9%	77.3%	0.81×	1.59
Spartak Moscow (-1.5)	37.9%	37.1%	22.7%	1.64×	2.69
Rostov (+0.5)	36.7%	37.1%	55.8%	0.66×	2.69
Spartak Moscow (-2.5)	17.8%	17.6%	10.4%	1.69×	5.68
Rostov (-0.5)	12.4%	11.5%	28.2%	0.41×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov to concede	83.4%	81.3%	77.9%	1.04×	1.23
Rostov clean sheet	16.6%	18.7%	22.1%	0.85×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov clean sheet in 1st half	46.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Rostov to concede in 1st half	53.8%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov under 6.5 corners	94.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Rostov under 5.5 corners	88.1%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Rostov under 4.5 corners	77.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Rostov under 3.5 corners	62.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Rostov over 2.5 corners	57.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Rostov under 2.5 corners	42.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Rostov over 3.5 corners	37.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Rostov over 4.5 corners	22.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Rostov over 5.5 corners	11.9%	15.1%	—	—	6.63
Rostov over 6.5 corners	5.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.6%	96.9%	1.01×	1.03
Rostov under 2.5 goals	96.9%	97.6%	88.8%	1.10×	1.03
Rostov under 1.5 goals	85.4%	87.9%	70.1%	1.25×	1.14
Rostov under 0.5 goals	51.1%	53.7%	32.7%	1.64×	1.86
Rostov over 0.5 goals	48.9%	46.3%	67.3%	0.69×	2.16
Rostov over 1.5 goals	14.6%	12.1%	29.9%	0.41×	8.24
Rostov over 2.5 goals	3.1%	2.4%	11.2%	0.22×	41.03
Rostov over 3.5 goals	0.5%	2.4%	3.1%	0.79×	41.18

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov under 1.5 in 1st half	97.0%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Rostov under 0.5 in 1st half	76.4%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Rostov over 0.5 in 1st half	23.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
Rostov over 1.5 in 1st half	3.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.73

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (away no bet)	72.3%	68.5%	61.4%	1.12×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.7%	31.5%	38.6%	0.81×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov even goals	63.0%	59.1%	53.4%	1.11×	1.69
Rostov odd goals	37.0%	40.9%	46.6%	0.88×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.5%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.8%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Spartak Moscow to score 2+ in a row	48.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Spartak Moscow to score 3+ in a row	21.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Rostov to score 2+ in a row	9.7%	5.6%	—	—	17.74
Rostov to score 3+ in a row	1.5%	2.6%	—	—	39.20

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow corners (+3.5)	95.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Spartak Moscow corners (+2.5)	92.4%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Spartak Moscow corners (+1.5)	86.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Rostov corners (+3.5)	67.7%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Rostov corners (+2.5)	56.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Spartak Moscow corners (-1.5)	56.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Rostov corners (+1.5)	43.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Spartak Moscow corners (-2.5)	43.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Spartak Moscow corners (-3.5)	32.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Rostov corners (-1.5)	13.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Rostov corners (-2.5)	7.6%	11.3%	—	—	8.81
Rostov corners (-3.5)	4.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.56

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	55.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	17.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.6%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	82.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	75.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	66.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	57.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	55.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	45.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	43.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	34.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 10.5 corners	24.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	17.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	11.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.2%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.73
2-0	13.7%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.73
1-1	11.3%	11.5%	14.9%	0.77×	8.73
0-0	9.5%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.46
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	8.8%	0.85×	13.46
3-0	8.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.46
3-1	5.5%	7.4%	4.3%	1.73×	13.46
0-1	4.7%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.57
0-2	1.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.58
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.59
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.17×	58.59
1-2	3.4%	1.7%	6.7%	0.25×	58.57
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.59
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.67×	58.59
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.57
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.59
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.59
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.58
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.17×	58.59
4-0	3.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.57
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.58
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.59
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.17×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.35×	58.59
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow leading at HT (DNB)	79.1%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Rostov leading at HT (DNB)	20.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw (1X)	87.6%	86.7%	71.8%	1.21×	1.15
Spartak Moscow or Rostov (12)	75.7%	75.6%	72.2%	1.05×	1.32
Rostov or draw (X2)	36.7%	41.8%	55.8%	0.75×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw at HT	88.2%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Spartak Moscow or Rostov at HT	56.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Rostov or draw at HT	55.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw (1UP)	87.6%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Rostov or draw (1UP)	36.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw in 2nd half	86.0%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Spartak Moscow or Rostov in 2nd half	64.3%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Rostov or draw in 2nd half	49.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.5%	61.6%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (DNB)	83.7%	80.4%	61.0%	1.32×	1.24
Rostov (DNB)	16.3%	19.6%	39.0%	0.50×	5.11

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to score first	65.8%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Rostov to score first	24.7%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
No goal scored	9.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.2%	54.8%	47.4%	1.15×	1.83
Both teams to score	41.8%	45.2%	52.6%	0.86×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.0%	41.6%	37.2%	1.12×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	30.6%	34.4%	37.8%	0.91×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	14.2%	12.3%	10.4%	1.18×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	14.9%	0.83×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.2%	89.1%	86.9%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.8%	10.9%	13.1%	0.83×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.4%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.6%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	18.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Both score in both halves	2.7%	4.9%	—	—	20.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	49.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.4%	47.9%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	28.4%	26.4%	25.6%	1.03×	3.78
4-6 goals	22.2%	22.8%	25.4%	0.90×	4.38
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	1.6%	1.11×	55.30

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov to score exactly 0	51.1%	47.3%	32.7%	1.45×	2.11
Rostov to score exactly 1	34.3%	33.9%	37.6%	0.90×	2.95
Rostov to score exactly 2	11.5%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.81
Rostov to score 3+	3.1%	4.5%	11.2%	0.40×	22.27

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to score exactly 1	29.8%	26.5%	35.2%	0.75×	3.77
Spartak Moscow to score exactly 2	26.8%	26.5%	24.3%	1.09×	3.77
Spartak Moscow to score 3+	26.8%	26.5%	18.8%	1.41×	3.77
Spartak Moscow to score exactly 0	16.6%	18.9%	22.1%	0.85×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow leading at HT	44.8%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Draw at HT	43.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Rostov leading at HT	11.8%	11.7%	—	—	8.55

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow -1: 1	37.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Spartak Moscow -1: 2	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Spartak Moscow -1: X	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (0:1)	37.9%	37.3%	22.7%	1.64×	2.68
Rostov (0:1)	36.7%	37.3%	55.8%	0.67×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	25.4%	27.0%	21.7%	1.25×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov (0:2)	62.1%	67.2%	77.3%	0.87×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	20.1%	20.3%	12.5%	1.62×	4.94
Spartak Moscow (0:2)	17.8%	15.3%	10.4%	1.47×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov (0:3)	82.2%	85.1%	89.6%	0.95×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	11.0%	10.0%	5.9%	1.69×	10.00
Spartak Moscow (0:3)	6.9%	5.8%	4.7%	1.23×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov (0:4)	93.1%	94.7%	95.3%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.7%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	82.93
Spartak Moscow (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	1.2%	0.98×	83.21

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (1:0)	87.6%	86.4%	71.8%	1.20×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.9%	6.9%	17.0%	0.41×	14.46
Rostov (1:0)	3.5%	3.2%	11.5%	0.28×	31.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (2:0)	96.5%	96.9%	88.5%	1.09×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.8%	2.3%	7.4%	0.31×	44.23
Rostov (2:0)	0.7%	2.3%	4.3%	0.52×	44.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow clean sheet	51.1%	53.1%	32.7%	1.62×	1.88
Spartak Moscow to concede	48.9%	46.9%	67.3%	0.70×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow clean sheet in 1st half	76.4%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Spartak Moscow to concede in 1st half	23.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.40

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow over 2.5 corners	84.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Spartak Moscow over 3.5 corners	71.6%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Spartak Moscow under 6.5 corners	71.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Spartak Moscow under 5.5 corners	58.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Spartak Moscow over 4.5 corners	56.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Spartak Moscow under 4.5 corners	43.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Spartak Moscow over 5.5 corners	41.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Spartak Moscow over 6.5 corners	29.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Spartak Moscow under 3.5 corners	28.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Spartak Moscow under 2.5 corners	15.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow under 3.5 goals	89.2%	87.2%	92.6%	0.94×	1.15
Spartak Moscow over 0.5 goals	83.4%	82.2%	77.9%	1.05×	1.22
Spartak Moscow under 2.5 goals	73.2%	74.2%	81.2%	0.91×	1.35
Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals	53.6%	53.3%	42.9%	1.24×	1.88
Spartak Moscow under 1.5 goals	46.4%	46.7%	57.1%	0.82×	2.14
Spartak Moscow over 2.5 goals	26.8%	25.8%	18.8%	1.37×	3.88
Spartak Moscow under 0.5 goals	16.6%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.60
Spartak Moscow over 3.5 goals	10.8%	12.8%	7.4%	1.73×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow under 1.5 in 1st half	81.9%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Spartak Moscow under 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Spartak Moscow over 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Spartak Moscow over 1.5 in 1st half	18.1%	15.4%	—	—	6.50

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	66.3%	63.8%	49.6%	1.28×	1.57
Rostov (home no bet)	33.7%	36.2%	50.4%	0.72×	2.76

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow even goals	51.4%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Spartak Moscow odd goals	48.6%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
HT 1-0	27.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
HT 2-0	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 0-1	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 1-1	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.58
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.72
HT 0-2	1.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.84
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.86
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow at HT / Spartak Moscow at FT	39.9%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / Spartak Moscow at FT	21.2%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Rostov at HT / Rostov at FT	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Draw at HT / Rostov at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Spartak Moscow at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
Rostov at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
Rostov at HT / Spartak Moscow at FT	2.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.19
Spartak Moscow at HT / Rostov at FT	0.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.25

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to score last	66.1%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Rostov to score last	24.4%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
No goal scored	9.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Spartak Moscow to lead by 1 at any time	73.2%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Spartak Moscow to lead by 2 at any time	42.7%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Rostov to lead by 1 at any time	27.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Spartak Moscow to lead by 3 at any time	19.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Rostov to lead by 2 at any time	6.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.40
Rostov to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	1.5%	—	—	64.96

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow most corners	68.1%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Rostov most corners	21.4%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Corners level	10.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.5%	79.6%	1.05×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.3%	72.4%	73.0%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.6%	69.0%	69.3%	1.00×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.0%	69.0%	66.1%	1.04×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.5%	61.4%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.7%	47.9%	1.02×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.7%	48.7%	44.8%	1.09×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.4%	43.6%	46.6%	0.94×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.8%	43.6%	42.9%	1.02×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.3%	35.4%	35.0%	1.01×	2.83
4-6 goals	22.2%	24.4%	25.4%	0.96×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.6%	18.6%	21.7%	0.86×	5.37
5-6 goals	9.1%	8.7%	11.9%	0.74×	11.43
7+ goals	1.3%	2.5%	1.6%	1.55×	39.52

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow never behind	63.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Rostov never behind	17.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.41

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.8%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.2%	51.1%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.6%	87.7%	86.7%	1.01×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.5%	77.4%	73.2%	1.06×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.6%	72.5%	74.4%	0.97×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.2%	58.8%	51.9%	1.13×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	44.8%	41.2%	48.1%	0.86×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	28.4%	27.5%	25.6%	1.07×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	23.5%	22.6%	26.8%	0.84×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	10.4%	12.3%	13.3%	0.93×	8.12
Under 0.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	7.4%	1.05×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.8%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.0%	86.7%	84.6%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.1%	72.6%	66.0%	1.10×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.2%	62.1%	65.3%	0.95×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.8%	37.9%	34.7%	1.09×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.9%	27.4%	34.0%	0.81×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.0%	13.3%	15.4%	0.86×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.2%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	1.7%	1.62×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.2%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.9%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.1%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.8%	7.2%	—	—	13.81

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.6%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.4%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov not to score in both halves	92.2%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Spartak Moscow not to score in both halves	65.6%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Spartak Moscow to score in both halves	34.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Rostov to score in both halves	7.8%	9.8%	—	—	10.23

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.8%	46.6%	52.6%	0.89×	2.15
Only Spartak Moscow scores	41.6%	46.6%	25.6%	1.82×	2.15
Neither team scores	9.5%	7.2%	7.4%	0.98×	13.92
Only Rostov scores	7.1%	7.2%	14.9%	0.48×	13.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.8%	25.0%	26.6%	0.94×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.2%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.9%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.1%	12.1%	13.7%	0.88×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	9.5%	7.6%	7.4%	1.03×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	8.2%	0.93×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.0%	4.4%	5.3%	0.83×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	33.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov not to win both halves	98.3%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Spartak Moscow not to win both halves	77.2%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Spartak Moscow to win both halves	22.8%	24.7%	—	—	4.04
Rostov to win both halves	1.7%	2.8%	—	—	36.03

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov to win neither half	75.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Spartak Moscow to win either half	72.3%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Spartak Moscow to win neither half	27.7%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Rostov to win either half	24.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rostov not to win to nil	92.9%	92.0%	85.1%	1.08×	1.09
Spartak Moscow not to win to nil	58.4%	58.9%	74.4%	0.79×	1.70
Spartak Moscow to win to nil	41.6%	41.1%	25.6%	1.61×	2.43
Rostov to win to nil	7.1%	8.0%	14.9%	0.53×	12.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow by 1	25.4%	27.8%	21.7%	1.28×	3.59
Draw	24.3%	24.1%	27.8%	0.87×	4.14
Spartak Moscow by 2	20.1%	24.1%	12.5%	1.93×	4.14
Spartak Moscow by 3+	17.8%	16.9%	10.4%	1.62×	5.90
Rostov by 1	8.9%	7.2%	17.0%	0.43×	13.80
Rostov by 2	2.8%	2.7%	7.4%	0.37×	36.98
Rostov by 3+	0.7%	2.7%	4.3%	0.63×	37.05