betaider.com

Sport Huancayo v UTC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Sport Huancayo win
62.4%
model 63.0%
Draw
18.9%
model 19.7%
UTC win
18.7%
model 17.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-1 9.9%
  2. 2-0 9.8%
  3. 1-0 9.4%
  4. 1-1 9.1%
  5. 3-1 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.560.7% Under 2.539.3%
BTTS yes55.9% BTTS no44.1%
Sport Huancayo 1+88.0% Sport Huancayo 2+62.7%
UTC 1+63.8% UTC 2+27.0%

Expected goals 2.12 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 48%
62.4% fair odds 1.60
strong signal · 742 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Sport Huancayo or draw (1UP)
Double chance 1UP
84.1% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Sport Huancayo carry the stronger rating, 1440 Elo against 1335.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Sport Huancayo have an estimated 62.4% win probability, against 18.9% for the draw and 18.7% for UTC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.12 for Sport Huancayo and 1.01 for UTC.

Why Sport Huancayo

Sport Huancayo carry the stronger rating, 1440 Elo against 1335.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why UTC can win

Nothing in the data singles out UTC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sport Huancayo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for UTC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sport Huancayo: 52% possession, 20.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. UTC: 49% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sport Huancayo's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Sport Huancayo are the model's most likely outcome at 62.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.12–1.02 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.25–1.00 2-0 10% 63% 56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to win 65.9% 65.0% 50.0% 1.30× 1.54
Draw 18.5% 19.4% 25.1% 0.77× 5.16
UTC to win 15.6% 19.3% 25.1% 0.77× 5.17
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo & not both score 33.2% 29.7% 26.5% 1.12× 3.37
Sport Huancayo & both teams score 32.6% 29.7% 23.6% 1.26× 3.37
Draw & both teams score 14.8% 13.3% 17.5% 0.76× 7.54
UTC & both teams score 8.8% 8.4% 13.1% 0.64× 11.92
UTC & not both score 6.8% 8.4% 12.2% 0.69× 11.93
Draw & not both score 3.7% 4.9% 7.8% 0.62× 20.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo & over 1.5 56.9% 54.9% 38.2% 1.44× 1.82
Sport Huancayo & over 2.5 47.1% 45.2% 30.9% 1.46× 2.21
Sport Huancayo & under 3.5 36.0% 34.9% 33.8% 1.03× 2.87
Sport Huancayo & over 3.5 29.8% 26.0% 16.4% 1.59× 3.84
Sport Huancayo & under 2.5 18.8% 18.0% 19.3% 0.93× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 14.8% 12.9% 17.5% 0.74× 7.77
Draw & under 2.5 12.2% 12.9% 18.9% 0.68× 7.77
Draw & under 3.5 12.2% 12.9% 18.9% 0.68× 7.77
UTC & over 1.5 11.5% 12.9% 17.3% 0.75× 7.77
UTC & under 3.5 11.0% 12.9% 19.1% 0.67× 7.77
Sport Huancayo & under 1.5 8.9% 7.9% 12.0% 0.66× 12.70
UTC & over 2.5 9.6% 7.9% 14.4% 0.55× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 6.3% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 6.3% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.70
UTC & under 2.5 6.0% 7.9% 10.9% 0.72× 12.70
UTC & over 3.5 4.6% 4.8% 6.2% 0.77× 20.92
UTC & under 1.5 4.1% 4.8% 8.0% 0.60× 20.93
Draw & under 1.5 3.7% 4.8% 7.8% 0.61× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (1UP) 77.6% 79.0% 1.27
UTC (1UP) 34.4% 33.0% 3.03
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (2UP) 65.9% 68.5% 1.46
UTC (2UP) 15.6% 17.3% 5.78
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to win 2nd half 53.3% 52.3% 1.91
2nd half drawn 29.3% 26.4% 3.79
UTC to win 2nd half 17.4% 19.1% 5.23
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (+0.5) 84.4% 82.4% 74.9% 1.10× 1.21
UTC (+2.5) 77.0% 78.5% 88.5% 0.89× 1.28
Sport Huancayo (-0.5) 65.9% 68.7% 50.0% 1.37× 1.46
UTC (+1.5) 57.3% 57.0% 75.3% 0.76× 1.75
Sport Huancayo (-1.5) 42.7% 43.0% 24.7% 1.74× 2.33
UTC (+0.5) 34.1% 31.3% 50.0% 0.63× 3.19
Sport Huancayo (-2.5) 23.0% 21.5% 11.5% 1.88× 4.64
UTC (-0.5) 15.6% 17.6% 25.1% 0.70× 5.69
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC to concede 89.5% 86.5% 80.2% 1.08× 1.16
UTC clean sheet 10.5% 13.5% 19.8% 0.68× 7.41
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC to concede in 1st half 62.0% 64.5% 1.55
UTC clean sheet in 1st half 38.0% 35.5% 2.82
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC under 6.5 corners 84.6% 81.5% 1.23
UTC under 5.5 corners 75.0% 71.6% 1.40
UTC over 2.5 corners 72.0% 71.5% 1.40
UTC under 4.5 corners 61.7% 61.8% 1.62
UTC over 3.5 corners 54.6% 53.1% 1.88
UTC under 3.5 corners 45.4% 46.9% 2.13
UTC over 4.5 corners 38.3% 38.2% 2.62
UTC under 2.5 corners 28.0% 28.5% 3.52
UTC over 5.5 corners 25.0% 28.4% 3.52
UTC over 6.5 corners 15.4% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC under 3.5 goals 98.1% 97.6% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
UTC under 2.5 goals 92.0% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
UTC under 1.5 goals 73.7% 72.0% 71.6% 1.00× 1.39
UTC over 0.5 goals 63.1% 62.9% 65.8% 0.96× 1.59
UTC under 0.5 goals 36.9% 37.1% 34.2% 1.08× 2.70
UTC over 1.5 goals 26.3% 28.0% 28.4% 0.99× 3.57
UTC over 2.5 goals 8.0% 7.7% 8.0% 0.96× 13.06
UTC over 3.5 goals 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 0.96× 40.88
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC under 1.5 in 1st half 93.9% 94.2% 1.06
UTC under 0.5 in 1st half 67.1% 68.2% 1.47
UTC over 0.5 in 1st half 32.9% 31.8% 3.15
UTC over 1.5 in 1st half 6.1% 5.8% 17.19
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (away no bet) 78.0% 73.7% 66.6% 1.11× 1.36
Draw (away no bet) 22.0% 26.3% 33.4% 0.79× 3.80
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC even goals 56.8% 56.9% 56.9% 1.00× 1.76
UTC odd goals 43.2% 43.1% 43.1% 1.00× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 77.8% 82.4% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 22.2% 17.6% 5.69
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 73.4% 67.2% 1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals 26.6% 32.8% 3.05
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 67.7% 62.1% 1.61
Sport Huancayo to score 2+ in a row 58.0% 55.3% 1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row 32.1% 28.8% 3.48
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ in a row 29.1% 25.2% 3.97
UTC to score 2+ in a row 16.9% 16.4% 6.10
UTC to score 3+ in a row 3.5% 2.6% 38.30
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo corners (+3.5) 92.5% 89.6% 1.12
Sport Huancayo corners (+2.5) 88.0% 84.5% 1.18
Sport Huancayo corners (+1.5) 81.7% 79.7% 1.25
UTC corners (+3.5) 66.5% 65.8% 1.52
UTC corners (+2.5) 56.8% 57.1% 1.75
Sport Huancayo corners (-1.5) 53.7% 52.5% 1.91
UTC corners (+1.5) 46.3% 47.5% 2.11
Sport Huancayo corners (-2.5) 43.3% 42.9% 2.33
Sport Huancayo corners (-3.5) 33.5% 34.2% 2.92
UTC corners (-1.5) 18.3% 20.3% 4.93
UTC corners (-2.5) 12.0% 15.5% 6.45
UTC corners (-3.5) 7.5% 10.4% 9.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 36.7% 33.7% 2.97
12+ corners 33.8% 33.2% 3.01
9-11 corners 29.5% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 74.2% 72.7% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 73.2% 72.7% 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 66.2% 67.7% 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 63.3% 63.4% 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 57.0% 57.7% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 53.0% 53.3% 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 47.0% 46.7% 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 43.0% 42.3% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 36.7% 36.6% 2.73
Over 11.5 corners 33.8% 32.3% 3.09
Under 7.5 corners 26.8% 27.3% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 25.8% 27.3% 3.66
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 8.9% 7.4% 12.0% 0.62× 13.47
1-1 8.5% 7.4% 11.3% 0.66× 13.47
2-0 9.9% 7.4% 7.5% 1.00× 13.47
2-1 9.8% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.47
3-0 7.4% 7.4% 5.1% 1.46× 13.47
3-1 7.4% 7.4% 5.3% 1.41× 13.47
Any other score 8.1% 7.4% 2.7% 2.72× 13.47
2-2 4.9% 1.7% 5.6% 0.30× 58.50
0-0 3.7% 1.7% 7.8% 0.22× 58.50
0-1 4.1% 1.7% 8.0% 0.21× 58.50
0-2 1.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.51
0-3 0.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.52
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.5% 3.13× 58.52
1-2 4.3% 1.7% 7.5% 0.23× 58.50
1-3 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 0.85× 58.52
1-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.52
2-3 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 0.85× 58.51
2-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.52
3-2 3.7% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.50
3-3 1.2% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.52
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.35× 58.52
4-0 4.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.04× 58.50
4-1 4.1% 1.7% 2.5% 0.67× 58.50
4-2 2.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.51
4-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.4% 4.70× 58.52
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 9.40× 58.52
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo leading at HT (DNB) 76.6% 77.8% 1.29
UTC leading at HT (DNB) 23.4% 22.2% 4.51
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw (1X) 84.4% 80.7% 74.9% 1.08× 1.24
Sport Huancayo or UTC (12) 81.5% 80.6% 74.9% 1.08× 1.24
UTC or draw (X2) 34.1% 35.0% 50.0% 0.70× 2.85
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw at HT 85.1% 88.0% 1.14
Sport Huancayo or UTC at HT 63.7% 62.3% 1.61
UTC or draw at HT 51.2% 47.5% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw (1UP) 84.4% 88.6% 1.13
UTC or draw (1UP) 34.4% 39.2% 2.55
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw in 2nd half 82.6% 80.9% 1.24
Sport Huancayo or UTC in 2nd half 70.7% 73.6% 1.36
UTC or draw in 2nd half 46.7% 47.7% 2.10
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 55.1% 58.0% 1.73
Neither half drawn 44.9% 42.0% 2.38
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (DNB) 80.8% 80.4% 66.6% 1.21× 1.24
UTC (DNB) 19.2% 19.6% 33.4% 0.59× 5.11
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score first 66.8% 69.5% 1.44
UTC to score first 29.5% 28.5% 3.51
No goal scored 3.7% 4.3% 23.24
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 56.2% 54.8% 53.8% 1.02× 1.82
Not both teams to score 43.8% 45.2% 46.2% 0.98× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 47.7% 44.3% 42.7% 1.04× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 28.5% 33.6% 37.6% 0.89× 2.97
Not both score & over 2.5 15.3% 21.7% 8.7% 2.49× 4.61
Both score & under 2.5 8.5% 8.4% 11.3% 0.74× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 82.7% 83.1% 85.6% 0.97× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 17.3% 16.9% 14.4% 1.18× 5.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 67.6% 67.7% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.5% 32.3% 3.10
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.8% 56.0% 1.79
Both score 2nd half only 25.8% 26.2% 3.81
Both score 1st half only 13.7% 10.6% 9.46
Both score in both halves 6.6% 6.7% 14.83
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.7% 81.4% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.3% 18.6% 5.38
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 63.0% 58.7% 1.70
A half without a goal 37.0% 41.3% 2.42
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 42.5% 42.1% 44.2% 0.95× 2.38
4-6 goals 36.1% 35.0% 26.9% 1.30× 2.85
0-1 goals 16.7% 20.2% 27.5% 0.74× 4.95
7+ goals 4.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.00× 54.76
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC to score exactly 0 36.9% 36.0% 34.2% 1.05× 2.78
UTC to score exactly 1 36.8% 36.0% 37.6% 0.96× 2.78
UTC to score exactly 2 18.3% 19.5% 20.5% 0.95× 5.12
UTC to score 3+ 8.0% 8.5% 8.0% 1.06× 11.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ 39.1% 35.6% 22.5% 1.58× 2.81
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 2 26.7% 26.5% 25.1% 1.06× 3.77
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 1 23.7% 23.3% 32.9% 0.71× 4.30
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 0 10.5% 14.3% 19.8% 0.72× 6.98
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo leading at HT 48.8% 52.5% 1.91
Draw at HT 36.3% 37.7% 2.65
UTC leading at HT 14.9% 12.0% 8.31
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo -1: 1 42.7% 42.7% 2.34
Sport Huancayo -1: 2 34.1% 30.1% 3.32
Sport Huancayo -1: X 23.2% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (0:1) 42.7% 42.7% 24.7% 1.73× 2.34
UTC (0:1) 34.1% 30.1% 50.0% 0.60× 3.33
Draw (0:1) 23.2% 24.3% 25.5% 0.95× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC (0:2) 57.3% 62.8% 75.3% 0.83× 1.59
Sport Huancayo (0:2) 23.0% 20.4% 11.5% 1.78× 4.91
Draw (0:2) 19.6% 15.3% 13.5% 1.14× 6.53
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC (0:3) 77.0% 80.4% 88.5% 0.91× 1.24
Draw (0:3) 12.6% 10.0% 7.6% 1.31× 9.98
Sport Huancayo (0:3) 10.4% 10.0% 4.0% 2.50× 10.01
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC (0:4) 89.6% 92.1% 96.0% 0.96× 1.09
Draw (0:4) 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.82× 21.55
Sport Huancayo (0:4) 4.0% 1.2% 1.6% 0.74× 83.14
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (1:0) 84.4% 81.5% 74.9% 1.09× 1.23
Draw (1:0) 10.4% 12.8% 17.6% 0.73× 7.81
UTC (1:0) 5.2% 6.9% 7.6% 0.90× 14.50
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (2:0) 94.8% 94.0% 92.4% 1.02× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 3.8% 2.3% 5.6% 0.40× 44.26
UTC (2:0) 1.4% 2.3% 2.2% 1.03× 44.42
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.7% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 28.1% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 22.2% 24.3% 4.12
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede 63.1% 63.4% 65.8% 0.96× 1.58
Sport Huancayo clean sheet 36.9% 36.6% 34.2% 1.07× 2.73
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo clean sheet in 1st half 67.1% 68.5% 1.46
Sport Huancayo to concede in 1st half 32.9% 31.5% 3.18
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 corners 88.7% 86.3% 1.16
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 corners 78.3% 76.6% 1.31
Sport Huancayo over 4.5 corners 65.7% 66.7% 1.50
Sport Huancayo under 6.5 corners 60.1% 62.3% 1.61
Sport Huancayo over 5.5 corners 52.4% 52.8% 1.90
Sport Huancayo under 5.5 corners 47.6% 47.2% 2.12
Sport Huancayo over 6.5 corners 39.9% 37.7% 2.65
Sport Huancayo under 4.5 corners 34.3% 33.3% 3.00
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 corners 21.7% 23.4% 4.27
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 corners 11.3% 13.7% 7.29
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 goals 89.5% 87.3% 80.2% 1.09× 1.15
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 goals 81.0% 82.1% 92.4% 0.89× 1.22
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 goals 65.8% 67.8% 47.5% 1.43× 1.47
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 goals 60.9% 63.4% 77.5% 0.82× 1.58
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 goals 39.1% 36.6% 22.5% 1.62× 2.73
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 goals 34.2% 32.2% 52.5% 0.61× 3.11
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 goals 19.0% 17.9% 7.6% 2.34× 5.59
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 goals 10.5% 12.7% 19.8% 0.64× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 in 1st half 74.8% 79.7% 1.26
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 in 1st half 62.0% 64.3% 1.56
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 in 1st half 38.0% 35.7% 2.80
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 in 1st half 25.2% 20.3% 4.93
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 54.3% 51.6% 50.0% 1.03× 1.94
UTC (home no bet) 45.7% 48.4% 50.0% 0.97× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo even goals 50.6% 50.6% 50.5% 1.00× 1.98
Sport Huancayo odd goals 49.4% 49.4% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 25.5% 29.0% 3.45
HT 1-0 24.7% 24.2% 4.13
HT 2-0 11.9% 11.0% 9.11
HT 0-1 10.2% 11.0% 9.13
HT 1-1 9.8% 7.1% 14.13
Any other HT score 8.2% 7.1% 14.16
HT 2-1 4.8% 2.3% 43.71
HT 0-2 2.0% 2.3% 43.92
HT 1-2 2.0% 2.3% 43.92
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.3% 44.00
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 43.1% 44.3% 2.26
Draw at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 19.5% 16.9% 5.93
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.4% 12.6% 7.91
UTC at HT / UTC at FT 7.8% 6.0% 16.57
Draw at HT / UTC at FT 6.4% 6.0% 16.61
Sport Huancayo at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% 28.82
UTC at HT / Draw at FT 3.8% 3.5% 28.84
UTC at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 3.3% 3.5% 28.86
Sport Huancayo at HT / UTC at FT 1.4% 3.5% 28.93
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score last 66.7% 70.0% 1.43
UTC to score last 29.6% 27.2% 3.67
No goal scored 3.7% 4.3% 23.24
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.3% 95.6% 1.05
Sport Huancayo to lead by 1 at any time 77.6% 78.3% 1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 59.2% 55.2% 1.81
Sport Huancayo to lead by 2 at any time 49.8% 44.1% 2.27
UTC to lead by 1 at any time 34.4% 29.4% 3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 28.8% 25.3% 3.95
Sport Huancayo to lead by 3 at any time 26.5% 25.3% 3.96
UTC to lead by 2 at any time 9.8% 6.6% 15.12
UTC to lead by 3 at any time 2.3% 1.6% 64.23
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo most corners 64.1% 60.5% 1.65
UTC most corners 26.3% 31.0% 3.23
Corners level 9.5% 8.5% 11.79
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.2% 87.4% 87.1% 1.00× 1.14
2-6 goals 78.6% 78.6% 70.9% 1.11× 1.27
1-4 goals 73.5% 72.4% 78.0% 0.93× 1.38
2-5 goals 72.2% 72.4% 67.5% 1.07× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.5% 63.4% 58.4% 1.09× 1.58
3-6 goals 58.3% 59.2% 49.6% 1.19× 1.69
1-3 goals 55.5% 59.2% 63.8% 0.93× 1.69
3-5 goals 51.9% 53.2% 46.2% 1.15× 1.88
2-3 goals 42.5% 43.6% 44.2% 0.99× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.2% 43.6% 37.1% 1.17× 2.30
4-6 goals 36.1% 39.2% 26.9% 1.46× 2.55
1-2 goals 33.3% 35.4% 41.1% 0.86× 2.83
4-5 goals 29.7% 30.2% 23.5% 1.29× 3.31
5-6 goals 18.0% 18.6% 12.7% 1.46× 5.37
7+ goals 4.7% 2.5% 1.8% 1.40× 39.30
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo never behind 61.9% 67.7% 1.48
UTC never behind 18.7% 18.8% 5.32
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.7% 50.8% 46.9% 1.08× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.3% 49.2% 53.1% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.2% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.8% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.0% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.0% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.3% 95.5% 92.2% 1.04× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 89.0% 87.7% 94.7% 0.93× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 83.3% 82.4% 72.5% 1.14× 1.21
Under 4.5 goals 77.3% 77.4% 85.6% 0.90× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 63.0% 61.7% 51.3% 1.20× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 59.2% 58.8% 71.5% 0.82× 1.70
Over 3.5 goals 40.8% 41.2% 28.5% 1.44× 2.43
Under 2.5 goals 37.0% 38.3% 48.7% 0.79× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 22.7% 22.6% 14.4% 1.58× 4.42
Under 1.5 goals 16.7% 17.6% 27.5% 0.64× 5.68
Over 5.5 goals 11.0% 12.3% 5.3% 2.34× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 3.7% 4.5% 7.8% 0.58× 22.23
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.0% 92.5% 98.1% 0.94× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 87.5% 86.7% 94.2% 0.92× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 79.0% 75.9% 65.1% 1.17× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 72.3% 72.6% 83.3% 0.87× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 52.4% 51.8% 36.9% 1.40× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 47.6% 48.2% 63.1% 0.76× 2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 27.7% 27.4% 16.7% 1.64× 3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 21.0% 24.1% 34.9% 0.69× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 12.5% 13.3% 5.8% 2.29× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.0% 7.5% 1.9% 3.99× 13.29
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 84.2% 86.5% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 74.5% 71.0% 1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half 60.4% 63.5% 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 39.6% 36.5% 2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half 25.5% 29.0% 3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half 15.8% 13.5% 7.38
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 84.8% 83.0% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 70.9% 77.6% 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 56.0% 54.6% 1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 44.0% 45.4% 2.20
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 29.1% 22.4% 4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 15.2% 17.0% 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC not to score in both halves 85.2% 85.9% 1.17
Sport Huancayo not to score in both halves 55.2% 57.5% 1.74
Sport Huancayo to score in both halves 44.8% 42.5% 2.35
UTC to score in both halves 14.8% 14.1% 7.07
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 56.2% 58.3% 53.8% 1.08× 1.72
Only Sport Huancayo scores 33.2% 33.4% 26.5% 1.26× 3.00
Only UTC scores 6.8% 7.2% 12.2% 0.59× 13.92
Neither team scores 3.7% 4.6% 7.8% 0.59× 21.80
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.2% 22.6% 22.9% 0.99× 4.42
Exactly 2 goals 20.3% 22.6% 21.5% 1.05× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 18.0% 17.4% 14.4% 1.21× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 13.0% 12.1% 19.8% 0.61× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 11.7% 12.1% 9.3% 1.30× 8.29
6 or more goals 11.0% 12.1% 5.3% 2.29× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 3.7% 4.4% 7.8% 0.56× 22.68
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 56.0% 52.7% 1.90
1 goal in 2nd half 28.8% 29.9% 3.35
No goals in 2nd half 15.2% 17.0% 5.89
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC not to win both halves 97.4% 97.2% 1.03
Sport Huancayo not to win both halves 74.0% 73.0% 1.37
Sport Huancayo to win both halves 26.0% 27.0% 3.70
UTC to win both halves 2.6% 2.8% 35.97
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to win either half 76.2% 79.5% 1.26
UTC to win neither half 70.3% 72.9% 1.37
UTC to win either half 29.7% 27.1% 3.69
Sport Huancayo to win neither half 23.8% 20.5% 4.88
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UTC not to win to nil 93.2% 92.0% 87.8% 1.05× 1.09
Sport Huancayo not to win to nil 66.8% 69.6% 73.5% 0.95× 1.44
Sport Huancayo to win to nil 33.2% 30.4% 26.5% 1.14× 3.29
UTC to win to nil 6.8% 8.0% 12.2% 0.65× 12.57
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo by 1 23.2% 24.2% 25.5% 0.95× 4.14
Sport Huancayo by 3+ 23.0% 24.2% 11.5% 2.11× 4.14
Sport Huancayo by 2 19.6% 17.0% 13.5% 1.26× 5.90
Draw 18.5% 17.0% 25.1% 0.68× 5.90
UTC by 1 10.4% 11.8% 17.6% 0.67× 8.47
UTC by 2 3.8% 2.7% 5.6% 0.48× 37.01
UTC by 3+ 1.4% 2.7% 2.2% 1.24× 37.09
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide