Sportivo Luqueño v Sportivo Ameliano — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · FIFA:2000000071 · 2627
FIFA:2000000071 results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.4%
- 1-0 10.6%
- 2-1 8.9%
- 0-1 8.7%
- 2-0 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | Under 2.5 | 51.7% |
| BTTS yes | 52.5% | BTTS no | 47.5% |
| Sportivo Luqueño 1+ | 76.2% | Sportivo Luqueño 2+ | 42.0% |
| Sportivo Ameliano 1+ | 69.0% | Sportivo Ameliano 2+ | 32.7% |
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Sportivo Luqueño have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Sportivo Ameliano have allowed 1.35.
- At home Sportivo Luqueño average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Sportivo Luqueño have only 0 matches on record.
- Sportivo Ameliano have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Sportivo Luqueño have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 30.8% for Sportivo Ameliano and 26.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Sportivo Luqueño and 1.17 for Sportivo Ameliano.
Why Sportivo Luqueño
Sportivo Luqueño have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Sportivo Ameliano have allowed 1.35. At home Sportivo Luqueño average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.1%.
Why Sportivo Ameliano can win
Sportivo Ameliano have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Sportivo Luqueño have allowed 1.35. Away from home Sportivo Ameliano average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Sportivo Luqueño, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sportivo Ameliano, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Sportivo Luqueño: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sportivo Ameliano: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Sportivo Luqueño are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.43–1.17 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.