St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

St. Louis City

20:30

Minnesota United FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 161h before kick-off

St. Louis City win

44.6%

model 45.0%

Draw

27.6%

model 25.1%

Minnesota United FC win

27.8%

model 29.9%

452828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
2-1 9.2%
1-0 8.1%
1-2 7.3%
2-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.5%	Under 2.5	43.5%
BTTS yes	59.3%	BTTS no	40.7%
St. Louis City 1+	80.7%	St. Louis City 2+	48.9%
Minnesota United FC 1+	72.8%	Minnesota United FC 2+	37.4%

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.30. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

2-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 58%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

St. Louis City over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 82%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1110 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

St. Louis City carry the stronger rating, 1541 Elo against 1513.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

St. Louis City have an estimated 44.6% win probability, against 27.8% for Minnesota United FC and 27.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.65 for St. Louis City and 1.30 for Minnesota United FC.

Why St. Louis City

St. Louis City carry the stronger rating, 1541 Elo against 1513. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.6%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Minnesota United FC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Minnesota United FC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St. Louis City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Minnesota United FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St. Louis City: 53% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Minnesota United FC: 43% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

St. Louis City are the model's most likely outcome at 44.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452530	1.65–1.30	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	462529	1.64–1.26	1-1 12%	55%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to win	45.7%	47.4%	45.4%	1.05×	2.11
Minnesota United FC to win	29.0%	27.9%	29.9%	0.93×	3.59
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City & both teams score	23.4%	21.9%	24.4%	0.90×	4.57
St. Louis City & not both score	22.3%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Minnesota United FC & both teams score	15.6%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Minnesota United FC & not both score	13.4%	13.2%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.0%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City & over 1.5	37.2%	34.9%	37.1%	0.94×	2.86
St. Louis City & over 2.5	29.8%	26.0%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
St. Louis City & under 3.5	29.2%	26.0%	28.3%	0.92×	3.84
Minnesota United FC & over 1.5	22.6%	21.6%	23.5%	0.92×	4.62
Minnesota United FC & under 3.5	19.9%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.9%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.9%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Minnesota United FC & over 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
St. Louis City & over 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
St. Louis City & under 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	14.5%	1.24×	5.56
Minnesota United FC & under 2.5	10.8%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.78
Minnesota United FC & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.69
St. Louis City & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.69
Minnesota United FC & under 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (1UP)	62.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Minnesota United FC (1UP)	47.8%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (2UP)	45.7%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Minnesota United FC (2UP)	29.0%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to win 2nd half	37.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	34.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Minnesota United FC to win 2nd half	27.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (+2.5)	89.9%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
Minnesota United FC (+1.5)	76.0%	78.5%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
St. Louis City (+0.5)	71.0%	73.7%	70.1%	1.05×	1.36
Minnesota United FC (+0.5)	54.3%	52.4%	54.6%	0.96×	1.91
St. Louis City (-0.5)	45.7%	47.6%	45.4%	1.05×	2.10
Minnesota United FC (-0.5)	29.0%	26.3%	29.9%	0.88×	3.80
St. Louis City (-1.5)	24.0%	21.5%	23.3%	0.93×	4.64
St. Louis City (-2.5)	10.1%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to concede	80.6%	81.2%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Minnesota United FC clean sheet	19.4%	18.8%	18.0%	1.04×	5.33

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC clean sheet in 1st half	49.4%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Minnesota United FC to concede in 1st half	50.6%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 6.5 corners	79.3%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Minnesota United FC over 2.5 corners	76.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Minnesota United FC under 5.5 corners	68.6%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Minnesota United FC over 3.5 corners	60.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Minnesota United FC under 4.5 corners	55.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Minnesota United FC over 4.5 corners	45.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Minnesota United FC under 3.5 corners	39.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Minnesota United FC over 5.5 corners	31.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Minnesota United FC under 2.5 corners	23.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Minnesota United FC over 6.5 corners	20.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 3.5 goals	96.1%	97.6%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Minnesota United FC under 2.5 goals	86.6%	87.9%	83.3%	1.06×	1.14
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 goals	71.7%	71.9%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 goals	64.0%	63.0%	61.3%	1.03×	1.59
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 goals	36.0%	37.0%	38.7%	0.96×	2.70
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 goals	28.3%	28.1%	26.8%	1.05×	3.56
Minnesota United FC over 2.5 goals	13.4%	12.1%	16.7%	0.73×	8.25
Minnesota United FC over 3.5 goals	3.9%	2.4%	6.1%	0.40×	40.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC under 1.5 in 1st half	90.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Minnesota United FC under 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Minnesota United FC over 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Minnesota United FC over 1.5 in 1st half	9.2%	5.9%	—	—	16.88

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (away no bet)	64.4%	62.2%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.6%	37.8%	35.4%	1.07×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC even goals	54.0%	52.8%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Minnesota United FC odd goals	46.0%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.8%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.6%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.4%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.0%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
St. Louis City to score 2+ in a row	39.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Minnesota United FC to score 2+ in a row	26.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
St. Louis City to score 3+ in a row	14.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Minnesota United FC to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.94

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City corners (+3.5)	87.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
St. Louis City corners (+2.5)	81.4%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Minnesota United FC corners (+3.5)	75.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
St. Louis City corners (+1.5)	73.6%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Minnesota United FC corners (+2.5)	66.5%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Minnesota United FC corners (+1.5)	56.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
St. Louis City corners (-1.5)	43.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
St. Louis City corners (-2.5)	33.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Minnesota United FC corners (-1.5)	26.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
St. Louis City corners (-3.5)	24.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Minnesota United FC corners (-2.5)	18.6%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Minnesota United FC corners (-3.5)	12.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.6%	35.2%	—	—	2.85
12+ corners	32.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.7%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	61.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	58.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	48.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	41.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	32.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	28.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.9%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
1-0	8.5%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.46
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
1-2	7.2%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.46
2-0	7.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.46
0-0	6.0%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.46
0-1	6.5%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.46
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.46
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.46
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.57
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.58
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.58
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.59
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
3-0	4.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.57
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.57
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.58
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.59
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.58
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.59
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.59
Any other score	3.5%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City leading at HT (DNB)	60.8%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Minnesota United FC leading at HT (DNB)	39.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or Minnesota United FC (12)	74.7%	72.1%	75.1%	0.96×	1.39
St. Louis City or draw (1X)	71.0%	72.1%	70.1%	1.03×	1.39
Minnesota United FC or draw (X2)	54.3%	52.6%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or draw at HT	77.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Minnesota United FC or draw at HT	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St. Louis City or Minnesota United FC at HT	58.4%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or draw (1UP)	71.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Minnesota United FC or draw (1UP)	54.3%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or draw in 2nd half	72.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
St. Louis City or Minnesota United FC in 2nd half	65.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Minnesota United FC or draw in 2nd half	62.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (DNB)	61.1%	62.8%	60.3%	1.04×	1.59
Minnesota United FC (DNB)	38.9%	37.2%	39.7%	0.94×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score first	53.1%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Minnesota United FC to score first	40.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	6.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.3%	54.8%	61.1%	0.90×	1.83
Not both teams to score	41.7%	45.2%	38.9%	1.16×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.4%	44.2%	50.9%	0.87×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	32.7%	34.4%	29.9%	1.15×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.5%	83.2%	79.5%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	17.5%	16.8%	20.5%	0.82×	5.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.9%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Both score 2nd half only	25.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Both score 1st half only	13.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.97

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.9%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	20.1%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.5%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.5%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
4-6 goals	30.2%	30.7%	33.1%	0.93×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.0%	22.8%	20.5%	1.11×	4.38
7+ goals	2.9%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.13

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 1	35.7%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 0	28.3%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.65
Minnesota United FC to score exactly 2	22.6%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.47
Minnesota United FC to score 3+	13.4%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score exactly 1	31.8%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
St. Louis City to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
St. Louis City to score 3+	22.6%	23.3%	25.2%	0.92×	4.30
St. Louis City to score exactly 0	19.4%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.6%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
St. Louis City leading at HT	35.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Minnesota United FC leading at HT	22.9%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City -1: 2	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
St. Louis City -1: 1	24.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
St. Louis City -1: X	21.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (0:1)	54.3%	51.2%	54.6%	0.94×	1.95
St. Louis City (0:1)	24.0%	24.3%	23.3%	1.05×	4.11
Draw (0:1)	21.7%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (0:2)	76.0%	79.4%	76.7%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.0%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.08
St. Louis City (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	10.5%	1.04×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (0:3)	89.9%	90.8%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.6%	5.8%	6.6%	0.87×	17.25
St. Louis City (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (0:4)	96.5%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.18
St. Louis City (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.36

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (1:0)	71.0%	72.5%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.6%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
Minnesota United FC (1:0)	12.5%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (2:0)	87.5%	88.3%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.3%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.48
Minnesota United FC (2:0)	4.1%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.14

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to concede	71.7%	73.0%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
St. Louis City clean sheet	28.3%	27.0%	26.8%	1.01×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City clean sheet in 1st half	60.3%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
St. Louis City to concede in 1st half	39.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City over 2.5 corners	84.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
St. Louis City over 3.5 corners	71.9%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
St. Louis City under 6.5 corners	67.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
St. Louis City over 4.5 corners	58.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
St. Louis City under 5.5 corners	55.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
St. Louis City over 5.5 corners	44.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
St. Louis City under 4.5 corners	42.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
St. Louis City over 6.5 corners	32.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
St. Louis City under 3.5 corners	28.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
St. Louis City under 2.5 corners	15.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 3.5 goals	91.6%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
St. Louis City over 0.5 goals	80.6%	82.1%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
St. Louis City under 2.5 goals	77.4%	77.7%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
St. Louis City under 1.5 goals	51.3%	53.3%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
St. Louis City over 1.5 goals	48.7%	46.7%	51.1%	0.91×	2.14
St. Louis City over 2.5 goals	22.6%	22.3%	25.2%	0.89×	4.48
St. Louis City under 0.5 goals	19.4%	17.9%	18.0%	0.99×	5.60
St. Louis City over 3.5 goals	8.4%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 1.5 in 1st half	84.3%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
St. Louis City under 0.5 in 1st half	49.4%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
St. Louis City over 0.5 in 1st half	50.6%	48.9%	—	—	2.04
St. Louis City over 1.5 in 1st half	15.7%	15.2%	—	—	6.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC (home no bet)	53.5%	51.6%	54.6%	0.94×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.5%	48.4%	45.4%	1.07×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City even goals	51.9%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
St. Louis City odd goals	48.1%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
HT 1-0	20.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	15.0%	11.1%	—	—	9.02
HT 1-1	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 2-0	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Any other HT score	4.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.55
HT 0-2	3.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.64
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.64
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.73
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.87

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City at HT / St. Louis City at FT	27.6%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Draw at HT / St. Louis City at FT	15.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Minnesota United FC at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	15.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
St. Louis City at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Minnesota United FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Minnesota United FC at HT / St. Louis City at FT	2.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.18
St. Louis City at HT / Minnesota United FC at FT	2.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.19

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score last	53.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Minnesota United FC to score last	40.9%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	6.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.0%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
St. Louis City to lead by 1 at any time	62.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.2%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Minnesota United FC to lead by 1 at any time	47.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
St. Louis City to lead by 2 at any time	31.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Minnesota United FC to lead by 2 at any time	18.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
St. Louis City to lead by 3 at any time	12.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Minnesota United FC to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.5%	—	—	15.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City most corners	53.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Minnesota United FC most corners	35.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	10.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.2%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.2%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.6%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.2%	63.5%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.0%	63.5%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.6%	53.1%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.0%	48.7%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.7%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.6%	39.2%	34.4%	1.14×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.6%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.2%	35.4%	33.1%	1.07×	2.83
4-5 goals	25.6%	30.2%	26.1%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.0%	14.9%	17.2%	0.86×	6.73
7+ goals	2.9%	2.5%	4.1%	0.61×	39.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City never behind	46.2%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Minnesota United FC never behind	31.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.2%	82.4%	78.8%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	79.0%	77.4%	79.5%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.9%	66.3%	62.9%	1.05×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.4%	58.8%	59.9%	0.98×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	44.6%	41.2%	40.1%	1.03×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	33.1%	33.7%	37.1%	0.91×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	21.0%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.8%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.8%	92.5%	87.6%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.9%	76.0%	74.8%	1.02×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.6%	72.6%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.4%	55.5%	51.9%	1.07×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.6%	44.5%	48.1%	0.93×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.4%	27.4%	25.5%	1.07×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.1%	24.0%	25.2%	0.95×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.2%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.36

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.1%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.8%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.9%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC not to score in both halves	78.9%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
St. Louis City not to score in both halves	69.3%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
St. Louis City to score in both halves	30.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Minnesota United FC to score in both halves	21.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.3%	58.2%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
Only St. Louis City scores	22.3%	22.4%	21.1%	1.06×	4.47
Only Minnesota United FC scores	13.4%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.13
Neither team scores	6.0%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.95

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.6%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.0%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	9.4%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.4%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.0%	7.6%	5.8%	1.30×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	30.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC not to win both halves	93.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
St. Louis City not to win both halves	86.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
St. Louis City to win both halves	13.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Minnesota United FC to win both halves	6.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to win either half	59.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Minnesota United FC to win neither half	55.6%	59.4%	—	—	1.69
Minnesota United FC to win either half	44.4%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
St. Louis City to win neither half	40.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota United FC not to win to nil	86.6%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
St. Louis City not to win to nil	77.7%	78.0%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
St. Louis City to win to nil	22.3%	22.0%	21.1%	1.04×	4.55
Minnesota United FC to win to nil	13.4%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.3%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
St. Louis City by 1	21.7%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Minnesota United FC by 1	16.6%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.90
St. Louis City by 2	14.0%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.46
St. Louis City by 3+	10.1%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.47
Minnesota United FC by 2	8.3%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.80
Minnesota United FC by 3+	4.1%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	36.94