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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger v Zhejiang Professional FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win
49.8%
model 46.8%
Draw
22.0%
model 24.5%
Zhejiang Professional FC win
28.2%
model 28.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.3%
  2. 2-1 9.4%
  3. 1-0 8.0%
  4. 2-0 7.2%
  5. 1-2 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.558.0% Under 2.542.0%
BTTS yes60.1% BTTS no39.9%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1+82.0% Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2+51.1%
Zhejiang Professional FC 1+72.7% Zhejiang Professional FC 2+37.3%

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.30. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
100%
★ Best pick
Odd number of goals
Odd/Even · usually 46%
50.3% fair odds 1.99
moderate signal · 2377 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 0.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 86%
82.8% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 1110 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0120 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have an estimated 49.8% win probability, against 28.2% for Zhejiang Professional FC and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.72 for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and 1.30 for Zhejiang Professional FC.

Why Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Nothing in the data singles out Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Zhejiang Professional FC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Zhejiang Professional FC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Zhejiang Professional FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 46% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Zhejiang Professional FC: 46% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger are the model's most likely outcome at 49.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.72–1.30 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.69–1.29 1-1 11% 57% 59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win 46.4% 47.5% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Zhejiang Professional FC to win 28.9% 27.9% 28.0% 0.99× 3.59
Draw 24.7% 24.4% 26.2% 0.93× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & both teams score 24.3% 21.9% 23.0% 0.95× 4.57
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & not both score 22.0% 21.9% 23.2% 0.94× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.2% 17.9% 22.1% 0.81× 5.58
Zhejiang Professional FC & both teams score 15.9% 17.9% 18.5% 0.97× 5.58
Zhejiang Professional FC & not both score 13.0% 13.2% 9.8% 1.35× 7.55
Draw & not both score 5.5% 8.4% 4.3% 1.93× 11.95
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & over 1.5 38.2% 34.9% 36.4% 0.96× 2.86
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & over 2.5 30.9% 30.9% 29.4% 1.05× 3.24
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & under 3.5 28.9% 26.0% 27.3% 0.95× 3.84
Zhejiang Professional FC & over 1.5 22.8% 21.6% 23.7% 0.91× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.2% 18.0% 22.1% 0.81× 5.56
Zhejiang Professional FC & over 2.5 18.5% 18.0% 21.0% 0.86× 5.56
Zhejiang Professional FC & under 3.5 19.4% 18.0% 15.9% 1.13× 5.56
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & over 3.5 17.5% 18.0% 18.9% 0.95× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 17.0% 18.0% 16.4% 1.10× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 17.0% 18.0% 16.4% 1.10× 5.56
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & under 2.5 15.4% 18.0% 16.9% 1.07× 5.56
Zhejiang Professional FC & under 2.5 10.4% 12.9% 7.3% 1.76× 7.78
Zhejiang Professional FC & over 3.5 9.6% 7.9% 12.3% 0.64× 12.69
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & under 1.5 8.2% 7.9% 9.8% 0.80× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 7.7% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 7.7% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.69
Zhejiang Professional FC & under 1.5 6.2% 7.9% 4.6% 1.73× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 5.5% 7.9% 4.3% 1.82× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (1UP) 62.9% 63.2% 1.58
Zhejiang Professional FC (1UP) 48.1% 43.0% 2.33
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (2UP) 46.4% 49.8% 2.01
Zhejiang Professional FC (2UP) 28.9% 24.7% 4.05
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win 2nd half 38.3% 36.1% 2.77
2nd half drawn 33.7% 34.5% 2.90
Zhejiang Professional FC to win 2nd half 28.0% 26.3% 3.81
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (+2.5) 89.4% 88.5% 89.3% 0.99× 1.13
Zhejiang Professional FC (+1.5) 75.3% 78.5% 74.7% 1.05× 1.28
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+0.5) 71.1% 73.7% 72.0% 1.02× 1.36
Zhejiang Professional FC (+0.5) 53.6% 52.4% 54.0% 0.97× 1.91
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-0.5) 46.4% 47.6% 46.0% 1.04× 2.10
Zhejiang Professional FC (-0.5) 28.9% 26.3% 28.0% 0.94× 3.80
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-1.5) 24.7% 21.5% 25.3% 0.85× 4.64
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-2.5) 10.6% 11.5% 10.7% 1.07× 8.70
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to concede 81.5% 81.3% 86.1% 0.94× 1.23
Zhejiang Professional FC clean sheet 18.5% 18.7% 13.9% 1.35× 5.34
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC clean sheet in 1st half 48.4% 50.9% 1.96
Zhejiang Professional FC to concede in 1st half 51.6% 49.1% 2.04
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC over 2.5 corners 82.3% 80.9% 1.24
Zhejiang Professional FC under 6.5 corners 73.3% 72.3% 1.38
Zhejiang Professional FC over 3.5 corners 68.3% 68.2% 1.47
Zhejiang Professional FC under 5.5 corners 61.3% 61.4% 1.63
Zhejiang Professional FC over 4.5 corners 53.0% 52.4% 1.91
Zhejiang Professional FC under 4.5 corners 47.0% 47.6% 2.10
Zhejiang Professional FC over 5.5 corners 38.7% 38.6% 2.59
Zhejiang Professional FC under 3.5 corners 31.7% 31.8% 3.15
Zhejiang Professional FC over 6.5 corners 26.7% 27.7% 3.62
Zhejiang Professional FC under 2.5 corners 17.7% 19.1% 5.25
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC under 3.5 goals 95.8% 97.6% 92.9% 1.05× 1.03
Zhejiang Professional FC under 2.5 goals 85.9% 87.9% 83.1% 1.06× 1.14
Zhejiang Professional FC over 0.5 goals 72.5% 71.9% 72.7% 0.99× 1.39
Zhejiang Professional FC under 1.5 goals 63.0% 62.9% 60.8% 1.03× 1.59
Zhejiang Professional FC over 1.5 goals 37.0% 37.1% 39.2% 0.95× 2.70
Zhejiang Professional FC under 0.5 goals 27.5% 28.1% 27.3% 1.03× 3.56
Zhejiang Professional FC over 2.5 goals 14.1% 12.1% 16.9% 0.72× 8.24
Zhejiang Professional FC over 3.5 goals 4.2% 2.4% 7.1% 0.35× 40.97
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC under 1.5 in 1st half 90.5% 94.1% 1.06
Zhejiang Professional FC under 0.5 in 1st half 59.7% 63.1% 1.59
Zhejiang Professional FC over 0.5 in 1st half 40.3% 36.9% 2.71
Zhejiang Professional FC over 1.5 in 1st half 9.5% 5.9% 16.84
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (away no bet) 65.2% 66.4% 63.7% 1.04× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 34.8% 33.6% 36.3% 0.93× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC even goals 53.8% 52.8% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Zhejiang Professional FC odd goals 46.2% 47.2% 45.3% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 81.8% 83.1% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 18.2% 16.9% 5.93
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 69.0% 68.5% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 31.0% 31.5% 3.18
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 60.4% 59.4% 1.68
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score 2+ in a row 41.0% 38.1% 2.62
Zhejiang Professional FC to score 2+ in a row 27.2% 25.2% 3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.8% 19.3% 5.17
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score 3+ in a row 15.5% 16.4% 6.11
Zhejiang Professional FC to score 3+ in a row 7.7% 5.6% 17.91
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (+3.5) 87.6% 84.2% 1.19
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (+2.5) 81.1% 80.0% 1.25
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (+3.5) 78.8% 75.5% 1.33
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (+1.5) 72.6% 69.9% 1.43
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (+2.5) 70.1% 69.9% 1.43
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (+1.5) 59.9% 56.8% 1.76
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (-1.5) 40.1% 43.2% 2.32
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (-2.5) 29.9% 30.1% 3.32
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (-1.5) 27.4% 30.1% 3.32
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (-3.5) 21.2% 24.5% 4.08
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (-2.5) 18.9% 20.0% 5.00
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (-3.5) 12.4% 15.8% 6.32
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 43.6% 37.1% 2.70
9-11 corners 29.8% 31.8% 3.15
12+ corners 26.6% 31.8% 3.15
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 80.6% 79.8% 1.25
Under 11.5 corners 73.4% 72.5% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 67.4% 67.9% 1.47
Under 10.5 corners 64.5% 62.7% 1.60
Over 8.5 corners 56.5% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 54.4% 52.3% 1.91
Over 9.5 corners 45.6% 47.7% 2.09
Under 8.5 corners 43.6% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 35.5% 37.3% 2.68
Under 7.5 corners 32.6% 32.1% 3.12
Over 11.5 corners 26.6% 27.5% 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 19.4% 20.2% 4.96
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.5% 11.5% 12.3% 0.93× 8.73
2-1 9.4% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.46
1-0 8.2% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.46
1-2 7.2% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.46
2-0 7.3% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.46
0-0 5.5% 7.4% 4.3% 1.72× 13.46
0-1 6.2% 7.4% 4.6% 1.63× 13.46
2-2 6.0% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.46
3-1 5.3% 7.4% 6.2% 1.21× 13.46
0-2 4.2% 1.7% 3.0% 0.58× 58.57
0-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.58
0-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.50× 58.59
1-3 3.1% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.57
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.50× 58.59
2-3 2.6% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.58
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.25× 58.59
3-0 4.1% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.57
3-2 3.4% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.57
3-3 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.58
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.59
4-0 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 0.62× 58.58
4-1 2.2% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.58
4-2 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.58
4-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.7% 2.50× 58.59
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.9% 1.87× 58.59
Any other score 3.9% 1.7% 4.8% 0.36× 58.57
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger leading at HT (DNB) 61.1% 66.1% 1.51
Zhejiang Professional FC leading at HT (DNB) 38.9% 33.9% 2.95
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or Zhejiang Professional FC (12) 75.3% 75.6% 73.8% 1.02× 1.32
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or draw (1X) 71.1% 72.1% 72.0% 1.00× 1.39
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw (X2) 53.6% 52.5% 54.0% 0.97× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or draw at HT 77.0% 80.0% 1.25
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw at HT 63.9% 62.2% 1.61
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or Zhejiang Professional FC at HT 59.1% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or draw (1UP) 71.1% 79.9% 1.25
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw (1UP) 53.6% 58.8% 1.70
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or draw in 2nd half 72.0% 73.7% 1.36
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or Zhejiang Professional FC in 2nd half 66.3% 65.5% 1.53
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw in 2nd half 61.7% 63.9% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.4% 61.5% 1.63
Neither half drawn 39.6% 38.5% 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (DNB) 61.6% 62.8% 62.2% 1.01× 1.59
Zhejiang Professional FC (DNB) 38.4% 37.2% 37.8% 0.98× 2.69
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score first 53.6% 54.2% 1.84
Zhejiang Professional FC to score first 41.0% 41.6% 2.41
No goal scored 5.5% 7.3% 13.65
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 59.5% 54.8% 63.1% 0.87× 1.83
Not both teams to score 40.5% 45.2% 36.9% 1.23× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 48.0% 44.2% 51.0% 0.87× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 31.4% 34.4% 28.0% 1.23× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 11.5% 12.3% 12.3% 1.00× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 9.2% 8.4% 9.1% 0.92× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 81.4% 83.2% 78.4% 1.06× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 18.6% 16.8% 21.6% 0.78× 5.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 66.6% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 33.4% 32.4% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 52.6% 56.2% 1.78
Both score 2nd half only 26.5% 26.0% 3.85
Both score 1st half only 13.9% 10.5% 9.51
Both score in both halves 6.9% 6.7% 14.95
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.1% 81.8% 1.22
Both teams to score by HT 20.9% 18.2% 5.48
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 58.8% 57.4% 1.74
A half without a goal 41.2% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.4% 47.4% 41.2% 1.15× 2.11
4-6 goals 31.5% 30.7% 36.9% 0.83× 3.26
0-1 goals 19.9% 20.3% 18.2% 1.11× 4.94
7+ goals 3.2% 1.8% 4.1% 0.44× 55.10
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to score exactly 1 35.5% 36.0% 33.7% 1.07× 2.78
Zhejiang Professional FC to score exactly 0 27.5% 27.4% 27.3% 1.00× 3.65
Zhejiang Professional FC to score exactly 2 22.9% 22.4% 22.6% 0.99× 4.47
Zhejiang Professional FC to score 3+ 14.1% 12.8% 16.9% 0.76× 7.80
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score exactly 1 31.2% 32.6% 34.2% 0.96× 3.06
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score exactly 2 26.3% 26.5% 26.2% 1.01× 3.77
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score 3+ 23.9% 23.3% 26.2% 0.89× 4.30
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score exactly 0 18.5% 18.9% 13.9% 1.36× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 40.9% 43.1% 2.32
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger leading at HT 36.1% 37.8% 2.65
Zhejiang Professional FC leading at HT 23.0% 20.0% 5.00
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -1: 2 53.6% 52.1% 1.92
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -1: 1 24.7% 23.6% 4.24
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -1: X 21.6% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:1) 53.6% 51.2% 54.0% 0.95× 1.95
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (0:1) 24.7% 24.3% 25.3% 0.96× 4.11
Draw (0:1) 21.6% 24.3% 21.0% 1.16× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:2) 75.3% 79.4% 74.7% 1.06× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 14.2% 11.0% 14.8% 0.74× 9.08
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (0:2) 10.6% 11.0% 10.7% 1.03× 9.09
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:3) 89.4% 90.8% 89.3% 1.02× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 6.8% 5.8% 5.9% 0.98× 17.24
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (0:3) 3.7% 2.4% 5.0% 0.48× 41.97
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:4) 96.3% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.6% 1.2% 3.9% 0.31× 83.17
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (0:4) 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 0.88× 83.35
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (1:0) 71.1% 72.5% 72.0% 1.01× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 16.4% 17.0% 16.4% 1.04× 5.87
Zhejiang Professional FC (1:0) 12.5% 12.8% 11.8% 1.08× 7.81
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (2:0) 87.5% 88.3% 88.2% 1.00× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 8.3% 6.5% 7.1% 0.92× 15.48
Zhejiang Professional FC (2:0) 4.2% 2.3% 5.0% 0.45× 44.14
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.7% 48.2% 2.07
1st half highest scoring 27.1% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 24.2% 24.3% 4.12
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to concede 72.5% 73.0% 72.7% 1.01× 1.37
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger clean sheet 27.5% 27.0% 27.3% 0.99× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger clean sheet in 1st half 59.7% 63.1% 1.59
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to concede in 1st half 40.3% 36.9% 2.71
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 6.5 corners 81.5% 81.3% 1.23
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 2.5 corners 75.9% 76.1% 1.31
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 5.5 corners 70.9% 71.5% 1.40
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 3.5 corners 59.4% 57.4% 1.74
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 4.5 corners 57.0% 57.4% 1.74
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 4.5 corners 43.0% 42.6% 2.35
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 3.5 corners 40.6% 42.6% 2.35
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 5.5 corners 29.1% 28.5% 3.51
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 2.5 corners 24.1% 23.9% 4.19
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 6.5 corners 18.5% 18.7% 5.36
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 3.5 goals 90.9% 92.2% 89.5% 1.03× 1.08
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 0.5 goals 81.5% 82.1% 86.1% 0.95× 1.22
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 2.5 goals 76.1% 77.7% 73.8% 1.05× 1.29
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 1.5 goals 50.3% 53.3% 52.2% 1.02× 1.88
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 1.5 goals 49.7% 46.7% 47.8% 0.98× 2.14
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 2.5 goals 23.9% 22.3% 26.2% 0.85× 4.48
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 0.5 goals 18.5% 17.9% 13.9% 1.29× 5.60
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 3.5 goals 9.1% 7.8% 10.5% 0.74× 12.87
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 1.5 in 1st half 83.5% 84.7% 1.18
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 0.5 in 1st half 48.4% 51.0% 1.96
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 0.5 in 1st half 51.6% 49.0% 2.04
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 1.5 in 1st half 16.5% 15.3% 6.55
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (home no bet) 54.0% 51.6% 51.7% 1.00× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 46.0% 48.4% 48.3% 1.00× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger even goals 51.7% 50.6% 48.3% 1.05× 1.98
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger odd goals 48.3% 49.4% 51.7% 0.95× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.0% 28.7% 3.48
HT 1-0 20.9% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-1 14.8% 11.1% 9.02
HT 1-1 10.9% 11.0% 9.06
HT 2-0 7.6% 7.1% 14.10
Any other HT score 5.2% 7.1% 14.14
HT 2-1 3.9% 2.2% 44.63
HT 0-2 3.8% 2.2% 44.64
HT 1-2 2.8% 2.2% 44.72
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.2% 44.86
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at HT / Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at FT 28.1% 26.7% 3.75
Draw at HT / Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at FT 15.5% 16.8% 5.96
Zhejiang Professional FC at HT / Zhejiang Professional FC at FT 15.4% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.2% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Zhejiang Professional FC at FT 11.2% 12.7% 7.90
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.0% 16.63
Zhejiang Professional FC at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.4% 29.09
Zhejiang Professional FC at HT / Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at FT 2.8% 3.4% 29.17
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at HT / Zhejiang Professional FC at FT 2.4% 3.4% 29.19
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score last 53.6% 51.9% 1.93
Zhejiang Professional FC to score last 40.9% 40.1% 2.50
No goal scored 5.5% 7.3% 13.65
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.5% 92.8% 1.08
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to lead by 1 at any time 62.9% 61.5% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 50.3% 50.5% 1.98
Zhejiang Professional FC to lead by 1 at any time 48.1% 44.0% 2.27
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to lead by 2 at any time 32.0% 29.4% 3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.1% 15.0% 6.69
Zhejiang Professional FC to lead by 2 at any time 18.7% 15.0% 6.69
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to lead by 3 at any time 13.2% 10.5% 9.55
Zhejiang Professional FC to lead by 3 at any time 5.9% 6.5% 15.40
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC most corners 51.3% 52.9% 1.89
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger most corners 37.5% 38.6% 2.59
Corners level 11.2% 10.6% 9.39
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.4% 87.4% 84.7% 1.03× 1.14
2-6 goals 76.9% 78.6% 77.9% 1.01× 1.27
1-4 goals 76.4% 78.6% 74.7% 1.05× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.0% 72.4% 70.8% 1.02× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.1% 63.5% 60.8% 1.04× 1.58
1-3 goals 59.7% 59.2% 55.1% 1.07× 1.69
3-6 goals 53.9% 53.1% 56.0% 0.95× 1.88
3-5 goals 49.0% 48.7% 49.0% 0.99× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.4% 48.7% 41.2% 1.18× 2.06
3-4 goals 39.1% 39.2% 39.0% 1.01× 2.55
1-2 goals 37.3% 39.2% 36.0% 1.09× 2.55
4-6 goals 31.5% 35.4% 36.9% 0.96× 2.83
4-5 goals 26.6% 30.2% 29.8% 1.01× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.9% 14.9% 17.3% 0.86× 6.73
7+ goals 3.2% 2.5% 4.1% 0.62× 39.43
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger never behind 46.4% 57.0% 1.75
Zhejiang Professional FC never behind 31.6% 35.4% 2.83
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.1% 50.8% 46.2% 1.10× 1.97
Even number of goals 50.9% 49.2% 53.8% 0.92× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.3% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.7% 48.4% 2.06
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.8% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.2% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.5% 92.3% 95.7% 0.96× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 91.8% 92.3% 88.8% 1.04× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 81.9% 82.4% 78.8% 1.04× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 80.1% 82.3% 81.8% 1.01× 1.21
Under 3.5 goals 65.2% 66.2% 59.2% 1.12× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 57.2% 58.8% 59.9% 0.98× 1.70
Under 2.5 goals 42.8% 41.2% 40.1% 1.03× 2.43
Over 3.5 goals 34.8% 33.8% 40.8% 0.83× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 19.9% 17.7% 18.2% 0.97× 5.67
Over 4.5 goals 18.1% 17.6% 21.2% 0.83× 5.67
Over 5.5 goals 8.2% 7.7% 11.2% 0.69× 12.95
Under 0.5 goals 5.5% 7.7% 4.3% 1.78× 12.96
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.6% 97.2% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 90.9% 92.5% 87.6% 1.06× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 78.3% 75.9% 73.7% 1.03× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 74.2% 72.6% 76.7% 0.95× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 55.2% 55.5% 49.6% 1.12× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 44.8% 44.5% 50.4% 0.88× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 25.8% 27.4% 23.3% 1.17× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 21.7% 24.1% 26.3% 0.91× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 9.1% 7.5% 12.4% 0.61× 13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.4% 2.8% 4.4% 0.62× 36.34
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.0% 89.3% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 71.0% 71.0% 1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half 64.7% 63.8% 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 35.3% 36.2% 2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.0% 29.0% 3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half 13.0% 10.7% 9.33
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.2% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 74.8% 78.0% 1.28
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 51.9% 53.0% 1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 48.1% 47.0% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 25.2% 22.0% 4.55
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.8% 17.1% 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC not to score in both halves 78.3% 78.4% 1.28
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger not to score in both halves 68.1% 70.1% 1.43
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score in both halves 31.9% 29.9% 3.34
Zhejiang Professional FC to score in both halves 21.7% 21.6% 4.64
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 59.5% 58.2% 63.1% 0.92× 1.72
Only Tianjin Jinmen Tiger scores 22.0% 22.4% 23.2% 0.96× 4.47
Only Zhejiang Professional FC scores 13.0% 10.9% 9.8% 1.12× 9.14
Neither team scores 5.5% 7.2% 4.3% 1.66× 13.96
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 23.0% 22.6% 22.1% 1.03× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 19.4% 1.17× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 16.7% 17.5% 19.8% 0.88× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 14.4% 12.1% 14.1% 0.85× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 9.9% 7.6% 10.3% 0.74× 13.13
6 or more goals 8.2% 7.6% 11.2% 0.68× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 5.5% 7.6% 4.3% 1.76× 13.14
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 51.9% 50.9% 1.96
1 goal in 2nd half 30.3% 33.8% 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 17.8% 16.9% 5.92
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC not to win both halves 93.5% 94.0% 1.06
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger not to win both halves 86.1% 88.0% 1.14
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win both halves 13.9% 12.0% 8.34
Zhejiang Professional FC to win both halves 6.5% 6.0% 16.64
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win either half 60.5% 65.3% 1.53
Zhejiang Professional FC to win neither half 55.5% 59.4% 1.69
Zhejiang Professional FC to win either half 44.5% 40.6% 2.46
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win neither half 39.5% 34.7% 2.88
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC not to win to nil 87.0% 88.2% 90.2% 0.98× 1.13
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger not to win to nil 78.0% 78.0% 76.8% 1.02× 1.28
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win to nil 22.0% 22.0% 23.2% 0.95× 4.55
Zhejiang Professional FC to win to nil 13.0% 11.8% 9.8% 1.20× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.7% 24.1% 26.2% 0.92× 4.14
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger by 1 21.6% 24.1% 21.0% 1.15× 4.14
Zhejiang Professional FC by 1 16.4% 16.9% 16.4% 1.03× 5.90
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger by 2 14.2% 11.8% 14.8% 0.80× 8.46
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger by 3+ 10.6% 11.8% 10.7% 1.10× 8.47
Zhejiang Professional FC by 2 8.3% 7.2% 7.1% 1.03× 13.80
Zhejiang Professional FC by 3+ 4.2% 2.7% 5.0% 0.54× 36.93
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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