Tijuana v Querétaro — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · MEX-Liga MX · 2627

MEX-Liga MX results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Tijuana

23:00

Querétaro

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 139h before kick-off

Tijuana win

51.5%

model 52.9%

Draw

27.3%

model 26.7%

Querétaro win

21.2%

model 20.5%

522721

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.7%
1-0 11.5%
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 8.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.5%	Under 2.5	52.5%
BTTS yes	49.9%	BTTS no	50.1%
Tijuana 1+	80.5%	Tijuana 2+	48.7%
Querétaro 1+	60.7%	Querétaro 2+	24.0%

Expected goals 1.64 – 0.94. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

37/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 41%

54.0% fair odds 1.85

strong signal · 1233 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Querétaro not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Tijuana carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1522.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Tijuana have an estimated 51.5% win probability, against 27.3% for the draw and 21.2% for Querétaro. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.64 for Tijuana and 0.94 for Querétaro.

Why Tijuana

Tijuana carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1522. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 24% in this competition.

Why Querétaro can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Tijuana, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Querétaro, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Tijuana: 42% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Querétaro: 42% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Tijuana are the model's most likely outcome at 51.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 37/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532720	1.64–0.94	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	532720	1.59–0.89	1-1 13%	45%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to win	52.7%	51.5%	47.1%	1.09×	1.94
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59
Querétaro to win	20.0%	24.4%	29.3%	0.83×	4.10

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana & not both score	31.7%	29.7%	22.7%	1.31×	3.36
Tijuana & both teams score	21.0%	21.9%	24.5%	0.89×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.8%	17.9%	17.4%	1.03×	5.58
Querétaro & not both score	11.0%	13.2%	11.7%	1.13×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.5%	8.4%	6.6%	1.27×	11.94
Querétaro & both teams score	9.0%	8.4%	17.8%	0.47×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana & over 1.5	40.4%	40.3%	37.3%	1.08×	2.48
Tijuana & under 3.5	38.0%	34.9%	30.9%	1.13×	2.86
Tijuana & over 2.5	29.8%	26.0%	30.4%	0.86×	3.84
Tijuana & under 2.5	23.0%	21.6%	16.9%	1.28×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	22.4%	21.6%	17.9%	1.21×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	22.4%	21.6%	17.9%	1.21×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Querétaro & under 3.5	16.0%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Tijuana & over 3.5	14.8%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.77
Querétaro & over 1.5	13.6%	12.9%	23.4%	0.55×	7.77
Tijuana & under 1.5	12.3%	12.9%	9.9%	1.29×	7.78
Querétaro & over 2.5	10.2%	12.9%	19.9%	0.65×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	6.6%	1.20×	12.69
Querétaro & under 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.69
Querétaro & under 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.92
Draw & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.92
Querétaro & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	9.8%	0.49×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (1UP)	65.6%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Querétaro (1UP)	36.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (2UP)	52.7%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Querétaro (2UP)	20.0%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to win 2nd half	42.3%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	37.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Querétaro to win 2nd half	20.3%	22.9%	—	—	4.38

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (+2.5)	88.0%	88.5%	90.9%	0.97×	1.13
Tijuana (+0.5)	80.0%	78.5%	70.7%	1.11×	1.27
Querétaro (+1.5)	71.5%	73.7%	77.1%	0.96×	1.36
Tijuana (-0.5)	52.7%	52.3%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Querétaro (+0.5)	47.3%	47.7%	52.9%	0.90×	2.10
Tijuana (-1.5)	28.5%	26.3%	22.9%	1.15×	3.80
Querétaro (-0.5)	20.0%	21.5%	29.3%	0.73×	4.65
Tijuana (-2.5)	12.0%	11.5%	9.1%	1.27×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to concede	79.5%	79.0%	81.9%	0.97×	1.27
Querétaro clean sheet	20.5%	21.0%	18.1%	1.16×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to concede in 1st half	49.4%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Querétaro clean sheet in 1st half	50.6%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro under 6.5 corners	78.5%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Querétaro over 2.5 corners	75.5%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Querétaro under 5.5 corners	68.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Querétaro over 3.5 corners	60.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Querétaro under 4.5 corners	55.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Querétaro over 4.5 corners	44.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Querétaro under 3.5 corners	39.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Querétaro over 5.5 corners	31.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Querétaro under 2.5 corners	24.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Querétaro over 6.5 corners	21.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.6%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Querétaro under 2.5 goals	93.9%	92.4%	86.7%	1.07×	1.08
Querétaro under 1.5 goals	77.7%	76.2%	64.8%	1.18×	1.31
Querétaro over 0.5 goals	58.8%	59.6%	70.9%	0.84×	1.68
Querétaro under 0.5 goals	41.2%	40.4%	29.1%	1.39×	2.48
Querétaro over 1.5 goals	22.3%	23.8%	35.2%	0.68×	4.21
Querétaro over 2.5 goals	6.1%	7.6%	13.3%	0.57×	13.08
Querétaro over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.4%	4.1%	0.60×	41.13

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro under 1.5 in 1st half	95.0%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Querétaro under 0.5 in 1st half	70.1%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Querétaro over 0.5 in 1st half	29.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Querétaro over 1.5 in 1st half	5.0%	4.5%	—	—	22.18

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (away no bet)	65.9%	66.4%	66.4%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.1%	33.6%	33.6%	1.00×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro even goals	58.5%	56.9%	54.4%	1.05×	1.76
Querétaro odd goals	41.5%	43.1%	45.6%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.7%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.3%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.1%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Tijuana to score 2+ in a row	40.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.7%	16.4%	—	—	6.08
Querétaro to score 2+ in a row	15.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Tijuana to score 3+ in a row	15.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Querétaro to score 3+ in a row	3.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana corners (+3.5)	85.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Tijuana corners (+2.5)	78.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Querétaro corners (+3.5)	77.8%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Tijuana corners (+1.5)	70.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Querétaro corners (+2.5)	69.7%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Querétaro corners (+1.5)	60.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Tijuana corners (-1.5)	39.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Tijuana corners (-2.5)	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Querétaro corners (-1.5)	29.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Tijuana corners (-3.5)	22.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Querétaro corners (-2.5)	21.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Querétaro corners (-3.5)	14.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.3%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
12+ corners	29.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
9-11 corners	28.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	70.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	61.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 8.5 corners	57.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.4%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 9.5 corners	47.6%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 8.5 corners	42.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	38.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 7.5 corners	32.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 11.5 corners	29.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	11.5%	0.99×	8.73
1-0	12.3%	11.5%	9.9%	1.15×	8.73
2-0	10.6%	11.5%	7.1%	1.61×	8.73
0-0	9.5%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.46
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	10.7%	0.70×	13.46
0-1	6.5%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.46
1-2	5.3%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.46
3-0	5.6%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.46
3-1	5.0%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.56
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.92×	58.59
4-0	2.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.58
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.58
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.59
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.40×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.80×	58.59
Any other score	2.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.58
0-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.57
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.59
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.92×	58.59
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.58
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.92×	58.59
2-2	4.2%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.57
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.59
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.59
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana leading at HT (DNB)	69.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Querétaro leading at HT (DNB)	30.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw (1X)	80.0%	75.6%	70.7%	1.07×	1.32
Tijuana or Querétaro (12)	72.7%	72.1%	76.2%	0.95×	1.39
Querétaro or draw (X2)	47.3%	48.5%	52.9%	0.92×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw at HT	83.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Querétaro or draw at HT	61.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Tijuana or Querétaro at HT	55.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw (1UP)	80.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Querétaro or draw (1UP)	47.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw in 2nd half	79.7%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Tijuana or Querétaro in 2nd half	62.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Querétaro or draw in 2nd half	57.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.4%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.6%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (DNB)	72.5%	71.5%	61.6%	1.16×	1.40
Querétaro (DNB)	27.5%	28.5%	38.4%	0.74×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to score first	58.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Querétaro to score first	32.5%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	9.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.2%	51.5%	40.7%	1.27×	1.94
Both teams to score	47.8%	48.5%	59.3%	0.82×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.2%	41.5%	32.7%	1.27×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	34.9%	34.4%	48.0%	0.72×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.3%	11.5%	1.07×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.0%	12.3%	8.2%	1.51×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.5%	85.7%	82.6%	1.04×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.5%	14.3%	17.4%	0.82×	6.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.8%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	21.3%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Both score 1st half only	11.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Both score in both halves	3.6%	5.0%	—	—	20.19

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.74

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	49.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.4%	46.2%	1.03×	2.11
0-1 goals	28.3%	26.4%	22.2%	1.19×	3.78
4-6 goals	22.3%	22.8%	29.1%	0.78×	4.38
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	55.30

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to score exactly 0	41.2%	37.0%	29.1%	1.27×	2.71
Querétaro to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Querétaro to score exactly 2	16.2%	19.5%	22.0%	0.89×	5.12
Querétaro to score 3+	6.1%	8.5%	13.3%	0.64×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to score exactly 1	32.5%	32.6%	33.4%	0.98×	3.06
Tijuana to score exactly 2	25.7%	26.5%	26.6%	0.99×	3.77
Tijuana to score 3+	21.3%	23.3%	22.2%	1.05×	4.30
Tijuana to score exactly 0	20.5%	23.3%	18.1%	1.28×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.9%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Tijuana leading at HT	38.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Querétaro leading at HT	16.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana -1: 2	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Tijuana -1: 1	28.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Tijuana -1: X	24.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (0:1)	47.3%	45.9%	52.9%	0.87×	2.18
Tijuana (0:1)	28.5%	27.0%	22.9%	1.18×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.2%	24.3%	24.3%	1.00×	4.11

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (0:2)	71.5%	75.5%	77.1%	0.98×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.5%	15.3%	14.0%	1.09×	6.53
Tijuana (0:2)	12.0%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (0:3)	88.0%	90.8%	90.9%	1.00×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.9%	5.8%	6.0%	0.96×	17.22
Tijuana (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	3.2%	0.75×	41.96

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (0:4)	95.9%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	1.8%	0.68×	83.13
Tijuana (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	83.34

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (1:0)	80.0%	78.5%	70.7%	1.11×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.1%	12.8%	19.0%	0.67×	7.80
Querétaro (1:0)	6.9%	6.9%	10.5%	0.66×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (2:0)	93.1%	94.0%	89.5%	1.05×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.2%	6.4%	7.3%	0.89×	15.51
Querétaro (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	3.4%	0.67×	44.30

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to concede	58.8%	61.0%	70.9%	0.86×	1.64
Tijuana clean sheet	41.2%	39.0%	29.1%	1.34×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana clean sheet in 1st half	70.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Tijuana to concede in 1st half	29.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana over 2.5 corners	80.7%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Tijuana under 6.5 corners	71.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Tijuana over 3.5 corners	67.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Tijuana under 5.5 corners	60.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Tijuana over 4.5 corners	52.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Tijuana under 4.5 corners	47.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Tijuana over 5.5 corners	39.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Tijuana under 3.5 corners	32.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Tijuana over 6.5 corners	28.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Tijuana under 2.5 corners	19.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana under 3.5 goals	92.3%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Tijuana over 0.5 goals	79.5%	77.7%	81.9%	0.95×	1.29
Tijuana under 2.5 goals	78.7%	77.7%	77.8%	1.00×	1.29
Tijuana under 1.5 goals	53.0%	53.3%	51.3%	1.04×	1.88
Tijuana over 1.5 goals	47.0%	46.7%	48.7%	0.96×	2.14
Tijuana over 2.5 goals	21.3%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Tijuana under 0.5 goals	20.5%	22.3%	18.1%	1.23×	4.49
Tijuana over 3.5 goals	7.7%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana under 1.5 in 1st half	85.1%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Tijuana over 0.5 in 1st half	49.4%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Tijuana under 0.5 in 1st half	50.6%	48.9%	—	—	2.04
Tijuana over 1.5 in 1st half	14.9%	10.2%	—	—	9.83

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.7%	56.7%	44.8%	1.27×	1.76
Querétaro (home no bet)	42.3%	43.3%	55.2%	0.78×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana even goals	52.1%	50.6%	49.9%	1.01×	1.98
Tijuana odd goals	47.9%	49.4%	50.1%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	24.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	12.4%	11.1%	—	—	9.05
HT 1-1	8.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-0	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.64
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.71
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.76
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.82
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.90

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana at HT / Tijuana at FT	32.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Draw at HT / Tijuana at FT	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Querétaro at HT / Querétaro at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Querétaro at FT	8.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Tijuana at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.08
Querétaro at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.11
Querétaro at HT / Tijuana at FT	2.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.19
Tijuana at HT / Querétaro at FT	1.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.23

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to score last	58.2%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Querétaro to score last	32.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	9.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Tijuana to lead by 1 at any time	65.6%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.5%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Querétaro to lead by 1 at any time	36.5%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Tijuana to lead by 2 at any time	34.0%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Tijuana to lead by 3 at any time	13.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Querétaro to lead by 2 at any time	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Querétaro to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	1.6%	—	—	63.44

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana most corners	50.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Querétaro most corners	39.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	10.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	86.5%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	83.5%	75.8%	1.10×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.4%	72.4%	75.1%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.7%	69.0%	70.9%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.9%	69.0%	61.8%	1.12×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.5%	60.2%	1.05×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.7%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.6%	48.7%	37.7%	1.29×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.6%	43.6%	53.3%	0.82×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.9%	43.6%	49.0%	0.89×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.4%	35.4%	38.4%	0.92×	2.83
4-6 goals	22.3%	24.4%	29.1%	0.84×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.6%	18.6%	24.9%	0.75×	5.37
5-6 goals	9.2%	8.7%	15.1%	0.58×	11.43
7+ goals	1.3%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	39.52

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana never behind	54.1%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Querétaro never behind	24.9%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.8%	52.6%	0.97×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.2%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	92.9%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.5%	87.7%	82.2%	1.07×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.4%	77.4%	68.2%	1.13×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.7%	72.5%	77.8%	0.93×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.1%	58.8%	44.1%	1.33×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	44.9%	41.2%	56.0%	0.74×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	28.3%	27.5%	22.2%	1.24×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	23.6%	22.6%	31.8%	0.71×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	10.5%	12.3%	17.8%	0.69×	8.12
Under 0.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	6.6%	1.18×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	7.1%	0.63×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.7%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.9%	86.7%	79.3%	1.09×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.0%	67.4%	58.1%	1.16×	1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.4%	62.1%	71.6%	0.87×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.6%	37.9%	28.4%	1.33×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.0%	32.6%	41.9%	0.78×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.1%	13.3%	20.7%	0.64×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.3%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	36.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	3.0%	0.93×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.3%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.82

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro not to score in both halves	87.7%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Tijuana not to score in both halves	70.6%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Tijuana to score in both halves	29.4%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Querétaro to score in both halves	12.3%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.8%	50.4%	59.3%	0.85×	1.99
Only Tijuana scores	31.7%	33.4%	22.7%	1.47×	3.00
Only Querétaro scores	11.0%	10.9%	11.7%	0.93×	9.15
Neither team scores	9.5%	7.2%	6.6%	1.09×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.8%	25.0%	22.0%	1.13×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.8%	17.5%	15.8%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.1%	12.1%	14.2%	0.85×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	9.5%	7.6%	6.6%	1.16×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.0%	4.4%	7.1%	0.62×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	33.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Tijuana not to win both halves	83.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Tijuana to win both halves	16.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Querétaro to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.27

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to win neither half	66.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Tijuana to win either half	64.2%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Tijuana to win neither half	35.8%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Querétaro to win either half	33.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro not to win to nil	89.0%	88.2%	88.3%	1.00×	1.13
Tijuana not to win to nil	68.3%	69.7%	77.3%	0.90×	1.44
Tijuana to win to nil	31.7%	30.3%	22.7%	1.33×	3.30
Querétaro to win to nil	11.0%	11.8%	11.7%	1.01×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.3%	27.8%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59
Tijuana by 1	24.2%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.14
Tijuana by 2	16.5%	16.9%	14.0%	1.21×	5.90
Querétaro by 1	13.1%	11.8%	19.0%	0.62×	8.46
Tijuana by 3+	12.0%	11.8%	9.1%	1.30×	8.46
Querétaro by 2	5.2%	7.2%	7.3%	0.99×	13.81
Querétaro by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	3.4%	0.80×	37.01