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Trabzonspor v Besiktas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 October 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Trabzonspor win
41.1%
model 41.7%
Draw
27.3%
model 26.8%
Besiktas win
31.6%
model 31.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.5%
  2. 2-1 9.0%
  3. 1-2 7.7%
  4. 1-0 6.9%
  5. 2-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.557.1% Under 2.542.9%
BTTS yes60.9% BTTS no39.1%
Trabzonspor 1+79.9% Trabzonspor 2+47.6%
Besiktas 1+74.6% Besiktas 2+39.8%

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Trabzonspor.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Trabzonspor have an estimated 41.1% win probability, against 31.6% for Besiktas and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.60 for Trabzonspor and 1.37 for Besiktas.

Why Trabzonspor

Nothing in the data singles out Trabzonspor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.60 to 1.37. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Besiktas can win

Nothing in the data singles out Besiktas.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Trabzonspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Besiktas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Trabzonspor: 54% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Besiktas: 60% possession, 19.0 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Trabzonspor are the model's most likely outcome at 41.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.60–1.39 1-1 12% 57% 61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to win 41.1% 43.0% 45.4% 0.95× 2.33
Besiktas to win 32.1% 30.4% 28.7% 1.06× 3.29
Draw 26.8% 27.9% 26.0% 1.07× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor & both teams score 22.6% 21.9% 23.2% 0.94× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 20.5% 21.9% 18.2% 1.20× 4.57
Trabzonspor & not both score 18.5% 17.9% 22.3% 0.80× 5.58
Besiktas & both teams score 18.2% 17.9% 14.5% 1.24× 5.58
Besiktas & not both score 13.9% 13.3% 14.3% 0.92× 7.54
Draw & not both score 6.3% 8.4% 8.0% 1.05× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor & over 1.5 34.4% 30.9% 36.2% 0.85× 3.24
Trabzonspor & over 2.5 28.0% 26.0% 30.3% 0.86× 3.84
Besiktas & over 1.5 26.4% 26.0% 22.3% 1.17× 3.84
Trabzonspor & under 3.5 25.5% 26.0% 29.4% 0.88× 3.84
Besiktas & over 2.5 21.5% 21.6% 18.0% 1.20× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 20.5% 21.6% 18.2% 1.19× 4.62
Besiktas & under 3.5 20.6% 21.6% 19.5% 1.11× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 18.8% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 18.8% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Trabzonspor & over 3.5 15.6% 18.0% 16.1% 1.12× 5.56
Trabzonspor & under 2.5 13.1% 12.9% 15.2% 0.85× 7.77
Besiktas & over 3.5 11.4% 12.9% 9.3% 1.38× 7.77
Besiktas & under 2.5 10.6% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 8.0% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 8.0% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.70
Trabzonspor & under 1.5 6.7% 7.9% 9.3% 0.85× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 6.3% 7.9% 8.0% 0.99× 12.70
Besiktas & under 1.5 5.7% 7.9% 6.5% 1.21× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (1UP) 59.1% 58.3% 1.72
Besiktas (1UP) 51.4% 52.7% 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (2UP) 41.1% 47.5% 2.10
Besiktas (2UP) 32.1% 31.1% 3.22
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to win 2nd half 34.9% 34.3% 2.91
2nd half drawn 34.4% 34.3% 2.92
Besiktas to win 2nd half 30.7% 34.2% 2.92
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas (+2.5) 91.3% 92.1% 90.1% 1.02× 1.09
Besiktas (+1.5) 78.6% 78.5% 78.6% 1.00× 1.27
Trabzonspor (+0.5) 67.9% 68.7% 71.3% 0.96× 1.46
Besiktas (+0.5) 58.9% 57.0% 54.6% 1.04× 1.75
Trabzonspor (-0.5) 41.1% 43.0% 45.4% 0.95× 2.33
Besiktas (-0.5) 32.1% 31.3% 28.7% 1.09× 3.19
Trabzonspor (-1.5) 21.4% 21.5% 21.5% 1.00× 4.64
Trabzonspor (-2.5) 8.7% 7.9% 9.9% 0.80× 12.63
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas to concede 79.8% 79.0% 77.8% 1.02× 1.27
Besiktas clean sheet 20.2% 21.0% 22.2% 0.95× 4.77
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas to concede in 1st half 49.7% 50.6% 1.98
Besiktas clean sheet in 1st half 50.3% 49.4% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas over 2.5 corners 81.2% 81.4% 1.23
Besiktas under 6.5 corners 75.3% 75.9% 1.32
Besiktas over 3.5 corners 66.6% 67.5% 1.48
Besiktas under 5.5 corners 63.4% 61.8% 1.62
Besiktas over 4.5 corners 51.0% 53.1% 1.88
Besiktas under 4.5 corners 49.0% 46.9% 2.13
Besiktas over 5.5 corners 36.6% 38.2% 2.62
Besiktas under 3.5 corners 33.4% 32.5% 3.08
Besiktas over 6.5 corners 24.7% 24.1% 4.15
Besiktas under 2.5 corners 18.8% 18.6% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas under 3.5 goals 94.7% 92.4% 95.4% 0.97× 1.08
Besiktas under 2.5 goals 83.5% 81.4% 86.2% 0.94× 1.23
Besiktas over 0.5 goals 75.1% 76.2% 69.8% 1.09× 1.31
Besiktas under 1.5 goals 59.5% 59.6% 65.2% 0.91× 1.68
Besiktas over 1.5 goals 40.5% 40.4% 34.8% 1.16× 2.47
Besiktas under 0.5 goals 24.9% 23.8% 30.2% 0.79× 4.20
Besiktas over 2.5 goals 16.5% 18.6% 13.8% 1.35× 5.39
Besiktas over 3.5 goals 5.3% 7.6% 4.6% 1.67× 13.09
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas under 1.5 in 1st half 89.2% 89.5% 1.12
Besiktas under 0.5 in 1st half 57.3% 62.5% 1.60
Besiktas over 0.5 in 1st half 42.7% 37.5% 2.66
Besiktas over 1.5 in 1st half 10.8% 10.5% 9.53
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (away no bet) 60.5% 62.1% 63.6% 0.98× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 39.5% 37.9% 36.4% 1.04× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas even goals 53.1% 52.8% 54.4% 0.97× 1.90
Besiktas odd goals 46.9% 47.2% 45.6% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 81.6% 83.0% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 18.4% 17.0% 5.88
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 69.7% 68.6% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 30.3% 31.4% 3.19
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 60.3% 59.6% 1.68
Trabzonspor to score 2+ in a row 37.8% 36.5% 2.74
Besiktas to score 2+ in a row 30.6% 28.7% 3.48
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.4% 19.5% 5.13
Trabzonspor to score 3+ in a row 13.4% 12.1% 8.24
Besiktas to score 3+ in a row 9.4% 5.7% 17.60
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor corners (+3.5) 85.6% 84.5% 1.18
Trabzonspor corners (+2.5) 78.9% 74.9% 1.34
Besiktas corners (+3.5) 78.4% 74.9% 1.34
Trabzonspor corners (+1.5) 70.5% 70.7% 1.41
Besiktas corners (+2.5) 70.1% 70.7% 1.41
Besiktas corners (+1.5) 60.4% 61.9% 1.62
Trabzonspor corners (-1.5) 39.6% 38.1% 2.63
Trabzonspor corners (-2.5) 29.9% 29.3% 3.41
Besiktas corners (-1.5) 29.5% 29.3% 3.41
Trabzonspor corners (-3.5) 21.6% 25.1% 3.98
Besiktas corners (-2.5) 21.1% 25.1% 3.98
Besiktas corners (-3.5) 14.4% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 35.2% 33.7% 2.97
0-8 corners 34.6% 33.3% 3.01
9-11 corners 30.2% 33.2% 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 75.2% 76.5% 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 73.1% 72.7% 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 65.4% 67.7% 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 64.8% 63.4% 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 55.0% 57.7% 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 55.2% 57.7% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 45.0% 42.3% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 44.8% 42.3% 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 35.2% 36.6% 2.73
Under 8.5 corners 34.6% 32.3% 3.09
Over 12.5 corners 26.9% 27.3% 3.66
Under 7.5 corners 24.8% 23.5% 4.25
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.5% 11.4% 12.6% 0.91× 8.74
2-1 8.9% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.47
1-0 6.7% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.47
1-2 7.8% 7.4% 6.7% 1.12× 13.47
0-0 6.3% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.47
0-1 5.7% 7.4% 6.5% 1.14× 13.47
2-0 6.4% 7.4% 6.1% 1.22× 13.47
2-2 6.2% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.47
0-2 4.9% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.50
3-1 4.8% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.50
0-3 2.3% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.51
0-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.52
1-3 3.6% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.50
1-4 1.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.65× 58.52
2-3 2.9% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.51
2-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.52
3-0 3.4% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.50
3-2 3.3% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.50
3-3 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 1.28× 58.52
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 3.85× 58.52
4-0 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 58.52
4-1 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.51
4-2 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.52
4-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.52
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 11.55× 58.52
Any other score 3.7% 1.7% 4.1% 0.41× 58.50
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor leading at HT (DNB) 57.0% 57.3% 1.75
Besiktas leading at HT (DNB) 43.0% 42.7% 2.34
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or Besiktas (12) 73.2% 72.1% 74.0% 0.98× 1.39
Trabzonspor or draw (1X) 67.9% 69.6% 71.3% 0.98× 1.44
Besiktas or draw (X2) 58.9% 57.0% 54.6% 1.04× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or draw at HT 74.8% 74.6% 1.34
Besiktas or draw at HT 66.6% 66.3% 1.51
Trabzonspor or Besiktas at HT 58.6% 56.6% 1.77
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or draw (1UP) 67.9% 75.8% 1.32
Besiktas or draw (1UP) 58.9% 62.9% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or draw in 2nd half 69.3% 65.8% 1.52
Trabzonspor or Besiktas in 2nd half 65.6% 65.7% 1.52
Besiktas or draw in 2nd half 65.1% 65.7% 1.52
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.1% 61.6% 1.62
Neither half drawn 39.9% 38.4% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (DNB) 56.2% 58.2% 61.3% 0.95× 1.72
Besiktas (DNB) 43.8% 41.8% 38.7% 1.08× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to score first 50.1% 53.7% 1.86
Besiktas to score first 43.6% 41.9% 2.39
No goal scored 6.3% 7.5% 13.41
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 61.2% 56.5% 55.6% 1.02× 1.77
Not both teams to score 38.8% 43.5% 44.4% 0.98× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 48.8% 44.3% 43.2% 1.03× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 30.1% 34.3% 33.7% 1.02× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 12.5% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 8.7% 8.4% 10.8% 0.78× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 80.8% 83.0% 83.4% 1.00× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 19.2% 17.0% 16.6% 1.02× 5.90
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 65.7% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 34.3% 32.4% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 51.4% 55.9% 1.79
Both score 2nd half only 27.1% 26.3% 3.81
Both score 1st half only 14.3% 10.6% 9.45
Both score in both halves 7.2% 6.8% 14.80
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 78.6% 81.4% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 21.4% 18.7% 5.36
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 59.4% 57.5% 1.74
A half without a goal 40.6% 42.5% 2.36
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.2% 47.4% 45.7% 1.04× 2.11
4-6 goals 31.8% 30.8% 28.4% 1.08× 3.25
0-1 goals 18.8% 20.2% 23.5% 0.86× 4.95
7+ goals 3.3% 1.8% 2.7% 0.68× 54.91
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas to score exactly 1 34.6% 33.9% 35.2% 0.96× 2.95
Besiktas to score exactly 0 24.9% 22.4% 30.2% 0.74× 4.46
Besiktas to score exactly 2 24.1% 22.4% 21.2% 1.06× 4.46
Besiktas to score 3+ 16.5% 19.5% 13.8% 1.42× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to score exactly 1 32.3% 32.7% 32.1% 1.02× 3.06
Trabzonspor to score exactly 2 25.8% 26.5% 23.8% 1.11× 3.77
Trabzonspor to score 3+ 21.6% 23.3% 22.2% 1.05× 4.30
Trabzonspor to score exactly 0 20.2% 23.3% 22.2% 1.05× 4.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 41.4% 43.4% 2.31
Trabzonspor leading at HT 33.4% 33.7% 2.97
Besiktas leading at HT 25.2% 25.4% 3.94
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor -1: 2 58.9% 56.7% 1.76
Trabzonspor -1: 1 21.4% 23.6% 4.24
Trabzonspor -1: X 19.7% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas (0:1) 58.9% 55.9% 54.6% 1.02× 1.79
Trabzonspor (0:1) 21.4% 24.3% 21.5% 1.13× 4.12
Draw (0:1) 19.7% 17.8% 24.1% 0.74× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas (0:2) 78.6% 79.5% 78.6% 1.01× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 12.7% 11.0% 11.7% 0.94× 9.11
Trabzonspor (0:2) 8.7% 7.7% 9.9% 0.78× 12.94
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas (0:3) 91.3% 92.6% 90.1% 1.03× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.8% 5.8% 6.5% 0.89× 17.21
Trabzonspor (0:3) 2.9% 2.4% 3.6% 0.67× 42.08
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas (0:4) 97.1% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.1% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 83.37
Trabzonspor (0:4) 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.01× 83.52
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (1:0) 67.9% 69.9% 71.3% 0.98× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 17.0% 17.0% 15.8% 1.08× 5.87
Besiktas (1:0) 15.1% 17.0% 13.0% 1.31× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (2:0) 84.9% 84.6% 87.0% 0.97× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 9.7% 6.5% 7.7% 0.84× 15.50
Besiktas (2:0) 5.4% 6.4% 5.5% 1.18× 15.55
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.1% 48.1% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 26.4% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 25.5% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to concede 75.1% 75.9% 69.8% 1.09× 1.32
Trabzonspor clean sheet 24.9% 24.1% 30.2% 0.80× 4.14
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor clean sheet in 1st half 57.3% 62.5% 1.60
Trabzonspor to concede in 1st half 42.7% 37.5% 2.66
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor over 2.5 corners 85.4% 86.3% 1.16
Trabzonspor over 3.5 corners 72.9% 71.9% 1.39
Trabzonspor under 6.5 corners 68.3% 66.7% 1.50
Trabzonspor over 4.5 corners 58.5% 57.5% 1.74
Trabzonspor under 5.5 corners 55.8% 57.5% 1.74
Trabzonspor over 5.5 corners 44.2% 42.5% 2.35
Trabzonspor under 4.5 corners 41.5% 42.5% 2.35
Trabzonspor over 6.5 corners 31.7% 33.3% 3.00
Trabzonspor under 3.5 corners 27.1% 28.1% 3.56
Trabzonspor under 2.5 corners 14.6% 13.7% 7.28
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor under 3.5 goals 92.2% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Trabzonspor over 0.5 goals 79.8% 77.7% 77.8% 1.00× 1.29
Trabzonspor under 2.5 goals 78.4% 77.7% 77.8% 1.00× 1.29
Trabzonspor under 1.5 goals 52.6% 53.3% 54.1% 0.98× 1.88
Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals 47.4% 46.8% 45.9% 1.02× 2.14
Trabzonspor over 2.5 goals 21.6% 22.3% 22.2% 1.00× 4.49
Trabzonspor under 0.5 goals 20.2% 22.3% 22.2% 1.00× 4.49
Trabzonspor over 3.5 goals 7.8% 7.7% 7.4% 1.05× 12.92
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor under 1.5 in 1st half 84.9% 84.6% 1.18
Trabzonspor over 0.5 in 1st half 49.7% 50.7% 1.97
Trabzonspor under 0.5 in 1st half 50.3% 49.3% 2.03
Trabzonspor over 1.5 in 1st half 15.1% 15.4% 6.51
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas (home no bet) 54.4% 51.6% 52.4% 0.98× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 45.6% 48.4% 47.6% 1.02× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor even goals 52.0% 50.6% 50.9% 1.00× 1.98
Trabzonspor odd goals 48.0% 49.4% 49.1% 1.01× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.1% 29.1% 3.43
HT 1-0 19.6% 18.8% 5.31
HT 0-1 15.8% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-1 11.3% 11.0% 9.12
HT 2-0 6.8% 7.1% 14.18
Any other HT score 5.1% 7.0% 14.21
HT 0-2 4.5% 2.3% 43.73
HT 2-1 3.8% 2.3% 43.78
HT 1-2 3.1% 2.3% 43.84
HT 2-2 1.1% 2.3% 43.99
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor at HT / Trabzonspor at FT 24.8% 21.8% 4.58
Besiktas at HT / Besiktas at FT 17.4% 16.8% 5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 15.7% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Trabzonspor at FT 13.7% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Besiktas at FT 12.0% 12.7% 7.90
Trabzonspor at HT / Draw at FT 5.9% 6.0% 16.62
Besiktas at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% 16.65
Trabzonspor at HT / Besiktas at FT 2.7% 3.5% 28.88
Besiktas at HT / Trabzonspor at FT 2.6% 3.5% 28.89
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to score last 50.1% 51.7% 1.93
Besiktas to score last 43.6% 40.4% 2.48
No goal scored 6.3% 7.5% 13.41
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 93.7% 92.6% 1.08
Trabzonspor to lead by 1 at any time 59.1% 55.2% 1.81
Besiktas to lead by 1 at any time 51.4% 50.6% 1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 50.0% 50.6% 1.98
Trabzonspor to lead by 2 at any time 28.6% 25.3% 3.95
Besiktas to lead by 2 at any time 21.7% 19.6% 5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 18.5% 15.0% 6.67
Trabzonspor to lead by 3 at any time 11.2% 10.4% 9.64
Besiktas to lead by 3 at any time 7.4% 6.6% 15.23
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor most corners 50.1% 51.9% 1.93
Besiktas most corners 39.3% 39.4% 2.54
Corners level 10.6% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.4% 87.4% 85.5% 1.02× 1.14
2-6 goals 78.0% 78.6% 74.0% 1.06× 1.27
1-4 goals 75.4% 78.6% 75.4% 1.04× 1.27
2-5 goals 73.0% 72.4% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.9% 63.4% 59.9% 1.06× 1.58
1-3 goals 58.6% 59.2% 61.2% 0.97× 1.69
3-6 goals 54.2% 53.2% 51.3% 1.04× 1.88
3-5 goals 49.2% 48.7% 47.3% 1.03× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.2% 48.7% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
3-4 goals 39.2% 39.2% 37.3% 1.05× 2.55
1-2 goals 36.2% 39.2% 38.3% 1.02× 2.55
4-6 goals 31.8% 35.4% 28.4% 1.24× 2.83
4-5 goals 26.8% 30.2% 24.4% 1.24× 3.31
5-6 goals 15.0% 18.6% 14.2% 1.31× 5.37
7+ goals 3.3% 2.5% 2.7% 0.95× 39.37
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor never behind 42.3% 48.1% 2.08
Besiktas never behind 34.6% 35.9% 2.79
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.3% 50.8% 50.7% 1.00× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.7% 49.2% 49.3% 1.00× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.6% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.4% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.4% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.6% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 93.7% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 91.7% 92.3% 93.3% 0.99× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 81.7% 82.4% 83.3% 0.99× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 81.2% 82.4% 76.5% 1.08× 1.21
Under 3.5 goals 65.0% 61.7% 69.1% 0.89× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 57.5% 58.8% 53.8% 1.09× 1.70
Under 2.5 goals 42.5% 41.2% 46.2% 0.89× 2.43
Over 3.5 goals 35.0% 38.3% 30.9% 1.24× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 18.8% 17.6% 23.5% 0.75× 5.67
Over 4.5 goals 18.3% 17.6% 16.7% 1.05× 5.67
Over 5.5 goals 8.3% 7.7% 6.7% 1.16× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 6.3% 7.7% 8.0% 0.97× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.5% 97.2% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 90.8% 92.5% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 78.0% 75.9% 80.5% 0.94× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 75.4% 75.9% 69.6% 1.09× 1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 54.8% 51.8% 59.9% 0.87× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.2% 48.2% 40.1% 1.20× 2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 24.6% 24.1% 30.4% 0.79× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 22.0% 24.1% 19.5% 1.24× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 9.2% 7.5% 7.4% 1.02× 13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.5% 2.8% 2.8% 0.99× 36.32
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.0% 89.0% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 71.0% 70.9% 1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half 64.5% 63.7% 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 35.5% 36.3% 2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.1% 29.1% 3.43
Over 2.5 in 1st half 13.0% 11.0% 9.12
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.1% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 74.5% 77.8% 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 52.5% 53.4% 1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 47.5% 46.6% 2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 25.5% 22.2% 4.51
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.9% 17.1% 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas not to score in both halves 75.8% 78.2% 1.28
Trabzonspor not to score in both halves 70.3% 73.9% 1.35
Trabzonspor to score in both halves 29.7% 26.1% 3.84
Besiktas to score in both halves 24.2% 21.8% 4.58
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 61.2% 60.2% 55.6% 1.08× 1.66
Only Trabzonspor scores 18.5% 16.1% 22.3% 0.72× 6.22
Only Besiktas scores 13.9% 11.0% 14.3% 0.76× 9.13
Neither team scores 6.3% 7.2% 8.0% 0.90× 13.92
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 23.8% 22.6% 22.8% 0.99× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 16.7% 17.4% 14.3% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 12.4% 12.1% 15.7% 0.77× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 10.0% 12.1% 10.2% 1.18× 8.29
6 or more goals 8.3% 7.6% 6.7% 1.15× 13.09
Exactly 0 goals 6.3% 7.6% 8.0% 0.96× 13.10
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 52.5% 51.6% 1.94
1 goal in 2nd half 29.6% 29.9% 3.34
No goals in 2nd half 17.9% 17.1% 5.86
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas not to win both halves 92.1% 94.0% 1.06
Trabzonspor not to win both halves 88.1% 88.0% 1.14
Trabzonspor to win both halves 11.9% 12.0% 8.36
Besiktas to win both halves 7.9% 6.0% 16.56
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to win either half 56.4% 59.4% 1.68
Besiktas to win neither half 52.0% 55.0% 1.82
Besiktas to win either half 48.0% 45.0% 2.22
Trabzonspor to win neither half 43.6% 40.6% 2.46
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Besiktas not to win to nil 86.1% 88.2% 85.7% 1.03× 1.13
Trabzonspor not to win to nil 81.5% 83.0% 77.7% 1.07× 1.21
Trabzonspor to win to nil 18.5% 17.0% 22.3% 0.76× 5.89
Besiktas to win to nil 13.9% 11.8% 14.3% 0.82× 8.47
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.8% 27.8% 26.0% 1.07× 3.60
Trabzonspor by 1 19.7% 17.0% 24.1% 0.70× 5.90
Besiktas by 1 17.0% 16.9% 15.8% 1.07× 5.90
Trabzonspor by 2 12.7% 11.8% 11.7% 1.01× 8.47
Besiktas by 2 9.7% 7.3% 7.7% 0.94× 13.79
Trabzonspor by 3+ 8.7% 7.3% 9.9% 0.73× 13.79
Besiktas by 3+ 5.4% 7.2% 5.5% 1.32× 13.81
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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