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Universidad de Chile v Coquimbo Unido — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Universidad de Chile win
56.0%
model 55.6%
Draw
22.0%
model 22.0%
Coquimbo Unido win
22.0%
model 22.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 16.8%
  2. 2-0 11.1%
  3. 0-1 10.0%
  4. 1-1 10.0%
  5. 2-1 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.541.1% Under 2.558.9%
BTTS yes41.5% BTTS no58.5%
Universidad de Chile 1+77.9% Universidad de Chile 2+44.6%
Coquimbo Unido 1+55.9% Coquimbo Unido 2+19.8%

Expected goals 1.51 – 0.82. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
76/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
94%
★ Best pick
1-2 goals
Multi goal · usually 43%
52.0% fair odds 1.92
strong signal · 1537 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Universidad de Chile corners (+2.5)
Corner handicap
84.2% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 6586 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
  • They have had 6 days' rest to Coquimbo Unido's 3.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Universidad de Chile have an estimated 56.0% win probability, against 22.0% for Coquimbo Unido and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.51 for Universidad de Chile and 0.82 for Coquimbo Unido.

Why Universidad de Chile

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. They have had 6 days' rest to Coquimbo Unido's 3.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. A combined 2.33 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Coquimbo Unido can win

Nothing in the data singles out Coquimbo Unido.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Universidad de Chile, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Coquimbo Unido, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Universidad de Chile: 65% possession, 23.0 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Coquimbo Unido: 47% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Universidad de Chile are the model's most likely outcome at 56.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 16.8%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.51–0.82 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.29–0.82 1-0 18% 35% 38%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to win 49.6% 47.5% 48.9% 0.97× 2.11
Coquimbo Unido to win 25.9% 27.9% 30.1% 0.93× 3.59
Draw 24.5% 24.5% 21.3% 1.15× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile & not both score 34.1% 29.7% 26.7% 1.12× 3.36
Coquimbo Unido & not both score 17.6% 17.9% 16.9% 1.06× 5.58
Universidad de Chile & both teams score 15.5% 17.9% 22.5% 0.80× 5.59
Draw & both teams score 14.5% 13.3% 16.6% 0.80× 7.54
Draw & not both score 10.0% 13.3% 4.9% 2.71× 7.55
Coquimbo Unido & both teams score 8.3% 8.4% 13.4% 0.62× 11.92
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile & under 3.5 40.5% 40.3% 34.0% 1.19× 2.48
Universidad de Chile & over 1.5 31.7% 30.8% 35.9% 0.86× 3.24
Universidad de Chile & under 2.5 27.9% 26.0% 20.0% 1.30× 3.84
Coquimbo Unido & under 3.5 22.6% 21.6% 23.5% 0.92× 4.62
Universidad de Chile & over 2.5 21.7% 21.6% 29.1% 0.74× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 20.7% 21.6% 13.9% 1.55× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 20.7% 21.6% 13.9% 1.55× 4.62
Universidad de Chile & under 1.5 17.8% 18.0% 13.2% 1.36× 5.56
Coquimbo Unido & under 2.5 16.2% 18.0% 13.7% 1.31× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 14.5% 12.9% 16.6% 0.77× 7.77
Coquimbo Unido & over 1.5 13.8% 12.9% 20.0% 0.64× 7.77
Coquimbo Unido & under 1.5 12.2% 12.9% 10.3% 1.25× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 10.0% 12.9% 4.9% 2.63× 7.77
Universidad de Chile & over 3.5 9.1% 7.9% 15.2% 0.52× 12.70
Coquimbo Unido & over 2.5 9.7% 7.9% 16.6% 0.47× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 3.8% 4.8% 7.6% 0.63× 20.93
Draw & over 3.5 3.8% 4.8% 7.6% 0.63× 20.93
Coquimbo Unido & over 3.5 3.3% 4.8% 6.8% 0.70× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (1UP) 60.3% 62.9% 1.59
Coquimbo Unido (1UP) 38.8% 34.2% 2.93
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (2UP) 49.6% 49.9% 2.01
Coquimbo Unido (2UP) 25.9% 24.9% 4.01
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 39.5% 36.4% 2.75
Universidad de Chile to win 2nd half 37.8% 36.3% 2.76
Coquimbo Unido to win 2nd half 22.7% 23.0% 4.35
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (+2.5) 92.2% 92.1% 89.7% 1.03× 1.09
Coquimbo Unido (+1.5) 78.1% 78.5% 77.0% 1.02× 1.28
Universidad de Chile (+0.5) 74.1% 73.7% 69.9% 1.05× 1.36
Coquimbo Unido (+0.5) 50.4% 52.4% 51.1% 1.02× 1.91
Universidad de Chile (-0.5) 49.6% 47.6% 48.9% 0.97× 2.10
Coquimbo Unido (-0.5) 25.9% 26.3% 30.1% 0.88× 3.80
Universidad de Chile (-1.5) 21.9% 21.5% 23.0% 0.94× 4.64
Universidad de Chile (-2.5) 7.8% 7.9% 10.3% 0.77× 12.64
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to concede 72.3% 76.5% 78.5% 0.97× 1.31
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet 27.7% 23.5% 21.5% 1.09× 4.26
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet in 1st half 57.5% 57.9% 1.73
Coquimbo Unido to concede in 1st half 42.5% 42.1% 2.37
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 6.5 corners 79.9% 75.8% 1.32
Coquimbo Unido over 2.5 corners 76.1% 75.8% 1.32
Coquimbo Unido under 5.5 corners 69.3% 68.3% 1.47
Coquimbo Unido over 3.5 corners 60.2% 61.4% 1.63
Coquimbo Unido under 4.5 corners 55.6% 56.9% 1.76
Coquimbo Unido over 4.5 corners 44.4% 43.1% 2.32
Coquimbo Unido under 3.5 corners 39.8% 38.6% 2.59
Coquimbo Unido over 5.5 corners 30.7% 31.8% 3.15
Coquimbo Unido under 2.5 corners 23.9% 24.2% 4.13
Coquimbo Unido over 6.5 corners 20.1% 24.2% 4.14
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 3.5 goals 99.0% 97.6% 97.1% 1.01× 1.03
Coquimbo Unido under 2.5 goals 95.0% 92.4% 88.3% 1.05× 1.08
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 goals 80.2% 81.4% 68.5% 1.19× 1.23
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 goals 55.9% 59.5% 68.7% 0.87× 1.68
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 goals 44.1% 40.5% 31.3% 1.29× 2.47
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 goals 19.8% 18.6% 31.5% 0.59× 5.38
Coquimbo Unido over 2.5 goals 5.0% 7.6% 11.7% 0.65× 13.09
Coquimbo Unido over 3.5 goals 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 0.83× 40.93
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 in 1st half 95.7% 95.6% 1.05
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 in 1st half 72.1% 68.5% 1.46
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 in 1st half 27.9% 31.5% 3.17
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 in 1st half 4.3% 4.4% 22.85
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (away no bet) 66.9% 66.4% 69.7% 0.95× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 33.1% 33.6% 30.3% 1.11× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido even goals 59.7% 56.9% 53.5% 1.06× 1.76
Coquimbo Unido odd goals 40.3% 43.1% 46.5% 0.93× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 92.4% 92.5% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 7.6% 7.5% 13.26
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 52.1% 50.2% 1.99
Not both halves under 1.5 47.9% 49.8% 2.01
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 43.4% 38.3% 2.61
Universidad de Chile to score 2+ in a row 31.4% 28.7% 3.48
Coquimbo Unido to score 2+ in a row 14.9% 12.2% 8.22
Either team to score 3+ in a row 13.1% 12.1% 8.25
Universidad de Chile to score 3+ in a row 10.2% 12.0% 8.31
Coquimbo Unido to score 3+ in a row 3.0% 2.6% 38.58
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile corners (+3.5) 90.2% 88.6% 1.13
Universidad de Chile corners (+2.5) 85.2% 84.2% 1.19
Universidad de Chile corners (+1.5) 78.5% 75.5% 1.33
Coquimbo Unido corners (+3.5) 68.4% 66.8% 1.50
Coquimbo Unido corners (+2.5) 59.2% 56.8% 1.76
Universidad de Chile corners (-1.5) 50.7% 52.3% 1.91
Coquimbo Unido corners (+1.5) 49.3% 47.7% 2.10
Universidad de Chile corners (-2.5) 40.8% 43.2% 2.32
Universidad de Chile corners (-3.5) 31.6% 33.2% 3.01
Coquimbo Unido corners (-1.5) 21.5% 24.5% 4.08
Coquimbo Unido corners (-2.5) 14.8% 15.8% 6.31
Coquimbo Unido corners (-3.5) 9.8% 11.4% 8.80
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 38.5% 35.1% 2.85
0-8 corners 32.7% 32.0% 3.13
9-11 corners 28.8% 31.8% 3.15
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 76.4% 76.6% 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 69.8% 67.9% 1.47
Over 8.5 corners 67.3% 67.9% 1.47
Under 11.5 corners 61.5% 62.7% 1.60
Over 9.5 corners 57.5% 57.8% 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 52.3% 52.2% 1.91
Over 10.5 corners 47.7% 47.8% 2.09
Under 9.5 corners 42.5% 42.2% 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 38.5% 37.3% 2.68
Under 8.5 corners 32.7% 32.1% 3.12
Over 12.5 corners 30.2% 32.1% 3.12
Under 7.5 corners 23.6% 23.4% 4.28
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 17.8% 13.8% 13.2% 1.04× 7.26
0-1 12.2% 11.4% 10.3% 1.11× 8.74
1-1 10.7% 11.4% 9.3% 1.23× 8.74
0-0 10.0% 11.4% 4.9% 2.34× 8.74
2-0 10.1% 11.4% 7.1% 1.61× 8.74
2-1 8.2% 7.4% 10.8% 0.69× 13.47
1-2 5.3% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.47
0-2 4.1% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.50
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 2.9% 0.58× 58.52
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.33× 58.52
1-3 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.52
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.33× 58.52
2-2 3.4% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.50
2-3 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.52
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.75× 58.52
3-0 4.3% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.50
3-1 3.5% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.50
3-2 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 0.87× 58.52
3-3 0.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.52
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.75× 58.52
4-0 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.52
4-1 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.52
4-2 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.52
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.75× 58.52
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 6.99× 58.52
Any other score 1.2% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.52
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile leading at HT (DNB) 65.3% 73.9% 1.35
Coquimbo Unido leading at HT (DNB) 34.7% 26.2% 3.82
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile or Coquimbo Unido (12) 75.5% 75.5% 78.7% 0.96× 1.32
Universidad de Chile or draw (1X) 74.1% 72.2% 69.9% 1.03× 1.39
Coquimbo Unido or draw (X2) 50.4% 52.5% 51.1% 1.03× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw at HT 82.1% 84.3% 1.19
Coquimbo Unido or draw at HT 66.4% 66.3% 1.51
Universidad de Chile or Coquimbo Unido at HT 51.4% 47.6% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw (1UP) 74.1% 80.1% 1.25
Coquimbo Unido or draw (1UP) 50.4% 59.1% 1.69
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw in 2nd half 77.3% 77.0% 1.30
Coquimbo Unido or draw in 2nd half 62.2% 63.7% 1.57
Universidad de Chile or Coquimbo Unido in 2nd half 60.5% 63.6% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 71.2% 70.2% 1.42
Neither half drawn 28.9% 29.8% 3.36
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (DNB) 65.7% 67.1% 61.9% 1.08× 1.49
Coquimbo Unido (DNB) 34.3% 32.9% 38.1% 0.86× 3.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to score first 54.9% 54.0% 1.85
Coquimbo Unido to score first 35.0% 32.6% 3.07
No goal scored 10.0% 9.5% 10.56
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 61.7% 56.5% 47.9% 1.18× 1.77
Both teams to score 38.3% 43.5% 52.1% 0.84× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 54.2% 47.1% 38.1% 1.23× 2.12
Both score & over 2.5 27.6% 33.6% 43.0% 0.78× 2.98
Both score & under 2.5 10.7% 12.3% 9.3% 1.33× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 7.5% 8.4% 10.0% 0.83× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 92.7% 89.1% 84.6% 1.05× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 7.3% 10.9% 15.4% 0.71× 9.18
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 80.6% 72.2% 1.38
Both teams to score in 2nd half 19.4% 27.8% 3.60
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 71.5% 67.5% 1.48
Both score 2nd half only 17.0% 15.8% 6.35
Both score 1st half only 9.1% 6.8% 14.69
Both score in both halves 2.4% 4.8% 20.64
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 88.5% 86.0% 1.16
Both teams to score by HT 11.5% 14.0% 7.16
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 59.7% 57.6% 1.74
A goal in each half 40.3% 42.4% 2.36
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.8% 42.1% 43.3% 0.97× 2.38
0-1 goals 40.0% 42.1% 27.9% 1.51× 2.38
4-6 goals 15.6% 20.2% 26.9% 0.75× 4.96
7+ goals 0.6% 1.8% 2.4% 0.74× 55.20
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 0 44.1% 37.1% 31.3% 1.18× 2.70
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 1 36.1% 36.0% 37.4% 0.96× 2.78
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 2 14.8% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.80
Coquimbo Unido to score 3+ 5.0% 8.4% 11.7% 0.72× 11.84
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 1 35.6% 35.6% 31.8% 1.12× 2.81
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 0 27.7% 26.5% 21.5% 1.23× 3.77
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 2 22.8% 23.3% 26.4% 0.88× 4.30
Universidad de Chile to score 3+ 13.9% 14.4% 20.8% 0.69× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 48.6% 52.4% 1.91
Universidad de Chile leading at HT 33.6% 33.7% 2.97
Coquimbo Unido leading at HT 17.9% 15.7% 6.38
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile -1: 2 50.4% 52.0% 1.92
Universidad de Chile -1: X 27.7% 26.6% 3.76
Universidad de Chile -1: 1 21.9% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (0:1) 50.4% 51.1% 51.1% 1.00× 1.96
Draw (0:1) 27.7% 27.0% 26.2% 1.03× 3.70
Universidad de Chile (0:1) 21.9% 24.3% 23.0% 1.06× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (0:2) 78.1% 79.5% 77.0% 1.03× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 14.1% 11.0% 13.0% 0.85× 9.10
Universidad de Chile (0:2) 7.8% 7.7% 10.3% 0.75× 12.95
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (0:3) 92.2% 92.6% 89.7% 1.03× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.6% 5.8% 5.1% 1.13× 17.21
Universidad de Chile (0:3) 2.2% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 42.11
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (0:4) 97.8% 98.1% 94.6% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.7% 1.2% 4.2% 0.29× 83.41
Universidad de Chile (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 0.82× 83.55
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (1:0) 74.1% 72.6% 69.9% 1.04× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 18.4% 17.0% 20.0% 0.85× 5.87
Coquimbo Unido (1:0) 7.5% 6.9% 10.3% 0.67× 14.47
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (2:0) 92.5% 94.0% 89.7% 1.05× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.7% 6.4% 6.4% 1.01× 15.54
Coquimbo Unido (2:0) 1.8% 2.3% 4.2% 0.54× 44.40
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 45.9% 48.1% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 28.0% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 26.1% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to concede 55.9% 60.9% 68.7% 0.89× 1.64
Universidad de Chile clean sheet 44.1% 39.1% 31.3% 1.25× 2.56
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 1st half 72.1% 68.1% 1.47
Universidad de Chile to concede in 1st half 27.9% 31.9% 3.14
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 corners 88.7% 85.2% 1.17
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 corners 78.6% 76.1% 1.31
Universidad de Chile over 4.5 corners 66.3% 67.7% 1.48
Universidad de Chile under 6.5 corners 59.0% 57.4% 1.74
Universidad de Chile over 5.5 corners 53.3% 53.1% 1.89
Universidad de Chile under 5.5 corners 46.7% 46.9% 2.13
Universidad de Chile over 6.5 corners 41.0% 42.6% 2.35
Universidad de Chile under 4.5 corners 33.7% 32.3% 3.10
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 corners 21.4% 23.9% 4.19
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 corners 11.3% 14.8% 6.76
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 goals 95.8% 96.4% 91.0% 1.06× 1.04
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 goals 86.1% 87.2% 79.2% 1.10× 1.15
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 goals 72.3% 74.2% 78.5% 0.95× 1.35
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 goals 63.2% 63.4% 53.1% 1.20× 1.58
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 goals 36.8% 36.6% 46.9% 0.78× 2.74
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 goals 27.7% 25.8% 21.5% 1.20× 3.88
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 goals 13.9% 12.8% 20.8% 0.61× 7.83
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 goals 4.2% 3.7% 9.0% 0.40× 27.40
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 1st half 89.3% 90.0% 1.11
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 1st half 57.5% 57.5% 1.74
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 1st half 42.5% 42.5% 2.35
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 1st half 10.7% 10.0% 10.01
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (home no bet) 51.4% 51.6% 58.6% 0.88× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 48.6% 48.4% 41.4% 1.17× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile even goals 53.8% 50.6% 54.5% 0.93× 1.98
Universidad de Chile odd goals 46.2% 49.4% 45.5% 1.09× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 41.1% 41.2% 2.43
HT 1-0 23.3% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-1 14.0% 11.0% 9.09
HT 1-1 7.1% 7.1% 14.18
HT 2-0 6.3% 7.0% 14.19
HT 0-2 2.2% 2.3% 43.90
Any other HT score 2.3% 2.3% 43.90
HT 2-1 2.1% 2.3% 43.91
HT 1-2 1.2% 2.3% 43.98
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.3% 44.05
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT 28.3% 26.7% 3.74
Draw at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT 19.5% 16.9% 5.93
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.9% 16.8% 5.95
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT 12.6% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT 12.1% 12.7% 7.90
Universidad de Chile at HT / Draw at FT 4.0% 3.5% 28.83
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Draw at FT 3.5% 3.5% 28.85
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT 1.8% 3.5% 28.92
Universidad de Chile at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT 1.2% 3.5% 28.94
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to score last 54.7% 52.0% 1.92
Coquimbo Unido to score last 35.3% 38.0% 2.63
No goal scored 10.0% 8.9% 11.30
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 90.0% 91.0% 1.10
Universidad de Chile to lead by 1 at any time 60.3% 61.2% 1.63
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 1 at any time 38.8% 34.8% 2.87
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 36.9% 34.8% 2.88
Universidad de Chile to lead by 2 at any time 26.3% 25.3% 3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 11.4% 10.4% 9.63
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 2 at any time 10.7% 10.4% 9.65
Universidad de Chile to lead by 3 at any time 9.1% 6.6% 15.15
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 3 at any time 2.4% 1.6% 64.17
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile most corners 60.8% 58.7% 1.70
Coquimbo Unido most corners 29.7% 32.1% 3.12
Corners level 9.5% 8.4% 11.88
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.9% 87.4% 87.3% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 83.7% 83.5% 81.2% 1.03× 1.20
1-3 goals 73.8% 72.4% 66.3% 1.09× 1.38
2-6 goals 59.4% 59.2% 69.9% 0.85× 1.69
2-5 goals 57.9% 59.2% 64.3% 0.92× 1.69
1-2 goals 54.8% 53.2% 42.5% 1.25× 1.88
2-4 goals 53.7% 53.2% 58.2% 0.91× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.8% 43.6% 43.3% 1.01× 2.29
3-6 goals 34.6% 35.4% 50.6% 0.70× 2.83
3-5 goals 33.1% 35.4% 45.0% 0.79× 2.83
3-4 goals 28.9% 30.2% 38.9% 0.78× 3.31
4-6 goals 15.6% 18.6% 26.9% 0.69× 5.37
4-5 goals 14.2% 14.9% 21.3% 0.70× 6.72
5-6 goals 5.7% 8.7% 12.0% 0.73× 11.45
7+ goals 0.6% 2.5% 2.4% 1.04× 39.49
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile never behind 51.2% 62.2% 1.61
Coquimbo Unido never behind 29.7% 30.1% 3.32
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 46.4% 50.8% 45.0% 1.13× 1.97
Odd number of goals 53.6% 49.2% 55.0% 0.89× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.9% 57.6% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 42.1% 42.4% 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.8% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.2% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.9% 95.5% 91.9% 1.04× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 93.7% 92.3% 85.8% 1.08× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 90.0% 87.7% 95.1% 0.92× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 83.8% 82.4% 70.9% 1.16× 1.21
Under 2.5 goals 64.9% 61.7% 47.2% 1.31× 1.62
Over 1.5 goals 60.0% 58.8% 72.1% 0.82× 1.70
Under 1.5 goals 40.0% 41.2% 27.9% 1.48× 2.43
Over 2.5 goals 35.1% 38.3% 52.8% 0.72× 2.61
Over 3.5 goals 16.2% 17.6% 29.1% 0.61× 5.68
Under 0.5 goals 10.0% 12.3% 4.9% 2.52× 8.10
Over 4.5 goals 6.3% 7.7% 14.2% 0.54× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 2.1% 4.5% 8.1% 0.56× 22.26
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.4% 97.3% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.9% 97.2% 91.4% 1.06× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 93.1% 92.5% 83.3% 1.11× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 80.0% 81.0% 61.9% 1.31× 1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 53.2% 51.8% 34.5% 1.50× 1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 46.8% 48.2% 65.5% 0.74× 2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 20.0% 19.0% 38.1% 0.50× 5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 6.9% 7.5% 16.7% 0.45× 13.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.2% 2.8% 8.6% 0.32× 36.36
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.6% 2.7% 2.6% 1.06× 36.40
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 94.0% 92.9% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 78.3% 78.9% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 58.9% 63.7% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 41.1% 36.3% 2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half 21.7% 21.1% 4.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.0% 7.1% 14.09
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 87.4% 85.3% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 71.3% 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 66.1% 67.0% 1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 33.9% 33.0% 3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 28.7% 22.3% 4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 12.6% 14.7% 6.79
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido not to score in both halves 89.2% 86.2% 1.16
Universidad de Chile not to score in both halves 78.0% 78.3% 1.28
Universidad de Chile to score in both halves 22.0% 21.7% 4.60
Coquimbo Unido to score in both halves 10.8% 13.8% 7.22
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 38.3% 39.9% 52.1% 0.77× 2.51
Only Universidad de Chile scores 34.1% 33.4% 26.7% 1.25× 3.00
Only Coquimbo Unido scores 17.6% 16.1% 16.9% 0.95× 6.22
Neither team scores 10.0% 10.9% 4.9% 2.24× 9.15
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 1 goals 30.0% 25.0% 23.2% 1.07× 4.01
Exactly 2 goals 24.8% 22.6% 19.6% 1.16× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 18.9% 17.4% 24.0% 0.73× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 10.0% 12.1% 4.9% 2.47× 8.29
Exactly 4 goals 10.0% 7.6% 15.2% 0.50× 13.08
Exactly 5 goals 4.2% 4.4% 6.4% 0.69× 22.67
6 or more goals 2.1% 4.4% 8.1% 0.55× 22.71
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 37.5% 40.1% 2.49
2+ goals in 2nd half 33.9% 33.7% 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 28.7% 29.9% 3.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido not to win both halves 96.2% 97.2% 1.03
Universidad de Chile not to win both halves 87.7% 88.0% 1.14
Universidad de Chile to win both halves 12.3% 12.0% 8.34
Coquimbo Unido to win both halves 3.8% 2.8% 35.43
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to win neither half 63.3% 65.3% 1.53
Universidad de Chile to win either half 59.1% 59.5% 1.68
Universidad de Chile to win neither half 40.9% 40.5% 2.47
Coquimbo Unido to win either half 36.7% 34.7% 2.88
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido not to win to nil 82.4% 83.0% 83.1% 1.00× 1.21
Universidad de Chile not to win to nil 65.9% 69.6% 73.4% 0.95× 1.44
Universidad de Chile to win to nil 34.1% 30.4% 26.7% 1.14× 3.29
Coquimbo Unido to win to nil 17.6% 17.0% 16.9% 1.01× 5.89
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile by 1 27.7% 27.8% 26.2% 1.06× 3.60
Draw 24.5% 24.2% 21.3% 1.14× 4.14
Coquimbo Unido by 1 18.4% 17.0% 20.0% 0.85× 5.90
Universidad de Chile by 2 14.1% 11.8% 13.0% 0.91× 8.47
Universidad de Chile by 3+ 7.8% 7.2% 10.3% 0.71× 13.80
Coquimbo Unido by 2 5.7% 7.2% 6.4% 1.14× 13.81
Coquimbo Unido by 3+ 1.8% 2.7% 4.2% 0.65× 37.08
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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