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Viborg FF v FC Nordsjælland — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Viborg FF win
36.8%
model 37.7%
Draw
26.6%
model 26.7%
FC Nordsjælland win
36.6%
model 35.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.6%
  2. 2-1 8.5%
  3. 1-2 8.2%
  4. 1-0 7.8%
  5. 0-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.553.6% Under 2.546.4%
BTTS yes58.0% BTTS no42.0%
Viborg FF 1+76.2% Viborg FF 2+42.0%
FC Nordsjælland 1+75.1% FC Nordsjælland 2+40.4%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.39. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
1-3 goals
Multi goal · usually 56%
62.7% fair odds 1.60
moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Viborg FF (2:0)
Handicap 2:0 · usually 84%
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 326 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
  • They have had 23 days' rest to FC Nordsjælland's 17.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Viborg FF have an estimated 36.8% win probability, against 36.6% for FC Nordsjælland and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for Viborg FF and 1.39 for FC Nordsjælland.

Why Viborg FF

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. They have had 23 days' rest to FC Nordsjælland's 17.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.44 to 1.39. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why FC Nordsjælland can win

FC Nordsjælland carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1584. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Viborg FF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Nordsjælland, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Viborg FF: 47% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Nordsjælland: 44% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 8.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Viborg FF are the model's most likely outcome at 36.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.44–1.39 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.50–1.33 1-1 13% 54% 58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to win 40.5% 43.0% 44.9% 0.96× 2.33
FC Nordsjælland to win 33.0% 30.4% 30.0% 1.01× 3.29
Draw 26.5% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF & both teams score 20.8% 21.9% 24.5% 0.89× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.9% 17.9% 19.6% 0.92× 5.58
Viborg FF & not both score 19.7% 17.9% 20.7% 0.87× 5.58
FC Nordsjælland & both teams score 17.3% 17.9% 16.8% 1.07× 5.58
FC Nordsjælland & not both score 15.7% 17.9% 13.5% 1.33× 5.59
Draw & not both score 6.6% 8.4% 6.1% 1.38× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF & over 1.5 32.4% 30.9% 35.5% 0.87× 3.24
Viborg FF & under 3.5 26.8% 26.0% 27.3% 0.95× 3.84
FC Nordsjælland & over 1.5 25.9% 26.0% 26.2% 0.99× 3.84
Viborg FF & over 2.5 25.8% 26.0% 29.5% 0.88× 3.84
FC Nordsjælland & under 3.5 22.5% 21.6% 18.5% 1.17× 4.62
FC Nordsjælland & over 2.5 20.7% 21.6% 20.9% 1.03× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.9% 18.0% 19.6% 0.92× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 19.2% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 19.2% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Viborg FF & under 2.5 14.7% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.77
Viborg FF & over 3.5 13.7% 12.9% 17.9% 0.72× 7.77
FC Nordsjælland & under 2.5 12.3% 12.9% 9.4% 1.37× 7.77
FC Nordsjælland & over 3.5 10.5% 12.9% 11.8% 1.09× 7.77
Viborg FF & under 1.5 8.1% 7.9% 9.6% 0.82× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 7.4% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 7.4% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 6.6% 7.9% 6.1% 1.30× 12.70
FC Nordsjælland & under 1.5 7.1% 7.9% 4.1% 1.91× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (1UP) 57.7% 58.2% 1.72
FC Nordsjælland (1UP) 51.2% 52.7% 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (2UP) 40.5% 47.5% 2.11
FC Nordsjælland (2UP) 33.0% 31.2% 3.21
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 35.1% 36.2% 2.76
Viborg FF to win 2nd half 34.0% 34.3% 2.92
FC Nordsjælland to win 2nd half 30.9% 34.2% 2.92
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (+2.5) 92.2% 92.1% 91.7% 1.00× 1.09
FC Nordsjælland (+1.5) 79.9% 78.5% 78.8% 1.00× 1.27
Viborg FF (+0.5) 67.0% 68.7% 70.0% 0.98× 1.46
FC Nordsjælland (+0.5) 59.5% 57.0% 55.1% 1.04× 1.75
Viborg FF (-0.5) 40.5% 43.0% 44.9% 0.96× 2.33
FC Nordsjælland (-0.5) 33.0% 31.3% 30.0% 1.04× 3.19
Viborg FF (-1.5) 20.1% 21.5% 21.2% 1.01× 4.65
Viborg FF (-2.5) 7.8% 7.9% 8.3% 0.96× 12.64
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland to concede 77.7% 79.0% 80.7% 0.98× 1.27
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet 22.3% 21.0% 19.3% 1.09× 4.76
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland to concede in 1st half 47.5% 50.5% 1.98
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet in 1st half 52.5% 49.5% 2.02
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland over 2.5 corners 78.2% 75.9% 1.32
FC Nordsjælland under 6.5 corners 78.4% 75.9% 1.32
FC Nordsjælland under 5.5 corners 67.3% 67.5% 1.48
FC Nordsjælland over 3.5 corners 62.7% 61.8% 1.62
FC Nordsjælland under 4.5 corners 53.2% 53.1% 1.88
FC Nordsjælland over 4.5 corners 46.8% 46.9% 2.13
FC Nordsjælland under 3.5 corners 37.3% 38.2% 2.62
FC Nordsjælland over 5.5 corners 32.7% 32.5% 3.08
FC Nordsjælland under 2.5 corners 21.8% 24.1% 4.16
FC Nordsjælland over 6.5 corners 21.6% 24.1% 4.16
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland under 3.5 goals 95.4% 97.5% 93.7% 1.04× 1.03
FC Nordsjælland under 2.5 goals 84.9% 81.5% 84.0% 0.97× 1.23
FC Nordsjælland over 0.5 goals 73.6% 72.0% 73.6% 0.98× 1.39
FC Nordsjælland under 1.5 goals 61.5% 62.9% 57.9% 1.09× 1.59
FC Nordsjælland over 1.5 goals 38.5% 37.1% 42.1% 0.88× 2.70
FC Nordsjælland under 0.5 goals 26.4% 28.0% 26.4% 1.06× 3.57
FC Nordsjælland over 2.5 goals 15.1% 18.5% 16.0% 1.16× 5.39
FC Nordsjælland over 3.5 goals 4.6% 2.5% 6.3% 0.39× 40.73
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland under 1.5 in 1st half 90.0% 89.5% 1.12
FC Nordsjælland under 0.5 in 1st half 58.7% 62.6% 1.60
FC Nordsjælland over 0.5 in 1st half 41.3% 37.4% 2.67
FC Nordsjælland over 1.5 in 1st half 10.0% 10.5% 9.56
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (away no bet) 60.4% 62.1% 63.9% 0.97× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 39.6% 37.9% 36.1% 1.05× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland even goals 53.5% 52.8% 57.6% 0.92× 1.90
FC Nordsjælland odd goals 46.5% 47.2% 42.4% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 83.8% 83.1% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.2% 16.9% 5.92
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.4% 68.4% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 33.6% 31.6% 3.16
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 57.4% 55.3% 1.81
Viborg FF to score 2+ in a row 35.2% 36.4% 2.75
FC Nordsjælland to score 2+ in a row 29.3% 25.2% 3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row 20.4% 19.5% 5.14
Viborg FF to score 3+ in a row 12.0% 12.1% 8.27
FC Nordsjælland to score 3+ in a row 8.8% 5.7% 17.64
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland corners (+3.5) 88.1% 84.5% 1.18
FC Nordsjælland corners (+2.5) 81.4% 79.7% 1.25
Viborg FF corners (+3.5) 80.6% 79.7% 1.25
FC Nordsjælland corners (+1.5) 72.6% 70.7% 1.41
Viborg FF corners (+2.5) 72.0% 70.7% 1.41
Viborg FF corners (+1.5) 61.4% 61.9% 1.62
FC Nordsjælland corners (-1.5) 38.6% 38.1% 2.63
FC Nordsjælland corners (-2.5) 28.0% 29.3% 3.41
Viborg FF corners (-1.5) 27.4% 29.3% 3.42
FC Nordsjælland corners (-3.5) 19.4% 20.3% 4.93
Viborg FF corners (-2.5) 18.6% 20.3% 4.93
Viborg FF corners (-3.5) 11.9% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 51.5% 45.2% 2.21
9-11 corners 28.2% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 20.4% 25.6% 3.91
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 85.8% 83.0% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 79.6% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 71.8% 72.7% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 62.3% 63.4% 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 60.0% 63.4% 1.58
Under 8.5 corners 51.5% 53.3% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 48.5% 46.7% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 40.0% 36.6% 2.73
Over 9.5 corners 37.7% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 28.2% 27.3% 3.66
Over 11.5 corners 20.4% 23.5% 4.26
Over 12.5 corners 14.2% 17.0% 5.88
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.5% 11.4% 11.0% 1.04× 8.74
2-1 8.8% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.47
0-0 6.6% 7.4% 6.1% 1.23× 13.47
0-1 7.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.47
1-0 8.1% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.47
1-2 7.8% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.47
2-0 6.6% 7.4% 6.3% 1.17× 13.47
0-2 5.2% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.47
2-2 5.9% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.47
0-3 2.3% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.51
0-4 0.8% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.52
1-3 3.5% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.50
1-4 1.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.52
2-3 2.6% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.51
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.52
3-0 3.3% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.50
3-1 4.4% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.50
3-2 2.9% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.51
3-3 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.52
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 6.20× 58.52
4-0 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.52
4-1 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.51
4-2 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.52
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.52
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 6.20× 58.52
Any other score 3.0% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.51
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF leading at HT (DNB) 56.2% 57.2% 1.75
FC Nordsjælland leading at HT (DNB) 43.8% 42.8% 2.33
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF or FC Nordsjælland (12) 73.5% 72.1% 74.7% 0.97× 1.39
Viborg FF or draw (1X) 67.0% 69.6% 70.0% 0.99× 1.44
FC Nordsjælland or draw (X2) 59.5% 57.0% 55.1% 1.03× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF or draw at HT 74.9% 74.6% 1.34
FC Nordsjælland or draw at HT 67.7% 66.4% 1.51
Viborg FF or FC Nordsjælland at HT 57.4% 56.6% 1.77
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF or draw (1UP) 67.0% 75.7% 1.32
FC Nordsjælland or draw (1UP) 59.5% 62.9% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF or draw in 2nd half 69.1% 65.8% 1.52
FC Nordsjælland or draw in 2nd half 66.0% 65.7% 1.52
Viborg FF or FC Nordsjælland in 2nd half 64.9% 63.8% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 61.9% 61.7% 1.62
Neither half drawn 38.1% 38.3% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (DNB) 55.1% 58.2% 59.9% 0.97× 1.72
FC Nordsjælland (DNB) 44.9% 41.8% 40.1% 1.04× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to score first 49.4% 45.7% 2.19
FC Nordsjælland to score first 43.9% 41.9% 2.39
No goal scored 6.6% 7.5% 13.39
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 58.0% 54.9% 60.3% 0.91× 1.82
Not both teams to score 42.0% 45.1% 39.7% 1.14× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 45.4% 44.2% 49.6% 0.89× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 33.6% 34.3% 30.6% 1.12× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 12.5% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 8.4% 8.4% 9.4% 0.89× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.0% 83.1% 80.4% 1.03× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 17.0% 16.9% 19.6% 0.87× 5.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.1% 67.7% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.9% 32.3% 3.10
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 54.5% 56.1% 1.78
Both score 2nd half only 25.7% 26.2% 3.81
Both score 1st half only 13.6% 10.6% 9.46
Both score in both halves 6.2% 6.7% 14.85
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.2% 82.7% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 19.8% 17.3% 5.79
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.4% 57.4% 1.74
A half without a goal 43.6% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.7% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
4-6 goals 29.0% 26.5% 36.4% 0.73× 3.78
0-1 goals 21.8% 22.8% 19.3% 1.18× 4.38
7+ goals 2.6% 1.8% 1.9% 0.94× 54.99
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland to score exactly 1 35.2% 36.0% 31.7% 1.14× 2.78
FC Nordsjælland to score exactly 0 26.4% 27.4% 26.4% 1.04× 3.65
FC Nordsjælland to score exactly 2 23.4% 22.4% 26.4% 0.85× 4.46
FC Nordsjælland to score 3+ 15.1% 19.5% 16.0% 1.22× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to score exactly 1 33.5% 32.7% 33.6% 0.97× 3.06
Viborg FF to score exactly 2 25.1% 26.5% 25.9% 1.02× 3.77
Viborg FF to score exactly 0 22.3% 23.3% 19.3% 1.21× 4.30
Viborg FF to score 3+ 19.1% 18.9% 21.8% 0.87× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.6% 43.4% 2.30
Viborg FF leading at HT 32.3% 33.6% 2.97
FC Nordsjælland leading at HT 25.1% 25.4% 3.94
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF -1: 2 59.5% 56.7% 1.76
Viborg FF -1: X 20.4% 23.6% 4.24
Viborg FF -1: 1 20.1% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (0:1) 59.5% 55.9% 55.1% 1.01× 1.79
Draw (0:1) 20.4% 24.3% 24.0% 1.01× 4.12
Viborg FF (0:1) 20.1% 24.3% 21.2% 1.14× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (0:2) 79.9% 79.5% 78.8% 1.01× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 12.3% 11.0% 13.2% 0.83× 9.11
Viborg FF (0:2) 7.8% 7.7% 8.3% 0.93× 12.95
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (0:3) 92.2% 92.6% 91.7% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.3% 5.8% 3.6% 1.62× 17.21
Viborg FF (0:3) 2.5% 2.4% 5.0% 0.48× 42.10
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (0:4) 97.5% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.8% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.40
Viborg FF (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.54
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (1:0) 67.0% 69.9% 70.0% 1.00× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 18.0% 17.0% 14.6% 1.17× 5.87
FC Nordsjælland (1:0) 15.0% 12.8% 15.7% 0.82× 7.79
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (2:0) 85.0% 88.3% 84.3% 1.05× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.7% 6.5% 8.3% 0.78× 15.50
FC Nordsjælland (2:0) 5.2% 6.4% 7.7% 0.83× 15.55
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.9% 48.1% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 26.7% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 25.4% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to concede 73.6% 73.1% 73.6% 0.99× 1.37
Viborg FF clean sheet 26.4% 26.9% 26.4% 1.02× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF clean sheet in 1st half 58.7% 62.6% 1.60
Viborg FF to concede in 1st half 41.3% 37.4% 2.67
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF under 6.5 corners 84.8% 81.0% 1.24
Viborg FF under 5.5 corners 75.2% 76.5% 1.31
Viborg FF over 2.5 corners 71.9% 71.9% 1.39
Viborg FF under 4.5 corners 62.0% 62.3% 1.61
Viborg FF over 3.5 corners 54.4% 52.8% 1.90
Viborg FF under 3.5 corners 45.6% 47.2% 2.12
Viborg FF over 4.5 corners 38.0% 37.7% 2.65
Viborg FF under 2.5 corners 28.1% 28.1% 3.56
Viborg FF over 5.5 corners 24.8% 23.5% 4.26
Viborg FF over 6.5 corners 15.2% 19.0% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF under 3.5 goals 93.4% 92.3% 91.2% 1.01× 1.08
Viborg FF under 2.5 goals 80.9% 82.1% 78.2% 1.05× 1.22
Viborg FF over 0.5 goals 77.7% 77.7% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
Viborg FF under 1.5 goals 55.8% 58.8% 52.6% 1.12× 1.70
Viborg FF over 1.5 goals 44.2% 41.2% 47.4% 0.87× 2.43
Viborg FF under 0.5 goals 22.3% 22.3% 19.3% 1.16× 4.49
Viborg FF over 2.5 goals 19.1% 17.9% 21.8% 0.82× 5.59
Viborg FF over 3.5 goals 6.6% 7.7% 8.8% 0.88× 12.93
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF under 1.5 in 1st half 86.3% 89.8% 1.11
Viborg FF over 0.5 in 1st half 47.5% 50.6% 1.98
Viborg FF under 0.5 in 1st half 52.5% 49.4% 2.03
Viborg FF over 1.5 in 1st half 13.7% 10.2% 9.85
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland (home no bet) 55.4% 56.7% 54.2% 1.04× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 44.6% 43.3% 45.8% 0.95× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF even goals 52.5% 50.6% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Viborg FF odd goals 47.5% 49.4% 49.6% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.9% 32.0% 3.12
HT 1-0 19.7% 18.8% 5.31
HT 0-1 16.3% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-1 10.7% 11.0% 9.13
HT 2-0 6.4% 7.0% 14.19
HT 0-2 4.4% 2.3% 43.74
Any other HT score 4.4% 2.3% 43.74
HT 2-1 3.4% 2.3% 43.81
HT 1-2 2.8% 2.3% 43.86
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.3% 44.00
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF at HT / Viborg FF at FT 24.0% 21.8% 4.59
FC Nordsjælland at HT / FC Nordsjælland at FT 17.7% 16.8% 5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 15.8% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Viborg FF at FT 14.1% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / FC Nordsjælland at FT 12.7% 12.7% 7.90
Viborg FF at HT / Draw at FT 5.7% 6.0% 16.63
FC Nordsjælland at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.0% 16.65
Viborg FF at HT / FC Nordsjælland at FT 2.5% 3.5% 28.89
FC Nordsjælland at HT / Viborg FF at FT 2.4% 3.5% 28.89
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to score last 49.5% 46.8% 2.14
FC Nordsjælland to score last 43.9% 40.4% 2.48
No goal scored 6.6% 7.5% 13.39
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 93.4% 92.6% 1.08
Viborg FF to lead by 1 at any time 57.7% 55.2% 1.81
FC Nordsjælland to lead by 1 at any time 51.2% 50.6% 1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 47.6% 44.0% 2.27
Viborg FF to lead by 2 at any time 26.8% 25.3% 3.96
FC Nordsjælland to lead by 2 at any time 21.1% 19.5% 5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 17.0% 15.0% 6.69
Viborg FF to lead by 3 at any time 10.0% 6.6% 15.11
FC Nordsjælland to lead by 3 at any time 7.0% 6.6% 15.25
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland most corners 50.2% 51.9% 1.93
Viborg FF most corners 38.1% 39.4% 2.54
Corners level 11.7% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.6% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.6% 78.6% 73.8% 1.06× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.6% 78.6% 79.1% 0.99× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.4% 72.4% 72.2% 1.00× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.5% 63.4% 60.6% 1.05× 1.58
1-3 goals 61.8% 63.4% 56.2% 1.13× 1.58
3-6 goals 51.3% 53.2% 57.0% 0.93× 1.88
3-5 goals 47.0% 48.7% 50.1% 0.97× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.7% 48.7% 43.0% 1.13× 2.06
1-2 goals 39.5% 39.2% 35.5% 1.10× 2.55
3-4 goals 38.1% 39.2% 38.6% 1.02× 2.55
4-6 goals 29.0% 30.2% 36.4% 0.83× 3.31
4-5 goals 24.7% 24.5% 29.5% 0.83× 4.09
5-6 goals 13.2% 14.9% 18.7% 0.79× 6.72
7+ goals 2.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.32× 39.40
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF never behind 42.1% 48.1% 2.08
FC Nordsjælland never behind 35.7% 44.4% 2.25
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.3% 50.8% 47.1% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.7% 49.2% 52.9% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.0% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.0% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.3% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.7% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 93.4% 92.3% 93.9% 0.98× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 93.2% 92.3% 91.2% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.3% 82.4% 79.6% 1.03× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 78.2% 77.4% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.5% 66.2% 62.0% 1.07× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 53.8% 52.5% 58.7% 0.89× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 46.2% 47.5% 41.3% 1.15× 2.10
Over 3.5 goals 31.5% 33.8% 38.0% 0.89× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 21.8% 22.6% 19.3% 1.17× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 15.7% 17.6% 20.4% 0.86× 5.68
Under 0.5 goals 6.6% 7.7% 6.1% 1.27× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 6.8% 7.7% 8.8% 0.88× 12.94
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.3% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.5% 92.5% 90.0% 1.03× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.3% 81.1% 75.3% 1.08× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 71.2% 72.6% 75.3% 0.96× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 59.4% 55.5% 52.1% 1.07× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 40.6% 44.5% 47.9% 0.93× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 28.8% 27.4% 24.7% 1.11× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 18.7% 18.9% 24.7% 0.77× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.5% 7.5% 10.0% 0.76× 13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.7% 2.8% 2.1% 1.33× 36.34
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.4% 89.1% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.1% 69.2% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.9% 69.1% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.1% 30.9% 3.24
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.9% 30.8% 3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.6% 10.9% 9.17
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 80.6% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 76.9% 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 50.5% 53.4% 1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 49.5% 46.7% 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 23.1% 20.1% 4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.4% 17.1% 5.83
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland not to score in both halves 77.2% 78.2% 1.28
Viborg FF not to score in both halves 72.7% 74.0% 1.35
Viborg FF to score in both halves 27.3% 26.0% 3.85
FC Nordsjælland to score in both halves 22.8% 21.8% 4.60
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 58.0% 58.3% 60.3% 0.97× 1.72
Only Viborg FF scores 19.7% 16.1% 20.7% 0.78× 6.21
Only FC Nordsjælland scores 15.7% 16.1% 13.5% 1.19× 6.22
Neither team scores 6.6% 7.2% 6.1% 1.19× 13.92
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.4% 22.6% 22.3% 1.01× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 15.8% 17.4% 17.9% 0.97× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 15.2% 17.4% 13.5% 1.29× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 8.9% 7.6% 11.8% 0.65× 13.09
Exactly 0 goals 6.6% 7.6% 6.1% 1.26× 13.10
6 or more goals 6.8% 7.6% 8.8% 0.87× 13.10
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 49.5% 44.9% 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.1% 33.6% 2.98
No goals in 2nd half 19.4% 17.1% 5.84
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland not to win both halves 92.1% 94.0% 1.06
Viborg FF not to win both halves 88.9% 88.1% 1.14
Viborg FF to win both halves 11.1% 11.9% 8.38
FC Nordsjælland to win both halves 7.9% 6.0% 16.57
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to win either half 55.2% 59.4% 1.69
FC Nordsjælland to win neither half 51.8% 55.0% 1.82
FC Nordsjælland to win either half 48.2% 45.0% 2.22
Viborg FF to win neither half 44.8% 40.6% 2.46
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Nordsjælland not to win to nil 84.3% 83.0% 86.5% 0.96× 1.20
Viborg FF not to win to nil 80.3% 83.0% 79.3% 1.05× 1.21
Viborg FF to win to nil 19.7% 17.0% 20.7% 0.82× 5.88
FC Nordsjælland to win to nil 15.7% 17.0% 13.5% 1.26× 5.89
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.5% 27.8% 25.3% 1.10× 3.60
Viborg FF by 1 20.4% 24.1% 24.0% 1.01× 4.14
FC Nordsjælland by 1 18.0% 17.0% 14.6% 1.16× 5.90
Viborg FF by 2 12.3% 11.8% 13.2% 0.89× 8.47
FC Nordsjælland by 2 9.7% 7.3% 8.3% 0.88× 13.79
Viborg FF by 3+ 7.8% 7.2% 8.3% 0.88× 13.80
FC Nordsjælland by 3+ 5.2% 7.2% 7.7% 0.94× 13.81
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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