Vicenza v Juve Stabia — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627
ITA-Serie B
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.1%
- 2-1 8.4%
- 1-2 8.3%
- 0-0 7.0%
- 1-0 6.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 55.4% | Under 2.5 | 44.6% |
| BTTS yes | 60.1% | BTTS no | 39.9% |
| Vicenza 1+ | 76.8% | Vicenza 2+ | 42.8% |
| Juve Stabia 1+ | 76.3% | Juve Stabia 2+ | 42.2% |
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.44. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Vicenza.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Vicenza have only 2 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Vicenza have an estimated 36.5% win probability, against 35.7% for Juve Stabia and 27.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Vicenza and 1.44 for Juve Stabia.
Why Vicenza
Nothing in the data singles out Vicenza.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 27.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.46 to 1.44. Draws run at 32% in this competition.
Why Juve Stabia can win
Nothing in the data singles out Juve Stabia.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Vicenza, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Juve Stabia, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Vicenza: 53% possession, 20.5 shots a match, 11.5 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Juve Stabia: 57% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Vicenza are the model's most likely outcome at 36.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 32/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.46–1.44 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.35–1.58 | 1-1 13% | 56% | 60% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.