Vissel Kobe v V-Varen Nagasaki — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Vissel Kobe

06:00

V-Varen Nagasaki

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 2h before kick-off

Vissel Kobe win

61.1%

model 61.1%

Draw

20.6%

model 22.8%

V-Varen Nagasaki win

18.4%

model 16.2%

612118

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.1%
2-0 12.3%
1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.5%
0-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.4%	Under 2.5	53.6%
BTTS yes	44.4%	BTTS no	55.6%
Vissel Kobe 1+	82.8%	Vissel Kobe 2+	52.5%
V-Varen Nagasaki 1+	53.8%	V-Varen Nagasaki 2+	18.1%

Expected goals 1.76 – 0.77. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Vissel Kobe (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 43%

63.4% fair odds 1.58

strong signal · 877 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Vissel Kobe or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Vissel Kobe carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1440.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Vissel Kobe have an estimated 61.1% win probability, against 20.6% for the draw and 18.4% for V-Varen Nagasaki. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.76 for Vissel Kobe and 0.77 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

Why Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe carry the stronger rating, 1625 Elo against 1440. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 20.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why V-Varen Nagasaki can win

Nothing in the data singles out V-Varen Nagasaki.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Vissel Kobe, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for V-Varen Nagasaki, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Vissel Kobe: 51% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. V-Varen Nagasaki: 45% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Vissel Kobe are the model's most likely outcome at 61.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.1%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	612316	1.76–0.77	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	612316	1.78–0.78	1-0 14%	47%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe to win	61.4%	58.1%	42.9%	1.35×	1.72
Draw	22.5%	24.4%	26.3%	0.93×	4.09
V-Varen Nagasaki to win	16.0%	19.3%	31.0%	0.62×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe & not both score	38.3%	33.2%	25.0%	1.33×	3.01
Vissel Kobe & both teams score	23.1%	21.9%	18.0%	1.21×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	19.3%	0.69×	7.54
V-Varen Nagasaki & not both score	9.2%	8.4%	17.7%	0.47×	11.92
Draw & not both score	7.6%	8.4%	7.1%	1.18×	11.93
V-Varen Nagasaki & both teams score	6.8%	8.4%	13.4%	0.62×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe & over 1.5	47.6%	45.2%	30.2%	1.50×	2.21
Vissel Kobe & under 3.5	43.0%	40.3%	33.1%	1.22×	2.48
Vissel Kobe & over 2.5	35.3%	34.9%	23.1%	1.51×	2.87
Vissel Kobe & under 2.5	26.1%	26.0%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Vissel Kobe & over 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	10.0%	1.80×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.9%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.77
Vissel Kobe & under 1.5	13.9%	12.9%	12.8%	1.00×	7.77
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 3.5	13.2%	12.9%	23.4%	0.55×	7.77
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	21.2%	0.37×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	7.1%	1.11×	12.70
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	17.9%	0.44×	12.70
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	13.3%	0.59×	12.70
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.92
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.92
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 3.5	2.8%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe (1UP)	72.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
V-Varen Nagasaki (1UP)	31.5%	32.6%	—	—	3.06

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe (2UP)	61.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
V-Varen Nagasaki (2UP)	16.0%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe to win 2nd half	48.5%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	34.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
V-Varen Nagasaki to win 2nd half	16.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe (+0.5)	84.0%	82.4%	69.0%	1.19×	1.21
V-Varen Nagasaki (+2.5)	83.5%	82.4%	93.8%	0.88×	1.21
V-Varen Nagasaki (+1.5)	64.5%	62.9%	82.0%	0.77×	1.59
Vissel Kobe (-0.5)	61.4%	62.9%	42.9%	1.47×	1.59
V-Varen Nagasaki (+0.5)	38.6%	37.1%	57.1%	0.65×	2.69
Vissel Kobe (-1.5)	35.5%	37.1%	18.0%	2.06×	2.70
Vissel Kobe (-2.5)	16.5%	17.6%	6.2%	2.85×	5.68
V-Varen Nagasaki (-0.5)	16.0%	17.6%	31.0%	0.57×	5.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede	83.2%	81.4%	75.3%	1.08×	1.23
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet	16.8%	18.7%	24.7%	0.76×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet in 1st half	46.4%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede in 1st half	53.6%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 6.5 corners	91.2%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
V-Varen Nagasaki under 5.5 corners	83.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
V-Varen Nagasaki under 4.5 corners	71.5%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
V-Varen Nagasaki over 2.5 corners	64.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
V-Varen Nagasaki under 3.5 corners	54.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
V-Varen Nagasaki over 3.5 corners	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
V-Varen Nagasaki under 2.5 corners	35.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
V-Varen Nagasaki over 4.5 corners	28.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
V-Varen Nagasaki over 5.5 corners	16.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
V-Varen Nagasaki over 6.5 corners	8.8%	9.9%	—	—	10.05

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 3.5 goals	99.2%	97.6%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
V-Varen Nagasaki under 2.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	87.8%	1.11×	1.03
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 goals	81.6%	81.4%	68.2%	1.19×	1.23
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 goals	54.1%	53.7%	68.0%	0.79×	1.86
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 goals	45.9%	46.3%	32.0%	1.45×	2.16
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 goals	18.4%	18.6%	31.8%	0.58×	5.38
V-Varen Nagasaki over 2.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	12.2%	0.20×	40.74
V-Varen Nagasaki over 3.5 goals	0.8%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	40.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 in 1st half	96.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 in 1st half	73.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 in 1st half	26.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 in 1st half	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.14

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe (away no bet)	73.2%	68.6%	62.0%	1.11×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.8%	31.4%	38.0%	0.83×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki even goals	60.5%	59.0%	54.4%	1.08×	1.70
V-Varen Nagasaki odd goals	39.5%	41.0%	45.6%	0.90×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Vissel Kobe to score 2+ in a row	47.1%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Vissel Kobe to score 3+ in a row	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 2+ in a row	12.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 3+ in a row	2.2%	2.6%	—	—	39.08

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe corners (+3.5)	96.0%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Vissel Kobe corners (+2.5)	92.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Vissel Kobe corners (+1.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+3.5)	61.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Vissel Kobe corners (-1.5)	60.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+2.5)	50.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Vissel Kobe corners (-2.5)	49.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+1.5)	39.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Vissel Kobe corners (-3.5)	38.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-1.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-2.5)	7.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-3.5)	4.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.54

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.9%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	30.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	28.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.9%	11.5%	12.8%	0.89×	8.73
2-0	12.3%	11.4%	7.3%	1.57×	8.74
1-1	10.6%	11.4%	13.4%	0.85×	8.74
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.47
0-0	7.6%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.47
3-0	7.3%	7.4%	3.6%	2.04×	13.47
0-1	6.1%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.47
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	3.0%	2.47×	13.47
0-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.51
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.52
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.52
1-2	4.2%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.50
1-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.52
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.52
2-2	3.7%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.50
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.52
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.52
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.51
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.52
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.52
4-0	3.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.51
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.51
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.52
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.52
Any other score	3.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe leading at HT (DNB)	75.8%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
V-Varen Nagasaki leading at HT (DNB)	24.2%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe or draw (1X)	84.0%	80.7%	69.0%	1.17×	1.24
Vissel Kobe or V-Varen Nagasaki (12)	77.5%	75.6%	73.7%	1.02×	1.32
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw (X2)	38.6%	41.9%	57.1%	0.73×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe or draw at HT	86.1%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Vissel Kobe or V-Varen Nagasaki at HT	57.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw at HT	56.5%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe or draw (1UP)	84.0%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw (1UP)	38.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe or draw in 2nd half	83.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Vissel Kobe or V-Varen Nagasaki in 2nd half	65.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw in 2nd half	51.5%	54.2%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe (DNB)	79.3%	74.7%	58.0%	1.29×	1.34
V-Varen Nagasaki (DNB)	20.7%	25.4%	42.0%	0.60×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe to score first	64.3%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
V-Varen Nagasaki to score first	28.1%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.1%	54.8%	49.5%	1.11×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.9%	45.2%	50.5%	0.90×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.2%	41.6%	40.0%	1.04×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.3%	34.3%	37.2%	0.92×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	12.9%	12.3%	9.7%	1.28×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	10.6%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.2%	89.1%	86.2%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.8%	10.9%	13.8%	0.79×	9.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	20.4%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Both score in both halves	3.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.7%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.3%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	49.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.4%	47.2%	1.01×	2.11
0-1 goals	27.6%	26.4%	29.6%	0.89×	3.78
4-6 goals	24.0%	22.8%	21.0%	1.09×	4.38
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	2.5%	0.72×	55.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 0	45.9%	42.9%	32.0%	1.34×	2.33
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 1	35.7%	36.0%	36.4%	0.99×	2.78
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 2	13.9%	12.8%	19.8%	0.65×	7.80
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 3+	4.4%	4.5%	12.2%	0.37×	22.00

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe to score exactly 1	30.0%	26.5%	36.4%	0.73×	3.77
Vissel Kobe to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.5%	24.4%	1.09×	3.77
Vissel Kobe to score 3+	26.5%	26.5%	14.9%	1.78×	3.77
Vissel Kobe to score exactly 0	16.8%	18.9%	24.7%	0.76×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe leading at HT	43.5%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT	42.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
V-Varen Nagasaki leading at HT	13.9%	11.9%	—	—	8.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe -1: 2	38.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Vissel Kobe -1: 1	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Vissel Kobe -1: X	25.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:1)	38.6%	37.3%	57.1%	0.65×	2.68
Vissel Kobe (0:1)	35.5%	37.2%	18.0%	2.07×	2.69
Draw (0:1)	25.9%	27.0%	25.0%	1.08×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:2)	64.5%	67.3%	82.0%	0.82×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	19.0%	15.3%	12.0%	1.27×	6.53
Vissel Kobe (0:2)	16.5%	15.3%	6.2%	2.48×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:3)	83.5%	85.2%	93.8%	0.91×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.2%	10.0%	4.3%	2.34×	10.02
Vissel Kobe (0:3)	6.3%	5.8%	2.1%	2.83×	17.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:4)	93.7%	94.7%	97.9%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.3%	1.2%	1.4%	0.84×	83.11
Vissel Kobe (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	0.8%	1.52×	83.38

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe (1:0)	84.0%	81.5%	69.0%	1.18×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.4%	12.8%	19.3%	0.66×	7.81
V-Varen Nagasaki (1:0)	4.7%	3.2%	11.9%	0.27×	31.35

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe (2:0)	95.3%	96.9%	88.1%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	44.28
V-Varen Nagasaki (2:0)	1.0%	2.3%	6.0%	0.37×	44.45

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe to concede	54.1%	53.1%	68.0%	0.78×	1.88
Vissel Kobe clean sheet	45.9%	46.9%	32.0%	1.47×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe clean sheet in 1st half	73.2%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Vissel Kobe to concede in 1st half	26.8%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe over 2.5 corners	90.4%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Vissel Kobe over 3.5 corners	80.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Vissel Kobe over 4.5 corners	67.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Vissel Kobe under 6.5 corners	59.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Vissel Kobe over 5.5 corners	53.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Vissel Kobe under 5.5 corners	46.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Vissel Kobe over 6.5 corners	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Vissel Kobe under 4.5 corners	32.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Vissel Kobe under 3.5 corners	19.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Vissel Kobe under 2.5 corners	9.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe under 3.5 goals	89.4%	87.3%	94.9%	0.92×	1.15
Vissel Kobe over 0.5 goals	83.2%	82.1%	75.3%	1.09×	1.22
Vissel Kobe under 2.5 goals	73.5%	74.2%	85.1%	0.87×	1.35
Vissel Kobe over 1.5 goals	53.2%	53.3%	39.1%	1.36×	1.88
Vissel Kobe under 1.5 goals	46.8%	46.7%	60.9%	0.77×	2.14
Vissel Kobe over 2.5 goals	26.5%	25.8%	14.9%	1.73×	3.88
Vissel Kobe under 0.5 goals	16.8%	17.9%	24.7%	0.72×	5.60
Vissel Kobe over 3.5 goals	10.6%	12.7%	5.1%	2.52×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe under 1.5 in 1st half	82.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Vissel Kobe under 0.5 in 1st half	46.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Vissel Kobe over 0.5 in 1st half	53.6%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Vissel Kobe over 1.5 in 1st half	17.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.4%	56.7%	45.9%	1.24×	1.76
V-Varen Nagasaki (home no bet)	41.6%	43.3%	54.1%	0.80×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe even goals	51.4%	50.6%	52.4%	0.97×	1.98
Vissel Kobe odd goals	48.6%	49.4%	47.6%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	26.1%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
HT 0-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-0	10.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	8.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.16
Any other HT score	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.72
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.84
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.95
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.98
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	44.03

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe at HT / Vissel Kobe at FT	38.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Vissel Kobe at FT	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Draw at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	7.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Vissel Kobe at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / Vissel Kobe at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Vissel Kobe at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe to score last	64.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
V-Varen Nagasaki to score last	28.1%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Vissel Kobe to lead by 1 at any time	72.0%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Vissel Kobe to lead by 2 at any time	40.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 1 at any time	31.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Vissel Kobe to lead by 3 at any time	18.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 2 at any time	7.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.21
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 3 at any time	1.6%	1.5%	—	—	65.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe most corners	71.5%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
V-Varen Nagasaki most corners	19.4%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	9.1%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.7%	83.5%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.8%	72.4%	68.0%	1.06×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.8%	69.0%	65.0%	1.06×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.8%	69.0%	69.6%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.7%	63.4%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.7%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.6%	48.7%	44.3%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.2%	48.7%	46.4%	1.05×	2.06
3-5 goals	42.6%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.30
3-4 goals	35.5%	39.2%	35.6%	1.10×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.0%	24.5%	21.0%	1.16×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.0%	24.5%	18.0%	1.36×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.1%	14.9%	8.9%	1.68×	6.73
7+ goals	1.6%	2.5%	2.5%	1.00×	39.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe never behind	60.9%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
V-Varen Nagasaki never behind	20.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	53.2%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.4%	95.5%	94.5%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.3%	87.6%	88.8%	0.99×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.4%	72.5%	76.6%	0.95×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	72.4%	72.5%	70.4%	1.03×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.8%	52.5%	53.3%	0.98×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	47.2%	47.5%	46.7%	1.02×	2.10
Under 1.5 goals	27.6%	27.5%	29.6%	0.93×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	25.6%	27.5%	23.4%	1.17×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.7%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.6%	4.5%	5.5%	0.81×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.3%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.0%	97.2%	94.1%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.4%	86.7%	87.2%	0.99×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.3%	67.4%	69.5%	0.97×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.1%	62.1%	61.2%	1.01×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.9%	37.9%	38.8%	0.98×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.7%	32.6%	30.5%	1.07×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.6%	13.3%	12.8%	1.04×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.0%	2.8%	5.9%	0.47×	36.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.7%	2.6%	1.05×	36.37

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.0%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.0%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.59

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.4%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.6%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to score in both halves	90.0%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Vissel Kobe not to score in both halves	65.8%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Vissel Kobe to score in both halves	34.2%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
V-Varen Nagasaki to score in both halves	10.0%	10.3%	—	—	9.71

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.9%	46.6%	50.5%	0.92×	2.15
Only Vissel Kobe scores	38.3%	39.9%	25.0%	1.59×	2.51
Only V-Varen Nagasaki scores	9.2%	7.2%	17.7%	0.41×	13.89
Neither team scores	7.6%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.2%	24.9%	23.9%	1.04×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	20.0%	22.6%	22.6%	1.00×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	13.9%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	7.6%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	5.9%	1.30×	13.09
6 or more goals	4.6%	4.4%	5.5%	0.80×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
1 goal in 2nd half	33.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	22.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Vissel Kobe not to win both halves	78.9%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Vissel Kobe to win both halves	21.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
V-Varen Nagasaki to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	36.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to win neither half	71.7%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Vissel Kobe to win either half	71.0%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Vissel Kobe to win neither half	29.0%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
V-Varen Nagasaki to win either half	28.3%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to win to nil	90.8%	92.0%	82.3%	1.12×	1.09
Vissel Kobe not to win to nil	61.7%	66.7%	75.0%	0.89×	1.50
Vissel Kobe to win to nil	38.3%	33.3%	25.0%	1.33×	3.01
V-Varen Nagasaki to win to nil	9.2%	8.0%	17.7%	0.45×	12.52

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vissel Kobe by 1	25.9%	27.8%	25.0%	1.11×	3.60
Draw	22.5%	24.2%	26.3%	0.92×	4.14
Vissel Kobe by 2	19.0%	17.0%	12.0%	1.41×	5.90
Vissel Kobe by 3+	16.5%	16.9%	6.2%	2.75×	5.90
V-Varen Nagasaki by 1	11.4%	11.8%	19.3%	0.61×	8.47
V-Varen Nagasaki by 2	3.6%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	37.02
V-Varen Nagasaki by 3+	1.0%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	37.11