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West Bromwich Albion v Queens Park Rangers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
West Bromwich Albion win
44.5%
model 43.2%
Draw
27.8%
model 28.5%
Queens Park Rangers win
27.7%
model 28.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.6%
  2. 2-1 9.1%
  3. 1-0 9.0%
  4. 0-0 8.4%
  5. 2-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.549.6% Under 2.550.4%
BTTS yes54.8% BTTS no45.2%
West Bromwich Albion 1+77.5% West Bromwich Albion 2+43.9%
Queens Park Rangers 1+68.9% Queens Park Rangers 2+32.6%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
44/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Queens Park Rangers under 6.5 corners
Away corners O/U
81.4% fair odds 1.23
moderate signal · 10137 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time
83.0% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out West Bromwich Albion.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

West Bromwich Albion have an estimated 44.5% win probability, against 27.8% for the draw and 27.7% for Queens Park Rangers. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for West Bromwich Albion and 1.17 for Queens Park Rangers.

Why West Bromwich Albion

Nothing in the data singles out West Bromwich Albion.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Queens Park Rangers can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for West Bromwich Albion, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Queens Park Rangers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

West Bromwich Albion: 57% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Queens Park Rangers: 46% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

West Bromwich Albion are the model's most likely outcome at 44.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.49–1.17 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.55–1.17 1-1 13% 51% 56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to win 44.6% 43.0% 43.5% 0.99× 2.32
Draw 28.0% 27.9% 27.6% 1.01× 3.59
Queens Park Rangers to win 27.4% 27.9% 29.0% 0.96× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion & not both score 23.0% 21.9% 23.4% 0.94× 4.57
West Bromwich Albion & both teams score 21.7% 21.9% 20.2% 1.08× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 20.0% 21.9% 20.4% 1.07× 4.57
Queens Park Rangers & both teams score 14.2% 13.3% 13.8% 0.96× 7.55
Queens Park Rangers & not both score 13.2% 13.2% 15.3% 0.87× 7.55
Draw & not both score 8.0% 8.4% 7.3% 1.15× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion & over 1.5 35.9% 34.9% 32.5% 1.08× 2.86
West Bromwich Albion & under 3.5 30.0% 26.0% 32.5% 0.80× 3.84
West Bromwich Albion & over 2.5 28.0% 26.0% 26.4% 0.99× 3.84
Queens Park Rangers & over 1.5 21.1% 21.6% 21.4% 1.01× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 21.3% 21.6% 21.6% 1.00× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 21.3% 21.6% 21.6% 1.00× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 20.0% 21.6% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Queens Park Rangers & under 3.5 19.6% 18.0% 22.3% 0.81× 5.56
Queens Park Rangers & over 2.5 16.6% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.56
West Bromwich Albion & under 2.5 16.6% 18.0% 17.2% 1.05× 5.56
West Bromwich Albion & over 3.5 14.6% 12.9% 11.1% 1.16× 7.77
Queens Park Rangers & under 2.5 10.8% 12.9% 13.0% 0.99× 7.78
West Bromwich Albion & under 1.5 8.8% 7.9% 11.1% 0.71× 12.69
Queens Park Rangers & over 3.5 7.8% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 8.0% 7.9% 7.3% 1.08× 12.69
Queens Park Rangers & under 1.5 6.3% 7.9% 7.7% 1.02× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 6.7% 7.9% 6.0% 1.31× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 6.7% 7.9% 6.0% 1.31× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (1UP) 60.7% 63.0% 1.59
Queens Park Rangers (1UP) 45.8% 42.8% 2.34
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (2UP) 44.6% 47.8% 2.09
Queens Park Rangers (2UP) 27.4% 24.6% 4.07
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to win 2nd half 37.0% 36.1% 2.77
2nd half drawn 36.2% 36.1% 2.77
Queens Park Rangers to win 2nd half 26.7% 26.2% 3.81
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers (+2.5) 90.6% 92.1% 91.9% 1.00× 1.09
Queens Park Rangers (+1.5) 76.7% 78.5% 80.7% 0.97× 1.28
West Bromwich Albion (+0.5) 72.6% 73.7% 71.0% 1.04× 1.36
Queens Park Rangers (+0.5) 55.4% 57.0% 56.5% 1.01× 1.76
West Bromwich Albion (-0.5) 44.6% 43.0% 43.5% 0.99× 2.33
Queens Park Rangers (-0.5) 27.4% 26.3% 29.0% 0.91× 3.80
West Bromwich Albion (-1.5) 23.3% 21.5% 19.3% 1.11× 4.64
West Bromwich Albion (-2.5) 9.4% 7.9% 8.1% 0.98× 12.65
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers to concede 78.8% 79.0% 77.5% 1.02× 1.27
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet 21.2% 21.0% 22.5% 0.93× 4.76
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers to concede in 1st half 48.7% 50.9% 1.96
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet in 1st half 51.3% 49.1% 2.04
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 6.5 corners 88.4% 84.9% 1.18
Queens Park Rangers under 5.5 corners 79.8% 75.8% 1.32
Queens Park Rangers over 2.5 corners 68.3% 68.2% 1.47
Queens Park Rangers under 4.5 corners 67.0% 68.2% 1.47
Queens Park Rangers under 3.5 corners 50.3% 52.4% 1.91
Queens Park Rangers over 3.5 corners 49.7% 47.6% 2.10
Queens Park Rangers over 4.5 corners 33.0% 31.8% 3.15
Queens Park Rangers under 2.5 corners 31.7% 31.8% 3.15
Queens Park Rangers over 5.5 corners 20.2% 24.2% 4.14
Queens Park Rangers over 6.5 corners 11.6% 15.1% 6.63
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 3.5 goals 96.8% 97.6% 97.8% 1.00× 1.03
Queens Park Rangers under 2.5 goals 88.5% 87.9% 90.6% 0.97× 1.14
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 goals 69.1% 68.0% 69.4% 0.98× 1.47
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 goals 67.2% 68.0% 69.9% 0.97× 1.47
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 goals 32.8% 32.0% 30.1% 1.07× 3.12
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 goals 30.9% 32.0% 30.6% 1.05× 3.12
Queens Park Rangers over 2.5 goals 11.5% 12.1% 9.5% 1.28× 8.26
Queens Park Rangers over 3.5 goals 3.2% 2.4% 2.2% 1.09× 41.03
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half 91.9% 94.1% 1.06
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half 62.5% 64.4% 1.55
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half 37.5% 35.6% 2.81
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half 8.1% 5.9% 17.00
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (away no bet) 61.5% 62.1% 61.2% 1.01× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 38.5% 37.9% 38.8% 0.98× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers even goals 54.8% 52.8% 52.6% 1.00× 1.90
Queens Park Rangers odd goals 45.2% 47.2% 47.4% 1.00× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 85.2% 87.8% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 14.8% 12.2% 8.18
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 64.5% 57.9% 1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals 35.5% 42.1% 2.38
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 55.8% 55.3% 1.81
West Bromwich Albion to score 2+ in a row 37.6% 36.3% 2.75
Queens Park Rangers to score 2+ in a row 24.4% 19.4% 5.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.7% 16.5% 6.07
West Bromwich Albion to score 3+ in a row 13.5% 12.0% 8.32
Queens Park Rangers to score 3+ in a row 6.5% 5.6% 18.02
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion corners (+3.5) 92.9% 88.7% 1.13
West Bromwich Albion corners (+2.5) 88.1% 84.2% 1.19
West Bromwich Albion corners (+1.5) 81.3% 80.0% 1.25
Queens Park Rangers corners (+3.5) 71.5% 69.9% 1.43
Queens Park Rangers corners (+2.5) 61.3% 61.7% 1.62
West Bromwich Albion corners (-1.5) 50.0% 52.3% 1.91
Queens Park Rangers corners (+1.5) 50.0% 47.7% 2.10
West Bromwich Albion corners (-2.5) 38.7% 38.3% 2.61
West Bromwich Albion corners (-3.5) 28.5% 30.1% 3.32
Queens Park Rangers corners (-1.5) 18.7% 20.0% 5.00
Queens Park Rangers corners (-2.5) 11.9% 15.8% 6.32
Queens Park Rangers corners (-3.5) 7.1% 11.3% 8.82
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 46.4% 40.6% 2.46
9-11 corners 29.7% 31.8% 3.15
12+ corners 23.9% 26.3% 3.80
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.1% 79.8% 1.25
Under 11.5 corners 76.1% 76.6% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 67.6% 67.9% 1.47
Over 7.5 corners 64.9% 62.7% 1.60
Under 9.5 corners 57.5% 57.8% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 53.6% 52.2% 1.91
Under 8.5 corners 46.4% 47.8% 2.09
Over 9.5 corners 42.5% 42.2% 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 35.1% 37.3% 2.68
Over 10.5 corners 32.4% 32.1% 3.12
Over 11.5 corners 23.9% 23.4% 4.28
Over 12.5 corners 16.9% 20.2% 4.96
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.3% 11.5% 14.4% 0.79× 8.73
1-0 8.8% 7.4% 11.1% 0.67× 13.46
2-1 9.3% 7.4% 11.4% 0.65× 13.46
0-0 8.0% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.46
1-2 7.0% 7.4% 7.9% 0.94× 13.46
2-0 7.9% 7.4% 6.2% 1.20× 13.46
0-1 6.3% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.46
2-2 5.4% 7.4% 5.2% 1.42× 13.46
3-1 4.8% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.56
0-2 4.5% 1.7% 5.3% 0.32× 58.57
0-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.58
0-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 3.97× 58.59
1-3 2.7% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.58
1-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.6% 2.84× 58.59
2-3 2.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.58
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.3% 6.62× 58.59
3-0 4.1% 1.7% 4.0% 0.42× 58.57
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 1.8% 0.95× 58.58
3-3 1.1% 1.7% 0.9% 1.99× 58.59
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 6.62× 58.59
4-0 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 0.99× 58.58
4-1 1.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.99× 58.58
4-2 1.1% 1.7% 0.8% 2.21× 58.59
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.2% 9.93× 58.59
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 19.87× 58.59
Any other score 2.8% 1.7% 2.9% 0.58× 58.58
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion leading at HT (DNB) 61.3% 66.1% 1.51
Queens Park Rangers leading at HT (DNB) 38.7% 33.9% 2.95
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion or draw (1X) 72.6% 72.1% 71.0% 1.02× 1.39
West Bromwich Albion or Queens Park Rangers (12) 72.0% 72.1% 72.4% 1.00× 1.39
Queens Park Rangers or draw (X2) 55.4% 57.0% 56.5% 1.01× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion or draw at HT 78.1% 80.1% 1.25
Queens Park Rangers or draw at HT 65.4% 66.0% 1.52
West Bromwich Albion or Queens Park Rangers at HT 56.6% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion or draw (1UP) 72.6% 80.0% 1.25
Queens Park Rangers or draw (1UP) 55.4% 62.5% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion or draw in 2nd half 73.3% 73.8% 1.36
West Bromwich Albion or Queens Park Rangers in 2nd half 63.8% 63.9% 1.56
Queens Park Rangers or draw in 2nd half 63.0% 63.9% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.4% 61.6% 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.6% 38.4% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (DNB) 61.9% 62.9% 60.0% 1.05× 1.59
Queens Park Rangers (DNB) 38.1% 37.1% 40.0% 0.93× 2.69
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to score first 52.4% 54.2% 1.85
Queens Park Rangers to score first 39.7% 32.6% 3.06
No goal scored 8.0% 7.4% 13.49
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 55.8% 54.7% 54.2% 1.01× 1.83
Not both teams to score 44.2% 45.3% 45.8% 0.99× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 42.5% 41.5% 39.9% 1.04× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 35.4% 38.5% 37.3% 1.03× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.3% 12.3% 14.4% 0.85× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.7% 8.4% 8.6% 0.97× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 84.9% 83.2% 89.0% 0.93× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 15.1% 16.8% 11.0% 1.53× 5.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 69.8% 67.8% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 30.2% 32.2% 3.10
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 56.8% 59.8% 1.67
Both score 2nd half only 24.7% 21.2% 4.72
Both score 1st half only 13.1% 10.5% 9.53
Both score in both halves 5.4% 6.7% 15.03
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 81.5% 82.8% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 18.5% 17.2% 5.82
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 54.7% 53.5% 1.87
A half without a goal 45.3% 46.5% 2.15
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.8% 47.4% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
4-6 goals 27.0% 26.4% 22.4% 1.18× 3.79
0-1 goals 23.0% 22.8% 25.9% 0.88× 4.38
7+ goals 2.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.32× 55.21
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 1 36.3% 36.0% 39.4% 0.91× 2.78
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 0 30.9% 33.9% 30.6% 1.11× 2.95
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 2 21.3% 22.4% 20.7% 1.08× 4.47
Queens Park Rangers to score 3+ 11.5% 12.8% 9.5% 1.36× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 1 32.9% 32.6% 36.9% 0.88× 3.06
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 2 25.5% 26.5% 24.6% 1.08× 3.77
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 0 21.2% 23.3% 22.5% 1.03× 4.30
West Bromwich Albion to score 3+ 20.4% 23.3% 16.2% 1.44× 4.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 43.4% 43.2% 2.31
West Bromwich Albion leading at HT 34.6% 34.0% 2.94
Queens Park Rangers leading at HT 21.9% 19.9% 5.01
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion -1: 2 55.4% 56.6% 1.77
West Bromwich Albion -1: 1 23.3% 23.6% 4.24
West Bromwich Albion -1: X 21.3% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers (0:1) 55.4% 55.8% 56.5% 0.99× 1.79
West Bromwich Albion (0:1) 23.3% 24.3% 19.3% 1.26× 4.12
Draw (0:1) 21.3% 24.3% 24.2% 1.00× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers (0:2) 76.7% 79.4% 80.7% 0.98× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 13.9% 11.0% 11.3% 0.97× 9.08
West Bromwich Albion (0:2) 9.4% 7.7% 8.1% 0.96× 12.96
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers (0:3) 90.6% 92.6% 91.9% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 6.3% 5.8% 4.8% 1.20× 17.25
West Bromwich Albion (0:3) 3.1% 2.4% 3.4% 0.71× 42.00
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers (0:4) 96.9% 98.1% 96.6% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.3% 1.2% 2.4% 0.50× 83.21
West Bromwich Albion (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.16× 83.37
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (1:0) 72.6% 72.5% 71.0% 1.02× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 15.8% 17.0% 17.3% 0.99× 5.88
Queens Park Rangers (1:0) 11.6% 12.8% 11.9% 1.08× 7.81
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (2:0) 88.4% 88.4% 88.1% 1.00× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 8.0% 6.5% 8.7% 0.74× 15.48
Queens Park Rangers (2:0) 3.7% 2.3% 3.3% 0.69× 44.18
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.7% 48.2% 2.08
Halves equal 27.0% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.3% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to concede 69.1% 66.5% 69.4% 0.96× 1.50
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet 30.9% 33.5% 30.6% 1.09× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet in 1st half 62.5% 64.5% 1.55
West Bromwich Albion to concede in 1st half 37.5% 35.5% 2.81
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion over 2.5 corners 85.3% 85.2% 1.17
West Bromwich Albion over 3.5 corners 72.5% 71.5% 1.40
West Bromwich Albion under 6.5 corners 69.2% 67.8% 1.48
West Bromwich Albion over 4.5 corners 57.8% 57.4% 1.74
West Bromwich Albion under 5.5 corners 56.6% 57.4% 1.74
West Bromwich Albion over 5.5 corners 43.4% 42.6% 2.35
West Bromwich Albion under 4.5 corners 42.2% 42.6% 2.35
West Bromwich Albion over 6.5 corners 30.8% 32.2% 3.10
West Bromwich Albion under 3.5 corners 27.5% 28.5% 3.51
West Bromwich Albion under 2.5 corners 14.7% 14.8% 6.75
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion under 3.5 goals 92.8% 92.2% 94.8% 0.97× 1.08
West Bromwich Albion under 2.5 goals 79.6% 77.7% 83.8% 0.93× 1.29
West Bromwich Albion over 0.5 goals 78.8% 77.7% 77.5% 1.00× 1.29
West Bromwich Albion under 1.5 goals 54.1% 53.3% 59.4% 0.90× 1.88
West Bromwich Albion over 1.5 goals 45.9% 46.7% 40.6% 1.15× 2.14
West Bromwich Albion under 0.5 goals 21.2% 22.3% 22.5% 0.99× 4.49
West Bromwich Albion over 2.5 goals 20.4% 22.3% 16.2% 1.38× 4.49
West Bromwich Albion over 3.5 goals 7.2% 7.8% 5.2% 1.51× 12.89
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion under 1.5 in 1st half 85.6% 89.8% 1.11
West Bromwich Albion over 0.5 in 1st half 48.7% 51.0% 1.96
West Bromwich Albion under 0.5 in 1st half 51.3% 49.0% 2.04
West Bromwich Albion over 1.5 in 1st half 14.4% 10.2% 9.85
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 50.5% 51.5% 48.7% 1.06× 1.94
Queens Park Rangers (home no bet) 49.5% 48.5% 51.3% 0.94× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion even goals 52.2% 50.6% 50.5% 1.00× 1.98
West Bromwich Albion odd goals 47.8% 49.4% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 32.3% 32.5% 3.08
HT 1-0 21.2% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-1 14.8% 11.1% 9.02
HT 1-1 10.3% 11.0% 9.07
HT 2-0 7.1% 7.1% 14.11
Any other HT score 4.2% 2.2% 44.61
HT 0-2 3.5% 2.2% 44.66
HT 2-1 3.4% 2.2% 44.67
HT 1-2 2.4% 2.2% 44.75
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.2% 44.88
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT 26.8% 26.6% 3.76
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.3% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT 15.3% 16.8% 5.96
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT 14.5% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT 10.9% 12.7% 7.91
West Bromwich Albion at HT / Draw at FT 5.7% 6.0% 16.62
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.4% 29.08
Queens Park Rangers at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT 2.5% 3.4% 29.19
West Bromwich Albion at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT 2.1% 3.4% 29.20
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to score last 52.5% 51.9% 1.93
Queens Park Rangers to score last 39.6% 38.4% 2.60
No goal scored 8.0% 7.4% 13.49
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.0% 92.7% 1.08
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 1 at any time 60.7% 61.4% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 46.6% 44.0% 2.27
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 1 at any time 45.8% 44.0% 2.28
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 2 at any time 29.7% 25.3% 3.96
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 2 at any time 17.0% 14.9% 6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.6% 14.9% 6.71
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 3 at any time 11.6% 10.4% 9.58
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 3 at any time 5.0% 6.5% 15.45
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion most corners 61.6% 58.8% 1.70
Queens Park Rangers most corners 27.7% 32.0% 3.12
Corners level 10.7% 10.6% 9.40
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.2% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.0% 78.6% 83.4% 0.94× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.8% 72.4% 72.8% 1.00× 1.38
2-5 goals 71.1% 72.4% 70.2% 1.03× 1.38
1-3 goals 62.9% 63.5% 69.1% 0.92× 1.58
2-4 goals 62.9% 63.5% 64.8% 0.98× 1.58
3-6 goals 49.1% 48.7% 47.1% 1.03× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.8% 48.7% 50.4% 0.96× 2.06
3-5 goals 45.4% 48.7% 44.5% 1.09× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.8% 43.6% 44.4% 0.98× 2.29
3-4 goals 37.2% 39.2% 39.1% 1.00× 2.55
4-6 goals 27.0% 30.2% 22.4% 1.35× 3.31
4-5 goals 23.3% 24.5% 19.8% 1.23× 4.09
5-6 goals 11.9% 14.8% 8.1% 1.84× 6.74
7+ goals 2.1% 2.5% 1.4% 1.84× 39.48
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion never behind 46.3% 57.0% 1.75
Queens Park Rangers never behind 31.3% 35.3% 2.83
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.0% 50.8% 49.4% 1.03× 1.97
Even number of goals 53.0% 49.2% 50.6% 0.97× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.6% 57.8% 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 44.4% 42.2% 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.0% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.0% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 94.1% 92.3% 96.0% 0.96× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 92.0% 92.3% 92.7% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 85.9% 87.7% 90.6% 0.97× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 77.0% 77.4% 74.1% 1.04× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 70.9% 72.5% 76.3% 0.95× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 51.2% 52.4% 48.4% 1.08× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 48.8% 47.6% 51.6% 0.92× 2.10
Over 3.5 goals 29.1% 27.5% 23.7% 1.16× 3.64
Under 1.5 goals 23.0% 22.6% 25.9% 0.87× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 14.1% 12.3% 9.4% 1.32× 8.11
Under 0.5 goals 8.0% 7.7% 7.3% 1.06× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 5.9% 7.7% 4.0% 1.95× 12.96
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.8% 97.3% 98.6% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 93.6% 92.5% 95.8% 0.97× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 83.4% 81.1% 89.1% 0.91× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 69.0% 67.3% 65.1% 1.03× 1.49
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 62.6% 62.1% 68.5% 0.91× 1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 37.4% 37.9% 31.5% 1.20× 2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 31.0% 32.7% 34.9% 0.94× 3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 16.6% 18.9% 10.9% 1.73× 5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 6.4% 7.5% 4.2% 1.80× 13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.2% 2.7% 1.4% 1.95× 36.38
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 89.3% 89.4% 1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half 68.3% 69.0% 1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half 67.7% 69.0% 1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half 32.3% 31.0% 3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half 31.7% 31.0% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 10.7% 10.6% 9.41
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 79.1% 80.0% 1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 78.6% 80.0% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 52.4% 53.1% 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 47.6% 46.9% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 21.4% 20.0% 4.99
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 20.9% 20.0% 5.00
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to score in both halves 81.1% 84.2% 1.19
West Bromwich Albion not to score in both halves 71.4% 74.2% 1.35
West Bromwich Albion to score in both halves 28.6% 25.8% 3.88
Queens Park Rangers to score in both halves 18.9% 15.8% 6.33
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 55.8% 58.2% 54.2% 1.07× 1.72
Only West Bromwich Albion scores 23.0% 22.4% 23.4% 0.96× 4.47
Only Queens Park Rangers scores 13.2% 10.9% 15.3% 0.72× 9.14
Neither team scores 8.0% 7.2% 7.3% 0.98× 13.94
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.7% 25.0% 25.8% 0.97× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 22.1% 22.6% 24.7% 0.92× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 15.1% 17.4% 18.7% 0.93× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 15.1% 17.4% 14.4% 1.21× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 8.0% 7.6% 7.3% 1.04× 13.13
Exactly 5 goals 8.2% 7.6% 5.5% 1.39× 13.13
6 or more goals 5.9% 7.6% 4.0% 1.93× 13.14
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 47.6% 44.8% 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.5% 33.8% 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 20.9% 23.4% 4.28
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to win both halves 94.0% 94.0% 1.06
West Bromwich Albion not to win both halves 86.9% 88.0% 1.14
West Bromwich Albion to win both halves 13.1% 12.0% 8.36
Queens Park Rangers to win both halves 6.0% 6.0% 16.68
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to win either half 58.6% 59.5% 1.68
Queens Park Rangers to win neither half 57.4% 59.4% 1.68
Queens Park Rangers to win either half 42.6% 40.6% 2.46
West Bromwich Albion to win neither half 41.4% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to win to nil 86.8% 88.2% 84.7% 1.04× 1.13
West Bromwich Albion not to win to nil 77.0% 78.0% 76.6% 1.02× 1.28
West Bromwich Albion to win to nil 23.0% 22.0% 23.4% 0.94× 4.55
Queens Park Rangers to win to nil 13.2% 11.8% 15.3% 0.77× 8.47
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.0% 27.8% 27.6% 1.01× 3.59
West Bromwich Albion by 1 21.3% 24.1% 24.2% 1.00× 4.14
Queens Park Rangers by 1 15.8% 16.9% 17.3% 0.98× 5.90
West Bromwich Albion by 2 13.9% 11.8% 11.3% 1.04× 8.46
West Bromwich Albion by 3+ 9.4% 7.2% 8.1% 0.90× 13.80
Queens Park Rangers by 2 8.0% 7.2% 8.7% 0.84× 13.80
Queens Park Rangers by 3+ 3.7% 2.7% 3.3% 0.83× 36.95
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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