Wrexham v Southampton — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Wrexham

10:00

Southampton

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 318h before kick-off

Wrexham win

28.2%

model 27.7%

Draw

21.9%

model 24.1%

Southampton win

49.9%

model 48.2%

282250

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.4%
1-2 9.2%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 6.7%
0-2 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.6%	Under 2.5	33.4%
BTTS yes	67.2%	BTTS no	32.8%
Wrexham 1+	76.9%	Wrexham 2+	43.0%
Southampton 1+	86.0%	Southampton 2+	58.4%

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

43/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Southampton over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 30%

57.5% fair odds 1.74

strong signal · 663 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1510.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Southampton have an estimated 49.9% win probability, against 28.2% for Wrexham and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.47 for Wrexham and 1.96 for Southampton.

Why Wrexham

Nothing in the data singles out Wrexham.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Southampton can win

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1510. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Southampton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateus Fernandes (0.20), Paul Onuachu (0.20), Cameron Archer (0.17).

Availability

No lineup on record for Wrexham, so availability is unknown. 2 of Southampton's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Wrexham: 53% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Southampton: 60% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Southampton are the model's most likely outcome at 49.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 43/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Southampton have scored 6 from 7.4 expected and conceded 18 from 18.4 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LDLLDLLDLL last 10 scored 6 from 7.4 xG conceded 18 from 18.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	282448	1.47–1.96	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	262351	1.45–2.08	1-1 10%	68%	68%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win	51.0%	51.4%	29.0%	1.77×	1.95
Wrexham to win	25.8%	27.9%	43.5%	0.64×	3.59
Draw	23.2%	24.4%	27.6%	0.89×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & both teams score	31.5%	29.7%	13.8%	2.15×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
Southampton & not both score	19.5%	17.9%	15.3%	1.17×	5.58
Wrexham & both teams score	17.2%	17.9%	20.2%	0.89×	5.58
Wrexham & not both score	8.5%	8.4%	23.4%	0.36×	11.94
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	7.3%	0.67×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & over 1.5	45.9%	45.2%	21.4%	2.11×	2.21
Southampton & over 2.5	39.6%	34.9%	16.2%	2.16×	2.86
Southampton & over 3.5	26.0%	26.0%	6.8%	3.83×	3.84
Southampton & under 3.5	25.0%	21.6%	22.3%	0.97×	4.62
Wrexham & over 1.5	22.5%	21.6%	32.5%	0.67×	4.62
Wrexham & over 2.5	19.4%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Wrexham & under 3.5	14.2%	12.9%	32.5%	0.40×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	13.9%	12.9%	21.6%	0.59×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	13.9%	12.9%	21.6%	0.59×	7.77
Wrexham & over 3.5	11.5%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.78
Southampton & under 2.5	11.4%	12.9%	13.0%	0.99×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	9.4%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	9.4%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.69
Wrexham & under 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	17.2%	0.46×	12.69
Southampton & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	7.3%	0.65×	20.93
Wrexham & under 1.5	3.2%	4.8%	11.1%	0.43×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (1UP)	68.6%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Wrexham (1UP)	47.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2UP)	51.0%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Wrexham (2UP)	25.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win 2nd half	45.7%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	30.0%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Wrexham to win 2nd half	24.3%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (+2.5)	95.7%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Southampton (+1.5)	88.1%	88.5%	80.7%	1.10×	1.13
Southampton (+0.5)	74.2%	73.7%	56.5%	1.30×	1.36
Southampton (-0.5)	51.0%	52.3%	29.0%	1.80×	1.91
Wrexham (+0.5)	49.0%	47.7%	71.0%	0.67×	2.10
Wrexham (-0.5)	25.8%	26.3%	43.5%	0.61×	3.80
Wrexham (-1.5)	11.9%	11.5%	19.3%	0.60×	8.69
Wrexham (-2.5)	4.3%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	26.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede	76.6%	79.0%	77.5%	1.02×	1.27
Southampton clean sheet	23.4%	21.0%	22.5%	0.93×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede in 1st half	46.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Southampton clean sheet in 1st half	53.6%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 2.5 corners	83.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Southampton under 6.5 corners	72.7%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Southampton over 3.5 corners	69.4%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Southampton under 5.5 corners	60.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Southampton over 4.5 corners	54.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Southampton under 4.5 corners	45.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Southampton over 5.5 corners	39.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Southampton under 3.5 corners	30.6%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Southampton over 6.5 corners	27.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Southampton under 2.5 corners	16.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 0.5 goals	87.5%	87.9%	69.4%	1.27×	1.14
Southampton under 3.5 goals	84.3%	81.5%	97.8%	0.83×	1.23
Southampton under 2.5 goals	65.6%	67.9%	90.6%	0.75×	1.47
Southampton over 1.5 goals	61.5%	62.9%	30.1%	2.09×	1.59
Southampton under 1.5 goals	38.5%	37.1%	69.9%	0.53×	2.70
Southampton over 2.5 goals	34.4%	32.1%	9.5%	3.39×	3.12
Southampton over 3.5 goals	15.7%	18.5%	2.2%	8.29×	5.40
Southampton under 0.5 goals	12.5%	12.1%	30.6%	0.40×	8.25

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 1.5 in 1st half	79.8%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Southampton over 0.5 in 1st half	56.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Southampton under 0.5 in 1st half	43.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Southampton over 1.5 in 1st half	20.2%	23.7%	—	—	4.23

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (away no bet)	52.6%	51.3%	61.2%	0.84×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	47.4%	48.7%	38.8%	1.26×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton even goals	50.8%	52.7%	52.6%	1.00×	1.90
Southampton odd goals	49.2%	47.3%	47.4%	1.00×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	73.8%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals	26.2%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	78.4%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals	21.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	69.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Southampton to score 2+ in a row	50.7%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Wrexham to score 2+ in a row	30.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Southampton to score 3+ in a row	22.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Wrexham to score 3+ in a row	8.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.82

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham corners (+3.5)	83.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Southampton corners (+3.5)	81.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Wrexham corners (+2.5)	76.1%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Southampton corners (+2.5)	73.5%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Wrexham corners (+1.5)	67.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Southampton corners (+1.5)	64.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Wrexham corners (-1.5)	35.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Southampton corners (-1.5)	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Wrexham corners (-2.5)	26.5%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Southampton corners (-2.5)	23.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Wrexham corners (-3.5)	18.7%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Southampton corners (-3.5)	16.5%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.5%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
0-8 corners	34.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
9-11 corners	30.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.9%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	64.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 9.5 corners	55.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Over 10.5 corners	45.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.09
Under 9.5 corners	44.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	34.1%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	27.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.9%	7.4%	14.4%	0.51×	13.46
1-2	9.2%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.46
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.46
Any other score	7.5%	7.4%	2.9%	2.54×	13.46
0-1	5.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.46
0-2	6.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.46
1-3	6.4%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.46
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.46
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.57
0-3	4.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.57
0-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.4%	3.97×	58.58
1-0	3.2%	1.7%	11.1%	0.15×	58.57
1-4	3.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.57
2-0	3.1%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.57
2-3	4.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.57
2-4	2.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.62×	58.58
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.58
3-1	3.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.57
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.57
3-3	2.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.58
3-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.62×	58.59
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.59
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.59
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.2%	9.93×	58.59
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	19.87×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton leading at HT (DNB)	59.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Wrexham leading at HT (DNB)	40.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham or Southampton (12)	76.8%	75.6%	72.4%	1.04×	1.32
Southampton or draw (X2)	74.2%	72.1%	56.5%	1.28×	1.39
Wrexham or draw (1X)	49.0%	48.6%	71.0%	0.68×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw at HT	74.9%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Wrexham or draw at HT	62.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Wrexham or Southampton at HT	62.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw (1UP)	74.2%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Wrexham or draw (1UP)	49.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw in 2nd half	75.7%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Wrexham or Southampton in 2nd half	70.0%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Wrexham or draw in 2nd half	54.3%	54.4%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	45.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (DNB)	66.5%	67.1%	40.0%	1.68×	1.49
Wrexham (DNB)	33.6%	32.9%	60.0%	0.55×	3.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score first	56.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Wrexham to score first	39.5%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	4.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.94

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	68.0%	58.2%	54.2%	1.07×	1.72
Not both teams to score	32.0%	41.8%	45.8%	0.91×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	58.1%	47.2%	39.9%	1.18×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	21.7%	27.7%	37.3%	0.74×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	10.3%	12.3%	8.6%	1.43×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	9.9%	8.4%	14.4%	0.58×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	73.8%	80.6%	89.0%	0.91×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	26.2%	19.4%	11.0%	1.76×	5.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.6%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	29.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Both score 1st half only	15.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score in both halves	10.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.6%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.4%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	67.5%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.8%	42.1%	50.4%	0.84×	2.38
4-6 goals	40.2%	42.1%	22.4%	1.88×	2.38
0-1 goals	12.2%	16.9%	25.9%	0.65×	5.91
7+ goals	6.7%	7.6%	1.4%	5.53×	13.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score 3+	34.4%	33.9%	9.5%	3.59×	2.95
Southampton to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	20.7%	1.32×	3.65
Southampton to score exactly 1	26.0%	27.4%	39.4%	0.69×	3.65
Southampton to score exactly 0	12.5%	12.8%	30.6%	0.42×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to score exactly 1	34.0%	32.7%	36.9%	0.88×	3.06
Wrexham to score exactly 2	24.7%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.30
Wrexham to score exactly 0	23.4%	23.3%	22.5%	1.03×	4.30
Wrexham to score 3+	17.9%	18.9%	16.2%	1.17×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Southampton leading at HT	37.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Wrexham leading at HT	25.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton -1: 1	49.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Southampton -1: 2	30.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Southampton -1: X	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:1)	74.2%	71.1%	56.5%	1.26×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	13.8%	13.9%	24.2%	0.57×	7.22
Wrexham (0:1)	11.9%	13.8%	19.3%	0.72×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:2)	88.1%	87.0%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.6%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	12.97
Wrexham (0:2)	4.3%	3.8%	8.1%	0.47×	26.44

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:3)	95.7%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.01
Wrexham (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.36
Wrexham (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (1:0)	49.0%	49.9%	71.0%	0.70×	2.01
Southampton (1:0)	30.8%	30.3%	11.9%	2.55×	3.31
Draw (1:0)	20.2%	21.7%	17.3%	1.26×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (2:0)	69.2%	70.7%	88.1%	0.80×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	15.7%	15.6%	8.7%	1.80×	6.40
Southampton (2:0)	15.1%	15.6%	3.3%	4.78×	6.41

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to concede	87.5%	86.1%	69.4%	1.24×	1.16
Wrexham clean sheet	12.5%	13.9%	30.6%	0.45×	7.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to concede in 1st half	56.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Wrexham clean sheet in 1st half	43.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.69

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham over 2.5 corners	84.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Wrexham over 3.5 corners	71.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Wrexham under 6.5 corners	70.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Wrexham under 5.5 corners	58.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Wrexham over 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Wrexham under 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Wrexham over 5.5 corners	41.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Wrexham over 6.5 corners	29.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Wrexham under 3.5 corners	28.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Wrexham under 2.5 corners	15.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham under 3.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Wrexham under 2.5 goals	82.1%	82.1%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
Wrexham over 0.5 goals	76.6%	77.7%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Wrexham under 1.5 goals	57.4%	58.8%	59.4%	0.99×	1.70
Wrexham over 1.5 goals	42.6%	41.2%	40.6%	1.01×	2.43
Wrexham under 0.5 goals	23.4%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.48
Wrexham over 2.5 goals	17.9%	17.9%	16.2%	1.11×	5.60
Wrexham over 3.5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	5.2%	1.50×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham under 1.5 in 1st half	87.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Wrexham over 0.5 in 1st half	46.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Wrexham under 0.5 in 1st half	53.6%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Wrexham over 1.5 in 1st half	13.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.93

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (home no bet)	68.7%	63.9%	51.3%	1.25×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	31.3%	36.1%	48.7%	0.74×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham even goals	52.7%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Wrexham odd goals	47.3%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	19.2%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 1-0	14.4%	11.1%	—	—	9.03
HT 1-1	12.3%	11.1%	—	—	9.05
HT 0-2	8.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
Any other HT score	7.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
HT 1-2	5.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.58
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.64
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.82

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton at HT / Southampton at FT	30.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Draw at HT / Southampton at FT	16.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Wrexham at HT / Wrexham at FT	15.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Wrexham at FT	8.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Wrexham at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Southampton at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Wrexham at HT / Southampton at FT	4.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.11
Southampton at HT / Wrexham at FT	2.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.20

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score last	56.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Wrexham to score last	39.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	4.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.94

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Southampton to lead by 1 at any time	68.6%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	58.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Wrexham to lead by 1 at any time	47.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Southampton to lead by 2 at any time	39.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Wrexham to lead by 2 at any time	19.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Southampton to lead by 3 at any time	18.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Wrexham to lead by 3 at any time	6.5%	6.5%	—	—	15.38

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham most corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Southampton most corners	43.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	10.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.4%	83.5%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
2-6 goals	81.0%	83.5%	72.8%	1.15×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.2%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
1-4 goals	68.0%	69.0%	83.4%	0.83×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.7%	63.5%	47.1%	1.35×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.8%	59.2%	64.8%	0.91×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.8%	53.1%	44.5%	1.19×	1.88
1-3 goals	49.1%	48.7%	69.1%	0.70×	2.06
2-3 goals	40.8%	43.6%	50.4%	0.86×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	39.1%	1.12×	2.29
4-6 goals	40.2%	43.6%	22.4%	1.94×	2.29
4-5 goals	32.3%	35.4%	19.8%	1.78×	2.83
1-2 goals	27.6%	30.2%	44.4%	0.68×	3.31
5-6 goals	21.3%	24.4%	8.1%	3.03×	4.09
7+ goals	6.7%	8.7%	1.4%	6.35×	11.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton never behind	48.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Wrexham never behind	27.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.1%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.9%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	92.7%	1.03×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.8%	87.7%	74.1%	1.18×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	85.4%	87.7%	96.0%	0.91×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.0%	72.5%	90.6%	0.80×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	68.4%	66.3%	48.4%	1.37×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	53.1%	52.4%	76.3%	0.69×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	46.9%	47.6%	23.7%	2.01×	2.10
Under 2.5 goals	31.6%	33.7%	51.6%	0.65×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	28.0%	27.5%	9.4%	2.93×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	14.6%	12.3%	4.0%	3.12×	8.11
Under 1.5 goals	12.2%	12.3%	25.9%	0.48×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	7.3%	0.62×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.7%	92.5%	98.6%	0.94×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	84.8%	81.1%	65.1%	1.25×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.2%	81.1%	95.8%	0.85×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	65.5%	67.3%	89.1%	0.76×	1.49
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.8%	55.6%	31.5%	1.77×	1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.2%	44.4%	68.5%	0.65×	2.25
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	34.5%	32.7%	10.9%	2.99×	3.06
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.8%	18.9%	4.2%	4.52×	5.30
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	15.2%	18.9%	34.9%	0.54×	5.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.3%	7.5%	1.4%	5.34×	13.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.0%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.5%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	57.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	42.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.0%	13.6%	—	—	7.36

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.1%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	65.7%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	61.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	38.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	34.3%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.9%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham not to score in both halves	73.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Southampton not to score in both halves	59.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Southampton to score in both halves	40.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Wrexham to score in both halves	26.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	68.0%	59.5%	54.2%	1.10×	1.68
Only Southampton scores	19.5%	16.1%	15.3%	1.05×	6.20
Only Wrexham scores	8.5%	7.2%	23.4%	0.31×	13.93
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	7.3%	0.63×	21.72

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.5%	22.6%	24.7%	0.92×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.3%	17.5%	25.8%	0.68×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.0%	17.5%	14.4%	1.21×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.6%	12.1%	4.0%	3.05×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	13.4%	12.1%	5.5%	2.19×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	8.3%	7.6%	18.7%	0.41×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.4%	7.3%	0.61×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	61.7%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	25.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
No goals in 2nd half	12.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham not to win both halves	93.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Southampton not to win both halves	82.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Southampton to win both halves	17.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Wrexham to win both halves	6.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.66

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win either half	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Wrexham to win neither half	56.8%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Wrexham to win either half	43.2%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
Southampton to win neither half	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham not to win to nil	91.5%	92.0%	76.6%	1.20×	1.09
Southampton not to win to nil	80.5%	83.0%	84.7%	0.98×	1.21
Southampton to win to nil	19.5%	17.0%	15.3%	1.11×	5.87
Wrexham to win to nil	8.5%	8.0%	23.4%	0.34×	12.54

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.2%	24.1%	27.6%	0.88×	4.14
Southampton by 1	20.2%	24.1%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
Southampton by 2	15.7%	16.9%	8.7%	1.95×	5.90
Southampton by 3+	15.1%	16.9%	3.3%	5.19×	5.90
Wrexham by 1	13.8%	11.8%	24.2%	0.49×	8.46
Wrexham by 2	7.6%	7.2%	11.3%	0.64×	13.80
Wrexham by 3+	4.3%	2.7%	8.1%	0.34×	36.93