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Zhejiang Professional FC v Wuhan Three Towns — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Zhejiang Professional FC win
54.8%
model 53.6%
Draw
22.6%
model 22.0%
Wuhan Three Towns win
22.6%
model 24.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 9.7%
  2. 2-1 9.5%
  3. 2-0 7.2%
  4. 1-0 6.7%
  5. 3-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.565.4% Under 2.534.6%
BTTS yes64.2% BTTS no35.8%
Zhejiang Professional FC 1+87.0% Zhejiang Professional FC 2+60.4%
Wuhan Three Towns 1+73.5% Wuhan Three Towns 2+38.3%

Expected goals 2.04 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Odd number of goals
Odd/Even · usually 46%
50.3% fair odds 1.99
moderate signal · 2377 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
83.6% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Zhejiang Professional FC carry the stronger rating, 1535 Elo against 1424.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0120 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Zhejiang Professional FC have an estimated 54.8% win probability, against 22.6% for Wuhan Three Towns and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.04 for Zhejiang Professional FC and 1.33 for Wuhan Three Towns.

Why Zhejiang Professional FC

Zhejiang Professional FC carry the stronger rating, 1535 Elo against 1424.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Wuhan Three Towns can win

Nothing in the data singles out Wuhan Three Towns.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Zhejiang Professional FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Wuhan Three Towns, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Zhejiang Professional FC: 46% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Wuhan Three Towns: 47% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Zhejiang Professional FC are the model's most likely outcome at 54.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.04–1.33 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.26–1.41 2-1 9% 71% 68%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to win 56.3% 54.0% 46.0% 1.17× 1.85
Wuhan Three Towns to win 23.2% 24.4% 28.0% 0.87× 4.09
Draw 20.5% 24.4% 26.2% 0.93× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC & both teams score 34.8% 29.8% 23.0% 1.29× 3.36
Zhejiang Professional FC & not both score 21.5% 21.9% 23.2% 0.94× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 17.7% 17.9% 22.1% 0.81× 5.58
Wuhan Three Towns & both teams score 15.6% 17.9% 18.5% 0.97× 5.58
Wuhan Three Towns & not both score 7.6% 8.4% 9.8% 0.85× 11.95
Draw & not both score 2.8% 4.9% 4.3% 1.13× 20.52
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC & over 1.5 50.9% 48.7% 36.4% 1.34× 2.05
Zhejiang Professional FC & over 2.5 44.4% 40.3% 29.4% 1.37× 2.48
Zhejiang Professional FC & over 3.5 30.3% 30.9% 18.9% 1.63× 3.24
Zhejiang Professional FC & under 3.5 26.0% 26.0% 27.3% 0.95× 3.84
Wuhan Three Towns & over 1.5 19.9% 18.0% 23.7% 0.76× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 17.7% 18.0% 22.1% 0.81× 5.56
Wuhan Three Towns & over 2.5 17.3% 18.0% 21.0% 0.86× 5.56
Wuhan Three Towns & under 3.5 12.8% 12.9% 15.9% 0.81× 7.78
Zhejiang Professional FC & under 2.5 11.9% 12.9% 16.9% 0.76× 7.78
Draw & under 2.5 11.2% 12.9% 16.4% 0.78× 7.78
Draw & under 3.5 11.2% 12.9% 16.4% 0.78× 7.78
Wuhan Three Towns & over 3.5 10.4% 12.9% 12.3% 1.05× 7.78
Draw & over 2.5 9.3% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 9.3% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.69
Zhejiang Professional FC & under 1.5 5.4% 7.9% 9.8% 0.80× 12.69
Wuhan Three Towns & under 2.5 5.8% 7.9% 7.3% 1.08× 12.69
Wuhan Three Towns & under 1.5 3.3% 4.8% 4.6% 1.05× 20.93
Draw & under 1.5 2.8% 4.8% 4.3% 1.10× 20.94
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (1UP) 72.6% 75.7% 1.32
Wuhan Three Towns (1UP) 45.4% 42.8% 2.34
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (2UP) 56.3% 55.1% 1.82
Wuhan Three Towns (2UP) 23.2% 23.6% 4.24
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to win 2nd half 46.7% 45.7% 2.19
2nd half drawn 28.9% 26.3% 3.80
Wuhan Three Towns to win 2nd half 24.4% 23.1% 4.34
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (+2.5) 81.6% 82.4% 89.3% 0.92× 1.21
Zhejiang Professional FC (+0.5) 76.8% 78.5% 72.0% 1.09× 1.27
Wuhan Three Towns (+1.5) 64.7% 62.9% 74.7% 0.84× 1.59
Zhejiang Professional FC (-0.5) 56.3% 57.0% 46.0% 1.24× 1.75
Wuhan Three Towns (+0.5) 43.7% 43.0% 54.0% 0.80× 2.33
Zhejiang Professional FC (-1.5) 35.3% 37.1% 25.3% 1.47× 2.70
Wuhan Three Towns (-0.5) 23.2% 21.5% 28.0% 0.77× 4.64
Zhejiang Professional FC (-2.5) 18.4% 17.6% 10.7% 1.64× 5.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to concede 89.6% 86.5% 86.1% 1.00× 1.16
Wuhan Three Towns clean sheet 10.4% 13.5% 13.9% 0.97× 7.42
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to concede in 1st half 62.2% 64.8% 1.54
Wuhan Three Towns clean sheet in 1st half 37.8% 35.2% 2.84
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns under 6.5 corners 85.8% 84.9% 1.18
Wuhan Three Towns under 5.5 corners 76.5% 75.8% 1.32
Wuhan Three Towns over 2.5 corners 71.1% 72.3% 1.38
Wuhan Three Towns under 4.5 corners 63.3% 61.4% 1.63
Wuhan Three Towns over 3.5 corners 53.3% 52.4% 1.91
Wuhan Three Towns under 3.5 corners 46.7% 47.6% 2.10
Wuhan Three Towns over 4.5 corners 36.7% 38.6% 2.59
Wuhan Three Towns under 2.5 corners 28.9% 27.7% 3.61
Wuhan Three Towns over 5.5 corners 23.5% 24.2% 4.13
Wuhan Three Towns over 6.5 corners 14.2% 15.1% 6.62
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns under 3.5 goals 94.5% 92.4% 92.9% 0.99× 1.08
Wuhan Three Towns under 2.5 goals 83.0% 81.5% 83.1% 0.98× 1.23
Wuhan Three Towns over 0.5 goals 75.7% 76.2% 72.7% 1.05× 1.31
Wuhan Three Towns under 1.5 goals 58.7% 59.6% 60.8% 0.98× 1.68
Wuhan Three Towns over 1.5 goals 41.3% 40.4% 39.2% 1.03× 2.48
Wuhan Three Towns under 0.5 goals 24.3% 23.8% 27.3% 0.87× 4.20
Wuhan Three Towns over 2.5 goals 17.0% 18.5% 16.9% 1.10× 5.40
Wuhan Three Towns over 3.5 goals 5.5% 7.6% 7.1% 1.08× 13.09
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns under 1.5 in 1st half 88.9% 89.6% 1.12
Wuhan Three Towns under 0.5 in 1st half 56.8% 62.9% 1.59
Wuhan Three Towns over 0.5 in 1st half 43.2% 37.1% 2.69
Wuhan Three Towns over 1.5 in 1st half 11.1% 10.4% 9.64
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (away no bet) 73.3% 68.6% 63.7% 1.08× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 26.7% 31.4% 36.3% 0.87× 3.18
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns even goals 53.0% 52.7% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Wuhan Three Towns odd goals 47.0% 47.3% 45.3% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 71.4% 77.1% 1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals 28.6% 22.9% 4.36
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 80.0% 73.0% 1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals 20.0% 27.0% 3.70
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 71.8% 71.8% 1.39
Zhejiang Professional FC to score 2+ in a row 55.5% 55.3% 1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row 33.2% 28.5% 3.50
Wuhan Three Towns to score 2+ in a row 28.4% 25.2% 3.97
Zhejiang Professional FC to score 3+ in a row 26.1% 25.1% 3.98
Wuhan Three Towns to score 3+ in a row 7.9% 5.6% 17.90
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (+3.5) 92.3% 88.7% 1.13
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (+2.5) 87.5% 84.2% 1.19
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (+1.5) 80.8% 80.0% 1.25
Wuhan Three Towns corners (+3.5) 69.7% 66.8% 1.50
Wuhan Three Towns corners (+2.5) 59.8% 56.8% 1.76
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (-1.5) 51.1% 52.3% 1.91
Wuhan Three Towns corners (+1.5) 48.9% 47.7% 2.10
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (-2.5) 40.2% 43.2% 2.32
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (-3.5) 30.3% 33.2% 3.01
Wuhan Three Towns corners (-1.5) 19.2% 20.0% 5.00
Wuhan Three Towns corners (-2.5) 12.5% 15.8% 6.32
Wuhan Three Towns corners (-3.5) 7.7% 11.3% 8.81
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 40.9% 37.0% 2.70
9-11 corners 29.9% 31.8% 3.15
12+ corners 29.2% 31.8% 3.15
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 78.4% 76.6% 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 70.8% 72.5% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 69.7% 67.9% 1.47
Under 10.5 corners 61.8% 62.7% 1.60
Over 8.5 corners 59.1% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 51.6% 52.2% 1.91
Over 9.5 corners 48.4% 47.8% 2.09
Under 8.5 corners 40.9% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 38.2% 37.3% 2.68
Under 7.5 corners 30.3% 32.1% 3.12
Over 11.5 corners 29.2% 27.5% 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 21.6% 23.4% 4.28
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 8.4% 7.4% 12.3% 0.60× 13.46
2-1 9.2% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.46
Any other score 9.2% 7.4% 4.8% 1.55× 13.46
3-1 6.9% 7.4% 6.2% 1.21× 13.46
1-0 5.4% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.46
1-2 5.7% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.46
2-0 6.5% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.46
2-2 6.5% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.46
3-0 4.9% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.56
3-2 4.9% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.56
0-0 2.8% 1.7% 4.3% 0.39× 58.58
0-1 3.3% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.57
0-2 2.5% 1.7% 3.0% 0.58× 58.58
0-3 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.59
0-4 0.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.50× 58.59
1-3 2.7% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.58
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.50× 58.59
2-3 3.1% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.57
2-4 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.25× 58.59
3-3 2.3% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.58
3-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.59
4-0 2.8% 1.7% 2.7% 0.62× 58.58
4-1 3.9% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.57
4-2 2.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.58
4-3 1.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.50× 58.59
4-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.9% 1.87× 58.59
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC leading at HT (DNB) 68.0% 73.6% 1.36
Wuhan Three Towns leading at HT (DNB) 32.0% 26.4% 3.79
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC or Wuhan Three Towns (12) 79.5% 75.6% 73.8% 1.02× 1.32
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw (1X) 76.8% 75.6% 72.0% 1.05× 1.32
Wuhan Three Towns or draw (X2) 43.7% 46.0% 54.0% 0.85× 2.18
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw at HT 79.3% 80.1% 1.25
Zhejiang Professional FC or Wuhan Three Towns at HT 64.9% 62.3% 1.61
Wuhan Three Towns or draw at HT 55.9% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw (1UP) 76.8% 83.9% 1.19
Wuhan Three Towns or draw (1UP) 45.4% 52.1% 1.92
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw in 2nd half 75.6% 76.9% 1.30
Zhejiang Professional FC or Wuhan Three Towns in 2nd half 71.1% 73.7% 1.36
Wuhan Three Towns or draw in 2nd half 53.3% 54.3% 1.84
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 53.5% 50.2% 1.99
Neither half drawn 46.5% 49.8% 2.01
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (DNB) 70.9% 71.4% 62.2% 1.15× 1.40
Wuhan Three Towns (DNB) 29.2% 28.6% 37.8% 0.76× 3.50
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to score first 59.8% 62.4% 1.60
Wuhan Three Towns to score first 37.4% 32.5% 3.08
No goal scored 2.8% 4.3% 23.13
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 68.1% 58.2% 63.1% 0.92× 1.72
Not both teams to score 31.9% 41.8% 36.9% 1.13× 2.39
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 59.7% 47.3% 51.0% 0.93× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 20.6% 27.7% 28.0% 0.99× 3.61
Not both score & over 2.5 11.3% 12.3% 9.1% 1.35× 8.11
Both score & under 2.5 8.4% 8.4% 12.3% 0.68× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 72.7% 80.6% 78.4% 1.03× 1.24
Both teams to score 2+ 27.3% 19.4% 21.6% 0.90× 5.14
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 58.5% 66.9% 1.50
Both teams to score in 2nd half 41.5% 33.1% 3.02
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 42.7% 50.0% 2.00
Both score 2nd half only 30.4% 27.0% 3.71
Both score 1st half only 15.8% 15.6% 6.42
Both score in both halves 11.1% 10.5% 9.56
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 73.1% 80.0% 1.25
Both teams to score by HT 26.9% 20.0% 5.00
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 69.4% 66.9% 1.49
A half without a goal 30.6% 33.1% 3.02
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 42.1% 42.1% 36.9% 1.14× 2.37
2-3 goals 38.4% 35.0% 41.2% 0.85× 2.86
0-1 goals 11.6% 16.9% 18.2% 0.93× 5.91
7+ goals 7.9% 7.6% 4.1% 1.86× 13.13
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to score exactly 1 34.4% 33.9% 33.7% 1.01× 2.95
Wuhan Three Towns to score exactly 0 24.3% 22.4% 27.3% 0.82× 4.47
Wuhan Three Towns to score exactly 2 24.3% 22.4% 22.6% 0.99× 4.47
Wuhan Three Towns to score 3+ 17.0% 19.5% 16.9% 1.16× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to score 3+ 39.3% 35.6% 26.2% 1.36× 2.81
Zhejiang Professional FC to score exactly 2 26.7% 26.5% 26.2% 1.01× 3.77
Zhejiang Professional FC to score exactly 1 23.6% 23.3% 34.2% 0.68× 4.30
Zhejiang Professional FC to score exactly 0 10.4% 14.3% 13.9% 1.03× 6.98
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC leading at HT 44.1% 43.2% 2.31
Draw at HT 35.1% 37.7% 2.65
Wuhan Three Towns leading at HT 20.7% 19.9% 5.03
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC -1: 2 43.7% 42.8% 2.34
Zhejiang Professional FC -1: 1 35.3% 37.3% 2.68
Zhejiang Professional FC -1: X 21.0% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (0:1) 43.7% 42.7% 54.0% 0.79× 2.34
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:1) 35.3% 37.2% 25.3% 1.47× 2.69
Draw (0:1) 21.0% 24.3% 21.0% 1.16× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (0:2) 64.7% 67.3% 74.7% 0.90× 1.49
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:2) 18.4% 15.3% 10.7% 1.43× 6.53
Draw (0:2) 16.8% 15.3% 14.8% 1.03× 6.53
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (0:3) 81.6% 85.0% 89.3% 0.95× 1.18
Draw (0:3) 10.3% 10.0% 5.9% 1.69× 10.01
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:3) 8.2% 5.8% 5.0% 1.16× 17.22
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (0:4) 91.8% 94.7% 95.0% 1.00× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 5.1% 4.6% 3.9% 1.18× 21.82
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:4) 3.1% 1.2% 1.4% 0.88× 83.11
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (1:0) 76.8% 78.5% 72.0% 1.09× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 13.0% 12.8% 16.4% 0.78× 7.80
Wuhan Three Towns (1:0) 10.1% 12.8% 11.8% 1.08× 7.82
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (2:0) 89.9% 88.4% 88.2% 1.00× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 6.6% 6.5% 7.1% 0.91× 15.50
Wuhan Three Towns (2:0) 3.5% 2.3% 5.0% 0.45× 44.18
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.2% 50.2% 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.5% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 21.2% 24.2% 4.13
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to concede 75.7% 75.8% 72.7% 1.04× 1.32
Zhejiang Professional FC clean sheet 24.3% 24.2% 27.3% 0.88× 4.14
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC clean sheet in 1st half 56.8% 62.9% 1.59
Zhejiang Professional FC to concede in 1st half 43.2% 37.1% 2.69
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC over 2.5 corners 87.0% 85.2% 1.17
Zhejiang Professional FC over 3.5 corners 75.4% 76.1% 1.31
Zhejiang Professional FC under 6.5 corners 64.9% 62.0% 1.61
Zhejiang Professional FC over 4.5 corners 61.7% 62.0% 1.61
Zhejiang Professional FC under 5.5 corners 52.2% 53.0% 1.89
Zhejiang Professional FC over 5.5 corners 47.8% 47.0% 2.13
Zhejiang Professional FC under 4.5 corners 38.3% 38.0% 2.63
Zhejiang Professional FC over 6.5 corners 35.1% 38.0% 2.63
Zhejiang Professional FC under 3.5 corners 24.6% 23.9% 4.19
Zhejiang Professional FC under 2.5 corners 13.0% 14.8% 6.76
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC over 0.5 goals 89.6% 87.2% 86.1% 1.01× 1.15
Zhejiang Professional FC under 3.5 goals 80.8% 82.1% 89.5% 0.92× 1.22
Zhejiang Professional FC over 1.5 goals 66.0% 67.9% 52.2% 1.30× 1.47
Zhejiang Professional FC under 2.5 goals 60.7% 63.4% 73.8% 0.86× 1.58
Zhejiang Professional FC over 2.5 goals 39.3% 36.6% 26.2% 1.40× 2.73
Zhejiang Professional FC under 1.5 goals 34.0% 32.1% 47.8% 0.67× 3.12
Zhejiang Professional FC over 3.5 goals 19.2% 17.9% 10.5% 1.71× 5.60
Zhejiang Professional FC under 0.5 goals 10.4% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.84
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC under 1.5 in 1st half 74.6% 79.6% 1.26
Zhejiang Professional FC over 0.5 in 1st half 62.2% 64.6% 1.55
Zhejiang Professional FC under 0.5 in 1st half 37.8% 35.4% 2.82
Zhejiang Professional FC over 1.5 in 1st half 25.4% 20.4% 4.91
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (home no bet) 53.0% 51.6% 51.7% 1.00× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 47.0% 48.4% 48.3% 1.00× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC even goals 50.5% 50.6% 48.3% 1.05× 1.98
Zhejiang Professional FC odd goals 49.5% 49.4% 51.7% 0.95× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 21.5% 24.2% 4.13
HT 1-0 20.8% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-1 12.1% 11.1% 9.05
HT 1-1 11.9% 11.0% 9.05
HT 2-0 10.2% 11.0% 9.07
Any other HT score 9.4% 7.1% 14.07
HT 2-1 5.7% 7.1% 14.13
HT 0-2 3.4% 2.2% 44.67
HT 1-2 3.3% 2.2% 44.68
HT 2-2 1.6% 2.2% 44.81
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC at HT / Zhejiang Professional FC at FT 36.3% 41.0% 2.44
Draw at HT / Zhejiang Professional FC at FT 16.2% 16.8% 5.96
Wuhan Three Towns at HT / Wuhan Three Towns at FT 12.3% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.5% 12.6% 7.91
Draw at HT / Wuhan Three Towns at FT 8.4% 6.0% 16.54
Zhejiang Professional FC at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.0% 16.63
Wuhan Three Towns at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.4% 29.10
Wuhan Three Towns at HT / Zhejiang Professional FC at FT 3.7% 3.4% 29.13
Zhejiang Professional FC at HT / Wuhan Three Towns at FT 2.4% 3.4% 29.19
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to score last 59.8% 56.7% 1.76
Wuhan Three Towns to score last 37.4% 38.3% 2.61
No goal scored 2.8% 4.3% 23.13
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 97.2% 95.6% 1.05
Zhejiang Professional FC to lead by 1 at any time 72.6% 74.1% 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 61.0% 61.4% 1.63
Wuhan Three Towns to lead by 1 at any time 45.4% 43.9% 2.28
Zhejiang Professional FC to lead by 2 at any time 44.3% 39.1% 2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 28.2% 25.2% 3.97
Zhejiang Professional FC to lead by 3 at any time 22.7% 19.6% 5.10
Wuhan Three Towns to lead by 2 at any time 17.4% 14.9% 6.70
Wuhan Three Towns to lead by 3 at any time 5.6% 6.5% 15.42
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC most corners 62.0% 58.8% 1.70
Wuhan Three Towns most corners 27.8% 32.0% 3.12
Corners level 10.2% 10.6% 9.40
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 80.6% 83.5% 84.7% 0.99× 1.20
2-6 goals 80.5% 83.5% 77.9% 1.07× 1.20
2-5 goals 71.8% 72.4% 70.8% 1.02× 1.38
1-4 goals 66.4% 69.0% 74.7% 0.92× 1.45
3-6 goals 63.1% 63.5% 56.0% 1.13× 1.58
2-4 goals 57.7% 59.2% 60.8% 0.97× 1.69
3-5 goals 54.4% 53.2% 49.0% 1.09× 1.88
1-3 goals 47.1% 48.7% 55.1% 0.88× 2.06
4-6 goals 42.1% 43.6% 36.9% 1.18× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.3% 43.6% 39.0% 1.12× 2.29
2-3 goals 38.4% 39.2% 41.2% 0.95× 2.55
4-5 goals 33.4% 35.4% 29.8% 1.19× 2.83
1-2 goals 26.2% 30.2% 36.0% 0.84× 3.31
5-6 goals 22.8% 24.4% 17.3% 1.41× 4.09
7+ goals 7.9% 8.7% 4.1% 2.13× 11.44
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC never behind 51.8% 62.5% 1.60
Wuhan Three Towns never behind 24.5% 24.6% 4.07
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.4% 50.8% 46.2% 1.10× 1.97
Even number of goals 50.6% 49.2% 53.8% 0.92× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.4% 51.5% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 47.6% 48.5% 2.06
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.9% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.1% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 97.2% 95.5% 95.7% 1.00× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 88.4% 87.7% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Under 5.5 goals 83.4% 82.4% 88.8% 0.93× 1.21
Over 2.5 goals 71.0% 72.5% 59.9% 1.21× 1.38
Under 4.5 goals 69.2% 66.3% 78.8% 0.84× 1.51
Over 3.5 goals 50.0% 52.4% 40.8% 1.29× 1.91
Under 3.5 goals 50.0% 47.6% 59.2% 0.80× 2.10
Over 4.5 goals 30.8% 33.7% 21.2% 1.59× 2.97
Under 2.5 goals 29.0% 27.5% 40.1% 0.69× 3.64
Over 5.5 goals 16.6% 17.6% 11.2% 1.58× 5.67
Under 1.5 goals 11.6% 12.3% 18.2% 0.68× 8.11
Under 0.5 goals 2.8% 4.5% 4.3% 1.04× 22.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 91.3% 92.5% 95.6% 0.97× 1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 86.0% 86.7% 76.7% 1.13× 1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 80.7% 81.1% 87.6% 0.93× 1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 63.3% 62.1% 50.4% 1.23× 1.61
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 61.9% 62.1% 73.7% 0.84× 1.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 38.1% 37.9% 26.3% 1.44× 2.64
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 36.7% 37.9% 49.6% 0.76× 2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 19.3% 18.9% 12.4% 1.52× 5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 14.0% 13.3% 23.3% 0.57× 7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 8.7% 7.5% 4.4% 1.71× 13.25
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 79.9% 78.8% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 78.5% 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half 54.5% 56.7% 1.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half 45.5% 43.3% 2.31
Under 0.5 in 1st half 21.5% 21.3% 4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half 20.1% 21.2% 4.71
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 88.1% 85.4% 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 64.0% 62.0% 1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 63.1% 61.9% 1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 36.9% 38.1% 2.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 36.0% 38.0% 2.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 11.9% 14.6% 6.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns not to score in both halves 75.3% 78.3% 1.28
Zhejiang Professional FC not to score in both halves 55.0% 57.0% 1.76
Zhejiang Professional FC to score in both halves 45.0% 43.0% 2.32
Wuhan Three Towns to score in both halves 24.7% 21.7% 4.61
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 68.1% 59.5% 63.1% 0.94× 1.68
Only Zhejiang Professional FC scores 21.5% 22.4% 23.2% 0.96× 4.47
Only Wuhan Three Towns scores 7.6% 7.2% 9.8% 0.73× 13.94
Neither team scores 2.8% 4.6% 4.3% 1.06× 21.77
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.0% 22.6% 19.4% 1.17× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 19.3% 17.5% 19.8% 0.88× 5.73
Exactly 2 goals 17.4% 17.5% 22.1% 0.79× 5.73
6 or more goals 16.6% 17.5% 11.2% 1.56× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 14.2% 12.1% 10.3% 1.18× 8.29
Exactly 1 goals 8.7% 7.6% 14.1% 0.54× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 2.8% 4.4% 4.3% 1.02× 22.63
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 63.1% 58.8% 1.70
1 goal in 2nd half 25.0% 29.5% 3.39
No goals in 2nd half 11.9% 14.4% 6.93
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns not to win both halves 94.9% 94.0% 1.06
Zhejiang Professional FC not to win both halves 79.3% 75.5% 1.33
Zhejiang Professional FC to win both halves 20.7% 24.5% 4.08
Wuhan Three Towns to win both halves 5.1% 6.0% 16.75
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to win either half 70.1% 72.8% 1.37
Wuhan Three Towns to win neither half 59.9% 59.5% 1.68
Wuhan Three Towns to win either half 40.1% 40.5% 2.47
Zhejiang Professional FC to win neither half 29.9% 27.2% 3.68
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wuhan Three Towns not to win to nil 92.4% 92.0% 90.2% 1.02× 1.09
Zhejiang Professional FC not to win to nil 78.5% 78.0% 76.8% 1.02× 1.28
Zhejiang Professional FC to win to nil 21.5% 22.0% 23.2% 0.95× 4.55
Wuhan Three Towns to win to nil 7.6% 8.0% 9.8% 0.81× 12.56
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC by 1 21.0% 24.1% 21.0% 1.15× 4.14
Draw 20.5% 24.1% 26.2% 0.92× 4.14
Zhejiang Professional FC by 3+ 18.4% 16.9% 10.7% 1.58× 5.90
Zhejiang Professional FC by 2 16.8% 16.9% 14.8% 1.14× 5.90
Wuhan Three Towns by 1 13.0% 11.8% 16.4% 0.72× 8.46
Wuhan Three Towns by 2 6.6% 7.2% 7.1% 1.03× 13.81
Wuhan Three Towns by 3+ 3.5% 2.7% 5.0% 0.54× 36.96
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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