Elina Svitolina v Anna Kalinskaya — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · WTA · 2026

WTA Tour results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:04

Elina Svitolina

21:00

Anna Kalinskaya

AI prediction

serve-hold No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Elina Svitolina win

76.7%

Draw

0.0%

Anna Kalinskaya win

23.3%

77023

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
serve-hold	77023	13.21–10.18	2-0 47%	44%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Deciding set 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Match decided before the last set	57.0%	56.8%	66.1%	0.86×	1.76
Match to reach a 3rd set	43.0%	37.7%	33.9%	1.11×	2.65

First set 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elina Svitolina to win the first set	68.7%	57.8%	50.7%	1.14×	1.73
Anna Kalinskaya to win the first set	31.3%	42.2%	49.3%	0.86×	2.37

First set / match 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elina Svitolina first set and match	61.9%	51.7%	42.5%	1.22×	1.93
Anna Kalinskaya first set and match	16.5%	30.3%	39.7%	0.76×	3.30
Anna Kalinskaya first set, Elina Svitolina match	14.8%	11.7%	9.6%	1.23×	8.54
Elina Svitolina first set, Anna Kalinskaya match	6.7%	9.0%	8.2%	1.09×	11.14

Games handicap 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elina Svitolina +8.5 games	99.4%	95.6%	94.4%	1.01×	1.05
Elina Svitolina +9.5 games	99.7%	95.6%	97.6%	0.98×	1.05
Elina Svitolina +7.5 games	98.8%	95.6%	90.2%	1.06×	1.05
Elina Svitolina +6.5 games	97.7%	95.6%	83.7%	1.14×	1.05
Elina Svitolina +5.5 games	96.2%	95.6%	76.4%	1.25×	1.05
Elina Svitolina +4.5 games	94.2%	87.5%	70.0%	1.25×	1.14
Anna Kalinskaya +9.5 games	93.5%	87.5%	97.2%	0.90×	1.14
Elina Svitolina +3.5 games	91.5%	87.5%	63.5%	1.38×	1.14
Anna Kalinskaya +8.5 games	89.4%	80.3%	94.2%	0.85×	1.25
Elina Svitolina +2.5 games	88.3%	80.3%	59.2%	1.36×	1.25
Elina Svitolina +1.5 games	84.3%	74.5%	55.9%	1.33×	1.34
Anna Kalinskaya +7.5 games	83.7%	74.5%	89.2%	0.84×	1.34
Anna Kalinskaya +6.5 games	76.4%	69.9%	82.1%	0.85×	1.43
Anna Kalinskaya +5.5 games	68.1%	61.1%	74.3%	0.82×	1.64
Elina Svitolina −1.5 games	63.1%	57.6%	48.3%	1.19×	1.74
Anna Kalinskaya +4.5 games	59.7%	53.6%	66.4%	0.81×	1.87
Elina Svitolina −2.5 games	56.1%	53.6%	45.0%	1.19×	1.87
Anna Kalinskaya +3.5 games	51.3%	50.7%	59.8%	0.85×	1.97
Elina Svitolina −3.5 games	48.7%	49.3%	40.2%	1.23×	2.03
Anna Kalinskaya +2.5 games	43.9%	46.5%	55.0%	0.84×	2.15
Elina Svitolina −4.5 games	40.3%	46.4%	33.6%	1.38×	2.16
Anna Kalinskaya +1.5 games	36.9%	42.4%	51.7%	0.82×	2.36
Elina Svitolina −5.5 games	31.9%	38.9%	25.7%	1.51×	2.57
Elina Svitolina −6.5 games	23.6%	30.1%	17.9%	1.68×	3.32
Elina Svitolina −7.5 games	16.3%	25.5%	10.8%	2.37×	3.93
Anna Kalinskaya −1.5 games	15.7%	25.5%	44.1%	0.58×	3.93
Anna Kalinskaya −2.5 games	11.7%	19.7%	40.8%	0.48×	5.08
Elina Svitolina −8.5 games	10.6%	19.7%	5.8%	3.42×	5.08
Anna Kalinskaya −3.5 games	8.5%	12.5%	36.5%	0.34×	7.97
Elina Svitolina −9.5 games	6.5%	12.5%	2.8%	4.44×	7.98
Anna Kalinskaya −4.5 games	5.8%	12.5%	30.0%	0.42×	7.98
Anna Kalinskaya −5.5 games	3.8%	4.4%	23.6%	0.19×	22.88
Anna Kalinskaya −6.5 games	2.3%	4.4%	16.3%	0.27×	22.90
Anna Kalinskaya −7.5 games	1.2%	4.4%	9.8%	0.44×	22.90
Anna Kalinskaya −8.5 games	0.6%	4.4%	5.6%	0.78×	22.91
Anna Kalinskaya −9.5 games	0.3%	4.4%	2.4%	1.81×	22.91

Match winner 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elina Svitolina to win	76.7%	65.4%	52.1%	1.26×	1.53
Anna Kalinskaya to win	23.3%	34.6%	47.9%	0.72×	2.89

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of games	49.7%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Even number of games	50.3%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02

Set handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anna Kalinskaya +2.5 sets	100.0%	98.3%	100.0%	0.98×	1.02
Elina Svitolina +2.5 sets	100.0%	98.3%	100.0%	0.98×	1.02
Elina Svitolina +1.5 sets	90.2%	85.9%	68.4%	1.26×	1.16
Anna Kalinskaya +1.5 sets	52.8%	55.5%	65.4%	0.85×	1.80
Elina Svitolina −1.5 sets	47.2%	44.5%	34.6%	1.29×	2.25
Anna Kalinskaya −1.5 sets	9.8%	14.1%	31.6%	0.45×	7.10
Elina Svitolina −2.5 sets	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%	78.68×	58.93
Anna Kalinskaya −2.5 sets	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%	78.68×	58.93

Set score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Elina Svitolina to win 2-0	47.2%	38.6%	34.6%	1.12×	2.59
Elina Svitolina to win 2-1	29.5%	21.8%	17.5%	1.24×	4.60
Anna Kalinskaya to win 2-1	13.5%	18.4%	16.4%	1.12×	5.45
Anna Kalinskaya to win 2-0	9.8%	12.2%	31.6%	0.39×	8.19

Straight sets 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Match in straight sets	57.0%	55.3%	66.1%	0.84×	1.81
Elina Svitolina in straight sets	47.2%	42.5%	34.6%	1.23×	2.35
At least one set dropped	43.0%	39.9%	33.9%	1.18×	2.51
Anna Kalinskaya in straight sets	9.8%	13.1%	31.6%	0.41×	7.66

Total games 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 15.5 games	95.8%	93.4%	89.2%	1.05×	1.07
Under 31.5 games	90.6%	88.8%	93.4%	0.95×	1.13
Over 17.5 games	83.8%	79.1%	71.7%	1.10×	1.27
Under 29.5 games	82.2%	79.1%	86.8%	0.91×	1.27
Under 27.5 games	72.5%	73.6%	79.2%	0.93×	1.36
Over 19.5 games	68.1%	66.2%	54.3%	1.22×	1.51
Under 26.5 games	67.9%	66.2%	75.9%	0.87×	1.51
Under 25.5 games	63.0%	60.6%	72.0%	0.84×	1.65
Over 20.5 games	61.2%	60.6%	47.3%	1.28×	1.65
Under 24.5 games	58.4%	57.5%	68.6%	0.84×	1.74
Over 21.5 games	55.7%	57.5%	42.6%	1.35×	1.74
Under 23.5 games	55.7%	57.5%	66.2%	0.87×	1.74
Under 22.5 games	51.1%	52.0%	62.3%	0.83×	1.92
Over 22.5 games	48.9%	48.0%	37.7%	1.27×	2.08
Over 23.5 games	44.3%	42.5%	33.8%	1.26×	2.35
Under 21.5 games	44.3%	42.5%	57.4%	0.74×	2.35
Over 24.5 games	41.6%	42.5%	31.4%	1.35×	2.35
Under 20.5 games	38.8%	39.4%	52.8%	0.75×	2.54
Over 25.5 games	37.0%	39.4%	28.0%	1.41×	2.54
Over 26.5 games	32.1%	33.8%	24.1%	1.40×	2.96
Under 19.5 games	31.9%	33.8%	45.7%	0.74×	2.96
Over 27.5 games	27.5%	26.4%	20.8%	1.27×	3.79
Over 29.5 games	17.8%	20.9%	13.2%	1.59×	4.78
Under 17.5 games	16.2%	20.9%	28.3%	0.74×	4.78
Over 31.5 games	9.4%	11.2%	6.6%	1.69×	8.94
Under 15.5 games	4.2%	6.6%	10.8%	0.61×	15.20

Total sets 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 sets	57.0%	56.8%	66.1%	0.86×	1.76
Exactly 3 sets	43.0%	37.7%	33.9%	1.11×	2.65

Elina Svitolina v Anna Kalinskaya — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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