Iva Jovic v Alexandra Eala — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · WTA · 2026

WTA Tour results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:04

Iva Jovic

00:00

Alexandra Eala

AI prediction

serve-hold No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Iva Jovic win

55.0%

Draw

0.0%

Alexandra Eala win

45.0%

55045

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
serve-hold	55045	12.48–11.94	2-0 28%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Deciding set 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Match decided before the last set	50.2%	56.8%	66.1%	0.86×	1.76
Match to reach a 3rd set	49.8%	39.2%	33.9%	1.15×	2.55

First set 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iva Jovic to win the first set	53.3%	50.6%	50.7%	1.00×	1.98
Alexandra Eala to win the first set	46.7%	49.4%	49.3%	1.00×	2.02

First set / match 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iva Jovic first set and match	41.7%	42.2%	42.5%	0.99×	2.37
Alexandra Eala first set and match	33.4%	35.1%	39.7%	0.88×	2.85
Alexandra Eala first set, Iva Jovic match	13.3%	11.7%	9.6%	1.23×	8.54
Iva Jovic first set, Alexandra Eala match	11.6%	11.7%	8.2%	1.42×	8.55

Games handicap 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iva Jovic +9.5 games	98.5%	95.6%	97.6%	0.98×	1.05
Iva Jovic +8.5 games	97.3%	95.6%	94.4%	1.01×	1.05
Alexandra Eala +9.5 games	97.5%	95.6%	97.2%	0.98×	1.05
Iva Jovic +7.5 games	95.4%	95.6%	90.2%	1.06×	1.05
Alexandra Eala +8.5 games	95.7%	95.6%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Alexandra Eala +7.5 games	92.9%	87.5%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Iva Jovic +6.5 games	92.7%	87.5%	83.7%	1.04×	1.14
Iva Jovic +5.5 games	88.9%	80.3%	76.4%	1.05×	1.25
Alexandra Eala +6.5 games	89.0%	80.3%	82.1%	0.98×	1.25
Iva Jovic +4.5 games	84.5%	74.5%	70.0%	1.06×	1.34
Alexandra Eala +5.5 games	84.0%	74.5%	74.3%	1.00×	1.34
Iva Jovic +3.5 games	79.1%	69.9%	63.5%	1.10×	1.43
Alexandra Eala +4.5 games	78.3%	69.9%	66.4%	1.05×	1.43
Iva Jovic +2.5 games	73.4%	65.2%	59.2%	1.10×	1.54
Alexandra Eala +3.5 games	71.8%	65.1%	59.8%	1.09×	1.54
Iva Jovic +1.5 games	67.0%	61.1%	55.9%	1.09×	1.64
Alexandra Eala +2.5 games	65.2%	61.1%	55.0%	1.11×	1.64
Alexandra Eala +1.5 games	58.1%	53.6%	51.7%	1.04×	1.87
Iva Jovic −1.5 games	41.9%	46.4%	48.3%	0.96×	2.15
Iva Jovic −2.5 games	34.8%	38.9%	45.0%	0.87×	2.57
Alexandra Eala −1.5 games	33.0%	38.9%	44.1%	0.88×	2.57
Iva Jovic −3.5 games	28.2%	34.9%	40.2%	0.87×	2.87
Alexandra Eala −2.5 games	26.6%	34.8%	40.8%	0.85×	2.87
Iva Jovic −4.5 games	21.7%	30.1%	33.6%	0.90×	3.32
Alexandra Eala −3.5 games	20.9%	30.1%	36.5%	0.82×	3.33
Iva Jovic −5.5 games	16.0%	25.5%	25.7%	0.99×	3.93
Alexandra Eala −4.5 games	15.5%	25.5%	30.0%	0.85×	3.93
Alexandra Eala −5.5 games	11.1%	19.7%	23.6%	0.84×	5.08
Iva Jovic −6.5 games	11.0%	19.7%	17.9%	1.10×	5.08
Alexandra Eala −6.5 games	7.4%	12.5%	16.3%	0.77×	7.98
Iva Jovic −7.5 games	7.1%	12.5%	10.8%	1.17×	7.98
Alexandra Eala −7.5 games	4.6%	4.4%	9.8%	0.44×	22.88
Iva Jovic −8.5 games	4.3%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.88
Alexandra Eala −8.5 games	2.7%	4.4%	5.6%	0.79×	22.89
Iva Jovic −9.5 games	2.5%	4.4%	2.8%	1.55×	22.89
Alexandra Eala −9.5 games	1.5%	4.4%	2.4%	1.81×	22.90

Match winner 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iva Jovic to win	55.0%	52.5%	52.1%	1.01×	1.91
Alexandra Eala to win	45.0%	47.5%	47.9%	0.99×	2.11

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of games	49.7%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Even number of games	50.3%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02

Set handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alexandra Eala +2.5 sets	100.0%	98.3%	100.0%	0.98×	1.02
Iva Jovic +2.5 sets	100.0%	98.3%	100.0%	0.98×	1.02
Iva Jovic +1.5 sets	78.2%	72.4%	68.4%	1.06×	1.38
Alexandra Eala +1.5 sets	71.6%	68.2%	65.4%	1.04×	1.47
Iva Jovic −1.5 sets	28.4%	31.8%	34.6%	0.92×	3.14
Alexandra Eala −1.5 sets	21.8%	27.6%	31.6%	0.87×	3.63
Iva Jovic −2.5 sets	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%	78.68×	58.93
Alexandra Eala −2.5 sets	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%	78.68×	58.93

Set score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iva Jovic to win 2-0	28.4%	21.8%	34.6%	0.63×	4.60
Iva Jovic to win 2-1	26.6%	21.7%	17.5%	1.24×	4.60
Alexandra Eala to win 2-1	23.2%	20.1%	16.4%	1.22×	4.99
Alexandra Eala to win 2-0	21.8%	20.0%	31.6%	0.64×	4.99

Straight sets 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Match in straight sets	50.2%	56.2%	66.1%	0.85×	1.78
At least one set dropped	49.8%	42.6%	33.9%	1.26×	2.35
Iva Jovic in straight sets	28.4%	28.9%	34.6%	0.83×	3.47
Alexandra Eala in straight sets	21.8%	25.9%	31.6%	0.82×	3.86

Total games 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 16.5 games	93.5%	88.8%	81.3%	1.09×	1.13
Under 32.5 games	91.5%	88.8%	95.4%	0.93×	1.13
Under 30.5 games	82.2%	79.1%	90.4%	0.87×	1.27
Over 18.5 games	81.1%	79.1%	62.5%	1.27×	1.27
Under 28.5 games	71.0%	73.6%	83.2%	0.89×	1.36
Over 20.5 games	67.7%	66.2%	47.3%	1.40×	1.51
Under 27.5 games	65.5%	66.2%	79.2%	0.84×	1.51
Over 21.5 games	62.7%	60.6%	42.6%	1.42×	1.65
Under 26.5 games	60.5%	60.6%	75.9%	0.80×	1.65
Over 22.5 games	56.2%	57.5%	37.7%	1.53×	1.74
Under 25.5 games	55.5%	57.5%	72.0%	0.80×	1.74
Over 23.5 games	51.6%	52.0%	33.8%	1.54×	1.92
Under 24.5 games	50.9%	52.0%	68.6%	0.76×	1.92
Over 24.5 games	49.1%	48.0%	31.4%	1.53×	2.08
Under 23.5 games	48.4%	48.0%	66.2%	0.73×	2.08
Over 25.5 games	44.5%	42.5%	28.0%	1.52×	2.35
Under 22.5 games	43.8%	42.5%	62.3%	0.68×	2.35
Over 26.5 games	39.5%	39.4%	24.1%	1.64×	2.54
Under 21.5 games	37.3%	39.4%	57.4%	0.69×	2.54
Over 27.5 games	34.5%	33.9%	20.8%	1.63×	2.95
Under 20.5 games	32.3%	33.8%	52.8%	0.64×	2.96
Over 28.5 games	29.0%	26.4%	16.8%	1.57×	3.79
Under 18.5 games	18.9%	20.9%	37.5%	0.56×	4.78
Over 30.5 games	17.8%	20.9%	9.6%	2.19×	4.78
Over 32.5 games	8.5%	11.2%	4.6%	2.43×	8.94
Under 16.5 games	6.5%	11.2%	18.7%	0.60×	8.95

Total sets 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 sets	50.2%	56.8%	66.1%	0.86×	1.76
Exactly 3 sets	49.8%	39.2%	33.9%	1.15×	2.55

Iva Jovic v Alexandra Eala — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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