Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 14 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Boston Celtics

19:30

Charlotte Hornets

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Boston Celtics win

61.5%

Draw

0.0%

Charlotte Hornets win

38.5%

62038

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	62038	109.72–105.58	110-106 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to score 100+	80.7%	79.2%	89.3%	0.89×	1.26
Charlotte Hornets to score 100+	69.6%	63.9%	85.9%	0.74×	1.57
Both sides to score 100+	58.2%	56.4%	77.5%	0.73×	1.77
Boston Celtics to score 110+	51.0%	52.3%	67.0%	0.78×	1.91
Charlotte Hornets to score 110+	36.7%	36.0%	60.9%	0.59×	2.78
Boston Celtics to score 120+	20.6%	22.0%	36.5%	0.60×	4.56
Charlotte Hornets to score 120+	11.7%	13.8%	29.7%	0.47×	7.24
Boston Celtics to score 130+	4.7%	0.4%	12.8%	0.03×	282.43
Charlotte Hornets to score 130+	2.0%	0.4%	10.0%	0.04×	282.96

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win H1	55.8%	57.3%	52.8%	1.08×	1.75
Charlotte Hornets to win H1	40.8%	42.7%	44.1%	0.97×	2.34
H1 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 99.5	82.4%	83.2%	88.5%	0.94×	1.20
H1 under 123.5	81.5%	83.2%	76.0%	1.10×	1.20
H1 over 96.5	82.5%	82.5%	92.5%	0.89×	1.21
H1 under 120.5	81.9%	82.5%	68.4%	1.21×	1.21
H1 under 119.5	72.3%	74.0%	65.9%	1.12×	1.35
H1 over 100.5	73.5%	73.5%	86.8%	0.85×	1.36
H1 under 116.5	72.7%	73.5%	56.6%	1.30×	1.36
H1 over 106.5	65.5%	68.0%	73.3%	0.93×	1.47
H1 over 103.5	65.4%	67.4%	80.7%	0.84×	1.48
H1 under 113.5	64.5%	62.7%	47.6%	1.32×	1.59
H1 over 105.5	59.6%	58.2%	75.8%	0.77×	1.72
H1 under 111.5	58.6%	58.2%	41.0%	1.42×	1.72
H1 under 114.5	58.4%	58.1%	50.4%	1.15×	1.72
H1 over 107.5	53.6%	52.6%	70.4%	0.75×	1.90
H1 under 109.5	52.6%	52.6%	35.0%	1.50×	1.90
H1 over 108.5	50.5%	52.6%	67.7%	0.78×	1.90
H1 over 110.5	53.7%	52.5%	61.9%	0.85×	1.90
H1 under 112.5	52.3%	52.5%	44.2%	1.19×	1.90
H1 over 112.5	47.7%	47.5%	55.8%	0.85×	2.11
H1 under 110.5	46.3%	47.5%	38.1%	1.25×	2.11
H1 under 108.5	49.5%	47.4%	32.3%	1.46×	2.11
H1 under 107.5	46.4%	47.4%	29.6%	1.60×	2.11
H1 over 109.5	47.4%	47.4%	65.0%	0.73×	2.11
H1 over 114.5	41.6%	41.9%	49.6%	0.84×	2.39
H1 over 111.5	41.4%	41.8%	59.0%	0.71×	2.39
H1 under 105.5	40.4%	41.8%	24.2%	1.72×	2.39
H1 over 113.5	35.5%	37.3%	52.4%	0.71×	2.68
H1 under 103.5	34.6%	32.6%	19.3%	1.69×	3.07
H1 under 106.5	34.5%	32.0%	26.7%	1.20×	3.13
H1 over 116.5	27.3%	26.5%	43.4%	0.61×	3.77
H1 under 100.5	26.5%	26.5%	13.2%	2.02×	3.77
H1 over 119.5	27.7%	26.0%	34.1%	0.76×	3.84
H1 over 120.5	18.1%	17.5%	31.6%	0.55×	5.73
H1 under 96.5	17.5%	17.5%	7.5%	2.34×	5.73
H1 over 123.5	18.5%	16.8%	24.0%	0.70×	5.96
H1 under 99.5	17.6%	16.8%	11.5%	1.46×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win H2	55.7%	55.0%	51.6%	1.07×	1.82
Charlotte Hornets to win H2	40.8%	43.5%	44.7%	0.97×	2.30
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 94.5	82.7%	81.8%	91.3%	0.90×	1.22
H2 under 118.5	82.1%	81.8%	63.6%	1.29×	1.22
H2 over 97.5	82.5%	81.5%	87.7%	0.93×	1.23
H2 under 121.5	81.9%	81.5%	72.0%	1.13×	1.23
H2 under 117.5	72.7%	72.5%	61.1%	1.19×	1.38
H2 over 98.5	73.6%	72.2%	86.2%	0.84×	1.39
H2 under 114.5	72.9%	72.2%	52.5%	1.37×	1.39
H2 over 101.5	65.5%	66.4%	80.3%	0.83×	1.51
H2 over 104.5	65.4%	64.4%	73.9%	0.87×	1.55
H2 under 111.5	64.7%	61.6%	44.7%	1.38×	1.62
H2 under 112.5	58.7%	58.0%	47.4%	1.22×	1.72
H2 over 103.5	59.6%	57.3%	76.2%	0.75×	1.74
H2 under 109.5	58.8%	57.3%	39.1%	1.47×	1.74
H2 over 105.5	53.5%	52.4%	71.3%	0.73×	1.91
H2 under 107.5	52.7%	52.4%	33.8%	1.55×	1.91
H2 over 106.5	50.4%	52.4%	68.8%	0.76×	1.91
H2 over 108.5	53.5%	52.1%	63.8%	0.82×	1.92
H2 under 110.5	52.6%	52.0%	41.9%	1.24×	1.92
H2 over 110.5	47.4%	48.0%	58.1%	0.82×	2.09
H2 under 108.5	46.5%	47.9%	36.2%	1.32×	2.09
H2 under 106.5	49.6%	47.6%	31.2%	1.53×	2.10
H2 over 107.5	47.3%	47.6%	66.2%	0.72×	2.10
H2 under 105.5	46.5%	47.6%	28.7%	1.66×	2.10
H2 over 109.5	41.2%	42.7%	60.9%	0.70×	2.34
H2 under 103.5	40.4%	42.7%	23.8%	1.79×	2.35
H2 over 112.5	41.3%	42.0%	52.6%	0.80×	2.38
H2 over 111.5	35.3%	38.4%	55.3%	0.69×	2.61
H2 under 104.5	34.6%	35.6%	26.1%	1.36×	2.81
H2 under 101.5	34.5%	33.6%	19.7%	1.71×	2.97
H2 over 114.5	27.1%	27.8%	47.5%	0.59×	3.59
H2 under 98.5	26.4%	27.8%	13.8%	2.01×	3.59
H2 over 117.5	27.3%	27.5%	38.9%	0.71×	3.63
H2 over 121.5	18.1%	18.5%	28.0%	0.66×	5.41
H2 under 97.5	17.5%	18.5%	12.3%	1.50×	5.41
H2 over 118.5	17.9%	18.2%	36.4%	0.50×	5.50
H2 under 94.5	17.3%	18.2%	8.7%	2.09×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics leading at half time	55.8%	56.9%	52.8%	1.08×	1.76
Charlotte Hornets leading at half time	40.8%	42.8%	44.1%	0.97×	2.34
Level at half time	3.4%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics +20.5	95.4%	97.4%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Boston Celtics +18.5	93.9%	91.1%	91.5%	1.00×	1.10
Boston Celtics +16.5	92.1%	91.1%	89.7%	1.02×	1.10
Boston Celtics +14.5	89.8%	85.9%	87.0%	0.99×	1.16
Boston Celtics +12.5	87.1%	85.9%	83.9%	1.02×	1.16
Charlotte Hornets +20.5	86.7%	85.9%	89.1%	0.96×	1.16
Boston Celtics +10.5	83.9%	81.1%	80.3%	1.01×	1.23
Charlotte Hornets +18.5	83.5%	81.1%	86.4%	0.94×	1.23
Boston Celtics +9.5	82.2%	81.1%	78.1%	1.04×	1.23
Boston Celtics +8.5	80.3%	81.1%	75.7%	1.07×	1.23
Charlotte Hornets +16.5	79.8%	76.5%	83.5%	0.92×	1.31
Boston Celtics +7.5	78.3%	76.5%	73.0%	1.05×	1.31
Boston Celtics +6.5	76.2%	76.5%	70.6%	1.08×	1.31
Charlotte Hornets +14.5	75.6%	76.5%	80.1%	0.95×	1.31
Boston Celtics +5.5	74.0%	71.6%	68.0%	1.05×	1.40
Boston Celtics +4.5	71.7%	71.6%	65.7%	1.09×	1.40
Charlotte Hornets +12.5	71.0%	71.6%	76.0%	0.94×	1.40
Boston Celtics +3.5	69.3%	66.7%	63.1%	1.06×	1.50
Boston Celtics +2.5	66.8%	66.7%	60.5%	1.10×	1.50
Charlotte Hornets +10.5	66.1%	66.7%	71.0%	0.94×	1.50
Boston Celtics +1.5	64.2%	61.9%	57.9%	1.07×	1.62
Charlotte Hornets +9.5	63.5%	61.9%	68.7%	0.90×	1.62
Charlotte Hornets +8.5	60.8%	61.9%	65.9%	0.94×	1.62
Boston Celtics −1.5	58.8%	57.1%	53.7%	1.06×	1.75
Charlotte Hornets +7.5	58.1%	57.1%	63.0%	0.91×	1.75
Boston Celtics −2.5	56.0%	57.1%	50.9%	1.12×	1.75
Charlotte Hornets +6.5	55.3%	57.1%	60.0%	0.95×	1.75
Boston Celtics −3.5	53.2%	52.4%	48.4%	1.08×	1.91
Charlotte Hornets +5.5	52.5%	52.4%	57.1%	0.92×	1.91
Boston Celtics −4.5	50.3%	52.4%	46.0%	1.14×	1.91
Charlotte Hornets +4.5	49.7%	47.6%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Boston Celtics −5.5	47.5%	47.6%	42.9%	1.11×	2.10
Charlotte Hornets +3.5	46.8%	47.6%	51.6%	0.92×	2.10
Charlotte Hornets +2.5	44.0%	42.9%	49.1%	0.88×	2.33
Boston Celtics −6.5	44.7%	42.9%	40.0%	1.07×	2.33
Charlotte Hornets +1.5	41.2%	42.9%	46.3%	0.93×	2.33
Boston Celtics −7.5	41.9%	42.9%	37.0%	1.16×	2.33
Boston Celtics −8.5	39.2%	38.1%	34.1%	1.12×	2.63
Boston Celtics −9.5	36.5%	38.1%	31.3%	1.22×	2.63
Charlotte Hornets −1.5	35.8%	38.1%	42.1%	0.90×	2.63
Boston Celtics −10.5	33.9%	33.3%	29.0%	1.15×	3.01
Charlotte Hornets −2.5	33.2%	33.3%	39.5%	0.84×	3.01
Charlotte Hornets −3.5	30.7%	33.3%	36.9%	0.90×	3.01
Charlotte Hornets −4.5	28.3%	28.4%	34.3%	0.83×	3.53
Boston Celtics −12.5	29.0%	28.4%	24.0%	1.18×	3.53
Charlotte Hornets −5.5	26.0%	28.4%	32.0%	0.89×	3.53
Boston Celtics −14.5	24.4%	23.5%	19.9%	1.19×	4.25
Charlotte Hornets −6.5	23.8%	23.5%	29.4%	0.80×	4.25
Charlotte Hornets −7.5	21.7%	23.5%	27.0%	0.87×	4.25
Boston Celtics −16.5	20.2%	23.5%	16.5%	1.43×	4.25
Charlotte Hornets −8.5	19.7%	18.9%	24.3%	0.78×	5.29
Charlotte Hornets −9.5	17.8%	18.9%	21.9%	0.86×	5.29
Charlotte Hornets −10.5	16.1%	18.9%	19.7%	0.96×	5.30
Boston Celtics −18.5	16.5%	18.9%	13.6%	1.39×	5.30
Boston Celtics −20.5	13.3%	14.1%	10.9%	1.30×	7.09
Charlotte Hornets −12.5	12.9%	14.1%	16.1%	0.87×	7.09
Charlotte Hornets −14.5	10.2%	14.1%	13.0%	1.09×	7.09
Charlotte Hornets −16.5	7.9%	8.9%	10.3%	0.86×	11.25
Charlotte Hornets −18.5	6.1%	8.9%	8.5%	1.04×	11.25
Charlotte Hornets −20.5	4.6%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	38.72

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.3%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.7%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.7%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.5%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.6%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics at HT / Boston Celtics at FT	45.3%	46.6%	40.8%	1.14×	2.15
Charlotte Hornets at HT / Charlotte Hornets at FT	26.6%	29.6%	30.9%	0.96×	3.38
Charlotte Hornets at HT / Boston Celtics at FT	14.2%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Boston Celtics at HT / Charlotte Hornets at FT	10.5%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.18
Level at HT / Boston Celtics at FT	2.0%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.76
Level at HT / Charlotte Hornets at FT	1.4%	2.1%	1.4%	1.49×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win	61.5%	60.6%	55.7%	1.09×	1.65
Charlotte Hornets to win	38.5%	39.4%	44.3%	0.89×	2.54

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.4%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Charlotte Hornets even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Boston Celtics even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Charlotte Hornets odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Boston Celtics odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Total points even	48.6%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.1%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.9%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q1	52.8%	52.6%	51.3%	1.02×	1.90
Charlotte Hornets to win Q1	42.5%	42.9%	44.1%	0.97×	2.33
Q1 tied	4.7%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 64.5	84.0%	83.2%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
Q1 over 48.5	81.0%	83.2%	85.6%	0.97×	1.20
Q1 under 62.5	82.8%	82.8%	72.9%	1.14×	1.21
Q1 over 46.5	82.6%	82.8%	90.2%	0.92×	1.21
Q1 under 61.5	74.0%	73.1%	68.5%	1.07×	1.37
Q1 under 59.5	72.3%	72.7%	60.0%	1.21×	1.38
Q1 over 49.5	72.1%	72.7%	82.7%	0.88×	1.38
Q1 under 57.5	63.9%	61.7%	50.4%	1.22×	1.62
Q1 over 51.5	63.7%	61.7%	76.0%	0.81×	1.62
Q1 under 56.5	52.3%	52.7%	45.4%	1.16×	1.90
Q1 under 55.5	54.8%	52.7%	40.8%	1.29×	1.90
Q1 over 53.5	54.6%	52.7%	68.2%	0.77×	1.90
Q1 under 54.5	50.1%	52.7%	36.7%	1.43×	1.90
Q1 over 54.5	49.9%	47.3%	63.3%	0.75×	2.11
Q1 under 53.5	45.4%	47.3%	31.8%	1.49×	2.11
Q1 over 55.5	45.2%	47.3%	59.2%	0.80×	2.11
Q1 over 56.5	47.7%	47.3%	54.6%	0.87×	2.11
Q1 under 51.5	36.3%	38.3%	24.0%	1.59×	2.61
Q1 over 57.5	36.1%	38.3%	49.6%	0.77×	2.61
Q1 under 49.5	27.9%	27.3%	17.3%	1.58×	3.66
Q1 over 59.5	27.7%	27.3%	40.0%	0.68×	3.66
Q1 over 61.5	26.0%	26.9%	31.5%	0.85×	3.72
Q1 under 46.5	17.4%	17.2%	9.8%	1.75×	5.83
Q1 over 62.5	17.2%	17.2%	27.1%	0.63×	5.83
Q1 under 48.5	19.0%	16.8%	14.4%	1.16×	5.95
Q1 over 64.5	16.0%	16.8%	19.9%	0.84×	5.96

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q2	52.7%	51.4%	49.3%	1.04×	1.95
Charlotte Hornets to win Q2	42.6%	43.9%	46.2%	0.95×	2.28
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 47.5	83.0%	83.1%	87.2%	0.95×	1.20
Q2 under 63.5	81.7%	83.1%	77.5%	1.07×	1.20
Q2 under 62.5	83.4%	83.0%	74.4%	1.12×	1.21
Q2 over 46.5	81.6%	83.0%	89.6%	0.93×	1.21
Q2 over 50.5	72.8%	73.0%	78.1%	0.94×	1.37
Q2 under 60.5	71.1%	73.0%	65.7%	1.11×	1.37
Q2 under 59.5	73.3%	72.0%	61.9%	1.16×	1.39
Q2 over 49.5	70.8%	72.0%	81.8%	0.88×	1.39
Q2 under 57.5	65.1%	67.4%	52.7%	1.28×	1.49
Q2 over 52.5	64.6%	62.0%	70.3%	0.88×	1.61
Q2 under 58.5	62.7%	62.0%	57.3%	1.08×	1.61
Q2 over 51.5	62.4%	60.7%	74.2%	0.82×	1.65
Q2 under 55.5	56.1%	58.2%	43.7%	1.33×	1.72
Q2 over 53.5	53.2%	52.7%	65.8%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 under 54.5	51.4%	52.7%	38.9%	1.35×	1.90
Q2 under 56.5	53.6%	52.2%	48.3%	1.08×	1.92
Q2 over 56.5	46.4%	47.8%	51.7%	0.92×	2.09
Q2 over 54.5	48.6%	47.3%	61.1%	0.78×	2.11
Q2 under 53.5	46.8%	47.3%	34.2%	1.39×	2.11
Q2 over 55.5	43.9%	41.8%	56.3%	0.74×	2.39
Q2 under 51.5	37.6%	39.3%	25.8%	1.53×	2.55
Q2 over 58.5	37.3%	38.0%	42.7%	0.89×	2.63
Q2 under 52.5	35.4%	38.0%	29.7%	1.28×	2.63
Q2 over 57.5	34.9%	32.6%	47.3%	0.69×	3.06
Q2 under 49.5	29.2%	28.0%	18.2%	1.54×	3.57
Q2 over 59.5	26.7%	28.0%	38.1%	0.74×	3.57
Q2 over 60.5	28.9%	27.0%	34.3%	0.79×	3.71
Q2 under 50.5	27.2%	27.0%	21.9%	1.23×	3.71
Q2 under 46.5	18.4%	17.0%	10.4%	1.63×	5.88
Q2 over 62.5	16.6%	17.0%	25.6%	0.66×	5.88
Q2 over 63.5	18.3%	16.9%	22.5%	0.75×	5.93
Q2 under 47.5	17.0%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q3	52.7%	52.7%	50.9%	1.04×	1.90
Charlotte Hornets to win Q3	42.6%	42.3%	44.3%	0.95×	2.37
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 46.5	83.3%	82.3%	90.3%	0.91×	1.22
Q3 under 62.5	82.6%	82.3%	71.9%	1.14×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	83.8%	82.2%	79.2%	1.04×	1.22
Q3 over 48.5	81.7%	82.2%	85.6%	0.96×	1.22
Q3 under 61.5	73.6%	72.5%	67.7%	1.07×	1.38
Q3 over 49.5	72.9%	71.8%	82.7%	0.87×	1.39
Q3 under 59.5	71.9%	71.8%	59.0%	1.22×	1.39
Q3 over 51.5	64.5%	62.0%	76.1%	0.81×	1.61
Q3 under 57.5	63.4%	62.0%	49.8%	1.25×	1.61
Q3 over 53.5	55.3%	58.4%	68.3%	0.85×	1.71
Q3 under 56.5	51.6%	52.6%	45.0%	1.17×	1.90
Q3 under 55.5	54.2%	52.3%	40.1%	1.30×	1.91
Q3 over 54.5	50.6%	52.3%	63.9%	0.82×	1.91
Q3 under 54.5	49.4%	47.7%	36.1%	1.32×	2.10
Q3 over 55.5	45.8%	47.7%	59.9%	0.80×	2.10
Q3 over 56.5	48.4%	47.4%	55.0%	0.86×	2.11
Q3 under 53.5	44.7%	41.6%	31.7%	1.31×	2.40
Q3 over 57.5	36.6%	38.0%	50.2%	0.76×	2.63
Q3 under 51.5	35.5%	38.0%	23.9%	1.59×	2.63
Q3 over 59.5	28.1%	28.2%	41.0%	0.69×	3.55
Q3 under 49.5	27.1%	28.2%	17.3%	1.63×	3.55
Q3 over 61.5	26.4%	27.5%	32.3%	0.85×	3.64
Q3 under 48.5	18.3%	17.8%	14.4%	1.23×	5.62
Q3 over 64.5	16.2%	17.8%	20.8%	0.85×	5.63
Q3 over 62.5	17.4%	17.7%	28.1%	0.63×	5.66
Q3 under 46.5	16.7%	17.7%	9.7%	1.81×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q4	52.6%	51.4%	48.3%	1.06×	1.95
Charlotte Hornets to win Q4	42.6%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 60.5	83.6%	82.0%	74.2%	1.10×	1.22
Q4 over 44.5	80.7%	82.0%	87.3%	0.94×	1.22
Q4 under 61.5	82.1%	81.9%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Q4 over 45.5	82.0%	81.9%	84.6%	0.97×	1.22
Q4 under 58.5	71.7%	72.3%	66.2%	1.09×	1.38
Q4 over 48.5	71.6%	72.3%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
Q4 under 57.5	73.6%	71.5%	61.9%	1.16×	1.40
Q4 over 47.5	69.9%	67.4%	79.0%	0.85×	1.48
Q4 under 55.5	65.6%	67.4%	52.9%	1.28×	1.48
Q4 over 50.5	63.4%	61.7%	68.5%	0.90×	1.62
Q4 under 56.5	63.5%	61.7%	57.2%	1.08×	1.62
Q4 over 49.5	61.4%	61.4%	72.3%	0.85×	1.63
Q4 under 53.5	56.8%	58.4%	44.3%	1.32×	1.71
Q4 over 51.5	52.4%	52.5%	64.7%	0.81×	1.91
Q4 under 52.5	52.2%	52.5%	39.6%	1.33×	1.91
Q4 under 54.5	54.6%	52.4%	48.6%	1.08×	1.91
Q4 over 54.5	45.4%	47.6%	51.4%	0.93×	2.10
Q4 under 51.5	47.6%	47.5%	35.3%	1.35×	2.11
Q4 over 52.5	47.8%	47.5%	60.4%	0.79×	2.11
Q4 over 53.5	43.2%	41.6%	55.7%	0.75×	2.40
Q4 under 49.5	38.6%	38.6%	27.7%	1.39×	2.59
Q4 under 50.5	36.6%	38.4%	31.5%	1.22×	2.61
Q4 over 56.5	36.5%	38.4%	42.8%	0.90×	2.61
Q4 over 55.5	34.4%	32.6%	47.1%	0.69×	3.07
Q4 under 47.5	30.1%	32.6%	21.0%	1.55×	3.07
Q4 over 57.5	26.4%	28.5%	38.1%	0.75×	3.51
Q4 under 48.5	28.4%	27.7%	24.5%	1.13×	3.61
Q4 over 58.5	28.3%	27.7%	33.8%	0.82×	3.61
Q4 under 45.5	18.0%	18.1%	15.4%	1.18×	5.53
Q4 over 61.5	17.9%	18.1%	22.5%	0.80×	5.53
Q4 under 44.5	19.3%	18.0%	12.7%	1.41×	5.56
Q4 over 60.5	16.4%	18.0%	25.8%	0.70×	5.56

Team total 62

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics under 120.5	81.8%	80.7%	66.3%	1.22×	1.24
Charlotte Hornets over 95.5	80.4%	80.7%	91.9%	0.88×	1.24
Charlotte Hornets under 115.5	80.3%	80.7%	58.6%	1.38×	1.24
Charlotte Hornets under 119.5	80.9%	80.3%	70.3%	1.14×	1.25
Boston Celtics under 122.5	79.8%	78.3%	71.8%	1.09×	1.28
Boston Celtics over 102.5	79.4%	78.3%	84.2%	0.93×	1.28
Charlotte Hornets over 99.5	78.3%	78.3%	85.9%	0.91×	1.28
Boston Celtics over 100.5	78.3%	75.1%	87.7%	0.86×	1.33
Charlotte Hornets under 116.5	73.4%	71.9%	61.5%	1.17×	1.39
Boston Celtics under 119.5	72.1%	71.8%	63.5%	1.13×	1.39
Boston Celtics under 117.5	74.3%	70.7%	57.8%	1.22×	1.41
Charlotte Hornets under 112.5	72.4%	70.7%	48.5%	1.46×	1.41
Charlotte Hornets over 98.5	72.5%	70.7%	87.6%	0.81×	1.41
Boston Celtics over 103.5	70.2%	70.7%	82.1%	0.86×	1.41
Charlotte Hornets under 114.5	67.7%	66.6%	55.5%	1.20×	1.50
Boston Celtics under 115.5	68.5%	66.4%	51.6%	1.29×	1.51
Charlotte Hornets under 110.5	66.5%	66.4%	42.1%	1.58×	1.51
Charlotte Hornets over 100.5	66.6%	66.4%	84.1%	0.79×	1.51
Boston Celtics over 105.5	64.1%	61.2%	77.4%	0.79×	1.63
Boston Celtics under 113.5	62.3%	61.2%	45.7%	1.34×	1.63
Charlotte Hornets over 102.5	60.1%	61.2%	79.7%	0.77×	1.63
Charlotte Hornets under 108.5	60.1%	61.2%	36.0%	1.70×	1.63
Boston Celtics over 107.5	57.7%	57.1%	72.7%	0.79×	1.75
Boston Celtics under 111.5	55.7%	57.1%	38.9%	1.47×	1.75
Boston Celtics under 110.5	52.4%	52.3%	35.9%	1.46×	1.91
Boston Celtics over 109.5	51.0%	52.3%	67.0%	0.78×	1.91
Charlotte Hornets over 104.5	53.4%	52.3%	75.0%	0.70×	1.91
Charlotte Hornets under 106.5	53.4%	52.3%	31.1%	1.68×	1.91
Charlotte Hornets over 105.5	50.0%	52.3%	71.9%	0.73×	1.91
Charlotte Hornets under 109.5	51.8%	52.2%	39.1%	1.34×	1.91
Boston Celtics under 112.5	50.2%	52.2%	42.3%	1.24×	1.91
Boston Celtics over 112.5	49.8%	47.8%	57.7%	0.83×	2.09
Charlotte Hornets over 109.5	48.2%	47.8%	60.9%	0.78×	2.09
Charlotte Hornets under 105.5	50.0%	47.7%	28.1%	1.70×	2.09
Boston Celtics over 110.5	47.6%	47.7%	64.1%	0.74×	2.09
Boston Celtics under 109.5	49.0%	47.7%	33.0%	1.45×	2.09
Charlotte Hornets under 104.5	46.6%	47.7%	25.0%	1.91×	2.09
Charlotte Hornets over 106.5	46.6%	47.7%	68.9%	0.69×	2.09
Boston Celtics over 111.5	44.3%	42.9%	61.1%	0.70×	2.33
Boston Celtics under 107.5	42.3%	42.9%	27.3%	1.57×	2.33
Charlotte Hornets under 102.5	39.9%	38.8%	20.3%	1.91×	2.58
Charlotte Hornets over 108.5	40.0%	38.8%	64.0%	0.61×	2.58
Boston Celtics over 113.5	37.7%	38.8%	54.3%	0.72×	2.58
Boston Celtics under 105.5	35.9%	38.8%	22.6%	1.72×	2.58
Charlotte Hornets over 110.5	33.5%	33.6%	57.9%	0.58×	2.98
Charlotte Hornets under 100.5	33.4%	33.6%	15.9%	2.12×	2.98
Boston Celtics over 115.5	31.5%	33.6%	48.4%	0.69×	2.98
Charlotte Hornets over 114.5	32.3%	33.4%	44.5%	0.75×	3.00
Boston Celtics under 103.5	29.8%	29.3%	17.9%	1.64×	3.42
Charlotte Hornets over 112.5	27.6%	29.3%	51.5%	0.57×	3.42
Charlotte Hornets under 98.5	27.5%	29.3%	12.4%	2.37×	3.42
Boston Celtics over 117.5	25.7%	29.3%	42.2%	0.69×	3.42
Boston Celtics over 119.5	27.9%	28.2%	36.5%	0.77×	3.55
Charlotte Hornets over 116.5	26.6%	28.1%	38.5%	0.73×	3.55
Boston Celtics under 100.5	21.7%	24.9%	12.3%	2.02×	4.02
Charlotte Hornets under 99.5	21.7%	21.7%	14.1%	1.54×	4.60
Boston Celtics under 102.5	20.6%	21.7%	15.8%	1.37×	4.60
Boston Celtics over 122.5	20.2%	21.7%	28.2%	0.77×	4.61
Charlotte Hornets over 119.5	19.1%	19.7%	29.7%	0.67×	5.07
Charlotte Hornets under 95.5	19.6%	19.3%	8.1%	2.39×	5.18
Charlotte Hornets over 115.5	19.7%	19.3%	41.4%	0.47×	5.18
Boston Celtics over 120.5	18.2%	19.3%	33.7%	0.57×	5.18

Total points 50

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 241.5 points	85.8%	85.5%	75.5%	1.13×	1.17
Over 201.5 points	85.5%	85.5%	91.5%	0.93×	1.17
Under 235.5 points	86.4%	85.0%	65.3%	1.30×	1.18
Over 195.5 points	85.9%	85.0%	95.5%	0.89×	1.18
Under 236.5 points	79.0%	78.1%	67.3%	1.16×	1.28
Over 206.5 points	78.6%	78.1%	86.7%	0.90×	1.28
Under 230.5 points	79.5%	75.6%	55.4%	1.37×	1.32
Over 200.5 points	79.0%	75.6%	92.2%	0.82×	1.32
Under 231.5 points	70.5%	71.0%	57.4%	1.24×	1.41
Over 211.5 points	70.0%	71.0%	79.7%	0.89×	1.41
Under 225.5 points	71.1%	70.8%	45.3%	1.56×	1.41
Over 205.5 points	70.3%	70.8%	87.8%	0.81×	1.41
Under 222.5 points	65.2%	65.9%	39.6%	1.66×	1.52
Under 228.5 points	64.8%	61.8%	51.3%	1.20×	1.62
Under 226.5 points	60.7%	61.7%	47.3%	1.31×	1.62
Over 208.5 points	64.5%	61.5%	84.1%	0.73×	1.63
Under 220.5 points	61.1%	61.5%	35.8%	1.72×	1.63
Over 210.5 points	60.3%	61.5%	81.4%	0.76×	1.63
Over 212.5 points	56.1%	56.5%	77.8%	0.73×	1.77
Under 218.5 points	56.9%	56.5%	32.2%	1.75×	1.77
Under 224.5 points	56.6%	56.0%	43.5%	1.29×	1.79
Over 214.5 points	51.8%	52.3%	75.1%	0.70×	1.91
Under 216.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	28.4%	1.84×	1.91
Under 215.5 points	50.5%	52.3%	26.6%	1.97×	1.91
Under 221.5 points	50.3%	52.2%	37.8%	1.38×	1.92
Over 221.5 points	49.7%	47.8%	62.2%	0.77×	2.09
Over 215.5 points	49.5%	47.7%	73.4%	0.65×	2.10
Under 214.5 points	48.2%	47.7%	24.9%	1.91×	2.10
Over 216.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	71.6%	0.67×	2.10
Over 224.5 points	43.4%	44.0%	56.5%	0.78×	2.27
Under 212.5 points	43.9%	43.5%	22.2%	1.96×	2.30
Over 218.5 points	43.1%	43.5%	67.8%	0.64×	2.30
Under 210.5 points	39.7%	38.5%	18.6%	2.07×	2.60
Over 220.5 points	38.9%	38.5%	64.2%	0.60×	2.60
Under 208.5 points	35.5%	38.5%	15.9%	2.42×	2.60
Over 226.5 points	39.3%	38.3%	52.7%	0.73×	2.61
Over 228.5 points	35.2%	38.2%	48.7%	0.78×	2.62
Over 222.5 points	34.8%	34.1%	60.4%	0.56×	2.93
Under 205.5 points	29.7%	29.2%	12.2%	2.39×	3.43
Over 225.5 points	28.9%	29.2%	54.7%	0.53×	3.43
Under 211.5 points	30.0%	29.0%	20.3%	1.42×	3.45
Over 231.5 points	29.5%	29.0%	42.6%	0.68×	3.45
Under 200.5 points	21.0%	24.4%	7.8%	3.11×	4.10
Over 230.5 points	20.5%	24.4%	44.6%	0.55×	4.10
Under 206.5 points	21.4%	21.9%	13.3%	1.65×	4.57
Over 236.5 points	21.0%	21.9%	32.7%	0.67×	4.57
Under 195.5 points	14.1%	15.0%	4.5%	3.32×	6.68
Over 235.5 points	13.6%	15.0%	34.7%	0.43×	6.68
Under 201.5 points	14.5%	14.5%	8.5%	1.71×	6.88
Over 241.5 points	14.2%	14.5%	24.5%	0.59×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win both halves	28.9%	27.2%	25.2%	1.08×	3.68
Charlotte Hornets to win both halves	14.6%	14.1%	17.8%	0.79×	7.11

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics by 1-5	14.0%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Boston Celtics by 6-10	13.6%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Charlotte Hornets by 1-5	12.5%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Boston Celtics by 11-15	11.7%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Charlotte Hornets by 6-10	9.9%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
Boston Celtics by 16-20	8.9%	7.5%	7.3%	1.02×	13.40
Charlotte Hornets by 11-15	7.0%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Boston Celtics by 26+	7.2%	7.5%	6.2%	1.21×	13.40
Boston Celtics by 21-25	6.1%	7.5%	4.7%	1.58×	13.40
Charlotte Hornets by 16-20	4.4%	2.0%	4.9%	0.42×	49.29
Charlotte Hornets by 21-25	2.5%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.31
Charlotte Hornets by 26+	2.1%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.31

Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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