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Boston Celtics v Chicago Bulls — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 30 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Boston Celtics win
84.7%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Bulls win
15.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 121.42–106.92 121-107 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics to score 100+ 96.9% 94.9% 89.3% 1.06× 1.05
Boston Celtics to score 110+ 84.7% 79.3% 67.0% 1.18× 1.26
Chicago Bulls to score 100+ 73.4% 72.3% 85.9% 0.84× 1.38
Both sides to score 100+ 71.7% 72.3% 77.5% 0.93× 1.38
Boston Celtics to score 120+ 57.0% 56.3% 36.5% 1.54× 1.78
Chicago Bulls to score 110+ 40.8% 41.8% 60.9% 0.69× 2.39
Boston Celtics to score 130+ 24.9% 22.1% 12.8% 1.72× 4.53
Chicago Bulls to score 120+ 13.8% 13.8% 29.7% 0.47× 7.23
Chicago Bulls to score 130+ 2.6% 0.4% 10.0% 0.04× 282.84
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics to win H1 73.1% 73.0% 52.8% 1.38× 1.37
Chicago Bulls to win H1 24.1% 21.4% 44.1% 0.49× 4.67
H1 tied 2.8% 3.9% 3.1% 1.25× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 127.5 82.7% 82.5% 84.8% 0.97× 1.21
H1 over 103.5 81.7% 82.5% 80.7% 1.02× 1.21
H1 under 123.5 73.7% 73.5% 76.0% 0.97× 1.36
H1 over 107.5 72.4% 73.5% 70.4% 1.04× 1.36
H1 under 120.5 65.7% 67.4% 68.4% 0.99× 1.48
H1 over 110.5 64.2% 62.7% 61.9% 1.01× 1.59
H1 under 118.5 59.9% 58.2% 62.9% 0.93× 1.72
H1 over 112.5 58.4% 58.2% 55.8% 1.04× 1.72
H1 under 116.5 53.8% 52.6% 56.6% 0.93× 1.90
H1 over 114.5 52.3% 52.6% 49.6% 1.06× 1.90
H1 under 115.5 50.8% 52.6% 53.6% 0.98× 1.90
H1 over 115.5 49.2% 47.4% 46.4% 1.02× 2.11
H1 under 114.5 47.7% 47.4% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
H1 over 116.5 46.2% 47.4% 43.4% 1.09× 2.11
H1 under 112.5 41.6% 41.8% 44.2% 0.95× 2.39
H1 over 118.5 40.1% 41.8% 37.1% 1.13× 2.39
H1 under 110.5 35.8% 37.3% 38.1% 0.98× 2.68
H1 over 120.5 34.3% 32.6% 31.6% 1.03× 3.07
H1 under 107.5 27.6% 26.5% 29.6% 0.90× 3.77
H1 over 123.5 26.3% 26.5% 24.0% 1.10× 3.77
H1 under 103.5 18.3% 17.5% 19.3% 0.91× 5.72
H1 over 127.5 17.3% 17.5% 15.2% 1.15× 5.73
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics to win H2 72.8% 67.6% 51.6% 1.31× 1.48
Chicago Bulls to win H2 24.3% 26.9% 44.7% 0.60× 3.72
H2 tied 2.9% 3.9% 3.7% 1.06× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 125.5 83.2% 81.8% 81.3% 1.01× 1.22
H2 over 101.5 81.6% 81.8% 80.3% 1.02× 1.22
H2 under 121.5 74.3% 72.2% 72.0% 1.00× 1.39
H2 over 105.5 72.2% 72.2% 71.3% 1.01× 1.39
H2 under 118.5 66.3% 66.4% 63.6% 1.04× 1.51
H2 over 108.5 63.9% 61.6% 63.8% 0.97× 1.62
H2 under 116.5 60.4% 61.6% 58.1% 1.06× 1.62
H2 over 110.5 58.0% 57.3% 58.1% 0.99× 1.74
H2 under 114.5 54.3% 52.4% 52.5% 1.00× 1.91
H2 over 112.5 51.9% 52.4% 52.6% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 113.5 51.2% 52.4% 50.1% 1.05× 1.91
H2 over 113.5 48.8% 47.6% 49.9% 0.95× 2.10
H2 under 112.5 48.1% 47.6% 47.4% 1.00× 2.10
H2 over 114.5 45.7% 47.6% 47.5% 1.00× 2.10
H2 under 110.5 42.0% 42.7% 41.9% 1.02× 2.34
H2 over 116.5 39.6% 38.4% 41.9% 0.92× 2.61
H2 under 108.5 36.1% 38.4% 36.2% 1.06× 2.61
H2 over 118.5 33.7% 33.6% 36.4% 0.92× 2.97
H2 under 105.5 27.8% 27.8% 28.7% 0.97× 3.59
H2 over 121.5 25.7% 27.8% 28.0% 0.99× 3.59
H2 under 101.5 18.4% 18.2% 19.7% 0.92× 5.50
H2 over 125.5 16.8% 18.2% 18.7% 0.97× 5.50
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics leading at half time 73.1% 73.5% 52.8% 1.39× 1.36
Chicago Bulls leading at half time 24.1% 21.0% 44.1% 0.48× 4.77
Level at half time 2.8% 3.8% 3.1% 1.22× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics +14.5 97.7% 97.4% 87.0% 1.12× 1.03
Boston Celtics +16.5 98.3% 97.4% 89.7% 1.09× 1.03
Boston Celtics +18.5 98.8% 97.4% 91.5% 1.06× 1.03
Boston Celtics +20.5 99.2% 97.4% 93.1% 1.05× 1.03
Boston Celtics +10.5 95.7% 97.4% 80.3% 1.21× 1.03
Boston Celtics +12.5 96.8% 97.4% 83.9% 1.16× 1.03
Boston Celtics +9.5 95.0% 97.4% 78.1% 1.25× 1.03
Boston Celtics +8.5 94.3% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
Boston Celtics +6.5 92.5% 91.1% 70.6% 1.29× 1.10
Boston Celtics +7.5 93.4% 91.1% 73.0% 1.25× 1.10
Boston Celtics +4.5 90.3% 91.1% 65.7% 1.39× 1.10
Boston Celtics +5.5 91.5% 91.1% 68.0% 1.34× 1.10
Boston Celtics +3.5 89.1% 85.9% 63.1% 1.36× 1.16
Boston Celtics +2.5 87.7% 85.9% 60.5% 1.42× 1.16
Boston Celtics +1.5 86.3% 85.9% 57.9% 1.48× 1.16
Boston Celtics −1.5 82.9% 81.1% 53.7% 1.51× 1.23
Boston Celtics −2.5 81.0% 81.1% 50.9% 1.59× 1.23
Boston Celtics −3.5 78.9% 76.5% 48.4% 1.58× 1.31
Boston Celtics −4.5 76.8% 76.5% 46.0% 1.66× 1.31
Boston Celtics −5.5 74.5% 71.6% 42.9% 1.67× 1.40
Boston Celtics −6.5 72.1% 71.6% 40.0% 1.79× 1.40
Boston Celtics −7.5 69.7% 66.7% 37.0% 1.80× 1.50
Boston Celtics −8.5 67.2% 66.7% 34.1% 1.96× 1.50
Chicago Bulls +20.5 65.5% 66.7% 89.1% 0.75× 1.50
Boston Celtics −9.5 64.6% 61.9% 31.3% 1.98× 1.62
Boston Celtics −10.5 61.9% 61.9% 29.0% 2.14× 1.62
Chicago Bulls +18.5 60.2% 61.9% 86.4% 0.72× 1.62
Boston Celtics −12.5 56.4% 57.1% 24.0% 2.37× 1.75
Chicago Bulls +16.5 54.7% 52.4% 83.5% 0.63× 1.91
Boston Celtics −14.5 50.8% 52.4% 19.9% 2.64× 1.91
Chicago Bulls +14.5 49.2% 47.6% 80.1% 0.59× 2.10
Boston Celtics −16.5 45.3% 47.6% 16.5% 2.89× 2.10
Chicago Bulls +12.5 43.6% 42.9% 76.0% 0.57× 2.33
Boston Celtics −18.5 39.8% 38.1% 13.6% 2.80× 2.63
Chicago Bulls +10.5 38.1% 38.1% 71.0% 0.54× 2.63
Chicago Bulls +9.5 35.4% 38.1% 68.7% 0.55× 2.63
Boston Celtics −20.5 34.5% 33.3% 10.9% 3.06× 3.01
Chicago Bulls +8.5 32.8% 33.3% 65.9% 0.50× 3.01
Chicago Bulls +7.5 30.3% 33.3% 63.0% 0.53× 3.01
Chicago Bulls +6.5 27.9% 28.4% 60.0% 0.47× 3.53
Chicago Bulls +5.5 25.5% 28.4% 57.1% 0.50× 3.53
Chicago Bulls +4.5 23.2% 23.5% 54.1% 0.44× 4.25
Chicago Bulls +3.5 21.1% 23.5% 51.6% 0.46× 4.25
Chicago Bulls +2.5 19.0% 18.9% 49.1% 0.39× 5.29
Chicago Bulls +1.5 17.1% 18.9% 46.3% 0.41× 5.29
Chicago Bulls −1.5 13.7% 14.1% 42.1% 0.33× 7.09
Chicago Bulls −2.5 12.3% 14.1% 39.5% 0.36× 7.09
Chicago Bulls −3.5 10.9% 14.1% 36.9% 0.38× 7.09
Chicago Bulls −4.5 9.7% 8.9% 34.3% 0.26× 11.25
Chicago Bulls −5.5 8.5% 8.9% 32.0% 0.28× 11.25
Chicago Bulls −6.5 7.5% 8.9% 29.4% 0.30× 11.25
Chicago Bulls −7.5 6.6% 8.9% 27.0% 0.33× 11.25
Chicago Bulls −8.5 5.7% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Chicago Bulls −9.5 5.0% 2.6% 21.9% 0.12× 38.72
Chicago Bulls −14.5 2.3% 2.6% 13.0% 0.20× 38.73
Chicago Bulls −16.5 1.7% 2.6% 10.3% 0.25× 38.73
Chicago Bulls −18.5 1.2% 2.6% 8.5% 0.30× 38.74
Chicago Bulls −20.5 0.8% 2.6% 6.9% 0.37× 38.74
Chicago Bulls −10.5 4.3% 2.6% 19.7% 0.13× 38.72
Chicago Bulls −12.5 3.2% 2.6% 16.1% 0.16× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1st half highest scoring 56.6% 52.6% 53.5% 0.98× 1.90
2nd half highest scoring 43.4% 47.4% 46.5% 1.02× 2.11
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 highest scoring 28.3% 27.4% 29.2% 0.94× 3.65
Q3 highest scoring 27.9% 27.4% 27.5% 1.00× 3.65
Q2 highest scoring 26.6% 27.4% 26.3% 1.04× 3.65
Q4 highest scoring 17.3% 18.3% 17.0% 1.08× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics at HT / Boston Celtics at FT 68.3% 68.3% 40.8% 1.67× 1.47
Chicago Bulls at HT / Boston Celtics at FT 14.2% 12.2% 13.3% 0.92× 8.17
Chicago Bulls at HT / Chicago Bulls at FT 9.9% 8.3% 30.9% 0.27× 12.08
Boston Celtics at HT / Chicago Bulls at FT 4.8% 2.1% 12.0% 0.17× 47.71
Level at HT / Boston Celtics at FT 2.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.22× 47.75
Level at HT / Chicago Bulls at FT 0.6% 2.1% 1.4% 1.49× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics to win 84.7% 80.9% 55.7% 1.45× 1.24
Chicago Bulls to win 15.3% 19.1% 44.3% 0.43× 5.25
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics even 50.0% 50.5% 49.7% 1.02× 1.98
Chicago Bulls even 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 50.8% 50.5% 51.0% 0.99× 1.98
Boston Celtics odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.3% 0.98× 2.02
Chicago Bulls odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.2% 49.5% 49.0% 1.01× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.9% 97.0% 94.8% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.1% 3.0% 5.2% 0.58× 33.38
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q1 65.2% 72.2% 51.3% 1.41× 1.39
Chicago Bulls to win Q1 30.5% 30.3% 44.1% 0.69× 3.30
Q1 tied 4.3% 4.2% 4.6% 0.90× 23.96
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 66.5 84.8% 82.8% 86.1% 0.96× 1.21
Q1 over 50.5 80.4% 82.8% 79.4% 1.04× 1.21
Q1 under 63.5 75.0% 72.7% 76.8% 0.95× 1.38
Q1 over 53.5 69.2% 67.6% 68.2% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 under 61.5 67.0% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 55.5 60.5% 61.7% 59.2% 1.04× 1.62
Q1 under 59.5 58.1% 58.6% 60.0% 0.98× 1.71
Q1 under 58.5 53.4% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q1 over 57.5 51.3% 52.7% 49.6% 1.06× 1.90
Q1 under 57.5 48.7% 47.3% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q1 over 58.5 46.6% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q1 over 59.5 41.9% 41.4% 40.0% 1.03× 2.42
Q1 under 55.5 39.5% 38.3% 40.8% 0.94× 2.61
Q1 over 61.5 33.0% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 53.5 30.8% 32.4% 31.8% 1.02× 3.08
Q1 over 63.5 25.0% 27.3% 23.2% 1.17× 3.67
Q1 under 50.5 19.6% 17.2% 20.6% 0.84× 5.82
Q1 over 66.5 15.2% 17.2% 13.9% 1.23× 5.83
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q2 65.0% 62.0% 49.3% 1.26× 1.61
Chicago Bulls to win Q2 30.7% 31.8% 46.2% 0.69× 3.15
Q2 tied 4.3% 4.4% 4.5% 0.98× 22.90
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 49.5 82.5% 83.0% 81.8% 1.02× 1.21
Q2 under 65.5 82.6% 83.0% 83.6% 0.99× 1.21
Q2 under 62.5 72.2% 72.0% 74.4% 0.97× 1.39
Q2 over 52.5 72.0% 72.0% 70.3% 1.02× 1.39
Q2 under 60.5 63.8% 60.7% 65.7% 0.92× 1.65
Q2 over 54.5 63.6% 60.7% 61.1% 0.99× 1.65
Q2 under 58.5 54.8% 52.7% 57.3% 0.92× 1.90
Q2 over 56.5 54.5% 52.7% 51.7% 1.02× 1.90
Q2 under 57.5 50.1% 52.7% 52.7% 1.00× 1.90
Q2 over 57.5 49.9% 47.3% 47.3% 1.00× 2.11
Q2 under 56.5 45.5% 47.3% 48.3% 0.98× 2.11
Q2 over 58.5 45.2% 47.3% 42.7% 1.11× 2.11
Q2 under 54.5 36.4% 39.3% 38.9% 1.01× 2.55
Q2 over 60.5 36.2% 39.3% 34.3% 1.15× 2.55
Q2 under 52.5 28.0% 28.0% 29.7% 0.94× 3.57
Q2 over 62.5 27.8% 28.0% 25.6% 1.09× 3.57
Q2 under 49.5 17.5% 17.0% 18.2% 0.93× 5.88
Q2 over 65.5 17.4% 17.0% 16.4% 1.04× 5.88
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q3 65.0% 66.6% 50.9% 1.31× 1.50
Chicago Bulls to win Q3 30.7% 33.7% 44.3% 0.76× 2.97
Q3 tied 4.3% 4.3% 4.9% 0.88× 23.44
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 66.5 84.6% 82.3% 84.7% 0.97× 1.22
Q3 over 50.5 81.2% 82.3% 79.7% 1.03× 1.22
Q3 under 63.5 74.6% 71.8% 75.9% 0.95× 1.39
Q3 over 53.5 70.1% 71.8% 68.3% 1.05× 1.39
Q3 under 61.5 66.4% 67.8% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q3 over 55.5 61.4% 61.9% 59.9% 1.03× 1.61
Q3 under 59.5 57.4% 58.4% 59.0% 0.99× 1.71
Q3 under 58.5 52.7% 52.3% 54.8% 0.95× 1.91
Q3 over 57.5 52.0% 52.3% 50.2% 1.04× 1.91
Q3 under 57.5 48.0% 47.7% 49.8% 0.96× 2.10
Q3 over 58.5 47.3% 47.7% 45.2% 1.06× 2.10
Q3 over 59.5 42.6% 41.6% 41.0% 1.01× 2.40
Q3 under 55.5 38.6% 38.1% 40.1% 0.95× 2.63
Q3 over 61.5 33.6% 32.2% 32.3% 1.00× 3.10
Q3 under 53.5 29.9% 28.2% 31.7% 0.89× 3.55
Q3 over 63.5 25.4% 28.2% 24.1% 1.17× 3.55
Q3 under 50.5 18.8% 17.7% 20.3% 0.87× 5.66
Q3 over 66.5 15.4% 17.7% 15.3% 1.16× 5.66
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q4 64.7% 57.9% 48.3% 1.20× 1.73
Chicago Bulls to win Q4 30.9% 37.3% 46.4% 0.81× 2.68
Q4 tied 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 0.97× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 63.5 83.2% 82.0% 83.7% 0.98× 1.22
Q4 over 47.5 81.2% 82.0% 79.0% 1.04× 1.22
Q4 under 60.5 73.1% 71.5% 74.2% 0.96× 1.40
Q4 over 50.5 70.5% 71.5% 68.5% 1.04× 1.40
Q4 under 58.5 65.0% 61.4% 66.2% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 over 52.5 62.1% 61.4% 60.4% 1.02× 1.63
Q4 under 56.5 56.1% 58.4% 57.2% 1.02× 1.71
Q4 over 54.5 53.1% 52.5% 51.4% 1.02× 1.91
Q4 under 55.5 51.5% 52.5% 52.9% 0.99× 1.91
Q4 over 55.5 48.5% 47.5% 47.1% 1.01× 2.11
Q4 under 54.5 46.9% 47.5% 48.6% 0.98× 2.11
Q4 over 56.5 43.9% 41.6% 42.8% 0.97× 2.40
Q4 under 52.5 37.9% 38.6% 39.6% 0.97× 2.59
Q4 over 58.5 35.0% 38.6% 33.8% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 under 50.5 29.5% 28.5% 31.5% 0.91× 3.51
Q4 over 60.5 26.9% 28.5% 25.8% 1.11× 3.51
Q4 under 47.5 18.8% 18.0% 21.0% 0.86× 5.56
Q4 over 63.5 16.8% 18.0% 16.3% 1.11× 5.56
Team total 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chicago Bulls under 117.5 82.1% 80.7% 64.4% 1.25× 1.24
Boston Celtics over 111.5 80.4% 80.7% 61.1% 1.32× 1.24
Boston Celtics under 131.5 80.1% 80.7% 89.8% 0.90× 1.24
Boston Celtics under 129.5 80.9% 80.3% 87.2% 0.92× 1.25
Chicago Bulls over 99.5 79.8% 78.3% 85.9% 0.91× 1.28
Chicago Bulls under 119.5 79.6% 78.3% 70.3% 1.11× 1.28
Boston Celtics over 109.5 78.3% 78.3% 67.0% 1.17× 1.28
Chicago Bulls over 97.5 78.8% 75.1% 89.3% 0.84× 1.33
Chicago Bulls under 116.5 71.8% 71.8% 61.5% 1.17× 1.39
Boston Celtics over 112.5 70.4% 71.8% 57.7% 1.24× 1.39
Chicago Bulls under 114.5 74.6% 70.7% 55.5% 1.27× 1.41
Boston Celtics over 114.5 72.6% 70.7% 51.4% 1.38× 1.41
Boston Celtics under 128.5 72.3% 70.7% 85.5% 0.83× 1.41
Chicago Bulls over 100.5 70.5% 70.7% 84.1% 0.84× 1.41
Chicago Bulls under 112.5 68.8% 66.4% 48.5% 1.37× 1.51
Boston Celtics over 116.5 66.7% 66.4% 45.3% 1.47× 1.51
Boston Celtics under 126.5 66.3% 66.4% 81.5% 0.81× 1.51
Chicago Bulls over 102.5 64.4% 61.2% 79.7% 0.77× 1.63
Chicago Bulls under 110.5 62.5% 61.2% 42.1% 1.45× 1.63
Boston Celtics over 118.5 60.3% 61.2% 39.7% 1.54× 1.63
Boston Celtics under 124.5 59.9% 57.1% 76.8% 0.74× 1.75
Chicago Bulls over 104.5 57.8% 57.1% 75.0% 0.76× 1.75
Chicago Bulls under 108.5 55.9% 57.1% 36.0% 1.59× 1.75
Boston Celtics over 120.5 53.6% 52.3% 33.7% 1.55× 1.91
Boston Celtics under 122.5 53.2% 52.3% 71.8% 0.73× 1.91
Chicago Bulls over 106.5 51.0% 52.3% 68.9% 0.76× 1.91
Chicago Bulls under 107.5 52.5% 52.3% 33.4% 1.57× 1.91
Boston Celtics over 121.5 50.2% 52.3% 30.4% 1.72× 1.91
Boston Celtics under 119.5 51.8% 52.2% 63.5% 0.82× 1.91
Chicago Bulls over 109.5 50.1% 52.2% 60.9% 0.86× 1.91
Chicago Bulls under 109.5 49.9% 47.8% 39.1% 1.22× 2.09
Boston Celtics over 119.5 48.2% 47.8% 36.5% 1.31× 2.09
Boston Celtics under 121.5 49.8% 47.7% 69.6% 0.69× 2.09
Boston Celtics over 122.5 46.8% 47.7% 28.2% 1.69× 2.09
Chicago Bulls under 106.5 49.0% 47.7% 31.1% 1.54× 2.09
Chicago Bulls over 107.5 47.5% 47.7% 66.6% 0.72× 2.09
Boston Celtics under 120.5 46.4% 47.7% 66.3% 0.72× 2.09
Chicago Bulls over 108.5 44.1% 42.9% 64.0% 0.67× 2.33
Chicago Bulls under 104.5 42.2% 42.9% 25.0% 1.72× 2.33
Boston Celtics over 124.5 40.1% 42.9% 23.2% 1.85× 2.33
Boston Celtics under 118.5 39.7% 38.8% 60.3% 0.64× 2.58
Chicago Bulls over 110.5 37.5% 38.8% 57.9% 0.67× 2.58
Chicago Bulls under 102.5 35.6% 38.8% 20.3% 1.91× 2.58
Boston Celtics under 116.5 33.3% 33.6% 54.7% 0.61× 2.98
Boston Celtics over 126.5 33.7% 33.6% 18.5% 1.82× 2.98
Chicago Bulls over 112.5 31.2% 33.6% 51.5% 0.65× 2.98
Chicago Bulls under 100.5 29.5% 29.3% 15.9% 1.85× 3.42
Boston Celtics under 114.5 27.4% 29.3% 48.6% 0.60× 3.42
Boston Celtics over 128.5 27.7% 29.3% 14.5% 2.02× 3.42
Chicago Bulls over 114.5 25.4% 29.3% 44.5% 0.66× 3.42
Boston Celtics under 112.5 29.6% 28.2% 42.3% 0.67× 3.55
Chicago Bulls over 116.5 28.2% 28.2% 38.5% 0.73× 3.55
Chicago Bulls under 97.5 21.2% 24.9% 10.7% 2.31× 4.02
Boston Celtics under 109.5 21.7% 21.7% 33.0% 0.66× 4.60
Chicago Bulls over 119.5 20.4% 21.7% 29.7% 0.73× 4.60
Chicago Bulls under 99.5 20.2% 21.7% 14.1% 1.54× 4.61
Boston Celtics over 129.5 19.1% 19.7% 12.8% 1.54× 5.07
Boston Celtics over 131.5 19.9% 19.3% 10.2% 1.89× 5.18
Boston Celtics under 111.5 19.6% 19.3% 38.9% 0.50× 5.18
Chicago Bulls over 117.5 17.9% 19.3% 35.6% 0.54× 5.18
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 248.5 points 86.3% 85.0% 84.4% 1.01× 1.18
Over 208.5 points 86.0% 85.0% 84.1% 1.01× 1.18
Under 243.5 points 79.5% 75.6% 78.2% 0.97× 1.32
Over 213.5 points 79.0% 75.6% 76.4% 0.99× 1.32
Under 238.5 points 70.9% 70.8% 70.9% 1.00× 1.41
Over 218.5 points 70.4% 70.8% 67.8% 1.05× 1.41
Under 235.5 points 65.2% 65.9% 65.3% 1.01× 1.52
Over 221.5 points 64.5% 61.5% 62.2% 0.99× 1.63
Under 233.5 points 61.1% 61.5% 61.4% 1.00× 1.63
Over 223.5 points 60.4% 61.5% 58.3% 1.06× 1.63
Over 225.5 points 56.1% 56.5% 54.7% 1.03× 1.77
Under 231.5 points 56.8% 56.5% 57.4% 0.99× 1.77
Over 227.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 50.6% 1.03× 1.91
Under 229.5 points 52.5% 52.3% 53.3% 0.98× 1.91
Under 228.5 points 50.3% 52.3% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
Over 228.5 points 49.7% 47.7% 48.7% 0.98× 2.10
Under 227.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 49.4% 0.97× 2.10
Over 229.5 points 47.5% 47.7% 46.7% 1.02× 2.10
Under 225.5 points 43.9% 43.5% 45.3% 0.96× 2.30
Over 231.5 points 43.2% 43.5% 42.6% 1.02× 2.30
Under 223.5 points 39.6% 38.5% 41.7% 0.92× 2.60
Over 233.5 points 38.9% 38.5% 38.6% 1.00× 2.60
Under 221.5 points 35.5% 38.5% 37.8% 1.02× 2.60
Over 235.5 points 34.8% 34.1% 34.7% 0.98× 2.93
Under 218.5 points 29.6% 29.2% 32.2% 0.90× 3.43
Over 238.5 points 29.1% 29.2% 29.1% 1.00× 3.43
Under 213.5 points 21.0% 24.4% 23.6% 1.03× 4.10
Over 243.5 points 20.5% 24.4% 21.8% 1.12× 4.10
Under 208.5 points 14.0% 15.0% 15.9% 0.94× 6.68
Over 248.5 points 13.7% 15.0% 15.6% 0.96× 6.68
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics to win both halves 51.7% 50.4% 25.2% 2.00× 1.99
Chicago Bulls to win both halves 4.5% 3.0% 17.8% 0.17× 33.56
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Celtics by 26+ 22.8% 24.0% 6.2% 3.88× 4.17
Boston Celtics by 11-15 13.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Boston Celtics by 16-20 13.5% 12.3% 7.3% 1.68× 8.11
Boston Celtics by 6-10 12.6% 12.3% 13.9% 0.88× 8.11
Boston Celtics by 21-25 11.7% 12.3% 4.7% 2.62× 8.11
Boston Celtics by 1-5 10.2% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.11
Chicago Bulls by 1-5 6.8% 7.5% 12.3% 0.61× 13.40
Chicago Bulls by 6-10 4.2% 2.0% 12.3% 0.16× 49.29
Chicago Bulls by 11-15 2.3% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.31
Chicago Bulls by 16-20 1.2% 2.0% 4.9% 0.42× 49.32
Chicago Bulls by 21-25 0.5% 2.0% 3.0% 0.67× 49.32
Chicago Bulls by 26+ 0.3% 2.0% 3.9% 0.53× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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