Boston Celtics v New York Knicks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Boston Celtics

19:00

New York Knicks

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Boston Celtics win

46.5%

Draw

0.0%

New York Knicks win

53.5%

47053

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	47053	105.24–106.47	105-106 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to score 100+	72.4%	72.3%	85.9%	0.84×	1.38
Boston Celtics to score 100+	68.5%	63.8%	89.3%	0.72×	1.57
Both sides to score 100+	52.0%	52.3%	77.5%	0.68×	1.91
New York Knicks to score 110+	39.9%	36.1%	60.9%	0.59×	2.77
Boston Celtics to score 110+	35.9%	35.9%	67.0%	0.54×	2.78
New York Knicks to score 120+	13.4%	13.8%	29.7%	0.47×	7.23
Boston Celtics to score 120+	11.4%	13.8%	36.5%	0.38×	7.24
New York Knicks to score 130+	2.5%	0.4%	10.0%	0.04×	282.87
Boston Celtics to score 130+	2.0%	0.4%	12.8%	0.03×	282.96

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win H1	50.5%	51.8%	44.1%	1.17×	1.93
Boston Celtics to win H1	46.0%	47.3%	52.8%	0.90×	2.11
H1 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 122.5	82.2%	83.2%	74.0%	1.13×	1.20
H1 over 98.5	81.7%	83.2%	90.0%	0.92×	1.20
H1 under 119.5	83.5%	82.5%	65.9%	1.25×	1.21
H1 over 95.5	80.9%	82.5%	93.5%	0.88×	1.21
H1 under 118.5	73.2%	74.0%	62.9%	1.18×	1.35
H1 under 115.5	74.7%	73.5%	53.6%	1.37×	1.36
H1 over 99.5	71.4%	73.5%	88.5%	0.83×	1.36
H1 under 112.5	66.8%	67.4%	44.2%	1.53×	1.48
H1 over 105.5	64.5%	63.3%	75.8%	0.84×	1.58
H1 over 102.5	63.1%	62.7%	83.0%	0.76×	1.59
H1 under 110.5	61.1%	62.7%	38.1%	1.65×	1.59
H1 over 104.5	57.2%	58.2%	78.3%	0.74×	1.72
H1 under 108.5	55.1%	58.2%	32.3%	1.80×	1.72
H1 under 113.5	59.4%	58.2%	47.6%	1.22×	1.72
H1 under 107.5	52.0%	52.6%	29.6%	1.78×	1.90
H1 over 106.5	51.1%	52.6%	73.3%	0.72×	1.90
H1 under 111.5	53.4%	52.5%	41.0%	1.28×	1.90
H1 over 109.5	52.6%	52.5%	65.0%	0.81×	1.90
H1 under 109.5	47.4%	47.5%	35.0%	1.35×	2.11
H1 over 111.5	46.6%	47.5%	59.0%	0.81×	2.11
H1 under 106.5	48.9%	47.4%	26.7%	1.77×	2.11
H1 over 107.5	48.0%	47.4%	70.4%	0.67×	2.11
H1 over 113.5	40.6%	41.8%	52.4%	0.80×	2.39
H1 over 108.5	44.9%	41.8%	67.7%	0.62×	2.39
H1 under 104.5	42.8%	41.8%	21.7%	1.92×	2.39
H1 over 110.5	38.9%	37.3%	61.9%	0.60×	2.68
H1 under 102.5	36.9%	37.3%	17.0%	2.19×	2.68
H1 under 105.5	35.6%	36.7%	24.2%	1.51×	2.72
H1 over 112.5	33.2%	32.6%	55.8%	0.58×	3.07
H1 under 99.5	28.6%	26.5%	11.5%	2.31×	3.77
H1 over 115.5	25.3%	26.5%	46.4%	0.57×	3.77
H1 over 118.5	26.8%	26.0%	37.1%	0.70×	3.84
H1 under 95.5	19.1%	17.5%	6.5%	2.68×	5.72
H1 over 119.5	16.5%	17.5%	34.1%	0.51×	5.73
H1 under 98.5	18.3%	16.8%	10.0%	1.68×	5.96
H1 over 122.5	17.8%	16.8%	26.0%	0.64×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win H2	50.5%	51.2%	44.7%	1.15×	1.96
Boston Celtics to win H2	46.0%	47.1%	51.6%	0.91×	2.12
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 117.5	83.7%	81.8%	61.1%	1.34×	1.22
H2 over 93.5	81.1%	81.8%	92.5%	0.88×	1.22
H2 under 120.5	82.5%	81.5%	69.3%	1.18×	1.23
H2 over 96.5	81.8%	81.5%	89.3%	0.91×	1.23
H2 under 116.5	73.5%	72.5%	58.1%	1.25×	1.38
H2 under 113.5	74.9%	72.2%	50.1%	1.44×	1.39
H2 over 97.5	71.6%	72.2%	87.7%	0.82×	1.39
H2 under 110.5	66.9%	66.4%	41.9%	1.59×	1.51
H2 over 103.5	64.4%	62.6%	76.2%	0.82×	1.60
H2 over 100.5	63.2%	61.6%	82.4%	0.75×	1.62
H2 under 108.5	61.1%	61.6%	36.2%	1.70×	1.62
H2 under 111.5	59.7%	58.0%	44.7%	1.30×	1.72
H2 over 102.5	57.3%	57.3%	78.5%	0.73×	1.74
H2 under 106.5	55.1%	57.3%	31.2%	1.84×	1.74
H2 under 105.5	52.0%	52.4%	28.7%	1.83×	1.91
H2 over 104.5	51.1%	52.4%	73.9%	0.71×	1.91
H2 under 109.5	53.6%	52.1%	39.1%	1.33×	1.92
H2 over 107.5	52.5%	52.0%	66.2%	0.79×	1.92
H2 under 107.5	47.5%	48.0%	33.8%	1.42×	2.09
H2 over 109.5	46.4%	47.9%	60.9%	0.79×	2.09
H2 under 104.5	48.9%	47.6%	26.1%	1.82×	2.10
H2 over 105.5	48.0%	47.6%	71.3%	0.67×	2.10
H2 over 106.5	44.9%	42.7%	68.8%	0.62×	2.34
H2 under 102.5	42.7%	42.7%	21.5%	1.98×	2.34
H2 over 111.5	40.3%	42.0%	55.3%	0.76×	2.38
H2 over 108.5	38.9%	38.4%	63.8%	0.60×	2.61
H2 under 100.5	36.8%	38.4%	17.6%	2.18×	2.61
H2 under 103.5	35.6%	37.4%	23.8%	1.57×	2.67
H2 over 110.5	33.1%	33.6%	58.1%	0.58×	2.97
H2 under 97.5	28.4%	27.8%	12.3%	2.27×	3.59
H2 over 113.5	25.1%	27.8%	49.9%	0.56×	3.59
H2 over 116.5	26.5%	27.5%	41.9%	0.66×	3.64
H2 under 96.5	18.2%	18.5%	10.7%	1.72×	5.41
H2 over 120.5	17.5%	18.5%	30.7%	0.60×	5.41
H2 under 93.5	18.9%	18.2%	7.5%	2.41×	5.50
H2 over 117.5	16.3%	18.2%	38.9%	0.47×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks leading at half time	50.5%	51.8%	44.1%	1.17×	1.93
Boston Celtics leading at half time	46.0%	47.2%	52.8%	0.89×	2.12
Level at half time	3.5%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks +20.5	93.1%	91.1%	89.1%	1.02×	1.10
New York Knicks +18.5	91.1%	91.1%	86.4%	1.05×	1.10
Boston Celtics +20.5	90.5%	91.1%	93.1%	0.98×	1.10
New York Knicks +16.5	88.6%	85.9%	83.5%	1.03×	1.16
Boston Celtics +18.5	88.0%	85.9%	91.5%	0.94×	1.16
New York Knicks +14.5	85.7%	85.9%	80.1%	1.07×	1.16
Boston Celtics +16.5	85.0%	81.1%	89.7%	0.90×	1.23
New York Knicks +12.5	82.3%	81.1%	76.0%	1.07×	1.23
Boston Celtics +14.5	81.5%	81.1%	87.0%	0.93×	1.23
New York Knicks +10.5	78.5%	76.5%	71.0%	1.08×	1.31
Boston Celtics +12.5	77.5%	76.5%	83.9%	0.91×	1.31
New York Knicks +9.5	76.4%	76.5%	68.7%	1.11×	1.31
New York Knicks +8.5	74.2%	71.6%	65.9%	1.09×	1.40
Boston Celtics +10.5	73.1%	71.6%	80.3%	0.89×	1.40
New York Knicks +7.5	71.9%	71.6%	63.0%	1.14×	1.40
Boston Celtics +9.5	70.8%	71.6%	78.1%	0.92×	1.40
New York Knicks +6.5	69.5%	66.7%	60.0%	1.11×	1.50
Boston Celtics +8.5	68.3%	66.7%	75.7%	0.88×	1.50
New York Knicks +5.5	67.0%	66.7%	57.1%	1.17×	1.50
Boston Celtics +7.5	65.8%	66.7%	73.0%	0.91×	1.50
New York Knicks +4.5	64.4%	61.9%	54.1%	1.15×	1.62
Boston Celtics +6.5	63.2%	61.9%	70.6%	0.88×	1.62
New York Knicks +3.5	61.7%	61.9%	51.6%	1.20×	1.62
Boston Celtics +5.5	60.5%	61.9%	68.0%	0.91×	1.62
New York Knicks +2.5	59.0%	57.1%	49.1%	1.16×	1.75
Boston Celtics +4.5	57.8%	57.1%	65.7%	0.87×	1.75
New York Knicks +1.5	56.3%	57.1%	46.3%	1.23×	1.75
Boston Celtics +3.5	55.0%	52.4%	63.1%	0.83×	1.91
Boston Celtics +2.5	52.2%	52.4%	60.5%	0.87×	1.91
New York Knicks −1.5	50.7%	52.4%	42.1%	1.24×	1.91
Boston Celtics +1.5	49.3%	47.6%	57.9%	0.82×	2.10
New York Knicks −2.5	47.8%	47.6%	39.5%	1.20×	2.10
New York Knicks −3.5	45.0%	47.6%	36.9%	1.29×	2.10
Boston Celtics −1.5	43.7%	42.9%	53.7%	0.80×	2.33
New York Knicks −4.5	42.2%	42.9%	34.3%	1.25×	2.33
Boston Celtics −2.5	41.0%	42.9%	50.9%	0.84×	2.33
New York Knicks −5.5	39.5%	38.1%	32.0%	1.19×	2.63
Boston Celtics −3.5	38.3%	38.1%	48.4%	0.79×	2.63
New York Knicks −6.5	36.8%	38.1%	29.4%	1.30×	2.63
Boston Celtics −4.5	35.6%	38.1%	46.0%	0.83×	2.63
New York Knicks −7.5	34.2%	33.3%	27.0%	1.23×	3.01
Boston Celtics −5.5	33.0%	33.3%	42.9%	0.78×	3.01
New York Knicks −8.5	31.7%	33.3%	24.3%	1.37×	3.01
Boston Celtics −6.5	30.5%	33.3%	40.0%	0.83×	3.01
New York Knicks −9.5	29.2%	28.4%	21.9%	1.30×	3.53
Boston Celtics −7.5	28.1%	28.4%	37.0%	0.77×	3.53
New York Knicks −10.5	26.9%	28.4%	19.7%	1.44×	3.53
Boston Celtics −8.5	25.8%	28.4%	34.1%	0.83×	3.53
Boston Celtics −9.5	23.6%	23.5%	31.3%	0.75×	4.25
Boston Celtics −10.5	21.5%	23.5%	29.0%	0.81×	4.25
New York Knicks −12.5	22.5%	23.5%	16.1%	1.46×	4.25
New York Knicks −14.5	18.5%	18.9%	13.0%	1.45×	5.29
Boston Celtics −12.5	17.7%	18.9%	24.0%	0.79×	5.29
New York Knicks −16.5	15.0%	18.9%	10.3%	1.83×	5.30
Boston Celtics −14.5	14.3%	14.1%	19.9%	0.71×	7.09
New York Knicks −18.5	12.0%	14.1%	8.5%	1.66×	7.09
Boston Celtics −16.5	11.4%	14.1%	16.5%	0.86×	7.09
Boston Celtics −18.5	8.9%	8.9%	13.6%	0.65×	11.25
New York Knicks −20.5	9.5%	8.9%	6.9%	1.29×	11.25
Boston Celtics −20.5	6.9%	8.9%	10.9%	0.82×	11.25

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.1%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.9%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.7%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.5%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.8%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks at HT / New York Knicks at FT	38.5%	37.8%	30.9%	1.22×	2.65
Boston Celtics at HT / Boston Celtics at FT	32.8%	33.2%	40.8%	0.82×	3.01
Boston Celtics at HT / New York Knicks at FT	13.2%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.17
New York Knicks at HT / Boston Celtics at FT	12.0%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.18
Level at HT / Boston Celtics at FT	1.7%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.76
Level at HT / New York Knicks at FT	1.8%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win	53.5%	51.0%	44.3%	1.15×	1.96
Boston Celtics to win	46.5%	49.0%	55.7%	0.88×	2.04

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.4%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Boston Celtics even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
New York Knicks even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Boston Celtics odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
New York Knicks odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.6%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	92.8%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.2%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win Q1	49.1%	47.6%	44.1%	1.08×	2.10
Boston Celtics to win Q1	46.1%	47.6%	51.3%	0.93×	2.10
Q1 tied	4.8%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 63.5	83.0%	83.2%	76.8%	1.08×	1.20
Q1 over 47.5	82.0%	83.2%	88.2%	0.94×	1.20
Q1 over 45.5	82.9%	82.8%	92.0%	0.90×	1.21
Q1 under 61.5	82.5%	82.8%	68.5%	1.21×	1.21
Q1 under 60.5	72.7%	73.1%	64.5%	1.13×	1.37
Q1 over 48.5	72.4%	72.7%	85.6%	0.85×	1.38
Q1 under 58.5	71.9%	72.7%	55.7%	1.30×	1.38
Q1 over 50.5	64.1%	61.7%	79.4%	0.78×	1.62
Q1 under 56.5	63.5%	61.7%	45.4%	1.36×	1.62
Q1 under 55.5	50.8%	52.7%	40.8%	1.29×	1.90
Q1 over 52.5	55.0%	52.7%	72.4%	0.73×	1.90
Q1 under 54.5	54.4%	52.7%	36.7%	1.44×	1.90
Q1 over 53.5	50.3%	52.7%	68.2%	0.77×	1.90
Q1 under 53.5	49.7%	47.3%	31.8%	1.49×	2.11
Q1 over 54.5	45.6%	47.3%	63.3%	0.75×	2.11
Q1 under 52.5	45.0%	47.3%	27.6%	1.71×	2.11
Q1 over 55.5	49.2%	47.3%	59.2%	0.80×	2.11
Q1 over 56.5	36.5%	38.3%	54.6%	0.70×	2.61
Q1 under 50.5	35.9%	38.3%	20.6%	1.86×	2.61
Q1 over 58.5	28.1%	27.3%	44.3%	0.62×	3.66
Q1 under 48.5	27.6%	27.3%	14.4%	1.89×	3.66
Q1 over 60.5	27.3%	26.9%	35.5%	0.76×	3.72
Q1 over 61.5	17.5%	17.2%	31.5%	0.55×	5.83
Q1 under 45.5	17.1%	17.2%	8.0%	2.14×	5.83
Q1 under 47.5	18.0%	16.8%	11.8%	1.43×	5.95
Q1 over 63.5	17.0%	16.8%	23.2%	0.72×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win Q2	49.1%	47.0%	46.2%	1.02×	2.13
Boston Celtics to win Q2	46.1%	47.0%	49.3%	0.95×	2.13
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 63.5	83.7%	83.1%	77.5%	1.07×	1.20
Q2 over 47.5	81.0%	83.1%	87.2%	0.95×	1.20
Q2 under 61.5	83.2%	83.0%	70.4%	1.18×	1.21
Q2 over 45.5	81.9%	83.0%	91.4%	0.91×	1.21
Q2 under 60.5	73.7%	73.0%	65.7%	1.11×	1.37
Q2 under 58.5	72.9%	72.0%	57.3%	1.26×	1.39
Q2 over 48.5	71.2%	72.0%	84.7%	0.85×	1.39
Q2 under 56.5	64.7%	60.7%	48.3%	1.26×	1.65
Q2 over 50.5	62.8%	60.7%	78.1%	0.78×	1.65
Q2 under 54.5	55.6%	58.2%	38.9%	1.49×	1.72
Q2 over 52.5	53.7%	52.7%	70.3%	0.75×	1.90
Q2 under 53.5	51.0%	52.7%	34.2%	1.54×	1.90
Q2 under 55.5	52.1%	52.2%	43.7%	1.19×	1.92
Q2 over 55.5	47.9%	47.8%	56.3%	0.85×	2.09
Q2 over 53.5	49.0%	47.3%	65.8%	0.72×	2.11
Q2 under 52.5	46.3%	47.3%	29.7%	1.59×	2.11
Q2 over 54.5	44.4%	41.8%	61.1%	0.69×	2.39
Q2 under 50.5	37.2%	39.3%	21.9%	1.79×	2.55
Q2 over 56.5	35.3%	39.3%	51.7%	0.76×	2.55
Q2 under 48.5	28.8%	28.0%	15.3%	1.83×	3.57
Q2 over 58.5	27.1%	28.0%	42.7%	0.66×	3.57
Q2 over 60.5	26.3%	27.0%	34.3%	0.79×	3.71
Q2 under 45.5	18.1%	17.0%	8.6%	1.98×	5.88
Q2 over 61.5	16.8%	17.0%	29.6%	0.57×	5.88
Q2 under 47.5	19.0%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.93
Q2 over 63.5	16.3%	16.9%	22.5%	0.75×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win Q3	49.2%	47.6%	44.3%	1.07×	2.10
Boston Celtics to win Q3	46.1%	47.5%	50.9%	0.93×	2.10
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 45.5	83.6%	82.3%	92.4%	0.89×	1.22
Q3 under 61.5	82.3%	82.3%	67.7%	1.22×	1.22
Q3 under 63.5	82.8%	82.2%	75.9%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 over 47.5	82.7%	82.2%	88.1%	0.93×	1.22
Q3 under 60.5	72.3%	72.5%	63.5%	1.14×	1.38
Q3 over 48.5	73.2%	71.8%	85.6%	0.84×	1.39
Q3 under 58.5	71.6%	71.8%	54.8%	1.31×	1.39
Q3 over 50.5	64.9%	62.0%	79.7%	0.78×	1.61
Q3 under 56.5	63.0%	61.9%	45.0%	1.38×	1.61
Q3 over 52.5	55.7%	58.4%	72.2%	0.81×	1.71
Q3 under 55.5	50.1%	52.6%	40.1%	1.31×	1.90
Q3 under 54.5	53.7%	52.3%	36.1%	1.45×	1.91
Q3 over 53.5	51.0%	52.3%	68.3%	0.77×	1.91
Q3 under 53.5	49.0%	47.7%	31.7%	1.51×	2.10
Q3 over 54.5	46.3%	47.7%	63.9%	0.75×	2.10
Q3 over 55.5	49.9%	47.4%	59.9%	0.79×	2.11
Q3 under 52.5	44.3%	41.6%	27.8%	1.50×	2.40
Q3 over 56.5	37.0%	38.1%	55.0%	0.69×	2.63
Q3 under 50.5	35.1%	38.0%	20.3%	1.88×	2.63
Q3 over 58.5	28.4%	28.2%	45.2%	0.62×	3.55
Q3 under 48.5	26.8%	28.2%	14.4%	1.96×	3.55
Q3 over 60.5	27.7%	27.5%	36.5%	0.75×	3.64
Q3 under 47.5	17.3%	17.8%	11.9%	1.50×	5.62
Q3 over 63.5	17.2%	17.8%	24.1%	0.74×	5.62
Q3 over 61.5	17.7%	17.7%	32.3%	0.55×	5.66
Q3 under 45.5	16.5%	17.7%	7.6%	2.34×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win Q4	49.1%	47.6%	46.4%	1.03×	2.10
Boston Celtics to win Q4	46.1%	47.6%	48.3%	0.98×	2.10
Q4 tied	4.9%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 59.5	83.2%	82.0%	70.2%	1.17×	1.22
Q4 over 43.5	81.1%	82.0%	89.8%	0.91×	1.22
Q4 under 61.5	84.0%	81.9%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Q4 over 45.5	80.0%	78.4%	84.6%	0.93×	1.28
Q4 under 58.5	74.2%	72.3%	66.2%	1.09×	1.38
Q4 under 56.5	73.1%	71.5%	57.2%	1.25×	1.40
Q4 over 46.5	70.4%	71.5%	81.7%	0.88×	1.40
Q4 under 54.5	65.0%	67.4%	48.6%	1.39×	1.48
Q4 over 48.5	62.0%	61.4%	75.5%	0.81×	1.63
Q4 under 52.5	56.2%	58.4%	39.6%	1.47×	1.71
Q4 over 50.5	53.0%	52.5%	68.5%	0.77×	1.91
Q4 under 51.5	51.6%	52.5%	35.3%	1.49×	1.91
Q4 under 53.5	53.0%	52.3%	44.3%	1.18×	1.91
Q4 over 53.5	47.0%	47.7%	55.7%	0.86×	2.10
Q4 over 51.5	48.4%	47.5%	64.7%	0.73×	2.11
Q4 under 50.5	47.0%	47.5%	31.5%	1.51×	2.11
Q4 over 52.5	43.8%	41.6%	60.4%	0.69×	2.40
Q4 under 48.5	38.0%	38.6%	24.5%	1.57×	2.59
Q4 over 54.5	35.0%	32.6%	51.4%	0.63×	3.07
Q4 under 46.5	29.6%	28.5%	18.3%	1.56×	3.51
Q4 over 56.5	26.9%	28.5%	42.8%	0.67×	3.51
Q4 over 58.5	25.8%	27.7%	33.8%	0.82×	3.61
Q4 under 45.5	20.0%	21.6%	15.4%	1.41×	4.62
Q4 over 61.5	16.0%	18.1%	22.5%	0.80×	5.54
Q4 under 43.5	18.9%	18.0%	10.2%	1.77×	5.56
Q4 over 59.5	16.8%	18.0%	29.8%	0.60×	5.56

Team total 68

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks under 116.5	80.3%	80.7%	61.5%	1.31×	1.24
Boston Celtics under 115.5	80.7%	80.7%	51.6%	1.56×	1.24
New York Knicks over 96.5	80.3%	80.7%	90.8%	0.89×	1.24
Boston Celtics under 119.5	80.2%	80.3%	63.5%	1.27×	1.25
New York Knicks under 119.5	79.7%	78.3%	70.3%	1.11×	1.28
Boston Celtics over 99.5	78.9%	78.3%	89.3%	0.88×	1.28
Boston Celtics over 95.5	79.4%	75.1%	94.0%	0.80×	1.33
Boston Celtics under 116.5	72.6%	71.9%	54.7%	1.31×	1.39
New York Knicks over 102.5	71.7%	71.8%	79.7%	0.90×	1.39
New York Knicks under 113.5	72.5%	70.7%	52.0%	1.36×	1.41
Boston Celtics under 112.5	73.1%	70.7%	42.3%	1.67×	1.41
New York Knicks over 99.5	72.4%	70.7%	85.9%	0.82×	1.41
Boston Celtics over 98.5	71.5%	70.7%	90.6%	0.78×	1.41
Boston Celtics under 114.5	66.8%	66.6%	48.6%	1.37×	1.50
New York Knicks under 114.5	66.2%	66.6%	55.5%	1.20×	1.50
New York Knicks over 104.5	65.9%	66.6%	75.0%	0.89×	1.50
Boston Celtics under 110.5	67.2%	66.4%	35.9%	1.85×	1.51
New York Knicks under 111.5	66.5%	66.4%	45.4%	1.46×	1.51
New York Knicks over 101.5	66.5%	66.4%	82.0%	0.81×	1.51
Boston Celtics over 100.5	65.5%	66.4%	87.7%	0.76×	1.51
Boston Celtics under 108.5	60.9%	61.2%	30.1%	2.03×	1.63
New York Knicks under 109.5	60.1%	61.2%	39.1%	1.57×	1.63
New York Knicks over 103.5	60.1%	61.2%	77.5%	0.79×	1.63
New York Knicks under 112.5	60.0%	57.9%	48.5%	1.19×	1.73
Boston Celtics over 102.5	59.1%	57.1%	84.2%	0.68×	1.75
Boston Celtics under 106.5	54.3%	52.3%	24.9%	2.10×	1.91
New York Knicks under 107.5	53.4%	52.3%	33.4%	1.57×	1.91
Boston Celtics over 104.5	52.4%	52.3%	79.8%	0.66×	1.91
Boston Celtics under 105.5	51.0%	52.3%	22.6%	2.31×	1.91
New York Knicks over 105.5	53.4%	52.3%	71.9%	0.73×	1.91
New York Knicks under 106.5	50.0%	52.3%	31.1%	1.68×	1.91
New York Knicks over 108.5	53.1%	52.2%	64.0%	0.82×	1.91
New York Knicks under 110.5	53.5%	52.2%	42.1%	1.24×	1.91
Boston Celtics under 109.5	50.9%	52.2%	33.0%	1.58×	1.91
Boston Celtics over 109.5	49.1%	47.8%	67.0%	0.71×	2.09
New York Knicks under 108.5	46.9%	47.8%	36.0%	1.33×	2.09
New York Knicks over 110.5	46.5%	47.8%	57.9%	0.83×	2.09
New York Knicks over 106.5	50.0%	47.7%	68.9%	0.69×	2.09
New York Knicks over 107.5	46.6%	47.7%	66.6%	0.72×	2.09
Boston Celtics under 104.5	47.6%	47.7%	20.2%	2.36×	2.09
Boston Celtics over 105.5	49.0%	47.7%	77.4%	0.62×	2.09
New York Knicks under 105.5	46.6%	47.7%	28.1%	1.70×	2.09
Boston Celtics over 106.5	45.7%	47.7%	75.1%	0.64×	2.09
Boston Celtics under 102.5	40.9%	42.9%	15.8%	2.71×	2.33
New York Knicks over 112.5	40.0%	42.1%	51.5%	0.82×	2.38
New York Knicks over 109.5	39.9%	38.8%	60.9%	0.64×	2.58
New York Knicks under 103.5	39.9%	38.8%	22.5%	1.72×	2.58
Boston Celtics over 108.5	39.1%	38.8%	69.9%	0.56×	2.58
Boston Celtics under 100.5	34.5%	33.6%	12.3%	2.73×	2.98
New York Knicks over 111.5	33.5%	33.6%	54.6%	0.62×	2.98
New York Knicks under 101.5	33.5%	33.6%	18.0%	1.86×	2.98
Boston Celtics over 110.5	32.8%	33.6%	64.1%	0.52×	2.98
New York Knicks under 104.5	34.1%	33.4%	25.0%	1.34×	2.99
New York Knicks over 114.5	33.8%	33.4%	44.5%	0.75×	2.99
Boston Celtics over 114.5	33.2%	33.4%	51.4%	0.65×	3.00
Boston Celtics under 98.5	28.6%	29.3%	9.4%	3.11×	3.42
New York Knicks over 113.5	27.5%	29.3%	48.0%	0.61×	3.42
Boston Celtics over 112.5	26.9%	29.3%	57.7%	0.51×	3.42
New York Knicks under 99.5	27.6%	29.3%	14.1%	2.07×	3.42
New York Knicks under 102.5	28.3%	28.2%	20.3%	1.39×	3.55
Boston Celtics over 116.5	27.4%	28.2%	45.3%	0.62×	3.55
Boston Celtics under 95.5	20.6%	24.9%	6.0%	4.12×	4.02
Boston Celtics under 99.5	21.1%	21.7%	10.7%	2.02×	4.60
New York Knicks over 119.5	20.3%	21.7%	29.7%	0.73×	4.61
Boston Celtics over 119.5	19.8%	19.7%	36.5%	0.54×	5.07
New York Knicks over 116.5	19.7%	19.3%	38.5%	0.50×	5.18
Boston Celtics over 115.5	19.3%	19.3%	48.4%	0.40×	5.18
New York Knicks under 96.5	19.7%	19.3%	9.2%	2.09×	5.18

Total points 52

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 198.5 points	85.9%	85.5%	93.6%	0.91×	1.17
Under 238.5 points	85.4%	85.5%	70.9%	1.21×	1.17
Over 191.5 points	86.4%	85.0%	97.0%	0.88×	1.18
Under 231.5 points	85.9%	85.0%	57.4%	1.48×	1.18
Over 203.5 points	79.0%	78.1%	89.8%	0.87×	1.28
Under 233.5 points	78.5%	78.1%	61.4%	1.27×	1.28
Over 196.5 points	79.6%	75.6%	94.9%	0.80×	1.32
Under 226.5 points	78.9%	75.6%	47.3%	1.60×	1.32
Over 201.5 points	71.0%	70.8%	91.5%	0.77×	1.41
Under 221.5 points	70.3%	70.8%	37.8%	1.87×	1.41
Under 228.5 points	69.9%	66.6%	51.3%	1.30×	1.50
Over 204.5 points	65.3%	65.9%	88.9%	0.74×	1.52
Under 225.5 points	64.2%	61.8%	45.3%	1.36×	1.62
Over 213.5 points	60.8%	61.7%	76.4%	0.81×	1.62
Under 223.5 points	60.2%	61.7%	41.7%	1.48×	1.62
Under 218.5 points	64.4%	61.5%	32.2%	1.91×	1.63
Over 206.5 points	61.2%	61.5%	86.7%	0.71×	1.63
Under 216.5 points	60.3%	61.5%	28.4%	2.16×	1.63
Under 214.5 points	56.0%	56.5%	24.9%	2.27×	1.77
Over 208.5 points	56.9%	56.5%	84.1%	0.67×	1.77
Over 215.5 points	56.7%	56.0%	73.4%	0.76×	1.79
Over 210.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	81.4%	0.64×	1.91
Under 212.5 points	51.7%	52.3%	22.2%	2.36×	1.91
Over 211.5 points	50.4%	52.3%	79.7%	0.66×	1.91
Over 217.5 points	52.5%	52.2%	69.6%	0.75×	1.92
Under 219.5 points	51.8%	52.2%	33.9%	1.54×	1.92
Over 219.5 points	48.2%	47.8%	66.1%	0.72×	2.09
Under 217.5 points	47.5%	47.8%	30.4%	1.57×	2.09
Under 211.5 points	49.6%	47.7%	20.3%	2.34×	2.10
Under 210.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	18.6%	2.56×	2.10
Over 212.5 points	48.3%	47.7%	77.8%	0.61×	2.10
Under 215.5 points	43.3%	44.0%	26.6%	1.65×	2.27
Over 214.5 points	44.0%	43.5%	75.1%	0.58×	2.30
Under 208.5 points	43.1%	43.5%	15.9%	2.73×	2.30
Over 216.5 points	39.7%	38.5%	71.6%	0.54×	2.60
Under 206.5 points	38.8%	38.5%	13.3%	2.90×	2.60
Over 218.5 points	35.6%	38.5%	67.8%	0.57×	2.60
Over 223.5 points	39.9%	38.3%	58.3%	0.66×	2.61
Under 213.5 points	39.2%	38.3%	23.6%	1.62×	2.61
Over 225.5 points	35.8%	38.2%	54.7%	0.70×	2.62
Under 204.5 points	34.7%	34.1%	11.1%	3.07×	2.93
Over 228.5 points	30.1%	33.4%	48.7%	0.68×	3.00
Over 221.5 points	29.7%	29.2%	62.2%	0.47×	3.43
Under 201.5 points	29.0%	29.2%	8.5%	3.43×	3.43
Over 226.5 points	21.1%	24.4%	52.7%	0.46×	4.10
Under 196.5 points	20.4%	24.4%	5.1%	4.77×	4.10
Over 233.5 points	21.5%	21.9%	38.6%	0.57×	4.57
Under 203.5 points	21.0%	21.9%	10.2%	2.15×	4.57
Over 231.5 points	14.1%	15.0%	42.6%	0.35×	6.68
Under 191.5 points	13.6%	15.0%	3.0%	5.07×	6.68
Over 238.5 points	14.6%	14.5%	29.1%	0.50×	6.88
Under 198.5 points	14.1%	14.5%	6.4%	2.27×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York Knicks to win both halves	23.3%	23.1%	17.8%	1.29×	4.34
Boston Celtics to win both halves	19.0%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics by 1-5	13.5%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
New York Knicks by 1-5	14.0%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
New York Knicks by 6-10	12.6%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Boston Celtics by 6-10	11.5%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
New York Knicks by 11-15	10.2%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
Boston Celtics by 11-15	8.7%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
New York Knicks by 16-20	7.3%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Boston Celtics by 16-20	5.9%	7.5%	7.3%	1.02×	13.40
Boston Celtics by 21-25	3.5%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.30
New York Knicks by 21-25	4.6%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.29
New York Knicks by 26+	4.8%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.29
Boston Celtics by 26+	3.4%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.30

Boston Celtics v New York Knicks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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