Bowling Green Falcons v Niagara Purple Eagles — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 12 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 74.60–61.53 | 75-62 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons to score 100+ | 0.5% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 0.10× | 283.25 |
| Bowling Green Falcons to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.35 |
| Bowling Green Falcons to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.36 |
| Bowling Green Falcons to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.36 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.36 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.36 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons to win H1 | 74.7% | 73.0% | 57.9% | 1.26× | 1.37 |
| Bowling Green Falcons to win H1 | 74.6% | 73.0% | 57.9% | 1.26× | 1.37 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win H1 | 21.9% | 21.4% | 38.2% | 0.56× | 4.68 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win H1 | 21.8% | 21.4% | 38.2% | 0.56× | 4.68 |
| H1 tied | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
| H1 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 52.5 | 87.4% | 87.7% | 93.8% | 0.94× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 87.1% | 87.7% | 75.5% | 1.16× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 78.5% | 77.4% | 87.5% | 0.89× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 78.2% | 77.4% | 63.3% | 1.22× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 77.5% | 77.4% | 63.3% | 1.22× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 77.7% | 77.4% | 87.5% | 0.89× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 68.1% | 67.4% | 53.1% | 1.27× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 68.9% | 67.4% | 80.7% | 0.84× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 68.7% | 67.4% | 53.1% | 1.27× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 80.7% | 0.84× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 61.6% | 62.7% | 74.9% | 0.84× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 61.5% | 62.7% | 45.6% | 1.38× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 61.3% | 62.7% | 74.9% | 0.84× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 61.1% | 62.7% | 45.6% | 1.38× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 54.0% | 52.6% | 69.0% | 0.76× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 53.8% | 52.6% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 53.8% | 52.6% | 69.0% | 0.76× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 53.7% | 52.6% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 50.1% | 52.6% | 65.3% | 0.81× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 50.1% | 52.6% | 65.3% | 0.81× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 49.9% | 47.4% | 34.8% | 1.36× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 49.9% | 47.4% | 34.8% | 1.36× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 46.0% | 47.4% | 31.0% | 1.53× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 46.2% | 47.4% | 61.9% | 0.77× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 46.2% | 47.4% | 31.0% | 1.53× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 46.3% | 47.4% | 61.9% | 0.77× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 38.4% | 37.3% | 25.1% | 1.48× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 38.5% | 37.3% | 54.4% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 38.7% | 37.3% | 25.1% | 1.48× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 38.9% | 37.3% | 54.4% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 19.3% | 1.69× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 31.3% | 32.6% | 46.9% | 0.69× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 19.3% | 1.69× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 31.9% | 32.6% | 46.9% | 0.69× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 22.5% | 22.6% | 36.7% | 0.62× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 22.3% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 1.80× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 21.5% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 1.80× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 21.8% | 22.6% | 36.7% | 0.62× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 24.5% | 0.50× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 12.6% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.97× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons to win H2 | 76.4% | 73.9% | 56.9% | 1.30× | 1.35 |
| Bowling Green Falcons to win H2 | 76.3% | 73.9% | 57.5% | 1.29× | 1.35 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win H2 | 20.4% | 26.8% | 38.5% | 0.70× | 3.73 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win H2 | 20.4% | 26.8% | 38.9% | 0.69× | 3.73 |
| H2 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.36 |
| H2 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.36 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 84.5 | 86.9% | 85.2% | 70.5% | 1.21× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 84.8% | 81.8% | 92.7% | 0.88× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 77.8% | 75.8% | 59.2% | 1.28× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 78.5% | 75.8% | 62.9% | 1.21× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 75.3% | 75.8% | 85.3% | 0.89× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 74.7% | 72.2% | 86.5% | 0.83× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 69.1% | 66.4% | 49.8% | 1.33× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 69.7% | 66.4% | 53.0% | 1.25× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 65.8% | 66.4% | 78.2% | 0.85× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 65.4% | 66.4% | 80.0% | 0.83× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 62.6% | 61.6% | 43.6% | 1.41× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 63.0% | 61.6% | 46.6% | 1.32× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 58.8% | 57.3% | 72.8% | 0.79× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 58.5% | 57.3% | 74.8% | 0.77× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 55.7% | 57.3% | 36.9% | 1.55× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 55.8% | 57.3% | 39.6% | 1.45× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 51.4% | 52.4% | 68.8% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 34.1% | 1.54× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 51.5% | 52.4% | 66.4% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 52.2% | 52.4% | 36.6% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 31.2% | 1.52× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 65.9% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 48.5% | 47.6% | 33.6% | 1.42× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 47.8% | 47.6% | 63.4% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 44.3% | 42.7% | 63.1% | 0.68× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 44.2% | 42.7% | 60.4% | 0.71× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 41.5% | 42.7% | 25.2% | 1.69× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 41.2% | 42.7% | 27.2% | 1.57× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 37.4% | 38.4% | 56.4% | 0.68× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 37.0% | 38.4% | 53.4% | 0.72× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 34.6% | 33.6% | 20.0% | 1.68× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 34.2% | 33.6% | 21.8% | 1.55× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 30.9% | 33.6% | 50.2% | 0.67× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 30.4% | 33.6% | 47.0% | 0.72× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 25.3% | 27.8% | 13.5% | 2.06× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 24.7% | 24.2% | 14.7% | 1.64× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 22.2% | 24.2% | 40.8% | 0.59× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 21.5% | 24.2% | 37.1% | 0.65× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 15.2% | 18.2% | 7.3% | 2.50× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 13.1% | 14.8% | 29.5% | 0.50× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons leading at half time | 74.6% | 73.5% | 57.9% | 1.27× | 1.36 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles leading at half time | 21.9% | 20.9% | 38.2% | 0.55× | 4.78 |
| Level at half time | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons +14.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +16.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 94.0% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +18.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +20.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +5.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 76.4% | 1.28× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +6.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 78.8% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +7.5 | 97.2% | 97.4% | 81.0% | 1.20× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +8.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 83.3% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +9.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 85.3% | 1.14× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +10.5 | 98.6% | 97.4% | 87.2% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +12.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 89.9% | 1.08× | 1.03 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +4.5 | 94.8% | 91.1% | 73.7% | 1.24× | 1.10 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +2.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 68.0% | 1.34× | 1.10 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +3.5 | 93.7% | 91.1% | 70.8% | 1.29× | 1.10 |
| Bowling Green Falcons +1.5 | 91.0% | 91.1% | 65.4% | 1.39× | 1.10 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −1.5 | 87.4% | 85.9% | 60.8% | 1.41× | 1.16 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −2.5 | 85.1% | 85.9% | 57.7% | 1.49× | 1.16 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −3.5 | 82.7% | 81.1% | 54.1% | 1.50× | 1.23 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −4.5 | 80.0% | 76.5% | 50.7% | 1.51× | 1.31 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −5.5 | 77.1% | 76.5% | 47.0% | 1.63× | 1.31 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +20.5 | 75.7% | 76.5% | 86.5% | 0.88× | 1.31 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −6.5 | 74.0% | 71.6% | 44.3% | 1.62× | 1.40 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −7.5 | 70.8% | 71.6% | 41.3% | 1.73× | 1.40 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +18.5 | 69.4% | 66.7% | 83.9% | 0.80× | 1.50 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −8.5 | 67.4% | 66.7% | 38.5% | 1.74× | 1.50 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −9.5 | 63.8% | 61.9% | 35.5% | 1.75× | 1.62 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +16.5 | 62.4% | 61.9% | 80.7% | 0.77× | 1.62 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −10.5 | 60.1% | 61.9% | 32.6% | 1.90× | 1.62 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +14.5 | 55.0% | 57.1% | 77.2% | 0.74× | 1.75 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −12.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 27.6% | 1.90× | 1.91 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +12.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 72.4% | 0.66× | 2.10 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −14.5 | 45.0% | 42.9% | 22.8% | 1.88× | 2.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +10.5 | 39.9% | 38.1% | 67.4% | 0.57× | 2.63 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −16.5 | 37.6% | 38.1% | 19.3% | 1.97× | 2.63 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +9.5 | 36.2% | 38.1% | 64.5% | 0.59× | 2.63 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +8.5 | 32.6% | 33.3% | 61.5% | 0.54× | 3.01 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −18.5 | 30.6% | 33.3% | 16.1% | 2.06× | 3.01 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +7.5 | 29.2% | 28.4% | 58.7% | 0.48× | 3.53 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +6.5 | 26.0% | 28.4% | 55.7% | 0.51× | 3.53 |
| Bowling Green Falcons −20.5 | 24.3% | 23.5% | 13.5% | 1.75× | 4.25 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +5.5 | 22.9% | 23.5% | 53.0% | 0.44× | 4.25 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +4.5 | 20.0% | 23.5% | 49.3% | 0.48× | 4.25 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +3.5 | 17.3% | 18.9% | 45.9% | 0.41× | 5.29 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +2.5 | 14.9% | 14.1% | 42.3% | 0.33× | 7.09 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles +1.5 | 12.6% | 14.1% | 39.2% | 0.36× | 7.09 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −1.5 | 9.0% | 8.9% | 34.6% | 0.26× | 11.25 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −2.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 32.0% | 0.28× | 11.25 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −3.5 | 6.3% | 8.9% | 29.3% | 0.30× | 11.25 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −4.5 | 5.2% | 8.9% | 26.3% | 0.34× | 11.25 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −5.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 23.6% | 0.11× | 38.72 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −6.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 21.2% | 0.12× | 38.73 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −7.5 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 19.0% | 0.14× | 38.73 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −8.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 16.7% | 0.16× | 38.73 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −9.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 14.7% | 0.18× | 38.73 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −10.5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 12.8% | 0.20× | 38.73 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −12.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 0.26× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −14.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −16.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.43× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −18.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.74 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles −20.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 77.5% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 75.9% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 24.1% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| H1 highest scoring | 22.5% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons at HT / Bowling Green Falcons at FT | 71.0% | 73.1% | 48.6% | 1.50× | 1.37 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles at HT / Bowling Green Falcons at FT | 15.4% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 1.25× | 6.47 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles at HT / Niagara Purple Eagles at FT | 6.5% | 8.3% | 25.8% | 0.32× | 12.09 |
| Bowling Green Falcons at HT / Niagara Purple Eagles at FT | 3.6% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 0.22× | 47.73 |
| Level at HT / Bowling Green Falcons at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Niagara Purple Eagles at FT | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons to win | 89.4% | 85.6% | 63.2% | 1.35× | 1.17 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win | 10.6% | 14.4% | 36.8% | 0.39× | 6.93 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.9% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Bowling Green Falcons odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.1% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.9% | 94.0% | 94.2% | 1.00× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 1.04× | 16.66 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons under 85.5 | 86.5% | 83.9% | 78.6% | 1.07× | 1.19 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 51.5 | 86.0% | 83.9% | 95.9% | 0.88× | 1.19 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 71.5 | 85.4% | 83.9% | 51.8% | 1.62× | 1.19 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 65.5 | 83.3% | 80.7% | 81.1% | 0.99× | 1.24 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 82.5 | 78.6% | 75.1% | 70.8% | 1.06× | 1.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 54.5 | 77.5% | 75.1% | 92.6% | 0.81× | 1.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 68.5 | 76.9% | 75.1% | 41.6% | 1.81× | 1.33 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 68.5 | 74.4% | 70.7% | 72.7% | 0.97× | 1.41 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 80.5 | 72.1% | 70.7% | 64.9% | 1.09× | 1.41 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 56.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 89.8% | 0.79× | 1.41 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 66.5 | 70.0% | 70.7% | 35.3% | 2.01× | 1.41 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 70.5 | 67.3% | 66.4% | 66.7% | 1.00× | 1.51 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 78.5 | 64.8% | 61.2% | 58.4% | 1.05× | 1.63 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 58.5 | 62.7% | 61.2% | 86.2% | 0.71× | 1.63 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 64.5 | 62.3% | 61.2% | 29.3% | 2.09× | 1.63 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 72.5 | 59.5% | 57.1% | 60.8% | 0.94× | 1.75 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 76.5 | 56.9% | 57.1% | 52.3% | 1.09× | 1.75 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 60.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 82.0% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 62.5 | 54.1% | 52.3% | 23.4% | 2.23× | 1.91 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 74.5 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 54.1% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 75.5 | 52.8% | 52.3% | 49.0% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 61.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 79.3% | 0.66× | 1.91 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 61.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 20.7% | 2.31× | 2.09 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 74.5 | 48.6% | 47.7% | 45.9% | 1.04× | 2.09 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 75.5 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 51.0% | 0.94× | 2.09 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 60.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 18.0% | 2.65× | 2.09 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 62.5 | 45.9% | 47.7% | 76.6% | 0.62× | 2.09 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 76.5 | 43.1% | 42.9% | 47.7% | 0.90× | 2.33 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 72.5 | 40.5% | 42.9% | 39.2% | 1.09× | 2.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 58.5 | 37.3% | 38.8% | 13.8% | 2.82× | 2.58 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 64.5 | 37.7% | 38.8% | 70.7% | 0.55× | 2.58 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 78.5 | 35.2% | 38.8% | 41.6% | 0.93× | 2.58 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 70.5 | 32.7% | 33.6% | 33.3% | 1.01× | 2.98 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 56.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 10.2% | 2.88× | 3.42 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 66.5 | 30.0% | 29.3% | 64.7% | 0.45× | 3.42 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 80.5 | 27.9% | 29.3% | 35.1% | 0.83× | 3.42 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 68.5 | 25.6% | 29.3% | 27.3% | 1.07× | 3.42 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 54.5 | 22.5% | 24.9% | 7.4% | 3.37× | 4.02 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 68.5 | 23.1% | 24.9% | 58.4% | 0.43× | 4.02 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 82.5 | 21.4% | 24.9% | 29.2% | 0.85× | 4.02 |
| Bowling Green Falcons under 65.5 | 16.7% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 1.02× | 5.18 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles over 71.5 | 14.6% | 16.1% | 48.2% | 0.33× | 6.21 |
| Bowling Green Falcons over 85.5 | 13.5% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 0.75× | 6.21 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles under 51.5 | 14.0% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 3.89× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 116.5 points | 89.9% | 85.0% | 95.9% | 0.89× | 1.18 |
| Under 156.5 points | 89.7% | 85.0% | 69.8% | 1.22× | 1.18 |
| Under 151.5 points | 82.9% | 80.6% | 60.6% | 1.33× | 1.24 |
| Over 121.5 points | 82.8% | 80.6% | 92.1% | 0.87× | 1.24 |
| Under 146.5 points | 73.8% | 70.8% | 50.2% | 1.41× | 1.41 |
| Over 126.5 points | 73.4% | 70.8% | 87.0% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| Over 129.5 points | 66.8% | 65.9% | 83.3% | 0.79× | 1.52 |
| Under 143.5 points | 67.4% | 65.9% | 43.7% | 1.51× | 1.52 |
| Under 141.5 points | 62.7% | 61.5% | 39.6% | 1.55× | 1.63 |
| Over 131.5 points | 62.0% | 61.5% | 79.9% | 0.77× | 1.63 |
| Over 133.5 points | 57.1% | 56.5% | 76.4% | 0.74× | 1.77 |
| Under 139.5 points | 57.9% | 56.5% | 35.4% | 1.60× | 1.77 |
| Over 135.5 points | 52.1% | 52.3% | 72.9% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Under 137.5 points | 52.9% | 52.3% | 31.0% | 1.69× | 1.91 |
| Under 136.5 points | 50.3% | 52.3% | 28.9% | 1.81× | 1.91 |
| Over 136.5 points | 49.7% | 47.7% | 71.1% | 0.67× | 2.10 |
| Under 135.5 points | 47.9% | 47.7% | 27.1% | 1.76× | 2.10 |
| Over 137.5 points | 47.1% | 47.7% | 69.0% | 0.69× | 2.10 |
| Under 133.5 points | 42.9% | 43.5% | 23.6% | 1.84× | 2.30 |
| Over 139.5 points | 42.1% | 43.5% | 64.6% | 0.67× | 2.30 |
| Under 131.5 points | 38.0% | 38.5% | 20.1% | 1.92× | 2.60 |
| Over 141.5 points | 37.3% | 38.5% | 60.4% | 0.64× | 2.60 |
| Under 129.5 points | 33.2% | 34.1% | 16.7% | 2.04× | 2.93 |
| Over 143.5 points | 32.6% | 34.1% | 56.3% | 0.61× | 2.93 |
| Under 126.5 points | 26.6% | 29.2% | 13.0% | 2.24× | 3.43 |
| Over 146.5 points | 26.2% | 29.2% | 49.8% | 0.59× | 3.43 |
| Under 121.5 points | 17.2% | 19.4% | 7.9% | 2.47× | 5.15 |
| Over 151.5 points | 17.1% | 19.4% | 39.4% | 0.49× | 5.15 |
| Over 156.5 points | 10.3% | 15.0% | 30.2% | 0.50× | 6.69 |
| Under 116.5 points | 10.1% | 15.0% | 4.1% | 3.61× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons to win both halves | 54.5% | 50.5% | 33.2% | 1.52× | 1.98 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles to win both halves | 2.6% | 3.0% | 14.5% | 0.20× | 33.69 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons by 11-15 | 18.9% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 1.45× | 5.97 |
| Bowling Green Falcons by 6-10 | 17.0% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 1.16× | 5.97 |
| Bowling Green Falcons by 16-20 | 17.0% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Bowling Green Falcons by 1-5 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 0.76× | 8.11 |
| Bowling Green Falcons by 21-25 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 2.22× | 8.11 |
| Bowling Green Falcons by 26+ | 12.0% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 1.56× | 8.11 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 1-5 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 0.57× | 13.40 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 6-10 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.30 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 11-15 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 0.34× | 49.32 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 16-20 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 21-25 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.33 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.33 |