Brown Bears v Merrimack Warriors — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 20 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Brown Bears

19:00

Merrimack Warriors

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Brown Bears win

79.0%

Draw

0.0%

Merrimack Warriors win

21.0%

79021

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	79021	66.70–57.76	67-58 0%	51%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Merrimack Warriors to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
Merrimack Warriors to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Merrimack Warriors to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Merrimack Warriors to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36
Brown Bears to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.35
Brown Bears to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
Brown Bears to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Brown Bears to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears to win H1	66.6%	68.3%	56.4%	1.21×	1.47
Merrimack Warriors to win H1	29.4%	26.6%	39.9%	0.67×	3.77
H1 tied	4.0%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 72.5	89.7%	87.7%	83.6%	1.05×	1.14
H1 over 48.5	87.1%	87.7%	88.8%	0.99×	1.14
H1 under 68.5	80.8%	82.5%	73.5%	1.12×	1.21
H1 over 52.5	76.6%	77.4%	79.6%	0.97×	1.29
H1 under 65.5	71.7%	73.5%	63.9%	1.15×	1.36
H1 over 55.5	66.4%	67.4%	71.0%	0.95×	1.48
H1 under 63.5	64.7%	62.7%	57.1%	1.10×	1.59
H1 over 57.5	58.8%	58.2%	64.8%	0.90×	1.72
H1 under 61.5	57.0%	58.2%	49.8%	1.17×	1.72
H1 under 60.5	53.1%	52.6%	46.1%	1.14×	1.90
H1 over 59.5	50.9%	52.6%	57.8%	0.91×	1.90
H1 under 59.5	49.1%	47.4%	42.2%	1.12×	2.11
H1 over 60.5	46.9%	47.4%	53.9%	0.88×	2.11
H1 over 61.5	43.0%	41.8%	50.2%	0.83×	2.39
H1 under 57.5	41.2%	41.8%	35.2%	1.19×	2.39
H1 over 63.5	35.3%	37.3%	42.9%	0.87×	2.68
H1 under 55.5	33.6%	32.6%	29.0%	1.12×	3.07
H1 over 65.5	28.3%	26.5%	36.1%	0.73×	3.77
H1 under 52.5	23.4%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.43
H1 over 68.5	19.2%	17.5%	26.5%	0.66×	5.72
H1 under 48.5	12.9%	12.3%	11.2%	1.10×	8.14
H1 over 72.5	10.3%	12.3%	16.4%	0.75×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears to win H2	67.6%	62.8%	56.0%	1.12×	1.59
Merrimack Warriors to win H2	28.5%	31.3%	40.6%	0.77×	3.20
H2 tied	3.8%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 53.5	87.4%	85.2%	89.7%	0.95×	1.17
H2 under 77.5	87.4%	85.2%	77.9%	1.09×	1.17
H2 under 73.5	77.9%	75.8%	67.1%	1.13×	1.32
H2 over 57.5	77.6%	75.8%	82.2%	0.92×	1.32
H2 under 70.5	68.6%	66.4%	57.8%	1.15×	1.51
H2 over 60.5	68.0%	66.4%	74.5%	0.89×	1.51
H2 under 68.5	61.6%	61.6%	51.3%	1.20×	1.62
H2 over 62.5	60.9%	61.6%	68.3%	0.90×	1.62
H2 over 64.5	53.4%	52.4%	62.1%	0.84×	1.91
H2 under 66.5	54.2%	52.4%	44.6%	1.17×	1.91
H2 under 65.5	50.4%	52.4%	41.2%	1.27×	1.91
H2 over 65.5	49.6%	47.6%	58.8%	0.81×	2.10
H2 under 64.5	46.6%	47.6%	37.9%	1.26×	2.10
H2 over 66.5	45.8%	47.6%	55.4%	0.86×	2.10
H2 under 62.5	39.1%	38.4%	31.7%	1.21×	2.61
H2 over 68.5	38.4%	38.4%	48.7%	0.79×	2.61
H2 under 60.5	32.0%	33.6%	25.5%	1.32×	2.97
H2 over 70.5	31.4%	33.6%	42.2%	0.80×	2.97
H2 under 57.5	22.4%	24.2%	17.8%	1.36×	4.13
H2 over 73.5	22.1%	24.2%	32.9%	0.74×	4.13
H2 under 53.5	12.6%	14.8%	10.3%	1.43×	6.76
H2 over 77.5	12.6%	14.8%	22.1%	0.67×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears leading at half time	66.6%	68.4%	56.4%	1.21×	1.46
Merrimack Warriors leading at half time	29.4%	26.5%	39.9%	0.66×	3.77
Level at half time	4.0%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears +20.5	99.6%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Brown Bears +10.5	95.7%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
Brown Bears +12.5	97.1%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
Brown Bears +14.5	98.1%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Brown Bears +16.5	98.8%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Brown Bears +18.5	99.3%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Brown Bears +9.5	94.8%	91.1%	78.7%	1.16×	1.10
Brown Bears +7.5	92.6%	91.1%	74.5%	1.22×	1.10
Brown Bears +8.5	93.8%	91.1%	76.5%	1.19×	1.10
Brown Bears +6.5	91.2%	91.1%	72.3%	1.26×	1.10
Brown Bears +5.5	89.7%	85.9%	70.1%	1.23×	1.16
Brown Bears +4.5	87.9%	85.9%	67.8%	1.27×	1.16
Brown Bears +3.5	86.0%	85.9%	65.7%	1.31×	1.16
Merrimack Warriors +20.5	85.7%	85.9%	82.0%	1.05×	1.16
Brown Bears +2.5	83.9%	81.1%	63.3%	1.28×	1.23
Brown Bears +1.5	81.6%	81.1%	61.2%	1.32×	1.23
Merrimack Warriors +18.5	81.0%	81.1%	79.3%	1.02×	1.23
Brown Bears −1.5	76.1%	76.5%	58.7%	1.30×	1.31
Merrimack Warriors +16.5	75.6%	76.5%	75.7%	1.01×	1.31
Brown Bears −2.5	73.0%	71.6%	56.7%	1.26×	1.40
Brown Bears −3.5	69.8%	66.7%	54.2%	1.23×	1.50
Merrimack Warriors +14.5	69.4%	66.7%	72.1%	0.93×	1.50
Brown Bears −4.5	66.4%	66.7%	52.2%	1.28×	1.50
Brown Bears −5.5	62.9%	61.9%	49.7%	1.25×	1.62
Merrimack Warriors +12.5	62.7%	61.9%	67.9%	0.91×	1.62
Brown Bears −6.5	59.3%	57.1%	47.6%	1.20×	1.75
Brown Bears −7.5	55.6%	57.1%	44.8%	1.28×	1.75
Merrimack Warriors +10.5	55.5%	57.1%	63.2%	0.90×	1.75
Brown Bears −8.5	51.9%	52.4%	42.0%	1.25×	1.91
Merrimack Warriors +9.5	51.8%	52.4%	60.7%	0.86×	1.91
Brown Bears −9.5	48.2%	47.6%	39.3%	1.21×	2.10
Merrimack Warriors +8.5	48.1%	47.6%	58.0%	0.82×	2.10
Merrimack Warriors +7.5	44.4%	42.9%	55.2%	0.78×	2.33
Brown Bears −10.5	44.5%	42.9%	36.8%	1.17×	2.33
Merrimack Warriors +6.5	40.7%	42.9%	52.4%	0.82×	2.33
Merrimack Warriors +5.5	37.1%	38.1%	50.3%	0.76×	2.63
Brown Bears −12.5	37.3%	38.1%	32.1%	1.19×	2.63
Merrimack Warriors +4.5	33.6%	33.3%	47.8%	0.70×	3.01
Merrimack Warriors +3.5	30.2%	33.3%	45.8%	0.73×	3.01
Brown Bears −14.5	30.6%	33.3%	27.9%	1.19×	3.01
Merrimack Warriors +2.5	27.0%	28.4%	43.3%	0.66×	3.53
Brown Bears −16.5	24.4%	23.5%	24.3%	0.97×	4.25
Merrimack Warriors +1.5	23.9%	23.5%	41.3%	0.57×	4.25
Merrimack Warriors −1.5	18.4%	18.9%	38.8%	0.49×	5.29
Brown Bears −18.5	19.0%	18.9%	20.7%	0.91×	5.29
Merrimack Warriors −2.5	16.1%	18.9%	36.7%	0.52×	5.30
Merrimack Warriors −3.5	14.0%	14.1%	34.3%	0.41×	7.09
Brown Bears −20.5	14.3%	14.1%	18.0%	0.78×	7.09
Merrimack Warriors −4.5	12.1%	14.1%	32.2%	0.44×	7.09
Merrimack Warriors −5.5	10.3%	14.1%	29.9%	0.47×	7.09
Merrimack Warriors −6.5	8.8%	8.9%	27.7%	0.32×	11.25
Merrimack Warriors −7.5	7.4%	8.9%	25.5%	0.35×	11.25
Merrimack Warriors −8.5	6.2%	8.9%	23.5%	0.38×	11.25
Merrimack Warriors −9.5	5.2%	8.9%	21.3%	0.42×	11.25
Merrimack Warriors −10.5	4.3%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.72
Merrimack Warriors −12.5	2.9%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.73
Merrimack Warriors −14.5	1.9%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.73
Merrimack Warriors −16.5	1.2%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Merrimack Warriors −18.5	0.7%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Merrimack Warriors −20.5	0.4%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	71.1%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	28.9%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.1%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	32.3%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	17.5%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	16.1%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears at HT / Brown Bears at FT	60.1%	62.3%	48.3%	1.29×	1.61
Merrimack Warriors at HT / Brown Bears at FT	16.0%	15.4%	9.8%	1.58×	6.47
Merrimack Warriors at HT / Merrimack Warriors at FT	13.4%	12.2%	30.1%	0.41×	8.17
Brown Bears at HT / Merrimack Warriors at FT	6.5%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.09
Level at HT / Brown Bears at FT	3.0%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.74
Level at HT / Merrimack Warriors at FT	1.0%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears to win	79.0%	75.1%	59.9%	1.25×	1.33
Merrimack Warriors to win	21.0%	24.9%	40.1%	0.62×	4.02

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.4%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Merrimack Warriors even	50.2%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Brown Bears even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Merrimack Warriors odd	49.8%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Brown Bears odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Total points even	48.6%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.0%	94.0%	95.6%	0.98×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	5.0%	6.0%	4.4%	1.35×	16.66

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears to win Q1	59.9%	57.3%	54.7%	1.05×	1.75
Merrimack Warriors to win Q1	34.3%	30.4%	40.4%	0.75×	3.29
Q1 tied	5.8%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 38.5	89.6%	87.4%	84.8%	1.03×	1.14
Q1 over 22.5	87.0%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
Q1 under 35.5	79.2%	76.9%	73.2%	1.05×	1.30
Q1 over 25.5	75.1%	76.9%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
Q1 under 33.5	69.7%	67.6%	64.0%	1.06×	1.48
Q1 over 27.5	64.7%	61.7%	67.7%	0.91×	1.62
Q1 under 31.5	58.6%	58.6%	54.0%	1.09×	1.71
Q1 over 29.5	53.2%	52.7%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Q1 under 30.5	52.8%	52.7%	48.8%	1.08×	1.90
Q1 over 30.5	47.2%	47.3%	51.2%	0.92×	2.11
Q1 under 29.5	46.8%	47.3%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11
Q1 over 31.5	41.4%	41.4%	46.0%	0.90×	2.42
Q1 under 27.5	35.3%	38.3%	32.3%	1.18×	2.61
Q1 over 33.5	30.3%	32.4%	36.0%	0.90×	3.08
Q1 under 25.5	24.9%	23.1%	22.4%	1.03×	4.33
Q1 over 35.5	20.8%	23.1%	26.8%	0.86×	4.33
Q1 under 22.5	13.0%	12.6%	11.2%	1.12×	7.95
Q1 over 38.5	10.5%	12.6%	15.2%	0.83×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears to win Q2	59.6%	59.4%	52.9%	1.12×	1.68
Merrimack Warriors to win Q2	34.7%	31.9%	41.5%	0.77×	3.14
Q2 tied	5.7%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 21.5	89.0%	87.3%	90.2%	0.97×	1.15
Q2 under 37.5	87.6%	87.3%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
Q2 over 24.5	78.2%	76.8%	80.7%	0.95×	1.30
Q2 under 34.5	76.1%	76.8%	70.1%	1.10×	1.30
Q2 over 26.5	68.4%	67.4%	71.6%	0.94×	1.49
Q2 under 32.5	66.0%	67.4%	60.8%	1.11×	1.49
Q2 over 28.5	57.2%	58.2%	61.2%	0.95×	1.72
Q2 under 30.5	54.6%	52.7%	50.1%	1.05×	1.90
Q2 over 29.5	51.3%	52.7%	55.8%	0.94×	1.90
Q2 under 29.5	48.7%	47.3%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
Q2 over 30.5	45.4%	47.3%	49.9%	0.95×	2.11
Q2 under 28.5	42.8%	41.8%	38.8%	1.08×	2.39
Q2 over 32.5	34.0%	32.6%	39.2%	0.83×	3.06
Q2 under 26.5	31.6%	32.6%	28.4%	1.15×	3.06
Q2 over 34.5	23.9%	23.2%	29.9%	0.78×	4.31
Q2 under 24.5	21.8%	23.2%	19.3%	1.20×	4.31
Q2 over 37.5	12.4%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.89
Q2 under 21.5	11.0%	12.7%	9.8%	1.30×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears to win Q3	60.7%	60.8%	53.3%	1.14×	1.64
Merrimack Warriors to win Q3	33.7%	33.8%	41.8%	0.81×	2.96
Q3 tied	5.6%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 24.5	88.3%	87.2%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
Q3 under 40.5	87.1%	87.2%	81.9%	1.07×	1.15
Q3 over 27.5	77.4%	77.3%	80.0%	0.97×	1.29
Q3 under 37.5	75.7%	77.3%	69.7%	1.11×	1.29
Q3 over 29.5	67.8%	67.8%	71.8%	0.94×	1.48
Q3 under 35.5	65.8%	67.8%	59.7%	1.14×	1.48
Q3 over 31.5	56.8%	58.4%	61.6%	0.95×	1.71
Q3 under 33.5	54.7%	52.3%	49.1%	1.07×	1.91
Q3 over 32.5	51.1%	52.3%	56.1%	0.93×	1.91
Q3 under 32.5	48.9%	47.7%	43.9%	1.09×	2.10
Q3 over 33.5	45.3%	47.7%	50.9%	0.94×	2.10
Q3 under 31.5	43.2%	41.6%	38.4%	1.08×	2.40
Q3 over 35.5	34.2%	32.2%	40.3%	0.80×	3.10
Q3 under 29.5	32.2%	32.2%	28.2%	1.14×	3.10
Q3 over 37.5	24.3%	22.7%	30.3%	0.75×	4.40
Q3 under 27.5	22.6%	22.7%	20.0%	1.14×	4.40
Q3 over 40.5	12.9%	12.8%	18.1%	0.70×	7.83
Q3 under 24.5	11.7%	12.8%	10.1%	1.27×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears to win Q4	60.5%	57.8%	52.8%	1.09×	1.73
Merrimack Warriors to win Q4	34.0%	37.4%	41.5%	0.90×	2.67
Q4 tied	5.5%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 41.5	88.4%	85.6%	83.6%	1.02×	1.17
Q4 over 25.5	84.0%	82.0%	86.1%	0.95×	1.22
Q4 under 38.5	78.4%	76.9%	73.1%	1.05×	1.30
Q4 over 28.5	72.0%	71.5%	75.1%	0.95×	1.40
Q4 under 36.5	69.6%	67.4%	64.3%	1.05×	1.48
Q4 over 30.5	62.1%	61.4%	66.3%	0.93×	1.63
Q4 under 34.5	59.5%	58.4%	54.4%	1.07×	1.71
Q4 under 33.5	54.1%	52.5%	49.6%	1.06×	1.91
Q4 over 32.5	51.4%	52.5%	55.4%	0.95×	1.91
Q4 under 32.5	48.6%	47.5%	44.6%	1.07×	2.11
Q4 over 33.5	45.9%	47.5%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
Q4 over 34.5	40.5%	41.6%	45.6%	0.91×	2.40
Q4 under 30.5	37.9%	38.6%	33.7%	1.14×	2.59
Q4 over 36.5	30.4%	32.6%	35.7%	0.91×	3.07
Q4 under 28.5	28.0%	28.5%	24.9%	1.14×	3.51
Q4 over 38.5	21.6%	23.1%	26.9%	0.86×	4.33
Q4 under 25.5	16.0%	18.0%	13.9%	1.30×	5.56
Q4 over 41.5	11.6%	14.4%	16.4%	0.88×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Merrimack Warriors under 68.5	87.5%	83.9%	68.6%	1.22×	1.19
Brown Bears under 77.5	86.5%	83.9%	77.4%	1.08×	1.19
Merrimack Warriors over 48.5	86.0%	83.9%	86.7%	0.97×	1.19
Brown Bears over 57.5	84.3%	80.7%	77.2%	1.05×	1.24
Merrimack Warriors under 65.5	79.5%	75.1%	59.8%	1.26×	1.33
Brown Bears under 74.5	78.5%	75.1%	70.7%	1.06×	1.33
Merrimack Warriors over 51.5	76.5%	75.1%	81.0%	0.93×	1.33
Brown Bears over 60.5	75.5%	75.1%	69.5%	1.08×	1.33
Merrimack Warriors under 63.5	72.9%	70.7%	53.9%	1.31×	1.41
Brown Bears under 72.5	71.8%	70.7%	65.7%	1.08×	1.41
Merrimack Warriors over 53.5	69.0%	66.4%	76.3%	0.87×	1.51
Brown Bears over 62.5	68.4%	66.4%	64.3%	1.03×	1.51
Merrimack Warriors under 61.5	65.2%	66.4%	47.9%	1.39×	1.51
Brown Bears under 70.5	64.3%	61.2%	60.3%	1.01×	1.63
Brown Bears over 64.5	60.5%	61.2%	58.4%	1.05×	1.63
Merrimack Warriors over 55.5	60.6%	61.2%	70.8%	0.86×	1.63
Merrimack Warriors under 59.5	56.8%	57.1%	41.2%	1.39×	1.75
Brown Bears under 68.5	56.1%	57.1%	54.4%	1.05×	1.75
Merrimack Warriors under 58.5	52.5%	52.3%	37.9%	1.38×	1.91
Brown Bears over 66.5	52.2%	52.3%	51.8%	1.01×	1.91
Brown Bears under 67.5	52.0%	52.3%	51.3%	1.02×	1.91
Merrimack Warriors over 57.5	51.9%	52.3%	65.1%	0.80×	1.91
Merrimack Warriors over 58.5	47.5%	47.7%	62.1%	0.77×	2.09
Brown Bears under 66.5	47.8%	47.7%	48.2%	0.99×	2.09
Brown Bears over 67.5	48.0%	47.7%	48.7%	0.98×	2.09
Merrimack Warriors under 57.5	48.1%	47.7%	34.9%	1.37×	2.09
Brown Bears over 68.5	43.9%	42.9%	45.6%	0.94×	2.33
Merrimack Warriors over 59.5	43.2%	42.9%	58.8%	0.73×	2.33
Brown Bears under 64.5	39.5%	38.8%	41.6%	0.93×	2.58
Merrimack Warriors under 55.5	39.4%	38.8%	29.2%	1.33×	2.58
Brown Bears over 70.5	35.7%	38.8%	39.7%	0.98×	2.58
Merrimack Warriors over 61.5	34.8%	33.6%	52.1%	0.65×	2.98
Brown Bears under 62.5	31.6%	33.6%	35.7%	0.94×	2.98
Merrimack Warriors under 53.5	31.0%	33.6%	23.7%	1.42×	2.98
Merrimack Warriors over 63.5	27.1%	29.3%	46.1%	0.64×	3.42
Brown Bears over 72.5	28.2%	29.3%	34.3%	0.85×	3.42
Brown Bears under 60.5	24.5%	24.9%	30.5%	0.81×	4.02
Merrimack Warriors under 51.5	23.5%	24.9%	19.0%	1.31×	4.02
Brown Bears over 74.5	21.5%	24.9%	29.3%	0.85×	4.02
Merrimack Warriors over 65.5	20.5%	24.9%	40.2%	0.62×	4.02
Brown Bears under 57.5	15.7%	19.3%	22.8%	0.84×	5.18
Merrimack Warriors under 48.5	14.1%	16.1%	13.3%	1.21×	6.21
Brown Bears over 77.5	13.5%	16.1%	22.6%	0.71×	6.21
Merrimack Warriors over 68.5	12.5%	16.1%	31.4%	0.51×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 105.5 points	91.6%	88.8%	91.9%	0.97×	1.13
Under 145.5 points	91.6%	88.8%	79.5%	1.12×	1.13
Under 140.5 points	85.2%	85.0%	71.8%	1.19×	1.18
Over 110.5 points	84.4%	80.6%	86.4%	0.93×	1.24
Under 135.5 points	76.1%	75.6%	62.4%	1.21×	1.32
Over 115.5 points	74.3%	70.8%	78.8%	0.90×	1.41
Under 132.5 points	69.4%	65.9%	56.0%	1.18×	1.52
Over 118.5 points	67.2%	65.9%	73.6%	0.90×	1.52
Under 130.5 points	64.5%	61.5%	51.7%	1.19×	1.63
Over 120.5 points	62.1%	61.5%	69.8%	0.88×	1.63
Under 128.5 points	59.4%	56.5%	47.2%	1.20×	1.77
Over 122.5 points	56.8%	56.5%	65.6%	0.86×	1.77
Under 126.5 points	54.1%	52.3%	42.6%	1.23×	1.91
Over 124.5 points	51.3%	52.3%	61.5%	0.85×	1.91
Under 125.5 points	51.4%	52.3%	40.5%	1.29×	1.91
Under 124.5 points	48.7%	47.7%	38.5%	1.24×	2.10
Over 125.5 points	48.6%	47.7%	59.5%	0.80×	2.10
Over 126.5 points	45.9%	47.7%	57.4%	0.83×	2.10
Under 122.5 points	43.2%	43.5%	34.4%	1.26×	2.30
Over 128.5 points	40.6%	43.5%	52.8%	0.82×	2.30
Under 120.5 points	37.9%	38.5%	30.2%	1.28×	2.60
Over 130.5 points	35.5%	38.5%	48.3%	0.80×	2.60
Under 118.5 points	32.8%	34.1%	26.4%	1.29×	2.93
Over 132.5 points	30.6%	34.1%	44.0%	0.77×	2.93
Under 115.5 points	25.7%	29.2%	21.2%	1.38×	3.43
Over 135.5 points	23.9%	24.4%	37.6%	0.65×	4.10
Under 110.5 points	15.6%	19.4%	13.6%	1.43×	5.15
Over 140.5 points	14.8%	15.0%	28.2%	0.53×	6.68
Under 105.5 points	8.4%	11.2%	8.1%	1.38×	8.96
Over 145.5 points	8.4%	11.2%	20.5%	0.55×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears to win both halves	42.4%	40.6%	36.0%	1.13×	2.46
Merrimack Warriors to win both halves	6.2%	8.8%	20.4%	0.43×	11.33

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brown Bears by 6-10	18.4%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Brown Bears by 1-5	16.1%	16.8%	10.2%	1.64×	5.97
Brown Bears by 11-15	17.1%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Brown Bears by 16-20	13.1%	12.3%	8.0%	1.53×	8.11
Merrimack Warriors by 1-5	10.6%	12.3%	10.2%	1.21×	8.11
Brown Bears by 21-25	8.1%	7.5%	5.4%	1.39×	13.40
Merrimack Warriors by 6-10	6.0%	7.5%	10.3%	0.72×	13.40
Brown Bears by 26+	6.3%	7.5%	12.6%	0.59×	13.40
Merrimack Warriors by 11-15	2.8%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.30
Merrimack Warriors by 16-20	1.1%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.32
Merrimack Warriors by 21-25	0.3%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Merrimack Warriors by 26+	0.1%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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