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Buffalo Bulls v Canisius Golden Griffins — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Buffalo Bulls win
86.3%
Draw
0.0%
Canisius Golden Griffins win
13.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 76.64–65.23 77-65 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.35
Canisius Golden Griffins to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Canisius Golden Griffins to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Canisius Golden Griffins to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 100+ 1.0% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 283.17
Buffalo Bulls to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.35
Buffalo Bulls to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls to win H1 71.8% 72.9% 57.9% 1.26× 1.37
Buffalo Bulls to win H1 71.8% 72.9% 57.9% 1.26× 1.37
Canisius Golden Griffins to win H1 24.4% 21.4% 38.2% 0.56× 4.67
Canisius Golden Griffins to win H1 24.5% 21.4% 38.2% 0.56× 4.67
H1 tied 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 79.5 87.8% 87.7% 83.1% 1.06× 1.14
H1 over 55.5 86.4% 87.7% 89.4% 0.98× 1.14
H1 under 75.5 79.2% 77.4% 72.8% 1.06× 1.29
H1 under 75.5 78.4% 77.4% 72.8% 1.06× 1.29
H1 over 59.5 77.2% 77.4% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
H1 over 59.5 76.5% 77.4% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 69.9% 67.4% 63.3% 1.06× 1.48
H1 under 72.5 69.3% 67.4% 63.3% 1.06× 1.48
H1 over 62.5 67.4% 67.4% 72.0% 0.94× 1.48
H1 over 62.5 66.9% 67.4% 72.0% 0.94× 1.48
H1 under 70.5 62.8% 62.7% 56.5% 1.11× 1.59
H1 under 70.5 62.4% 62.7% 56.5% 1.11× 1.59
H1 over 64.5 60.1% 62.7% 65.3% 0.96× 1.59
H1 over 64.5 59.8% 58.2% 65.3% 0.89× 1.72
H1 under 68.5 55.3% 58.2% 49.3% 1.18× 1.72
H1 under 68.5 55.1% 58.2% 49.3% 1.18× 1.72
H1 over 66.5 52.5% 52.6% 58.2% 0.90× 1.90
H1 over 66.5 52.4% 52.6% 58.2% 0.90× 1.90
H1 under 67.5 51.4% 52.6% 45.6% 1.15× 1.90
H1 under 67.5 51.4% 52.6% 45.6% 1.15× 1.90
H1 over 67.5 48.6% 47.4% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 48.6% 47.4% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
H1 under 66.5 47.5% 47.4% 41.8% 1.13× 2.11
H1 under 66.5 47.6% 47.4% 41.8% 1.13× 2.11
H1 over 68.5 44.7% 41.8% 50.7% 0.82× 2.39
H1 over 68.5 44.9% 41.8% 50.7% 0.82× 2.39
H1 under 64.5 40.2% 41.8% 34.8% 1.20× 2.39
H1 under 64.5 39.9% 37.3% 34.8% 1.07× 2.68
H1 over 70.5 37.2% 37.3% 43.5% 0.86× 2.68
H1 over 70.5 37.6% 37.3% 43.5% 0.86× 2.68
H1 under 62.5 32.6% 32.6% 28.0% 1.16× 3.07
H1 under 62.5 33.1% 32.6% 28.0% 1.16× 3.07
H1 over 72.5 30.1% 32.6% 36.7% 0.89× 3.07
H1 over 72.5 30.7% 32.6% 36.7% 0.89× 3.07
H1 under 59.5 23.5% 22.6% 19.3% 1.17× 4.43
H1 under 59.5 22.8% 22.6% 19.3% 1.17× 4.43
H1 over 75.5 20.8% 22.6% 27.2% 0.83× 4.43
H1 over 75.5 21.6% 22.6% 27.2% 0.83× 4.43
H1 under 55.5 13.6% 12.3% 10.6% 1.16× 8.13
H1 over 79.5 12.2% 12.3% 16.9% 0.73× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls to win H2 73.4% 67.6% 56.9% 1.19× 1.48
Buffalo Bulls to win H2 73.4% 67.6% 57.5% 1.18× 1.48
Canisius Golden Griffins to win H2 23.1% 26.9% 38.5% 0.70× 3.72
Canisius Golden Griffins to win H2 23.1% 26.9% 38.9% 0.69× 3.72
H2 tied 3.5% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 tied 3.5% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 87.5 87.0% 85.2% 77.7% 1.10× 1.17
H2 over 63.5 84.4% 81.8% 88.2% 0.93× 1.22
H2 under 83.5 78.6% 75.8% 71.6% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 83.5 77.9% 75.8% 68.0% 1.11× 1.32
H2 over 67.5 74.9% 72.2% 78.2% 0.92× 1.39
H2 over 67.5 74.3% 72.2% 80.0% 0.90× 1.39
H2 under 80.5 69.8% 66.4% 62.9% 1.06× 1.51
H2 under 80.5 69.3% 66.4% 59.2% 1.12× 1.51
H2 over 70.5 65.4% 66.4% 69.8% 0.95× 1.51
H2 over 70.5 65.0% 66.4% 71.9% 0.92× 1.51
H2 under 78.5 63.1% 61.6% 56.4% 1.09× 1.62
H2 under 78.5 62.8% 61.6% 53.0% 1.16× 1.62
H2 over 72.5 58.5% 57.3% 63.4% 0.90× 1.74
H2 over 72.5 58.2% 57.3% 65.9% 0.87× 1.74
H2 under 76.5 56.1% 57.3% 49.7% 1.15× 1.74
H2 under 76.5 55.9% 57.3% 46.6% 1.23× 1.74
H2 under 75.5 52.4% 52.4% 46.6% 1.12× 1.91
H2 under 75.5 52.4% 52.4% 43.6% 1.20× 1.91
H2 over 74.5 51.2% 52.4% 57.0% 0.92× 1.91
H2 over 74.5 51.2% 52.4% 60.0% 0.87× 1.91
H2 under 74.5 48.8% 47.6% 43.0% 1.11× 2.10
H2 under 74.5 48.8% 47.6% 40.0% 1.19× 2.10
H2 over 75.5 47.6% 47.6% 53.4% 0.89× 2.10
H2 over 75.5 47.6% 47.6% 56.4% 0.84× 2.10
H2 over 76.5 43.9% 42.7% 50.3% 0.85× 2.34
H2 over 76.5 44.1% 42.7% 53.4% 0.80× 2.34
H2 under 72.5 41.5% 42.7% 36.6% 1.17× 2.34
H2 under 72.5 41.8% 42.7% 34.1% 1.25× 2.34
H2 over 78.5 36.9% 38.4% 43.6% 0.88× 2.61
H2 over 78.5 37.2% 38.4% 47.0% 0.82× 2.61
H2 under 70.5 34.6% 33.6% 30.2% 1.11× 2.97
H2 under 70.5 35.0% 33.6% 28.1% 1.20× 2.97
H2 over 80.5 30.7% 33.6% 40.8% 0.82× 2.97
H2 over 80.5 30.2% 33.6% 37.1% 0.91× 2.97
H2 under 67.5 25.7% 27.8% 20.0% 1.39× 3.59
H2 under 67.5 25.1% 27.8% 21.8% 1.28× 3.59
H2 over 83.5 21.4% 24.2% 28.4% 0.85× 4.13
H2 over 83.5 22.1% 24.2% 32.0% 0.76× 4.13
H2 under 63.5 15.6% 18.2% 11.8% 1.54× 5.50
H2 over 87.5 13.0% 14.8% 22.3% 0.66× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls leading at half time 71.8% 73.5% 57.9% 1.27× 1.36
Canisius Golden Griffins leading at half time 24.5% 21.0% 38.2% 0.55× 4.77
Level at half time 3.8% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls +16.5 99.5% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +18.5 99.7% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +7.5 96.0% 97.4% 81.0% 1.20× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +8.5 96.7% 97.4% 83.3% 1.17× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +9.5 97.4% 97.4% 85.3% 1.14× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +10.5 97.9% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +12.5 98.7% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +14.5 99.2% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +6.5 95.1% 97.4% 78.8% 1.24× 1.03
Buffalo Bulls +4.5 92.9% 91.1% 73.7% 1.24× 1.10
Buffalo Bulls +5.5 94.1% 91.1% 76.4% 1.19× 1.10
Buffalo Bulls +3.5 91.6% 91.1% 70.8% 1.29× 1.10
Buffalo Bulls +2.5 90.0% 91.1% 68.0% 1.34× 1.10
Buffalo Bulls +1.5 88.3% 85.9% 65.4% 1.31× 1.16
Buffalo Bulls −1.5 83.9% 81.1% 60.8% 1.33× 1.23
Buffalo Bulls −2.5 81.3% 81.1% 57.7% 1.41× 1.23
Canisius Golden Griffins +20.5 79.9% 76.5% 86.5% 0.88× 1.31
Buffalo Bulls −3.5 78.5% 76.5% 54.1% 1.41× 1.31
Buffalo Bulls −4.5 75.5% 76.5% 50.7% 1.51× 1.31
Canisius Golden Griffins +18.5 74.2% 71.6% 83.9% 0.85× 1.40
Buffalo Bulls −5.5 72.3% 71.6% 47.0% 1.52× 1.40
Buffalo Bulls −6.5 69.0% 66.7% 44.3% 1.51× 1.50
Canisius Golden Griffins +16.5 67.8% 66.7% 80.7% 0.83× 1.50
Buffalo Bulls −7.5 65.5% 66.7% 41.3% 1.61× 1.50
Buffalo Bulls −8.5 61.9% 61.9% 38.5% 1.61× 1.62
Canisius Golden Griffins +14.5 60.7% 61.9% 77.2% 0.80× 1.62
Buffalo Bulls −9.5 58.2% 57.1% 35.5% 1.61× 1.75
Buffalo Bulls −10.5 54.4% 52.4% 32.6% 1.61× 1.91
Canisius Golden Griffins +12.5 53.2% 52.4% 72.4% 0.72× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls −12.5 46.8% 47.6% 27.6% 1.72× 2.10
Canisius Golden Griffins +10.5 45.6% 47.6% 67.4% 0.71× 2.10
Canisius Golden Griffins +9.5 41.8% 42.9% 64.5% 0.67× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls −14.5 39.3% 38.1% 22.8% 1.67× 2.63
Canisius Golden Griffins +8.5 38.1% 38.1% 61.5% 0.62× 2.63
Canisius Golden Griffins +7.5 34.5% 33.3% 58.7% 0.57× 3.01
Buffalo Bulls −16.5 32.2% 33.3% 19.3% 1.72× 3.01
Canisius Golden Griffins +6.5 31.0% 33.3% 55.7% 0.60× 3.01
Canisius Golden Griffins +5.5 27.7% 28.4% 53.0% 0.54× 3.53
Buffalo Bulls −18.5 25.8% 28.4% 16.1% 1.76× 3.53
Canisius Golden Griffins +4.5 24.5% 23.5% 49.3% 0.48× 4.25
Canisius Golden Griffins +3.5 21.5% 23.5% 45.9% 0.51× 4.25
Buffalo Bulls −20.5 20.1% 23.5% 13.5% 1.75× 4.25
Canisius Golden Griffins +2.5 18.7% 18.9% 42.3% 0.45× 5.29
Canisius Golden Griffins +1.5 16.1% 18.9% 39.2% 0.48× 5.30
Canisius Golden Griffins −1.5 11.7% 14.1% 34.6% 0.41× 7.09
Canisius Golden Griffins −2.5 10.0% 8.9% 32.0% 0.28× 11.25
Canisius Golden Griffins −3.5 8.4% 8.9% 29.3% 0.30× 11.25
Canisius Golden Griffins −4.5 7.1% 8.9% 26.3% 0.34× 11.25
Canisius Golden Griffins −5.5 5.9% 8.9% 23.6% 0.38× 11.25
Canisius Golden Griffins −6.5 4.9% 2.6% 21.2% 0.12× 38.72
Canisius Golden Griffins −7.5 4.0% 2.6% 19.0% 0.14× 38.72
Canisius Golden Griffins −8.5 3.3% 2.6% 16.7% 0.16× 38.73
Canisius Golden Griffins −9.5 2.6% 2.6% 14.7% 0.18× 38.73
Canisius Golden Griffins −10.5 2.1% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.73
Canisius Golden Griffins −12.5 1.3% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.74
Canisius Golden Griffins −14.5 0.8% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.74
Canisius Golden Griffins −16.5 0.5% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
Canisius Golden Griffins −18.5 0.3% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Canisius Golden Griffins −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 78.3% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 76.7% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 23.3% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 21.7% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 67.3% 68.3% 48.6% 1.40× 1.47
Canisius Golden Griffins at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 16.0% 15.4% 12.4% 1.25× 6.47
Canisius Golden Griffins at HT / Canisius Golden Griffins at FT 8.5% 8.3% 25.8% 0.32× 12.08
Buffalo Bulls at HT / Canisius Golden Griffins at FT 4.5% 2.1% 9.3% 0.22× 47.72
Level at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 3.1% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Level at HT / Canisius Golden Griffins at FT 0.7% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls to win 86.3% 85.5% 63.2% 1.35× 1.17
Canisius Golden Griffins to win 13.7% 14.5% 36.8% 0.39× 6.90
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 51.1% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Buffalo Bulls even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Canisius Golden Griffins odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.9% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Buffalo Bulls odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.3% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.7% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.66
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins under 75.5 86.2% 83.9% 64.7% 1.30× 1.19
Buffalo Bulls under 87.5 86.5% 83.9% 82.8% 1.01× 1.19
Canisius Golden Griffins over 55.5 84.6% 80.7% 91.3% 0.88× 1.24
Buffalo Bulls over 67.5 83.1% 80.7% 75.9% 1.06× 1.24
Canisius Golden Griffins under 72.5 78.0% 75.1% 55.3% 1.36× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls under 84.5 78.6% 75.1% 76.1% 0.99× 1.33
Canisius Golden Griffins over 58.5 75.9% 75.1% 86.2% 0.87× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls over 70.5 74.2% 70.7% 66.7% 1.06× 1.41
Buffalo Bulls under 82.5 72.1% 70.7% 70.8% 1.00× 1.41
Canisius Golden Griffins under 70.5 71.3% 70.7% 48.7% 1.45× 1.41
Canisius Golden Griffins over 60.5 68.8% 66.4% 82.0% 0.81× 1.51
Buffalo Bulls over 72.5 67.2% 66.4% 60.8% 1.09× 1.51
Canisius Golden Griffins under 68.5 63.8% 61.2% 41.6% 1.47× 1.63
Buffalo Bulls under 80.5 64.8% 61.2% 64.9% 0.94× 1.63
Canisius Golden Griffins over 62.5 61.0% 61.2% 76.6% 0.80× 1.63
Buffalo Bulls over 74.5 59.4% 57.1% 54.1% 1.06× 1.75
Buffalo Bulls under 78.5 56.9% 57.1% 58.4% 0.98× 1.75
Canisius Golden Griffins under 66.5 55.7% 57.1% 35.3% 1.62× 1.75
Canisius Golden Griffins over 64.5 52.7% 52.3% 70.7% 0.74× 1.91
Canisius Golden Griffins under 65.5 51.5% 52.3% 32.2% 1.62× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls over 76.5 51.3% 52.3% 47.7% 1.10× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls under 77.5 52.8% 52.3% 55.4% 0.94× 1.91
Canisius Golden Griffins under 64.5 47.3% 47.7% 29.3% 1.63× 2.09
Canisius Golden Griffins over 65.5 48.5% 47.7% 67.8% 0.70× 2.09
Buffalo Bulls under 76.5 48.7% 47.7% 52.3% 0.91× 2.09
Buffalo Bulls over 77.5 47.2% 47.7% 44.6% 1.07× 2.09
Canisius Golden Griffins over 66.5 44.3% 42.9% 64.7% 0.66× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls over 78.5 43.1% 42.9% 41.6% 1.03× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls under 74.5 40.6% 42.9% 45.9% 0.93× 2.33
Canisius Golden Griffins under 62.5 39.0% 38.8% 23.4% 1.66× 2.58
Canisius Golden Griffins over 68.5 36.2% 38.8% 58.4% 0.66× 2.58
Buffalo Bulls over 80.5 35.2% 38.8% 35.1% 1.11× 2.58
Buffalo Bulls under 72.5 32.8% 33.6% 39.2% 0.86× 2.98
Canisius Golden Griffins under 60.5 31.2% 33.6% 18.0% 1.86× 2.98
Canisius Golden Griffins over 70.5 28.7% 29.3% 51.4% 0.57× 3.42
Buffalo Bulls over 82.5 27.9% 29.3% 29.2% 1.00× 3.42
Buffalo Bulls under 70.5 25.8% 29.3% 33.3% 0.88× 3.42
Canisius Golden Griffins under 58.5 24.1% 24.9% 13.8% 1.81× 4.02
Canisius Golden Griffins over 72.5 22.0% 24.9% 44.7% 0.56× 4.02
Buffalo Bulls over 84.5 21.4% 24.9% 23.9% 1.04× 4.02
Buffalo Bulls under 67.5 16.9% 19.3% 24.1% 0.80× 5.18
Canisius Golden Griffins under 55.5 15.4% 19.3% 8.7% 2.22× 5.18
Canisius Golden Griffins over 75.5 13.8% 16.1% 35.3% 0.46× 6.21
Buffalo Bulls over 87.5 13.5% 16.1% 17.2% 0.94× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 162.5 points 90.1% 88.8% 79.4% 1.12× 1.13
Over 122.5 points 89.0% 85.0% 91.3% 0.93× 1.18
Under 157.5 points 83.5% 80.6% 71.6% 1.13× 1.24
Over 127.5 points 81.8% 80.6% 85.8% 0.94× 1.24
Under 152.5 points 74.5% 70.8% 62.7% 1.13× 1.41
Over 132.5 points 72.4% 70.8% 78.3% 0.90× 1.41
Under 149.5 points 68.2% 65.9% 56.3% 1.17× 1.52
Over 135.5 points 65.7% 65.9% 72.9% 0.90× 1.52
Under 147.5 points 63.6% 61.5% 52.2% 1.18× 1.63
Over 137.5 points 61.0% 61.5% 69.0% 0.89× 1.63
Under 145.5 points 58.8% 56.5% 48.2% 1.17× 1.77
Over 139.5 points 56.1% 56.5% 64.6% 0.87× 1.77
Under 143.5 points 53.9% 52.3% 43.7% 1.20× 1.91
Over 141.5 points 51.1% 52.3% 60.4% 0.87× 1.91
Under 142.5 points 51.4% 52.3% 41.7% 1.26× 1.91
Under 141.5 points 48.9% 47.7% 39.6% 1.20× 2.10
Over 142.5 points 48.6% 47.7% 58.3% 0.82× 2.10
Over 143.5 points 46.1% 47.7% 56.3% 0.85× 2.10
Under 139.5 points 43.9% 43.5% 35.4% 1.23× 2.30
Over 145.5 points 41.2% 43.5% 51.8% 0.84× 2.30
Under 137.5 points 39.0% 38.5% 31.0% 1.24× 2.60
Over 147.5 points 36.4% 38.5% 47.8% 0.81× 2.60
Under 135.5 points 34.3% 34.1% 27.1% 1.26× 2.93
Over 149.5 points 31.8% 34.1% 43.7% 0.78× 2.93
Under 132.5 points 27.6% 29.2% 21.7% 1.34× 3.43
Over 152.5 points 25.5% 29.2% 37.4% 0.78× 3.43
Under 127.5 points 18.2% 19.4% 14.2% 1.37× 5.15
Over 157.5 points 16.5% 19.4% 28.4% 0.68× 5.15
Under 122.5 points 11.0% 15.0% 8.7% 1.72× 6.69
Over 162.5 points 9.9% 11.2% 20.6% 0.54× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls to win both halves 50.0% 45.9% 33.2% 1.38× 2.18
Canisius Golden Griffins to win both halves 3.5% 3.0% 14.5% 0.20× 33.63
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls by 6-10 18.0% 16.8% 14.4% 1.16× 5.97
Buffalo Bulls by 11-15 18.7% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
Buffalo Bulls by 16-20 15.7% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Buffalo Bulls by 1-5 14.0% 12.3% 16.2% 0.76× 8.11
Buffalo Bulls by 21-25 10.6% 12.3% 5.6% 2.22× 8.11
Buffalo Bulls by 26+ 9.5% 7.5% 7.9% 0.94× 13.40
Canisius Golden Griffins by 1-5 7.8% 7.5% 13.2% 0.57× 13.40
Canisius Golden Griffins by 6-10 3.8% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.29
Canisius Golden Griffins by 11-15 1.5% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.31
Canisius Golden Griffins by 16-20 0.5% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.32
Canisius Golden Griffins by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.33
Canisius Golden Griffins by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Aider Reading the Basketball model · online
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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