BYU Cougars v New Mexico Lobos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

BYU Cougars

00:00

New Mexico Lobos

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

BYU Cougars win

82.8%

Draw

0.0%

New Mexico Lobos win

17.2%

83017

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	83017	71.02–60.61	71-61 0%	51%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to score 100+	0.1%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.33
BYU Cougars to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
BYU Cougars to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
BYU Cougars to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
New Mexico Lobos to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.36
New Mexico Lobos to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
New Mexico Lobos to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
New Mexico Lobos to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win H1	69.7%	68.3%	56.4%	1.21×	1.46
New Mexico Lobos to win H1	26.5%	26.5%	39.9%	0.67×	3.77
H1 tied	3.8%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 75.5	89.1%	87.7%	88.8%	0.99×	1.14
H1 over 51.5	87.3%	87.7%	82.0%	1.07×	1.14
H1 under 71.5	80.0%	77.4%	81.4%	0.95×	1.29
H1 over 55.5	77.1%	77.4%	71.0%	1.09×	1.29
H1 under 68.5	70.7%	73.5%	73.5%	1.00×	1.36
H1 over 58.5	67.1%	67.4%	61.4%	1.10×	1.48
H1 under 66.5	63.6%	62.7%	67.1%	0.93×	1.59
H1 over 60.5	59.7%	58.2%	53.9%	1.08×	1.72
H1 under 64.5	56.0%	58.2%	60.7%	0.96×	1.72
H1 over 62.5	51.9%	52.6%	46.3%	1.14×	1.90
H1 under 63.5	52.1%	52.6%	57.1%	0.92×	1.90
H1 under 62.5	48.1%	47.4%	53.7%	0.88×	2.11
H1 over 63.5	47.9%	47.4%	42.9%	1.10×	2.11
H1 over 64.5	44.0%	41.8%	39.3%	1.06×	2.39
H1 under 60.5	40.3%	41.8%	46.1%	0.91×	2.39
H1 over 66.5	36.4%	37.3%	32.9%	1.13×	2.68
H1 under 58.5	32.9%	32.6%	38.6%	0.84×	3.07
H1 over 68.5	29.3%	26.5%	26.5%	1.00×	3.77
H1 under 55.5	22.9%	22.6%	29.0%	0.78×	4.43
H1 over 71.5	20.0%	22.6%	18.6%	1.22×	4.43
H1 under 51.5	12.7%	12.3%	18.0%	0.68×	8.14
H1 over 75.5	10.9%	12.3%	11.2%	1.10×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win H2	70.9%	67.6%	56.0%	1.21×	1.48
New Mexico Lobos to win H2	25.5%	31.3%	40.6%	0.77×	3.20
H2 tied	3.6%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 81.5	88.1%	85.2%	85.8%	0.99×	1.17
H2 over 57.5	86.2%	85.2%	82.2%	1.04×	1.17
H2 under 77.5	78.9%	75.8%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
H2 over 61.5	76.0%	75.8%	71.3%	1.06×	1.32
H2 under 74.5	69.9%	66.4%	69.9%	0.95×	1.51
H2 over 64.5	66.4%	66.4%	62.1%	1.07×	1.51
H2 under 72.5	63.0%	61.6%	64.1%	0.96×	1.62
H2 over 66.5	59.2%	57.3%	55.4%	1.04×	1.74
H2 under 70.5	55.8%	57.3%	57.8%	0.99×	1.74
H2 over 68.5	51.8%	52.4%	48.7%	1.08×	1.91
H2 under 69.5	52.0%	52.4%	54.8%	0.96×	1.91
H2 under 68.5	48.2%	47.6%	51.3%	0.93×	2.10
H2 over 69.5	48.0%	47.6%	45.2%	1.05×	2.10
H2 over 70.5	44.2%	42.7%	42.2%	1.01×	2.34
H2 under 66.5	40.8%	42.7%	44.6%	0.96×	2.35
H2 over 72.5	37.0%	38.4%	36.0%	1.07×	2.61
H2 under 64.5	33.6%	33.6%	37.9%	0.89×	2.97
H2 over 74.5	30.1%	33.6%	30.1%	1.12×	2.97
H2 under 61.5	24.0%	24.2%	28.7%	0.84×	4.13
H2 over 77.5	21.1%	24.2%	22.1%	1.10×	4.13
H2 under 57.5	13.8%	14.8%	17.8%	0.83×	6.76
H2 over 81.5	11.9%	14.8%	14.2%	1.04×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars leading at half time	69.7%	68.5%	56.4%	1.21×	1.46
New Mexico Lobos leading at half time	26.5%	26.5%	39.9%	0.66×	3.78
Level at half time	3.8%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars +20.5	99.7%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
BYU Cougars +18.5	99.5%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
BYU Cougars +9.5	96.1%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
BYU Cougars +10.5	96.8%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
BYU Cougars +12.5	97.9%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
BYU Cougars +14.5	98.6%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
BYU Cougars +16.5	99.2%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
BYU Cougars +8.5	95.2%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
BYU Cougars +7.5	94.3%	91.1%	74.5%	1.22×	1.10
BYU Cougars +6.5	93.2%	91.1%	72.3%	1.26×	1.10
BYU Cougars +4.5	90.5%	91.1%	67.8%	1.34×	1.10
BYU Cougars +5.5	91.9%	91.1%	70.1%	1.30×	1.10
BYU Cougars +3.5	88.8%	85.9%	65.7%	1.31×	1.16
BYU Cougars +2.5	87.0%	85.9%	63.3%	1.36×	1.16
BYU Cougars +1.5	85.0%	85.9%	61.2%	1.40×	1.16
New Mexico Lobos +20.5	81.8%	81.1%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
BYU Cougars −1.5	80.2%	81.1%	58.7%	1.38×	1.23
BYU Cougars −2.5	77.5%	76.5%	56.7%	1.35×	1.31
New Mexico Lobos +18.5	76.5%	76.5%	79.3%	0.96×	1.31
BYU Cougars −3.5	74.5%	71.6%	54.2%	1.32×	1.40
BYU Cougars −4.5	71.4%	71.6%	52.2%	1.37×	1.40
New Mexico Lobos +16.5	70.6%	71.6%	75.7%	0.95×	1.40
BYU Cougars −5.5	68.1%	66.7%	49.7%	1.34×	1.50
BYU Cougars −6.5	64.7%	61.9%	47.6%	1.30×	1.62
New Mexico Lobos +14.5	64.0%	61.9%	72.1%	0.86×	1.62
BYU Cougars −7.5	61.2%	61.9%	44.8%	1.38×	1.62
BYU Cougars −8.5	57.6%	57.1%	42.0%	1.36×	1.75
New Mexico Lobos +12.5	56.9%	57.1%	67.9%	0.84×	1.75
BYU Cougars −9.5	54.0%	52.4%	39.3%	1.33×	1.91
BYU Cougars −10.5	50.3%	52.4%	36.8%	1.42×	1.91
New Mexico Lobos +10.5	49.7%	47.6%	63.2%	0.75×	2.10
New Mexico Lobos +9.5	46.0%	47.6%	60.7%	0.78×	2.10
New Mexico Lobos +8.5	42.4%	42.9%	58.0%	0.74×	2.33
BYU Cougars −12.5	43.1%	42.9%	32.1%	1.34×	2.33
New Mexico Lobos +7.5	38.8%	38.1%	55.2%	0.69×	2.63
New Mexico Lobos +6.5	35.3%	38.1%	52.4%	0.73×	2.63
BYU Cougars −14.5	36.0%	38.1%	27.9%	1.37×	2.63
New Mexico Lobos +5.5	31.9%	33.3%	50.3%	0.66×	3.01
BYU Cougars −16.5	29.4%	28.4%	24.3%	1.17×	3.53
New Mexico Lobos +4.5	28.6%	28.4%	47.8%	0.59×	3.53
New Mexico Lobos +3.5	25.5%	28.4%	45.8%	0.62×	3.53
BYU Cougars −18.5	23.5%	23.5%	20.7%	1.14×	4.25
New Mexico Lobos +2.5	22.5%	23.5%	43.3%	0.54×	4.25
New Mexico Lobos +1.5	19.8%	18.9%	41.3%	0.46×	5.29
BYU Cougars −20.5	18.2%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.29
New Mexico Lobos −1.5	15.0%	14.1%	38.8%	0.36×	7.09
New Mexico Lobos −2.5	13.0%	14.1%	36.7%	0.39×	7.09
New Mexico Lobos −3.5	11.2%	14.1%	34.3%	0.41×	7.09
New Mexico Lobos −4.5	9.5%	8.9%	32.2%	0.28×	11.25
New Mexico Lobos −5.5	8.1%	8.9%	29.9%	0.30×	11.25
New Mexico Lobos −6.5	6.8%	8.9%	27.7%	0.32×	11.25
New Mexico Lobos −7.5	5.7%	8.9%	25.5%	0.35×	11.25
New Mexico Lobos −8.5	4.8%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.72
New Mexico Lobos −9.5	3.9%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.72
New Mexico Lobos −10.5	3.2%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.73
New Mexico Lobos −12.5	2.1%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.73
New Mexico Lobos −14.5	1.4%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.73
New Mexico Lobos −16.5	0.8%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
New Mexico Lobos −20.5	0.3%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74
New Mexico Lobos −18.5	0.5%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	72.2%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.5%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	32.7%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	17.2%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	15.7%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars at HT / BYU Cougars at FT	64.3%	62.3%	48.3%	1.29×	1.60
New Mexico Lobos at HT / BYU Cougars at FT	15.6%	15.4%	9.8%	1.58×	6.47
New Mexico Lobos at HT / New Mexico Lobos at FT	10.9%	12.2%	30.1%	0.41×	8.18
BYU Cougars at HT / New Mexico Lobos at FT	5.4%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.10
Level at HT / BYU Cougars at FT	3.0%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.74
Level at HT / New Mexico Lobos at FT	0.9%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win	82.8%	80.9%	59.9%	1.35×	1.24
New Mexico Lobos to win	17.2%	19.1%	40.1%	0.48×	5.24

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
New Mexico Lobos even	50.1%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	51.2%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
BYU Cougars odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
New Mexico Lobos odd	49.9%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	48.8%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.4%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.6%	3.0%	4.4%	0.68×	33.34

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win Q1	62.2%	64.9%	54.7%	1.19×	1.54
New Mexico Lobos to win Q1	32.1%	30.4%	40.4%	0.75×	3.29
Q1 tied	5.7%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 23.5	88.7%	87.4%	85.4%	1.02×	1.14
Q1 under 39.5	87.7%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
Q1 over 26.5	77.8%	76.9%	72.9%	1.06×	1.30
Q1 under 36.5	76.3%	76.9%	77.4%	0.99×	1.30
Q1 over 28.5	68.0%	67.6%	62.7%	1.08×	1.48
Q1 under 34.5	66.3%	67.6%	68.5%	0.99×	1.48
Q1 over 30.5	56.8%	58.6%	51.2%	1.14×	1.71
Q1 under 32.5	54.9%	52.7%	59.1%	0.89×	1.90
Q1 over 31.5	51.0%	52.7%	46.0%	1.14×	1.90
Q1 under 31.5	49.0%	47.3%	54.0%	0.88×	2.11
Q1 over 32.5	45.1%	47.3%	40.9%	1.16×	2.11
Q1 under 30.5	43.2%	41.4%	48.8%	0.85×	2.42
Q1 over 34.5	33.7%	32.4%	31.5%	1.03×	3.08
Q1 under 28.5	32.0%	32.4%	37.3%	0.87×	3.08
Q1 over 36.5	23.7%	23.1%	22.6%	1.02×	4.33
Q1 under 26.5	22.2%	23.1%	27.1%	0.85×	4.33
Q1 over 39.5	12.3%	12.6%	12.5%	1.01×	7.95
Q1 under 23.5	11.3%	12.6%	14.6%	0.86×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win Q2	61.8%	61.9%	52.9%	1.17×	1.62
New Mexico Lobos to win Q2	32.6%	31.8%	41.5%	0.77×	3.14
Q2 tied	5.6%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 39.5	88.6%	87.3%	88.4%	0.99×	1.15
Q2 over 23.5	87.7%	87.3%	84.6%	1.03×	1.15
Q2 under 36.5	77.7%	76.8%	78.7%	0.98×	1.30
Q2 over 26.5	76.3%	76.8%	71.6%	1.07×	1.30
Q2 under 34.5	68.0%	67.4%	70.1%	0.96×	1.49
Q2 over 28.5	66.3%	67.4%	61.2%	1.10×	1.49
Q2 under 32.5	56.8%	58.2%	60.8%	0.96×	1.72
Q2 over 30.5	54.9%	52.7%	49.9%	1.06×	1.90
Q2 under 31.5	51.0%	52.7%	55.7%	0.95×	1.90
Q2 over 31.5	49.0%	47.3%	44.3%	1.07×	2.11
Q2 under 30.5	45.1%	47.3%	50.1%	0.94×	2.11
Q2 over 32.5	43.2%	41.8%	39.2%	1.07×	2.39
Q2 under 28.5	33.7%	32.6%	38.8%	0.84×	3.06
Q2 over 34.5	32.0%	32.6%	29.9%	1.09×	3.06
Q2 under 26.5	23.7%	23.2%	28.4%	0.82×	4.31
Q2 over 36.5	22.3%	23.2%	21.3%	1.09×	4.31
Q2 under 23.5	12.3%	12.7%	15.4%	0.82×	7.89
Q2 over 39.5	11.4%	12.7%	11.6%	1.09×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win Q3	63.1%	60.9%	53.3%	1.14×	1.64
New Mexico Lobos to win Q3	31.4%	33.7%	41.8%	0.81×	2.96
Q3 tied	5.5%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 26.5	87.5%	87.2%	83.8%	1.04×	1.15
Q3 under 42.5	87.6%	87.2%	87.8%	0.99×	1.15
Q3 under 39.5	76.6%	77.3%	77.9%	0.99×	1.29
Q3 over 29.5	76.3%	77.3%	71.8%	1.08×	1.29
Q3 under 37.5	66.9%	67.8%	69.7%	0.97×	1.48
Q3 over 31.5	66.5%	67.8%	61.6%	1.10×	1.48
Q3 under 35.5	56.0%	58.4%	59.7%	0.98×	1.71
Q3 over 33.5	55.5%	58.4%	50.9%	1.15×	1.71
Q3 under 34.5	50.2%	52.3%	54.6%	0.96×	1.91
Q3 over 34.5	49.8%	47.7%	45.4%	1.05×	2.10
Q3 under 33.5	44.5%	41.6%	49.1%	0.85×	2.40
Q3 over 35.5	44.0%	41.6%	40.3%	1.03×	2.40
Q3 under 31.5	33.5%	32.2%	38.4%	0.84×	3.10
Q3 over 37.5	33.1%	32.2%	30.3%	1.06×	3.10
Q3 under 29.5	23.7%	22.7%	28.2%	0.81×	4.40
Q3 over 39.5	23.4%	22.7%	22.1%	1.03×	4.40
Q3 under 26.5	12.5%	12.8%	16.2%	0.79×	7.83
Q3 over 42.5	12.4%	12.8%	12.2%	1.05×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win Q4	62.9%	57.8%	52.8%	1.09×	1.73
New Mexico Lobos to win Q4	31.7%	37.4%	41.5%	0.90×	2.68
Q4 tied	5.4%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 over 26.5	86.3%	85.6%	82.6%	1.04×	1.17
Q4 under 42.5	86.1%	85.6%	86.2%	0.99×	1.17
Q4 over 29.5	75.3%	76.9%	70.8%	1.09×	1.30
Q4 under 39.5	75.0%	76.9%	77.0%	1.00×	1.30
Q4 over 31.5	66.0%	67.4%	61.1%	1.10×	1.48
Q4 under 37.5	65.7%	67.4%	68.8%	0.98×	1.48
Q4 over 33.5	55.6%	58.4%	50.4%	1.16×	1.71
Q4 under 35.5	55.3%	58.4%	59.4%	0.98×	1.71
Q4 over 34.5	50.2%	52.5%	45.6%	1.15×	1.91
Q4 under 34.5	49.9%	47.5%	54.4%	0.87×	2.11
Q4 over 35.5	44.7%	41.6%	40.6%	1.03×	2.40
Q4 under 33.5	44.4%	41.6%	49.6%	0.84×	2.40
Q4 over 37.5	34.3%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Q4 under 31.5	34.0%	32.6%	38.9%	0.84×	3.07
Q4 over 39.5	25.0%	23.1%	23.0%	1.00×	4.33
Q4 under 29.5	24.7%	23.1%	29.2%	0.79×	4.33
Q4 over 42.5	13.9%	14.4%	13.8%	1.04×	6.95
Q4 under 26.5	13.7%	14.4%	17.4%	0.83×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Mexico Lobos under 71.5	88.0%	83.9%	76.1%	1.10×	1.19
BYU Cougars under 81.5	86.0%	83.9%	84.6%	0.99×	1.19
BYU Cougars over 61.5	84.7%	80.7%	66.9%	1.21×	1.24
New Mexico Lobos over 51.5	84.4%	80.7%	81.0%	1.00×	1.24
New Mexico Lobos under 68.5	80.3%	80.7%	68.6%	1.18×	1.24
BYU Cougars under 78.5	77.7%	75.1%	79.4%	0.95×	1.33
BYU Cougars over 64.5	76.1%	75.1%	58.4%	1.29×	1.33
New Mexico Lobos over 54.5	74.9%	70.7%	73.5%	0.96×	1.41
New Mexico Lobos under 66.5	73.8%	70.7%	62.7%	1.13×	1.41
BYU Cougars under 76.5	71.0%	70.7%	75.4%	0.94×	1.41
BYU Cougars over 66.5	69.2%	66.4%	51.8%	1.28×	1.51
New Mexico Lobos over 56.5	67.4%	66.4%	68.0%	0.98×	1.51
New Mexico Lobos under 64.5	66.3%	66.4%	56.9%	1.17×	1.51
BYU Cougars under 74.5	63.4%	61.2%	70.7%	0.87×	1.63
BYU Cougars over 68.5	61.4%	61.2%	45.6%	1.34×	1.63
New Mexico Lobos over 58.5	59.1%	57.1%	62.1%	0.92×	1.75
New Mexico Lobos under 62.5	58.1%	57.1%	51.0%	1.12×	1.75
BYU Cougars under 72.5	55.2%	57.1%	65.7%	0.87×	1.75
New Mexico Lobos under 61.5	53.8%	52.3%	47.9%	1.09×	1.91
BYU Cougars over 70.5	53.2%	52.3%	39.7%	1.32×	1.91
BYU Cougars under 71.5	51.0%	52.3%	63.0%	0.83×	1.91
New Mexico Lobos over 60.5	50.5%	52.3%	55.6%	0.94×	1.91
New Mexico Lobos under 60.5	49.5%	47.7%	44.4%	1.08×	2.09
BYU Cougars under 70.5	46.8%	47.7%	60.3%	0.79×	2.09
BYU Cougars over 71.5	49.0%	47.7%	37.0%	1.29×	2.09
New Mexico Lobos over 61.5	46.2%	47.7%	52.1%	0.92×	2.09
BYU Cougars over 72.5	44.8%	42.9%	34.3%	1.25×	2.33
New Mexico Lobos over 62.5	41.9%	42.9%	49.0%	0.87×	2.33
New Mexico Lobos under 58.5	40.9%	42.9%	37.9%	1.13×	2.33
BYU Cougars under 68.5	38.6%	38.8%	54.4%	0.71×	2.58
BYU Cougars over 74.5	36.6%	38.8%	29.3%	1.33×	2.58
New Mexico Lobos over 64.5	33.7%	33.6%	43.2%	0.78×	2.98
New Mexico Lobos under 56.5	32.6%	33.6%	32.0%	1.05×	2.98
BYU Cougars under 66.5	30.8%	33.6%	48.2%	0.70×	2.98
BYU Cougars over 76.5	29.0%	29.3%	24.6%	1.19×	3.42
New Mexico Lobos over 66.5	26.2%	29.3%	37.3%	0.79×	3.42
New Mexico Lobos under 54.5	25.1%	29.3%	26.5%	1.11×	3.42
BYU Cougars under 64.5	23.9%	24.9%	41.6%	0.60×	4.02
BYU Cougars over 78.5	22.3%	24.9%	20.6%	1.21×	4.02
New Mexico Lobos over 68.5	19.7%	19.3%	31.4%	0.61×	5.18
BYU Cougars under 61.5	15.3%	19.3%	33.1%	0.58×	5.18
New Mexico Lobos under 51.5	15.6%	19.3%	19.0%	1.02×	5.18
BYU Cougars over 81.5	14.0%	16.1%	15.4%	1.04×	6.21
New Mexico Lobos over 71.5	12.0%	16.1%	23.9%	0.67×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 152.5 points	91.5%	88.8%	88.1%	1.01×	1.13
Over 112.5 points	90.8%	88.8%	83.6%	1.06×	1.13
Under 147.5 points	85.1%	85.0%	82.3%	1.03×	1.18
Over 117.5 points	83.5%	80.6%	75.3%	1.07×	1.24
Under 142.5 points	76.1%	75.6%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Over 122.5 points	73.7%	70.8%	65.6%	1.08×	1.41
Under 139.5 points	69.5%	65.9%	69.9%	0.94×	1.52
Over 125.5 points	66.6%	65.9%	59.5%	1.11×	1.52
Under 137.5 points	64.7%	61.5%	66.2%	0.93×	1.63
Over 127.5 points	61.5%	61.5%	55.1%	1.12×	1.63
Under 135.5 points	59.6%	56.5%	62.4%	0.91×	1.77
Over 129.5 points	56.3%	56.5%	50.5%	1.12×	1.77
Under 133.5 points	54.4%	52.3%	58.0%	0.90×	1.91
Under 132.5 points	51.6%	52.3%	56.0%	0.94×	1.91
Over 131.5 points	51.0%	52.3%	46.1%	1.14×	1.91
Under 131.5 points	49.0%	47.7%	53.9%	0.88×	2.10
Over 132.5 points	48.4%	47.7%	44.0%	1.08×	2.10
Over 133.5 points	45.6%	47.7%	42.0%	1.14×	2.10
Under 129.5 points	43.7%	43.5%	49.5%	0.88×	2.30
Over 135.5 points	40.4%	43.5%	37.6%	1.16×	2.30
Under 127.5 points	38.5%	38.5%	44.9%	0.86×	2.60
Over 137.5 points	35.3%	38.5%	33.8%	1.14×	2.60
Under 125.5 points	33.4%	34.1%	40.5%	0.84×	2.93
Over 139.5 points	30.5%	34.1%	30.1%	1.13×	2.93
Under 122.5 points	26.3%	29.2%	34.4%	0.85×	3.43
Over 142.5 points	23.9%	24.4%	24.9%	0.98×	4.10
Under 117.5 points	16.5%	19.4%	24.7%	0.79×	5.15
Over 147.5 points	14.9%	15.0%	17.7%	0.84×	6.68
Under 112.5 points	9.2%	11.2%	16.4%	0.68×	8.96
Over 152.5 points	8.5%	11.2%	11.9%	0.94×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win both halves	47.1%	45.8%	36.0%	1.27×	2.18
New Mexico Lobos to win both halves	4.9%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.54

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars by 6-10	17.8%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
BYU Cougars by 11-15	17.7%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
BYU Cougars by 1-5	14.7%	12.3%	10.2%	1.21×	8.11
BYU Cougars by 16-20	14.4%	12.3%	8.0%	1.53×	8.11
BYU Cougars by 21-25	9.6%	7.5%	5.4%	1.39×	13.40
New Mexico Lobos by 1-5	9.1%	7.5%	10.2%	0.73×	13.40
BYU Cougars by 26+	8.6%	7.5%	12.6%	0.59×	13.40
New Mexico Lobos by 6-10	4.9%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.29
New Mexico Lobos by 11-15	2.2%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.31
New Mexico Lobos by 16-20	0.8%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.32
New Mexico Lobos by 21-25	0.2%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
New Mexico Lobos by 26+	0.1%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

BYU Cougars v New Mexico Lobos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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