BYU Cougars v Utah State Aggies — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 18 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

BYU Cougars

00:00

Utah State Aggies

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

BYU Cougars win

98.8%

Draw

0.0%

Utah State Aggies win

1.2%

9901

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	9901	78.94–53.91	79-54 0%	51%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to score 100+	1.6%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.03
BYU Cougars to score 110+	0.1%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.34
BYU Cougars to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
BYU Cougars to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Utah State Aggies to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
Utah State Aggies to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Utah State Aggies to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Utah State Aggies to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win H1	89.9%	88.8%	56.4%	1.57×	1.13
Utah State Aggies to win H1	8.2%	7.2%	39.9%	0.18×	13.96
H1 tied	1.9%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.88

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 76.5	89.4%	87.7%	90.2%	0.97×	1.14
H1 over 52.5	88.2%	87.7%	79.6%	1.10×	1.14
H1 under 72.5	80.2%	82.5%	83.6%	0.99×	1.21
H1 over 56.5	78.0%	77.4%	68.2%	1.14×	1.29
H1 under 69.5	70.8%	73.5%	76.2%	0.96×	1.36
H1 over 59.5	67.8%	67.4%	57.8%	1.17×	1.48
H1 under 67.5	63.6%	62.7%	70.4%	0.89×	1.59
H1 over 61.5	60.2%	62.7%	50.2%	1.25×	1.59
H1 under 65.5	55.8%	58.2%	63.9%	0.91×	1.72
H1 over 63.5	52.3%	52.6%	42.9%	1.23×	1.90
H1 under 64.5	51.8%	52.6%	60.7%	0.87×	1.90
H1 under 63.5	47.7%	47.4%	57.1%	0.83×	2.11
H1 over 64.5	48.2%	47.4%	39.3%	1.21×	2.11
H1 over 65.5	44.2%	41.8%	36.1%	1.16×	2.39
H1 under 61.5	39.8%	37.3%	49.8%	0.75×	2.68
H1 over 67.5	36.4%	37.3%	29.6%	1.26×	2.68
H1 under 59.5	32.2%	32.6%	42.2%	0.77×	3.07
H1 over 69.5	29.2%	26.5%	23.8%	1.11×	3.77
H1 under 56.5	22.0%	22.6%	31.8%	0.71×	4.43
H1 over 72.5	19.8%	17.5%	16.4%	1.07×	5.72
H1 under 52.5	11.8%	12.3%	20.4%	0.60×	8.14
H1 over 76.5	10.6%	12.3%	9.8%	1.26×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win H2	91.3%	89.3%	56.0%	1.59×	1.12
Utah State Aggies to win H2	7.1%	11.3%	40.6%	0.28×	8.88
H2 tied	1.6%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.37

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 82.5	88.2%	85.2%	87.4%	0.97×	1.17
H2 over 58.5	87.3%	85.2%	79.6%	1.07×	1.17
H2 under 78.5	78.9%	75.8%	80.1%	0.95×	1.32
H2 over 62.5	77.2%	75.8%	68.3%	1.11×	1.32
H2 under 75.5	69.7%	66.4%	73.0%	0.91×	1.51
H2 over 65.5	67.4%	66.4%	58.8%	1.13×	1.51
H2 under 73.5	62.7%	61.6%	67.1%	0.92×	1.62
H2 over 67.5	60.1%	61.6%	52.1%	1.18×	1.62
H2 under 71.5	55.2%	57.3%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
H2 over 69.5	52.5%	52.4%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
H2 under 70.5	51.4%	52.4%	57.8%	0.91×	1.91
H2 under 69.5	47.5%	47.6%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10
H2 over 70.5	48.6%	47.6%	42.2%	1.13×	2.10
H2 over 71.5	44.8%	42.7%	38.9%	1.10×	2.34
H2 under 67.5	39.9%	38.4%	47.9%	0.80×	2.61
H2 over 73.5	37.3%	38.4%	32.9%	1.17×	2.61
H2 under 65.5	32.6%	33.6%	41.2%	0.82×	2.97
H2 over 75.5	30.3%	33.6%	27.0%	1.25×	2.97
H2 under 62.5	22.8%	24.2%	31.7%	0.76×	4.13
H2 over 78.5	21.1%	24.2%	19.9%	1.22×	4.13
H2 under 58.5	12.7%	14.8%	20.4%	0.73×	6.76
H2 over 82.5	11.8%	14.8%	12.6%	1.17×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars leading at half time	89.9%	89.5%	56.4%	1.59×	1.12
Utah State Aggies leading at half time	8.2%	6.7%	39.9%	0.17×	14.93
Level at half time	1.9%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.43

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars +3.5	99.4%	97.4%	65.7%	1.48×	1.03
BYU Cougars +4.5	99.5%	97.4%	67.8%	1.44×	1.03
BYU Cougars +5.5	99.6%	97.4%	70.1%	1.39×	1.03
BYU Cougars +6.5	99.7%	97.4%	72.3%	1.35×	1.03
BYU Cougars +7.5	99.8%	97.4%	74.5%	1.31×	1.03
BYU Cougars +8.5	99.8%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
BYU Cougars +9.5	99.9%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
BYU Cougars +10.5	99.9%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
BYU Cougars +12.5	100.0%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
BYU Cougars +14.5	100.0%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
BYU Cougars +16.5	100.0%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
BYU Cougars +18.5	100.0%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
BYU Cougars +20.5	100.0%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
BYU Cougars −1.5	98.4%	97.4%	58.7%	1.66×	1.03
BYU Cougars +1.5	99.0%	97.4%	61.2%	1.59×	1.03
BYU Cougars −2.5	97.9%	97.4%	56.7%	1.72×	1.03
BYU Cougars +2.5	99.2%	97.4%	63.3%	1.54×	1.03
BYU Cougars −3.5	97.3%	97.4%	54.2%	1.80×	1.03
BYU Cougars −4.5	96.7%	97.4%	52.2%	1.87×	1.03
BYU Cougars −5.5	95.9%	97.4%	49.7%	1.96×	1.03
BYU Cougars −6.5	95.0%	97.4%	47.6%	2.05×	1.03
BYU Cougars −7.5	94.0%	91.1%	44.8%	2.04×	1.10
BYU Cougars −8.5	92.8%	91.1%	42.0%	2.17×	1.10
BYU Cougars −9.5	91.4%	91.1%	39.3%	2.32×	1.10
BYU Cougars −10.5	89.8%	85.9%	36.8%	2.33×	1.16
BYU Cougars −12.5	86.2%	85.9%	32.1%	2.67×	1.16
BYU Cougars −14.5	81.7%	81.1%	27.9%	2.91×	1.23
BYU Cougars −16.5	76.5%	76.5%	24.3%	3.15×	1.31
BYU Cougars −18.5	70.5%	71.6%	20.7%	3.46×	1.40
BYU Cougars −20.5	63.8%	61.9%	18.0%	3.44×	1.62
Utah State Aggies +20.5	36.2%	38.1%	82.0%	0.46×	2.63
Utah State Aggies +18.5	29.5%	28.4%	79.3%	0.36×	3.53
Utah State Aggies +16.5	23.5%	23.5%	75.7%	0.31×	4.25
Utah State Aggies +14.5	18.3%	18.9%	72.1%	0.26×	5.29
Utah State Aggies +12.5	13.8%	14.1%	67.9%	0.21×	7.09
Utah State Aggies +10.5	10.2%	14.1%	63.2%	0.22×	7.09
Utah State Aggies +9.5	8.6%	8.9%	60.7%	0.15×	11.25
Utah State Aggies +7.5	6.0%	8.9%	55.2%	0.16×	11.25
Utah State Aggies +8.5	7.2%	8.9%	58.0%	0.15×	11.25
Utah State Aggies +6.5	5.0%	2.6%	52.4%	0.05×	38.72
Utah State Aggies +1.5	1.6%	2.6%	41.3%	0.06×	38.73
Utah State Aggies −1.5	1.0%	2.6%	38.8%	0.07×	38.74
Utah State Aggies +2.5	2.1%	2.6%	43.3%	0.06×	38.73
Utah State Aggies −2.5	0.8%	2.6%	36.7%	0.07×	38.74
Utah State Aggies +3.5	2.7%	2.6%	45.8%	0.06×	38.73
Utah State Aggies +4.5	3.3%	2.6%	47.8%	0.05×	38.73
Utah State Aggies +5.5	4.1%	2.6%	50.3%	0.05×	38.72
Utah State Aggies −3.5	0.6%	2.6%	34.3%	0.08×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −4.5	0.5%	2.6%	32.2%	0.08×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −5.5	0.4%	2.6%	29.9%	0.09×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −6.5	0.3%	2.6%	27.7%	0.09×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −7.5	0.2%	2.6%	25.5%	0.10×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −8.5	0.2%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −9.5	0.1%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −10.5	0.1%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −12.5	0.0%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −14.5	0.0%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −16.5	0.0%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −18.5	0.0%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Utah State Aggies −20.5	0.0%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	72.6%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.6%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	32.9%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	17.0%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	15.5%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars at HT / BYU Cougars at FT	89.5%	89.2%	48.3%	1.85×	1.12
Utah State Aggies at HT / BYU Cougars at FT	7.5%	8.3%	9.8%	0.85×	12.09
Level at HT / BYU Cougars at FT	1.8%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.76
BYU Cougars at HT / Utah State Aggies at FT	0.4%	2.1%	8.2%	0.26×	47.78
Level at HT / Utah State Aggies at FT	0.1%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.79
Utah State Aggies at HT / Utah State Aggies at FT	0.7%	2.1%	30.1%	0.07×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win	98.8%	97.5%	59.9%	1.63×	1.03
Utah State Aggies to win	1.2%	2.5%	40.1%	0.06×	39.62

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Utah State Aggies even	50.3%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	50.2%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
BYU Cougars odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Utah State Aggies odd	49.7%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	49.8%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	98.6%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	1.4%	3.0%	4.4%	0.67×	33.57

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win Q1	79.5%	80.0%	54.7%	1.46×	1.25
Utah State Aggies to win Q1	16.4%	15.6%	40.4%	0.39×	6.41
Q1 tied	4.1%	4.2%	4.9%	0.85×	23.97

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 40.5	89.2%	87.4%	89.9%	0.97×	1.14
Q1 over 24.5	87.8%	87.4%	81.8%	1.07×	1.14
Q1 under 37.5	78.5%	76.9%	81.6%	0.94×	1.30
Q1 over 27.5	76.1%	76.9%	67.7%	1.14×	1.30
Q1 under 35.5	68.8%	67.6%	73.2%	0.92×	1.48
Q1 over 29.5	65.8%	67.6%	56.9%	1.19×	1.48
Q1 under 33.5	57.6%	58.6%	64.0%	0.92×	1.71
Q1 over 31.5	54.3%	52.7%	46.0%	1.14×	1.90
Q1 under 32.5	51.7%	52.7%	59.1%	0.89×	1.90
Q1 over 32.5	48.3%	47.3%	40.9%	1.16×	2.11
Q1 under 31.5	45.7%	47.3%	54.0%	0.88×	2.11
Q1 over 33.5	42.4%	41.4%	36.0%	1.15×	2.42
Q1 under 29.5	34.2%	32.4%	43.1%	0.75×	3.08
Q1 over 35.5	31.2%	32.4%	26.8%	1.21×	3.08
Q1 under 27.5	23.9%	23.1%	32.3%	0.71×	4.33
Q1 over 37.5	21.5%	23.1%	18.4%	1.26×	4.33
Q1 under 24.5	12.3%	12.6%	18.2%	0.69×	7.95
Q1 over 40.5	10.8%	12.6%	10.1%	1.24×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win Q2	78.8%	80.8%	52.9%	1.53×	1.24
Utah State Aggies to win Q2	17.1%	14.5%	41.5%	0.35×	6.88
Q2 tied	4.1%	4.4%	5.7%	0.77×	22.90

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 40.5	90.1%	90.8%	90.8%	1.00×	1.10
Q2 over 24.5	86.7%	87.3%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Q2 under 37.5	79.9%	76.8%	82.3%	0.93×	1.30
Q2 over 27.5	74.5%	72.0%	66.7%	1.08×	1.39
Q2 under 35.5	70.6%	72.0%	74.6%	0.96×	1.39
Q2 over 29.5	64.0%	60.7%	55.8%	1.09×	1.65
Q2 under 33.5	59.6%	58.2%	65.6%	0.89×	1.72
Q2 under 32.5	53.7%	52.7%	60.8%	0.87×	1.90
Q2 over 31.5	52.3%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q2 under 31.5	47.7%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q2 over 32.5	46.3%	47.3%	39.2%	1.21×	2.11
Q2 over 33.5	40.4%	41.8%	34.4%	1.22×	2.39
Q2 under 29.5	36.0%	39.3%	44.2%	0.89×	2.55
Q2 over 35.5	29.4%	28.0%	25.4%	1.10×	3.57
Q2 under 27.5	25.5%	28.0%	33.3%	0.84×	3.57
Q2 over 37.5	20.1%	23.2%	17.7%	1.31×	4.31
Q2 under 24.5	13.3%	12.7%	19.3%	0.66×	7.89
Q2 over 40.5	9.9%	9.2%	9.2%	1.01×	10.82

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win Q3	81.1%	85.5%	53.3%	1.60×	1.17
Utah State Aggies to win Q3	15.1%	14.9%	41.8%	0.36×	6.69
Q3 tied	3.8%	4.3%	4.9%	0.86×	23.46

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 43.5	89.0%	87.2%	90.2%	0.97×	1.15
Q3 over 27.5	86.7%	87.2%	80.0%	1.09×	1.15
Q3 under 40.5	78.6%	77.3%	81.9%	0.94×	1.29
Q3 over 30.5	74.8%	71.8%	66.8%	1.07×	1.39
Q3 under 38.5	69.2%	67.8%	73.9%	0.92×	1.48
Q3 over 32.5	64.6%	62.0%	56.1%	1.10×	1.61
Q3 under 36.5	58.3%	58.4%	64.6%	0.90×	1.71
Q3 over 34.5	53.3%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Q3 under 35.5	52.6%	52.3%	59.7%	0.88×	1.91
Q3 over 35.5	47.4%	47.7%	40.3%	1.18×	2.10
Q3 under 34.5	46.7%	47.7%	54.6%	0.87×	2.10
Q3 over 36.5	41.7%	41.6%	35.4%	1.17×	2.40
Q3 under 32.5	35.4%	38.0%	43.9%	0.87×	2.63
Q3 over 38.5	30.8%	32.2%	26.1%	1.23×	3.11
Q3 under 30.5	25.2%	28.2%	33.2%	0.85×	3.55
Q3 over 40.5	21.4%	22.7%	18.1%	1.25×	4.40
Q3 under 27.5	13.3%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.83
Q3 over 43.5	11.0%	12.8%	9.8%	1.30×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win Q4	80.6%	74.6%	52.8%	1.41×	1.34
Utah State Aggies to win Q4	15.6%	22.5%	41.5%	0.54×	4.45
Q4 tied	3.8%	5.2%	5.7%	0.91×	19.30

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 43.5	87.5%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Q4 over 27.5	85.5%	85.6%	78.9%	1.09×	1.17
Q4 under 40.5	77.0%	76.9%	80.6%	0.95×	1.30
Q4 over 30.5	73.9%	71.5%	66.3%	1.08×	1.40
Q4 under 38.5	67.9%	67.4%	73.1%	0.92×	1.48
Q4 over 32.5	64.2%	61.4%	55.4%	1.11×	1.63
Q4 under 36.5	57.5%	58.4%	64.3%	0.91×	1.71
Q4 over 34.5	53.5%	52.5%	45.6%	1.15×	1.91
Q4 under 35.5	52.0%	52.5%	59.4%	0.88×	1.91
Q4 over 35.5	48.0%	47.5%	40.6%	1.17×	2.11
Q4 under 34.5	46.5%	47.5%	54.4%	0.87×	2.11
Q4 over 36.5	42.5%	41.6%	35.7%	1.17×	2.40
Q4 under 32.5	35.8%	38.6%	44.6%	0.87×	2.59
Q4 over 38.5	32.1%	32.6%	26.9%	1.21×	3.07
Q4 under 30.5	26.1%	28.5%	33.7%	0.84×	3.51
Q4 over 40.5	23.0%	23.1%	19.4%	1.19×	4.33
Q4 under 27.5	14.5%	14.4%	21.1%	0.68×	6.95
Q4 over 43.5	12.5%	14.4%	11.4%	1.26×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah State Aggies under 65.5	88.8%	83.9%	59.8%	1.40×	1.19
Utah State Aggies over 45.5	87.0%	83.9%	91.3%	0.92×	1.19
BYU Cougars over 69.5	85.1%	83.9%	42.6%	1.97×	1.19
BYU Cougars under 89.5	85.9%	83.9%	93.9%	0.89×	1.19
Utah State Aggies under 62.5	81.3%	80.7%	51.0%	1.58×	1.24
BYU Cougars under 86.5	77.7%	75.1%	91.2%	0.82×	1.33
BYU Cougars over 72.5	76.5%	75.1%	34.3%	2.19×	1.33
Utah State Aggies over 48.5	76.6%	75.1%	86.7%	0.87×	1.33
Utah State Aggies under 60.5	74.7%	70.7%	44.4%	1.59×	1.41
BYU Cougars under 84.5	70.9%	70.7%	88.9%	0.80×	1.41
BYU Cougars over 74.5	69.5%	66.4%	29.3%	2.27×	1.51
Utah State Aggies over 50.5	68.4%	66.4%	83.1%	0.80×	1.51
Utah State Aggies under 58.5	67.1%	66.4%	37.9%	1.75×	1.51
BYU Cougars under 82.5	63.2%	61.2%	86.2%	0.71×	1.63
BYU Cougars over 76.5	61.7%	61.2%	24.6%	2.49×	1.63
Utah State Aggies over 52.5	59.5%	57.1%	78.5%	0.73×	1.75
Utah State Aggies under 56.5	58.6%	57.1%	32.0%	1.79×	1.75
BYU Cougars under 80.5	55.0%	57.1%	82.9%	0.69×	1.75
Utah State Aggies under 55.5	54.2%	52.3%	29.2%	1.79×	1.91
BYU Cougars over 78.5	53.4%	52.3%	20.6%	2.53×	1.91
BYU Cougars under 79.5	50.8%	52.3%	81.3%	0.64×	1.91
Utah State Aggies over 54.5	50.4%	52.3%	73.5%	0.71×	1.91
BYU Cougars over 79.5	49.2%	47.7%	18.7%	2.55×	2.09
Utah State Aggies under 54.5	49.6%	47.7%	26.5%	1.80×	2.09
BYU Cougars under 78.5	46.6%	47.7%	79.4%	0.60×	2.09
Utah State Aggies over 55.5	45.8%	47.7%	70.8%	0.67×	2.09
BYU Cougars over 80.5	45.0%	42.9%	17.1%	2.51×	2.33
Utah State Aggies over 56.5	41.4%	42.9%	68.0%	0.63×	2.33
Utah State Aggies under 52.5	40.5%	42.9%	21.5%	1.99×	2.33
BYU Cougars under 76.5	38.3%	38.8%	75.4%	0.51×	2.58
BYU Cougars over 82.5	36.8%	38.8%	13.8%	2.82×	2.58
Utah State Aggies over 58.5	32.9%	33.6%	62.1%	0.54×	2.98
BYU Cougars under 74.5	30.5%	33.6%	70.7%	0.48×	2.98
Utah State Aggies under 50.5	31.6%	33.6%	16.9%	1.99×	2.98
BYU Cougars over 84.5	29.1%	29.3%	11.1%	2.64×	3.42
Utah State Aggies over 60.5	25.3%	29.3%	55.6%	0.53×	3.42
BYU Cougars under 72.5	23.5%	24.9%	65.7%	0.38×	4.02
Utah State Aggies under 48.5	23.5%	24.9%	13.3%	1.87×	4.02
BYU Cougars over 86.5	22.3%	24.9%	8.8%	2.83×	4.02
Utah State Aggies over 62.5	18.7%	19.3%	49.0%	0.39×	5.18
BYU Cougars under 69.5	14.9%	16.1%	57.4%	0.28×	6.21
BYU Cougars over 89.5	14.1%	16.1%	6.1%	2.62×	6.21
Utah State Aggies under 45.5	13.0%	16.1%	8.7%	1.86×	6.21
Utah State Aggies over 65.5	11.2%	16.1%	40.2%	0.40×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 114.5 points	92.6%	88.8%	80.4%	1.10×	1.13
Under 154.5 points	91.9%	88.8%	89.8%	0.99×	1.13
Over 119.5 points	85.4%	85.0%	71.6%	1.19×	1.18
Under 149.5 points	85.6%	85.0%	84.9%	1.00×	1.18
Under 144.5 points	76.5%	75.6%	78.1%	0.97×	1.32
Over 124.5 points	75.2%	75.6%	61.5%	1.23×	1.32
Under 141.5 points	69.8%	65.9%	73.4%	0.90×	1.52
Over 127.5 points	67.8%	65.9%	55.1%	1.20×	1.52
Under 139.5 points	64.9%	61.5%	69.9%	0.88×	1.63
Over 129.5 points	62.5%	61.5%	50.5%	1.22×	1.63
Under 137.5 points	59.6%	56.5%	66.2%	0.85×	1.77
Over 131.5 points	57.0%	56.5%	46.1%	1.23×	1.77
Under 135.5 points	54.2%	52.3%	62.4%	0.84×	1.91
Over 133.5 points	51.4%	52.3%	42.0%	1.25×	1.91
Under 134.5 points	51.4%	52.3%	60.2%	0.87×	1.91
Under 133.5 points	48.6%	47.7%	58.0%	0.82×	2.10
Over 134.5 points	48.6%	47.7%	39.8%	1.20×	2.10
Over 135.5 points	45.8%	47.7%	37.6%	1.27×	2.10
Under 131.5 points	43.0%	43.5%	53.9%	0.81×	2.30
Over 137.5 points	40.4%	43.5%	33.8%	1.29×	2.30
Under 129.5 points	37.5%	38.5%	49.5%	0.78×	2.60
Over 139.5 points	35.1%	38.5%	30.1%	1.28×	2.60
Under 127.5 points	32.2%	34.1%	44.9%	0.76×	2.93
Over 141.5 points	30.2%	34.1%	26.6%	1.28×	2.93
Under 124.5 points	24.8%	24.4%	38.5%	0.63×	4.10
Over 144.5 points	23.5%	24.4%	21.9%	1.11×	4.10
Under 119.5 points	14.6%	15.0%	28.4%	0.53×	6.68
Over 149.5 points	14.4%	15.0%	15.1%	0.99×	6.68
Over 154.5 points	8.1%	11.2%	10.2%	1.10×	8.96
Under 114.5 points	7.4%	11.2%	19.6%	0.57×	8.97

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars to win both halves	81.6%	82.2%	36.0%	2.28×	1.22
Utah State Aggies to win both halves	0.2%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.84

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BYU Cougars by 26+	45.7%	47.1%	12.6%	3.73×	2.12
BYU Cougars by 21-25	18.1%	16.8%	5.4%	3.11×	5.97
BYU Cougars by 16-20	15.3%	16.8%	8.0%	2.08×	5.97
BYU Cougars by 11-15	10.7%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
BYU Cougars by 6-10	6.1%	7.5%	12.9%	0.58×	13.40
BYU Cougars by 1-5	2.8%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.30
Utah State Aggies by 1-5	0.9%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.32
Utah State Aggies by 6-10	0.3%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.33
Utah State Aggies by 11-15	0.1%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.33
Utah State Aggies by 16-20	0.0%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.33
Utah State Aggies by 21-25	0.0%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Utah State Aggies by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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