Chicago Sky v Toronto Tempo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 23 September 2026 · WNBA · 2026

WNBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Chicago Sky

20:00

Toronto Tempo

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Chicago Sky win

70.2%

Draw

0.0%

Toronto Tempo win

29.8%

70030

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	70030	94.09–87.94	94-88 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky to score 100+	30.8%	31.3%	12.5%	2.50×	3.19
Toronto Tempo to score 100+	14.4%	13.8%	9.8%	1.42×	7.22
Both sides to score 100+	7.4%	8.8%	3.7%	2.35×	11.37
Chicago Sky to score 110+	7.3%	8.8%	2.1%	4.15×	11.37
Toronto Tempo to score 110+	2.4%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	282.88
Chicago Sky to score 120+	0.8%	0.4%	0.8%	0.43×	283.20
Chicago Sky to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.35
Toronto Tempo to score 120+	0.2%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.32
Toronto Tempo to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.35

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky to win H1	61.1%	62.2%	54.2%	1.15×	1.61
Toronto Tempo to win H1	35.0%	33.2%	42.2%	0.79×	3.02
H1 tied	3.9%	3.9%	3.7%	1.03×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 103.5	84.9%	82.5%	94.5%	0.87×	1.21
H1 over 79.5	83.2%	82.5%	64.8%	1.27×	1.21
H1 under 99.5	75.8%	77.4%	88.1%	0.88×	1.29
H1 over 83.5	73.6%	73.5%	51.3%	1.43×	1.36
H1 under 96.5	67.4%	67.4%	84.2%	0.80×	1.48
H1 over 86.5	64.8%	62.7%	39.9%	1.57×	1.59
H1 under 94.5	61.2%	62.7%	81.6%	0.77×	1.59
H1 over 88.5	58.5%	58.2%	33.6%	1.74×	1.72
H1 under 92.5	54.7%	52.6%	78.0%	0.67×	1.90
H1 over 90.5	51.9%	52.6%	27.0%	1.95×	1.90
H1 under 91.5	51.4%	52.6%	76.1%	0.69×	1.90
H1 over 91.5	48.6%	47.4%	23.9%	1.98×	2.11
H1 under 90.5	48.1%	47.4%	73.0%	0.65×	2.11
H1 over 92.5	45.3%	47.4%	22.0%	2.15×	2.11
H1 under 88.5	41.5%	41.8%	66.5%	0.63×	2.39
H1 over 94.5	38.8%	37.3%	18.4%	2.03×	2.68
H1 under 86.5	35.2%	37.3%	60.1%	0.62×	2.68
H1 over 96.5	32.6%	32.6%	15.8%	2.06×	3.07
H1 under 83.5	26.4%	26.5%	48.7%	0.54×	3.77
H1 over 99.5	24.2%	22.6%	11.9%	1.90×	4.43
H1 under 79.5	16.8%	17.5%	35.2%	0.50×	5.73
H1 over 103.5	15.1%	17.5%	5.5%	3.15×	5.73

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky to win H2	61.1%	58.8%	51.1%	1.15×	1.70
Toronto Tempo to win H2	35.0%	36.3%	45.3%	0.80×	2.75
H2 tied	3.9%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 103.5	85.2%	85.2%	92.2%	0.92×	1.17
H2 over 79.5	82.9%	81.8%	65.6%	1.25×	1.22
H2 under 99.5	76.2%	75.8%	87.0%	0.87×	1.32
H2 over 83.5	73.2%	72.2%	52.3%	1.38×	1.39
H2 under 96.5	67.8%	66.4%	82.7%	0.80×	1.51
H2 over 86.5	64.4%	61.6%	44.3%	1.39×	1.62
H2 under 94.5	61.7%	61.6%	79.0%	0.78×	1.62
H2 over 88.5	58.0%	57.3%	36.0%	1.59×	1.74
H2 under 92.5	55.2%	57.3%	73.8%	0.78×	1.74
H2 over 90.5	51.4%	52.4%	30.5%	1.72×	1.91
H2 under 91.5	51.9%	52.4%	72.3%	0.72×	1.91
H2 under 90.5	48.6%	47.6%	69.5%	0.68×	2.10
H2 over 91.5	48.1%	47.6%	27.7%	1.72×	2.10
H2 over 92.5	44.8%	42.7%	26.2%	1.63×	2.34
H2 under 88.5	42.0%	42.7%	64.0%	0.67×	2.34
H2 over 94.5	38.3%	38.4%	21.0%	1.83×	2.61
H2 under 86.5	35.6%	38.4%	55.7%	0.69×	2.61
H2 over 96.5	32.2%	33.6%	17.3%	1.95×	2.97
H2 under 83.5	26.8%	27.8%	47.7%	0.58×	3.59
H2 over 99.5	23.8%	24.2%	13.0%	1.86×	4.13
H2 under 79.5	17.1%	18.2%	34.4%	0.53×	5.50
H2 over 103.5	14.8%	14.8%	7.8%	1.89×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky leading at half time	61.1%	62.5%	54.2%	1.15×	1.60
Toronto Tempo leading at half time	35.0%	32.8%	42.2%	0.78×	3.05
Level at half time	3.9%	3.8%	3.7%	1.01×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky +14.5	95.7%	97.4%	88.4%	1.10×	1.03
Chicago Sky +16.5	97.0%	97.4%	91.7%	1.06×	1.03
Chicago Sky +18.5	98.0%	97.4%	93.3%	1.04×	1.03
Chicago Sky +20.5	98.7%	97.4%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Chicago Sky +12.5	93.9%	91.1%	86.2%	1.06×	1.10
Chicago Sky +9.5	90.2%	91.1%	80.5%	1.13×	1.10
Chicago Sky +10.5	91.6%	91.1%	83.6%	1.09×	1.10
Chicago Sky +8.5	88.6%	85.9%	78.8%	1.09×	1.16
Chicago Sky +7.5	86.9%	85.9%	75.6%	1.14×	1.16
Toronto Tempo +20.5	88.1%	85.9%	90.1%	0.95×	1.16
Chicago Sky +6.5	85.0%	85.9%	72.2%	1.19×	1.16
Toronto Tempo +18.5	84.4%	81.1%	86.6%	0.94×	1.23
Chicago Sky +5.5	83.0%	81.1%	69.1%	1.17×	1.23
Chicago Sky +4.5	80.8%	81.1%	65.6%	1.24×	1.23
Toronto Tempo +16.5	80.1%	81.1%	83.7%	0.97×	1.23
Chicago Sky +3.5	78.4%	76.5%	62.9%	1.22×	1.31
Chicago Sky +2.5	75.8%	76.5%	60.6%	1.26×	1.31
Toronto Tempo +14.5	75.0%	76.5%	80.6%	0.95×	1.31
Chicago Sky +1.5	73.1%	71.6%	57.3%	1.25×	1.40
Toronto Tempo +12.5	69.3%	66.7%	76.4%	0.87×	1.50
Chicago Sky −1.5	67.1%	66.7%	52.9%	1.26×	1.50
Chicago Sky −2.5	63.9%	61.9%	50.8%	1.22×	1.62
Toronto Tempo +10.5	63.1%	61.9%	72.2%	0.86×	1.62
Chicago Sky −3.5	60.5%	61.9%	48.0%	1.29×	1.62
Toronto Tempo +9.5	59.9%	57.1%	69.7%	0.82×	1.75
Chicago Sky −4.5	57.2%	57.1%	45.8%	1.25×	1.75
Toronto Tempo +8.5	56.5%	57.1%	66.0%	0.87×	1.75
Chicago Sky −5.5	53.7%	52.4%	42.7%	1.23×	1.91
Toronto Tempo +7.5	53.1%	52.4%	62.4%	0.84×	1.91
Chicago Sky −6.5	50.3%	52.4%	39.6%	1.32×	1.91
Toronto Tempo +6.5	49.7%	47.6%	60.4%	0.79×	2.10
Toronto Tempo +5.5	46.3%	47.6%	57.3%	0.83×	2.10
Chicago Sky −7.5	46.9%	47.6%	37.6%	1.27×	2.10
Toronto Tempo +4.5	42.8%	42.9%	54.2%	0.79×	2.33
Chicago Sky −8.5	43.5%	42.9%	34.0%	1.26×	2.33
Chicago Sky −9.5	40.1%	42.9%	30.3%	1.42×	2.33
Toronto Tempo +3.5	39.5%	38.1%	52.0%	0.73×	2.63
Chicago Sky −10.5	36.9%	38.1%	27.9%	1.37×	2.63
Toronto Tempo +2.5	36.1%	38.1%	49.2%	0.77×	2.63
Toronto Tempo +1.5	32.9%	33.3%	47.1%	0.71×	3.01
Chicago Sky −12.5	30.7%	33.3%	23.6%	1.41×	3.01
Toronto Tempo −1.5	26.9%	28.4%	42.7%	0.66×	3.53
Chicago Sky −14.5	25.0%	23.5%	19.4%	1.21×	4.25
Toronto Tempo −2.5	24.2%	23.5%	39.4%	0.60×	4.25
Toronto Tempo −3.5	21.6%	23.5%	37.1%	0.63×	4.25
Chicago Sky −16.5	19.9%	18.9%	16.3%	1.16×	5.29
Toronto Tempo −4.5	19.2%	18.9%	34.4%	0.55×	5.29
Toronto Tempo −5.5	17.0%	18.9%	30.9%	0.61×	5.29
Chicago Sky −18.5	15.6%	18.9%	13.4%	1.41×	5.30
Toronto Tempo −6.5	15.0%	14.1%	27.9%	0.51×	7.09
Toronto Tempo −7.5	13.1%	14.1%	24.4%	0.58×	7.09
Chicago Sky −20.5	11.9%	14.1%	9.9%	1.42×	7.09
Toronto Tempo −8.5	11.4%	14.1%	21.2%	0.67×	7.09
Toronto Tempo −9.5	9.8%	8.9%	19.5%	0.45×	11.25
Toronto Tempo −10.5	8.4%	8.9%	16.5%	0.54×	11.25
Toronto Tempo −12.5	6.1%	8.9%	13.8%	0.64×	11.25
Toronto Tempo −14.5	4.3%	2.6%	11.6%	0.22×	38.72
Toronto Tempo −16.5	3.0%	2.6%	8.3%	0.31×	38.73
Toronto Tempo −18.5	2.0%	2.6%	6.7%	0.39×	38.73
Toronto Tempo −20.5	1.3%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	52.4%	50.7%	1.03×	1.91
1st half highest scoring	50.5%	47.6%	49.3%	0.96×	2.10

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.4%	27.4%	27.5%	0.99×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.8%	27.4%	27.0%	1.01×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	22.2%	22.4%	23.8%	0.94×	4.46
Q2 highest scoring	21.6%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky at HT / Chicago Sky at FT	52.5%	51.1%	41.9%	1.22×	1.96
Toronto Tempo at HT / Toronto Tempo at FT	19.9%	15.5%	30.9%	0.50×	6.47
Toronto Tempo at HT / Chicago Sky at FT	15.1%	15.4%	11.4%	1.35×	6.47
Chicago Sky at HT / Toronto Tempo at FT	8.6%	8.3%	12.5%	0.66×	12.08
Level at HT / Chicago Sky at FT	2.6%	2.1%	2.1%	0.99×	47.75
Level at HT / Toronto Tempo at FT	1.3%	2.1%	1.8%	1.17×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky to win	70.2%	68.7%	55.0%	1.25×	1.46
Toronto Tempo to win	29.8%	31.3%	45.0%	0.70×	3.19

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.5%	50.5%	52.0%	0.97×	1.98
Chicago Sky even	50.0%	50.5%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Toronto Tempo even	50.0%	50.5%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
Chicago Sky odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.5%	1.00×	2.02
Toronto Tempo odd	50.0%	49.5%	48.9%	1.01×	2.02
Total points even	48.5%	49.5%	48.0%	1.03×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	96.0%	97.0%	96.7%	1.00×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.0%	3.0%	3.3%	0.92×	33.39

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky to win Q1	56.1%	57.3%	52.4%	1.09×	1.75
Toronto Tempo to win Q1	38.5%	38.3%	43.0%	0.89×	2.61
Q1 tied	5.4%	5.5%	4.7%	1.16×	18.33

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 54.5	85.6%	87.4%	91.5%	0.96×	1.14
Q1 over 38.5	83.4%	82.8%	68.4%	1.21×	1.21
Q1 under 51.5	75.3%	76.9%	86.6%	0.89×	1.30
Q1 over 41.5	72.2%	72.7%	53.7%	1.35×	1.38
Q1 under 49.5	66.6%	67.6%	82.1%	0.82×	1.48
Q1 over 43.5	63.1%	61.7%	46.3%	1.33×	1.62
Q1 under 47.5	56.9%	58.6%	73.3%	0.80×	1.71
Q1 over 45.5	53.2%	52.7%	35.7%	1.48×	1.90
Q1 under 46.5	51.9%	52.7%	69.7%	0.76×	1.90
Q1 over 46.5	48.1%	47.3%	30.3%	1.56×	2.11
Q1 under 45.5	46.8%	47.3%	64.3%	0.74×	2.11
Q1 over 47.5	43.1%	41.4%	26.7%	1.55×	2.42
Q1 under 43.5	36.9%	38.3%	53.7%	0.71×	2.61
Q1 over 49.5	33.4%	32.4%	17.9%	1.81×	3.08
Q1 under 41.5	27.8%	27.3%	46.3%	0.59×	3.66
Q1 over 51.5	24.7%	23.1%	13.4%	1.73×	4.33
Q1 under 38.5	16.6%	17.2%	31.6%	0.54×	5.83
Q1 over 54.5	14.4%	12.6%	8.5%	1.49×	7.94

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky to win Q2	55.7%	59.4%	51.8%	1.15×	1.69
Toronto Tempo to win Q2	39.0%	35.8%	45.0%	0.80×	2.80
Q2 tied	5.3%	6.1%	3.4%	1.77×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 53.5	86.7%	87.3%	94.6%	0.92×	1.15
Q2 over 37.5	83.4%	83.0%	70.0%	1.19×	1.21
Q2 under 50.5	76.4%	76.8%	87.9%	0.87×	1.30
Q2 over 40.5	71.9%	72.0%	54.9%	1.31×	1.39
Q2 under 48.5	67.7%	67.4%	82.4%	0.82×	1.49
Q2 over 42.5	62.5%	60.7%	45.3%	1.34×	1.65
Q2 under 46.5	57.9%	58.2%	75.4%	0.77×	1.72
Q2 over 44.5	52.4%	52.7%	33.1%	1.59×	1.90
Q2 under 45.5	52.8%	52.7%	70.8%	0.74×	1.90
Q2 under 44.5	47.6%	47.3%	66.9%	0.71×	2.11
Q2 over 45.5	47.2%	47.3%	29.2%	1.62×	2.11
Q2 over 46.5	42.1%	41.8%	24.6%	1.70×	2.39
Q2 under 42.5	37.5%	39.3%	54.7%	0.72×	2.55
Q2 over 48.5	32.3%	32.6%	17.6%	1.86×	3.06
Q2 under 40.5	28.1%	28.0%	45.1%	0.62×	3.57
Q2 over 50.5	23.6%	23.2%	12.1%	1.93×	4.31
Q2 under 37.5	16.6%	17.0%	30.0%	0.57×	5.88
Q2 over 53.5	13.3%	12.7%	5.4%	2.36×	7.89

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky to win Q3	56.3%	56.8%	48.2%	1.18×	1.76
Toronto Tempo to win Q3	38.2%	38.8%	46.4%	0.84×	2.58
Q3 tied	5.5%	5.3%	5.5%	0.95×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 54.5	85.7%	87.2%	92.8%	0.94×	1.15
Q3 over 38.5	83.7%	82.3%	68.4%	1.20×	1.22
Q3 under 51.5	75.2%	77.3%	88.3%	0.88×	1.29
Q3 over 41.5	72.6%	71.8%	54.9%	1.31×	1.39
Q3 under 49.5	66.5%	67.8%	83.2%	0.81×	1.48
Q3 over 43.5	63.4%	62.0%	45.8%	1.35×	1.61
Q3 under 47.5	56.7%	58.4%	73.6%	0.79×	1.71
Q3 over 45.5	53.5%	52.3%	35.8%	1.46×	1.91
Q3 under 46.5	51.6%	52.3%	69.1%	0.76×	1.91
Q3 over 46.5	48.4%	47.7%	30.9%	1.54×	2.10
Q3 under 45.5	46.5%	47.7%	64.2%	0.74×	2.10
Q3 over 47.5	43.3%	41.6%	26.4%	1.58×	2.40
Q3 under 43.5	36.6%	38.0%	54.2%	0.70×	2.63
Q3 over 49.5	33.5%	32.2%	16.8%	1.92×	3.10
Q3 under 41.5	27.4%	28.2%	45.1%	0.62×	3.55
Q3 over 51.5	24.8%	22.7%	11.7%	1.94×	4.40
Q3 under 38.5	16.3%	17.7%	31.6%	0.56×	5.66
Q3 over 54.5	14.3%	12.8%	7.2%	1.78×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky to win Q4	55.8%	52.0%	52.6%	0.99×	1.92
Toronto Tempo to win Q4	38.9%	42.4%	42.5%	1.00×	2.36
Q4 tied	5.3%	5.8%	5.0%	1.15×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 53.5	85.6%	85.6%	91.4%	0.94×	1.17
Q4 over 37.5	81.2%	82.0%	65.5%	1.25×	1.22
Q4 under 50.5	75.8%	76.9%	84.9%	0.91×	1.30
Q4 over 40.5	69.8%	67.4%	52.8%	1.28×	1.48
Q4 under 48.5	67.6%	67.4%	79.8%	0.84×	1.48
Q4 over 42.5	60.8%	61.4%	44.8%	1.37×	1.63
Q4 under 46.5	58.4%	58.4%	70.8%	0.82×	1.71
Q4 under 45.5	53.6%	52.5%	67.3%	0.78×	1.91
Q4 over 44.5	51.3%	52.5%	36.5%	1.44×	1.91
Q4 under 44.5	48.7%	47.5%	63.5%	0.75×	2.11
Q4 over 45.5	46.4%	47.5%	32.7%	1.45×	2.11
Q4 over 46.5	41.6%	41.6%	29.2%	1.43×	2.40
Q4 under 42.5	39.2%	38.6%	55.2%	0.70×	2.59
Q4 over 48.5	32.4%	32.6%	20.2%	1.61×	3.07
Q4 under 40.5	30.2%	32.6%	47.2%	0.69×	3.07
Q4 over 50.5	24.2%	23.1%	15.1%	1.52×	4.33
Q4 under 37.5	18.8%	18.0%	34.5%	0.52×	5.56
Q4 over 53.5	14.4%	14.4%	8.6%	1.67×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky under 104.5	83.6%	80.7%	94.6%	0.85×	1.24
Toronto Tempo under 98.5	83.5%	80.7%	88.4%	0.91×	1.24
Chicago Sky over 84.5	82.0%	80.7%	52.0%	1.55×	1.24
Toronto Tempo over 78.5	80.3%	80.7%	65.0%	1.24×	1.24
Chicago Sky under 101.5	75.6%	75.1%	91.4%	0.82×	1.33
Toronto Tempo under 95.5	75.8%	75.1%	85.2%	0.88×	1.33
Chicago Sky over 87.5	73.6%	70.7%	41.7%	1.70×	1.41
Toronto Tempo over 81.5	71.8%	70.7%	55.0%	1.28×	1.41
Toronto Tempo under 93.5	69.8%	66.4%	81.6%	0.81×	1.51
Chicago Sky under 99.5	69.2%	66.4%	87.5%	0.76×	1.51
Chicago Sky over 89.5	67.1%	66.4%	36.8%	1.80×	1.51
Toronto Tempo over 83.5	65.4%	66.4%	49.8%	1.33×	1.51
Chicago Sky under 97.5	62.3%	61.2%	83.9%	0.73×	1.63
Toronto Tempo under 91.5	63.1%	61.2%	78.3%	0.78×	1.63
Chicago Sky over 91.5	60.0%	61.2%	31.4%	1.95×	1.63
Toronto Tempo over 85.5	58.4%	57.1%	44.0%	1.30×	1.75
Toronto Tempo under 89.5	56.1%	57.1%	71.3%	0.80×	1.75
Chicago Sky under 95.5	54.9%	52.3%	79.0%	0.66×	1.91
Chicago Sky under 94.5	51.2%	52.3%	75.6%	0.69×	1.91
Toronto Tempo over 87.5	51.2%	52.3%	36.6%	1.43×	1.91
Toronto Tempo under 88.5	52.5%	52.3%	68.1%	0.77×	1.91
Chicago Sky over 93.5	52.6%	52.3%	26.1%	2.01×	1.91
Chicago Sky over 94.5	48.8%	47.7%	24.4%	1.95×	2.09
Toronto Tempo under 87.5	48.8%	47.7%	63.4%	0.75×	2.09
Toronto Tempo over 88.5	47.5%	47.7%	31.9%	1.50×	2.09
Chicago Sky under 93.5	47.4%	47.7%	73.9%	0.65×	2.09
Chicago Sky over 95.5	45.1%	47.7%	21.0%	2.27×	2.09
Toronto Tempo over 89.5	43.9%	42.9%	28.7%	1.50×	2.33
Toronto Tempo under 85.5	41.6%	42.9%	56.0%	0.77×	2.33
Chicago Sky under 91.5	40.0%	38.8%	68.6%	0.57×	2.58
Chicago Sky over 97.5	37.7%	38.8%	16.1%	2.41×	2.58
Toronto Tempo over 91.5	36.9%	38.8%	21.7%	1.79×	2.58
Toronto Tempo under 83.5	34.6%	33.6%	50.2%	0.67×	2.98
Chicago Sky under 89.5	32.9%	33.6%	63.2%	0.53×	2.98
Chicago Sky over 99.5	30.8%	33.6%	12.5%	2.68×	2.98
Toronto Tempo over 93.5	30.2%	33.6%	18.4%	1.83×	2.98
Toronto Tempo under 81.5	28.2%	29.3%	45.0%	0.65×	3.42
Chicago Sky under 87.5	26.4%	29.3%	58.3%	0.50×	3.42
Chicago Sky over 101.5	24.4%	24.9%	8.6%	2.88×	4.02
Toronto Tempo over 95.5	24.2%	24.9%	14.8%	1.68×	4.02
Toronto Tempo under 78.5	19.7%	19.3%	35.0%	0.55×	5.18
Chicago Sky under 84.5	18.0%	19.3%	48.0%	0.40×	5.18
Chicago Sky over 104.5	16.4%	19.3%	5.4%	3.59×	5.18
Toronto Tempo over 98.5	16.5%	19.3%	11.6%	1.67×	5.18

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 202.5 points	87.5%	85.0%	94.1%	0.90×	1.18
Over 162.5 points	86.4%	85.0%	61.4%	1.39×	1.18
Under 197.5 points	80.8%	80.6%	92.0%	0.88×	1.24
Over 167.5 points	79.2%	75.6%	51.0%	1.48×	1.32
Under 192.5 points	72.2%	70.8%	87.6%	0.81×	1.41
Over 172.5 points	70.4%	70.8%	39.7%	1.78×	1.41
Under 189.5 points	66.3%	65.9%	86.5%	0.76×	1.52
Over 175.5 points	64.3%	61.5%	35.7%	1.72×	1.63
Under 187.5 points	62.1%	61.5%	84.4%	0.73×	1.63
Over 177.5 points	60.0%	56.5%	32.2%	1.75×	1.77
Under 185.5 points	57.8%	56.5%	82.4%	0.69×	1.77
Over 179.5 points	55.6%	56.5%	26.9%	2.10×	1.77
Under 183.5 points	53.4%	52.3%	79.5%	0.66×	1.91
Over 181.5 points	51.1%	52.3%	23.8%	2.20×	1.91
Under 182.5 points	51.0%	52.3%	77.9%	0.67×	1.91
Under 181.5 points	48.9%	47.7%	76.2%	0.63×	2.10
Over 182.5 points	49.0%	47.7%	22.2%	2.15×	2.10
Over 183.5 points	46.6%	47.7%	20.5%	2.32×	2.10
Under 179.5 points	44.4%	43.5%	73.1%	0.59×	2.30
Over 185.5 points	42.2%	43.5%	17.6%	2.47×	2.30
Under 177.5 points	40.0%	43.5%	67.8%	0.64×	2.30
Over 187.5 points	37.9%	38.5%	15.6%	2.46×	2.60
Under 175.5 points	35.7%	38.5%	64.3%	0.60×	2.60
Over 189.5 points	33.7%	34.1%	13.5%	2.52×	2.93
Under 172.5 points	29.6%	29.2%	60.3%	0.48×	3.43
Over 192.5 points	27.8%	29.2%	12.4%	2.36×	3.43
Under 167.5 points	20.8%	24.4%	49.0%	0.50×	4.10
Over 197.5 points	19.2%	19.4%	8.0%	2.44×	5.15
Under 162.5 points	13.6%	15.0%	38.6%	0.39×	6.68
Over 202.5 points	12.5%	15.0%	5.9%	2.55×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky to win both halves	34.7%	31.3%	25.7%	1.22×	3.20
Toronto Tempo to win both halves	9.9%	8.9%	17.9%	0.49×	11.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Sky by 1-5	16.5%	16.8%	12.5%	1.34×	5.97
Chicago Sky by 6-10	16.9%	16.8%	15.0%	1.12×	5.97
Chicago Sky by 11-15	14.5%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Toronto Tempo by 1-5	12.8%	12.3%	14.2%	0.87×	8.11
Chicago Sky by 16-20	10.5%	12.3%	8.0%	1.55×	8.11
Toronto Tempo by 6-10	8.6%	7.5%	14.7%	0.51×	13.40
Chicago Sky by 21-25	6.4%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Chicago Sky by 26+	5.5%	7.5%	5.2%	1.43×	13.40
Toronto Tempo by 11-15	4.8%	2.0%	6.5%	0.31×	49.29
Toronto Tempo by 16-20	2.3%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.31
Toronto Tempo by 21-25	0.9%	2.0%	2.3%	0.89×	49.32
Toronto Tempo by 26+	0.4%	2.0%	3.6%	0.57×	49.32

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