Cleveland Cavaliers v Orlando Magic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Cleveland Cavaliers

18:30

Orlando Magic

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Cleveland Cavaliers win

62.2%

Draw

0.0%

Orlando Magic win

37.8%

62038

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	62038	115.96–111.56	116-112 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to score 100+	91.9%	90.3%	89.3%	1.01×	1.11
Orlando Magic to score 100+	84.7%	79.3%	85.9%	0.92×	1.26
Both sides to score 100+	78.6%	77.0%	77.5%	0.99×	1.30
Cleveland Cavaliers to score 110+	70.9%	72.3%	67.0%	1.08×	1.38
Orlando Magic to score 110+	56.7%	56.3%	60.9%	0.92×	1.78
Cleveland Cavaliers to score 120+	38.5%	36.0%	36.5%	0.99×	2.78
Orlando Magic to score 120+	24.7%	22.1%	29.7%	0.74×	4.54
Cleveland Cavaliers to score 130+	12.7%	13.8%	12.8%	1.08×	7.23
Orlando Magic to score 130+	6.2%	8.8%	10.0%	0.88×	11.39

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win H1	56.3%	57.3%	52.8%	1.08×	1.75
Orlando Magic to win H1	40.3%	42.7%	44.1%	0.97×	2.34
H1 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 127.5	83.5%	82.5%	84.8%	0.97×	1.21
H1 over 103.5	80.8%	82.5%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
H1 under 123.5	74.8%	73.5%	76.0%	0.97×	1.36
H1 over 107.5	71.3%	73.5%	70.4%	1.04×	1.36
H1 under 120.5	66.9%	67.4%	68.4%	0.99×	1.48
H1 over 110.5	63.0%	62.7%	61.9%	1.01×	1.59
H1 under 118.5	61.1%	62.7%	62.9%	1.00×	1.59
H1 over 112.5	57.1%	58.2%	55.8%	1.04×	1.72
H1 under 116.5	55.1%	58.2%	56.6%	1.03×	1.72
H1 under 115.5	52.1%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
H1 over 114.5	51.0%	52.6%	49.6%	1.06×	1.90
H1 under 114.5	49.0%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
H1 over 115.5	47.9%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11
H1 over 116.5	44.9%	41.8%	43.4%	0.96×	2.39
H1 under 112.5	42.9%	41.8%	44.2%	0.95×	2.39
H1 over 118.5	38.9%	37.3%	37.1%	1.00×	2.68
H1 under 110.5	37.0%	37.3%	38.1%	0.98×	2.68
H1 over 120.5	33.1%	32.6%	31.6%	1.03×	3.07
H1 under 107.5	28.7%	26.5%	29.6%	0.90×	3.77
H1 over 123.5	25.2%	26.5%	24.0%	1.10×	3.77
H1 under 103.5	19.2%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.72
H1 over 127.5	16.5%	17.5%	15.2%	1.15×	5.73

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win H2	56.2%	55.0%	51.6%	1.07×	1.82
Orlando Magic to win H2	40.4%	43.5%	44.7%	0.97×	2.30
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 100.5	82.8%	81.8%	82.4%	0.99×	1.22
H2 under 124.5	82.0%	81.8%	79.1%	1.03×	1.22
H2 under 125.5	83.3%	81.5%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
H2 over 101.5	81.0%	81.5%	80.3%	1.02×	1.23
H2 under 121.5	74.5%	72.5%	72.0%	1.01×	1.38
H2 over 105.5	71.6%	72.5%	71.3%	1.02×	1.38
H2 over 104.5	73.8%	72.2%	73.9%	0.98×	1.39
H2 under 120.5	72.8%	72.2%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
H2 over 107.5	65.6%	66.4%	66.2%	1.00×	1.51
H2 under 118.5	66.6%	64.4%	63.6%	1.01×	1.55
H2 over 108.5	63.3%	62.6%	63.8%	0.98×	1.60
H2 under 116.5	60.9%	62.6%	58.1%	1.08×	1.60
H2 under 117.5	64.6%	61.6%	61.1%	1.01×	1.62
H2 over 110.5	57.4%	58.0%	58.1%	1.00×	1.72
H2 over 109.5	59.8%	57.3%	60.9%	0.94×	1.74
H2 under 115.5	58.6%	57.3%	55.4%	1.03×	1.74
H2 over 111.5	53.7%	52.4%	55.3%	0.95×	1.91
H2 under 113.5	52.5%	52.4%	50.1%	1.05×	1.91
H2 over 112.5	50.6%	52.4%	52.6%	1.00×	1.91
H2 under 114.5	54.9%	52.1%	52.5%	0.99×	1.92
H2 over 114.5	45.1%	47.9%	47.5%	1.01×	2.09
H2 under 112.5	49.4%	47.6%	47.4%	1.00×	2.10
H2 over 113.5	47.5%	47.6%	49.9%	0.95×	2.10
H2 under 111.5	46.3%	47.6%	44.7%	1.07×	2.10
H2 over 115.5	41.4%	42.7%	44.6%	0.96×	2.34
H2 under 109.5	40.2%	42.7%	39.1%	1.09×	2.35
H2 under 110.5	42.6%	42.0%	41.9%	1.00×	2.38
H2 over 117.5	35.4%	38.4%	38.9%	0.99×	2.61
H2 over 116.5	39.1%	37.4%	41.9%	0.89×	2.67
H2 under 108.5	36.7%	37.4%	36.2%	1.03×	2.67
H2 over 118.5	33.4%	35.6%	36.4%	0.98×	2.81
H2 under 107.5	34.4%	33.6%	33.8%	1.00×	2.97
H2 over 120.5	27.2%	27.8%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
H2 under 104.5	26.2%	27.8%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
H2 under 105.5	28.4%	27.5%	28.7%	0.96×	3.63
H2 over 121.5	25.5%	27.5%	28.0%	0.98×	3.64
H2 under 101.5	19.0%	18.5%	19.7%	0.94×	5.41
H2 over 125.5	16.7%	18.5%	18.7%	0.99×	5.41
H2 over 124.5	18.0%	18.2%	20.9%	0.87×	5.50
H2 under 100.5	17.2%	18.2%	17.6%	1.03×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers leading at half time	56.3%	56.9%	52.8%	1.08×	1.76
Orlando Magic leading at half time	40.3%	42.8%	44.1%	0.97×	2.34
Level at half time	3.4%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers +20.5	95.6%	97.4%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +16.5	92.3%	91.1%	89.7%	1.02×	1.10
Cleveland Cavaliers +18.5	94.1%	91.1%	91.5%	1.00×	1.10
Cleveland Cavaliers +14.5	90.1%	91.1%	87.0%	1.05×	1.10
Cleveland Cavaliers +12.5	87.5%	85.9%	83.9%	1.02×	1.16
Orlando Magic +20.5	86.3%	85.9%	89.1%	0.96×	1.16
Cleveland Cavaliers +10.5	84.4%	81.1%	80.3%	1.01×	1.23
Cleveland Cavaliers +9.5	82.7%	81.1%	78.1%	1.04×	1.23
Orlando Magic +18.5	83.0%	81.1%	86.4%	0.94×	1.23
Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5	80.8%	81.1%	75.7%	1.07×	1.23
Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5	78.8%	76.5%	73.0%	1.05×	1.31
Orlando Magic +16.5	79.3%	76.5%	83.5%	0.92×	1.31
Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5	76.8%	76.5%	70.6%	1.08×	1.31
Orlando Magic +14.5	75.0%	76.5%	80.1%	0.95×	1.31
Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5	74.6%	71.6%	68.0%	1.05×	1.40
Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5	72.3%	71.6%	65.7%	1.09×	1.40
Orlando Magic +12.5	70.4%	71.6%	76.0%	0.94×	1.40
Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5	69.9%	66.7%	63.1%	1.06×	1.50
Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5	67.4%	66.7%	60.5%	1.10×	1.50
Orlando Magic +10.5	65.4%	66.7%	71.0%	0.94×	1.50
Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5	64.9%	61.9%	57.9%	1.07×	1.62
Orlando Magic +9.5	62.8%	61.9%	68.7%	0.90×	1.62
Orlando Magic +8.5	60.1%	61.9%	65.9%	0.94×	1.62
Cleveland Cavaliers −1.5	59.5%	57.1%	53.7%	1.06×	1.75
Cleveland Cavaliers −2.5	56.7%	57.1%	50.9%	1.12×	1.75
Orlando Magic +7.5	57.4%	57.1%	63.0%	0.91×	1.75
Orlando Magic +6.5	54.6%	52.4%	60.0%	0.87×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers −3.5	53.9%	52.4%	48.4%	1.08×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers −4.5	51.1%	52.4%	46.0%	1.14×	1.91
Orlando Magic +5.5	51.8%	52.4%	57.1%	0.92×	1.91
Orlando Magic +4.5	48.9%	47.6%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Cleveland Cavaliers −5.5	48.2%	47.6%	42.9%	1.11×	2.10
Orlando Magic +3.5	46.1%	47.6%	51.6%	0.92×	2.10
Cleveland Cavaliers −6.5	45.4%	47.6%	40.0%	1.19×	2.10
Orlando Magic +2.5	43.3%	42.9%	49.1%	0.88×	2.33
Cleveland Cavaliers −7.5	42.6%	42.9%	37.0%	1.16×	2.33
Orlando Magic +1.5	40.5%	42.9%	46.3%	0.93×	2.33
Cleveland Cavaliers −8.5	39.9%	38.1%	34.1%	1.12×	2.63
Cleveland Cavaliers −9.5	37.2%	38.1%	31.3%	1.22×	2.63
Orlando Magic −1.5	35.1%	38.1%	42.1%	0.90×	2.63
Cleveland Cavaliers −10.5	34.6%	33.3%	29.0%	1.15×	3.01
Orlando Magic −2.5	32.6%	33.3%	39.5%	0.84×	3.01
Orlando Magic −3.5	30.1%	33.3%	36.9%	0.90×	3.01
Cleveland Cavaliers −12.5	29.6%	28.4%	24.0%	1.18×	3.53
Orlando Magic −4.5	27.7%	28.4%	34.3%	0.83×	3.53
Orlando Magic −5.5	25.4%	28.4%	32.0%	0.89×	3.53
Cleveland Cavaliers −14.5	25.0%	23.5%	19.9%	1.19×	4.25
Orlando Magic −6.5	23.2%	23.5%	29.4%	0.80×	4.25
Orlando Magic −7.5	21.2%	23.5%	27.0%	0.87×	4.25
Cleveland Cavaliers −16.5	20.7%	23.5%	16.5%	1.43×	4.25
Orlando Magic −8.5	19.2%	18.9%	24.3%	0.78×	5.29
Orlando Magic −9.5	17.3%	18.9%	21.9%	0.86×	5.29
Cleveland Cavaliers −18.5	17.0%	18.9%	13.6%	1.39×	5.29
Orlando Magic −10.5	15.6%	18.9%	19.7%	0.96×	5.30
Cleveland Cavaliers −20.5	13.7%	14.1%	10.9%	1.30×	7.09
Orlando Magic −12.5	12.5%	14.1%	16.1%	0.87×	7.09
Orlando Magic −14.5	9.9%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.25
Orlando Magic −16.5	7.7%	8.9%	10.3%	0.86×	11.25
Orlando Magic −18.5	5.9%	8.9%	8.5%	1.04×	11.25
Orlando Magic −20.5	4.4%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	38.72

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.6%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.4%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.3%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.9%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.3%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers at HT / Cleveland Cavaliers at FT	45.9%	46.6%	40.8%	1.14×	2.15
Orlando Magic at HT / Orlando Magic at FT	26.1%	29.6%	30.9%	0.96×	3.38
Orlando Magic at HT / Cleveland Cavaliers at FT	14.2%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Cleveland Cavaliers at HT / Orlando Magic at FT	10.3%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.18
Level at HT / Cleveland Cavaliers at FT	2.0%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.76
Level at HT / Orlando Magic at FT	1.4%	2.1%	1.4%	1.49×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win	62.2%	60.7%	55.7%	1.09×	1.65
Orlando Magic to win	37.8%	39.3%	44.3%	0.89×	2.54

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Orlando Magic even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Cleveland Cavaliers even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Orlando Magic odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Cleveland Cavaliers odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.2%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.8%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q1	53.1%	52.6%	51.3%	1.02×	1.90
Orlando Magic to win Q1	42.2%	42.9%	44.1%	0.97×	2.33
Q1 tied	4.7%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 49.5	82.9%	82.8%	82.7%	1.00×	1.21
Q1 under 65.5	82.5%	82.8%	83.2%	1.00×	1.21
Q1 over 52.5	72.4%	72.7%	72.4%	1.00×	1.38
Q1 under 62.5	71.9%	72.7%	72.9%	1.00×	1.38
Q1 over 54.5	64.1%	61.7%	63.3%	0.98×	1.62
Q1 under 60.5	63.5%	61.7%	64.5%	0.96×	1.62
Q1 over 56.5	55.0%	52.7%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90
Q1 under 58.5	54.4%	52.7%	55.7%	0.95×	1.90
Q1 over 57.5	50.3%	52.7%	49.6%	1.06×	1.90
Q1 under 57.5	49.7%	47.3%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
Q1 over 58.5	45.6%	47.3%	44.3%	1.07×	2.11
Q1 under 56.5	45.0%	47.3%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
Q1 over 60.5	36.5%	38.3%	35.5%	1.08×	2.61
Q1 under 54.5	35.9%	38.3%	36.7%	1.04×	2.61
Q1 over 62.5	28.1%	27.3%	27.1%	1.01×	3.66
Q1 under 52.5	27.6%	27.3%	27.6%	0.99×	3.66
Q1 over 65.5	17.5%	17.2%	16.8%	1.02×	5.83
Q1 under 49.5	17.1%	17.2%	17.3%	0.99×	5.83

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q2	53.0%	51.4%	49.3%	1.04×	1.95
Orlando Magic to win Q2	42.3%	43.9%	46.2%	0.95×	2.28
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 65.5	83.2%	83.0%	83.6%	0.99×	1.21
Q2 over 49.5	81.8%	83.0%	81.8%	1.02×	1.21
Q2 under 62.5	73.0%	72.0%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
Q2 over 52.5	71.1%	72.0%	70.3%	1.02×	1.39
Q2 under 60.5	64.7%	60.7%	65.7%	0.92×	1.65
Q2 over 54.5	62.7%	60.7%	61.1%	0.99×	1.65
Q2 under 58.5	55.7%	58.2%	57.3%	1.01×	1.72
Q2 over 56.5	53.6%	52.7%	51.7%	1.02×	1.90
Q2 under 57.5	51.1%	52.7%	52.7%	1.00×	1.90
Q2 over 57.5	48.9%	47.3%	47.3%	1.00×	2.11
Q2 under 56.5	46.4%	47.3%	48.3%	0.98×	2.11
Q2 over 58.5	44.3%	41.8%	42.7%	0.98×	2.39
Q2 under 54.5	37.3%	39.3%	38.9%	1.01×	2.55
Q2 over 60.5	35.3%	39.3%	34.3%	1.15×	2.55
Q2 under 52.5	28.9%	28.0%	29.7%	0.94×	3.57
Q2 over 62.5	27.0%	28.0%	25.6%	1.09×	3.57
Q2 under 49.5	18.2%	17.0%	18.2%	0.93×	5.88
Q2 over 65.5	16.8%	17.0%	16.4%	1.04×	5.88

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q3	53.1%	52.7%	50.9%	1.04×	1.90
Orlando Magic to win Q3	42.3%	42.3%	44.3%	0.95×	2.37
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 49.5	83.6%	82.3%	82.7%	1.00×	1.22
Q3 under 65.5	82.3%	82.3%	82.2%	1.00×	1.22
Q3 under 66.5	84.7%	82.2%	84.7%	0.97×	1.22
Q3 over 50.5	80.7%	82.2%	79.7%	1.03×	1.22
Q3 under 63.5	74.8%	72.5%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
Q3 over 52.5	73.3%	71.8%	72.2%	0.99×	1.39
Q3 under 62.5	71.5%	71.8%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
Q3 over 53.5	69.6%	66.9%	68.3%	0.98×	1.50
Q3 under 61.5	66.7%	66.8%	67.7%	0.99×	1.50
Q3 over 55.5	60.9%	62.6%	59.9%	1.05×	1.60
Q3 over 54.5	64.9%	62.0%	63.9%	0.97×	1.61
Q3 under 60.5	62.9%	61.9%	63.5%	0.98×	1.61
Q3 over 56.5	55.8%	58.4%	55.0%	1.06×	1.71
Q3 under 59.5	57.8%	57.9%	59.0%	0.98×	1.73
Q3 under 58.5	53.7%	52.3%	54.8%	0.95×	1.91
Q3 over 57.5	51.0%	52.3%	50.2%	1.04×	1.91
Q3 under 57.5	49.0%	47.7%	49.8%	0.96×	2.10
Q3 over 58.5	46.3%	47.7%	45.2%	1.06×	2.10
Q3 over 59.5	42.2%	42.1%	41.0%	1.03×	2.37
Q3 under 56.5	44.2%	41.6%	45.0%	0.93×	2.40
Q3 over 60.5	37.1%	38.1%	36.5%	1.04×	2.63
Q3 under 54.5	35.1%	38.0%	36.1%	1.05×	2.63
Q3 under 55.5	39.1%	37.4%	40.1%	0.93×	2.67
Q3 over 61.5	33.3%	33.2%	32.3%	1.03×	3.02
Q3 under 53.5	30.4%	33.1%	31.7%	1.05×	3.02
Q3 over 62.5	28.5%	28.2%	28.1%	1.00×	3.55
Q3 under 52.5	26.7%	28.2%	27.8%	1.02×	3.55
Q3 over 63.5	25.2%	27.5%	24.1%	1.14×	3.64
Q3 under 50.5	19.3%	17.8%	20.3%	0.88×	5.62
Q3 over 66.5	15.3%	17.8%	15.3%	1.16×	5.63
Q3 over 65.5	17.7%	17.7%	17.8%	0.99×	5.66
Q3 under 49.5	16.4%	17.7%	17.3%	1.02×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q4	52.9%	51.4%	48.3%	1.06×	1.95
Orlando Magic to win Q4	42.3%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 63.5	83.7%	82.0%	83.7%	0.98×	1.22
Q4 over 47.5	80.5%	82.0%	79.0%	1.04×	1.22
Q4 under 60.5	73.8%	71.5%	74.2%	0.96×	1.40
Q4 over 50.5	69.7%	67.4%	68.5%	0.98×	1.48
Q4 under 58.5	65.8%	67.4%	66.2%	1.02×	1.48
Q4 over 52.5	61.2%	61.4%	60.4%	1.02×	1.63
Q4 under 56.5	57.0%	58.4%	57.2%	1.02×	1.71
Q4 under 55.5	52.4%	52.5%	52.9%	0.99×	1.91
Q4 over 54.5	52.1%	52.5%	51.4%	1.02×	1.91
Q4 under 54.5	47.9%	47.5%	48.6%	0.98×	2.11
Q4 over 55.5	47.6%	47.5%	47.1%	1.01×	2.11
Q4 over 56.5	43.0%	41.6%	42.8%	0.97×	2.40
Q4 under 52.5	38.8%	38.6%	39.6%	0.97×	2.59
Q4 over 58.5	34.2%	32.6%	33.8%	0.96×	3.07
Q4 under 50.5	30.3%	32.6%	31.5%	1.04×	3.07
Q4 over 60.5	26.2%	28.5%	25.8%	1.11×	3.51
Q4 under 47.5	19.5%	18.0%	21.0%	0.86×	5.56
Q4 over 63.5	16.3%	18.0%	16.3%	1.11×	5.56

Team total 80

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers under 126.5	81.2%	80.7%	81.5%	0.99×	1.24
Orlando Magic over 101.5	80.3%	80.7%	82.0%	0.98×	1.24
Orlando Magic under 121.5	80.3%	80.7%	74.7%	1.08×	1.24
Orlando Magic under 122.5	80.3%	80.3%	77.4%	1.04×	1.25
Cleveland Cavaliers over 105.5	80.1%	80.3%	77.4%	1.04×	1.25
Cleveland Cavaliers under 125.5	79.0%	78.3%	79.1%	0.99×	1.28
Orlando Magic over 102.5	79.0%	78.3%	79.7%	0.98×	1.28
Cleveland Cavaliers over 106.5	78.9%	75.1%	75.1%	1.00×	1.33
Cleveland Cavaliers over 108.5	72.5%	71.9%	69.9%	1.03×	1.39
Orlando Magic under 119.5	72.7%	71.9%	70.3%	1.02×	1.39
Cleveland Cavaliers under 122.5	71.2%	71.8%	71.8%	1.00×	1.39
Orlando Magic over 105.5	71.1%	71.8%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
Cleveland Cavaliers under 123.5	73.6%	70.7%	74.4%	0.95×	1.41
Orlando Magic over 104.5	72.5%	70.7%	75.0%	0.94×	1.41
Orlando Magic under 118.5	72.5%	70.7%	67.4%	1.05×	1.41
Cleveland Cavaliers over 109.5	70.9%	70.7%	67.0%	1.06×	1.41
Orlando Magic under 117.5	66.9%	66.6%	64.4%	1.03×	1.50
Cleveland Cavaliers over 110.5	66.8%	66.6%	64.1%	1.04×	1.50
Cleveland Cavaliers under 120.5	65.3%	66.6%	66.3%	1.00×	1.50
Orlando Magic over 107.5	65.2%	66.6%	66.6%	1.00×	1.50
Cleveland Cavaliers under 121.5	67.8%	66.4%	69.6%	0.95×	1.51
Orlando Magic over 106.5	66.5%	66.4%	68.9%	0.96×	1.51
Orlando Magic under 116.5	66.5%	66.4%	61.5%	1.08×	1.51
Cleveland Cavaliers over 111.5	64.9%	61.2%	61.1%	1.00×	1.63
Cleveland Cavaliers under 119.5	61.5%	61.2%	63.5%	0.96×	1.63
Orlando Magic over 108.5	60.0%	61.2%	64.0%	0.96×	1.63
Orlando Magic under 114.5	60.1%	61.2%	55.5%	1.10×	1.63
Cleveland Cavaliers over 112.5	60.6%	61.2%	57.7%	1.06×	1.64
Orlando Magic under 115.5	60.7%	61.2%	58.6%	1.04×	1.64
Cleveland Cavaliers under 118.5	59.0%	57.9%	60.3%	0.96×	1.73
Orlando Magic over 109.5	58.9%	57.9%	60.9%	0.95×	1.73
Cleveland Cavaliers over 113.5	58.5%	57.1%	54.3%	1.05×	1.75
Cleveland Cavaliers under 117.5	54.9%	52.3%	57.8%	0.90×	1.91
Orlando Magic over 110.5	53.3%	52.3%	57.9%	0.90×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers over 115.5	51.8%	52.3%	48.4%	1.08×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers under 116.5	51.6%	52.3%	54.7%	0.95×	1.91
Orlando Magic under 112.5	53.5%	52.3%	48.5%	1.08×	1.91
Orlando Magic under 111.5	50.1%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Orlando Magic under 113.5	54.2%	52.2%	52.0%	1.00×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers over 114.5	54.1%	52.2%	51.4%	1.02×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers under 114.5	45.9%	47.8%	48.6%	0.98×	2.09
Orlando Magic over 113.5	45.8%	47.8%	48.0%	1.00×	2.09
Orlando Magic over 111.5	49.9%	47.7%	54.6%	0.88×	2.09
Orlando Magic under 110.5	46.7%	47.7%	42.1%	1.13×	2.09
Cleveland Cavaliers under 115.5	48.2%	47.7%	51.6%	0.93×	2.09
Cleveland Cavaliers over 116.5	48.4%	47.7%	45.3%	1.05×	2.09
Orlando Magic over 112.5	46.5%	47.7%	51.5%	0.93×	2.09
Cleveland Cavaliers over 117.5	45.1%	47.7%	42.2%	1.13×	2.09
Cleveland Cavaliers under 113.5	41.5%	42.9%	45.7%	0.94×	2.33
Cleveland Cavaliers over 118.5	41.0%	42.1%	39.7%	1.06×	2.38
Orlando Magic under 109.5	41.1%	42.1%	39.1%	1.08×	2.38
Cleveland Cavaliers under 112.5	39.4%	38.8%	42.3%	0.92×	2.58
Orlando Magic over 115.5	39.3%	38.8%	41.4%	0.94×	2.58
Orlando Magic under 108.5	40.0%	38.8%	36.0%	1.08×	2.58
Orlando Magic over 114.5	39.9%	38.8%	44.5%	0.87×	2.58
Cleveland Cavaliers over 119.5	38.5%	38.8%	36.5%	1.06×	2.58
Cleveland Cavaliers under 111.5	35.1%	38.8%	38.9%	1.00×	2.58
Orlando Magic under 106.5	33.5%	33.6%	31.1%	1.08×	2.98
Orlando Magic over 116.5	33.5%	33.6%	38.5%	0.87×	2.98
Cleveland Cavaliers over 121.5	32.2%	33.6%	30.4%	1.10×	2.98
Cleveland Cavaliers over 120.5	34.7%	33.4%	33.7%	0.99×	2.99
Orlando Magic under 107.5	34.8%	33.4%	33.4%	1.00×	2.99
Cleveland Cavaliers under 110.5	33.2%	33.4%	35.9%	0.93×	2.99
Orlando Magic over 117.5	33.1%	33.4%	35.6%	0.94×	3.00
Cleveland Cavaliers under 109.5	29.1%	29.3%	33.0%	0.89×	3.42
Orlando Magic under 104.5	27.5%	29.3%	25.0%	1.17×	3.42
Orlando Magic over 118.5	27.5%	29.3%	32.6%	0.90×	3.42
Cleveland Cavaliers over 123.5	26.4%	29.3%	25.6%	1.14×	3.42
Cleveland Cavaliers over 122.5	28.8%	28.2%	28.2%	1.00×	3.55
Orlando Magic under 105.5	28.9%	28.2%	28.1%	1.00×	3.55
Cleveland Cavaliers under 108.5	27.5%	28.2%	30.1%	0.93×	3.55
Orlando Magic over 119.5	27.3%	28.2%	29.7%	0.95×	3.55
Cleveland Cavaliers under 106.5	21.1%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Cleveland Cavaliers over 125.5	21.0%	21.7%	20.9%	1.04×	4.60
Orlando Magic under 102.5	21.0%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.60
Cleveland Cavaliers under 105.5	19.9%	19.7%	22.6%	0.87×	5.07
Orlando Magic over 122.5	19.7%	19.7%	22.6%	0.87×	5.07
Orlando Magic under 101.5	19.7%	19.3%	18.0%	1.07×	5.18
Orlando Magic over 121.5	19.7%	19.3%	25.3%	0.76×	5.18
Cleveland Cavaliers over 126.5	18.8%	19.3%	18.5%	1.05×	5.18

Total points 56

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 248.5 points	86.3%	85.5%	84.4%	1.01×	1.17
Over 208.5 points	85.0%	85.5%	84.1%	1.02×	1.17
Over 207.5 points	86.2%	85.0%	85.5%	0.99×	1.18
Under 247.5 points	86.2%	85.0%	83.3%	1.02×	1.18
Under 243.5 points	79.6%	78.1%	78.2%	1.00×	1.28
Over 213.5 points	77.9%	78.1%	76.4%	1.02×	1.28
Over 212.5 points	79.3%	75.6%	77.8%	0.97×	1.32
Under 242.5 points	79.2%	75.6%	76.8%	0.98×	1.32
Under 238.5 points	71.2%	71.0%	70.9%	1.00×	1.41
Over 217.5 points	70.7%	70.8%	69.6%	1.02×	1.41
Under 237.5 points	70.7%	70.8%	69.3%	1.02×	1.41
Over 218.5 points	69.3%	66.6%	67.8%	0.98×	1.50
Under 235.5 points	65.6%	66.6%	65.3%	1.02×	1.50
Over 221.5 points	63.4%	61.8%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
Under 233.5 points	61.6%	61.7%	61.4%	1.01×	1.62
Over 220.5 points	64.9%	61.5%	64.2%	0.96×	1.63
Under 234.5 points	64.8%	61.5%	63.3%	0.97×	1.63
Over 222.5 points	60.8%	61.5%	60.4%	1.02×	1.63
Under 232.5 points	60.7%	61.5%	59.4%	1.04×	1.63
Over 224.5 points	56.5%	56.5%	56.5%	1.00×	1.77
Under 230.5 points	56.4%	56.5%	55.4%	1.02×	1.77
Over 223.5 points	59.4%	56.0%	58.3%	0.96×	1.79
Under 231.5 points	57.5%	56.0%	57.4%	0.98×	1.79
Over 225.5 points	55.2%	56.0%	54.7%	1.02×	1.79
Over 226.5 points	52.2%	52.3%	52.7%	0.99×	1.91
Under 228.5 points	52.1%	52.3%	51.3%	1.02×	1.91
Over 227.5 points	50.0%	52.3%	50.6%	1.03×	1.91
Under 229.5 points	53.3%	52.2%	53.3%	0.98×	1.92
Over 229.5 points	46.7%	47.8%	46.7%	1.02×	2.09
Under 227.5 points	50.0%	47.7%	49.4%	0.97×	2.10
Under 226.5 points	47.8%	47.7%	47.3%	1.01×	2.10
Over 228.5 points	47.9%	47.7%	48.7%	0.98×	2.10
Under 225.5 points	44.8%	44.0%	45.3%	0.97×	2.27
Over 231.5 points	42.5%	44.0%	42.6%	1.03×	2.27
Under 223.5 points	40.6%	44.0%	41.7%	1.05×	2.27
Under 224.5 points	43.5%	43.5%	43.5%	1.00×	2.30
Over 230.5 points	43.6%	43.5%	44.6%	0.97×	2.30
Under 222.5 points	39.2%	38.5%	39.6%	0.97×	2.60
Over 232.5 points	39.3%	38.5%	40.6%	0.95×	2.60
Under 220.5 points	35.1%	38.5%	35.8%	1.08×	2.60
Over 234.5 points	35.2%	38.5%	36.7%	1.05×	2.60
Over 233.5 points	38.4%	38.3%	38.6%	0.99×	2.61
Under 221.5 points	36.6%	38.3%	37.8%	1.01×	2.61
Over 235.5 points	34.4%	33.4%	34.7%	0.96×	2.99
Under 218.5 points	30.7%	33.4%	32.2%	1.04×	3.00
Under 217.5 points	29.3%	29.2%	30.4%	0.96×	3.43
Over 237.5 points	29.3%	29.2%	30.7%	0.95×	3.43
Over 238.5 points	28.8%	29.0%	29.1%	0.99×	3.45
Under 212.5 points	20.7%	24.4%	22.2%	1.10×	4.10
Over 242.5 points	20.8%	24.4%	23.2%	1.05×	4.10
Under 213.5 points	22.1%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.57
Over 243.5 points	20.4%	21.9%	21.8%	1.00×	4.57
Under 207.5 points	13.8%	15.0%	14.5%	1.03×	6.68
Over 247.5 points	13.9%	15.0%	16.7%	0.90×	6.68
Under 208.5 points	15.0%	14.5%	15.9%	0.91×	6.88
Over 248.5 points	13.7%	14.5%	15.6%	0.93×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win both halves	29.5%	27.2%	25.2%	1.08×	3.68
Orlando Magic to win both halves	14.2%	14.1%	17.8%	0.79×	7.11

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers by 1-5	14.0%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Cleveland Cavaliers by 6-10	13.6%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Orlando Magic by 1-5	12.4%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Cleveland Cavaliers by 11-15	11.8%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Orlando Magic by 6-10	9.8%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
Cleveland Cavaliers by 16-20	9.1%	7.5%	7.3%	1.02×	13.40
Orlando Magic by 11-15	6.9%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Cleveland Cavaliers by 26+	7.5%	7.5%	6.2%	1.21×	13.40
Cleveland Cavaliers by 21-25	6.2%	7.5%	4.7%	1.58×	13.40
Orlando Magic by 16-20	4.3%	2.0%	4.9%	0.42×	49.29
Orlando Magic by 21-25	2.4%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.31
Orlando Magic by 26+	2.0%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.31

Cleveland Cavaliers v Orlando Magic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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