Columbia Lions v Duke Blue Devils — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 21 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 60.68–70.73 | 61-71 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.34 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
| Columbia Lions to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| Columbia Lions to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Columbia Lions to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Columbia Lions to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win H1 | 68.9% | 68.3% | 39.9% | 1.71× | 1.46 |
| Columbia Lions to win H1 | 27.2% | 26.5% | 56.4% | 0.47× | 3.77 |
| H1 tied | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 75.5 | 89.3% | 87.7% | 88.8% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 51.5 | 87.2% | 87.7% | 82.0% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 80.2% | 82.5% | 81.4% | 1.01× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 76.8% | 77.4% | 71.0% | 1.09× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 71.0% | 73.5% | 73.5% | 1.00× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 61.4% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 64.0% | 62.7% | 67.1% | 0.93× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 59.3% | 58.2% | 53.9% | 1.08× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 56.4% | 58.2% | 60.7% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 52.4% | 52.6% | 57.1% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 51.5% | 52.6% | 46.3% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 48.5% | 47.4% | 53.7% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 47.6% | 47.4% | 42.9% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 43.7% | 41.8% | 39.3% | 1.06× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 40.7% | 41.8% | 46.1% | 0.91× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 36.0% | 37.3% | 32.9% | 1.13× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 38.6% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 29.0% | 26.5% | 26.5% | 1.00× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 23.2% | 22.6% | 29.0% | 0.78× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 19.8% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 0.94× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 51.5 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 0.68× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 1.10× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win H2 | 70.1% | 67.6% | 40.6% | 1.67× | 1.48 |
| Columbia Lions to win H2 | 26.2% | 31.3% | 56.0% | 0.56× | 3.20 |
| H2 tied | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 81.5 | 88.3% | 85.2% | 85.8% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 57.5 | 86.0% | 85.2% | 82.2% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 79.2% | 75.8% | 77.9% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 75.8% | 75.8% | 71.3% | 1.06× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 70.2% | 72.2% | 69.9% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 66.0% | 66.4% | 62.1% | 1.07× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 63.4% | 61.6% | 64.1% | 0.96× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 58.8% | 57.3% | 55.4% | 1.04× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 56.1% | 57.3% | 57.8% | 0.99× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 51.4% | 52.4% | 48.7% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 52.4% | 52.4% | 54.8% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 47.6% | 47.6% | 45.2% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 43.9% | 42.7% | 42.2% | 1.01× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 41.2% | 42.7% | 44.6% | 0.96× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 36.6% | 38.4% | 36.0% | 1.07× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 34.0% | 33.6% | 37.9% | 0.89× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 29.8% | 27.8% | 30.1% | 0.93× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 24.2% | 24.2% | 28.7% | 0.84× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 20.8% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 1.10× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 57.5 | 14.0% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 0.83× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 1.04× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils leading at half time | 68.9% | 68.4% | 39.9% | 1.72× | 1.46 |
| Columbia Lions leading at half time | 27.2% | 26.5% | 56.4% | 0.47× | 3.78 |
| Level at half time | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils +18.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +20.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +9.5 | 95.8% | 97.4% | 60.7% | 1.61× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +10.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +12.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +14.5 | 98.5% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +16.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +8.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 58.0% | 1.57× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils +6.5 | 92.7% | 91.1% | 52.4% | 1.74× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils +7.5 | 93.9% | 91.1% | 55.2% | 1.65× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils +5.5 | 91.4% | 91.1% | 50.3% | 1.81× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils +4.5 | 89.9% | 85.9% | 47.8% | 1.80× | 1.16 |
| Duke Blue Devils +3.5 | 88.2% | 85.9% | 45.8% | 1.88× | 1.16 |
| Duke Blue Devils +2.5 | 86.3% | 85.9% | 43.3% | 1.98× | 1.16 |
| Duke Blue Devils +1.5 | 84.2% | 81.1% | 41.3% | 1.96× | 1.23 |
| Columbia Lions +20.5 | 82.7% | 81.1% | 92.7% | 0.87× | 1.23 |
| Duke Blue Devils −1.5 | 79.3% | 76.5% | 38.8% | 1.97× | 1.31 |
| Columbia Lions +18.5 | 77.7% | 76.5% | 91.1% | 0.84× | 1.31 |
| Duke Blue Devils −2.5 | 76.4% | 76.5% | 36.7% | 2.09× | 1.31 |
| Duke Blue Devils −3.5 | 73.4% | 71.6% | 34.3% | 2.09× | 1.40 |
| Columbia Lions +16.5 | 71.8% | 71.6% | 89.1% | 0.80× | 1.40 |
| Duke Blue Devils −4.5 | 70.2% | 71.6% | 32.2% | 2.22× | 1.40 |
| Duke Blue Devils −5.5 | 66.9% | 66.7% | 29.9% | 2.23× | 1.50 |
| Columbia Lions +14.5 | 65.3% | 66.7% | 86.7% | 0.77× | 1.50 |
| Duke Blue Devils −6.5 | 63.4% | 61.9% | 27.7% | 2.23× | 1.62 |
| Duke Blue Devils −7.5 | 59.9% | 57.1% | 25.5% | 2.24× | 1.75 |
| Columbia Lions +12.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 83.8% | 0.68× | 1.75 |
| Duke Blue Devils −8.5 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 23.5% | 2.42× | 1.75 |
| Duke Blue Devils −9.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 21.3% | 2.46× | 1.91 |
| Columbia Lions +10.5 | 51.1% | 52.4% | 80.4% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Duke Blue Devils −10.5 | 48.9% | 47.6% | 19.6% | 2.43× | 2.10 |
| Columbia Lions +9.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 78.7% | 0.61× | 2.10 |
| Columbia Lions +8.5 | 43.7% | 42.9% | 76.5% | 0.56× | 2.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils −12.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 16.2% | 2.64× | 2.33 |
| Columbia Lions +7.5 | 40.1% | 42.9% | 74.5% | 0.58× | 2.33 |
| Columbia Lions +6.5 | 36.6% | 38.1% | 72.3% | 0.53× | 2.63 |
| Duke Blue Devils −14.5 | 34.7% | 33.3% | 13.3% | 2.51× | 3.01 |
| Columbia Lions +5.5 | 33.1% | 33.3% | 70.1% | 0.47× | 3.01 |
| Columbia Lions +4.5 | 29.8% | 28.4% | 67.8% | 0.42× | 3.53 |
| Duke Blue Devils −16.5 | 28.2% | 28.4% | 10.9% | 2.61× | 3.53 |
| Columbia Lions +3.5 | 26.6% | 28.4% | 65.7% | 0.43× | 3.53 |
| Columbia Lions +2.5 | 23.6% | 23.5% | 63.3% | 0.37× | 4.25 |
| Duke Blue Devils −18.5 | 22.3% | 23.5% | 8.9% | 2.64× | 4.25 |
| Columbia Lions +1.5 | 20.7% | 23.5% | 61.2% | 0.38× | 4.25 |
| Duke Blue Devils −20.5 | 17.3% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.60× | 5.29 |
| Columbia Lions −1.5 | 15.8% | 18.9% | 58.7% | 0.32× | 5.30 |
| Columbia Lions −2.5 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 56.7% | 0.25× | 7.09 |
| Columbia Lions −3.5 | 11.8% | 14.1% | 54.2% | 0.26× | 7.09 |
| Columbia Lions −4.5 | 10.1% | 14.1% | 52.2% | 0.27× | 7.09 |
| Columbia Lions −5.5 | 8.6% | 8.9% | 49.7% | 0.18× | 11.25 |
| Columbia Lions −6.5 | 7.3% | 8.9% | 47.6% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Columbia Lions −7.5 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 44.8% | 0.20× | 11.25 |
| Columbia Lions −8.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 42.0% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Columbia Lions −9.5 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 39.3% | 0.07× | 38.72 |
| Columbia Lions −10.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| Columbia Lions −12.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Columbia Lions −14.5 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Columbia Lions −16.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Columbia Lions −18.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Columbia Lions −20.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.2% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.8% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.5% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.7% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.7% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT | 63.3% | 62.3% | 30.1% | 2.07× | 1.61 |
| Columbia Lions at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT | 15.7% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 1.88× | 6.47 |
| Columbia Lions at HT / Columbia Lions at FT | 11.5% | 12.2% | 48.3% | 0.25× | 8.18 |
| Duke Blue Devils at HT / Columbia Lions at FT | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.10 |
| Level at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Columbia Lions at FT | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win | 81.9% | 80.9% | 40.1% | 2.02× | 1.24 |
| Columbia Lions to win | 18.1% | 19.1% | 59.9% | 0.32× | 5.23 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.2% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Columbia Lions even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Duke Blue Devils odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.8% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
| Columbia Lions odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 95.3% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.68× | 33.33 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q1 | 61.6% | 64.9% | 40.4% | 1.61× | 1.54 |
| Columbia Lions to win Q1 | 32.6% | 30.4% | 54.7% | 0.56× | 3.29 |
| Q1 tied | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 23.5 | 88.6% | 87.4% | 85.4% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 39.5 | 87.8% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 77.6% | 76.9% | 72.9% | 1.06× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 76.5% | 76.9% | 77.4% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 67.8% | 67.6% | 62.7% | 1.08× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 66.5% | 67.6% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 56.6% | 58.6% | 51.2% | 1.14× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 55.2% | 58.6% | 59.1% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 50.7% | 52.7% | 46.0% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 49.3% | 47.3% | 54.0% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 44.8% | 41.4% | 40.9% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 43.4% | 41.4% | 48.8% | 0.85× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 33.5% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 1.03× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 32.2% | 32.4% | 37.3% | 0.87× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 23.5% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 1.02× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 27.1% | 0.85× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 1.01× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 23.5 | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 0.86× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q2 | 61.3% | 61.9% | 41.5% | 1.49× | 1.62 |
| Columbia Lions to win Q2 | 33.1% | 31.8% | 52.9% | 0.60× | 3.14 |
| Q2 tied | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 39.5 | 88.8% | 87.3% | 88.4% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 23.5 | 87.6% | 87.3% | 84.6% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 78.0% | 76.8% | 78.7% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 76.1% | 76.8% | 71.6% | 1.07× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 70.1% | 0.96× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 61.2% | 1.10× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 57.1% | 58.2% | 60.8% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 54.6% | 52.7% | 49.9% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 51.3% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 45.4% | 47.3% | 50.1% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 42.9% | 41.8% | 39.2% | 1.07× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 38.8% | 0.84× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 29.9% | 1.09× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 23.9% | 23.2% | 28.4% | 0.82× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 22.0% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 1.09× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 12.4% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 0.82× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 1.09× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q3 | 62.5% | 60.9% | 41.8% | 1.46× | 1.64 |
| Columbia Lions to win Q3 | 31.9% | 33.8% | 53.3% | 0.63× | 2.96 |
| Q3 tied | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 42.5 | 87.8% | 87.2% | 87.8% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 87.4% | 87.2% | 83.8% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 76.8% | 77.3% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 76.1% | 77.3% | 71.8% | 1.08× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 67.2% | 67.8% | 69.7% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 66.3% | 67.8% | 61.6% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 56.2% | 58.4% | 59.7% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 55.2% | 58.4% | 50.9% | 1.15× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 50.5% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 49.5% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 44.8% | 41.6% | 49.1% | 0.85× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 43.8% | 41.6% | 40.3% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 33.7% | 32.2% | 38.4% | 0.84× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 32.8% | 32.2% | 30.3% | 1.06× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 23.9% | 22.7% | 28.2% | 0.81× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 23.2% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 1.03× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 12.6% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.79× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q4 | 62.3% | 57.8% | 41.5% | 1.39× | 1.73 |
| Columbia Lions to win Q4 | 32.3% | 37.4% | 52.8% | 0.71× | 2.68 |
| Q4 tied | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.26 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 26.5 | 86.2% | 85.6% | 82.6% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 42.5 | 86.2% | 85.6% | 86.2% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 75.3% | 76.9% | 77.0% | 1.00× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 75.1% | 76.9% | 70.8% | 1.09× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 65.8% | 67.4% | 61.1% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 68.8% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 55.5% | 58.4% | 59.4% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 55.3% | 58.4% | 50.4% | 1.16× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 50.1% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 49.9% | 47.5% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 44.7% | 41.6% | 49.6% | 0.84× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 44.5% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 34.2% | 32.6% | 38.9% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 31.2% | 1.04× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 24.9% | 23.1% | 29.2% | 0.79× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 24.7% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 1.00× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 13.8% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 0.83× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils under 81.5 | 87.3% | 83.9% | 92.0% | 0.91× | 1.19 |
| Columbia Lions under 71.5 | 87.2% | 83.9% | 63.0% | 1.33× | 1.19 |
| Columbia Lions over 51.5 | 84.0% | 80.7% | 89.3% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 61.5 | 84.6% | 80.7% | 52.1% | 1.55× | 1.24 |
| Columbia Lions under 68.5 | 79.5% | 75.1% | 54.4% | 1.38× | 1.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 78.5 | 79.3% | 75.1% | 88.3% | 0.85× | 1.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 64.5 | 75.7% | 75.1% | 43.2% | 1.74× | 1.33 |
| Columbia Lions over 54.5 | 74.7% | 70.7% | 83.8% | 0.84× | 1.41 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 76.5 | 72.5% | 70.7% | 85.8% | 0.82× | 1.41 |
| Columbia Lions under 66.5 | 73.0% | 70.7% | 48.2% | 1.47× | 1.41 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 66.5 | 68.5% | 66.4% | 37.3% | 1.78× | 1.51 |
| Columbia Lions over 56.5 | 67.3% | 66.4% | 79.5% | 0.83× | 1.51 |
| Columbia Lions under 64.5 | 65.6% | 66.4% | 41.6% | 1.60× | 1.51 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 74.5 | 64.9% | 61.2% | 82.3% | 0.74× | 1.63 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 68.5 | 60.5% | 61.2% | 31.4% | 1.95× | 1.63 |
| Columbia Lions over 58.5 | 59.3% | 57.1% | 74.7% | 0.76× | 1.75 |
| Columbia Lions under 62.5 | 57.6% | 57.1% | 35.7% | 1.60× | 1.75 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 72.5 | 56.6% | 57.1% | 78.2% | 0.73× | 1.75 |
| Columbia Lions under 61.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 33.1% | 1.58× | 1.91 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 70.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 26.3% | 1.99× | 1.91 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 71.5 | 52.3% | 52.3% | 76.1% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Columbia Lions over 60.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 69.5% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Columbia Lions under 60.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 30.5% | 1.56× | 2.09 |
| Columbia Lions over 61.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 66.9% | 0.71× | 2.09 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 70.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 73.7% | 0.65× | 2.09 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 71.5 | 47.7% | 47.7% | 23.9% | 1.99× | 2.09 |
| Columbia Lions over 62.5 | 42.4% | 42.9% | 64.3% | 0.67× | 2.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 72.5 | 43.4% | 42.9% | 21.8% | 1.97× | 2.33 |
| Columbia Lions under 58.5 | 40.7% | 42.9% | 25.3% | 1.70× | 2.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 68.5 | 39.5% | 38.8% | 68.6% | 0.57× | 2.58 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 74.5 | 35.1% | 38.8% | 17.7% | 2.19× | 2.58 |
| Columbia Lions over 64.5 | 34.4% | 33.6% | 58.4% | 0.58× | 2.98 |
| Columbia Lions under 56.5 | 32.7% | 33.6% | 20.5% | 1.64× | 2.98 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 66.5 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 62.7% | 0.54× | 2.98 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 76.5 | 27.5% | 29.3% | 14.2% | 2.06× | 3.42 |
| Columbia Lions over 66.5 | 27.0% | 29.3% | 51.8% | 0.56× | 3.42 |
| Columbia Lions under 54.5 | 25.3% | 29.3% | 16.2% | 1.81× | 3.42 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 64.5 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 56.9% | 0.44× | 4.02 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 78.5 | 20.7% | 24.9% | 11.7% | 2.13× | 4.02 |
| Columbia Lions over 68.5 | 20.5% | 24.9% | 45.6% | 0.55× | 4.02 |
| Columbia Lions under 51.5 | 16.0% | 19.3% | 10.7% | 1.80× | 5.18 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 61.5 | 15.4% | 19.3% | 47.9% | 0.40× | 5.18 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 81.5 | 12.7% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 2.00× | 6.21 |
| Columbia Lions over 71.5 | 12.8% | 16.1% | 37.0% | 0.44× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 152.5 points | 91.7% | 88.8% | 88.1% | 1.01× | 1.13 |
| Over 112.5 points | 90.6% | 88.8% | 83.6% | 1.06× | 1.13 |
| Under 147.5 points | 85.5% | 85.0% | 82.3% | 1.03× | 1.18 |
| Over 117.5 points | 83.2% | 80.6% | 75.3% | 1.07× | 1.24 |
| Under 142.5 points | 76.5% | 75.6% | 75.1% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| Over 122.5 points | 73.3% | 70.8% | 65.6% | 1.08× | 1.41 |
| Under 139.5 points | 70.0% | 70.8% | 69.9% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Over 125.5 points | 66.1% | 65.9% | 59.5% | 1.11× | 1.52 |
| Under 137.5 points | 65.2% | 65.9% | 66.2% | 1.00× | 1.52 |
| Over 127.5 points | 61.0% | 61.5% | 55.1% | 1.12× | 1.63 |
| Under 135.5 points | 60.2% | 61.5% | 62.4% | 0.99× | 1.63 |
| Over 129.5 points | 55.8% | 56.5% | 50.5% | 1.12× | 1.77 |
| Under 133.5 points | 54.9% | 52.3% | 58.0% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| Under 132.5 points | 52.2% | 52.3% | 56.0% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Over 131.5 points | 50.4% | 52.3% | 46.1% | 1.14× | 1.91 |
| Under 131.5 points | 49.6% | 47.7% | 53.9% | 0.88× | 2.10 |
| Over 132.5 points | 47.8% | 47.7% | 44.0% | 1.08× | 2.10 |
| Over 133.5 points | 45.1% | 47.7% | 42.0% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| Under 129.5 points | 44.2% | 43.5% | 49.5% | 0.88× | 2.30 |
| Over 135.5 points | 39.8% | 38.5% | 37.6% | 1.02× | 2.60 |
| Under 127.5 points | 39.0% | 38.5% | 44.9% | 0.86× | 2.60 |
| Over 137.5 points | 34.8% | 34.1% | 33.8% | 1.01× | 2.93 |
| Under 125.5 points | 33.9% | 34.1% | 40.5% | 0.84× | 2.93 |
| Over 139.5 points | 30.0% | 29.2% | 30.1% | 0.97× | 3.43 |
| Under 122.5 points | 26.7% | 29.2% | 34.4% | 0.85× | 3.43 |
| Over 142.5 points | 23.5% | 24.4% | 24.9% | 0.98× | 4.10 |
| Under 117.5 points | 16.8% | 19.4% | 24.7% | 0.79× | 5.15 |
| Over 147.5 points | 14.5% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 0.84× | 6.68 |
| Under 112.5 points | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 0.68× | 8.96 |
| Over 152.5 points | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 0.94× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win both halves | 46.0% | 45.8% | 20.4% | 2.25× | 2.18 |
| Columbia Lions to win both halves | 5.2% | 8.8% | 36.0% | 0.24× | 11.34 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils by 6-10 | 17.9% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.63× | 5.97 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 11-15 | 17.6% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 1-5 | 15.1% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 16-20 | 14.1% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 2.60× | 8.11 |
| Columbia Lions by 1-5 | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 21-25 | 9.3% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.79× | 13.40 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 26+ | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.62× | 13.40 |
| Columbia Lions by 6-10 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.41 |
| Columbia Lions by 11-15 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.31 |
| Columbia Lions by 16-20 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.32 |
| Columbia Lions by 21-25 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| Columbia Lions by 26+ | 0.1% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |