Connecticut Sun v Toronto Tempo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 24 September 2026 · WNBA · 2026

WNBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Connecticut Sun

19:00

Toronto Tempo

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Connecticut Sun win

54.4%

Draw

0.0%

Toronto Tempo win

45.6%

54046

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	54046	86.98–85.70	87-86 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun to score 100+	11.9%	13.8%	12.5%	1.10×	7.24
Toronto Tempo to score 100+	10.4%	13.8%	9.8%	1.41×	7.25
Both sides to score 100+	2.8%	0.4%	3.7%	0.09×	282.81
Connecticut Sun to score 110+	1.7%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	283.03
Connecticut Sun to score 120+	0.1%	0.4%	0.8%	0.43×	283.34
Connecticut Sun to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.36
Toronto Tempo to score 110+	1.5%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	283.06
Toronto Tempo to score 120+	0.1%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.34
Toronto Tempo to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun to win H1	50.7%	51.8%	54.2%	0.96×	1.93
Toronto Tempo to win H1	45.2%	47.3%	42.2%	1.12×	2.11
H1 tied	4.1%	3.9%	3.7%	1.03×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 98.5	84.3%	82.5%	86.8%	0.95×	1.21
H1 over 74.5	83.9%	82.5%	78.5%	1.05×	1.21
H1 under 94.5	75.0%	73.5%	81.6%	0.90×	1.36
H1 over 78.5	74.4%	73.5%	66.9%	1.10×	1.36
H1 over 81.5	65.8%	67.4%	58.1%	1.16×	1.48
H1 under 91.5	66.4%	67.4%	76.1%	0.89×	1.48
H1 under 89.5	60.2%	62.7%	70.0%	0.90×	1.59
H1 over 83.5	59.5%	58.2%	51.3%	1.13×	1.72
H1 over 85.5	53.0%	52.6%	43.6%	1.21×	1.90
H1 under 87.5	53.6%	52.6%	63.2%	0.83×	1.90
H1 under 86.5	50.3%	52.6%	60.1%	0.88×	1.90
H1 over 86.5	49.7%	47.4%	39.9%	1.19×	2.11
H1 under 85.5	47.0%	47.4%	56.4%	0.84×	2.11
H1 over 87.5	46.4%	47.4%	36.8%	1.29×	2.11
H1 under 83.5	40.5%	41.8%	48.7%	0.86×	2.39
H1 over 89.5	39.8%	37.3%	30.0%	1.24×	2.68
H1 under 81.5	34.2%	32.6%	41.9%	0.78×	3.07
H1 over 91.5	33.6%	32.6%	23.9%	1.36×	3.07
H1 under 78.5	25.6%	26.5%	33.1%	0.80×	3.77
H1 over 94.5	25.0%	26.5%	18.4%	1.44×	3.77
H1 under 74.5	16.1%	17.5%	21.5%	0.81×	5.73
H1 over 98.5	15.7%	17.5%	13.2%	1.32×	5.73

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun to win H2	50.7%	51.2%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Toronto Tempo to win H2	45.2%	47.1%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12
H2 tied	4.1%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.35

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 98.5	84.6%	81.8%	85.8%	0.95×	1.22
H2 over 74.5	83.6%	81.8%	77.0%	1.06×	1.22
H2 under 94.5	75.3%	75.8%	79.0%	0.96×	1.32
H2 over 78.5	74.1%	72.2%	67.6%	1.07×	1.39
H2 under 91.5	66.8%	66.4%	72.3%	0.92×	1.51
H2 over 81.5	65.4%	66.4%	58.1%	1.14×	1.51
H2 under 89.5	60.6%	61.6%	66.3%	0.93×	1.62
H2 over 83.5	59.1%	57.3%	52.3%	1.10×	1.74
H2 under 87.5	54.1%	52.4%	59.9%	0.87×	1.91
H2 over 85.5	52.5%	52.4%	47.7%	1.10×	1.91
H2 under 86.5	50.8%	52.4%	55.7%	0.94×	1.91
H2 over 86.5	49.2%	47.6%	44.3%	1.08×	2.10
H2 under 85.5	47.5%	47.6%	52.3%	0.91×	2.10
H2 over 87.5	45.9%	47.6%	40.1%	1.19×	2.10
H2 under 83.5	40.9%	42.7%	47.7%	0.89×	2.35
H2 over 89.5	39.4%	38.4%	33.7%	1.14×	2.61
H2 under 81.5	34.6%	33.6%	41.9%	0.80×	2.97
H2 over 91.5	33.2%	33.6%	27.7%	1.21×	2.97
H2 under 78.5	25.9%	27.8%	32.4%	0.86×	3.59
H2 over 94.5	24.7%	24.2%	21.0%	1.15×	4.13
H2 under 74.5	16.4%	18.2%	23.0%	0.79×	5.50
H2 over 98.5	15.4%	18.2%	14.2%	1.28×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun leading at half time	50.7%	51.8%	54.2%	0.96×	1.93
Toronto Tempo leading at half time	45.2%	47.2%	42.2%	1.12×	2.12
Level at half time	4.1%	3.8%	3.7%	1.01×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun +20.5	96.4%	97.4%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Toronto Tempo +20.5	94.4%	91.1%	90.1%	1.01×	1.10
Connecticut Sun +18.5	94.9%	91.1%	93.3%	0.98×	1.10
Connecticut Sun +16.5	92.9%	91.1%	91.7%	0.99×	1.10
Toronto Tempo +18.5	92.2%	91.1%	86.6%	1.05×	1.10
Connecticut Sun +14.5	90.3%	91.1%	88.4%	1.03×	1.10
Toronto Tempo +16.5	89.5%	85.9%	83.7%	1.03×	1.16
Connecticut Sun +12.5	87.1%	85.9%	86.2%	1.00×	1.16
Toronto Tempo +14.5	86.1%	85.9%	80.6%	1.07×	1.16
Connecticut Sun +10.5	83.2%	81.1%	83.6%	0.97×	1.23
Toronto Tempo +12.5	82.0%	81.1%	76.4%	1.06×	1.23
Connecticut Sun +9.5	81.0%	81.1%	80.5%	1.01×	1.23
Connecticut Sun +8.5	78.6%	76.5%	78.8%	0.97×	1.31
Toronto Tempo +10.5	77.2%	76.5%	72.2%	1.06×	1.31
Connecticut Sun +7.5	76.1%	76.5%	75.6%	1.01×	1.31
Toronto Tempo +9.5	74.6%	71.6%	69.7%	1.03×	1.40
Connecticut Sun +6.5	73.3%	71.6%	72.2%	0.99×	1.40
Toronto Tempo +8.5	71.8%	71.6%	66.0%	1.09×	1.40
Connecticut Sun +5.5	70.5%	71.6%	69.1%	1.04×	1.40
Toronto Tempo +7.5	68.8%	66.7%	62.4%	1.07×	1.50
Connecticut Sun +4.5	67.5%	66.7%	65.6%	1.02×	1.50
Toronto Tempo +6.5	65.7%	66.7%	60.4%	1.10×	1.50
Connecticut Sun +3.5	64.3%	61.9%	62.9%	0.98×	1.62
Toronto Tempo +5.5	62.5%	61.9%	57.3%	1.08×	1.62
Connecticut Sun +2.5	61.1%	61.9%	60.6%	1.02×	1.62
Toronto Tempo +4.5	59.3%	57.1%	54.2%	1.05×	1.75
Connecticut Sun +1.5	57.8%	57.1%	57.3%	1.00×	1.75
Toronto Tempo +3.5	55.9%	57.1%	52.0%	1.10×	1.75
Toronto Tempo +2.5	52.5%	52.4%	49.2%	1.07×	1.91
Connecticut Sun −1.5	51.0%	52.4%	52.9%	0.99×	1.91
Toronto Tempo +1.5	49.0%	47.6%	47.1%	1.01×	2.10
Connecticut Sun −2.5	47.5%	47.6%	50.8%	0.94×	2.10
Connecticut Sun −3.5	44.1%	42.9%	48.0%	0.89×	2.33
Toronto Tempo −1.5	42.2%	42.9%	42.7%	1.01×	2.33
Connecticut Sun −4.5	40.7%	42.9%	45.8%	0.94×	2.33
Toronto Tempo −2.5	38.9%	38.1%	39.4%	0.97×	2.63
Connecticut Sun −5.5	37.5%	38.1%	42.7%	0.89×	2.63
Toronto Tempo −3.5	35.7%	38.1%	37.1%	1.03×	2.63
Connecticut Sun −6.5	34.3%	33.3%	39.6%	0.84×	3.01
Toronto Tempo −4.5	32.5%	33.3%	34.4%	0.97×	3.01
Connecticut Sun −7.5	31.2%	33.3%	37.6%	0.88×	3.01
Toronto Tempo −5.5	29.5%	28.4%	30.9%	0.92×	3.53
Connecticut Sun −8.5	28.2%	28.4%	34.0%	0.83×	3.53
Toronto Tempo −6.5	26.7%	28.4%	27.9%	1.02×	3.53
Connecticut Sun −9.5	25.4%	28.4%	30.3%	0.94×	3.53
Toronto Tempo −7.5	23.9%	23.5%	24.4%	0.96×	4.25
Connecticut Sun −10.5	22.8%	23.5%	27.9%	0.84×	4.25
Toronto Tempo −8.5	21.4%	23.5%	21.2%	1.11×	4.25
Toronto Tempo −9.5	19.0%	18.9%	19.5%	0.97×	5.29
Toronto Tempo −10.5	16.8%	18.9%	16.5%	1.15×	5.29
Connecticut Sun −12.5	18.0%	18.9%	23.6%	0.80×	5.29
Connecticut Sun −14.5	13.9%	14.1%	19.4%	0.73×	7.09
Toronto Tempo −12.5	12.9%	14.1%	13.8%	1.02×	7.09
Connecticut Sun −16.5	10.5%	14.1%	16.3%	0.87×	7.09
Toronto Tempo −14.5	9.7%	8.9%	11.6%	0.77×	11.25
Toronto Tempo −16.5	7.1%	8.9%	8.3%	1.07×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −18.5	7.8%	8.9%	13.4%	0.67×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −20.5	5.6%	8.9%	9.9%	0.89×	11.25
Toronto Tempo −18.5	5.1%	8.9%	6.7%	1.33×	11.25
Toronto Tempo −20.5	3.6%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	52.4%	50.7%	1.03×	1.91
1st half highest scoring	50.5%	47.6%	49.3%	0.96×	2.10

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.2%	27.4%	27.5%	0.99×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.6%	27.4%	27.0%	1.01×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	22.4%	22.4%	23.8%	0.94×	4.46
Q2 highest scoring	21.8%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun at HT / Connecticut Sun at FT	38.7%	37.8%	41.9%	0.90×	2.65
Toronto Tempo at HT / Toronto Tempo at FT	31.7%	33.2%	30.9%	1.07×	3.01
Toronto Tempo at HT / Connecticut Sun at FT	13.5%	12.2%	11.4%	1.07×	8.17
Connecticut Sun at HT / Toronto Tempo at FT	12.0%	12.2%	12.5%	0.98×	8.18
Level at HT / Connecticut Sun at FT	2.2%	2.1%	2.1%	0.99×	47.75
Level at HT / Toronto Tempo at FT	1.9%	2.1%	1.8%	1.17×	47.76

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun to win	54.4%	51.0%	55.0%	0.93×	1.96
Toronto Tempo to win	45.6%	49.0%	45.0%	1.09×	2.04

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.7%	50.5%	52.0%	0.97×	1.98
Connecticut Sun even	50.0%	50.5%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Toronto Tempo even	50.0%	50.5%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
Connecticut Sun odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.5%	1.00×	2.02
Toronto Tempo odd	50.0%	49.5%	48.9%	1.01×	2.02
Total points even	48.3%	49.5%	48.0%	1.03×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.6%	97.0%	96.7%	1.00×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.4%	3.0%	3.3%	0.92×	33.36

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun to win Q1	49.1%	47.6%	52.4%	0.91×	2.10
Toronto Tempo to win Q1	45.4%	47.6%	43.0%	1.11×	2.10
Q1 tied	5.5%	5.5%	4.7%	1.16×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 52.5	86.7%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
Q1 over 36.5	82.2%	82.8%	78.0%	1.06×	1.21
Q1 under 49.5	76.7%	76.9%	82.1%	0.94×	1.30
Q1 over 39.5	70.6%	72.7%	63.8%	1.14×	1.38
Q1 under 47.5	68.3%	67.6%	73.3%	0.92×	1.48
Q1 over 41.5	61.3%	61.7%	53.7%	1.15×	1.62
Q1 under 45.5	58.8%	58.6%	64.3%	0.91×	1.71
Q1 under 44.5	53.8%	52.7%	61.1%	0.86×	1.90
Q1 over 43.5	51.3%	52.7%	46.3%	1.14×	1.90
Q1 under 43.5	48.7%	47.3%	53.7%	0.88×	2.11
Q1 over 44.5	46.2%	47.3%	38.9%	1.22×	2.11
Q1 over 45.5	41.2%	41.4%	35.7%	1.16×	2.42
Q1 under 41.5	38.7%	38.3%	46.3%	0.83×	2.61
Q1 over 47.5	31.7%	32.4%	26.7%	1.21×	3.08
Q1 under 39.5	29.4%	27.3%	36.2%	0.76×	3.66
Q1 over 49.5	23.3%	23.1%	17.9%	1.29×	4.33
Q1 under 36.5	17.8%	17.2%	22.0%	0.78×	5.83
Q1 over 52.5	13.3%	12.6%	11.2%	1.12×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun to win Q2	49.1%	47.0%	51.8%	0.91×	2.13
Toronto Tempo to win Q2	45.6%	47.0%	45.0%	1.05×	2.13
Q2 tied	5.4%	6.1%	3.4%	1.77×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 34.5	85.5%	87.3%	80.9%	1.08×	1.15
Q2 under 50.5	84.6%	83.0%	87.9%	0.94×	1.21
Q2 over 37.5	74.8%	72.0%	70.0%	1.03×	1.39
Q2 under 47.5	73.6%	72.0%	79.2%	0.91×	1.39
Q2 over 39.5	65.9%	67.4%	60.6%	1.11×	1.49
Q2 under 45.5	64.5%	60.7%	70.8%	0.86×	1.65
Q2 over 41.5	55.9%	58.2%	50.2%	1.16×	1.72
Q2 under 43.5	54.4%	52.7%	60.1%	0.88×	1.90
Q2 over 42.5	50.8%	52.7%	45.3%	1.16×	1.90
Q2 under 42.5	49.2%	47.3%	54.7%	0.87×	2.11
Q2 over 43.5	45.6%	47.3%	39.9%	1.19×	2.11
Q2 under 41.5	44.1%	41.8%	49.8%	0.84×	2.39
Q2 over 45.5	35.5%	39.3%	29.2%	1.35×	2.55
Q2 under 39.5	34.1%	32.6%	39.4%	0.83×	3.06
Q2 over 47.5	26.4%	28.0%	20.8%	1.34×	3.57
Q2 under 37.5	25.2%	28.0%	30.0%	0.93×	3.57
Q2 over 50.5	15.4%	17.0%	12.1%	1.41×	5.89
Q2 under 34.5	14.5%	12.7%	19.1%	0.67×	7.89

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun to win Q3	49.1%	47.6%	48.2%	0.99×	2.10
Toronto Tempo to win Q3	45.3%	47.5%	46.4%	1.02×	2.10
Q3 tied	5.7%	5.3%	5.5%	0.95×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 52.5	86.7%	87.2%	90.1%	0.97×	1.15
Q3 over 36.5	82.5%	82.3%	77.9%	1.06×	1.22
Q3 under 49.5	76.7%	77.3%	83.2%	0.93×	1.29
Q3 over 39.5	70.9%	71.8%	64.8%	1.11×	1.39
Q3 under 47.5	68.2%	67.8%	73.6%	0.92×	1.48
Q3 over 41.5	61.6%	61.9%	54.9%	1.13×	1.61
Q3 under 45.5	58.6%	58.4%	64.2%	0.91×	1.71
Q3 under 44.5	53.5%	52.3%	59.3%	0.88×	1.91
Q3 over 43.5	51.6%	52.3%	45.8%	1.14×	1.91
Q3 under 43.5	48.4%	47.7%	54.2%	0.88×	2.10
Q3 over 44.5	46.5%	47.7%	40.7%	1.17×	2.10
Q3 over 45.5	41.4%	41.6%	35.8%	1.16×	2.40
Q3 under 41.5	38.4%	38.1%	45.1%	0.84×	2.63
Q3 over 47.5	31.8%	32.2%	26.4%	1.22×	3.11
Q3 under 39.5	29.1%	28.2%	35.2%	0.80×	3.55
Q3 over 49.5	23.3%	22.7%	16.8%	1.36×	4.40
Q3 under 36.5	17.5%	17.7%	22.2%	0.80×	5.66
Q3 over 52.5	13.3%	12.8%	9.9%	1.29×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun to win Q4	49.1%	47.6%	52.6%	0.90×	2.10
Toronto Tempo to win Q4	45.5%	47.6%	42.5%	1.12×	2.10
Q4 tied	5.4%	5.8%	5.0%	1.15×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 50.5	83.6%	82.0%	84.9%	0.97×	1.22
Q4 over 34.5	83.4%	82.0%	76.2%	1.08×	1.22
Q4 under 47.5	73.0%	71.5%	75.7%	0.94×	1.40
Q4 over 37.5	72.7%	71.5%	65.5%	1.09×	1.40
Q4 under 45.5	64.4%	61.4%	67.3%	0.91×	1.63
Q4 over 39.5	64.1%	61.4%	57.3%	1.07×	1.63
Q4 under 43.5	55.0%	58.4%	59.4%	0.98×	1.71
Q4 over 41.5	54.6%	52.5%	47.4%	1.11×	1.91
Q4 under 42.5	50.2%	52.5%	55.2%	0.95×	1.91
Q4 over 42.5	49.8%	47.5%	44.8%	1.06×	2.11
Q4 under 41.5	45.4%	47.5%	52.6%	0.90×	2.11
Q4 over 43.5	45.0%	41.6%	40.6%	1.03×	2.40
Q4 under 39.5	35.9%	38.6%	42.7%	0.90×	2.59
Q4 over 45.5	35.6%	38.6%	32.7%	1.18×	2.59
Q4 under 37.5	27.3%	28.5%	34.5%	0.83×	3.51
Q4 over 47.5	27.0%	28.5%	24.3%	1.17×	3.51
Q4 under 34.5	16.6%	18.0%	23.8%	0.76×	5.56
Q4 over 50.5	16.4%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun under 97.5	83.9%	80.7%	83.9%	0.96×	1.24
Toronto Tempo over 75.5	82.3%	80.7%	75.2%	1.07×	1.24
Connecticut Sun over 77.5	81.5%	80.7%	74.8%	1.08×	1.24
Toronto Tempo under 95.5	81.5%	80.7%	85.2%	0.95×	1.24
Connecticut Sun under 94.5	76.1%	75.1%	75.6%	0.99×	1.33
Toronto Tempo over 78.5	74.3%	70.7%	65.0%	1.09×	1.41
Toronto Tempo under 92.5	73.3%	70.7%	80.1%	0.88×	1.41
Connecticut Sun over 80.5	73.0%	70.7%	66.1%	1.07×	1.41
Connecticut Sun under 92.5	69.8%	66.4%	71.5%	0.93×	1.51
Toronto Tempo over 80.5	68.1%	66.4%	58.8%	1.13×	1.51
Connecticut Sun over 82.5	66.4%	66.4%	60.1%	1.10×	1.51
Toronto Tempo under 90.5	67.0%	66.4%	74.4%	0.89×	1.51
Connecticut Sun under 90.5	62.9%	61.2%	66.5%	0.92×	1.63
Toronto Tempo over 82.5	61.3%	61.2%	52.3%	1.17×	1.63
Toronto Tempo under 88.5	60.2%	61.2%	68.1%	0.90×	1.63
Connecticut Sun over 84.5	59.3%	57.1%	52.0%	1.10×	1.75
Connecticut Sun under 88.5	55.6%	57.1%	60.4%	0.95×	1.75
Toronto Tempo over 84.5	54.2%	52.3%	46.9%	1.11×	1.91
Connecticut Sun over 86.5	51.9%	52.3%	44.6%	1.17×	1.91
Connecticut Sun under 87.5	51.9%	52.3%	58.3%	0.90×	1.91
Toronto Tempo under 86.5	53.0%	52.3%	60.6%	0.86×	1.91
Toronto Tempo over 85.5	50.6%	52.3%	44.0%	1.19×	1.91
Toronto Tempo under 85.5	49.4%	47.7%	56.0%	0.85×	2.09
Connecticut Sun under 86.5	48.1%	47.7%	55.4%	0.86×	2.09
Connecticut Sun over 87.5	48.1%	47.7%	41.7%	1.15×	2.09
Toronto Tempo over 86.5	47.0%	47.7%	39.4%	1.21×	2.09
Toronto Tempo under 84.5	45.8%	47.7%	53.1%	0.90×	2.09
Connecticut Sun over 88.5	44.4%	42.9%	39.6%	1.08×	2.33
Connecticut Sun under 84.5	40.7%	42.9%	48.0%	0.89×	2.33
Toronto Tempo over 88.5	39.8%	38.8%	31.9%	1.22×	2.58
Toronto Tempo under 82.5	38.7%	38.8%	47.7%	0.81×	2.58
Connecticut Sun over 90.5	37.1%	38.8%	33.6%	1.16×	2.58
Connecticut Sun under 82.5	33.6%	33.6%	39.9%	0.84×	2.98
Toronto Tempo over 90.5	33.0%	33.6%	25.6%	1.31×	2.98
Toronto Tempo under 80.5	31.9%	33.6%	41.2%	0.82×	2.98
Connecticut Sun over 92.5	30.2%	33.6%	28.5%	1.18×	2.98
Connecticut Sun under 80.5	27.0%	29.3%	33.9%	0.86×	3.42
Toronto Tempo under 78.5	25.7%	29.3%	35.0%	0.84×	3.42
Toronto Tempo over 92.5	26.7%	29.3%	19.9%	1.47×	3.42
Connecticut Sun over 94.5	23.9%	24.9%	24.4%	1.02×	4.02
Connecticut Sun under 77.5	18.5%	19.3%	25.2%	0.76×	5.18
Toronto Tempo over 95.5	18.5%	19.3%	14.8%	1.30×	5.18
Toronto Tempo under 75.5	17.7%	19.3%	24.8%	0.78×	5.18
Connecticut Sun over 97.5	16.1%	19.3%	16.1%	1.20×	5.18

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 152.5 points	87.2%	85.0%	78.2%	1.09×	1.18
Under 192.5 points	86.7%	85.0%	87.6%	0.97×	1.18
Over 157.5 points	80.3%	80.6%	72.0%	1.12×	1.24
Under 187.5 points	79.8%	75.6%	84.4%	0.90×	1.32
Over 162.5 points	71.6%	70.8%	61.4%	1.15×	1.41
Under 182.5 points	70.9%	70.8%	77.9%	0.91×	1.41
Over 165.5 points	65.6%	65.9%	55.2%	1.19×	1.52
Under 179.5 points	65.0%	61.5%	73.1%	0.84×	1.63
Over 167.5 points	61.4%	61.5%	51.0%	1.21×	1.63
Under 177.5 points	60.7%	61.5%	67.8%	0.91×	1.63
Over 169.5 points	57.0%	56.5%	46.6%	1.21×	1.77
Under 175.5 points	56.4%	56.5%	64.3%	0.88×	1.77
Over 171.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	42.0%	1.25×	1.91
Under 173.5 points	51.9%	52.3%	62.2%	0.84×	1.91
Over 172.5 points	50.4%	52.3%	39.7%	1.32×	1.91
Under 172.5 points	49.6%	47.7%	60.3%	0.79×	2.10
Under 171.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	58.0%	0.82×	2.10
Over 173.5 points	48.1%	47.7%	37.8%	1.26×	2.10
Under 169.5 points	43.0%	43.5%	53.4%	0.81×	2.30
Over 175.5 points	43.6%	43.5%	35.7%	1.22×	2.30
Over 177.5 points	39.3%	38.5%	32.2%	1.19×	2.60
Under 167.5 points	38.6%	38.5%	49.0%	0.79×	2.60
Over 179.5 points	35.0%	38.5%	26.9%	1.43×	2.60
Under 165.5 points	34.4%	34.1%	44.8%	0.76×	2.93
Over 182.5 points	29.1%	29.2%	22.2%	1.32×	3.43
Under 162.5 points	28.4%	29.2%	38.6%	0.76×	3.43
Over 187.5 points	20.2%	24.4%	15.6%	1.56×	4.10
Under 157.5 points	19.7%	19.4%	28.0%	0.69×	5.15
Over 192.5 points	13.3%	15.0%	12.4%	1.21×	6.69
Under 152.5 points	12.8%	15.0%	21.8%	0.69×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun to win both halves	23.0%	23.1%	25.7%	0.90×	4.34
Toronto Tempo to win both halves	17.7%	18.9%	17.9%	1.05×	5.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Connecticut Sun by 1-5	16.9%	16.8%	12.5%	1.34×	5.97
Toronto Tempo by 1-5	16.1%	16.8%	14.2%	1.18×	5.97
Connecticut Sun by 6-10	14.7%	12.3%	15.0%	0.82×	8.11
Toronto Tempo by 6-10	12.7%	12.3%	14.7%	0.84×	8.11
Connecticut Sun by 11-15	10.7%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Toronto Tempo by 11-15	8.5%	7.5%	6.5%	1.15×	13.40
Connecticut Sun by 16-20	6.5%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Toronto Tempo by 16-20	4.8%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.29
Connecticut Sun by 21-25	3.4%	2.0%	4.9%	0.42×	49.30
Toronto Tempo by 21-25	2.2%	2.0%	2.3%	0.89×	49.31
Connecticut Sun by 26+	2.2%	2.0%	5.2%	0.39×	49.31
Toronto Tempo by 26+	1.3%	2.0%	3.6%	0.57×	49.32

Connecticut Sun v Toronto Tempo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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