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Coppin State Eagles v VCU Rams — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Coppin State Eagles win
46.1%
Draw
0.0%
VCU Rams win
53.9%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 59.77–60.91 60-61 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coppin State Eagles to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Coppin State Eagles to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Coppin State Eagles to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Coppin State Eagles to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
VCU Rams to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
VCU Rams to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
VCU Rams to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
VCU Rams to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win H1 50.1% 51.8% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
Coppin State Eagles to win H1 45.4% 47.3% 56.4% 0.84× 2.11
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 70.5 89.4% 87.7% 78.9% 1.11× 1.14
H1 over 46.5 87.6% 87.7% 92.3% 0.95× 1.14
H1 under 66.5 80.3% 82.5% 67.1% 1.23× 1.21
H1 over 50.5 77.3% 77.4% 84.5% 0.92× 1.29
H1 under 63.5 71.1% 73.5% 57.1% 1.29× 1.36
H1 over 53.5 67.1% 67.4% 76.8% 0.88× 1.48
H1 under 61.5 63.9% 62.7% 49.8% 1.26× 1.59
H1 over 55.5 59.6% 58.2% 71.0% 0.82× 1.72
H1 under 59.5 56.3% 58.2% 42.2% 1.38× 1.72
H1 over 57.5 51.7% 52.6% 64.8% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 52.3% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 48.3% 47.4% 35.2% 1.35× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 47.7% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 over 59.5 43.7% 41.8% 57.8% 0.72× 2.39
H1 under 55.5 40.4% 41.8% 29.0% 1.44× 2.39
H1 over 61.5 36.1% 37.3% 50.2% 0.74× 2.68
H1 under 53.5 32.9% 32.6% 23.2% 1.41× 3.07
H1 over 63.5 28.9% 26.5% 42.9% 0.62× 3.77
H1 under 50.5 22.8% 22.6% 15.5% 1.46× 4.43
H1 over 66.5 19.7% 17.5% 32.9% 0.53× 5.72
H1 under 46.5 12.4% 12.3% 7.7% 1.60× 8.14
H1 over 70.5 10.6% 12.3% 21.1% 0.58× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win H2 50.3% 51.2% 40.6% 1.26× 1.96
Coppin State Eagles to win H2 45.3% 47.1% 56.0% 0.84× 2.12
H2 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 51.5 87.6% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 75.5 87.4% 85.2% 73.0% 1.17× 1.17
H2 over 55.5 77.7% 75.8% 86.1% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 71.5 77.8% 75.8% 61.1% 1.24× 1.32
H2 under 68.5 68.5% 66.4% 51.3% 1.29× 1.51
H2 over 58.5 68.2% 66.4% 79.6% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 61.5% 61.6% 44.6% 1.38× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 61.0% 61.6% 74.5% 0.83× 1.62
H2 over 62.5 53.5% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 64.5 54.1% 52.4% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 50.3% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 over 63.5 49.7% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 under 62.5 46.5% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 45.9% 47.6% 62.1% 0.77× 2.10
H2 under 60.5 39.0% 38.4% 25.5% 1.50× 2.61
H2 over 66.5 38.5% 38.4% 55.4% 0.69× 2.61
H2 under 58.5 31.8% 33.6% 20.4% 1.65× 2.97
H2 over 68.5 31.5% 33.6% 48.7% 0.69× 2.97
H2 under 55.5 22.3% 24.2% 13.9% 1.74× 4.13
H2 over 71.5 22.2% 24.2% 38.9% 0.62× 4.13
H2 under 51.5 12.4% 14.8% 7.3% 2.02× 6.76
H2 over 75.5 12.6% 14.8% 27.0% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams leading at half time 50.1% 51.8% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
Coppin State Eagles leading at half time 45.4% 47.2% 56.4% 0.84× 2.12
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams +18.5 96.1% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
VCU Rams +20.5 97.5% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Coppin State Eagles +20.5 96.2% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
VCU Rams +16.5 94.3% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
Coppin State Eagles +18.5 94.3% 91.1% 91.1% 1.00× 1.10
VCU Rams +14.5 91.9% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
Coppin State Eagles +16.5 91.9% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
VCU Rams +12.5 88.7% 85.9% 67.9% 1.27× 1.16
Coppin State Eagles +14.5 88.7% 85.9% 86.7% 0.99× 1.16
VCU Rams +10.5 84.8% 81.1% 63.2% 1.28× 1.23
Coppin State Eagles +12.5 84.7% 81.1% 83.8% 0.97× 1.23
VCU Rams +9.5 82.5% 81.1% 60.7% 1.34× 1.23
VCU Rams +8.5 80.0% 81.1% 58.0% 1.40× 1.23
Coppin State Eagles +10.5 79.8% 76.5% 80.4% 0.95× 1.31
VCU Rams +7.5 77.3% 76.5% 55.2% 1.38× 1.31
Coppin State Eagles +9.5 77.1% 76.5% 78.7% 0.97× 1.31
VCU Rams +6.5 74.4% 71.6% 52.4% 1.37× 1.40
Coppin State Eagles +8.5 74.2% 71.6% 76.5% 0.94× 1.40
VCU Rams +5.5 71.4% 71.6% 50.3% 1.42× 1.40
Coppin State Eagles +7.5 71.1% 71.6% 74.5% 0.96× 1.40
VCU Rams +4.5 68.2% 66.7% 47.8% 1.39× 1.50
Coppin State Eagles +6.5 67.9% 66.7% 72.3% 0.92× 1.50
VCU Rams +3.5 64.8% 61.9% 45.8% 1.35× 1.62
Coppin State Eagles +5.5 64.5% 61.9% 70.1% 0.88× 1.62
VCU Rams +2.5 61.3% 61.9% 43.3% 1.43× 1.62
Coppin State Eagles +4.5 60.9% 61.9% 67.8% 0.91× 1.62
VCU Rams +1.5 57.6% 57.1% 41.3% 1.38× 1.75
Coppin State Eagles +3.5 57.3% 57.1% 65.7% 0.87× 1.75
Coppin State Eagles +2.5 53.6% 52.4% 63.3% 0.83× 1.91
VCU Rams −1.5 50.2% 52.4% 38.8% 1.35× 1.91
Coppin State Eagles +1.5 49.8% 47.6% 61.2% 0.78× 2.10
VCU Rams −2.5 46.4% 47.6% 36.7% 1.30× 2.10
Coppin State Eagles −1.5 42.4% 42.9% 58.7% 0.73× 2.33
VCU Rams −3.5 42.7% 42.9% 34.3% 1.25× 2.33
Coppin State Eagles −2.5 38.7% 38.1% 56.7% 0.67× 2.63
VCU Rams −4.5 39.1% 38.1% 32.2% 1.18× 2.63
Coppin State Eagles −3.5 35.2% 38.1% 54.2% 0.70× 2.63
VCU Rams −5.5 35.5% 38.1% 29.9% 1.27× 2.63
Coppin State Eagles −4.5 31.8% 33.3% 52.2% 0.64× 3.01
VCU Rams −6.5 32.1% 33.3% 27.7% 1.20× 3.01
Coppin State Eagles −5.5 28.6% 28.4% 49.7% 0.57× 3.53
VCU Rams −7.5 28.9% 28.4% 25.5% 1.11× 3.53
Coppin State Eagles −6.5 25.6% 28.4% 47.6% 0.60× 3.53
VCU Rams −8.5 25.8% 28.4% 23.5% 1.20× 3.53
VCU Rams −9.5 22.9% 23.5% 21.3% 1.10× 4.25
Coppin State Eagles −7.5 22.7% 23.5% 44.8% 0.53× 4.25
VCU Rams −10.5 20.2% 23.5% 19.6% 1.20× 4.25
Coppin State Eagles −8.5 20.0% 18.9% 42.0% 0.45× 5.29
Coppin State Eagles −9.5 17.5% 18.9% 39.3% 0.48× 5.29
Coppin State Eagles −10.5 15.2% 18.9% 36.8% 0.51× 5.30
VCU Rams −12.5 15.3% 18.9% 16.2% 1.16× 5.30
Coppin State Eagles −12.5 11.3% 14.1% 32.1% 0.44× 7.09
VCU Rams −14.5 11.3% 14.1% 13.3% 1.06× 7.09
Coppin State Eagles −14.5 8.1% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
VCU Rams −16.5 8.1% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
Coppin State Eagles −16.5 5.7% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
VCU Rams −18.5 5.7% 8.9% 8.9% 1.00× 11.25
Coppin State Eagles −18.5 3.9% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Coppin State Eagles −20.5 2.5% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
VCU Rams −20.5 3.8% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.6% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.4% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.1% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.8% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.3% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams at HT / VCU Rams at FT 37.6% 37.8% 30.1% 1.25× 2.65
Coppin State Eagles at HT / Coppin State Eagles at FT 31.4% 33.2% 48.3% 0.69× 3.01
Coppin State Eagles at HT / VCU Rams at FT 14.0% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
VCU Rams at HT / Coppin State Eagles at FT 12.5% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Level at HT / Coppin State Eagles at FT 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / VCU Rams at FT 2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win 53.9% 51.0% 40.1% 1.27× 1.96
Coppin State Eagles to win 46.1% 49.0% 59.9% 0.82× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Coppin State Eagles even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
VCU Rams even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Coppin State Eagles odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
VCU Rams odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win Q1 48.5% 47.6% 40.4% 1.18× 2.10
Coppin State Eagles to win Q1 45.4% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 89.3% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 87.3% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 78.8% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 75.6% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 32.5 69.2% 67.6% 59.1% 1.14× 1.48
Q1 over 26.5 65.3% 67.6% 72.9% 0.93× 1.48
Q1 under 30.5 58.1% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 over 28.5 53.7% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 52.2% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 47.8% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 under 28.5 46.3% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 41.9% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 34.7% 32.4% 27.1% 1.20× 3.08
Q1 over 32.5 30.8% 32.4% 40.9% 0.79× 3.08
Q1 under 24.5 24.4% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 over 34.5 21.2% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 12.7% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 10.7% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win Q2 48.5% 47.0% 41.5% 1.13× 2.13
Coppin State Eagles to win Q2 45.5% 47.0% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 37.5 90.1% 90.8% 82.3% 1.10× 1.10
Q2 over 21.5 86.4% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 80.0% 83.0% 70.1% 1.18× 1.21
Q2 over 24.5 74.1% 72.0% 80.7% 0.89× 1.39
Q2 under 32.5 70.8% 72.0% 60.8% 1.18× 1.39
Q2 over 26.5 63.6% 60.7% 71.6% 0.85× 1.65
Q2 under 30.5 59.8% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 54.0% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 51.9% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 48.1% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 46.0% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 40.2% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 under 26.5 36.4% 39.3% 28.4% 1.38× 2.55
Q2 over 32.5 29.2% 28.0% 39.2% 0.71× 3.57
Q2 under 24.5 25.9% 28.0% 19.3% 1.45× 3.57
Q2 over 34.5 20.0% 17.0% 29.9% 0.57× 5.88
Q2 under 21.5 13.6% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.89
Q2 over 37.5 9.9% 9.2% 17.7% 0.52× 10.82
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win Q3 48.7% 47.6% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
Coppin State Eagles to win Q3 45.4% 47.5% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
Q3 tied 6.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 23.5 88.4% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 87.0% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 77.6% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 75.6% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 67.9% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 65.7% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 56.9% 58.4% 66.8% 0.87× 1.71
Q3 under 32.5 54.6% 52.3% 43.9% 1.19× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 51.2% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 48.8% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 45.4% 47.7% 56.1% 0.85× 2.10
Q3 under 30.5 43.1% 41.6% 33.2% 1.26× 2.40
Q3 over 34.5 34.3% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.10
Q3 under 28.5 32.1% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 24.4% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 22.4% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 13.0% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q3 under 23.5 11.6% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win Q4 48.7% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
Coppin State Eagles to win Q4 45.4% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 40.5 88.3% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 24.5 84.1% 82.0% 89.0% 0.92× 1.22
Q4 under 37.5 78.3% 76.9% 68.8% 1.12× 1.30
Q4 over 27.5 72.1% 71.5% 78.9% 0.91× 1.40
Q4 under 35.5 69.5% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 62.2% 61.4% 70.8% 0.87× 1.63
Q4 under 33.5 59.4% 58.4% 49.6% 1.18× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 54.0% 52.5% 44.6% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 51.5% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 48.6% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 46.0% 47.5% 55.4% 0.86× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 40.6% 41.6% 50.4% 0.83× 2.40
Q4 under 29.5 37.8% 38.6% 29.2% 1.32× 2.59
Q4 over 35.5 30.5% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 27.9% 28.5% 21.1% 1.35× 3.51
Q4 over 37.5 21.7% 23.1% 31.2% 0.74× 4.33
Q4 under 24.5 15.9% 18.0% 11.0% 1.64× 5.56
Q4 over 40.5 11.7% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coppin State Eagles under 70.5 86.5% 83.9% 60.3% 1.39× 1.19
VCU Rams under 71.5 86.8% 83.9% 76.1% 1.10× 1.19
VCU Rams over 51.5 85.6% 83.9% 81.0% 1.04× 1.19
Coppin State Eagles over 50.5 84.9% 80.7% 90.8% 0.89× 1.24
Coppin State Eagles under 67.5 78.4% 75.1% 51.3% 1.46× 1.33
VCU Rams under 68.5 78.6% 75.1% 68.6% 1.10× 1.33
VCU Rams over 54.5 76.6% 75.1% 73.5% 1.02× 1.33
Coppin State Eagles over 53.5 75.8% 75.1% 85.8% 0.88× 1.33
VCU Rams under 66.5 71.8% 70.7% 62.7% 1.13× 1.41
Coppin State Eagles under 65.5 71.8% 70.7% 44.7% 1.58× 1.41
VCU Rams over 56.5 69.4% 66.4% 68.0% 0.98× 1.51
Coppin State Eagles over 55.5 68.5% 66.4% 81.6% 0.81× 1.51
VCU Rams under 64.5 64.1% 61.2% 56.9% 1.08× 1.63
Coppin State Eagles under 63.5 64.3% 61.2% 38.5% 1.59× 1.63
VCU Rams over 58.5 61.4% 61.2% 62.1% 0.98× 1.63
Coppin State Eagles over 57.5 60.6% 61.2% 77.2% 0.79× 1.63
VCU Rams under 62.5 55.8% 57.1% 51.0% 1.12× 1.75
Coppin State Eagles under 61.5 56.2% 57.1% 33.1% 1.73× 1.75
VCU Rams over 60.5 52.9% 52.3% 55.6% 0.94× 1.91
VCU Rams under 61.5 51.5% 52.3% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
Coppin State Eagles over 59.5 52.2% 52.3% 72.2% 0.72× 1.91
Coppin State Eagles under 60.5 52.0% 52.3% 30.5% 1.71× 1.91
VCU Rams under 60.5 47.1% 47.7% 44.4% 1.08× 2.09
VCU Rams over 61.5 48.5% 47.7% 52.1% 0.92× 2.09
Coppin State Eagles under 59.5 47.8% 47.7% 27.8% 1.72× 2.09
Coppin State Eagles over 60.5 48.0% 47.7% 69.5% 0.69× 2.09
VCU Rams over 62.5 44.2% 42.9% 49.0% 0.87× 2.33
Coppin State Eagles over 61.5 43.8% 42.9% 66.9% 0.64× 2.33
VCU Rams under 58.5 38.6% 38.8% 37.9% 1.03× 2.58
Coppin State Eagles under 57.5 39.4% 38.8% 22.8% 1.70× 2.58
VCU Rams over 64.5 35.9% 38.8% 43.2% 0.90× 2.58
Coppin State Eagles over 63.5 35.7% 38.8% 61.5% 0.63× 2.58
VCU Rams under 56.5 30.6% 33.6% 32.0% 1.05× 2.98
Coppin State Eagles under 55.5 31.5% 33.6% 18.5% 1.82× 2.98
VCU Rams over 66.5 28.2% 29.3% 37.3% 0.79× 3.42
Coppin State Eagles over 65.5 28.2% 29.3% 55.3% 0.53× 3.42
Coppin State Eagles under 53.5 24.2% 24.9% 14.2% 1.75× 4.02
VCU Rams under 54.5 23.4% 24.9% 26.5% 0.94× 4.02
Coppin State Eagles over 67.5 21.6% 24.9% 48.7% 0.51× 4.02
VCU Rams over 68.5 21.4% 24.9% 31.4% 0.79× 4.02
Coppin State Eagles under 50.5 15.1% 19.3% 9.2% 2.10× 5.18
VCU Rams under 51.5 14.4% 16.1% 19.0% 0.85× 6.21
Coppin State Eagles over 70.5 13.5% 16.1% 39.7% 0.41× 6.21
VCU Rams over 71.5 13.2% 16.1% 23.9% 0.67× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 101.5 points 92.0% 88.8% 94.8% 0.94× 1.13
Under 141.5 points 91.4% 88.8% 73.4% 1.21× 1.13
Over 106.5 points 84.8% 80.6% 91.0% 0.89× 1.24
Under 136.5 points 84.8% 80.6% 64.2% 1.25× 1.24
Under 131.5 points 75.7% 75.6% 53.9% 1.40× 1.32
Over 111.5 points 74.8% 70.8% 85.1% 0.83× 1.41
Under 128.5 points 68.9% 65.9% 47.2% 1.40× 1.52
Over 114.5 points 67.8% 65.9% 80.4% 0.82× 1.52
Under 126.5 points 64.0% 61.5% 42.6% 1.44× 1.63
Over 116.5 points 62.6% 61.5% 77.2% 0.80× 1.63
Under 124.5 points 58.8% 56.5% 38.5% 1.47× 1.77
Over 118.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 73.6% 0.77× 1.77
Under 122.5 points 53.5% 52.3% 34.4% 1.52× 1.91
Over 120.5 points 51.9% 52.3% 69.8% 0.75× 1.91
Under 121.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 32.3% 1.62× 1.91
Over 121.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 67.7% 0.70× 2.10
Under 120.5 points 48.1% 47.7% 30.2% 1.58× 2.10
Over 122.5 points 46.5% 47.7% 65.6% 0.73× 2.10
Under 118.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 26.4% 1.64× 2.30
Over 124.5 points 41.2% 43.5% 61.5% 0.71× 2.30
Under 116.5 points 37.4% 38.5% 22.8% 1.69× 2.60
Over 126.5 points 36.0% 38.5% 57.4% 0.67× 2.60
Under 114.5 points 32.2% 34.1% 19.6% 1.74× 2.93
Over 128.5 points 31.1% 34.1% 52.8% 0.65× 2.93
Under 111.5 points 25.2% 29.2% 14.9% 1.95× 3.43
Over 131.5 points 24.3% 24.4% 46.1% 0.53× 4.10
Under 106.5 points 15.2% 19.4% 9.0% 2.16× 5.15
Over 136.5 points 15.2% 19.4% 35.8% 0.54× 5.15
Under 101.5 points 8.0% 11.2% 5.2% 2.15× 8.96
Over 141.5 points 8.6% 11.2% 26.6% 0.42× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
VCU Rams to win both halves 22.0% 23.1% 20.4% 1.13× 4.34
Coppin State Eagles to win both halves 17.5% 18.9% 36.0% 0.52× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coppin State Eagles by 1-5 17.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
VCU Rams by 1-5 18.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
VCU Rams by 6-10 15.4% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Coppin State Eagles by 6-10 13.4% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
VCU Rams by 11-15 10.5% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Coppin State Eagles by 11-15 8.4% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
VCU Rams by 16-20 5.8% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Coppin State Eagles by 16-20 4.3% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.29
Coppin State Eagles by 21-25 1.8% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.31
VCU Rams by 21-25 2.6% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
Coppin State Eagles by 26+ 0.8% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
VCU Rams by 26+ 1.2% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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