Dayton Flyers v Central Michigan Chippewas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Dayton Flyers

00:00

Central Michigan Chippewas

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Dayton Flyers win

92.9%

Draw

0.0%

Central Michigan Chippewas win

7.1%

9307

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	9307	78.61–63.26	79-63 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers to score 100+	1.6%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	283.04
Dayton Flyers to score 110+	0.1%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.34
Dayton Flyers to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.36
Dayton Flyers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Central Michigan Chippewas to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.35
Central Michigan Chippewas to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.36
Central Michigan Chippewas to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Central Michigan Chippewas to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.36

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers to win H1	78.5%	79.2%	57.9%	1.37×	1.26
Dayton Flyers to win H1	78.4%	79.2%	57.9%	1.37×	1.26
Central Michigan Chippewas to win H1	18.3%	16.9%	38.2%	0.44×	5.91
Central Michigan Chippewas to win H1	18.3%	16.9%	38.2%	0.44×	5.91
H1 tied	3.2%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.87
H1 tied	3.2%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.87

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 79.5	87.7%	87.7%	83.1%	1.06×	1.14
H1 over 55.5	86.6%	87.7%	89.4%	0.98×	1.14
H1 under 75.5	79.1%	77.4%	72.8%	1.06×	1.29
H1 under 75.5	78.4%	77.4%	72.8%	1.06×	1.29
H1 over 59.5	77.4%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 over 59.5	76.6%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 under 72.5	69.8%	67.4%	63.3%	1.06×	1.48
H1 under 72.5	69.2%	67.4%	63.3%	1.06×	1.48
H1 over 62.5	67.6%	67.4%	72.0%	0.94×	1.48
H1 over 62.5	67.1%	67.4%	72.0%	0.94×	1.48
H1 under 70.5	62.7%	62.7%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
H1 under 70.5	62.3%	62.7%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
H1 over 64.5	60.3%	62.7%	65.3%	0.96×	1.59
H1 over 64.5	60.0%	58.2%	65.3%	0.89×	1.72
H1 under 68.5	55.2%	58.2%	49.3%	1.18×	1.72
H1 under 68.5	55.0%	52.6%	49.3%	1.07×	1.90
H1 over 66.5	52.6%	52.6%	58.2%	0.90×	1.90
H1 over 66.5	52.5%	52.6%	58.2%	0.90×	1.90
H1 under 67.5	51.3%	52.6%	45.6%	1.15×	1.90
H1 under 67.5	51.2%	52.6%	45.6%	1.15×	1.90
H1 over 67.5	48.7%	47.4%	54.4%	0.87×	2.11
H1 over 67.5	48.8%	47.4%	54.4%	0.87×	2.11
H1 under 66.5	47.4%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
H1 under 66.5	47.5%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
H1 over 68.5	45.0%	47.4%	50.7%	0.93×	2.11
H1 over 68.5	44.8%	41.8%	50.7%	0.82×	2.39
H1 under 64.5	40.0%	41.8%	34.8%	1.20×	2.39
H1 under 64.5	39.7%	37.3%	34.8%	1.07×	2.68
H1 over 70.5	37.3%	37.3%	43.5%	0.86×	2.68
H1 over 70.5	37.7%	37.3%	43.5%	0.86×	2.68
H1 under 62.5	32.4%	32.6%	28.0%	1.16×	3.07
H1 under 62.5	32.9%	32.6%	28.0%	1.16×	3.07
H1 over 72.5	30.2%	32.6%	36.7%	0.89×	3.07
H1 over 72.5	30.8%	32.6%	36.7%	0.89×	3.07
H1 under 59.5	23.4%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 under 59.5	22.7%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 over 75.5	20.9%	22.6%	27.2%	0.83×	4.43
H1 over 75.5	21.6%	22.6%	27.2%	0.83×	4.43
H1 under 55.5	13.4%	12.3%	10.6%	1.16×	8.14
H1 over 79.5	12.3%	12.3%	16.9%	0.73×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers to win H2	80.3%	79.5%	56.9%	1.40×	1.26
Dayton Flyers to win H2	80.3%	79.5%	57.5%	1.38×	1.26
Central Michigan Chippewas to win H2	16.8%	20.4%	38.5%	0.53×	4.90
Central Michigan Chippewas to win H2	16.8%	20.4%	38.9%	0.52×	4.90
H2 tied	2.9%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.36
H2 tied	2.9%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 87.5	86.9%	85.2%	77.7%	1.10×	1.17
H2 over 63.5	84.6%	81.8%	88.2%	0.93×	1.22
H2 under 83.5	78.5%	75.8%	71.6%	1.06×	1.32
H2 under 83.5	77.9%	75.8%	68.0%	1.11×	1.32
H2 over 67.5	75.1%	75.8%	78.2%	0.97×	1.32
H2 over 67.5	74.5%	72.2%	80.0%	0.90×	1.39
H2 under 80.5	69.7%	66.4%	62.9%	1.06×	1.51
H2 under 80.5	69.2%	66.4%	59.2%	1.12×	1.51
H2 over 70.5	65.6%	66.4%	69.8%	0.95×	1.51
H2 over 70.5	65.2%	66.4%	71.9%	0.92×	1.51
H2 under 78.5	63.0%	61.6%	56.4%	1.09×	1.62
H2 under 78.5	62.7%	61.6%	53.0%	1.16×	1.62
H2 over 72.5	58.6%	57.3%	63.4%	0.90×	1.74
H2 over 72.5	58.4%	57.3%	65.9%	0.87×	1.74
H2 under 76.5	56.0%	57.3%	49.7%	1.15×	1.74
H2 under 76.5	55.8%	57.3%	46.6%	1.23×	1.74
H2 under 75.5	52.3%	52.4%	46.6%	1.12×	1.91
H2 under 75.5	52.2%	52.4%	43.6%	1.20×	1.91
H2 over 74.5	51.3%	52.4%	57.0%	0.92×	1.91
H2 over 74.5	51.3%	52.4%	60.0%	0.87×	1.91
H2 under 74.5	48.7%	47.6%	43.0%	1.11×	2.10
H2 under 74.5	48.7%	47.6%	40.0%	1.19×	2.10
H2 over 75.5	47.7%	47.6%	53.4%	0.89×	2.10
H2 over 75.5	47.8%	47.6%	56.4%	0.84×	2.10
H2 over 76.5	44.0%	42.7%	50.3%	0.85×	2.34
H2 over 76.5	44.2%	42.7%	53.4%	0.80×	2.34
H2 under 72.5	41.6%	42.7%	34.1%	1.25×	2.34
H2 under 72.5	41.4%	42.7%	36.6%	1.17×	2.34
H2 over 78.5	37.0%	38.4%	43.6%	0.88×	2.61
H2 over 78.5	37.3%	38.4%	47.0%	0.82×	2.61
H2 under 70.5	34.4%	33.6%	30.2%	1.11×	2.97
H2 under 70.5	34.8%	33.6%	28.1%	1.20×	2.97
H2 over 80.5	30.8%	33.6%	40.8%	0.82×	2.97
H2 over 80.5	30.3%	33.6%	37.1%	0.91×	2.97
H2 under 67.5	25.5%	27.8%	20.0%	1.39×	3.59
H2 under 67.5	24.9%	24.2%	21.8%	1.11×	4.13
H2 over 83.5	21.5%	24.2%	28.4%	0.85×	4.13
H2 over 83.5	22.1%	24.2%	32.0%	0.76×	4.13
H2 under 63.5	15.4%	18.2%	11.8%	1.54×	5.50
H2 over 87.5	13.1%	14.8%	22.3%	0.66×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers leading at half time	78.4%	79.7%	57.9%	1.38×	1.25
Central Michigan Chippewas leading at half time	18.3%	17.0%	38.2%	0.45×	5.87
Level at half time	3.2%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers +12.5	99.5%	97.4%	89.9%	1.08×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +14.5	99.7%	97.4%	92.2%	1.06×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +16.5	99.8%	97.4%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +18.5	99.9%	97.4%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +20.5	100.0%	97.4%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +3.5	96.0%	97.4%	70.8%	1.38×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +4.5	96.7%	97.4%	73.7%	1.32×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +5.5	97.3%	97.4%	76.4%	1.28×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +6.5	97.9%	97.4%	78.8%	1.24×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +7.5	98.3%	97.4%	81.0%	1.20×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +8.5	98.7%	97.4%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +9.5	99.0%	97.4%	85.3%	1.14×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +10.5	99.2%	97.4%	87.2%	1.12×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +2.5	95.1%	97.4%	68.0%	1.43×	1.03
Dayton Flyers +1.5	94.1%	91.1%	65.4%	1.39×	1.10
Dayton Flyers −1.5	91.3%	91.1%	60.8%	1.50×	1.10
Dayton Flyers −2.5	89.6%	85.9%	57.7%	1.49×	1.16
Dayton Flyers −3.5	87.6%	85.9%	54.1%	1.59×	1.16
Dayton Flyers −4.5	85.5%	85.9%	50.7%	1.70×	1.16
Dayton Flyers −5.5	83.1%	81.1%	47.0%	1.72×	1.23
Dayton Flyers −6.5	80.5%	81.1%	44.3%	1.83×	1.23
Dayton Flyers −7.5	77.7%	76.5%	41.3%	1.85×	1.31
Dayton Flyers −8.5	74.7%	71.6%	38.5%	1.86×	1.40
Dayton Flyers −9.5	71.5%	71.6%	35.5%	2.02×	1.40
Dayton Flyers −10.5	68.1%	66.7%	32.6%	2.04×	1.50
Central Michigan Chippewas +20.5	68.4%	66.7%	86.5%	0.77×	1.50
Central Michigan Chippewas +18.5	61.4%	61.9%	83.9%	0.74×	1.62
Dayton Flyers −12.5	61.0%	61.9%	27.6%	2.24×	1.62
Dayton Flyers −14.5	53.6%	52.4%	22.8%	2.30×	1.91
Central Michigan Chippewas +16.5	54.0%	52.4%	80.7%	0.65×	1.91
Central Michigan Chippewas +14.5	46.4%	47.6%	77.2%	0.62×	2.10
Dayton Flyers −16.5	46.0%	47.6%	19.3%	2.47×	2.10
Central Michigan Chippewas +12.5	39.0%	38.1%	72.4%	0.53×	2.63
Dayton Flyers −18.5	38.6%	38.1%	16.1%	2.36×	2.63
Central Michigan Chippewas +10.5	31.9%	33.3%	67.4%	0.49×	3.01
Dayton Flyers −20.5	31.6%	33.3%	13.5%	2.47×	3.01
Central Michigan Chippewas +9.5	28.5%	28.4%	64.5%	0.44×	3.53
Central Michigan Chippewas +8.5	25.3%	28.4%	61.5%	0.46×	3.53
Central Michigan Chippewas +7.5	22.3%	23.5%	58.7%	0.40×	4.25
Central Michigan Chippewas +6.5	19.5%	18.9%	55.7%	0.34×	5.29
Central Michigan Chippewas +5.5	16.9%	18.9%	53.0%	0.36×	5.29
Central Michigan Chippewas +4.5	14.6%	14.1%	49.3%	0.29×	7.09
Central Michigan Chippewas +3.5	12.4%	14.1%	45.9%	0.31×	7.09
Central Michigan Chippewas +2.5	10.4%	14.1%	42.3%	0.33×	7.09
Central Michigan Chippewas +1.5	8.7%	8.9%	39.2%	0.23×	11.25
Central Michigan Chippewas −1.5	5.9%	8.9%	34.6%	0.26×	11.25
Central Michigan Chippewas −2.5	4.9%	2.6%	32.0%	0.08×	38.72
Central Michigan Chippewas −3.5	4.0%	2.6%	29.3%	0.09×	38.72
Central Michigan Chippewas −4.5	3.3%	2.6%	26.3%	0.10×	38.73
Central Michigan Chippewas −5.5	2.7%	2.6%	23.6%	0.11×	38.73
Central Michigan Chippewas −6.5	2.1%	2.6%	21.2%	0.12×	38.73
Central Michigan Chippewas −7.5	1.7%	2.6%	19.0%	0.14×	38.73
Central Michigan Chippewas −8.5	1.3%	2.6%	16.7%	0.16×	38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −9.5	1.0%	2.6%	14.7%	0.18×	38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −10.5	0.8%	2.6%	12.8%	0.20×	38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −12.5	0.5%	2.6%	10.1%	0.26×	38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −14.5	0.3%	2.6%	7.8%	0.33×	38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −16.5	0.2%	2.6%	6.0%	0.43×	38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −18.5	0.1%	2.6%	4.6%	0.57×	38.74
Central Michigan Chippewas −20.5	0.0%	2.6%	3.5%	0.75×	38.74

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	78.3%	71.6%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	76.7%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	23.3%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53
H1 highest scoring	21.7%	28.4%	29.6%	0.96×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers at HT / Dayton Flyers at FT	76.0%	78.0%	48.6%	1.60×	1.28
Central Michigan Chippewas at HT / Dayton Flyers at FT	14.0%	12.2%	12.4%	0.99×	8.17
Central Michigan Chippewas at HT / Central Michigan Chippewas at FT	4.3%	2.1%	25.8%	0.08×	47.72
Level at HT / Dayton Flyers at FT	2.9%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.74
Dayton Flyers at HT / Central Michigan Chippewas at FT	2.4%	2.1%	9.3%	0.22×	47.75
Level at HT / Central Michigan Chippewas at FT	0.4%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.79

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers to win	92.9%	90.6%	63.2%	1.43×	1.10
Central Michigan Chippewas to win	7.1%	9.4%	36.8%	0.26×	10.66

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Central Michigan Chippewas even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	50.7%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
Dayton Flyers odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Central Michigan Chippewas odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	49.3%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.7%	97.0%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.3%	3.0%	5.8%	0.52×	33.36

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers under 89.5	86.6%	83.9%	86.5%	0.97×	1.19
Central Michigan Chippewas under 73.5	86.1%	83.9%	58.3%	1.44×	1.19
Central Michigan Chippewas over 53.5	85.1%	83.9%	93.9%	0.89×	1.19
Dayton Flyers over 69.5	83.1%	80.7%	69.6%	1.16×	1.24
Dayton Flyers under 86.5	78.7%	75.1%	80.8%	0.93×	1.33
Central Michigan Chippewas under 70.5	77.9%	75.1%	48.7%	1.54×	1.33
Central Michigan Chippewas over 56.5	76.3%	75.1%	89.8%	0.84×	1.33
Dayton Flyers over 72.5	74.2%	70.7%	60.8%	1.16×	1.41
Dayton Flyers under 84.5	72.3%	70.7%	76.1%	0.93×	1.41
Central Michigan Chippewas under 68.5	71.1%	70.7%	41.6%	1.70×	1.41
Central Michigan Chippewas over 58.5	69.2%	66.4%	86.2%	0.77×	1.51
Dayton Flyers over 74.5	67.1%	66.4%	54.1%	1.23×	1.51
Dayton Flyers under 82.5	65.0%	61.2%	70.8%	0.86×	1.63
Central Michigan Chippewas under 66.5	63.5%	61.2%	35.3%	1.74×	1.63
Central Michigan Chippewas over 60.5	61.4%	61.2%	82.0%	0.75×	1.63
Dayton Flyers over 76.5	59.3%	57.1%	47.7%	1.20×	1.75
Dayton Flyers under 80.5	57.1%	57.1%	64.9%	0.88×	1.75
Central Michigan Chippewas under 64.5	55.3%	57.1%	29.3%	1.95×	1.75
Central Michigan Chippewas over 62.5	53.1%	52.3%	76.6%	0.68×	1.91
Central Michigan Chippewas under 63.5	51.1%	52.3%	26.1%	2.00×	1.91
Dayton Flyers over 78.5	51.1%	52.3%	41.6%	1.26×	1.91
Dayton Flyers under 79.5	53.0%	52.3%	61.6%	0.85×	1.91
Central Michigan Chippewas under 62.5	46.9%	47.7%	23.4%	2.04×	2.09
Central Michigan Chippewas over 63.5	48.9%	47.7%	73.9%	0.65×	2.09
Dayton Flyers under 78.5	48.9%	47.7%	58.4%	0.82×	2.09
Dayton Flyers over 79.5	47.0%	47.7%	38.4%	1.24×	2.09
Central Michigan Chippewas over 64.5	44.7%	42.9%	70.7%	0.61×	2.33
Dayton Flyers over 80.5	42.9%	42.9%	35.1%	1.22×	2.33
Dayton Flyers under 76.5	40.7%	42.9%	52.3%	0.82×	2.33
Central Michigan Chippewas under 60.5	38.6%	38.8%	18.0%	2.15×	2.58
Central Michigan Chippewas over 66.5	36.5%	38.8%	64.7%	0.60×	2.58
Dayton Flyers over 82.5	35.0%	38.8%	29.2%	1.33×	2.58
Dayton Flyers under 74.5	32.9%	33.6%	45.9%	0.73×	2.98
Central Michigan Chippewas under 58.5	30.8%	33.6%	13.8%	2.44×	2.98
Central Michigan Chippewas over 68.5	28.9%	29.3%	58.4%	0.50×	3.42
Dayton Flyers over 84.5	27.7%	29.3%	23.9%	1.23×	3.42
Dayton Flyers under 72.5	25.8%	29.3%	39.2%	0.75×	3.42
Central Michigan Chippewas under 56.5	23.7%	24.9%	10.2%	2.45×	4.02
Dayton Flyers over 86.5	21.3%	24.9%	19.2%	1.30×	4.02
Central Michigan Chippewas over 70.5	22.1%	24.9%	51.4%	0.48×	4.02
Dayton Flyers under 69.5	16.9%	19.3%	30.4%	0.63×	5.18
Central Michigan Chippewas under 53.5	15.0%	16.1%	6.1%	2.62×	6.21
Dayton Flyers over 89.5	13.4%	16.1%	13.5%	1.19×	6.21
Central Michigan Chippewas over 73.5	13.9%	16.1%	41.7%	0.39×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 162.5 points	90.0%	88.8%	79.4%	1.12×	1.13
Over 122.5 points	89.2%	85.0%	91.3%	0.93×	1.18
Under 157.5 points	83.4%	80.6%	71.6%	1.13×	1.24
Over 127.5 points	82.0%	80.6%	85.8%	0.94×	1.24
Under 152.5 points	74.5%	70.8%	62.7%	1.13×	1.41
Over 132.5 points	72.5%	70.8%	78.3%	0.90×	1.41
Under 149.5 points	68.1%	65.9%	56.3%	1.17×	1.52
Over 135.5 points	65.9%	65.9%	72.9%	0.90×	1.52
Under 147.5 points	63.5%	61.5%	52.2%	1.18×	1.63
Over 137.5 points	61.1%	61.5%	69.0%	0.89×	1.63
Under 145.5 points	58.7%	56.5%	48.2%	1.17×	1.77
Over 139.5 points	56.2%	56.5%	64.6%	0.87×	1.77
Under 143.5 points	53.8%	52.3%	43.7%	1.20×	1.91
Over 141.5 points	51.2%	52.3%	60.4%	0.87×	1.91
Under 142.5 points	51.2%	52.3%	41.7%	1.26×	1.91
Under 141.5 points	48.8%	47.7%	39.6%	1.20×	2.10
Over 142.5 points	48.8%	47.7%	58.3%	0.82×	2.10
Over 143.5 points	46.2%	47.7%	56.3%	0.85×	2.10
Under 139.5 points	43.8%	43.5%	35.4%	1.23×	2.30
Over 145.5 points	41.3%	43.5%	51.8%	0.84×	2.30
Under 137.5 points	38.9%	38.5%	31.0%	1.24×	2.60
Over 147.5 points	36.5%	38.5%	47.8%	0.81×	2.60
Under 135.5 points	34.1%	34.1%	27.1%	1.26×	2.93
Over 149.5 points	31.9%	34.1%	43.7%	0.78×	2.93
Under 132.5 points	27.5%	29.2%	21.7%	1.34×	3.43
Over 152.5 points	25.5%	29.2%	37.4%	0.78×	3.43
Under 127.5 points	18.0%	19.4%	14.2%	1.37×	5.15
Over 157.5 points	16.6%	19.4%	28.4%	0.68×	5.15
Under 122.5 points	10.8%	15.0%	8.7%	1.72×	6.69
Over 162.5 points	10.0%	11.2%	20.6%	0.54×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers to win both halves	61.0%	60.6%	33.2%	1.83×	1.65
Central Michigan Chippewas to win both halves	1.6%	3.0%	14.5%	0.20×	33.75

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dayton Flyers by 11-15	18.3%	16.8%	11.6%	1.45×	5.97
Dayton Flyers by 16-20	18.2%	16.8%	7.6%	2.20×	5.97
Dayton Flyers by 26+	17.1%	16.8%	7.9%	2.12×	5.97
Dayton Flyers by 6-10	14.9%	12.3%	14.4%	0.86×	8.11
Dayton Flyers by 21-25	14.6%	12.3%	5.6%	2.22×	8.11
Dayton Flyers by 1-5	9.8%	7.5%	16.2%	0.46×	13.40
Central Michigan Chippewas by 1-5	4.5%	2.0%	13.2%	0.15×	49.29
Central Michigan Chippewas by 6-10	1.8%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.31
Central Michigan Chippewas by 11-15	0.6%	2.0%	6.1%	0.34×	49.32
Central Michigan Chippewas by 16-20	0.2%	2.0%	3.3%	0.61×	49.33
Central Michigan Chippewas by 21-25	0.0%	2.0%	1.9%	1.06×	49.33
Central Michigan Chippewas by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.33

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