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Duke Blue Devils v Fordham Rams — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 19 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Duke Blue Devils win
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Fordham Rams win
0.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 82.25–42.84 82-43 0% 70% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils to score 100+ 4.7% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 282.44
Duke Blue Devils to score 110+ 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.30
Duke Blue Devils to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.35
Duke Blue Devils to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils to win H1 97.4% 98.6% 56.4% 1.75× 1.01
Fordham Rams to win H1 2.0% 3.9% 39.9% 0.10× 25.88
H1 tied 0.6% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.89
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 75.5 90.9% 90.8% 88.8% 1.02× 1.10
H1 over 51.5 89.5% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 81.9% 82.5% 81.4% 1.01× 1.21
H1 over 55.5 79.2% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 72.4% 73.5% 73.5% 1.00× 1.36
H1 over 58.5 68.6% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 66.5 64.8% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 60.5% 62.7% 53.9% 1.16× 1.59
H1 under 64.5 56.6% 58.2% 60.7% 0.96× 1.72
H1 over 62.5 52.0% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 52.3% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 48.0% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 47.7% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 43.4% 41.8% 39.3% 1.06× 2.39
H1 under 60.5 39.5% 37.3% 46.1% 0.81× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 35.2% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 under 58.5 31.4% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 27.6% 26.5% 26.5% 1.00× 3.77
H1 under 55.5 20.8% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 18.1% 17.5% 18.6% 0.94× 5.73
H1 under 51.5 10.5% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H1 over 75.5 9.1% 9.2% 11.2% 0.82× 10.89
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils to win H2 98.0% 95.6% 56.0% 1.71× 1.05
Fordham Rams to win H2 1.5% 3.9% 40.6% 0.10× 25.38
H2 tied 0.5% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.38
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 81.5 90.1% 88.1% 85.8% 1.03× 1.14
H2 over 57.5 88.6% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 77.5 81.1% 81.8% 77.9% 1.05× 1.22
H2 over 61.5 78.3% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 71.7% 72.2% 69.9% 1.03× 1.39
H2 over 64.5 67.9% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 72.5 64.4% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 66.5 60.0% 61.6% 55.4% 1.11× 1.62
H2 under 70.5 56.4% 57.3% 57.8% 0.99× 1.74
H2 over 68.5 51.8% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 52.3% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 48.2% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 47.7% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 43.6% 42.7% 42.2% 1.01× 2.34
H2 under 66.5 40.0% 38.4% 44.6% 0.86× 2.61
H2 over 72.5 35.6% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 64.5 32.1% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 28.3% 27.8% 30.1% 0.93× 3.59
H2 under 61.5 21.7% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 77.5 18.9% 18.2% 22.1% 0.82× 5.50
H2 under 57.5 11.4% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
H2 over 81.5 9.9% 11.9% 14.2% 0.84× 8.38
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils leading at half time 97.4% 98.5% 56.4% 1.74× 1.02
Fordham Rams leading at half time 2.0% 3.8% 39.9% 0.09× 26.43
Level at half time 0.6% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.45
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils −1.5 100.0% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +1.5 100.0% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −2.5 99.9% 97.4% 56.7% 1.72× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +2.5 100.0% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −3.5 99.9% 97.4% 54.2% 1.80× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +3.5 100.0% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −4.5 99.9% 97.4% 52.2% 1.87× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +4.5 100.0% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −5.5 99.8% 97.4% 49.7% 1.96× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +5.5 100.0% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −6.5 99.7% 97.4% 47.6% 2.05× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +6.5 100.0% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −7.5 99.7% 97.4% 44.8% 2.18× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +7.5 100.0% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −8.5 99.5% 97.4% 42.0% 2.32× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +8.5 100.0% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −9.5 99.4% 97.4% 39.3% 2.48× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +9.5 100.0% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +10.5 100.0% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +12.5 100.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −10.5 99.2% 97.4% 36.8% 2.65× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −12.5 98.7% 97.4% 32.1% 3.03× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −14.5 97.9% 97.4% 27.9% 3.49× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −16.5 96.8% 97.4% 24.3% 4.02× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −18.5 95.2% 97.4% 20.7% 4.70× 1.03
Duke Blue Devils −20.5 93.0% 91.1% 18.0% 5.06× 1.10
Fordham Rams +20.5 7.0% 8.9% 82.0% 0.11× 11.25
Fordham Rams +18.5 4.8% 2.6% 79.3% 0.03× 38.72
Fordham Rams +10.5 0.8% 2.6% 63.2% 0.04× 38.74
Fordham Rams +12.5 1.3% 2.6% 67.9% 0.04× 38.74
Fordham Rams +14.5 2.1% 2.6% 72.1% 0.04× 38.73
Fordham Rams +16.5 3.2% 2.6% 75.7% 0.03× 38.73
Fordham Rams +1.5 0.0% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.74
Fordham Rams −1.5 0.0% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.74
Fordham Rams +2.5 0.1% 2.6% 43.3% 0.06× 38.74
Fordham Rams −2.5 0.0% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.74
Fordham Rams +3.5 0.1% 2.6% 45.8% 0.06× 38.74
Fordham Rams −3.5 0.0% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.74
Fordham Rams +4.5 0.1% 2.6% 47.8% 0.05× 38.74
Fordham Rams −4.5 0.0% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.74
Fordham Rams +5.5 0.2% 2.6% 50.3% 0.05× 38.74
Fordham Rams −5.5 0.0% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
Fordham Rams +6.5 0.3% 2.6% 52.4% 0.05× 38.74
Fordham Rams −6.5 0.0% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
Fordham Rams +7.5 0.3% 2.6% 55.2% 0.05× 38.74
Fordham Rams −7.5 0.0% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Fordham Rams +8.5 0.5% 2.6% 58.0% 0.04× 38.74
Fordham Rams −8.5 0.0% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Fordham Rams +9.5 0.6% 2.6% 60.7% 0.04× 38.74
Fordham Rams −9.5 0.0% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Fordham Rams −10.5 0.0% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Fordham Rams −12.5 0.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Fordham Rams −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Fordham Rams −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Fordham Rams −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Fordham Rams −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.2% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.8% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.7% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT 97.3% 98.4% 48.3% 2.04× 1.02
Fordham Rams at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT 2.0% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.76
Level at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT 0.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.78
Duke Blue Devils at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 0.0% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.79
Level at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 0.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Fordham Rams at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 0.0% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils to win 100.0% 97.5% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Fordham Rams to win 0.0% 2.5% 40.1% 0.06× 39.98
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams even 51.6% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Duke Blue Devils even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Total points odd 50.0% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Duke Blue Devils odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Total points even 50.0% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Fordham Rams odd 48.4% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 99.5% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 0.5% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.63
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils to win Q1 89.5% 92.1% 54.7% 1.68× 1.09
Fordham Rams to win Q1 7.9% 5.5% 40.4% 0.14× 18.28
Q1 tied 2.6% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 24.03
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 23.5 89.9% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 39.5 88.7% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 26.5 78.9% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 77.2% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 68.9% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 66.9% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 57.2% 58.6% 51.2% 1.14× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 55.1% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 over 31.5 51.0% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 49.0% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 44.9% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 30.5 42.8% 41.4% 48.8% 0.85× 2.42
Q1 over 34.5 33.1% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 31.1% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 22.8% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 26.5 21.1% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 39.5 11.3% 12.6% 12.5% 1.01× 7.95
Q1 under 23.5 10.1% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils to win Q2 88.8% 92.4% 52.9% 1.75× 1.08
Fordham Rams to win Q2 8.5% 6.1% 41.5% 0.15× 16.46
Q2 tied 2.6% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.96
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 89.6% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 88.9% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 78.7% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 77.4% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 68.7% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 67.0% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 57.1% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 55.2% 58.2% 49.9% 1.17× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 51.0% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 49.0% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 44.8% 41.8% 50.1% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 over 32.5 42.9% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 33.0% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 31.3% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 22.6% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 21.3% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 11.1% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.90
Q2 over 39.5 10.4% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils to win Q3 91.0% 94.2% 53.3% 1.77× 1.06
Fordham Rams to win Q3 6.8% 5.3% 41.8% 0.13× 18.95
Q3 tied 2.2% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.51
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 26.5 88.8% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 42.5 88.7% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 29.5 77.5% 77.3% 71.8% 1.08× 1.29
Q3 under 39.5 77.7% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 under 37.5 67.7% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 67.4% 67.8% 61.6% 1.10× 1.48
Q3 under 35.5 56.2% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 55.8% 58.4% 50.9% 1.15× 1.71
Q3 under 34.5 50.2% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 49.8% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 44.2% 41.6% 49.1% 0.85× 2.40
Q3 over 35.5 43.8% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 32.6% 32.2% 38.4% 0.84× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 32.3% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.10
Q3 under 29.5 22.5% 22.7% 28.2% 0.81× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 22.3% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 over 42.5 11.3% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q3 under 26.5 11.2% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils to win Q4 90.5% 85.2% 52.8% 1.61× 1.17
Fordham Rams to win Q4 7.2% 5.8% 41.5% 0.14× 17.23
Q4 tied 2.3% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.34
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 26.5 87.5% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 42.5 87.1% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 29.5 76.4% 76.9% 70.8% 1.09× 1.30
Q4 under 39.5 76.0% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 31.5 66.8% 67.4% 61.1% 1.10× 1.48
Q4 under 37.5 66.4% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 55.9% 58.4% 50.4% 1.16× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 55.5% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 over 34.5 50.2% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 49.8% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 44.5% 41.6% 40.6% 1.03× 2.40
Q4 under 33.5 44.1% 41.6% 49.6% 0.84× 2.40
Q4 over 37.5 33.6% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 33.2% 32.6% 38.9% 0.84× 3.07
Q4 over 39.5 24.0% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 29.5 23.6% 23.1% 29.2% 0.79× 4.33
Q4 over 42.5 12.9% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 under 26.5 12.5% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams under 58.5 92.8% 86.5% 37.9% 2.28× 1.16
Duke Blue Devils under 94.5 87.3% 83.9% 96.7% 0.87× 1.19
Fordham Rams over 41.5 87.0% 83.9% 95.6% 0.88× 1.19
Fordham Rams under 55.5 86.5% 83.9% 29.2% 2.87× 1.19
Duke Blue Devils over 74.5 84.2% 80.7% 29.3% 2.76× 1.24
Fordham Rams under 53.5 80.4% 80.7% 23.7% 3.40× 1.24
Fordham Rams over 38.5 100.0% 75.6% 97.6% 0.77× 1.32
Duke Blue Devils under 91.5 79.4% 75.1% 95.1% 0.79× 1.33
Duke Blue Devils over 77.5 75.2% 75.1% 22.6% 3.33× 1.33
Fordham Rams over 43.5 73.6% 70.7% 93.7% 0.76× 1.41
Duke Blue Devils under 89.5 72.8% 70.7% 93.9% 0.75× 1.41
Fordham Rams under 51.5 72.6% 70.7% 19.0% 3.72× 1.41
Duke Blue Devils over 79.5 67.9% 66.4% 18.7% 3.55× 1.51
Duke Blue Devils under 87.5 65.3% 66.4% 92.3% 0.72× 1.51
Fordham Rams under 49.5 63.1% 61.2% 14.9% 4.10× 1.63
Fordham Rams over 45.5 60.5% 61.2% 91.3% 0.67× 1.63
Duke Blue Devils over 81.5 59.9% 57.1% 15.4% 3.70× 1.75
Fordham Rams under 48.5 57.7% 57.1% 13.3% 4.30× 1.75
Duke Blue Devils under 85.5 57.1% 57.1% 90.2% 0.63× 1.75
Duke Blue Devils over 83.5 51.4% 52.3% 12.3% 4.24× 1.91
Duke Blue Devils under 84.5 52.8% 52.3% 88.9% 0.59× 1.91
Fordham Rams under 47.5 51.9% 52.3% 11.6% 4.50× 1.91
Duke Blue Devils under 83.5 48.6% 47.7% 87.7% 0.54× 2.09
Duke Blue Devils over 84.5 47.2% 47.7% 11.1% 4.31× 2.09
Fordham Rams over 47.5 48.1% 47.7% 88.4% 0.54× 2.09
Duke Blue Devils over 85.5 42.9% 42.9% 9.8% 4.38× 2.33
Fordham Rams over 48.5 42.3% 42.9% 86.7% 0.49× 2.33
Duke Blue Devils under 81.5 40.1% 42.9% 84.6% 0.51× 2.33
Fordham Rams under 45.5 39.5% 38.8% 8.7% 4.48× 2.58
Fordham Rams over 49.5 36.9% 38.8% 85.1% 0.46× 2.58
Duke Blue Devils over 87.5 34.7% 33.6% 7.7% 4.38× 2.98
Duke Blue Devils under 79.5 32.1% 33.6% 81.3% 0.41× 2.98
Duke Blue Devils over 89.5 27.2% 29.3% 6.1% 4.77× 3.42
Fordham Rams over 51.5 27.4% 29.3% 81.0% 0.36× 3.42
Fordham Rams under 43.5 26.4% 29.3% 6.3% 4.63× 3.42
Duke Blue Devils under 77.5 24.8% 24.9% 77.4% 0.32× 4.02
Duke Blue Devils over 91.5 20.6% 24.9% 4.9% 5.09× 4.02
Fordham Rams under 38.5 0.0% 24.4% 2.4% 10.24× 4.09
Fordham Rams over 53.5 19.6% 19.3% 76.3% 0.25× 5.18
Duke Blue Devils under 74.5 15.8% 19.3% 70.7% 0.27× 5.18
Fordham Rams under 41.5 13.0% 16.1% 4.4% 3.65× 6.21
Fordham Rams over 55.5 13.5% 16.1% 70.8% 0.23× 6.21
Duke Blue Devils over 94.5 12.7% 16.1% 3.3% 4.87× 6.21
Fordham Rams over 58.5 7.2% 13.5% 62.1% 0.22× 7.40
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 112.5 points 95.5% 92.1% 83.6% 1.10× 1.09
Under 152.5 points 94.6% 88.8% 88.1% 1.01× 1.13
Under 147.5 points 89.3% 85.0% 82.3% 1.03× 1.18
Over 117.5 points 89.1% 85.0% 75.3% 1.13× 1.18
Under 142.5 points 80.7% 80.6% 75.1% 1.07× 1.24
Over 122.5 points 78.2% 75.6% 65.6% 1.15× 1.32
Under 139.5 points 73.7% 70.8% 69.9% 1.01× 1.41
Over 125.5 points 69.7% 65.9% 59.5% 1.11× 1.52
Under 137.5 points 68.4% 65.9% 66.2% 1.00× 1.52
Over 127.5 points 63.4% 61.5% 55.1% 1.12× 1.63
Under 135.5 points 62.5% 61.5% 62.4% 0.99× 1.63
Over 129.5 points 56.9% 56.5% 50.5% 1.12× 1.77
Under 133.5 points 56.3% 56.5% 58.0% 0.97× 1.77
Under 132.5 points 53.0% 52.3% 56.0% 0.94× 1.91
Over 131.5 points 50.2% 52.3% 46.1% 1.14× 1.91
Under 131.5 points 49.8% 47.7% 53.9% 0.88× 2.10
Over 132.5 points 47.0% 47.7% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Under 129.5 points 43.1% 43.5% 49.5% 0.88× 2.30
Over 133.5 points 43.7% 43.5% 42.0% 1.04× 2.30
Over 135.5 points 37.5% 38.5% 37.6% 1.02× 2.60
Under 127.5 points 36.6% 38.5% 44.9% 0.86× 2.60
Over 137.5 points 31.6% 34.1% 33.8% 1.01× 2.93
Under 125.5 points 30.3% 34.1% 40.5% 0.84× 2.93
Over 139.5 points 26.3% 29.2% 30.1% 0.97× 3.43
Under 122.5 points 21.8% 24.4% 34.4% 0.71× 4.10
Over 142.5 points 19.3% 19.4% 24.9% 0.78× 5.15
Under 117.5 points 10.9% 15.0% 24.7% 0.61× 6.69
Over 147.5 points 10.7% 15.0% 17.7% 0.84× 6.69
Over 152.5 points 5.4% 11.2% 11.9% 0.94× 8.97
Under 112.5 points 4.5% 7.9% 16.4% 0.48× 12.68
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils to win both halves 95.4% 96.1% 36.0% 2.67× 1.04
Fordham Rams to win both halves 0.0% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.85
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duke Blue Devils by 26+ 84.0% 83.5% 12.6% 6.61× 1.20
Duke Blue Devils by 21-25 9.0% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
Duke Blue Devils by 16-20 4.5% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.29
Duke Blue Devils by 11-15 1.8% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.31
Duke Blue Devils by 1-5 0.2% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
Fordham Rams by 1-5 0.0% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
Duke Blue Devils by 6-10 0.6% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.32
Fordham Rams by 6-10 0.0% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.33
Fordham Rams by 11-15 0.0% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
Fordham Rams by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Fordham Rams by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Fordham Rams by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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