Duke Blue Devils v Marshall Thundering Herd — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Duke Blue Devils win
98.8%
Draw
0.0%
Marshall Thundering Herd win
1.2%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 78.89–53.76 | 79-54 0% | 54% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to score 100+ | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.04 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 110+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.34 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win H1 | 90.0% | 93.2% | 56.4% | 1.65× | 1.07 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to win H1 | 8.1% | 7.2% | 39.9% | 0.18× | 13.96 |
| H1 tied | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.88 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 76.5 | 89.5% | 87.7% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 52.5 | 88.0% | 87.7% | 79.6% | 1.10× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 80.4% | 82.5% | 83.6% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 77.7% | 77.4% | 68.2% | 1.14× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 71.1% | 73.5% | 76.2% | 0.96× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 67.6% | 67.4% | 57.8% | 1.17× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 63.9% | 62.7% | 70.4% | 0.89× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 59.9% | 58.2% | 50.2% | 1.16× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 56.1% | 58.2% | 63.9% | 0.91× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 51.9% | 52.6% | 42.9% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 52.1% | 52.6% | 60.7% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 48.1% | 47.4% | 57.1% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 47.9% | 47.4% | 39.3% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 43.9% | 41.8% | 36.1% | 1.16× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 40.1% | 41.8% | 49.8% | 0.84× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 36.1% | 37.3% | 29.6% | 1.26× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 32.4% | 32.6% | 42.2% | 0.77× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 28.9% | 26.5% | 23.8% | 1.11× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 22.3% | 22.6% | 31.8% | 0.71× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 19.6% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 1.07× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 12.0% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 0.60× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 1.26× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win H2 | 91.3% | 89.3% | 56.0% | 1.59× | 1.12 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to win H2 | 7.0% | 11.3% | 40.6% | 0.28× | 8.88 |
| H2 tied | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 82.5 | 88.4% | 85.2% | 87.4% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 58.5 | 87.2% | 85.2% | 79.6% | 1.07× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 79.2% | 75.8% | 80.1% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 77.0% | 75.8% | 68.3% | 1.11× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 70.0% | 72.2% | 73.0% | 0.99× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 67.1% | 66.4% | 58.8% | 1.13× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 63.0% | 61.6% | 67.1% | 0.92× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 59.8% | 57.3% | 52.1% | 1.10× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 55.6% | 57.3% | 61.1% | 0.94× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 57.8% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 42.2% | 1.13× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 44.4% | 42.7% | 38.9% | 1.10× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 40.2% | 42.7% | 47.9% | 0.89× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 37.0% | 38.4% | 32.9% | 1.17× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 32.9% | 33.6% | 41.2% | 0.82× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 30.0% | 27.8% | 27.0% | 1.03× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 23.0% | 24.2% | 31.7% | 0.76× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 20.8% | 24.2% | 19.9% | 1.22× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 58.5 | 12.8% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 0.73× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 11.6% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 1.17× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils leading at half time | 90.0% | 93.8% | 56.4% | 1.66× | 1.07 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd leading at half time | 8.1% | 6.7% | 39.9% | 0.17× | 14.94 |
| Level at half time | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils +3.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +4.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +5.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +6.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +7.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +8.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +9.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +10.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +12.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −1.5 | 98.4% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +1.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −2.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +2.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −3.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −4.5 | 96.7% | 97.4% | 52.2% | 1.87× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −5.5 | 96.0% | 97.4% | 49.7% | 1.96× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −6.5 | 95.1% | 97.4% | 47.6% | 2.05× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −7.5 | 94.1% | 91.1% | 44.8% | 2.04× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils −8.5 | 92.9% | 91.1% | 42.0% | 2.17× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils −9.5 | 91.5% | 91.1% | 39.3% | 2.32× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils −10.5 | 90.0% | 85.9% | 36.8% | 2.33× | 1.16 |
| Duke Blue Devils −12.5 | 86.3% | 85.9% | 32.1% | 2.67× | 1.16 |
| Duke Blue Devils −14.5 | 81.9% | 81.1% | 27.9% | 2.91× | 1.23 |
| Duke Blue Devils −16.5 | 76.7% | 76.5% | 24.3% | 3.15× | 1.31 |
| Duke Blue Devils −18.5 | 70.7% | 71.6% | 20.7% | 3.46× | 1.40 |
| Duke Blue Devils −20.5 | 64.1% | 61.9% | 18.0% | 3.44× | 1.62 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +20.5 | 35.9% | 38.1% | 82.0% | 0.46× | 2.63 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +18.5 | 29.3% | 28.4% | 79.3% | 0.36× | 3.53 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +16.5 | 23.3% | 23.5% | 75.7% | 0.31× | 4.25 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +14.5 | 18.1% | 18.9% | 72.1% | 0.26× | 5.29 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +12.5 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 67.9% | 0.21× | 7.09 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +10.5 | 10.0% | 14.1% | 63.2% | 0.22× | 7.09 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +9.5 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 60.7% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +7.5 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 55.2% | 0.16× | 11.25 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +8.5 | 7.1% | 8.9% | 58.0% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +6.5 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 52.4% | 0.05× | 38.72 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +1.5 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −1.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +2.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −2.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +3.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +4.5 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 47.8% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd +5.5 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 50.3% | 0.05× | 38.72 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −3.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −4.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −5.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −6.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −7.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −8.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −9.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −10.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −12.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.6% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.4% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.6% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.9% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.0% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.5% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT | 89.6% | 89.3% | 48.3% | 1.85× | 1.12 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.76 |
| Duke Blue Devils at HT / Marshall Thundering Herd at FT | 0.4% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.78 |
| Level at HT / Marshall Thundering Herd at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd at HT / Marshall Thundering Herd at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win | 98.8% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to win | 1.2% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.63 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd even | 50.4% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.2% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Duke Blue Devils odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd odd | 49.6% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.8% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.6% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.57 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q1 | 79.6% | 80.0% | 54.7% | 1.46× | 1.25 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to win Q1 | 16.3% | 15.6% | 40.4% | 0.39× | 6.42 |
| Q1 tied | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.97 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 40.5 | 89.3% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 24.5 | 87.6% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 78.7% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 75.9% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 69.1% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 65.6% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 57.9% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 54.0% | 52.7% | 46.0% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 51.9% | 52.7% | 59.1% | 0.89× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 48.1% | 47.3% | 40.9% | 1.16× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 46.0% | 47.3% | 54.0% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 42.1% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 34.4% | 32.4% | 43.1% | 0.75× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 30.9% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 24.1% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.71× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 21.3% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.26× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 12.4% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.24× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q2 | 78.9% | 80.8% | 52.9% | 1.53× | 1.24 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to win Q2 | 17.0% | 14.5% | 41.5% | 0.35× | 6.88 |
| Q2 tied | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.90 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 90.2% | 90.8% | 90.8% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 86.6% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 80.1% | 83.0% | 82.3% | 1.01× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 74.3% | 72.0% | 66.7% | 1.08× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 70.8% | 72.0% | 74.6% | 0.96× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 63.7% | 60.7% | 55.8% | 1.09× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 59.8% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 53.9% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 52.0% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 48.0% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 46.1% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 40.2% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 36.3% | 39.3% | 44.2% | 0.89× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 29.2% | 28.0% | 25.4% | 1.10× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 25.7% | 28.0% | 33.3% | 0.84× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 19.9% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 0.96× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 1.01× | 10.83 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q3 | 81.1% | 85.5% | 53.3% | 1.60× | 1.17 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to win Q3 | 15.1% | 14.9% | 41.8% | 0.36× | 6.69 |
| Q3 tied | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.46 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 43.5 | 89.1% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 27.5 | 86.5% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 78.8% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 74.6% | 71.8% | 66.8% | 1.07× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 69.4% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 64.4% | 62.0% | 56.1% | 1.10× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 58.6% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 53.0% | 52.3% | 45.4% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 52.8% | 52.3% | 59.7% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 47.0% | 47.7% | 54.6% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 41.4% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 35.6% | 38.0% | 43.9% | 0.87× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 30.6% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 25.4% | 28.2% | 33.2% | 0.85× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 21.2% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q4 | 80.7% | 74.6% | 52.8% | 1.41× | 1.34 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to win Q4 | 15.6% | 22.5% | 41.5% | 0.54× | 4.45 |
| Q4 tied | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.30 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 43.5 | 87.6% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 27.5 | 85.3% | 85.6% | 78.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 77.2% | 76.9% | 80.6% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 73.7% | 71.5% | 66.3% | 1.08× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 68.1% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 64.0% | 61.4% | 55.4% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 57.7% | 58.4% | 64.3% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 53.2% | 52.5% | 45.6% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 52.3% | 52.5% | 59.4% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 47.7% | 47.5% | 40.6% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 46.8% | 47.5% | 54.4% | 0.87× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 42.3% | 41.6% | 35.7% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 36.0% | 38.6% | 44.6% | 0.87× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 31.9% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 26.3% | 28.5% | 33.7% | 0.84× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 22.8% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 1.19× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 14.7% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 0.68× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 65.5 | 89.1% | 83.9% | 59.8% | 1.40× | 1.19 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 89.5 | 86.1% | 83.9% | 93.9% | 0.89× | 1.19 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 45.5 | 86.7% | 83.9% | 91.3% | 0.92× | 1.19 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 69.5 | 85.0% | 83.9% | 42.6% | 1.97× | 1.19 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 62.5 | 81.7% | 80.7% | 51.0% | 1.58× | 1.24 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 86.5 | 77.8% | 75.1% | 91.2% | 0.82× | 1.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 72.5 | 76.4% | 75.1% | 34.3% | 2.19× | 1.33 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 48.5 | 76.1% | 75.1% | 86.7% | 0.87× | 1.33 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 60.5 | 75.2% | 75.1% | 44.4% | 1.69× | 1.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 84.5 | 71.0% | 70.7% | 88.9% | 0.80× | 1.41 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 74.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 29.3% | 2.27× | 1.51 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 50.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 83.1% | 0.80× | 1.51 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 58.5 | 67.7% | 66.4% | 37.9% | 1.75× | 1.51 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 82.5 | 63.4% | 61.2% | 86.2% | 0.71× | 1.63 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 76.5 | 61.5% | 61.2% | 24.6% | 2.49× | 1.63 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 52.5 | 59.0% | 57.1% | 78.5% | 0.73× | 1.75 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 56.5 | 59.2% | 57.1% | 32.0% | 1.79× | 1.75 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 80.5 | 55.2% | 57.1% | 82.9% | 0.69× | 1.75 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 55.5 | 54.8% | 52.3% | 29.2% | 1.79× | 1.91 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 78.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 20.6% | 2.53× | 1.91 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 79.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 81.3% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 54.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 26.5% | 1.97× | 1.91 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 54.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 73.5% | 0.65× | 2.09 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 78.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 79.4% | 0.60× | 2.09 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 79.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 18.7% | 2.55× | 2.09 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 55.5 | 45.2% | 47.7% | 70.8% | 0.67× | 2.09 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 80.5 | 44.8% | 42.9% | 17.1% | 2.51× | 2.33 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 52.5 | 41.0% | 42.9% | 21.5% | 1.99× | 2.33 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 56.5 | 40.8% | 42.9% | 68.0% | 0.63× | 2.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 76.5 | 38.5% | 38.8% | 75.4% | 0.51× | 2.58 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 82.5 | 36.6% | 38.8% | 13.8% | 2.82× | 2.58 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 50.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 16.9% | 1.99× | 2.98 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 58.5 | 32.3% | 33.6% | 62.1% | 0.54× | 2.98 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 74.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 70.7% | 0.48× | 2.98 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 84.5 | 29.0% | 29.3% | 11.1% | 2.64× | 3.42 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 60.5 | 24.8% | 24.9% | 55.6% | 0.45× | 4.02 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 72.5 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 65.7% | 0.38× | 4.02 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 48.5 | 23.9% | 24.9% | 13.3% | 1.87× | 4.02 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 86.5 | 22.2% | 24.9% | 8.8% | 2.83× | 4.02 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 62.5 | 18.3% | 19.3% | 49.0% | 0.39× | 5.18 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 69.5 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 57.4% | 0.28× | 6.21 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 89.5 | 13.9% | 16.1% | 6.1% | 2.62× | 6.21 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd under 45.5 | 13.3% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 1.86× | 6.21 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd over 65.5 | 10.9% | 16.1% | 40.2% | 0.40× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 114.5 points | 92.4% | 88.8% | 80.4% | 1.10× | 1.13 |
| Under 154.5 points | 92.1% | 88.8% | 89.8% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Under 149.5 points | 85.9% | 85.0% | 84.9% | 1.00× | 1.18 |
| Over 119.5 points | 85.2% | 85.0% | 71.6% | 1.19× | 1.18 |
| Under 144.5 points | 76.9% | 75.6% | 78.1% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| Over 124.5 points | 74.8% | 70.8% | 61.5% | 1.15× | 1.41 |
| Under 141.5 points | 70.3% | 70.8% | 73.4% | 0.96× | 1.41 |
| Over 127.5 points | 67.4% | 65.9% | 55.1% | 1.20× | 1.52 |
| Under 139.5 points | 65.3% | 65.9% | 69.9% | 0.94× | 1.52 |
| Over 129.5 points | 62.0% | 61.5% | 50.5% | 1.22× | 1.63 |
| Under 137.5 points | 60.1% | 61.5% | 66.2% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Over 131.5 points | 56.5% | 56.5% | 46.1% | 1.23× | 1.77 |
| Under 135.5 points | 54.7% | 52.3% | 62.4% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Under 134.5 points | 51.9% | 52.3% | 60.2% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Over 133.5 points | 50.9% | 52.3% | 42.0% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| Under 133.5 points | 49.1% | 47.7% | 58.0% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| Over 134.5 points | 48.1% | 47.7% | 39.8% | 1.20× | 2.10 |
| Over 135.5 points | 45.3% | 47.7% | 37.6% | 1.27× | 2.10 |
| Under 131.5 points | 43.5% | 43.5% | 53.9% | 0.81× | 2.30 |
| Over 137.5 points | 39.9% | 38.5% | 33.8% | 1.14× | 2.60 |
| Under 129.5 points | 38.0% | 38.5% | 49.5% | 0.78× | 2.60 |
| Over 139.5 points | 34.7% | 34.1% | 30.1% | 1.13× | 2.93 |
| Under 127.5 points | 32.7% | 34.1% | 44.9% | 0.76× | 2.93 |
| Over 141.5 points | 29.7% | 29.2% | 26.6% | 1.10× | 3.43 |
| Under 124.5 points | 25.2% | 29.2% | 38.5% | 0.76× | 3.43 |
| Over 144.5 points | 23.1% | 24.4% | 21.9% | 1.11× | 4.10 |
| Under 119.5 points | 14.8% | 15.0% | 28.4% | 0.53× | 6.68 |
| Over 149.5 points | 14.1% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 0.99× | 6.68 |
| Under 114.5 points | 7.6% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 0.57× | 8.97 |
| Over 154.5 points | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 1.10× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win both halves | 81.7% | 82.2% | 36.0% | 2.28× | 1.22 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd to win both halves | 0.2% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.84 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils by 26+ | 46.0% | 47.2% | 12.6% | 3.74× | 2.12 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 21-25 | 18.1% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 16-20 | 15.3% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 11-15 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 6-10 | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 1-5 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.30 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd by 1-5 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd by 6-10 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd by 11-15 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |