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Georgetown Hoyas v UMass Lowell River Hawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Georgetown Hoyas win
95.4%
Draw
0.0%
UMass Lowell River Hawks win
4.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 83.53–65.88 84-66 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to score 100+ 5.1% 8.8% 3.4% 2.55× 11.40
Georgetown Hoyas to score 110+ 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.28
Georgetown Hoyas to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.35
Georgetown Hoyas to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.35
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.35
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win H1 82.0% 83.6% 57.9% 1.44× 1.20
Georgetown Hoyas to win H1 81.9% 83.6% 57.9% 1.44× 1.20
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H1 15.2% 16.9% 38.2% 0.44× 5.93
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H1 15.1% 16.9% 38.2% 0.44× 5.93
H1 tied 2.9% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.87
H1 tied 2.9% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.87
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 58.5 87.5% 87.7% 83.3% 1.05× 1.14
H1 under 82.5 86.7% 87.7% 88.9% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 62.5 78.8% 77.4% 72.0% 1.08× 1.29
H1 over 62.5 78.0% 77.4% 72.0% 1.08× 1.29
H1 under 78.5 77.6% 77.4% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
H1 under 78.5 76.9% 77.4% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
H1 over 65.5 69.3% 67.4% 61.9% 1.09× 1.48
H1 over 65.5 68.8% 67.4% 61.9% 1.09× 1.48
H1 under 75.5 68.0% 67.4% 72.8% 0.93× 1.48
H1 under 75.5 67.4% 67.4% 72.8% 0.93× 1.48
H1 over 67.5 62.2% 62.7% 54.4% 1.15× 1.59
H1 over 67.5 61.8% 62.7% 54.4% 1.15× 1.59
H1 under 73.5 60.7% 62.7% 66.6% 0.94× 1.59
H1 under 73.5 60.4% 62.7% 66.6% 0.94× 1.59
H1 over 69.5 54.6% 52.6% 46.9% 1.12× 1.90
H1 over 69.5 54.5% 52.6% 46.9% 1.12× 1.90
H1 under 71.5 53.1% 52.6% 60.0% 0.88× 1.90
H1 under 71.5 53.0% 52.6% 60.0% 0.88× 1.90
H1 over 70.5 50.8% 52.6% 43.5% 1.21× 1.90
H1 over 70.5 50.7% 52.6% 43.5% 1.21× 1.90
H1 under 70.5 49.2% 47.4% 56.5% 0.84× 2.11
H1 under 70.5 49.3% 47.4% 56.5% 0.84× 2.11
H1 over 71.5 46.9% 47.4% 40.0% 1.19× 2.11
H1 over 71.5 47.0% 47.4% 40.0% 1.19× 2.11
H1 under 69.5 45.4% 47.4% 53.1% 0.89× 2.11
H1 under 69.5 45.5% 47.4% 53.1% 0.89× 2.11
H1 over 73.5 39.3% 37.3% 33.4% 1.12× 2.68
H1 over 73.5 39.6% 37.3% 33.4% 1.12× 2.68
H1 under 67.5 38.2% 37.3% 45.6% 0.82× 2.68
H1 under 67.5 37.8% 37.3% 45.6% 0.82× 2.68
H1 over 75.5 32.0% 32.6% 27.2% 1.20× 3.07
H1 over 75.5 32.6% 32.6% 27.2% 1.20× 3.07
H1 under 65.5 31.2% 32.6% 38.1% 0.86× 3.07
H1 under 65.5 30.7% 32.6% 38.1% 0.86× 3.07
H1 over 78.5 22.4% 22.6% 19.3% 1.17× 4.43
H1 over 78.5 23.1% 22.6% 19.3% 1.17× 4.43
H1 under 62.5 21.2% 22.6% 28.0% 0.80× 4.43
H1 under 62.5 22.0% 22.6% 28.0% 0.80× 4.43
H1 over 82.5 13.3% 12.3% 11.1% 1.10× 8.14
H1 under 58.5 12.5% 12.3% 16.7% 0.74× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win H2 83.8% 79.6% 56.9% 1.40× 1.26
Georgetown Hoyas to win H2 83.8% 79.6% 57.5% 1.38× 1.26
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H2 13.6% 14.8% 38.5% 0.38× 6.76
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H2 13.6% 14.8% 38.9% 0.38× 6.76
H2 tied 2.6% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.37
H2 tied 2.6% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.37
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 91.5 87.0% 85.2% 85.5% 1.00× 1.17
H2 over 67.5 84.3% 81.8% 80.0% 1.02× 1.22
H2 under 87.5 78.7% 75.8% 81.2% 0.93× 1.32
H2 under 87.5 78.0% 75.8% 77.7% 0.98× 1.32
H2 over 71.5 74.8% 72.2% 66.4% 1.09× 1.39
H2 over 71.5 74.2% 72.2% 68.8% 1.05× 1.39
H2 under 84.5 69.9% 66.4% 74.1% 0.90× 1.51
H2 under 84.5 69.4% 66.4% 70.5% 0.94× 1.51
H2 over 74.5 65.3% 66.4% 57.0% 1.16× 1.51
H2 over 74.5 64.9% 61.6% 60.0% 1.03× 1.62
H2 under 82.5 63.3% 61.6% 68.9% 0.89× 1.62
H2 under 82.5 62.9% 61.6% 65.3% 0.94× 1.62
H2 over 76.5 58.3% 57.3% 50.3% 1.14× 1.74
H2 over 76.5 58.1% 57.3% 53.4% 1.07× 1.74
H2 under 80.5 56.2% 57.3% 62.9% 0.91× 1.74
H2 under 80.5 56.0% 57.3% 59.2% 0.97× 1.74
H2 under 79.5 52.6% 52.4% 59.8% 0.88× 1.91
H2 under 79.5 52.5% 52.4% 56.2% 0.93× 1.91
H2 over 78.5 51.1% 52.4% 43.6% 1.20× 1.91
H2 over 78.5 51.1% 52.4% 47.0% 1.11× 1.91
H2 under 78.5 48.9% 47.6% 56.4% 0.84× 2.10
H2 under 78.5 48.9% 47.6% 53.0% 0.90× 2.10
H2 over 79.5 47.4% 47.6% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
H2 over 79.5 47.5% 47.6% 43.8% 1.09× 2.10
H2 over 80.5 44.0% 42.7% 40.8% 1.05× 2.34
H2 over 80.5 43.8% 42.7% 37.1% 1.15× 2.34
H2 under 76.5 41.7% 42.7% 49.7% 0.86× 2.34
H2 under 76.5 41.9% 42.7% 46.6% 0.92× 2.34
H2 over 82.5 36.7% 38.4% 31.1% 1.23× 2.61
H2 over 82.5 37.1% 38.4% 34.7% 1.11× 2.61
H2 under 74.5 35.1% 38.4% 40.0% 0.96× 2.61
H2 under 74.5 34.7% 33.6% 43.0% 0.78× 2.97
H2 over 84.5 30.6% 33.6% 29.5% 1.14× 2.97
H2 over 84.5 30.1% 33.6% 25.9% 1.30× 2.97
H2 under 71.5 25.8% 27.8% 31.2% 0.89× 3.59
H2 under 71.5 25.2% 27.8% 33.6% 0.83× 3.59
H2 over 87.5 21.3% 24.2% 18.8% 1.29× 4.13
H2 over 87.5 22.0% 24.2% 22.3% 1.08× 4.13
H2 under 67.5 15.7% 18.2% 20.0% 0.91× 5.50
H2 over 91.5 13.0% 14.8% 14.5% 1.02× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas leading at half time 81.9% 83.3% 57.9% 1.44× 1.20
UMass Lowell River Hawks leading at half time 15.2% 17.0% 38.2% 0.44× 5.90
Level at half time 2.9% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas +9.5 99.4% 97.4% 85.3% 1.14× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +10.5 99.6% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +12.5 99.7% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +14.5 99.9% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +1.5 96.2% 97.4% 65.4% 1.49× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +2.5 96.9% 97.4% 68.0% 1.43× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +3.5 97.5% 97.4% 70.8% 1.38× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +4.5 98.0% 97.4% 73.7% 1.32× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +5.5 98.4% 97.4% 76.4% 1.28× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +6.5 98.8% 97.4% 78.8% 1.24× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +7.5 99.0% 97.4% 81.0% 1.20× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +8.5 99.3% 97.4% 83.3% 1.17× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas −1.5 94.3% 91.1% 60.8% 1.50× 1.10
Georgetown Hoyas −2.5 93.0% 91.1% 57.7% 1.58× 1.10
Georgetown Hoyas −3.5 91.5% 91.1% 54.1% 1.68× 1.10
Georgetown Hoyas −4.5 89.8% 85.9% 50.7% 1.70× 1.16
Georgetown Hoyas −5.5 87.9% 85.9% 47.0% 1.83× 1.16
Georgetown Hoyas −6.5 85.9% 85.9% 44.3% 1.94× 1.16
Georgetown Hoyas −7.5 83.6% 81.1% 41.3% 1.96× 1.23
Georgetown Hoyas −8.5 81.0% 81.1% 38.5% 2.11× 1.23
Georgetown Hoyas −9.5 78.3% 76.5% 35.5% 2.16× 1.31
Georgetown Hoyas −10.5 75.4% 76.5% 32.6% 2.34× 1.31
Georgetown Hoyas −12.5 69.0% 66.7% 27.6% 2.42× 1.50
Georgetown Hoyas −14.5 62.0% 61.9% 22.8% 2.71× 1.62
UMass Lowell River Hawks +20.5 60.2% 61.9% 86.5% 0.72× 1.62
Georgetown Hoyas −16.5 54.7% 52.4% 19.3% 2.72× 1.91
UMass Lowell River Hawks +18.5 52.8% 52.4% 83.9% 0.62× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas −18.5 47.2% 47.6% 16.1% 2.95× 2.10
UMass Lowell River Hawks +16.5 45.3% 47.6% 80.7% 0.59× 2.10
Georgetown Hoyas −20.5 39.8% 38.1% 13.5% 2.83× 2.63
UMass Lowell River Hawks +14.5 38.0% 38.1% 77.2% 0.49× 2.63
UMass Lowell River Hawks +12.5 31.0% 33.3% 72.4% 0.46× 3.01
UMass Lowell River Hawks +10.5 24.6% 23.5% 67.4% 0.35× 4.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks +9.5 21.7% 23.5% 64.5% 0.36× 4.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks +8.5 19.0% 18.9% 61.5% 0.31× 5.29
UMass Lowell River Hawks +7.5 16.4% 18.9% 58.7% 0.32× 5.30
UMass Lowell River Hawks +6.5 14.1% 14.1% 55.7% 0.25× 7.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks +5.5 12.1% 14.1% 53.0% 0.27× 7.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks +4.5 10.2% 14.1% 49.3% 0.29× 7.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks +3.5 8.5% 8.9% 45.9% 0.19× 11.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks +2.5 7.0% 8.9% 42.3% 0.21× 11.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks +1.5 5.7% 8.9% 39.2% 0.23× 11.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks −1.5 3.8% 2.6% 34.6% 0.07× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −2.5 3.1% 2.6% 32.0% 0.08× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −3.5 2.5% 2.6% 29.3% 0.09× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −4.5 2.0% 2.6% 26.3% 0.10× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −5.5 1.6% 2.6% 23.6% 0.11× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −6.5 1.2% 2.6% 21.2% 0.12× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −7.5 1.0% 2.6% 19.0% 0.14× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −8.5 0.7% 2.6% 16.7% 0.16× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −9.5 0.6% 2.6% 14.7% 0.18× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −10.5 0.4% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −12.5 0.3% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −14.5 0.1% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −16.5 0.1% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 79.6% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 78.1% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 21.9% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 20.4% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 80.3% 84.4% 48.6% 1.74× 1.18
UMass Lowell River Hawks at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 12.4% 12.2% 12.4% 0.99× 8.17
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT 1.6% 2.1% 9.3% 0.22× 47.76
Level at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 2.6% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT 2.7% 2.1% 25.8% 0.08× 47.75
Level at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT 0.2% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win 95.4% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win 4.6% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.67
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
UMass Lowell River Hawks even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 50.5% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Georgetown Hoyas odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
UMass Lowell River Hawks odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.5% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.4% 97.0% 94.2% 1.03× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.6% 3.0% 5.8% 0.52× 33.42
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 76.5 86.9% 83.9% 67.9% 1.24× 1.19
Georgetown Hoyas over 73.5 85.3% 83.9% 57.4% 1.46× 1.19
Georgetown Hoyas under 93.5 84.5% 80.7% 92.1% 0.88× 1.24
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 56.5 83.8% 80.7% 89.8% 0.90× 1.24
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 73.5 79.0% 75.1% 58.3% 1.29× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas over 76.5 77.0% 75.1% 47.7% 1.57× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas under 90.5 76.0% 75.1% 88.1% 0.85× 1.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 59.5 74.8% 70.7% 84.5% 0.84× 1.41
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 71.5 72.5% 70.7% 51.8% 1.36× 1.41
Georgetown Hoyas over 78.5 70.2% 70.7% 41.6% 1.70× 1.41
Georgetown Hoyas under 88.5 69.2% 66.4% 84.8% 0.78× 1.51
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 61.5 67.6% 66.4% 79.3% 0.84× 1.51
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 69.5 65.1% 66.4% 45.2% 1.47× 1.51
Georgetown Hoyas over 80.5 62.7% 61.2% 35.1% 1.74× 1.63
Georgetown Hoyas under 86.5 61.6% 61.2% 80.8% 0.76× 1.63
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 63.5 59.7% 57.1% 73.9% 0.77× 1.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 67.5 57.0% 57.1% 38.4% 1.49× 1.75
Georgetown Hoyas over 82.5 54.7% 52.3% 29.2% 1.79× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas under 84.5 53.5% 52.3% 76.1% 0.69× 1.91
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 65.5 51.4% 52.3% 67.8% 0.77× 1.91
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 66.5 52.8% 52.3% 35.3% 1.48× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas over 83.5 50.6% 52.3% 26.5% 1.97× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas under 83.5 49.4% 47.7% 73.5% 0.65× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas over 84.5 46.5% 47.7% 23.9% 2.00× 2.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 65.5 48.6% 47.7% 32.2% 1.48× 2.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 66.5 47.2% 47.7% 64.7% 0.74× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas under 82.5 45.3% 47.7% 70.8% 0.67× 2.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 67.5 43.0% 42.9% 61.6% 0.70× 2.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 63.5 40.3% 42.9% 26.1% 1.64× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas over 86.5 38.4% 38.8% 19.2% 2.02× 2.58
Georgetown Hoyas under 80.5 37.3% 38.8% 64.9% 0.60× 2.58
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 69.5 34.9% 33.6% 54.8% 0.61× 2.98
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 61.5 32.4% 33.6% 20.7% 1.62× 2.98
Georgetown Hoyas over 88.5 30.8% 33.6% 15.2% 2.21× 2.98
Georgetown Hoyas under 78.5 29.8% 29.3% 58.4% 0.50× 3.42
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 71.5 27.5% 29.3% 48.2% 0.61× 3.42
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 59.5 25.2% 29.3% 15.5% 1.89× 3.42
Georgetown Hoyas under 76.5 23.0% 24.9% 52.3% 0.48× 4.02
Georgetown Hoyas over 90.5 24.0% 24.9% 11.9% 2.09× 4.02
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 73.5 21.0% 24.9% 41.7% 0.60× 4.02
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 56.5 16.2% 19.3% 10.2% 1.90× 5.18
Georgetown Hoyas over 93.5 15.5% 19.3% 7.9% 2.43× 5.18
Georgetown Hoyas under 73.5 14.7% 16.1% 42.6% 0.38× 6.21
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 76.5 13.1% 16.1% 32.1% 0.50× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 129.5 points 89.6% 85.0% 83.3% 1.02× 1.18
Under 169.5 points 89.5% 85.0% 87.7% 0.97× 1.18
Over 134.5 points 82.6% 80.6% 74.7% 1.08× 1.24
Under 164.5 points 82.6% 80.6% 82.3% 0.98× 1.24
Over 139.5 points 73.4% 70.8% 64.6% 1.10× 1.41
Under 159.5 points 73.5% 70.8% 75.0% 0.94× 1.41
Over 142.5 points 66.9% 65.9% 58.3% 1.13× 1.52
Under 156.5 points 67.0% 65.9% 69.8% 0.94× 1.52
Over 144.5 points 62.2% 61.5% 54.1% 1.14× 1.63
Under 154.5 points 62.3% 61.5% 66.4% 0.93× 1.63
Over 146.5 points 57.4% 56.5% 49.8% 1.13× 1.77
Under 152.5 points 57.5% 56.5% 62.7% 0.90× 1.77
Over 148.5 points 52.4% 52.3% 45.7% 1.14× 1.91
Under 150.5 points 52.5% 52.3% 58.4% 0.90× 1.91
Under 149.5 points 50.1% 52.3% 56.3% 0.93× 1.91
Over 149.5 points 49.9% 47.7% 43.7% 1.09× 2.10
Under 148.5 points 47.6% 47.7% 54.3% 0.88× 2.10
Over 150.5 points 47.5% 47.7% 41.6% 1.15× 2.10
Under 146.5 points 42.6% 43.5% 50.2% 0.87× 2.30
Over 152.5 points 42.5% 43.5% 37.4% 1.16× 2.30
Under 144.5 points 37.8% 38.5% 45.9% 0.84× 2.60
Over 154.5 points 37.7% 38.5% 33.6% 1.15× 2.60
Under 142.5 points 33.1% 34.1% 41.7% 0.82× 2.93
Over 156.5 points 33.0% 34.1% 30.2% 1.13× 2.93
Under 139.5 points 26.6% 29.2% 35.4% 0.82× 3.43
Over 159.5 points 26.5% 29.2% 25.0% 1.17× 3.43
Under 134.5 points 17.4% 19.4% 25.3% 0.77× 5.15
Over 164.5 points 17.4% 19.4% 17.7% 1.10× 5.15
Under 129.5 points 10.4% 15.0% 16.7% 0.89× 6.69
Over 169.5 points 10.5% 15.0% 12.3% 1.22× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win both halves 67.2% 66.8% 33.2% 2.01× 1.50
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win both halves 1.0% 3.0% 14.5% 0.20× 33.79
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas by 26+ 23.3% 24.0% 7.9% 3.04× 4.16
Georgetown Hoyas by 16-20 18.6% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Georgetown Hoyas by 21-25 16.5% 16.8% 5.6% 3.01× 5.97
Georgetown Hoyas by 11-15 17.0% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
Georgetown Hoyas by 6-10 12.5% 12.3% 14.4% 0.86× 8.11
Georgetown Hoyas by 1-5 7.5% 7.5% 16.2% 0.46× 13.40
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 1-5 3.0% 2.0% 13.2% 0.15× 49.30
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 6-10 1.1% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.32
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 16-20 0.1% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 11-15 0.3% 2.0% 6.1% 0.33× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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