Golden State Valkyries v Seattle Storm — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · WNBA · 2026

WNBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Golden State Valkyries

21:00

Seattle Storm

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Golden State Valkyries win

88.1%

Draw

0.0%

Seattle Storm win

11.9%

88012

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	88012	83.44–69.70	84-70 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries to score 100+	6.5%	8.8%	12.5%	0.70×	11.38
Golden State Valkyries to score 110+	0.7%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	283.22
Golden State Valkyries to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.8%	0.43×	283.35
Golden State Valkyries to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.36
Seattle Storm to score 100+	0.3%	0.4%	9.8%	0.04×	283.30
Seattle Storm to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	283.35
Seattle Storm to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.36
Seattle Storm to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.1%	0.4%	3.7%	0.09×	283.34

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries to win H1	75.3%	79.2%	54.2%	1.46×	1.26
Seattle Storm to win H1	21.5%	21.4%	42.2%	0.51×	4.68
H1 tied	3.2%	3.9%	3.7%	1.03×	25.87

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 64.5	84.5%	82.5%	94.8%	0.87×	1.21
H1 under 88.5	83.8%	82.5%	66.5%	1.24×	1.21
H1 over 68.5	75.2%	77.4%	90.9%	0.85×	1.29
H1 under 84.5	74.3%	73.5%	52.1%	1.41×	1.36
H1 over 71.5	66.7%	67.4%	85.5%	0.79×	1.48
H1 under 81.5	65.6%	67.4%	41.9%	1.61×	1.48
H1 over 73.5	60.4%	62.7%	80.3%	0.78×	1.59
H1 under 79.5	59.3%	58.2%	35.2%	1.65×	1.72
H1 over 75.5	53.9%	52.6%	75.9%	0.69×	1.90
H1 under 77.5	52.8%	52.6%	30.5%	1.73×	1.90
H1 over 76.5	50.6%	52.6%	73.0%	0.72×	1.90
H1 under 76.5	49.4%	47.4%	27.0%	1.75×	2.11
H1 over 77.5	47.2%	47.4%	69.5%	0.68×	2.11
H1 under 75.5	46.1%	47.4%	24.1%	1.96×	2.11
H1 over 79.5	40.7%	41.8%	64.8%	0.64×	2.39
H1 under 73.5	39.6%	37.3%	19.7%	1.89×	2.68
H1 over 81.5	34.4%	32.6%	58.1%	0.56×	3.07
H1 under 71.5	33.3%	32.6%	14.5%	2.25×	3.07
H1 over 84.5	25.7%	26.5%	47.9%	0.55×	3.77
H1 under 68.5	24.8%	22.6%	9.1%	2.47×	4.43
H1 over 88.5	16.2%	17.5%	33.6%	0.52×	5.73
H1 under 64.5	15.5%	17.5%	5.2%	3.35×	5.73

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries to win H2	75.3%	73.9%	51.1%	1.44×	1.35
Seattle Storm to win H2	21.5%	26.8%	45.3%	0.59×	3.73
H2 tied	3.2%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 64.5	84.3%	81.8%	94.5%	0.87×	1.22
H2 under 88.5	84.1%	81.8%	64.0%	1.28×	1.22
H2 over 68.5	74.9%	72.2%	89.3%	0.81×	1.39
H2 under 84.5	74.7%	72.2%	49.7%	1.45×	1.39
H2 over 71.5	66.3%	66.4%	83.9%	0.79×	1.51
H2 under 81.5	66.0%	66.4%	41.9%	1.59×	1.51
H2 over 73.5	60.0%	61.6%	80.5%	0.77×	1.62
H2 under 79.5	59.7%	57.3%	34.4%	1.67×	1.74
H2 over 75.5	53.5%	52.4%	74.9%	0.70×	1.91
H2 under 77.5	53.2%	52.4%	30.6%	1.71×	1.91
H2 over 76.5	50.1%	52.4%	72.2%	0.73×	1.91
H2 under 76.5	49.9%	47.6%	27.9%	1.71×	2.10
H2 over 77.5	46.8%	47.6%	69.4%	0.69×	2.10
H2 under 75.5	46.5%	47.6%	25.1%	1.90×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	40.3%	42.7%	65.6%	0.65×	2.35
H2 under 73.5	40.0%	38.4%	19.5%	1.96×	2.61
H2 under 71.5	33.7%	33.6%	16.1%	2.09×	2.97
H2 over 81.5	34.0%	33.6%	58.1%	0.58×	2.97
H2 over 84.5	25.3%	27.8%	50.3%	0.55×	3.59
H2 under 68.5	25.1%	27.8%	10.7%	2.59×	3.59
H2 over 88.5	15.9%	18.2%	36.0%	0.50×	5.50
H2 under 64.5	15.7%	18.2%	5.5%	3.28×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries leading at half time	75.3%	79.6%	54.2%	1.47×	1.26
Seattle Storm leading at half time	21.5%	20.9%	42.2%	0.50×	4.78
Level at half time	3.2%	3.8%	3.7%	1.01×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries +16.5	99.4%	97.4%	91.7%	1.06×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +18.5	99.6%	97.4%	93.3%	1.04×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +20.5	99.8%	97.4%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +7.5	96.1%	97.4%	75.6%	1.29×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +8.5	96.8%	97.4%	78.8%	1.24×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +9.5	97.3%	97.4%	80.5%	1.21×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +10.5	97.8%	97.4%	83.6%	1.17×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +12.5	98.6%	97.4%	86.2%	1.13×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +14.5	99.1%	97.4%	88.4%	1.10×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +6.5	95.4%	97.4%	72.2%	1.35×	1.03
Golden State Valkyries +5.5	94.5%	91.1%	69.1%	1.32×	1.10
Golden State Valkyries +3.5	92.4%	91.1%	62.9%	1.45×	1.10
Golden State Valkyries +4.5	93.5%	91.1%	65.6%	1.39×	1.10
Golden State Valkyries +2.5	91.1%	91.1%	60.6%	1.50×	1.10
Golden State Valkyries +1.5	89.7%	85.9%	57.3%	1.50×	1.16
Golden State Valkyries −1.5	86.1%	85.9%	52.9%	1.62×	1.16
Golden State Valkyries −2.5	84.0%	81.1%	50.8%	1.60×	1.23
Golden State Valkyries −3.5	81.8%	81.1%	48.0%	1.69×	1.23
Golden State Valkyries −4.5	79.3%	76.5%	45.8%	1.67×	1.31
Golden State Valkyries −5.5	76.7%	76.5%	42.7%	1.79×	1.31
Golden State Valkyries −6.5	74.0%	71.6%	39.6%	1.81×	1.40
Golden State Valkyries −7.5	71.1%	71.6%	37.6%	1.90×	1.40
Seattle Storm +20.5	71.1%	71.6%	90.1%	0.80×	1.40
Golden State Valkyries −8.5	68.0%	66.7%	34.0%	1.96×	1.50
Seattle Storm +18.5	65.0%	66.7%	86.6%	0.77×	1.50
Golden State Valkyries −9.5	64.9%	61.9%	30.3%	2.04×	1.62
Golden State Valkyries −10.5	61.6%	61.9%	27.9%	2.22×	1.62
Seattle Storm +16.5	58.6%	57.1%	83.7%	0.68×	1.75
Golden State Valkyries −12.5	55.0%	52.4%	23.6%	2.22×	1.91
Seattle Storm +14.5	51.8%	52.4%	80.6%	0.65×	1.91
Golden State Valkyries −14.5	48.2%	47.6%	19.4%	2.46×	2.10
Seattle Storm +12.5	45.0%	47.6%	76.4%	0.62×	2.10
Golden State Valkyries −16.5	41.4%	42.9%	16.3%	2.64×	2.33
Seattle Storm +10.5	38.4%	38.1%	72.2%	0.53×	2.63
Seattle Storm +9.5	35.1%	38.1%	69.7%	0.55×	2.63
Golden State Valkyries −18.5	35.0%	33.3%	13.4%	2.49×	3.01
Seattle Storm +8.5	32.0%	33.3%	66.0%	0.50×	3.01
Seattle Storm +7.5	29.0%	28.4%	62.4%	0.45×	3.53
Golden State Valkyries −20.5	28.9%	28.4%	9.9%	2.85×	3.53
Seattle Storm +6.5	26.0%	28.4%	60.4%	0.47×	3.53
Seattle Storm +5.5	23.3%	23.5%	57.3%	0.41×	4.25
Seattle Storm +4.5	20.7%	23.5%	54.2%	0.43×	4.25
Seattle Storm +3.5	18.2%	18.9%	52.0%	0.36×	5.29
Seattle Storm +2.5	16.0%	18.9%	49.2%	0.38×	5.30
Seattle Storm +1.5	13.9%	14.1%	47.1%	0.30×	7.09
Seattle Storm −1.5	10.3%	14.1%	42.7%	0.33×	7.09
Seattle Storm −2.5	8.9%	8.9%	39.4%	0.23×	11.25
Seattle Storm −3.5	7.6%	8.9%	37.1%	0.24×	11.25
Seattle Storm −4.5	6.5%	8.9%	34.4%	0.26×	11.25
Seattle Storm −5.5	5.5%	8.9%	30.9%	0.29×	11.25
Seattle Storm −6.5	4.6%	2.6%	27.9%	0.09×	38.72
Seattle Storm −7.5	3.9%	2.6%	24.4%	0.11×	38.73
Seattle Storm −8.5	3.2%	2.6%	21.2%	0.12×	38.73
Seattle Storm −9.5	2.7%	2.6%	19.5%	0.13×	38.73
Seattle Storm −10.5	2.2%	2.6%	16.5%	0.16×	38.73
Seattle Storm −12.5	1.4%	2.6%	13.8%	0.19×	38.73
Seattle Storm −14.5	0.9%	2.6%	11.6%	0.22×	38.74
Seattle Storm −16.5	0.6%	2.6%	8.3%	0.31×	38.74
Seattle Storm −18.5	0.4%	2.6%	6.7%	0.39×	38.74
Seattle Storm −20.5	0.2%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.6%	52.4%	50.7%	1.03×	1.91
1st half highest scoring	50.4%	47.6%	49.3%	0.96×	2.10

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	27.9%	27.4%	27.5%	0.99×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.2%	27.4%	27.0%	1.01×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	22.8%	22.5%	23.8%	0.94×	4.45
Q2 highest scoring	22.1%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries at HT / Golden State Valkyries at FT	71.5%	73.1%	41.9%	1.75×	1.37
Seattle Storm at HT / Golden State Valkyries at FT	14.0%	12.2%	11.4%	1.07×	8.17
Seattle Storm at HT / Seattle Storm at FT	7.5%	8.3%	30.9%	0.27×	12.09
Golden State Valkyries at HT / Seattle Storm at FT	3.8%	2.1%	12.5%	0.17×	47.73
Level at HT / Golden State Valkyries at FT	2.6%	2.1%	2.1%	0.99×	47.75
Level at HT / Seattle Storm at FT	0.6%	2.1%	1.8%	1.17×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries to win	88.1%	85.5%	55.0%	1.55×	1.17
Seattle Storm to win	11.9%	14.5%	45.0%	0.32×	6.92

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries even	50.0%	50.5%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Seattle Storm even	50.0%	50.5%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
Total points odd	50.9%	50.5%	52.0%	0.97×	1.98
Golden State Valkyries odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.5%	1.00×	2.02
Seattle Storm odd	50.0%	49.5%	48.9%	1.01×	2.02
Total points even	49.1%	49.5%	48.0%	1.03×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	97.3%	97.0%	96.7%	1.00×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	2.7%	3.0%	3.3%	0.92×	33.48

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries to win Q1	66.4%	72.2%	52.4%	1.38×	1.38
Seattle Storm to win Q1	28.7%	22.5%	43.0%	0.52×	4.45
Q1 tied	4.9%	4.2%	4.7%	0.88×	23.93

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 47.5	86.5%	87.4%	73.3%	1.19×	1.14
Q1 over 31.5	82.5%	82.8%	90.9%	0.91×	1.21
Q1 under 44.5	76.5%	76.9%	61.1%	1.26×	1.30
Q1 over 34.5	70.9%	72.7%	83.6%	0.87×	1.38
Q1 under 42.5	68.0%	67.6%	50.8%	1.33×	1.48
Q1 over 36.5	61.7%	61.7%	78.0%	0.79×	1.62
Q1 under 40.5	58.4%	58.6%	40.9%	1.43×	1.71
Q1 under 39.5	53.4%	52.7%	36.2%	1.46×	1.90
Q1 over 38.5	51.7%	52.7%	68.4%	0.77×	1.90
Q1 under 38.5	48.3%	47.3%	31.6%	1.50×	2.11
Q1 over 39.5	46.6%	47.3%	63.8%	0.74×	2.11
Q1 over 40.5	41.6%	41.4%	59.1%	0.70×	2.42
Q1 under 36.5	38.3%	38.3%	22.0%	1.74×	2.61
Q1 over 42.5	32.0%	32.4%	49.2%	0.66×	3.08
Q1 under 34.5	29.1%	27.3%	16.5%	1.66×	3.66
Q1 over 44.5	23.5%	23.1%	38.9%	0.59×	4.33
Q1 under 31.5	17.5%	17.2%	9.1%	1.88×	5.83
Q1 over 47.5	13.5%	12.6%	26.7%	0.47×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries to win Q2	65.5%	68.3%	51.8%	1.32×	1.46
Seattle Storm to win Q2	29.7%	27.8%	45.0%	0.62×	3.60
Q2 tied	4.8%	4.4%	3.4%	1.28×	22.88

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 46.5	87.0%	87.3%	75.4%	1.16×	1.15
Q2 over 30.5	83.1%	83.0%	93.0%	0.89×	1.21
Q2 under 43.5	76.9%	76.8%	60.1%	1.28×	1.30
Q2 over 33.5	71.5%	72.0%	83.2%	0.87×	1.39
Q2 under 41.5	68.3%	67.4%	49.8%	1.35×	1.49
Q2 over 35.5	62.0%	60.7%	78.3%	0.77×	1.65
Q2 under 39.5	58.5%	58.2%	39.4%	1.48×	1.72
Q2 under 38.5	53.4%	52.7%	34.9%	1.51×	1.90
Q2 over 37.5	51.8%	52.7%	70.0%	0.75×	1.90
Q2 under 37.5	48.2%	47.3%	30.0%	1.58×	2.11
Q2 over 38.5	46.6%	47.3%	65.1%	0.73×	2.11
Q2 over 39.5	41.5%	41.8%	60.6%	0.69×	2.39
Q2 under 35.5	38.0%	39.3%	21.7%	1.81×	2.55
Q2 over 41.5	31.7%	32.6%	50.2%	0.65×	3.06
Q2 under 33.5	28.5%	28.0%	16.8%	1.67×	3.57
Q2 over 43.5	23.1%	23.2%	39.9%	0.58×	4.31
Q2 under 30.5	16.9%	17.0%	7.0%	2.43×	5.88
Q2 over 46.5	13.0%	12.7%	24.6%	0.52×	7.89

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries to win Q3	66.8%	66.7%	48.2%	1.38×	1.50
Seattle Storm to win Q3	28.2%	28.8%	46.4%	0.62×	3.47
Q3 tied	5.0%	5.3%	5.5%	0.95×	18.98

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 47.5	86.6%	87.2%	73.6%	1.18×	1.15
Q3 over 31.5	82.8%	82.3%	92.3%	0.89×	1.22
Q3 under 44.5	76.5%	77.3%	59.3%	1.30×	1.29
Q3 over 34.5	71.3%	71.8%	84.4%	0.85×	1.39
Q3 under 42.5	67.9%	67.8%	49.2%	1.38×	1.48
Q3 over 36.5	62.0%	61.9%	77.9%	0.80×	1.61
Q3 under 40.5	58.3%	58.4%	38.8%	1.51×	1.71
Q3 under 39.5	53.2%	52.3%	35.2%	1.49×	1.91
Q3 over 38.5	51.9%	52.3%	68.4%	0.76×	1.91
Q3 under 38.5	48.1%	47.7%	31.6%	1.51×	2.10
Q3 over 39.5	46.8%	47.7%	64.8%	0.74×	2.10
Q3 over 40.5	41.7%	41.6%	61.2%	0.68×	2.40
Q3 under 36.5	38.0%	38.1%	22.2%	1.72×	2.63
Q3 over 42.5	32.1%	32.2%	50.8%	0.63×	3.10
Q3 under 34.5	28.7%	28.2%	15.6%	1.80×	3.55
Q3 over 44.5	23.5%	22.7%	40.7%	0.56×	4.40
Q3 under 31.5	17.2%	17.7%	7.7%	2.31×	5.66
Q3 over 47.5	13.4%	12.8%	26.4%	0.48×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries to win Q4	65.6%	60.6%	52.6%	1.15×	1.65
Seattle Storm to win Q4	29.6%	33.4%	42.5%	0.79×	3.00
Q4 tied	4.9%	5.2%	5.0%	1.03×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 over 29.5	84.1%	82.0%	92.7%	0.89×	1.22
Q4 under 45.5	83.0%	82.0%	67.3%	1.22×	1.22
Q4 over 32.5	73.6%	71.5%	84.5%	0.85×	1.40
Q4 under 42.5	72.2%	71.5%	55.2%	1.30×	1.40
Q4 over 34.5	65.1%	67.4%	76.2%	0.88×	1.48
Q4 under 40.5	63.5%	61.4%	47.2%	1.30×	1.63
Q4 over 36.5	55.7%	58.4%	70.2%	0.83×	1.71
Q4 under 38.5	54.0%	52.5%	37.6%	1.40×	1.91
Q4 over 37.5	50.9%	52.5%	65.5%	0.80×	1.91
Q4 under 37.5	49.1%	47.5%	34.5%	1.38×	2.11
Q4 over 38.5	46.0%	47.5%	62.4%	0.76×	2.11
Q4 under 36.5	44.3%	41.6%	29.8%	1.40×	2.40
Q4 over 40.5	36.5%	38.6%	52.8%	0.73×	2.59
Q4 under 34.5	34.9%	32.6%	23.8%	1.37×	3.07
Q4 over 42.5	27.8%	28.5%	44.8%	0.64×	3.51
Q4 under 32.5	26.4%	28.5%	15.5%	1.84×	3.51
Q4 over 45.5	17.0%	18.0%	32.7%	0.55×	5.56
Q4 under 29.5	15.9%	18.0%	7.3%	2.45×	5.56

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries over 73.5	83.2%	80.7%	85.3%	0.95×	1.24
Golden State Valkyries under 93.5	82.7%	80.7%	73.9%	1.09×	1.24
Seattle Storm over 59.5	82.5%	80.7%	96.4%	0.84×	1.24
Seattle Storm under 79.5	81.9%	80.7%	38.6%	2.09×	1.24
Golden State Valkyries over 76.5	75.0%	75.1%	77.0%	0.98×	1.33
Golden State Valkyries under 90.5	74.5%	70.7%	66.5%	1.06×	1.41
Seattle Storm over 62.5	74.4%	70.7%	94.3%	0.75×	1.41
Seattle Storm under 76.5	73.7%	70.7%	27.5%	2.57×	1.41
Golden State Valkyries over 78.5	68.6%	66.4%	71.7%	0.93×	1.51
Golden State Valkyries under 88.5	68.0%	66.4%	60.4%	1.10×	1.51
Seattle Storm over 64.5	68.1%	66.4%	92.2%	0.72×	1.51
Seattle Storm under 74.5	67.4%	66.4%	22.2%	3.00×	1.51
Golden State Valkyries over 80.5	61.6%	61.2%	66.1%	0.93×	1.63
Golden State Valkyries under 86.5	60.9%	61.2%	55.4%	1.11×	1.63
Seattle Storm over 66.5	61.2%	61.2%	90.4%	0.68×	1.63
Seattle Storm under 72.5	60.5%	61.2%	19.2%	3.18×	1.63
Golden State Valkyries over 82.5	54.1%	52.3%	60.1%	0.87×	1.91
Seattle Storm over 68.5	54.0%	52.3%	87.9%	0.59×	1.91
Golden State Valkyries under 84.5	53.4%	52.3%	48.0%	1.09×	1.91
Seattle Storm under 70.5	53.3%	52.3%	15.1%	3.45×	1.91
Golden State Valkyries over 83.5	50.4%	52.3%	55.0%	0.95×	1.91
Seattle Storm over 69.5	50.4%	52.3%	86.8%	0.60×	1.91
Golden State Valkyries under 83.5	49.6%	47.7%	45.0%	1.06×	2.09
Seattle Storm under 69.5	49.6%	47.7%	13.2%	3.62×	2.09
Golden State Valkyries over 84.5	46.6%	47.7%	52.0%	0.92×	2.09
Seattle Storm over 70.5	46.7%	47.7%	84.9%	0.56×	2.09
Golden State Valkyries under 82.5	45.9%	47.7%	39.9%	1.20×	2.09
Seattle Storm under 68.5	46.0%	47.7%	12.1%	3.96×	2.09
Golden State Valkyries under 80.5	38.4%	38.8%	33.9%	1.15×	2.58
Golden State Valkyries over 86.5	39.1%	38.8%	44.6%	0.87×	2.58
Seattle Storm under 66.5	38.8%	38.8%	9.6%	4.04×	2.58
Seattle Storm over 72.5	39.5%	38.8%	80.8%	0.48×	2.58
Golden State Valkyries over 88.5	32.0%	33.6%	39.6%	0.85×	2.98
Seattle Storm under 64.5	31.9%	33.6%	7.8%	4.30×	2.98
Seattle Storm over 74.5	32.6%	33.6%	77.9%	0.43×	2.98
Golden State Valkyries under 78.5	31.4%	33.6%	28.3%	1.19×	2.98
Golden State Valkyries over 90.5	25.5%	29.3%	33.6%	0.87×	3.42
Seattle Storm under 62.5	25.6%	29.3%	5.7%	5.14×	3.42
Seattle Storm over 76.5	26.3%	29.3%	72.5%	0.40×	3.42
Golden State Valkyries under 76.5	25.0%	24.9%	23.0%	1.08×	4.02
Seattle Storm over 79.5	18.1%	19.3%	61.4%	0.31×	5.18
Golden State Valkyries over 93.5	17.3%	19.3%	26.1%	0.74×	5.18
Seattle Storm under 59.5	17.5%	19.3%	3.6%	5.39×	5.18
Golden State Valkyries under 73.5	16.8%	19.3%	14.7%	1.32×	5.18

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 173.5 points	87.4%	85.0%	62.2%	1.37×	1.18
Over 133.5 points	86.7%	85.0%	96.7%	0.88×	1.18
Under 168.5 points	80.6%	80.6%	50.8%	1.59×	1.24
Over 138.5 points	79.7%	75.6%	94.5%	0.80×	1.32
Under 163.5 points	71.9%	70.8%	40.6%	1.75×	1.41
Over 143.5 points	70.8%	70.8%	90.6%	0.78×	1.41
Under 160.5 points	66.0%	65.9%	33.9%	1.94×	1.52
Over 146.5 points	64.7%	61.5%	87.1%	0.71×	1.63
Under 158.5 points	61.7%	61.5%	29.5%	2.09×	1.63
Over 148.5 points	60.4%	61.5%	84.9%	0.72×	1.63
Under 156.5 points	57.4%	56.5%	27.0%	2.09×	1.77
Over 150.5 points	56.0%	56.5%	81.3%	0.70×	1.77
Over 152.5 points	51.6%	52.3%	78.2%	0.67×	1.91
Under 154.5 points	52.9%	52.3%	24.3%	2.16×	1.91
Under 153.5 points	50.7%	52.3%	23.5%	2.23×	1.91
Over 153.5 points	49.3%	47.7%	76.5%	0.62×	2.10
Under 152.5 points	48.4%	47.7%	21.8%	2.18×	2.10
Over 154.5 points	47.1%	47.7%	75.7%	0.63×	2.10
Under 150.5 points	44.0%	43.5%	18.7%	2.32×	2.30
Over 156.5 points	42.6%	43.5%	73.0%	0.60×	2.30
Under 148.5 points	39.6%	38.5%	15.1%	2.54×	2.60
Over 158.5 points	38.3%	38.5%	70.5%	0.55×	2.60
Under 146.5 points	35.3%	38.5%	12.9%	2.99×	2.60
Over 160.5 points	34.0%	34.1%	66.1%	0.52×	2.93
Under 143.5 points	29.2%	29.2%	9.4%	3.09×	3.43
Over 163.5 points	28.1%	29.2%	59.4%	0.49×	3.43
Under 138.5 points	20.3%	24.4%	5.5%	4.40×	4.10
Over 168.5 points	19.4%	19.4%	49.2%	0.40×	5.15
Under 133.5 points	13.3%	15.0%	3.3%	4.59×	6.69
Over 173.5 points	12.6%	15.0%	37.8%	0.40×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries to win both halves	54.8%	50.5%	25.7%	1.96×	1.98
Seattle Storm to win both halves	3.2%	3.0%	17.9%	0.17×	33.65

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden State Valkyries by 11-15	16.9%	16.8%	10.3%	1.63×	5.97
Golden State Valkyries by 26+	16.4%	16.8%	5.2%	3.21×	5.97
Golden State Valkyries by 6-10	15.1%	16.8%	15.0%	1.12×	5.97
Golden State Valkyries by 16-20	15.9%	16.8%	8.0%	2.10×	5.97
Golden State Valkyries by 21-25	12.5%	12.3%	4.9%	2.52×	8.11
Golden State Valkyries by 1-5	11.4%	12.3%	12.5%	0.98×	8.11
Seattle Storm by 1-5	6.4%	7.5%	14.2%	0.53×	13.40
Seattle Storm by 6-10	3.3%	2.0%	14.7%	0.14×	49.30
Seattle Storm by 11-15	1.4%	2.0%	6.5%	0.31×	49.32
Seattle Storm by 16-20	0.5%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.32
Seattle Storm by 21-25	0.2%	2.0%	2.3%	0.89×	49.33
Seattle Storm by 26+	0.1%	2.0%	3.6%	0.57×	49.33

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